id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 โ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2gN8gPZlIg | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-2lS9E8hA82 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 31 (close at 2 pm EST) than it closed on Dec 30? | null | 1,735,591,679,923 | 1,735,671,752,734 | 1,735,671,752,734 | NO | 0.195233 | 574.939007 |
09R8ERlsLt | will-kai-cenat-and-ishowspeed-win-f | Will Kai Cenat and Ishowspeed Win Fortnite with 200 or less losses? | null | 1,735,511,417,233 | 1,735,535,311,862 | 1,735,535,311,862 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
sZZLLsngLz | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-trump-clCZ2ghOd9 | Will Jimmy Carter live to see Trump become president again? | null | 1,735,373,324,184 | 1,735,669,973,488 | 1,735,669,973,488 | NO | 0.007619 | 1,103.858302 |
05C8A0gcRh | daily-coinflip-QESRCQZ5pt | Daily coinflip | null | 1,735,369,276,775 | 1,735,534,740,000 | 1,735,543,226,356 | YES | 0.5 | 5,704.09897 |
2Ru9IA8pgU | alex-de-minaur-wins-v-tomas-martin | Alex de Minaur wins V Tomas Martin Etcheverry | null | 1,735,341,258,429 | 1,735,492,487,475 | 1,735,492,487,475 | YES | 0.841017 | 130 |
AyquthpQ2n | kai-and-speed-win-fortnite-before-m | Kai and Speed win Fortnite before midnight? | null | 1,735,336,445,847 | 1,735,373,071,083 | 1,735,373,071,083 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
usOyER2pEq | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-uhhLs2cCNz | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 30 than it closed on Dec 27? | null | 1,735,332,484,889 | 1,735,592,533,681 | 1,735,592,533,681 | NO | 0.032316 | 509.685859 |
5C0dgySUSc | yu | yu | null | 1,735,283,552,593 | 1,735,283,629,243 | 1,735,283,629,243 | YES | 0.264706 | 150 |
SsQylqPPSt | qqqaaa | QQQAAA | null | 1,735,282,421,974 | 1,735,283,422,448 | 1,735,283,422,448 | NO | 0.862069 | 3,890 |
nuqphz9Rsg | testb | testb | null | 1,735,281,296,493 | 1,735,281,314,666 | 1,735,281,314,666 | YES | 0.665052 | 60 |
AlqtNnuq0d | testaaa | testaaa | null | 1,735,281,218,526 | 1,735,281,260,207 | 1,735,281,260,207 | NO | 0.665052 | 60 |
9EQ0ZgCUgP | qaqa | qaqa | null | 1,735,281,049,677 | 1,735,281,148,151 | 1,735,281,204,807 | NO | 0.547511 | 10 |
Q8P0EChhAz | test-p6l889CpyS | test | null | 1,735,280,856,185 | 1,735,280,989,915 | 1,735,281,035,631 | YES | 0.8 | 100 |
CRRIpglQhg | tottenham-hotspur-vs-wolves-english | Tottenham Hotspur VS Wolves (English Premier League) | null | 1,735,280,450,219 | 1,735,280,650,650 | 1,735,280,742,633 | YES | 0.8 | 100 |
tIOI6OOggE | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-PS9pzPQRAh | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 27 than it closed on Dec 26? | null | 1,735,246,075,912 | 1,735,333,324,052 | 1,735,333,324,052 | NO | 0.036063 | 761.560905 |
nuhs6Cngl0 | daily-coinflip-RgclRI02zz | Daily coinflip | null | 1,735,212,817,439 | 1,735,361,940,000 | 1,735,369,250,576 | NO | 0.4995 | 2,334.521486 |
zz0NggOCSp | will-dinner-be-ready-at-our-christm | Will dinner be ready at our Christmas party before 6:00 CST? | null | 1,735,163,217,098 | 1,735,185,091,475 | 1,735,185,091,475 | NO | 0.257069 | 70 |
8lIpuuyPUE | daily-coin-flip-5050-chance | Daily Coin Flip 50/50 chance | null | 1,735,077,616,439 | 1,735,102,740,000 | 1,735,150,501,387 | YES | 0.5 | 0 |
UsccPyCL06 | daily-coinflip-Nhcnpldpct | Daily coinflip | null | 1,735,064,795,056 | 1,735,189,140,000 | 1,735,212,745,585 | NO | 0.5 | 2,784.634856 |
