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3xbxlwqi2k2
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "See also", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text":...
Christopher Randles
XS0xEbncD3l5M7cWuYXH
public
contract
1,717,849,640,769
1-for-each-day-before-starship-flig
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
1% for each day before Starship flight 5
null
0.529711
280.576324
NO
null
kqwoq4xmhdo
false
RkgxY86BkXapNguatNnE45ZaxQG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can someone enlighten me why QF is so much lower than SF and F?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
chris kux
UECvVphNFyl67M42L32j
public
contract
1,717,850,882,671
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-car
chrislkj
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fchrislkj%2FydIrfIlRbj.39?alt=media&token=de0d9748-f0ec-4844-a8e6-a316b74867c4
To which is the last round that Carlos Alvaraz will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
null
null
null
null
null
p7ys5xxv9n
false
oo35Ce7Y10RjKbpNf6VlZqdZNah1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What kind of strikes are you imagining? I fail to see how strikes can result in a \"terrorist attack\" as defined by this market. This is what a strike...
Nils
i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz
public
contract
1,717,851,029,618
will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag
Nils
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyNa3-FVU-2w0nedM7jRSrCZ53mqwAZD5zwZudQ=s96-c
Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
null
null
null
null
null
i9acphhmfj
false
7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "frtxwmzvub8", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan Homerick
7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP
public
contract
1,717,851,130,392
are-these-programming-language-feat
DanHomerick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
frtxwmzvub8
null
38.381941
NO
qcikqf7q07
asvdo97ui1
false
I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Kraalnaxx
T9BClzVSR3grvKRWCApH
public
contract
1,717,851,768,198
which-youtube-channels-will-release-wkgauivkam
Kraalnaxx
https://firebasestorage.…653-9bc927b2a59d
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
2,611.089858
YES
ci2e7jgvo6
gan9lsyb4k
false
SGthg3WqLWbnlo28JBFON2vxewm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4jc17dyxnve", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea
public
contract
1,717,852,025,370
what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading
EliezerYudkowsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrJG8Ay-yrvNsp-sZCoQMge2UwXm6PX7H6OTgmpPg=s96-c
What books will I enjoy reading?
4t562nojd8
null
null
null
null
b5t160lyahe
false
diwmn2cEH5WYieMianB3i0NKXd73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The proposed fight was wrestling. I think it would end with a shoulder tap?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
TBTBTB
lVulRfQrCG8HhOrI3oRR
public
contract
1,717,852,057,238
will-cremieaux-fight-richard-hanani
tftftftftftftftftftftftf
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Ftftftftftftftftftftftftf%2FXEt4hEGLLS.09?alt=media&token=52a8c65d-6154-49d2-bd0d-58823e877c2b
Will @cremieaux fight Richard Hanania at Manifest 2024
null
0.643641
94.465832
NO
null
8r8fgn1k3rm
false
Hd8tCTjDRwRtvssZ42JtF2sgCfg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Unfortunately, now. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ihor Kendiukhov
wNNAbndVbokdW3wsQeHK
public
contract
1,717,852,370,466
will-anyone-get-nobel-prize-for-res
IhorKendiukhov
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY_LCXlnQVZAJ2jXC13YFJNvtOWrpX0gMSDHrcWDg=s96-c
Will anyone get Nobel prize for results related to ergodicity economics before 2030?
null
0.38
15.456407
NO
null
gal778v39ac
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nominations have closed and Johnson is not standing.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs"...
Simon Grayson
ehtrFqPQ2V5SHbCVjdXy
public
contract
1,717,852,737,850
uk-general-election-2024-will-boris
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
UK General Election 2024 - Will Boris Johnson run to be an MP again?
null
null
null
null
null
nb8a22fg2a
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gan9lsyb4k", "label": "EliezerYudkowsky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
jackson polack
Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea
public
contract
1,717,853,651,602
what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
What books will I enjoy reading?
4t562nojd8
null
591.866498
NO
69ed54926f9f
q530uccwt3c
false
kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ttl8PytdL4P9oD0fNneqvwgOZhy1", "label": "ManifestConference", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": ...
Ernie
gKUcJ2i7WIQtnkey4QiD
public
contract
1,717,853,725,497
will-someone-from-each-of-the-6-maj-ee45eb23f799
Ernie
https://firebasestorage.…761-3d26c24f8466
Will someone coming from each of the 6 major continents of the world attend Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
4xutqgdcf55
false
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There are some similar markets you can arbitrage, if desired (and you think we will resolve identically)", "type": "text" } ], ...
