id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8ln5zuz97w3 | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Update: my medical has been assessed! I have to get a waiver for a condition from my doctor, and then I should be cleared! appointment for that is set ... | Pat Scott🩴 | vZiCpQOF0A3JEM5DfgaM | public | contract | 1,717,781,967,610 | will-i-work-in-antarctica-this-year | Stralor | Will I work in Antarctica this year? Which parts of the process will happen? | null | null | 175.723132 | YES | 45a0ee9f0e5b | |
yedr8dkkbr | false | xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "a4gc1fwp94d",
"label": "Dynd",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | IY | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,781,969,282 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | vitamind | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.046401 | 856.248259 | YES | null | |
rcnc1t8h98n | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | nikki | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,781,997,819 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | nikki | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,792.902017 | NO | 7a987b043340 | |
prearvzvd | false | nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Gaz Downright | jPX7cGLlGj8GvHqWa8eN | public | contract | 1,717,782,018,178 | which-hogwarts-house-will-manifold-c004941d883e | GazDownright | 🪄Which Hogwarts house will Manifold sort Volodymyr Zelenskyy into? | vax5olrez3r | null | 57.725141 | YES | a6f95b54d9b9 | |
3xp795qc3x9 | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "r74zdgfl1ld",
"label": "cash",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Savior of Plant | 0YCYyjBNcZ2XW9Qer4sD | public | contract | 1,717,782,030,164 | will-the-us-government-take-control | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030? | r74zdgfl1ld | 0.2653 | 368.639555 | YES | null |
9l3bthqe4hu | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cxiefq7nd57",
"label": "K4IICHI",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Savior of Plant | l5VWGNNOd1H2UfhFfBVS | public | contract | 1,717,782,090,743 | is-the-anonleopard-model-on-the-cha-eha6nvzex5 | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena the ~400B parameter Llama-3? | cxiefq7nd57 | 0.062835 | 195.060979 | NO | null |
wimge4p4kkk | false | nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2",
"label": "Soli",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Gaz Downright | Lg3p94BIaroWP5A0c0Sf | public | contract | 1,717,782,136,045 | is-this-real-gpt45 | GazDownright | Is gpt2-chatbot OpenAI's next-generation model (e.g. GPT-4.5, GPT-5, etc.) | null | 0.197797 | 14.23402 | NO | null | |
ek3eizeutcc | false | 7vUxHjoYCcVI3BYn9mrFFDIEP9v1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "u3zb0g0y1cj",
"label": "chatterchatty",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Maryy | e0xKqGPwVnMMdhvLhR1r | public | contract | 1,717,782,269,384 | i-was-deferred-from-mit-ea-will-i-m-7c7f9c680bf6 | e945 | Will I make MIT RA as a competition math star, given that I've been deferred EA? | u3zb0g0y1cj | null | null | null | null | |
4yzpdln2vfg | false | 8tpyEuONEicPEGLBzBEPuvtHded2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If you think brexit voters / working class Tories wont pivot into Reform I dont know what to say. They're polling at ~15-20% in a sample of 2k",
... | Greyhawk | TQtbOp0LqYL1lEztQjXj | public | contract | 1,717,782,443,823 | uk-genreal-election-2024-will-refor | Greyhawk | UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK win at least 2 seats? | null | 0.46 | 885.632604 | YES | null | |
uzxspy3f84b | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i0jnqs2pit8",
"label": "Arky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,782,488,760 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | i0jnqs2pit8 | null | 2.759356 | YES | 16df8c8459d1 |
tnoqctzi47 | false | SEOxIEtslBacD4eFSCcrejOOWby1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lan... | Iced Rick | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,782,623,548 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | IcedRick | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | null | null | null | |
ll2epdxewvn | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,782,640,853 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 8,435.10403 | YES | 7d3ab63031a7 | |
9x0vsl9dut | false | SEOxIEtslBacD4eFSCcrejOOWby1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lan... | Iced Rick | 3feLr12QbJeo2IFocrZN | public | contract | 1,717,782,759,950 | how-many-standard-deviations-is-ice | IcedRick | How many standard deviations is @ice's IQ from the norm? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2q3ko91v6au | false | SEOxIEtslBacD4eFSCcrejOOWby1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lan... | Iced Rick | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,717,782,826,668 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | IcedRick | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | null | null | null | null | null | |
nd6b6rwb6vb | false | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e2nmz5cnta",