ItQRtPhuch | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-s8IUgzCSSC | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec. 26 than it closed on Dec 24? | null | 1,735,060,436,678 | 1,735,246,930,470 | 1,735,246,930,470 | NO | 0.197731 | 612.885154 |
959c58CLgP | will-bill-clinton-outlive-jimmy-car | Will Bill Clinton outlive Jimmy Carter? | null | 1,734,991,530,924 | 1,735,506,588,396 | 1,735,506,588,396 | YES | 0.967474 | 7,738.712724 |
q2R8QP6AAQ | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-P2SyhNSdIA | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 24 (Short Day) than it closed on Dec 23? | null | 1,734,988,145,229 | 1,735,479,764,944 | 1,735,479,764,944 | YES | 0.99 | 901.474008 |
ZgshqIRCAE | will-magnus-carlsen-repeat-in-2024 | Will Magnus Carlsen repeat in 2024 as the FIDE World Rapid Champion? | null | 1,734,987,784,899 | 1,735,413,399,579 | 1,735,413,399,579 | NO | 0.012483 | 1,642.428644 |
Pp2QI6qc80 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-uuAq5tQLdE | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 24 (short day) than it closed on Dec 23? | null | 1,734,986,746,644 | 1,735,063,453,326 | 1,735,063,453,326 | YES | 0.9832 | 665 |
Pdg2sdtdCg | coin-flip-gPhUlpZUUu | Coin Flip | null | 1,734,913,265,132 | 1,734,917,491,763 | 1,734,917,491,763 | NO | 0.486797 | 161 |
Lduc2ELPOq | will-anyone-be-hospitalized-in-the | Will anyone be hospitalized in the '24 eddie aikau competition | null | 1,734,898,344,849 | 1,735,034,340,000 | 1,735,268,811,019 | YES | 0.99 | 1,033.988086 |
ud5p9cul0C | daily-coinflip-8uNcSC9qO0 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,893,334,768 | 1,735,016,340,000 | 1,735,064,767,968 | YES | 0.5 | 3,611.273261 |
ZQE5PPPd8S | will-my-next-visit-to-mcdonalds-fin | Will I successfully purchase a McFlurry the next time I go to McDonalds? (fair, rigorous market) | null | 1,734,862,837,505 | 1,735,662,810,502 | 1,735,662,810,502 | NO | 0.612435 | 2,154.924269 |
5lPh00ECcZ | will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-sunday | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? | null | 1,734,818,281,661 | 1,735,373,086,523 | 1,735,373,086,523 | NO | 0.01 | 3,184.591229 |
A2cLO5qsyL | dogecoin-above-030-on-december-27 | Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27? | null | 1,734,818,128,941 | 1,735,320,677,888 | 1,735,320,677,888 | YES | 0.99 | 905.224967 |
cASIdPN2cl | will-this-disputed-polymarket-about | Will this disputed Polymarket about whether there will be a US government shutdown in 2024 resolve to "yes"? | null | 1,734,799,820,616 | 1,735,100,348,531 | 1,735,100,348,531 | YES | 0.99 | 17,878.026989 |
L56qI9NzOy | ganare-la-siguiente-partida-de-jueg | Ganarรฉ la siguiente partida de juego de mesa con los panas? | null | 1,734,797,521,201 | 1,734,908,340,000 | 1,734,909,551,250 | NO | 0.452489 | 10 |
CNPIq6CSEt | dalle-4 | DALL-E 4 | null | 1,734,795,016,336 | 1,734,814,740,000 | 1,734,815,294,957 | YES | 0.524376 | 5 |
Cp9Upplu26 | will-jimmy-carter-make-it-through-t-y6gUSccyty | Will Jimmy Carter make it through the Winter season? | null | 1,734,789,293,084 | 1,735,521,263,526 | 1,735,521,263,526 | NO | 0.01 | 945.257754 |
2ypdAQ6S9u | will-satish-rao-release-grades-for | Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd? | null | 1,734,774,426,245 | 1,735,027,140,000 | 1,735,030,125,365 | NO | 0.163095 | 1,734.740039 |