Will
fDI1wfsh6SeZdYOOPq6p
public
contract
1,717,853,820,938
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-to-giv
wrhall
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
Will Tesla shareholders vote to give Musk a $56 billion retroactive pay package in June 13th shareholder vote?
null
0.543657
117.68062
YES
null
afewnnf8os
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3tj6l6gqitd", "label": "notarealuser", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Evan
swQf73l9wsF50VQ5HTx4
public
contract
1,717,854,221,642
which-happens-first-starship-superh
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Which happens first: Starship / Superheavy recovery or second crewed Starliner flight?
3tj6l6gqitd
null
1,601.056983
YES
icryo5oxnc
z15fw7zyf8
false
DlvX9PKJfxOwj01wWjJllz8CS9i2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Where is the option for stage 0 RUD (The tower)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Percentage
7wKalYFMlXy5BHdflUxs
public
contract
1,717,854,987,292
will-spacexs-5th-starship-test-flig
percentage
https://firebasestorage.…e5f-0117675c7295
Will SpaceX’s 5th Starship test flight have a “rapid unscheduled disassembly“?
null
null
null
null
null
j2a23k9zqx8
false
U907XL5wZSQ0pD7pMXe2HaS0NR33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t4hw6hy68f", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Haven
5pHZv7GTmNI2GGTsO5OK
public
contract
1,717,855,054,666
will-it-rain-at-manifest-2024
HWH
https://firebasestorage.…c25-335c6547f4d1
Will it rain at Manifest 2024?
t4hw6hy68f
null
null
null
null
lkhbjcjeue
false
dp5qoJAOmqgfNGxbRm00x8b9bU03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xutqgdcf55", "label": "wrhall", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mactuary
fDI1wfsh6SeZdYOOPq6p
public
contract
1,717,855,115,469
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-to-giv
Mactuary
https://firebasestorage.…977-b24dde9fa772
Will Tesla shareholders vote to give Musk a $56 billion retroactive pay package in June 13th shareholder vote?
4xutqgdcf55
0.543657
1,037.680627
YES
null
u7p6xtxtfo
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Historical comparisons are tricky, but most sources report that the Dutch East India Company peaked at around $7.9 trillion: ", "type": "text...
Timothy Johnson
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,855,468,393
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
1,227.487417
YES
a7fd6e4ae5ac
m204sdrzfg9
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So assuming the possibility that AI will doom us all is worth considering. Why not talk about it in language a broader public will understand? “Brandin...
ClubmasterTransparent
0E0MJfPh7MxInsKSjmhV
public
contract
1,717,855,529,808
is-your-pdoom-currently-between-10
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Is your P(Doom) currently between 10% and 90%? (By 2050)
null
null
null
null
null
n757nynm43f
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2", "label": "SteveSokolowski", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Timothy Johnson
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,855,880,453
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
u7p6xtxtfo
null
1,227.487417
YES
a7fd6e4ae5ac
ymorvfqxkbg
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "u7p6xtxtfo", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Christopher Randles
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,855,997,853
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
u7p6xtxtfo
null
2,545.173117
YES
5c6653a59f85
bjjtd3sq81t
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f9mqq2cb8dh", "label": "Tyler31", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
cUOurcNrp3XX9tbDu6zH
public
contract
1,717,856,391,494
biden-vs-trump-polling-average-when-4aaa70896f6e
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +0.5%)
f9mqq2cb8dh
null
5,034.859173
YES
a5d587d5a101
a848mtc1nv8
false
7HquJmzgMBSQAwiDETZ2qlmCFqU2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Currently it's the round 4, I just finished the game and my score at the moment is 1-1-2. I won my first game because of a super lucky draw, and played...
Yehor
0juNMT8quITp981X6a7Z
public
contract
1,717,856,395,772
will-i-get-at-least-1-win-at-the-mt
yehor
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLp4PxOznAw-TOQcR7Kqbe8qS7xrPI-NkdF7zbyqSXdIOA=s96-c
Will I get at least 1 win at the MTG prerelease party on June 8th?
null
null
null
null
null
27ugfidnpnk
false
bqGlgUgWHXgfioHRIU3mdXEYbGw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can be resolved ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Kaivu
6lsWeGPnyKFiIe9UgC8o
public
contract
1,717,856,588,025
who-will-win-the-womens-singles-tit-37dc1c39e9d5
Kaivu
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5it87VqcRKspUt_py8q3eQyhYn9N8evvLehdkzg=s96-c
Who will win the women’s singles title at the 2024 French Open?