"label": "Berg",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Oleg Eterevsky | 9T2V7uRgbU3dgzzrI7AG | public | contract | 1,717,782,929,757 | when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb | OlegEterevsky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | When will Starship complete an orbit? | kxvc9h50ixl | null | null | null | null |
tw0v33ef0ar | false | VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If you voted vanilla extract, was it for the meme or because you want to see what it does to the resulting cake? Or are you galaxy brain and think lite... | Madge | PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz | public | contract | 1,717,783,107,599 | manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p | Mad | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c | Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below. | null | null | null | null | null |
s7iavtgtm6q | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "5p47d2m2iy",
"label": "Qoiuoiuoiu",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | yu2nQM7IQo8IiW7YAjYf | public | contract | 1,717,783,191,879 | the-market-1-year-will-the-average | PlasmaBallin | "The Market" 1 year: Will the average probability of this market be >50%? | br0eaxp02pm | 0.647832 | 944.003714 | NO | null | |
k90xqt6nne | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Remember not to bet options all the way to 99% so that people can still vote on them",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "parag... | Plasma Ballin' | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,783,314,666 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | PlasmaBallin | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | null | null | 1,185.946396 | YES | 36508860cdd0 | |
vmon33x2wgd | false | XA1YJBwS9ISwLj6hf1Ola7y7mxN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hgwj3796liq",
"label": "Fedor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Peter Miller | SufJVwcJSZ0g81X3Lnm5 | public | contract | 1,717,783,318,573 | was-roaring-kittys-account-hacked | PeterMillerc030 | Was roaring kitty's account hacked? | 6xt0zdtt593 | null | null | null | null | |
kf7icnesnjm | false | HoOjRjOQjQWNmwdqhkGzYzvhaSw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Made a couple of small initial bets to push the percentages around a little, but from this point on I will not bet on this market.",
"type": ... | TheSchwa | w1Guf3q6nEyVb1sMAyrO | public | contract | 1,717,783,366,600 | the-median-answer-will-resolve-yes | TheSchwa | The median answer will resolve YES. | null | null | 13.48231 | YES | xzr4rvvlbp | |
4vt1plg4gi8 | false | OispOHcuZ6Mtln1rU1R6Dl0JblV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rrszkh8ow5",
"label": "PseudonymousBosche24f",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | alex | 25kZq5ACmZZcDkfqRRFW | public | contract | 1,717,783,394,915 | what-type-of-team-will-win-the-2025 | gocougs | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKgcEdee0YHQfqznypu7NY6p_lmXBvNqOhfJXKnQ92apw=s96-c | What type of team will win the 2025 college football national championship? | rrszkh8ow5 | null | 0 | NO | 07d341c1f9e0 |
j6udgknjn4h | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dkgwe51qmjo",
"label": "benjaminIkuta",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | RemNi | GIBPC4FII9MI19QoBqGM | public | contract | 1,717,783,419,863 | will-my-tinnitus-be-cured-by-the-en | RemNi | Will my tinnitus be cured by the end of 2080? | 63hu2g6xa2l | null | null | null | null | |
h4xwy8ioexm | false | XA1YJBwS9ISwLj6hf1Ola7y7mxN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6xt0zdtt593",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Peter Miller | SufJVwcJSZ0g81X3Lnm5 | public | contract | 1,717,783,457,755 | was-roaring-kittys-account-hacked | PeterMillerc030 | Was roaring kitty's account hacked? | 6xt0zdtt593 | null | null | null | null | |
4kezslqmiy5 | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "tnoqctzi47",
"label": "IcedRick",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jim | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,783,585,576 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | jim | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | tnoqctzi47 | null | 71.007385 | NO | 291fff8a8f11 | |
ecdohsw8bsp | false | uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ct3ljc8jkdb",
"label": "SG",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | David Chee | 4uM25K4xRTWW65l4iWoO | public | contract | 1,717,783,669,354 | will-this-market-help-me-find-an-of | SirSalty | Will this market get me an offer to interview that I accept for a new job by the end of Manifest? | ct3ljc8jkdb | null | null | null | null | |
xraeqoo5pk8 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ecdohsw8bsp",
"label": "SirSalty",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | 4uM25K4xRTWW65l4iWoO | public | contract | 1,717,783,866,039 | will-this-market-help-me-find-an-of | strutheo | Will this market get me an offer to interview that I accept for a new job by the end of Manifest? | ct3ljc8jkdb | null | null | null | null | |
