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icluu6y5b6
false
W02e6ok1haOPFbK9dv14zzIdBb03
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d08s8nshcur", "label": "thepurplebull", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Frederick Norris
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,717,940,090,483
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
FrederickNorris
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1nG8JLEomMagK6stKR9jLtLP2h-QTJkMxC9Qz-tJy8A=s96-c
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
d08s8nshcur
null
46,508.297883
YES
6e9e21e734e6
tw4e5r6oop
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tt01vd3qg5b", "label": "Predict", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jackson polack
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,940,159,917
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
sshuawaitc
null
null
null
null
9yox1syfpmo
false
Fz12fyQzT0cnfaSp2iOYvLsYmTi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If this happens I'll eat my hat. (It's made of frosting)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
Andrew Smith
DqChZRobOppl6HDnHVnv
public
contract
1,717,940,308,067
will-there-be-an-official-hundreds
asmith
https://firebasestorage.…a0f-d901653a5912
Will there be an official Hundreds of Beavers video game released by the end of 2027?
null
0.484284
97.199828
NO
null
1rphnvvvkz1
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
bxVEH4HV742676t6duDl
public
contract
1,717,941,534,008
who-will-be-next-prime-minister-of
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Who will be Prime Minister of India after the next election ?
kujr2ijimv
null
1,130.71935
YES
c03adb33aa4b
v967m9nj84
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
The Official
eG4My8kjKnMTe4NXFdSE
public
contract
1,717,941,629,637
what-will-be-the-next-team-trained-4866c0faf42d
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
What will be the next team trained by Jose Mourinho, after AS Roma?
null
null
7,051.276424
YES
lvxy4lzp7c
k64hdhrywt
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
6sFWb95jlUBPiD3u4ChH
public
contract
1,717,941,751,117
will-mbappe-go-to-play-for-al-hilal
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will Mbappe go to play for Al Hilal after PSG?
kxrkb7n1kh
0.010334
3,331.390643
NO
null
dhp5gz9sy8p
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,717,942,225,331
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
null
null
null
null
null
v8ib7pj5jdp
false
H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Earl Kelly
gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw
public
contract
1,717,942,648,681
offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma
EarlKelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c
Offical market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024
null
null
4,898.036035
YES
34tbbcd35t
vsbkto0aiz
false
s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "yhvV0TjNf6bDzOBBZ5cHGu1sPlF3", "label": "case", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Quantum Gambler
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,943,024,338
the-crystal-coin-flip
Mirek
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.495406
191.792159
NO
null
0qmoje6nn12j
false
UApY3JY4UNPKE2rlXRM6EZJD8eF3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FYI I made this trip this weekend! No physical id needed.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
Erik
pJcxhiZpJStljvYHiL0b
public
contract
1,717,943,033,466
shortfuse-will-i-be-able-to-fly-out
Kire_
https://firebasestorage.…44d-7c8fd5546156
[short-fuse 💣] Will I be able to fly out of LAX with only my smartphone?
null
null
null
null
null
chjg5e0uzh8
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "n0g5hpfxb7f", "label": "Mad", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
fD7rBvdUD5b9m2rQdOr2
public
contract
1,717,943,347,759
what-will-be-true-of-the-cake-that
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What will be true of the cake that manifold makes? [ADD RESPONSES]
eq1c5xcrtjh
null
23.68705
YES
y9o6zet8p4
dj3ei69sx9r
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ue4ezfbfa4", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Enlil
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,943,524,538
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ue4ezfbfa4
null
144.052938
NO
b26a85229d9f
58w5hglr9hn
false
s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tw4e5r6oop", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Quantum Gambler
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,943,780,315
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
Mirek
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
sshuawaitc
0.254338
61.919847
NO
null
8qcc1xrur3b
false
PnJEXKhw7HSN9mFQo8rwSP9E7F63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Next gen model experiments will begin this year (h100) and start moving in earnest next year with blackwell (b100) architecture. ", "type": "...