null
null
1,060.227855
NO
593da018df31
zjy8ezsdple
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bjjtd3sq81t", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Timothy Johnson
cUOurcNrp3XX9tbDu6zH
public
contract
1,717,856,596,029
biden-vs-trump-polling-average-when-4aaa70896f6e
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +0.3%)
f9mqq2cb8dh
null
230.361514
NO
83c2f970bf4e
w6fhkbdeeg
false
bqGlgUgWHXgfioHRIU3mdXEYbGw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Swiatek can be resolved yes", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kaivu
aEcDAszeAxfDTqm259lH
public
contract
1,717,856,636,839
which-womens-singles-player-will-wi
Kaivu
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5it87VqcRKspUt_py8q3eQyhYn9N8evvLehdkzg=s96-c
Which Women's Singles Player Will Win a Grand Slam (Tennis) in 2024?
null
null
573.442177
YES
657a3a32cad5
tt4xohucjb
false
6yyO7c9thMah6jtdVEzLAH3LLe72
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Update: Pew has surveyed this question April 8-14, 2024! They've published the result here:", "type": "text" } ], "type":...
Tsunombie
sHLxsvbNlZKW2L2WRlxa
public
contract
1,717,856,734,076
will-the-share-of-us-adults-saying
Tsunombie
https://firebasestorage.…815-1a63db789525
Will the share of US adults saying gender is determined by sex at birth be reported by Pew to have grown since 2022?
null
0.74
40.413234
NO
null
edmtu9q9hlw
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": nu...
mint
30rFxbzL6Quk5R5AoSfX
public
contract
1,717,857,043,982
will-north-korea-send-more-trash-ba
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
Will North Korea send more trash balloons into South Korea before 2025?
null
0.947757
280.693754
YES
null
ab3ccmhjgjs
false
ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Where is the market for 2025 French Open? I want to bet 500 on Iga. Outclassed the competition.", "type": "text" } ], "ty...
Vaibhav Gupta
6lsWeGPnyKFiIe9UgC8o
public
contract
1,717,857,655,570
who-will-win-the-womens-singles-tit-37dc1c39e9d5
VaibhavGupta
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c
Who will win the women’s singles title at the 2024 French Open?
null
null
128.770626
YES
5ef3d00d5631
mhhl3o3g9u
false
85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Related Polymarket: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Simon
5IVYlXyGfvD9WqvImz9K
public
contract
1,717,857,744,537
us-presidential-election-popular-vo
Simon74fe
https://firebasestorage.…9cf-f4888550befa
U.S. Presidential Election: Popular Vote and Electoral College Winner
null
null
277.210061
YES
e2b09f498303
7bpitbsgqx6
false
jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6lejk8f11q", "label": "vitamind", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Hyperlincoln
n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk
public
contract
1,717,858,542,272
will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h
Hyperlincoln
https://firebasestorage.…f8f-d22d2ae6d687
Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference?
zicgsnvydu
0.911853
4,789.38145
NO
null
lspd4e82gtm
false
UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can you specify a specific date instead of “Mid 2028”?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Greg Rosenthal
MJvSRLTr6YUK2BmvPRRJ
public
contract
1,717,858,794,327
will-there-be-a-slay-the-spire-the
gregrosent
https://firebasestorage.…ef2-37c836fda9cd
Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?
null
null
null
null
null
g40jdy647eq
false
vy7EaM0wl1NH74O5RLG9qhePFcs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "PEPE always wins", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Peng Win
z82v2ijIbM8AFL7jSIvm
public
contract
1,717,858,908,818
pepe-stock-permanent
PengWin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6Ehvu5Bfv_BI0AnpEro-bM85zgmlg4tJz5gh2o=s96-c
PEPE STOCK (Permanent)
null
0.563825
487.80888
YES
null
ml3xw4cy4o
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What was it in 2020?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
robm
qFwy2rB3UdqQZPQkb6xS
public
contract
1,717,858,946,607
what-will-be-the-life-expectancy-in
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?
null
null
1,002.757274
YES
712lmamtro
pd5p0gt9js
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
RemNi
iSmESgySZZViLVleHLEs
public
contract
1,717,859,053,548
will-mistralai-release-an-llm-large-bdd69cdaa96d
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Mistral.ai release an LLM larger than 120B parameters by July 1st 2024?
null
0.715746
-0
NO
null
crfseac87ku
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pd5p0gt9js", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
RemNi
iSmESgySZZViLVleHLEs
public
contract
1,717,859,150,247
will-mistralai-release-an-llm-large-bdd69cdaa96d
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Mistral.ai release an LLM larger than 120B parameters by July 1st 2024?