bdfxme3ycjq | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "or down to 1% - if you move the probability to either extreme all future bets in that direction are canceled/refunded and not recorded as votes. best t... | stefanie | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,783,925,270 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | shankypanky | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | k90xqt6nne | null | 1,049.843861 | NO | 08463c5f4f91 | |
k704yon7ou8 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "prearvzvd",
"label": "GazDownright",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | jPX7cGLlGj8GvHqWa8eN | public | contract | 1,717,783,967,347 | which-hogwarts-house-will-manifold-c004941d883e | strutheo | 🪄Which Hogwarts house will Manifold sort Volodymyr Zelenskyy into? | vax5olrez3r | null | 10.334025 | NO | cc9115961cbb | |
qe3n4sdnlob | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "one down",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | 9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56 | public | contract | 1,717,784,031,267 | manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien | strutheo | 🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 646.801232 | YES | b29bb5e5c75d | |
bkuxl7nben | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "didnt win ultimate, maybe we run a melee one...?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | 9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56 | public | contract | 1,717,784,048,744 | manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien | strutheo | 🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 646.801232 | YES | b29bb5e5c75d | |
jdntr8ssl0a | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qe3n4sdnlob",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | stefanie | 9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56 | public | contract | 1,717,784,050,779 | manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien | shankypanky | 🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | qe3n4sdnlob | null | 18.107822 | YES | ec23fae2cfcd | |
19p4yy2343r | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "selling jimmy carter pins at manifest - $5 ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
... | chris (strutheo) | 9eDK3nny1QPGkdtFZe56 | public | contract | 1,717,784,100,745 | manifest-bingo-what-will-i-experien | strutheo | 🎪Manifest Bingo: What will I experience at Manifest 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 646.801232 | YES | b29bb5e5c75d | |
6ismv3cke6i | false | js1u8BIyzjVoBjkM1YQgueA0bav1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": nu... | JohnofCharleston | bnCvIfZyeQi9sPxwHmpx | public | contract | 1,717,784,209,470 | when-will-i-first-test-negative-for-yz82eeu89v | JohnofCharleston | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7uw9wqj12zSkINvp2TjDpvLAn3j0gX7j7-RLYCrA=s96-c | When will I FIRST test negative for COVID | null | null | 358.584102 | YES | bx2xfnm7ix |
7xh8v8qguht | false | zxMEiyi30YNN9tJvhq2hIC35QmJ3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "z68m0ynk7qi",
"label": "Dynd",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Sinuboh | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,784,326,284 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | sinuboh | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.14268 | 1,025.869975 | YES | null | |
7de5qro8ano | false | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Every place I see is hiring, so I find it difficult to believe that ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"... | Steve Sokolowski | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,784,510,561 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 185.433138 | NO | 5c6653a59f85 |
i7o540iefp | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7de5qro8ano",
"label": "SteveSokolowski",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | chris (strutheo) | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,784,665,994 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | strutheo | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | 7de5qro8ano | null | 204.01187 | YES | 99f4a2dc15f0 | |
b8b1lcmz0at | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "WTF THIS IS A PLAY MARKET? 10 MANA PER QUESTION? WTF",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null... | chris (strutheo) | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,784,691,602 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | strutheo | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 204.01187 | YES | 99f4a2dc15f0 | |
sp2o5gucbop | false | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uovsxkcm017",
"label": "SusanneinFrance",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Steve Sokolowski | RsnijoImmtmbKZpV4o8g | public | contract | 1,717,784,705,347 | with-the-third-human-case-of-h5n1-b | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | With the third human case of H5N1 Bird Flu reported in US, how many human cases will be confirmed in 2024? | uovsxkcm017 | null | null | null | null |
hay39qmy56 | false | xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7xh8v8qguht",
"label": "sinuboh",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | IY | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,785,021,479 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | vitamind | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.476102 | 856.248259 | YES | null | |