ddRyd8NdOq | will-the-manifold-sweepcash-market | Will the Manifold sweepcash market on an US government shutdown in 2024 resolve N/A? | null | 1,734,748,674,320 | 1,734,792,749,967 | 1,734,792,749,967 | NO | 0.075472 | 250 |
SnIszOAPzl | this-market-resolves-to-sgnsinlog2 | This market resolves to sgn(sin(log_2 x)) where x is the volume of the market | null | 1,734,743,535,048 | 1,735,621,140,000 | 1,735,639,277,632 | NO | 0.27336 | 77 |
NhAAQ5hAlq | will-my-baby-be-crawling-by-christm | Will my baby be crawling by Christmas (Day)? | null | 1,734,736,977,415 | 1,735,171,195,402 | 1,735,171,210,645 | NO | 0.120111 | 470 |
Uq9UPEd8PR | if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w | If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time? | null | 1,734,731,834,706 | 1,735,032,195,694 | 1,735,032,195,694 | NO | 0.010345 | 9,795.541597 |
Ql2CAlqtls | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-SUN09ZZl9Z | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec23 than it closed on Dec 20? | null | 1,734,727,631,240 | 1,734,987,733,168 | 1,734,987,733,168 | YES | 0.985541 | 1,866.1375 |
sO9yOucdd6 | will-i-have-sent-a-longdelayed-arti | Will I have sent a long-delayed article on LLM evals by the 22nd of December? | null | 1,734,724,023,974 | 1,734,821,273,209 | 1,734,821,273,209 | YES | 0.952941 | 350 |
9hsszSLlQh | will-musk-take-back-his-endorsement | Will Musk take back his endorsement of the AfD within a week? | null | 1,734,712,008,551 | 1,735,340,340,000 | 1,735,394,452,925 | NO | 0.010038 | 887.925225 |
sRuSz59EsL | -1-2025 | ะะฐะปะธ ะะฐะฝะตะปะฐ ัะต ะณะพ ะพััะฐะฒะธ ะกะบะพะฟัะต ะฑะตะท ะฒะพะดะฐ ะดะพ 1 ะะฐะฝัะฐัะธ, 2025? | null | 1,734,697,455,288 | 1,734,942,620,140 | 1,734,942,632,325 | NO | 0.504975 | 1 |
IggQl00upy | daily-coinflip-cEU2Qc5Uy6 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,673,625,545 | 1,734,843,540,000 | 1,734,893,315,171 | YES | 0.499 | 4,809.33488 |
PgRU0Ozd2L | will-conclusive-evidence-that-someo | Did someone try to kill Nick Fuentes? | null | 1,734,655,523,776 | 1,735,010,512,977 | 1,735,010,512,977 | YES | 0.764999 | 103 |
hcP6O6QU8L | will-alireza-firouzja-beat-ian-nepo-qI2g89Ac58 | Will Alireza Firouzja beat Ian Nepomniachtchi in the Champions Chess Tour semifinals? | null | 1,734,642,154,506 | 1,734,722,572,705 | 1,734,722,572,705 | NO | 0.027693 | 927.247361 |
0LEQ6s2REN | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-L58quc2SnN | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 20 than it closed on Dec 19? | null | 1,734,642,013,734 | 1,734,728,526,239 | 1,734,728,526,239 | YES | 0.99 | 1,256.432218 |
O5LNdZLuhl | will-there-be-a-us-government-shutd-9878106a2b1c--cash | Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,638,014,041 | 1,734,761,152,248 | 1,734,761,450,844 | YES | 0.99 | 3,207.337953 |
0ccCnSCtNn | will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder? | null | 1,734,599,320,593 | 1,734,976,829,072 | 1,734,976,829,072 | NO | 0.01455 | 9,137.484158 |
NzllSZZPz9 | will-we-be-getting-a-bear-market-fo | Will we be getting a Bear Market for Christmas following Post-Fed Market sell-off?! | null | 1,734,582,272,138 | 1,735,335,000,000 | 1,735,348,618,087 | NO | 0.395892 | 314.087606 |
PO0SzE05On | will-xmr-monero-coin-fall-below-200 | Will XMR (MONERO) coin fall below $200 by 2025? | null | 1,734,560,801,862 | 1,734,649,735,479 | 1,734,649,735,479 | YES | 0.504975 | 401 |
9hCEOygRy5 | spx-returns-to-6000-by-eoy | SPX returns to 6000 by EOY? | null | 1,734,559,713,486 | 1,735,092,238,759 | 1,735,092,238,759 | YES | 0.956926 | 9,869.02156 |