pd5p0gt9js
0.715746
-0
NO
null
82sfmctlao
false
kEoJrfefNBeyiuk0I3ItSq89N2r2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Curious as to why people are going bullish in this market.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "...
idk
Pu76Dviq4en3zPBAQXXu
public
contract
1,717,859,341,074
will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll
idk
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJK9kvYmtA_1Rn3SgDyqeCIcJI1t-SJmxhSPfoinRAm=s96-c
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
null
0.638105
189.819257
NO
null
hos29w5ywn
false
dEvAkoH19rTcIENraMy3kZyHOe82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sxzkbs8k27", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Luke Hanks (HankyUSA)
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,859,408,373
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
HankyUSA
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrs9Q53gYHp6HbnXlXHhLBPcjB8HOvuaWTt58yPYSM=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.846229
59.290896
YES
null
v1ukljywlgl
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hos29w5ywn", "label": "HankyUSA", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,859,529,868
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.846229
969.233922
NO
null
x4c8kgt2cop
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "anyways i bet some more by selling part of one of my investments that is a injoke", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragrap...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,859,754,667
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.846229
2,165.170117
NO
null
5uk53q00a7d
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "withdrew some because having all my eggs in one basket is bad plus socks is been transphobic which might inspire confidence in some of you but mostly b...
azzy
uAjEOkqHGWXZp07jFvfi
public
contract
1,717,859,983,883
will-twitter-user-deprogrammingsock
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Twitter user @deprogrammingsocks transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025?
null
0.671772
2,074.561192
YES
null
3crztwzzl17
false
X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v1ukljywlgl", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Daniel Tello
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,860,077,014
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
deagol
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.846229
750.348603
YES
null
kgn0dyxgge
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3crztwzzl17", "label": "deagol", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,860,156,931
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.809501
2,165.170117
NO
null
wkeb98dgppf
false
yAPO0lFCr0VYiIosymUdZgbTxnC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "245.5 lbs today 2024-06-08. That means 6 lbs/week for the remainder which I don't think can be done safely. I'll keep this market open in case I lose a...
phaen
yWwHxhG4HKB1tgPTE9se
public
contract
1,717,860,250,013
will-i-weigh-under-200-lbs-on-20240
phaen
https://firebasestorage.…9a0-90cebc102691
Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-07-31? (-1.85 lbs per week)
null
0.264523
606.97091
YES
null
17s9zmsac5p
false
X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kgn0dyxgge", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Daniel Tello
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,860,322,739
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
deagol
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.809501
750.348603
YES
null
edwpatzn4ln
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "17s9zmsac5p", "label": "deagol", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,860,394,069
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.809501
2,448.872761
NO
null
l6he6n79n3
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "edwpatzn4ln", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,860,426,845
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.809501
2,448.872761
NO
null
80jwcc7rq08
false
g0GkccVYuYdHjG94LJR12THDB8G3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bfxenayhuhw", "label": "PaulMaynard", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andrew Elenbogen
lchVW2H6mGhiV7k1ytvy
public
contract
1,717,860,620,351
what-cards-from-modern-horizons-3-w
Ajelenbogen
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-7d44ad4a7f16
What cards from Modern Horizons 3 will be banned/restricted after release in any format within a year of release?
173kxdxdbhu
null
477.226898
NO
c7238180a7d9
46geja82phi
false
lTYsNQ5HB0TagJeITqfm7jvq3pb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Any additional info on this? Such as what kind of coin it will be, will you catch it or let it drop to the ground etc.", "type": "text" ...
Marty Dettmann
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,860,718,282
the-crystal-coin-flip
MartyDettmann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4X4k5peP3YYJWBXSzhmIMRoOAjScc3GzTCFflw=s96-c
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.499583
0
NO
null
f36xkrwvi5a
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "46geja82phi", "label": "MartyDettmann", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
case
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,860,890,003
the-crystal-coin-flip
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
The Crystal Coin Flip
46geja82phi
null
null
null
null
l1jk0rbhre9
false
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "HUVezqMCWVVp5NHQpy8maAYtKqI3", "label": "AlexCao", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Conflux
yvDAya5j6o9Hgu8h5WfK
public
contract
1,717,860,899,704
will-i-practice-the-piano-for-at-le
Conflux
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
Will I practice the piano for at least 2 hours a day(weekly average) until the end of school?
