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... | Roberto Gomez | KhYSBd9V84stshwMUeKU | public | contract | 1,717,771,933,564 | will-the-reforms-of-the-new-preside | RobertoGomez | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzsGkARi5n93ihu6fO41PTFHtZh-XCjvWL5b0ki=s96-c | Will the reforms of the new president of Argentina(Milei) be good for the country's economy by 2024 | pf2iq4opjr | 0.6 | 224.07847 | NO | null |
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... | Ziddletwix | gMKDsrA4nCTZ3hZcM91v | public | contract | 1,717,772,525,196 | will-dune-part-two-have-a-higher-cr | Ziddletwix | Will "Dune: Part Two" have a higher critics score than "Furiosa" on Rotten Tomatoes? (Two weeks after release) | null | 1 | 8,062.434016 | YES | null | |
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"text": "I'd just like to say, did Einstein ever put his money where his mouth is? No! He just ran his mouth! No one seems to ever remember all the times Einste... | For Truth | gcREDXxI29iYF8LDyMYO | public | contract | 1,717,772,772,169 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-championship | ForTruth | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Championship) | null | null | 41.342212 | NO | 9893291b77b7 |
x4vj8mtnwcf | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
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... | Bruno | gcREDXxI29iYF8LDyMYO | public | contract | 1,717,773,516,612 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-championship | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Championship) | zmmi0qzatcn | null | 4.91194 | NO | 9893291b77b7 |
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... | Niko | zutDEtzXJq9pvcrSsRgd | public | contract | 1,717,773,965,226 | will-someone-die-from-or-with-h5n1 | Moscow25 | Will someone die from or with H5N1 Bird Flu in America in 2024? | qp1f8msvmrh | 0.708401 | 392.28972 | YES | null | |
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... | zaperrer | a5Ialv2XlHTcMZWxUgP4 | public | contract | 1,717,774,111,048 | will-trump-be-found-guilty-will-tru | zaperrer | Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase? | pxfbbdhwhm | null | null | null | null | |
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},... | IY | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,774,529,677 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | vitamind | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.046401 | 446.160343 | NO | null | |
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... | Shaked Koplewitz | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,774,554,353 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | mc6lg0mhcc9 | null | 315.978827 | YES | 421cbda63d84 |
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... | EugeneBixby | qTW7ZeOLOuA7xKiKbs6y | public | contract | 1,717,774,783,319 | will-ukrainian-forces-attempt-to-re | EugeneBixby | Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024? | null | 0.155913 | 6,407.232961 | YES | null | |
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... | Kongo Landwalker | XwIth0bUMfaIShRBd2tX | public | contract | 1,717,774,839,932 | could-you-unarmed-beat-mark-zuckerb | KongoLandwalker | Could you (unarmed) beat Mark Zuckerberg in a fight? | x5icj8gid1 | null | null | null | null | |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | SEE | 18QXKrRE1XfpupwUfTc1 | public | contract | 1,717,774,881,228 | will-the-ariane-6-rocket-reach-orbi | SEE | Will the Ariane 6 rocket reach orbit before July 1st 2024? | null | 0.024292 | 1,647.420202 | NO | null | |
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],
"type": "paragraph... | Fion | PU6rSbVk1RBPCcX5Z5rQ | public | contract | 1,717,775,227,269 | will-the-snp-and-the-liberal-democr | Fion | Will the SNP and the Liberal Democrats form an electoral pact for the next UK general election? | null | 0.033952 | 650.355208 | NO | null | |
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... | Kongo Landwalker | vHgWjP8xwUXXOdlBM4wq | public | contract | 1,717,775,249,102 | simultaneouspredictor-chess-will-wh | KongoLandwalker | Manifold plays simultaneous predictor chess, will white win? | null | 0.644395 | 180.678121 | NO | null | |
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{... | Wamba Ivanhoe | tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe | public | contract | 1,717,775,684,714 | how-many-billions-of-dollars-would | ShitakiIntaki | How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse? | an17ef03bi | null | null | null | null | |
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... | azzy | rJvsPCJOlAUQWMfB8xaO | public | contract | 1,717,775,808,118 | will-drama-youtuber-robert-tipster | megacoolness | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c | Will Drama Youtuber Robert "Tipster" Santellan Jr transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025? | ksxw9ssmjz | null | null | null | null |