N9PLy2yZPO | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-90qqEd0d80 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 19 than it closed on Dec 18? | null | 1,734,555,201,241 | 1,734,642,258,232 | 1,734,642,258,232 | NO | 0.151807 | 663.992 |
QznqsPpt6q | martin-shkreli-will-galectin-therap | [Martin Shkreli] Will Galectin Therapeutics ($GALT) stock plummet due to failure of its "NAVIGATE" Phase II/III study? | null | 1,734,551,509,438 | 1,734,887,364,651 | 1,734,887,364,651 | YES | 0.748443 | 724.887024 |
dz9lzqR8nI | test-Pggc9NA2gq | Test | null | 1,734,533,606,945 | 1,734,533,710,416 | 1,734,533,710,416 | NO | 0.307692 | 500 |
968PzRUsP2 | daily-coinflip-uyglutSqu2 | Daily Coinflip | null | 1,734,498,377,687 | 1,734,670,740,000 | 1,734,673,601,101 | YES | 0.5 | 5,222.070659 |
2gPuq2puCR | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-szzyQluQ5I | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 188 and 189? | null | 1,734,471,709,097 | 1,735,678,091,558 | 1,735,678,094,817 | NO | 0.5 | 710 |
ulAN0ZRR5d | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-pcL2gcQL0P | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17? | null | 1,734,471,095,098 | 1,734,555,738,404 | 1,734,555,738,404 | NO | 0.016666 | 851.659652 |
tcNRNZSIEz | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5sl6E9QLd2 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17? | null | 1,734,470,001,353 | 1,734,555,826,904 | 1,734,555,826,904 | NO | 0.021776 | 780 |
g9sl95C96d | will-ghostty-will-be-released-in-20 | Will ghostty will be released in 2024? | null | 1,734,469,993,963 | 1,735,250,488,615 | 1,735,250,488,615 | YES | 0.989897 | 9,590.284246 |
pRUCzQtuz5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-qEO2NLcRzL | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 18 than it closed on Dec 17? | null | 1,734,469,296,485 | 1,734,555,772,426 | 1,734,555,772,426 | NO | 0.01 | 1,114.213574 |
OS0Rydt2R9 | will-skibidi-toilet-be-in-fortnite | Will Skibidi Toilet be in Fortnite by the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,447,684,672 | 1,734,622,632,228 | 1,734,622,632,228 | YES | 0.99 | 1,823.724764 |
LnpLRZsOOs | will-marvel-rivals-reach-over-400k | Will Marvel Rivals reach 400k peak concurrent players on Steam on Dec 23rd? | null | 1,734,422,114,856 | 1,734,886,800,000 | 1,735,018,261,171 | NO | 0.216485 | 2,035 |
QZh89L6gQR | boj-raise-rates | BOJ raise rates? | null | 1,734,396,409,955 | 1,735,052,340,000 | 1,735,060,771,587 | NO | 0.206543 | 96 |
Uu8uLElzRS | will-tesla-shares-reach-500-per-sha | Will Tesla shares reach $500 per share before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,388,552,283 | 1,735,671,248,682 | 1,735,671,248,682 | NO | 0.032541 | 889.394895 |
ZpZg26N2py | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-sZSE55ZAtq | Will the S&&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 17 than it closed on Dec 16? | null | 1,734,382,658,235 | 1,734,469,429,720 | 1,734,469,429,720 | NO | 0.01 | 921.531359 |
0ZCgC0AQq5 | this-market-will-be-resolved-accord | This market will be resolved according to the trader with the largest holdings | null | 1,734,364,700,551 | 1,734,983,940,000 | 1,734,984,047,911 | YES | 0.735549 | 238.83974 |
8uCc6thyRN | will-i-lose-my-manifold-streak-befo | Will I lose my Manifold streak before my NYT Crossword streak? | null | 1,734,353,025,167 | 1,734,978,424,503 | 1,734,978,424,503 | YES | 0.498556 | 38 |
