id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
akt764izr8f | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | nikki | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,803,251,840 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | nikki | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 944.982603 | YES | 4d2ae2bf2386 | |
1418fg99eewf | false | GSKLuvDpKGhoM9gUTPiwmrk9XWi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "z4df6fncxkg",
"label": "singer",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Wamba Ivanhoe | tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe | public | contract | 1,717,803,253,713 | how-many-billions-of-dollars-would | ShitakiIntaki | How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse? | an17ef03bi | null | null | null | null | |
ia81fg95uic | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Just saw him",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ernie | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,803,327,770 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ernie | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 2,072.788252 | YES | 0e6cff7dfcc6 | |
mrhducefej9 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yea",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,803,389,097 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | Ziddletwix | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 1,742.68226 | YES | 5a6rgegp8z | |
51bwtp9oc6w | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolve this yes",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,803,435,710 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Elliot_dev | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 8,080.365246 | YES | x6r6zu60n5 | |
eayjeo4h2s9 | false | 2DUMvA9R6nNXjQfyidwhKJitKBr2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Noa Nabeshima | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,803,607,969 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | NoaNabeshima | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhGG2fLz1xZY60s5Zky2ne9wKGcZ1kXwE36DRdoyA=s96-c | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,050.743782 | YES | b1dcfb913c78 |
5e4wdzej2l2 | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "yes",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,803,637,225 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | nikki | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 944.982603 | YES | 4d2ae2bf2386 | |
9xozqmjb7c7 | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "51bwtp9oc6w",
"label": "Elliot_dev",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Elliot | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,803,656,729 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Elliot_dev | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | 51bwtp9oc6w | null | 1,807.525247 | YES | ig9nric28g | |
kkxpzi9n2vi | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolve yes",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,803,905,473 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Elliot_dev | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 637.921765 | YES | w3mqby3zp9 | |
4jc17dyxnve | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "owqlzp67rm",
"label": "EliezerYudkowsky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | jackson polack | Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea | public | contract | 1,717,804,154,805 | what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | What books will I enjoy reading? | 4t562nojd8 | null | 591.866498 | NO | 69ed54926f9f |
ug663d47pog | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolve yes",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,804,208,188 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Elliot_dev | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,814.427639 | YES | b9be7b7e6aad | |
edaylt5uf2g | false | vrPa0bHD3MQ7QGore2pXulifTwh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i feel this is unlikely, i think some of this is more a reflection of the interests of the humans interacting with the models rather than the models ta... | Campbell Hutcheson | OiJ9KnW29ImsmlHrg4sO | public | contract | 1,717,804,469,582 | is-the-promethean-virus-in-large-la | CampbellHutcheson | Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real? | null | 0.46118 | 1.755249 | NO | null | |
rh4k0fv0a3o | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "gg",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,048,659 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | nikki | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 11,535.374328 | NO | 9ybb6qt5kx | |
82nzdtu3m25 | false | IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Ken Michaels | 1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM | public | contract | 1,717,805,231,845 | will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar | kenmichaels | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9 | Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian? | null | 0.50755 | 31,301.301209 | NO | null |
yd84fcgfx0m | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Exactly four? Or four or more…? What’s the protocol here ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": ... | Genzy | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,318,798 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Gen | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | null | null | null | |
i00vkasuung | false | DCq983FyQvdZ0b5xRh8UJOsVvva2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is that guy who got corn jokes at last year’s conference going to get cornholed again? Rationalussy or whatever?",
"type": "text"
}