ml401rvn7b | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vcRnogNTojb2z8RejfxaYDwYs6B3",
"label": "ADings",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | The Official | 1TOrmJAymBwMCpolvNg3 | public | contract | 1,717,785,090,080 | which-players-will-be-part-of-germa-906119729e9d | 10thOfficial | Which players will be part of Germany's squad for UEFA Euro 2024? | null | null | 707.308387 | YES | 2f16f77dbbb8 | |
x3j4krc7fo | false | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "There is no Cummings Party.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": ... | Simon Grayson | qnsbS6y0w3DRsJhireJe | public | contract | 1,717,785,134,084 | will-dominic-cummingss-new-politica | SimonGrayson | Will Dominic Cummings's new political party have any success in the 2024 UK general election? | null | 0.020929 | 1,162.353677 | NO | null | |
l6jrox041ss | false | NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4t562nojd8",
"label": "jacksonpolack",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | dionisos | Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea | public | contract | 1,717,785,232,523 | what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading | dionisos | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c | What books will I enjoy reading? | 4t562nojd8 | null | 11.939188 | YES | f74c6fda694d |
urgq77muww | false | zxMEiyi30YNN9tJvhq2hIC35QmJ3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hay39qmy56",
"label": "vitamind",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Sinuboh | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,785,516,687 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | sinuboh | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.476102 | 4,794.057157 | YES | null | |
ow1qcqu1y2a | false | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "83hp8wcjsvo",
"label": "EugeneBixby",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Martin Modrák | qTW7ZeOLOuA7xKiKbs6y | public | contract | 1,717,785,790,069 | will-ukrainian-forces-attempt-to-re | MartinModrak | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c | Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024? | 83hp8wcjsvo | 0.218454 | 2,084.943903 | NO | null |
rujmjio6899 | false | ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "r74zdgfl1ld",
"label": "cash",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Stark | 0YCYyjBNcZ2XW9Qer4sD | public | contract | 1,717,786,034,741 | will-the-us-government-take-control | StarkLN | Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030? | r74zdgfl1ld | null | null | null | null | |
0q7ag8ypbhc | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "8dwswhvxzy",
"label": "PaulMaynard",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Genzy | lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy | public | contract | 1,717,786,371,313 | what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w | Gen | What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release? | 173kxdxdbhu | null | null | null | null | |
pzr9388out | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will you tell the winner(s) about this market while or after they've shown the item? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs"... | Bayesian | NoJZcAKPCSwu22uNkcUT | public | contract | 1,717,786,489,523 | will-someone-who-initially-buys-yes | Bayesian | Will someone who initially buys YES here win either the Most Impressive Action or Most Impressive Item Manifest markets? | null | 0.379632 | 93.882781 | NO | null | |
adb4ux6hleb | false | xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "urgq77muww",
"label": "sinuboh",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | IY | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,786,520,709 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | vitamind | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.76 | 1,048.092402 | YES | null | |
bfxenayhuhw | false | GFhEaNvJqlVqi8xRFYt0WlCYAEL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0q7ag8ypbhc",
"label": "Gen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Paul Maynard | lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy | public | contract | 1,717,786,609,335 | what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w | PaulMaynard | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsJqxlmOJb9UqTFSYCoXOnG5dQzQ6EmYQ1HsVoQVGsDUA=s96-c | What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release? | 173kxdxdbhu | null | 367.804186 | NO | 75c219d13f3f |
lubv7l9ddv8 | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | The Official | u2NdPEpAGQTbmpNJg0gO | public | contract | 1,717,786,994,316 | will-mbappe-leave-for-real-madrid-d | 10thOfficial | Will Mbappe leave for Real Madrid during 2024? | zilvkpr599j | null | 5,340.175882 | YES | 756dfd34558b | |
x18cwxdxm9r | false | js1u8BIyzjVoBjkM1YQgueA0bav1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "43ol5n8gsft",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | JohnofCharleston | bbyF1T7OVjSmUoJrpwQv | public | contract | 1,717,787,070,831 | how-many-attendees-will-test-positi | JohnofCharleston | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7uw9wqj12zSkINvp2TjDpvLAn3j0gX7j7-RLYCrA=s96-c | How many attendees will test positive for COVID during summer camp or LessOnline? | 43ol5n8gsft | null | 727.163924 | YES | cw2yztqo6v |