null
0.348832
0
NO
null
3refgnwhnrn
false
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "x4Md3ynwwyWjoGOYlkJvcO9vqQT2", "label": "cece", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Conflux
tZdFgmbSDFa3XeYnkATT
public
contract
1,717,860,955,476
will-i-return-to-proof-next-year
Conflux
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
Will I return to Proof next year?
null
0.023259
697.553275
NO
null
rimura7oe3
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if i had mana i would put it on no because she will die of stds from that party she had were nerds lined up to fuck her", "type": "text" ...
azzy
eHiZ8XPbYUdi9xDKAD8T
public
contract
1,717,861,093,380
will-aella-die-of-natural-causes
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Aella die of natural causes?
null
null
null
null
null
579ruup029e
false
DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Antoine Dusséaux
yEk0OG5MNW8yGtJeFaad
public
contract
1,717,861,105,836
what-will-harvey-be-valued-at-in-th
adssx
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c
What will Harvey (Legal AI funded by OpenAI) be valued at in their next round/deal? (in millions)
null
null
null
null
null
wwzd0vfd5p
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "label": "BoltonBailey", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Christopher Randles
1sztIylcNnPWwNQnU7Ko
public
contract
1,717,861,239,384
will-spacex-launch-at-least-2-more
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will SpaceX have launched 3 Starships to space by 2024-09-13?
null
0.969097
8,359.020805
YES
null
z451vs48w0h
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this referring to the same event as:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Ziddletwix
Q6l4I5HdHf2BSyRb9kVp
public
contract
1,717,861,476,795
which-hard-questions-will-the-manif
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which hard questions will the Manifold founders confront at our Manifest 2024 panel?
null
null
null
null
null
mfci2ttu9q
false
igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z451vs48w0h", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Austin
Q6l4I5HdHf2BSyRb9kVp
public
contract
1,717,861,532,598
which-hard-questions-will-the-manif
Austin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c
Which hard questions will the Manifold founders confront at our Manifest 2024 panel?
z451vs48w0h
null
688.513191
YES
g4lzkk1fxf
u4vp7b0b7q
false
NbYoahAnnWdSZMmM6ALkOeeXFLD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "BUMP!!!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Adam Grushan
kzPJrs541nZZ0Ksy1xoZ
public
contract
1,717,861,533,038
who-will-win-the-next-round-of-nba
adamgrushan
https://firebasestorage.…78c-b124b00caf59
Who will win the next round of NBA broadcasting rights from the 2025-26 season forward?
null
null
100.75817
YES
eb1524bbd458
2dvt678lyw2
false
oTM5dBmBh1aiQBPsyBDhMvHheZt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The deadline is sept 2nd but the question itself has none? Please clarify ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
noney
QyeTpC2iwzVQfwXo3esM
public
contract
1,717,861,592,137
will-a-reuters-story-reference-this
noney
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAstXlydmpqoy7N40v4rx0DkqBzMnYi_09tG46Hye-19bu=s96-c
Will a Reuters story reference this market?
null
null
null
null
null
10erb9v7w09
false
X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l6he6n79n3", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Daniel Tello
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,861,731,542
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
deagol
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.897527
850.578079
YES
null
i08snftbcq
false
1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Didn’t happened in a week, will it happen within a month?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "a...
Joshua
mCfdHt1uLBUhz8nUhfrQ
public
contract
1,717,861,812,662
will-the-name-of-at-least-one-of-th
JoshuaB
https://firebasestorage.…3b9-ee28a908e5dd
Will the name of at least one of the Manhattan trial Trump jurors be known within one week of the verdict?
null
null
null
null
null
2hh2n72l3ph
false
vMsWLvZrq4eLI1g13dD53Evifg93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dofmhk0wrvd", "label": "huw", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
ii
7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ
public
contract
1,717,861,860,229
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f
i_i
https://firebasestorage.…3fc-c02812f05680
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?
dofmhk0wrvd
0.725454
23.282794
NO
null
wxpb00ic72d
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "n757nynm43f", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Steve Sokolowski
8wLURoRAPrdpSodTYMZo
public
contract
1,717,861,937,524
what-will-happen-in-june-2024-add-r
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
u7p6xtxtfo
null
185.433138
NO
5c6653a59f85
g51s75wrcwa
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "82sfmctlao", "label": "idk", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Sss
Pu76Dviq4en3zPBAQXXu
public
contract
1,717,861,938,630
will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
82sfmctlao
0.543252
1,676.79022
YES
null
qoafd9syo2n
false
6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zjy8ezsdple", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Tyler
cUOurcNrp3XX9tbDu6zH
public
contract
1,717,862,028,421
biden-vs-trump-polling-average-when-4aaa70896f6e
Tyler31
https://firebasestorage.…369-1e31d65cea92
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead? (RCP Currently Trump +0.3%)
f9mqq2cb8dh
null
2,505.602388
NO
83c2f970bf4e
q509pcgd5zm
false
6IRkXMH8FDQ5bGiAABHD9NHulSz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2hh2n72l3ph", "label": "i_i", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Huw
7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ
public
contract
1,717,862,047,798
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f
huw
https://firebasestorage.…e4c-c37c05b8222a
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?