... | Kevin Blawd | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,805,354,321 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | KevinBlaw | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 89.162169 | NO | 7ef68c4dd728 | |
0dmynt5ksqfk | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yd84fcgfx0m",
"label": "Gen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Genzy | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,357,496 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Gen | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | yd84fcgfx0m | null | null | null | null | |
s1uy7qrxbwk | false | d9vxoU9czxR8HkgfMdwwTmVBQ3y2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What happens if this is the tenth and final NO? N/A? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc... | Bence | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,357,743 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | bence | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 1,580.305609 | YES | 4p97m7n4z1 |
o3m17hqcuug | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yd84fcgfx0m",
"label": "Gen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Pat Scott🩴 | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,370,225 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Stralor | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | yd84fcgfx0m | null | 6,517.92032 | NO | 9ybb6qt5kx | |
84paueityj8 | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ZB5wm6TsZbfYNWOoAWIjDpzjEz72",
"label": "Mira_",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Daniel Tello | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,805,438,353 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | How many traders will this market get? | null | null | 1,000.209637 | NO | 8cf62b48c791 |
89kp0bf8o79 | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Do you have a iPhone 15 Pro?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Predictor 🔥 | H0bVhKaCt4lCHlZPLpxP | public | contract | 1,717,805,796,479 | will-apples-ai-assistant-siri-stop | Predictor | Will Apple's AI Assistant (Siri) stop being a joke before the second half of 2024? | null | 0.408596 | 1,088.405032 | YES | null | |
v9u9gwdbqsh | false | JDWfUBan8sfznLDCqOCavHToD5a2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | DP | 4cZRK67eRwY3KIGZXDAZ | public | contract | 1,717,805,947,770 | will-a-mishap-investigation-be-requ | dp9000 | Will Starship Flight 4 result in an FAA mishap investigation? | null | 0.128279 | 1,244.964859 | NO | null | |
jwn2q36f8x8 | false | ybGrV1mQatTS2hxTYpn9VD5cOvp2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Can be resolved, \"molochian\" mentioned",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ansgar Dietrichs | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,805,959,736 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | ansgar | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZS2dZJoiRXRwiXxQrLFjPbcKsGjUKS3shf1AzktFw=s96-c | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 52,084.31788 | YES | 7m7706q8cv |
mmv6xoct63j | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolve yes",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,161,494 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Elliot_dev | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 7,880.19645 | YES | x6r6zu60n5 | |
e5hwr2vm9rv | false | ZB5wm6TsZbfYNWOoAWIjDpzjEz72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "84paueityj8",
"label": "deagol",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Mira | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,806,194,448 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | Mira_ | How many traders will this market get? | 84paueityj8 | null | 0 | NO | 074ca8126e18 | |
ij36728781n | false | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yep, someone said “bang”",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Alexander Miller | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,382,619 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | AlexanderMiller | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 9,191.109929 | YES | i7nrt3x1cn | |
eymv0ey2wfi | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e5hwr2vm9rv",
"label": "Mira_",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Daniel Tello | hqTQw1GX53g8obtHvgxO | public | contract | 1,717,806,577,715 | how-many-traders-will-this-market-g | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | How many traders will this market get? | 84paueityj8 | null | 1,000.209637 | NO | 8cf62b48c791 |
h72t8bifacc | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This happened with the crystal ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,816,941 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Joshua | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 32,775.922787 | YES | i7nrt3x1cn | |
o02pkni3tlt | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yes, right?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,858,508 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Joshua | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 32,775.922787 | YES | i7nrt3x1cn | |
bgbf6h72ich | false | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I didn't hear any cracking?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Carson Gale | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,895,665 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | CarsonGale | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 1,596.104201 | YES | bcic4q6giz | |
ethg7w72rf7 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2DUMvA9R6nNXjQfyidwhKJitKBr2",
"label": "NoaNabeshima",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Bayesian | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,806,939,649 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Bayesian | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | bgbf6h72ich | null | 4,928.849521 | YES | k7lvcfdfn9 | |