03jcmtaac2z1 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Bayesian | deWIBe40SWjf8Prd7Ij6 | public | contract | 1,717,787,086,877 | when-will-manifest-2024-tickets-sel-fe532aa13023 | Bayesian | When will Manifest 2024 tickets sell out? | null | null | 271.096017 | YES | 08d321b18388 | |
fgbo1dvp0b | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "03jcmtaac2z1",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | stefanie | deWIBe40SWjf8Prd7Ij6 | public | contract | 1,717,787,114,497 | when-will-manifest-2024-tickets-sel-fe532aa13023 | shankypanky | When will Manifest 2024 tickets sell out? | 03jcmtaac2z1 | null | 97.063466 | YES | 08d321b18388 | |
0sxeqfnvywum | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rujmjio6899",
"label": "StarkLN",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ernie | 0YCYyjBNcZ2XW9Qer4sD | public | contract | 1,717,787,150,096 | will-the-us-government-take-control | Ernie | Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030? | r74zdgfl1ld | 0.228224 | 57.718359 | YES | null | |
x8s950l5p4 | false | js1u8BIyzjVoBjkM1YQgueA0bav1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does twitter, discord, and general social media shenanigans count as \"correspond with\", or does it have to be private communications via email/DM, et... | JohnofCharleston | iHacIyW2j51IA3B7iLTx | public | contract | 1,717,787,241,531 | how-many-friends-will-ranag-make-fr | JohnofCharleston | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7uw9wqj12zSkINvp2TjDpvLAn3j0gX7j7-RLYCrA=s96-c | How many friends will @RanaG make from attending LessOnline/SC/Manifest? | null | null | null | null | null |
ifruhzxe0u | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "God I wish top traders worked for this market type.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
... | Panfilo | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,787,242,259 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Panfilo | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 9,311.423794 | YES | 52c8a526fb05 | |
6iow609vfm | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Andrew G | Bj5WbVCwhHbMGCw0FiOK | public | contract | 1,717,787,293,407 | will-the-new-escalator-installation | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will the new escalator installation in civic center happen before the end of summer 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
xf14guu9lh | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,787,323,254 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 27,069.559319 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 | |
0lt85mmtzp | false | 8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Lol I'm unable to vote yes on Microsoft",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Will | SuO3sH4odZtuKq0nNl3N | public | contract | 1,717,787,326,247 | what-will-be-the-top3-ai-labs-in-20-ff578e9dd7a2 | wrhall | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c | What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2024? | null | null | 3,070.63918 | YES | 4af06f1f1dfa |
o50v9b1tik | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xf14guu9lh",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,787,403,848 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | xf14guu9lh | null | 27,069.559319 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 | |
frno2adjfww | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ifruhzxe0u",
"label": "Panfilo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,787,430,564 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | ifruhzxe0u | null | 27,069.559319 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 | |
x6urdx4rfpg | false | IiBcUTs3V1bYSg0WbDlq4eKASv62 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "are you actively applying?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | 0x413124 | PPHq6NEOAR1X9ap0fOlK | public | contract | 1,717,787,702,532 | will-i-ari-zerner-get-a-job-as-a-qu | 0x413124 | Will I (Ari Zerner) get a job as a quant trader within 3 years after completing Manifest Trading Bootcamp? | null | 0.526803 | 176.684037 | YES | null | |
dmpaq7h0nvc | false | 8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If Google has spent 1T on all of their tpus and do distributed training does that count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | Will | yBgbKkObAFck4fvmcvot | public | contract | 1,717,787,716,966 | lasa-1t-ai-training-cluster-by-the | wrhall | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c | [LA:SA] $1T AI training cluster by the end of 2030? | null | null | null | null | null |
6awc8so41bg | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "frno2adjfww",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Panfilo | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,787,743,171 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Panfilo | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | ifruhzxe0u | null | 9,311.423794 | YES | 52c8a526fb05 | |
c77fna3hb7 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yikes. That did not go well. It attracted a few bids, but must not have cleared its minimum reserve, because no sale is listed. Resolves NO",