dofmhk0wrvd
0.725454
204.753691
YES
null
lw1fwz1480s
false
P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "10erb9v7w09", "label": "deagol", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
azzy
ddnFjBFfOh2ZRtXxdklJ
public
contract
1,717,862,108,255
will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w
megacoolness
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c
Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI during WWDC 2024?
sxzkbs8k27
0.897527
2,448.872761
NO
null
t3026okjcao
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
niko
z4gKGThiiUobxLTk0f81
public
contract
1,717,862,222,023
will-i-be-able-to-collect-all-the-m
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Will I be able to collect all the manifest shirt signatures I want?
null
null
null
null
null
kx5zkmgo92
false
yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You heard it here first folks", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
case
gvExxWwTMhpbNsuDMxq0
public
contract
1,717,862,403,296
will-there-be-a-2nd-summer-camp-hel
case
https://firebasestorage.…a3b-d765464b70da
Will there be a 2nd summer camp held in 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
pwnhjb21bif
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
KldTouchr87
EV8qCX9E8u5lG6IaLaPW
public
contract
1,717,862,835,693
will-nvidia-market-cap-exceed-10-tr
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Will NVIDIA market cap exceed 10 trillion USD at any point in time before January 1, 2030?
null
0.413435
506.938086
YES
null
qzlvya6k4de
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Would you be willing to share your age range? Asking because It is harder to climb when older", "type": "text" } ], "type...
Bayesian
ckXjJM5798ndk6IsL6c7
public
contract
1,717,862,896,550
will-i-get-a-chess-rating-of-1000-i
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I get a chess rating of 1000+ in 2024?
null
0.800674
205.459273
NO
null
7l3spgij6hr
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Sss
NbkTM8IxncCTMqQUE5vr
public
contract
1,717,863,145,109
will-a-chinese-company-recreate-sor
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?
hoeleiujmoc
null
null
null
null
lm21wmq4m0h
false
8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7l3spgij6hr", "label": "Sss19971997", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Sss
NbkTM8IxncCTMqQUE5vr
public
contract
1,717,863,331,590
will-a-chinese-company-recreate-sor
Sss19971997
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c
Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?
hoeleiujmoc
null
null
null
null
ipcougy3kpd
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f954c84gsrg", "label": "Jo2e2b", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
78SEU5O3SjDZAXWxsROZ
public
contract
1,717,864,007,045
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-8ec83c4e9644
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?
f954c84gsrg
0.692367
133.333333
YES
null
k27hvg1jyak
false
ZO9qSVVstZgzKNToBWDYibeBW8P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qzlvya6k4de", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Andri
ckXjJM5798ndk6IsL6c7
public
contract
1,717,864,325,219
will-i-get-a-chess-rating-of-1000-i
andri
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHeGd_f3weXHQGNPF2fxvAezw2jBBMQXNlzd1tkV2szg=s96-c
Will I get a chess rating of 1000+ in 2024?
qzlvya6k4de
0.753345
130.492291
YES
null
v1w943wbnw9
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you got this 100%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
ckXjJM5798ndk6IsL6c7
public
contract
1,717,864,354,150
will-i-get-a-chess-rating-of-1000-i
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I get a chess rating of 1000+ in 2024?
qzlvya6k4de
0.753345
205.459273
NO
null
pfej1fjj14
false
Tq9jL2S2KORFLmVPjElRYn6cZIt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "GPT-4o has a 128K context window, it's not impossible that this could shrink for the next version but that would surprise me. ", "type": "tex...