mdkc72wdu2c | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i00vkasuung",
"label": "KevinBlaw",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Shelvacu | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,807,092,769 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Shelvacu | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | i00vkasuung | null | 1,164.987894 | NO | 065fbd96fd63 | |
ssco8a56j9j | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Thank you all for participating!!!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"con... | Genzy | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,807,139,380 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Gen | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | null | null | null | |
g5vvcnfomod | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I haven't actually rescheduled my flight yet, but I'm thinking of leaving monday or tuesday rather than friday",
"type": "text"
}
... | Shelvacu | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,807,174,447 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | Shelvacu | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | null | null | null | null | null | |
qc0j0m6k4al | false | GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Aella is here",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yoav Tzfati | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,807,536,993 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Crazytieguy | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 771.67383 | YES | 6e36ae11cfc5 | |
8bmeax6vago | false | U907XL5wZSQ0pD7pMXe2HaS0NR33 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I am here :) ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Haven | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,807,942,961 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | HWH | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 132.42503 | NO | 54f7f848acad | |
sqvm4iva0ib | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "89kp0bf8o79",
"label": "Predictor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Soli ꩜ | H0bVhKaCt4lCHlZPLpxP | public | contract | 1,717,808,008,234 | will-apples-ai-assistant-siri-stop | Soli | Will Apple's AI Assistant (Siri) stop being a joke before the second half of 2024? | 89kp0bf8o79 | 0.408596 | 212.094743 | YES | null | |
2vknu2q274q | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "misresolve imo! please confirm with the performers, maybe they have a different take on that moment ",
"type": "text"
},
{
... | Pat Scott🩴 | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,808,016,529 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Stralor | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | null | null | 6,517.92032 | NO | 9ybb6qt5kx | |
ayeeeh6dii | false | GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Eliezer is also here",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yoav Tzfati | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,808,090,518 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Crazytieguy | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 771.67383 | YES | 6e36ae11cfc5 | |
w3anjazvh4p | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This happened ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dan | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,808,108,146 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | DanMan314 | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 525.246375 | YES | 64s9gey76v | |
wnya9eqo0tb | false | lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2vknu2q274q",
"label": "Stralor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Santeri | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,808,116,282 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | sanyero | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | 2vknu2q274q | null | 1,719.854455 | YES | 4p97m7n4z1 | |
cwjas189a7g | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,808,196,483 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 1,353.533944 | NO | bff58054cf45 | |
u6lp7e8wpt | false | DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | TonyPepperoni 🪿 | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,808,235,261 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | TonyPepperoni | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 527.749183 | YES | 66fd053f0cb0 | |
mrlyw0m0j99 | false | FwUZ6ImOMmY5Tc5RlxL6dammsuU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Duncan?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Louis | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,808,342,951 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Thunderstar | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5i5tRwQycrz57qr_9mtg-51AflSWl8S2-Y_93f6Q=s96-c | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,019.794961 | NO | 9dbcde390667 |
84cuil21o57 | false | T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "6pm",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": n... | Tony Gao | v22Njlfw54DZAgYuRTaX | public | contract | 1,717,808,455,664 | will-there-be-enough-soylent-at-man | TonyGao | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c | Will there be enough Soylent at Manifest 2? | null | 0.89 | 405.277419 | NO | null |
2dxrth70sa6 | false | BM7WDql3V0fOWBtlc2s4ITzUPZ32 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Persuading humans of things seems like an easier task computationally, than doing science.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": ... | Eli Tyre | gRkJsEFMbvzqpICdcJxP | public | contract | 1,717,808,524,661 | will-ai-be-capable-of-superhuman-pe | EliTyre | Will AI be capable of superhuman persuasion well before (>1yr) superhuman general intelligence? | null | 0.700703 | 137.189794 | YES | null | |