... | Ziddletwix | UwfzZ1tarYN8e8O8QjWZ | public | contract | 1,717,787,793,666 | will-this-david-morris-sapphire-dia | Ziddletwix | Will this David Morris Sapphire & Diamond Necklace sell for >$5 million at its Sotheby's auction? (pics included) | null | 0.025954 | 12,848.225275 | NO | null | |
0irrvsvr43wr | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "unfortunately we're outside and there are no microphones :( ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,787,801,562 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 1,353.533944 | NO | bff58054cf45 | |
pqopetqgpb | false | fsbw3279TdNxi58kBGtSQLI9Uyi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "ooh I also commute by EUC and my coworker just happened to make a ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"... | Tao Lin | NTzDIAxDpvua30AlsBII | public | contract | 1,717,787,801,977 | will-i-get-injured-riding-my-electr | TaoLin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7zodDnlZOVsvri1JVtZzdKSKjd4lo5sjdFQD0Vniw=s96-c | Will I get injured riding my electric unicycle by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
53rsa2jsocm | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "c77fna3hb7",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | UwfzZ1tarYN8e8O8QjWZ | public | contract | 1,717,787,826,864 | will-this-david-morris-sapphire-dia | Ziddletwix | Will this David Morris Sapphire & Diamond Necklace sell for >$5 million at its Sotheby's auction? (pics included) | c77fna3hb7 | 0.025954 | 12,848.225275 | NO | null | |
kylv3tkns4h | false | 9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I don't know why I thought today was June 8th in my mind, so in a sense, I blundered the original problem statement in the description, but I hope nobo... | Quroe | 0e0GLiuSseaIy137jpe5 | public | contract | 1,717,788,013,898 | will-my-next-fortune-cookie-be-a-ju | Quroe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c | Will my next fortune cookie be a "judgment cookie?" | null | null | null | null | null |
yfmbfm8s2ih | false | d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xuw0lodokzr",
"label": "vVv",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Bence | ZlDNd204Hlc7GkXcztNI | public | contract | 1,717,788,084,709 | will-cnns-online-news-abandon-its-l | bence | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c | Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings? | 69rcrho8uht | 0.256339 | -0 | YES | null |
94n48h1cdk7 | false | fsbw3279TdNxi58kBGtSQLI9Uyi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "for reference, the closest I've come to a severe injury was crashing into a car 2 years ago, which left me very bruised and very bad at walking for ~3 ... | Tao Lin | wC5Lg83E3Xh7Qx7ymqnv | public | contract | 1,717,788,147,382 | will-tao-be-severely-injured-in-a-e | TaoLin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7zodDnlZOVsvri1JVtZzdKSKjd4lo5sjdFQD0Vniw=s96-c | Will Tao be severely injured in a electric unicycle accident in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
43y69pezvqm | false | n9g6oDj4dqgJQyE0P0PBsex1sWI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Naka is above 2800 at the end of Norway. I don't see anything else scheduled for him in June, so I expect this to resolve to Naka at the end of June",
... | Daniel Tilkin | 8vdHPrqDNDeoEKOqwG9N | public | contract | 1,717,788,260,362 | who-will-be-the-next-chess-player-t-266fa6b12d16 | DanielTilkin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaD_F3MPbut-et9lJUiLj_dMo5cRkQ70utJs_egAQ=s96-c | Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical) | null | null | 2,184.573718 | YES | 0511249f09d4 |
a9aeojv0wnv | false | lLJ59uxmELOLryUIN2pcT9jyMRH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "u3whfczzpfb",
"label": "benjaminIkuta",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Alex | A6yrdjMnA3nglCqVgHrg | public | contract | 1,717,788,638,967 | will-i-enter-a-relationship-in-2024 | Alex | Will I enter a relationship in 2024? | u3whfczzpfb | null | null | null | null | |
kt70khpknup | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "HAPPENING NOW come watch for insider info!! glass room",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "do... | chris (strutheo) | HldTSUgqvqJiX73ZpmVQ | public | contract | 1,717,788,835,891 | who-will-win-the-summer-camp-sit-go-sxtg41l7t9 | strutheo | Who will win the Summer Camp Sit & Go Holdem Tournament on Friday? | null | null | 0 | NO | 1j6vllqddo | |
53uq35p8yt6 | false | MRjW2CLX2ZWYm97PMwvTdYSTJ5g1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Per this spreadsheet they have validly nominated candidates in >600 seats.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | alh | Vqlel5shoIBN16Kz8UwF | public | contract | 1,717,788,898,951 | uk-general-election-2024-will-refor | alh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c | UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK run in at least 600 seats? | null | 0.694552 | 5,294.031801 | YES | null |