9ZISlAz9lL | daily-coinflip-258dUOdC0y | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,329,023,019 | 1,734,497,940,000 | 1,734,498,322,931 | YES | 0.503533 | 13,932.809393 |
8lZ85Q6OAn | will-bitcoin-hit-108k-in-december | Will Bitcoin hit $108K in December? | null | 1,734,307,778,938 | 1,734,842,342,935 | 1,734,842,342,935 | YES | 0.99 | 1,131.756084 |
C8RLZlUs0h | -2024-nfl-will-any-week-17-game-end | ๐ 2024 NFL: Will any Week 17 game end in Scorigami? | null | 1,734,307,365,740 | 1,735,621,140,000 | 1,735,631,426,431 | NO | 0.055469 | 1,138.706403 |
8CdnN606hz | -2024-nfl-will-any-week-16-game-end | ๐ 2024 NFL: Will any Week 16 game end in Scorigami? | null | 1,734,307,080,400 | 1,735,016,340,000 | 1,735,251,789,224 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
gz8zUyp680 | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-dR9UgIE850 | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 62 and 63? | null | 1,734,280,013,493 | 1,734,901,345,213 | 1,734,901,347,750 | NO | 0.438323 | 132 |
cc2sLZ6StZ | daily-coinflip-UzIIR6qutQ | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,234,494,482 | 1,734,325,140,000 | 1,734,329,005,276 | NO | 0.490494 | 2,564.147941 |
qSScUyZCOR | new-significant-evidence-of-foul-pl | New significant evidence of foul play in Suchir Balaji's death before end January 2025 | null | 1,734,200,901,570 | 1,735,524,839,756 | 1,735,524,839,756 | YES | 0.486906 | 316.122774 |
CEd0LUpcnQ | will-tesla-share-price-reach-450-or | Will Tesla share price reach $450 or above before the end of 2024? | null | 1,734,143,275,780 | 1,734,365,097,664 | 1,734,365,097,664 | YES | 0.841946 | 210 |
Zn2I6ZU8Sp | will-the-second-impeachment-motion | Will the second impeachment motion against President Yoon pass? | null | 1,734,141,016,494 | 1,734,163,253,838 | 1,734,163,253,838 | YES | 0.807973 | 1,500 |
IsNAnQZ0h9 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-lZPg0yIdhP | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 16 than it closed on Dec 13? | null | 1,734,122,974,863 | 1,734,382,964,792 | 1,734,382,964,792 | YES | 0.99 | 985.798954 |
5ncpAZdEtz | sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-dece-RqSRg9UP2t | S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday December 27th 2024 Than It Closed On Friday December 20th 2024? | null | 1,734,109,914,689 | 1,735,309,800,000 | 1,735,333,420,877 | YES | 0.584561 | 311 |
nILzyINECR | sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-dece | S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday December 20th 2024 Than It Closed On Friday December 13th 2024? | null | 1,734,109,879,993 | 1,734,705,000,000 | 1,734,728,953,623 | NO | 0.089929 | 3,053.890014 |
8s0O6qsN0s | will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se | Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time? | null | 1,734,106,799,757 | 1,734,115,950,495 | 1,734,115,950,495 | YES | 0.99 | 9,661.635643 |
UNsd89ysyU | will-i-need-to-eat-more-than-100mg | Will I need to eat more than 100mg acarbose at Minifest 2024? | null | 1,734,053,702,046 | 1,734,407,369,070 | 1,734,407,369,070 | NO | 0.501189 | 10 |
zIIOIZuSlZ | will-bitcoin-hit-105k-in-december | Will Bitcoin hit $105K in December? | null | 1,734,050,996,095 | 1,734,307,540,122 | 1,734,307,540,122 | YES | 0.99 | 1,770.135345 |
0pNyypL9E2 | will-a-new-halflife-game-be-announc | Will a new half-life game be announced at the 2024 Game Awards? | null | 1,734,045,210,264 | 1,734,062,986,448 | 1,734,062,986,448 | NO | 0.011309 | 1,645 |