y1v2rqtvl6c | false | BM7WDql3V0fOWBtlc2s4ITzUPZ32 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "EAPXrBG781tfVWuPGMh9",
"label": "OnurcanYasar",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Eli Tyre | gRkJsEFMbvzqpICdcJxP | public | contract | 1,717,808,551,157 | will-ai-be-capable-of-superhuman-pe | EliTyre | Will AI be capable of superhuman persuasion well before (>1yr) superhuman general intelligence? | EAPXrBG781tfVWuPGMh9 | 0.700703 | 137.189794 | YES | null | |
mvx3bgjighl | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qamvjy84dx",
"label": "SaviorofPlant",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | D5b8H9yUWbE3wRSov3VO | public | contract | 1,717,809,033,938 | will-i-get-a-software-engineering-j-lgsrxz2nab | Snarflak | Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months? | ab9jkfk4rv | null | null | null | null | |
57kedf7tl1 | false | RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dofmhk0wrvd",
"label": "huw",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | fish | 7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ | public | contract | 1,717,809,070,749 | will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f | kurt | Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024? | dofmhk0wrvd | 0.680465 | 1,909.847529 | NO | null | |
uaf4j9hn9l | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mvx3bgjighl",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Savior of Plant | D5b8H9yUWbE3wRSov3VO | public | contract | 1,717,809,095,670 | will-i-get-a-software-engineering-j-lgsrxz2nab | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months? | ab9jkfk4rv | 0.214729 | 371.385708 | YES | null |
ndos0pmw1u | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2d62h51fvje",
"label": "SimranRahman",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,809,098,523 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Snarflak | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 2d62h51fvje | null | 20.124993 | YES | 51e4cacd136a | |
qurflq5gqxm | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | nikki | yFclKzpKMk5wm9tzTGhp | public | contract | 1,717,809,146,981 | is-saultymunny-on-discord-actually | nikki | Is saultymunny on Discord *actually* the host of Manifest Conference? | null | null | null | null | null | |
w2mmcxkabfr | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Saul just confirmed to me he was “one of” the hosts of Manifest ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"... | Dan | yFclKzpKMk5wm9tzTGhp | public | contract | 1,717,809,245,997 | is-saultymunny-on-discord-actually | DanMan314 | Is saultymunny on Discord *actually* the host of Manifest Conference? | qurflq5gqxm | 0.837749 | 19,495.830527 | YES | null | |
3foac65rf2x | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hmm, my most successful market. Interesting…",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | N.C. Young | 03JkrctMNrVKNTJBbxFW | public | contract | 1,717,809,269,970 | -what-question-will-i-use-my-free-c | NcyRocks | 💎🔮💎 What question will I use my free crystal on? 💎🔮💎 | null | null | 3,071.849311 | NO | es8zfve7ax | |
f6v2xfd18m | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3foac65rf2x",
"label": "NcyRocks",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Savior of Plant | 03JkrctMNrVKNTJBbxFW | public | contract | 1,717,809,320,830 | -what-question-will-i-use-my-free-c | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | 💎🔮💎 What question will I use my free crystal on? 💎🔮💎 | 3foac65rf2x | null | 60.064698 | NO | kmdvt6o502 |
7ekag91aa6 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Caleb is not inactive so mods won't resolve for now - ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fnuHBW8... | stefanie | yFclKzpKMk5wm9tzTGhp | public | contract | 1,717,809,330,083 | is-saultymunny-on-discord-actually | shankypanky | Is saultymunny on Discord *actually* the host of Manifest Conference? | qurflq5gqxm | 0.837749 | 1,784.801165 | YES | null | |
5cprf8022t | false | bNaCDzi4STgSXOy5dOuOvhBxxoX2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You may resolve me as Yes.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Patrick McKenzie | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,809,345,884 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | patio11 | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 23.756556 | YES | 2e86f62e69d3 | |
z0s0ce26ut | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7ekag91aa6",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | nikki | yFclKzpKMk5wm9tzTGhp | public | contract | 1,717,809,345,926 | is-saultymunny-on-discord-actually | nikki | Is saultymunny on Discord *actually* the host of Manifest Conference? | qurflq5gqxm | 0.837749 | 3,509.80434 | YES | null | |
gwbfxpng1ag | false | GB5hZnKVXCdbNXRJbJT1WFH6nQ02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "🎉",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | bh | DGIZAUSacYzUMKMOgeNP | public | contract | 1,717,809,441,802 | after-flying-out-from-australia-for | hamiltonianurst | After flying out from Australia for LessOnline/camp, will me/my non-Rationalist GF be convinced to stay for manifest? | null | 0.890306 | 2,479.480167 | YES | null | |
avggfv9afzr | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "f6v2xfd18m",
"label": "SaviorofPlant",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | N.C. Young | 03JkrctMNrVKNTJBbxFW | public | contract | 1,717,809,448,337 | -what-question-will-i-use-my-free-c | NcyRocks | 💎🔮💎 What question will I use my free crystal on? 💎🔮💎 | 3foac65rf2x | null | 3,071.849311 | NO | es8zfve7ax | |