xl1nww8rq2 | false | NndHcEmeJhPQ6n7e7yqAPa3Oiih2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If the next Nintendo console is not the \"Switch 2\", does this resolve N/A or No?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragra... | Josh | iZdkzePDGcCrbSkAvyC4 | public | contract | 1,717,789,196,272 | will-the-nintendo-switch-2-have-the | josh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c | Will the Nintendo Switch 2 have the same general design of the switch? | null | null | null | null | null |
g5tjqs36y1i | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "TjvzR8cg5cVoLshGhhe4kwxnJEH2",
"label": "Symmetry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Bayesian | OVDRlQpiwX6tF2ssLhQL | public | contract | 1,717,789,296,888 | will-bing-ai-stop-sucking-by-mid-20 | Bayesian | Will Bing AI stop sucking by mid 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mxap4m9dpns | false | NndHcEmeJhPQ6n7e7yqAPa3Oiih2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does this market require that GitHub originate the ban themselves? Or would you also resolve this YES if some law is passed (in a jurisdiction relevant... | Josh | 0buTWMqxRwkduBImztb9 | public | contract | 1,717,789,311,583 | will-github-implement-a-blanket-ban | josh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c | Will GitHub implement a blanket ban on voice cloning projects before 2026? | null | null | null | null | null |
q6uk3pi1dhl | false | jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "adb4ux6hleb",
"label": "vitamind",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Hyperlincoln | n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk | public | contract | 1,717,789,597,533 | will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h | Hyperlincoln | Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference? | zicgsnvydu | 0.63289 | 1,127.706761 | NO | null | |
n8f5s1doy18 | false | wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6ismv3cke6i",
"label": "JohnBennett",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Chris V | bnCvIfZyeQi9sPxwHmpx | public | contract | 1,717,789,781,438 | when-will-i-first-test-negative-for-yz82eeu89v | voodoo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c | When will I FIRST test negative for COVID | 6ismv3cke6i | null | 386.282329 | NO | i1qouhebe9 |
hip7or4kwvo | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Aww I wish I'd been there",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Shelvacu | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,789,861,181 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | Shelvacu | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 1,185.044922 | YES | hnug92zg8c | |
h3ylg15kzo | false | S4Dca8uEDWYskc9fYENrheTcFg82 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1",
"label": "houstonEuler",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Mark Hamill | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,789,920,406 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | MarkHamill | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 12,399.423644 | NO | fgktizg4gd | |
uvgm6akyj6h | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wpXEdDzBqEgtf8t4On6k",
"label": "/ovals/to-which-is-the-last-round-that-jan-33p3x7ngpe",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text... | Stuart Slagle | peEdhWcSRqzF1HyvELUi | public | contract | 1,717,789,955,816 | to-which-is-the-last-round-that-jan | ovals | To which is the last round that Jannik Sinner will advance in the 2024 FRENCH OPEN tournament? 🎾 | null | null | 3,074.105334 | NO | 46e20aa16897 | |
swwycj9p91f | false | lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Wikipedia articles:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
... | Santeri | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,789,991,020 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | sanyero | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,014.789238 | YES | 065fbd96fd63 | |
roih7ru2fq | false | fsbw3279TdNxi58kBGtSQLI9Uyi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "omg i want to bet on crazy things but they're already priced too high!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | Tao Lin | NIeBbP2TWD6u34Y8r2cF | public | contract | 1,717,790,069,120 | what-vehicles-does-bond-drivepilot | TaoLin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7zodDnlZOVsvri1JVtZzdKSKjd4lo5sjdFQD0Vniw=s96-c | What vehicles does Bond drive/pilot in the next James Bond movie? | null | null | null | null | null |
mu7rmmyh0d | false | lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "swwycj9p91f",
"label": "sanyero",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Santeri | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,790,171,060 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | sanyero | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | swwycj9p91f | null | 1,014.789238 | YES | 065fbd96fd63 | |
x17i2c5mtpq | false | nbj8r8H3C6UL2IesTDuEaXZuNQv2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ek9stv21lam",
"label": "AlQuinn",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Carmel Hadar | ZslgmdOyz0d0YqjTem3i | public | contract | 1,717,790,402,338 | will-israel-and-hizballa-significan | CarmelHadar | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6-PsNv0vfq1yMPjvNCpWTKm6Y9EbvtoTxK7WQ4nBc=s96-c | Will israel and hizballa significantly increase their conflict during the first half of 2024 | 933l17vhd9c | 0.336796 | 2,082.182837 | YES | null |
