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... | Plasma Ballin' | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,717,875,525,221 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | PlasmaBallin | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | null | null | 351.156417 | NO | 69479bf1e0a5 | |
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... | Eric Bolton | 5AloIDwmWqMkuaXMeDcn | public | contract | 1,717,876,867,143 | will-johnzellweger-trade-a-shoe-wit | EricBolton | Will @JohnZellweger trade a shoe with someone else at Manifest? | uk5pgpbax6b | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Bayesian | 5AloIDwmWqMkuaXMeDcn | public | contract | 1,717,877,168,704 | will-johnzellweger-trade-a-shoe-wit | Bayesian | Will @JohnZellweger trade a shoe with someone else at Manifest? | uk5pgpbax6b | 0.421092 | 35.616555 | NO | null | |
05j206qip77s | false | j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2 | {
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... | Jim Hays | kLA9JuarmXbF2NXBAPxr | public | contract | 1,717,877,237,175 | will-anyone-submit-an-any-speedrun-e1a60a86dcb0 | JimHays | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c | Will anyone submit an Any% speedrun of Nintendo's TotK with a time under 40 min. to speedrun.com before the end of 2023? | null | 0 | 3,335.374657 | NO | null |
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... | Eric Bolton | 5AloIDwmWqMkuaXMeDcn | public | contract | 1,717,877,293,048 | will-johnzellweger-trade-a-shoe-wit | EricBolton | Will @JohnZellweger trade a shoe with someone else at Manifest? | uk5pgpbax6b | null | null | null | null | |
ztpr2gjjidb | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
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"type... | N.C. Young | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,877,366,801 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | NcyRocks | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 110.424976 | NO | c1244lw374 | |
ocm5svupdh | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
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}... | Arky | XHUj0lNyEo4hQZhV2xMb | public | contract | 1,717,877,448,360 | manifest-dollar-auction | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | Manifest dollar auction | in5r40cdnbh | null | null | null | null |
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... | Noa Nabeshima | UECU0pNj5CUkFKQGhsjd | public | contract | 1,717,877,575,444 | sweepstakes-mania-prop-bets-duncans | NoaNabeshima | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhGG2fLz1xZY60s5Zky2ne9wKGcZ1kXwE36DRdoyA=s96-c | SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance) | bgbf6h72ich | null | 5,878.744618 | YES | 1ak00pl0oj |
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} | N.C. Young | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,877,816,708 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | NcyRocks | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | ztpr2gjjidb | null | 0 | NO | c1244lw374 | |
bth7o8sbdzs | false | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | {
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... | Bruce | 7Orhx2XvhZQFwW6FoELR | public | contract | 1,717,877,890,652 | will-saratoga-race-course-break-a-r | Bruce54df | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | Will Saratoga Race Course break a record for attendance on Saturday, June 8, 2024? | null | 0.250322 | 1,227.799663 | NO | null |
pkbag0nvff | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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... | Bayesian | 5AloIDwmWqMkuaXMeDcn | public | contract | 1,717,878,053,273 | will-johnzellweger-trade-a-shoe-wit | Bayesian | Will @JohnZellweger trade a shoe with someone else at Manifest? | uk5pgpbax6b | 0.421092 | 35.616555 | NO | null | |
sd2uojpq30q | false | Q76hRcbvJ3P11CWlik40nh3Lvlt2 | {
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... | Stag Dragon | IGC7eGFkKTlsh97E7Yry | public | contract | 1,717,878,074,539 | are-manifold-users-voting-for-trump | StagDragon | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJPuFtE86d9PMKnixvQGBPNaIOZSnQH1gqJ6XugyAQRnwt5Auvr=s96-c | Are Manifold users voting for Trump or Biden in the 2024 election? | 4apsf3rqgn4 | null | null | null | null |
3u18vuidnn | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
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"text": "Misresolved. It is common to “feel drops” in Berkeley at night. This is fog drip from the advective fog / marine layer, which comes in especially stron... | Archibald Crone | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,878,106,436 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | BlueDragon | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 148.486931 | NO | 1f6173f16811 | |
9oequ2jfjxi | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "\"feel drops [of rain]\". what meteorologists call rain is arcane and mystical at best. (not speaking in my capacity as a mod lol)",
"type": ... | Bayesian | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,878,227,575 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Bayesian | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 3u18vuidnn | null | 625.091743 | YES | 1f6173f16811 | |
a9bzc51zixv | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
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} | Elliot | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,878,275,204 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | Elliot_dev | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 1,722.5031 | YES | aihk6j0x80 | |
hjeqp3esvlm | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
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... | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,878,289,130 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 3u18vuidnn | null | 778.383102 | YES | 8gqgoka43j | |
teeyyjoeq0j | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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... | stefanie | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,878,313,297 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | shankypanky | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | a9bzc51zixv | null | 80.977278 | YES | 62rj2am0b5 | |
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... | Elliot | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,878,339,510 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | Elliot_dev | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | a9bzc51zixv | null | 1,722.5031 | YES | aihk6j0x80 | |