John-George Salter
tubl9RBBHvXFGr2X6y35
public
contract
1,717,864,457,918
gpt5-context-window-length-64k-toke
JohnGeorgeSalter
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ8vxe5FOwq_easpGoev2Dg0VygdTJB1THjyWfg3_nghBFL=s96-c
GPT-5 context window length >= 64k tokens?
null
null
null
null
null
ifp70m4gd2
false
2elrKFTn74R4fQVtRgqUbuxd2xv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Mario F. Schlitzer
i9CvmMPysmRoHiUrLIH8
public
contract
1,717,864,626,644
early-close-which-cryptocurrency-wi
MarioFSchlitzer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK5GndKUAGz_h1WVnPpnijYS4spzE5nxX3I-f9E2XcF=s96-c
[Early Close] Which cryptocurrency will have the biggest gains over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
null
null
58.688267
NO
bx9qa99iaz
q5xrlpg0vde
false
St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
DismalScientist
n8KOgKpO0keSlkxuxmnk
public
contract
1,717,864,665,446
will-biden-make-any-gaffes-during-h
DismalScientist
https://firebasestorage.…b16-0ce5136b681e
Will Biden make any gaffes during his next press conference?
null
null
null
null
null
439g87zuh2a
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm pretty sure it's a limiting process, and the plateau stands at infinity in terms of size/scaling. However, with the exponentially increasing size o...
Bayesian
43xjKmSe1Rb3f7m2Q7jZ
public
contract
1,717,864,728,202
will-llms-loss-function-achieve-the
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
y7rccl9c50o
false
MRjW2CLX2ZWYm97PMwvTdYSTJ5g1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "June's market: ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "con...
alh
Iwa9wca5GtaNVZgeM1lj
public
contract
1,717,864,822,781
in-july-2024-which-wikipedia-articl
alh
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c
In July 2024, which Wikipedia articles will get more than 1 MILLION views in a single day? [Add Answers]
null
null
8.914847
NO
etqvzb0bbx
7v5fybjro7g
false
MRjW2CLX2ZWYm97PMwvTdYSTJ5g1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "July's market:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "cont...
alh
GCYMQ2rQgqxR7WvRvFAl
public
contract
1,717,864,840,522
in-june-2024-which-wikipedia-articl
alh
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c
In June 2024, which Wikipedia articles will get more than 1 MILLION views in a single day? [Add Answers]
null
null
113.394684
YES
7nsgkplntt
z4ec2fdif3o
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ifp70m4gd2", "label": "MarioFSchlitzer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
i9CvmMPysmRoHiUrLIH8
public
contract
1,717,864,874,472
early-close-which-cryptocurrency-wi
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
ifp70m4gd2
null
312.926469
YES
oup8kzkb53
facv4gc6q7q
false
2elrKFTn74R4fQVtRgqUbuxd2xv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z4ec2fdif3o", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Mario F. Schlitzer
i9CvmMPysmRoHiUrLIH8
public
contract
1,717,864,922,986
early-close-which-cryptocurrency-wi
MarioFSchlitzer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK5GndKUAGz_h1WVnPpnijYS4spzE5nxX3I-f9E2XcF=s96-c
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
ifp70m4gd2
null
58.688267
NO
bx9qa99iaz
blfady53zbs
false
qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ifp70m4gd2", "label": "MarioFSchlitzer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Agh
i9CvmMPysmRoHiUrLIH8
public
contract
1,717,864,984,816
early-close-which-cryptocurrency-wi
Agh
https://firebasestorage.…96a-92c3aadf6a66
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
ifp70m4gd2
null
null
null
null
hvzhtsq3itm
false
2elrKFTn74R4fQVtRgqUbuxd2xv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "blfady53zbs", "label": "Agh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Mario F. Schlitzer
i9CvmMPysmRoHiUrLIH8
public
contract
1,717,865,026,444
early-close-which-cryptocurrency-wi
MarioFSchlitzer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK5GndKUAGz_h1WVnPpnijYS4spzE5nxX3I-f9E2XcF=s96-c
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
ifp70m4gd2
null
58.688267
NO
bx9qa99iaz
2nrntbcn9qa
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "this is a non-representative sample size - petition to reopen this poll", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
stefanie
IlCzmzzis4z3c2ChZUmh
public
contract
1,717,865,047,877
would-you-have-sex-with-a-squirtle
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Would you have sex with a Squirtle?
null
null
null
null
null
2oasidetc6i
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I have made new markets to share out of context quotes heard at the event ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,865,213,136
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
k62bbe4blhn
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "22/24", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds":...
stefanie
KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm
public
contract
1,717,865,229,744
will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
71crycw6lw6
null
753.375109
NO
e46ef40a0bed
ewnp1i9ppy
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sg5omi3y5q", "label": "Elliot_dev", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
UbjaJf0kUFrmYVs8lpIR
public
contract
1,717,865,250,299
-what-will-be-true-about-the-first
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
🧑‍🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
xozvt6d4e8
null
null
null
null
3bcze1i62rc
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "om2jyzbdteb", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Jess Riedel
M2QqbxhM9tScUEerv0yO
public
contract
1,717,865,329,655
when-will-there-be-a-5th-starship-l
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
When will there be a 5th Starship launch?
om2jyzbdteb
null
448.002012
NO
mr9rm3qlsv
gqzxs8wa91w
false
w29JuzBYXLM9t89V7IzuSl5Ay9p2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2dvt678lyw2", "label": "noney", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Derik K
QyeTpC2iwzVQfwXo3esM
public
contract
1,717,865,387,721
will-a-reuters-story-reference-this
derikk
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjMMD3hpowUw0WGPs_qJTqQyB5X_6EEY691J3ABqA=s96-c
Will a Reuters story reference this market?