UNOhIpOlEg | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-6ClSNgy6R5 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 13 than it closed on Dec 12? | null | 1,734,041,062,102 | 1,734,123,781,778 | 1,734,123,781,778 | NO | 0.412929 | 409.995094 |
ZcuhL80In5 | resolves-05-sinsqrta-b-05-where-a-b | Resolves @ 0.5 * sin(sqrt(a + b)) + 0.5, where a = biggest YES holder's # of shares and b = biggest NO holder's # shares | null | 1,734,036,347,570 | 1,734,674,340,000 | 1,734,675,079,775 | YES | 0.7 | 1,070.717064 |
IpUqc5tycC | will-the-baltimore-ravens-claw-the-pZy6AI0h2u | Will the Baltimore Ravens claw the Houston Texans? ๐|๐
(Christmas Day) | null | 1,734,024,844,647 | 1,735,178,410,788 | 1,735,178,410,788 | YES | 0.99 | 9,090.83137 |
ZqEcpUsNZU | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-tomahaw-U9p8yUS6pS | Will the Kansas City Chiefs tomahawk the Pittsburgh Steelers? ๐|๐
(Christmas Day) | null | 1,734,024,769,607 | 1,735,178,550,737 | 1,735,178,550,737 | YES | 0.989954 | 9,276 |
yCOE5ZAp9Z | tug-of-war-8dCE9AuCzE | Tug of war | null | 1,734,018,079,208 | 1,734,152,340,000 | 1,734,228,656,240 | YES | 0.692308 | 50 |
zppuqUnlqS | daily-coinflip-tg2ysz0qP2 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,733,987,187,387 | 1,734,152,340,000 | 1,734,234,484,238 | NO | 0.5 | 5,363.503368 |
d59OQIELyQ | will-chatgpt-be-fully-back-up-by-64 | Will chatGPT be fully back up by 6:45pm PT | null | 1,733,970,592,186 | 1,733,971,411,472 | 1,733,971,411,472 | YES | 0.504975 | 10 |
0OdpLEd6zN | will-the-openai-outage-be-resolved | Will the OpenAI outage be resolved before the end of the day? | null | 1,733,966,985,847 | 1,733,990,400,000 | 1,733,990,539,761 | YES | 0.859173 | 147 |
L0RQP8zcLh | will-codebuff-work-in-an-hour | Will Codebuff work in an hour? (at 6:15 PT) | null | 1,733,966,096,235 | 1,733,969,700,000 | 1,733,971,025,095 | NO | 0.339328 | 55 |
uhI60QPh0S | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-OQqgpP2hEU | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 12 than it closed on Dec 11? | null | 1,733,951,368,236 | 1,734,038,193,832 | 1,734,038,193,832 | NO | 0.01 | 904.749342 |
Up0RdEpPRI | will-luigi-mangione-be-extradited-t | Will Luigi Mangione be extradited to New York before 2025? | null | 1,733,935,812,415 | 1,734,646,766,711 | 1,734,646,766,711 | YES | 0.991625 | 1,542.991531 |
l9LIqcnh8g | will-scott-alexander-or-aella-speak | Will Scott Alexander or Aella speak at Solstice? | null | 1,733,929,916,772 | 1,734,862,734,305 | 1,734,862,734,305 | YES | 0.981075 | 620 |
RIgPLdU6h9 | will-deepseek-release-a-deepseek-v3 | Will DeepSeek release a DeepSeek V3 model by the end of Q1 2025 | null | 1,733,923,231,727 | 1,735,191,610,387 | 1,735,191,610,387 | YES | 0.939162 | 2,929 |
sQQ6ug5yQz | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-sIcRLnCyS8 | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 187 and 188? | null | 1,733,898,872,832 | 1,734,471,682,198 | 1,734,471,685,096 | NO | 0.470898 | 60 |
562Lp6z5qA | will-austin-tice-be-found-and-reuni | Will Austin Tice be found and reunited with his family before December 25th, 2024 | null | 1,733,884,815,192 | 1,735,143,307,299 | 1,735,143,307,299 | NO | 0.051751 | 336 |
qhpOPtEpu2 | will-rory-mcilroy-and-scottie-schef--cash | Will Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler win The Showdown on December 17? | null | 1,733,856,924,079 | 1,734,504,918,007 | 1,734,572,499,663 | YES | 0.990962 | 577.368036 |
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