xo6my8ih79d | false | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think if they fly the V2 this year with different positioning of flaps this has a legitimate chance ",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | notarealuser | jrXCL00LUX2uPrOMjQeQ | public | contract | 1,717,810,211,204 | will-spacex-land-a-spaceflown-stars | notarealuser | Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024? | null | 0.27 | 62.5 | YES | null | |
1cj8y4nqqoi | false | 6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jyzwjjv2j7",
"label": "SusanneinFrance",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | James Baker | CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP | public | contract | 1,717,810,314,911 | will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at | JamesBaker3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c | Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Summer Camp and Manifest 2024? | jyzwjjv2j7 | 0.053407 | 86.563082 | YES | null |
r5yzayclwm8 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1",
"label": "DanMan314",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"... | Ziddletwix | Ju0UwZYr6XVbhU7w1esA | public | contract | 1,717,810,325,395 | who-will-be-a-special-guestspeaker | Ziddletwix | Who will be a special guest/speaker at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 5,274.236422 | YES | 61eb74d7e138 | |
4i0t0sv994e | false | foG4N8oWHvfcCOtxUojy8XzKx7A3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
... | John David Pressman | twxL4Eu6lMloQedRKQji | public | contract | 1,717,810,327,959 | will-marijuanna-be-removed-from-the | JohnDavidPressman | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLUh4TXYbvIk6ZMpAVP7OeqjAOpUBlTcv9xybWh_N2MCvP9oA=s96-c | Will marijuanna be removed from the Schedule I drug list before June 30, 2024? | null | 0.186015 | 923.608568 | NO | null |
dw43agsidoe | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "jyzwjjv2j7",
"label": "SusanneinFrance",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP | public | contract | 1,717,810,516,485 | will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at | strutheo | Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Summer Camp and Manifest 2024? | jyzwjjv2j7 | null | null | null | null | |
v24k6pd4msg | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "dw43agsidoe",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP | public | contract | 1,717,810,537,618 | will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at | strutheo | Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Summer Camp and Manifest 2024? | jyzwjjv2j7 | null | null | null | null | |
b8wk1g3cxgd | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "83hp8wcjsvo",
"label": "EugeneBixby",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jackson polack | qTW7ZeOLOuA7xKiKbs6y | public | contract | 1,717,810,540,369 | will-ukrainian-forces-attempt-to-re | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024? | 83hp8wcjsvo | null | null | null | null |
r5wecolnin | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "v24k6pd4msg",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP | public | contract | 1,717,810,562,226 | will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at | strutheo | Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Summer Camp and Manifest 2024? | jyzwjjv2j7 | null | null | null | null | |
sq5vtm2l14i | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lqq7f928wy7",
"label": "GazDownright",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jackson polack | V0ZXNKqhR0Q9RA7GNIBj | public | contract | 1,717,811,281,747 | will-google-bard-pass-chatgpt-in-nu | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will Google Bard pass ChatGPT in number of users before the end of Q1-2024? | pxfqyvy2hz | 0.071748 | -0 | NO | null |
i764y6m5axl | false | T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wnya9eqo0tb",
"label": "sanyero",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Tony Gao | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,811,438,591 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | TonyGao | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | 2vknu2q274q | null | 391.457602 | NO | k7lvcfdfn9 |
kxp758v8648 | false | lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i764y6m5axl",
"label": "TonyGao",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Santeri | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,811,495,496 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | sanyero | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | 2vknu2q274q | null | 1,719.854455 | YES | 4p97m7n4z1 | |
1vf3wbdwkao | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i764y6m5axl",
"label": "TonyGao",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Genzy | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,811,514,603 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | Gen | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | 2vknu2q274q | null | null | null | null | |
kal84ymv7ol | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | N.C. Young | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,811,911,108 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | NcyRocks | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 8,056.673092 | YES | 7b803e259083 | |
b1f17mo8q6c | false | ntQa9hKfnRMdPyy4C242tPykGXg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Updating the closing time to June 9th since WWDC starts on the 10th.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],... | Dwaxe | dWVeSLVlr7OZW48jlFoU | public | contract | 1,717,811,964,244 | what-will-be-the-name-of-macos-15 | Dwaxe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjJ6tgn98yYchUQgck8HyjzyvkYhq5czx8soxoztQ=s96-c | What will be the name of MacOS 15? | null | null | 214 | YES | 356807ba286f |