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"text": "Tracking just calibration of long term markets, for a fixed bet size, still makes sense. ",
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i2p63jr71d9 | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
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"text": "Interesting answers, but I evidently didn’t write my question clearly enough. I didn’t mean “how small would Manifold have to shrink before you gave up... | N.C. Young | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,879,067,886 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | NcyRocks | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 1,019.587927 | YES | j20ch5kqrq | |
6d9q11ki50m | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
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... | Andrew G | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,879,106,005 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | i2p63jr71d9 | null | 1,504.176069 | YES | b40asi1ml3 |
tb74llpfx5 | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
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... | Archibald Crone | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,879,272,345 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | BlueDragon | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 3u18vuidnn | null | 148.486931 | NO | 1f6173f16811 | |
woqfir46har | false | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | {
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... | Adrian | Gb3oPonY3MKo6H92v12n | public | contract | 1,717,879,356,581 | which-companys-chips-will-gpt6-be-t | ahalekelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on? | 7paz9cbq0a7 | null | 237.717278 | YES | i6k6veuh5w |
xry4td0pxo | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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... | Bayesian | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,879,590,918 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Bayesian | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 3u18vuidnn | null | 625.091743 | YES | 1f6173f16811 | |
8dzqf4j9b8i | false | gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1 | {
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"text": "Full Time Result: ",
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... | DAC | xluTK5DYPfZI8Ke1KlvC | public | contract | 1,717,879,650,324 | will-portugal-beat-croatia-on-sat-j | DaAdCh | Will Portugal 🇵🇹 beat Croatia 🇭🇷 on Sat, Jun 8, 2024? - Men's International Friendly ⚽ | null | null | null | null | null | |
stnf8u0bsp | false | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | {
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... | Oleg Eterevsky | Riw9kjHgBRhCO5HLPxJ0 | public | contract | 1,717,879,747,693 | when-will-video-chat-with-gpt4o-be | OlegEterevsky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | When will video chat with GPT-4o be available to all premium users? | 9x6bta4qr48 | null | null | null | null |
yqchpve99q8 | false | g5X9yG1gB5OepvOI3d43AvS1wtv2 | {
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"text": "Image took this morning of my partner/attendee doing a tree pose trick on electrical unicycle. ",
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"ty... | Lucy | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,879,885,219 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | lucyqiu | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,291.80472 | YES | 4e38b7c87d04 | |
17emhrd2pho | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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"text": "I'm not sure what \"improve accuracy\" means in terms of an intervention. Interventions seek to improve accuracy, but the intervention \"improve accura... | Bayesian | nCvNZPM0dKpKBcnMrEUY | public | contract | 1,717,879,898,735 | would-these-interventions-succeed-i | Bayesian | Would these interventions succeed if pursued very aggressively? | null | null | 51.657604 | YES | 0qn01kuc2x | |
9odzu3hmb4 | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
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"text": "This question was asked verbatim (and subsequently answered)",
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"type... | Andrew G | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,880,001,437 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 1,504.176069 | YES | b40asi1ml3 |
oop5cj4cota | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
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... | Pat Scott🩴 | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,717,880,161,918 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | Stralor | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | ttiyqmdlfe | null | 282.45773 | YES | a06afbcc5807 | |
oxjul9ml2q | false | 4bJFWVY9E8QCMtL0ygDFkbfZ97y2 | {
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"text": "I extended the close time, looks like elections aren't for a couple more days.",
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... | David F Watson | D3grDK6ynMkoro3FVH7C | public | contract | 1,717,880,193,737 | what-will-be-true-about-the-2024-eu | DavidFWatson | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0wda0GJ4AjSxXnc35f6cEb0ohecX6mHn9A5kvkIffO8_0=s96-c | What will be true about the 2024 EU Parliamentary Elections | null | null | 9.166667 | NO | 162c44c2c61a |
hnyqlgd1cxj | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
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"text": "I like this one 🙌",
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} | stefanie | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,880,302,364 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | shankypanky | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | null | null | 3,253.211718 | YES | 7fa5aj1u2i | |
pupprg0n8k | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
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... | Andrew G | ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ | public | contract | 1,717,880,370,158 | which-questions-will-we-answer-duri | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024? | 9odzu3hmb4 | null | 12,359.646421 | YES | utbi4k2ihf |
sacirkpjg3 | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
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... | Archibald Crone | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,880,376,089 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | BlueDragon | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 3u18vuidnn | null | 148.486931 | NO | 1f6173f16811 | |
x8yhco4pnbg | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
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