2dvt678lyw2
0.2
272.096093
NO
null
4f8epg4r7je
false
mvRVvzRxMwXtrMqNVOHHYqfSmUB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rimura7oe3", "label": "megacoolness", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Not Reddit
eHiZ8XPbYUdi9xDKAD8T
public
contract
1,717,865,423,806
will-aella-die-of-natural-causes
Reddit
https://firebasestorage.…7da-bc620d42cd8a
Will Aella die of natural causes?
rimura7oe3
null
null
null
null
nywjdp7lpac
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "IMPORTANT: The \"Other\" option is added automatically by the system and ...
Bayesian
qhJWB6onWlH1CqRlI9vL
public
contract
1,717,865,524,424
early-close-which-one-of-those-cryp
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
null
null
809.90169
NO
chepngtrjh
mbw5dvvtwkf
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This setup for the market works, though, tbc", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
qhJWB6onWlH1CqRlI9vL
public
contract
1,717,865,555,581
early-close-which-one-of-those-cryp
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
[Early Close] Which one of those cryptocurrencies will have the biggest gain over the month of July 2024? [Add your own]
nywjdp7lpac
null
809.90169
NO
chepngtrjh
3qmurgoeh89
false
mvRVvzRxMwXtrMqNVOHHYqfSmUB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kzfze0xshj7", "label": "Reddit", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Not Reddit
ykNvT5p032hmyk9XlPVM
public
contract
1,717,865,630,107
israel-retaliatory-strike-community
Reddit
https://firebasestorage.…7da-bc620d42cd8a
Israel Retaliatory Strike Community Pool [ADD YOURS]
zh33mkdf5ii
null
0
YES
46c3607739fb
qcqiwbytuz
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Bayesian
hIylc25DMj3bJ2V1fPo9
public
contract
1,717,865,687,182
will-english-wikipedia-have-more-pa
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will English Wikipedia have more page views in 2024 than in 2023?
null
null
null
null
null
rrj8hw51j6
false
mvRVvzRxMwXtrMqNVOHHYqfSmUB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Saeed Abiyar was the first member of IRGC to be reported killed since the embassy strike, I think this is a clear no ", "type": "text" ...
Not Reddit
ykNvT5p032hmyk9XlPVM
public
contract
1,717,865,699,666
israel-retaliatory-strike-community
Reddit
https://firebasestorage.…7da-bc620d42cd8a
Israel Retaliatory Strike Community Pool [ADD YOURS]
null
null
0
YES
46c3607739fb
don51sim149
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ml3xw4cy4o", "label": "robm", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Bayesian
qFwy2rB3UdqQZPQkb6xS
public
contract
1,717,865,832,351
what-will-be-the-life-expectancy-in
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
What will be the life expectancy in the USA in 2050?
ml3xw4cy4o
null
1,704.422573
YES
x9bwa7r08x
o2y141hc62
false
mvRVvzRxMwXtrMqNVOHHYqfSmUB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "While one of the batteries targeted was at a power plant, there have been no reports of Iranian power infrastructure receiving damage.", "typ...
Not Reddit
ykNvT5p032hmyk9XlPVM
public
contract
1,717,865,855,186
israel-retaliatory-strike-community
Reddit
https://firebasestorage.…7da-bc620d42cd8a
Israel Retaliatory Strike Community Pool [ADD YOURS]
null
null
0
YES
46c3607739fb
4xsocmpjg87
false
Hd8tCTjDRwRtvssZ42JtF2sgCfg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "439g87zuh2a", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ihor Kendiukhov
43xjKmSe1Rb3f7m2Q7jZ
public
contract
1,717,865,885,623
will-llms-loss-function-achieve-the
IhorKendiukhov
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY_LCXlnQVZAJ2jXC13YFJNvtOWrpX0gMSDHrcWDg=s96-c
Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?
439g87zuh2a
0.454964
19.234326
YES
null