7w00oc1vdo9 | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4eetscuenhy",
"label": "BionicD0LPH1N",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jackson polack | u5ve0CXwIYg8hb1vLllv | public | contract | 1,717,812,038,703 | will-the-estimated-training-cost-of | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will the estimated training cost of GPT-4 be over $50M? | stvqzkju6m8 | null | null | null | null |
xz3a5te8na | false | hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ndos0pmw1u",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Simran 🤍 | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,812,122,725 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | SimranRahman | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 2d62h51fvje | null | 6,136.326059 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
nfe94iggwmn | false | dYcBw4yTOccJC3Q6qpb0KklYW7z1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "They've apparently been around since 2019 (which was ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": nul... | duck_master | GX6ddmamuRUYjlqcAH0u | public | contract | 1,717,812,258,026 | will-21e8-ltd-ship-any-product-by-j | duck_master | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fduck_master%2Flove-images%2F0P82jd00Lc.59?alt=media&token=eb4ef3fd-c16c-4725-a772-3879a67385a6 | Will 21e8, Ltd, ship any product by June 5, 2025? | null | 0.203644 | 111.563149 | NO | null |
0p56uf948av | false | yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "25zozu7qxgw",
"label": "Quroe",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | case | rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6 | public | contract | 1,717,812,330,674 | the-crystal-coin-flip | case | The Crystal Coin Flip | 25zozu7qxgw | null | null | null | null | |
k9gd6gij5b | false | 9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yes, a corner ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3",
"labe... | Quroe | rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6 | public | contract | 1,717,812,530,404 | the-crystal-coin-flip | Quroe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c | The Crystal Coin Flip | 25zozu7qxgw | null | null | null | null |
lgqywxdzr0f | false | 6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Pretty easy to convert mana to spice on high % bets, this should happen soon",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | James Baker | YHtJ5IHG4snAe4xgasoe | public | contract | 1,717,812,761,586 | will-someone-have-100000-spice-this | JamesBaker3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c | Will someone have 100,000 Spice this year? | null | 0.830377 | 386.421688 | YES | null |
84fvwkeuplg | false | 9E9IRkP3cocISKaf9EyoC3EPZHg2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "June 7: EZ was wearing a suit, but no jacket today. so Other.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"typ... | dusty | xKRb2Kosg55IYmOOemiT | public | contract | 1,717,812,787,695 | during-the-days-in-june-when-i-see | stardust2 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbVZGqMvxy1yq6xJgCSUCR789Lgb1aMulLxZKUs4nPmsaEWg=s96-c | During the days in June when I see EZ, which color of suit jacket will EZ wear the most frequently? | null | null | 7.521045 | YES | oxicc5pbxx |
byhb8k9w75 | false | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Half inning down, tied 0 to 0",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | GfKytrvAc1XX0iUTzwjI | public | contract | 1,717,812,960,137 | who-will-win-tonights-minor-league | JoshuaB | Who will win tonight’s Minor League Baseball game between the Stockton Ports and SJ Giants? | null | null | 443.701796 | NO | arcj4zk7eg | |
1x4vzpirrdq | false | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "byhb8k9w75",
"label": "JoshuaB",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | GfKytrvAc1XX0iUTzwjI | public | contract | 1,717,813,126,380 | who-will-win-tonights-minor-league | JoshuaB | Who will win tonight’s Minor League Baseball game between the Stockton Ports and SJ Giants? | byhb8k9w75 | null | 521.423277 | YES | arcj4zk7eg | |
qx1i1he2yrf | false | Reojf0vF1KStl8jhf9dodil7Q433 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4jd4mu53cup",
"label": "SemioticRivalry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Douglas Campbell | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,717,813,228,176 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | DouglasCampbell | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJy5vuO-IQmcBW2wAwiuRlMculoQM7ZrH_wXNxjQ=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | 4jd4mu53cup | 0.933336 | 128.83885 | YES | null |
rvtma32w2wp | false | DCq983FyQvdZ0b5xRh8UJOsVvva2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Does lying count like last year!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Blawd | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,813,480,141 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | KevinBlaw | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | null | null | null | null | null | |
s010dcuolz8 | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rvtma32w2wp",
"label": "KevinBlaw",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Shelvacu | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,813,847,551 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | Shelvacu | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | rvtma32w2wp | null | null | null | null | |