wjwlcyhmzp8 | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | The Official | ODNgeLSVcNAyMkOrkkCB | public | contract | 1,717,790,516,828 | -stock-ipo-2024-which-companies-wil | 10thOfficial | Which companies will successfully launch an IPO in 2024? | null | null | 14,028.795599 | YES | 66dca34662af | |
1ts9jijdwdw | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hip7or4kwvo",
"label": "Shelvacu",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | N.C. Young | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,790,533,498 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | NcyRocks | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | hip7or4kwvo | null | 2,058.338649 | NO | aaa2153c5a72 | |
sh7te15us4 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "b8b1lcmz0at",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | stefanie | 8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo | public | contract | 1,717,790,573,068 | what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r | shankypanky | ☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | b8b1lcmz0at | null | null | null | null | |
ieb8hx168u | false | cfz8q51Q6xdrRjBw1HdfmMlsmAz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "20564c9ugvj",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Floris van Doorn | yu2nQM7IQo8IiW7YAjYf | public | contract | 1,717,790,580,089 | the-market-1-year-will-the-average | FlorisvanDoorn | "The Market" 1 year: Will the average probability of this market be >50%? | 20564c9ugvj | 0.402596 | 2,857.438806 | NO | null | |
4iiwgci50zb | false | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9wzfljcgx6",
"label": "Moscow25",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | SirCryptomind | LxceRCDNAljAVrybmuph | public | contract | 1,717,790,619,864 | will-gamestop-gme-hit-70-during-tra | SirCryptomind | Will GameStop ($GME) hit $70 during trading on Friday June 7th? | 9wzfljcgx6 | 0.01167 | 1,521.082407 | NO | null | |
qh414hyeg3 | false | hPEqASWOExWovWUevORTAyFI7u62 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "x6urdx4rfpg",
"label": "abra",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Ari Zerner | PPHq6NEOAR1X9ap0fOlK | public | contract | 1,717,790,659,868 | will-i-ari-zerner-get-a-job-as-a-qu | AriZerner | Will I (Ari Zerner) get a job as a quant trader within 3 years after completing Manifest Trading Bootcamp? | x6urdx4rfpg | null | null | null | null | |
a48ymtq8mqd | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "and here we go again...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | dU2Uiw6OuEEHUOMaeUY6 | public | contract | 1,717,790,834,460 | bulls-vs-bears-will-the-sp-500-hit-d15eec2d540e | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,500.00 before 5,100.00? | 9t6pste10cq | null | null | null | null |
i88xdeverk | false | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y8pvdbly90m",
"label": "JamesBaker3",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Adrian | w4eoVWcMSMP4XGFFs1pL | public | contract | 1,717,790,850,080 | is-the-openai-arrakis-model-real | ahalekelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | Is the OpenAI Arrakis Model Real? | y8pvdbly90m | null | null | null | null |
v9rivgnc3bq | false | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "When will this resolve?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | M L | ARWQ0Cn99lNflMCSrj7x | public | contract | 1,717,790,933,934 | does-manifold-meditate | ML12d1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c | Does Manifold meditate? | null | 0.379638 | 38.410286 | NO | null |
gqhsmvgkkjl | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42",
"label": "NcyRocks",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW | public | contract | 1,717,791,292,388 | will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro | Ziddletwix | Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9? | null | 0.99 | 1.024083 | YES | null | |
y42ibuqyvl9 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1",
"label": "Elspeth",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | 3SXc91ReBZpxkYhQSXzV | public | contract | 1,717,791,315,659 | will-there-be-a-manifest-in-2024-on | Ziddletwix | Will there be a Manifest in 2024 on or before 2024-09-22? | null | 0.99 | 1,044.955831 | YES | null | |
86bslck7l68 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Polb8maeefXJ8XRGc31awM6v7Br1",
"label": "RahulShah",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"... | Ziddletwix | C1IJOl6ztvu80oTktNXG | public | contract | 1,717,791,330,766 | will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-fir | Ziddletwix | Will there be a Manifest in the first half of 2024? | null | 0.99 | 4,622.232469 | YES | null | |
e6g9dr1yi58 | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Sex workers usually don’t want to have sex with “most” men on Earth. Maybe if there were a huge die-off of men?",
"type": "text"
}
... | ClubmasterTransparent | 7foUpkpg3WTbMqVV2crK | public | contract | 1,717,791,375,843 | will-most-women-accept-payment-for | ClubmasterTransparent | Will most women accept payment for sex from most men (independently and without any need for managers/pimps) by 2026? | null | null | null | null | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.