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... | chris (strutheo) | 4uM25K4xRTWW65l4iWoO | public | contract | 1,717,775,841,487 | will-this-market-help-me-find-an-of | strutheo | Will this market get me an offer to interview that I accept for a new job by the end of Manifest? | ldira3rohyn | null | null | null | null | |
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... | houstonEuler | gcREDXxI29iYF8LDyMYO | public | contract | 1,717,775,841,805 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-championship | houstonEuler | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Championship) | zmmi0qzatcn | null | null | null | null | |
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... | chris (strutheo) | 4uM25K4xRTWW65l4iWoO | public | contract | 1,717,775,875,266 | will-this-market-help-me-find-an-of | strutheo | Will this market get me an offer to interview that I accept for a new job by the end of Manifest? | juydaka7dm | null | null | null | null | |
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"ty... | Daniel Reeves | m1f4b3ut5vsMypT2L79S | public | contract | 1,717,776,517,013 | snake-eyes-paradox-game | dreev | Snake Eyes Paradox Game | null | 0.168197 | 0 | NO | null | |
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... | komplexkonjugat | FXtpcxBD8icaPblGqiZP | public | contract | 1,717,776,611,096 | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-93 | komplexkonjugat | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 93) | atsvmhvu0zt | null | null | null | null | |
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... | komplexkonjugat | xqpAyQZiErgJ1cu2SANl | public | contract | 1,717,776,678,246 | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-94 | komplexkonjugat | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 94) | 3a2tlc9vp6w | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Shai | U1t6nrLFr52JiJPf04FH | public | contract | 1,717,776,887,770 | what-is-elon-musks-iq | Shai | What is Elon Musk's IQ? | 8v2pltf3fmd | 0.569213 | 1,138.771265 | YES | null | |
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"type... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,777,509,107 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | null | null | 2.759356 | YES | 16df8c8459d1 |
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... | Ronan McGovern | Ua0kzjbcBjwSySES4hYt | public | contract | 1,717,777,669,009 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p | Ronan | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJdeA6ZnQOmm66Qy4cHz-ezeeo1ZaRtdk_-39Ft3ho_lttLwh_lnw=s96-c | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | khu1ptca5ac | null | null | null | null |
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{... | Shaked Koplewitz | Ua0kzjbcBjwSySES4hYt | public | contract | 1,717,777,836,697 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | khu1ptca5ac | 0.5 | 91.073302 | YES | null |
ct3ljc8jkdb | false | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | {
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... | Susanne inFrance | fJAiEvdVMr398612SYnu | public | contract | 1,717,778,531,358 | where-will-i-live-in-september-2024 | SusanneinFrance | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c | Where will I live in September 2024? | r2l6xefxbo | null | null | null | null |
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... | Metastable | BH2WqQC5a0LBhPlX1ek5 | public | contract | 1,717,778,617,980 | will-eliezer-yudkowsky-get-fully-bl | Metastable | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FSpirit59%2FxrikxR-98A.%20zupa?alt=media&token=7af37655-01c8-4c16-a121-ce95d9d6a73b | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Joshua | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,779,265,240 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | Joshua | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 2,575.177288 | NO | 58efgk1q6o | |
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... | Joshua | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,780,110,495 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | Joshua | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | dq65g9mwrer | null | 2,575.177288 | NO | 58efgk1q6o | |
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... | Dan | f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ | public | contract | 1,717,780,361,390 | will-openai-still-be-doing-superali | DanMan314 | Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024? | ytaq445jx2s | 0.42 | 3,100.530755 | YES | null | |
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