gxpb58asiw6 | false | ILtwgh6DHfVTz9ymGCrbwqQXOBG3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "IMO this is entirely a question about whether Jonathan Blow's next game (the sokoban-like puzzle game he is working on during his livestreams) earns ov... | Jackson Wagner | vV0Xt219rsTc2d9k92Rd | public | contract | 1,717,813,894,920 | will-a-game-programmed-jai-gross-mo | JacksonWagner | Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033? | null | null | null | null | null | |
4spsvlxbl5p | false | DCq983FyQvdZ0b5xRh8UJOsVvva2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You seemed To have put on 250 pounds since",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
... | Kevin Blawd | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,813,938,120 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | KevinBlaw | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | null | null | null | null | null | |
obz35vh3btm | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ok this seems ambiguous enough that I wouldn't feel good resolving either way and people want their liquidity back, so unfortunately I'm gonna N/A. Thi... | Andrew G | f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ | public | contract | 1,717,814,148,703 | will-openai-still-be-doing-superali | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
sv6004j83ah | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "obz35vh3btm",
"label": "AndrewG",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Andrew G | f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ | public | contract | 1,717,814,178,366 | will-openai-still-be-doing-superali | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024? | obz35vh3btm | null | null | null | null |
jzu99gbf81j | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is EOY 2024 right?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Arky | DJ31aNe7bH11EDgytT8C | public | contract | 1,717,814,194,347 | ukraine-warcasting-megamarket | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | Ukraine warcasting megamarket | null | null | 1,471.216744 | NO | uxylx5ku90 |
0tjdlvfrsmgk | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What metric are you using to determine the most popular?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "... | Arky | 54sXL6lzNoN0fmsXSHAW | public | contract | 1,717,814,306,035 | which-will-be-the-most-popular-hard | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | Which will be the most popular hardware store of 2024 | null | null | null | null | null |
8x61rserrhv | false | ILtwgh6DHfVTz9ymGCrbwqQXOBG3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "gxpb58asiw6",
"label": "JacksonWagner",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Jackson Wagner | vV0Xt219rsTc2d9k92Rd | public | contract | 1,717,814,372,652 | will-a-game-programmed-jai-gross-mo | JacksonWagner | Will a game programmed in Jai gross more than $10,000,000 before 2033? | gxpb58asiw6 | 0.236104 | 1,134.463959 | YES | null | |
9xizivukark | false | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Both events at max capacity",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Genzy | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,814,531,448 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Gen | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 440.62767 | YES | 9c58d8c1d0d9 | |
5qpbdisr0z3 | false | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "One all",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | GfKytrvAc1XX0iUTzwjI | public | contract | 1,717,814,635,959 | who-will-win-tonights-minor-league | JoshuaB | Who will win tonight’s Minor League Baseball game between the Stockton Ports and SJ Giants? | null | null | 35.507597 | NO | arcj4zk7eg | |
sfwpdj6eui | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "they have the same max capacity? or you're judging that their max capacity being the determining factor is bad",
"type": "text"
}
... | Bayesian | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,814,707,617 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Bayesian | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 9xizivukark | null | 359.178221 | YES | 86843e9e6c11 | |
uk5pgpbax6b | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "does he strongly want to trade a shoe?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | 5AloIDwmWqMkuaXMeDcn | public | contract | 1,717,814,846,520 | will-johnzellweger-trade-a-shoe-wit | Bayesian | Will @JohnZellweger trade a shoe with someone else at Manifest? | null | 0.5 | 35.616555 | NO | null | |
2rzujckzj7y | false | DCq983FyQvdZ0b5xRh8UJOsVvva2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will you swallow so much cum people think you love mayo?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "... | Kevin Blawd | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,815,018,569 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | KevinBlaw | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | null | null | null | null | null | |
19t6y8r06im | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Rolling in the next 20 minutes, last call on bets",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Haws | csiLcmuZ7B3XW3JIqNrE | public | contract | 1,717,815,153,916 | friday-dice-roll-what-number-will-t-kamg4s43m4 | Haws | Friday Dice roll - What number will they land on? | null | null | 462.040735 | YES | y0z844cyqk | |
eu7guo8f3ke | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "RIP again",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Haws | N2GXFsf6ZhaSacKbuI40 | public | contract | 1,717,815,365,934 | will-the-close-price-of-alphabet-in-0qppbwxmco | Haws | Will the close price of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOGL) be higher than the previous day? [Closes early] | null | null | 102.455063 | YES | x4coldsomm |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.