0xSMW
Gb3oPonY3MKo6H92v12n
public
contract
1,717,943,867,696
which-companys-chips-will-gpt6-be-t
0xSMW
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtebzQADjl9sxVe3FwAwXHh0rvywWS3WBEkCu89gmBWd7hs=s96-c
Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?
null
null
74.550192
YES
l1t9fud2gv
z6q0rahev5
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "58w5hglr9hn", "label": "Mirek", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
jackson polack
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,944,102,596
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
sshuawaitc
null
null
null
null
exo9dc4mkh
false
GSKLuvDpKGhoM9gUTPiwmrk9XWi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3haym3gmtqi", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Wamba Ivanhoe
tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe
public
contract
1,717,944,306,466
how-many-billions-of-dollars-would
ShitakiIntaki
https://firebasestorage.…af4-315bb12f4740
How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse?
an17ef03bi
null
null
null
null
9n9obveod4a
false
GSKLuvDpKGhoM9gUTPiwmrk9XWi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dj3ei69sx9r", "label": "Enlil", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Wamba Ivanhoe
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,944,349,749
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
ShitakiIntaki
https://firebasestorage.…af4-315bb12f4740
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ue4ezfbfa4
null
null
null
null
gxhcxxvq03s
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9n9obveod4a", "label": "ShitakiIntaki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Enlil
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,944,451,048
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ue4ezfbfa4
null
144.052938
NO
b26a85229d9f
3m3zh0riogk
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "10xkx05rcq2", "label": "EstMtz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,944,651,604
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
10xkx05rcq2
null
null
null
null
qykm0sy8z1a
false
GSKLuvDpKGhoM9gUTPiwmrk9XWi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I find this market interesting. Assuming most users are \"voting\" on sentiment, I anticipate that anything viewed as virtuous would be associated with...
Wamba Ivanhoe
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,944,772,073
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
ShitakiIntaki
https://firebasestorage.…af4-315bb12f4740
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
null
null
null
null
null
r24u5n615lj
false
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "when i realized that i said two of these, and another one’s about me.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
Matty B
fMSodkfUDj3LxECrRgdr
public
contract
1,717,944,774,106
best-manifest-out-of-context-quote
mattyb
https://firebasestorage.…6aa-3b42c0d89c03
Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote
null
null
0
NO
0iguqrb3hw
kcfhnirvt7
false
NvlIBE9hSdMeGksetqkVPMQ8zCR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ndos0pmw1u", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Tommy Goldman
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,945,759,745
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
TommyGoldman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZT4yAvJH86gV0iE6_1bO9FhJexSf8qo8obsExP=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
null
null
null
nxwlaid5dzk
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "k22rjwagznc", "label": "Noit", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Josh Wilkes
oqMEdlbmnK8EYx54gAGq
public
contract
1,717,945,787,875
uk-general-election-2024-how-many-t
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
UK General Election 2024 - How many TV debates will there be between Sunak and Starmer?
vr0903bx7dj
null
607.485492
YES
2c3797f1f7a9
6s9pihbz6ai
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uheoaoxtzps", "label": "Qoiuoiuoiu", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
yu2nQM7IQo8IiW7YAjYf
public
contract
1,717,945,870,856
the-market-1-year-will-the-average
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
"The Market" 1 year: Will the average probability of this market be >50%?
uheoaoxtzps
0.422042
944.003714
NO
null
7gxnc9gp8z5
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Greetings from Manifest 2!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Matt C. Wilson
0JtwIaECDJWQJAcc22Hx
public
contract
1,717,946,499,434
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-95
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 95)
null
null
57.820803
YES
co9bm9npwl
awig3lla8b
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "label": "komplexkonjugat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Matt C. Wilson
0JtwIaECDJWQJAcc22Hx
public
contract
1,717,946,629,107
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-95
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 95)
null
null
57.820803
YES
co9bm9npwl
nl5dlcgrot
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Russell on pole in Montreal. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris V
akzBwQ3alXSU7y6M1e7P
public
contract
1,717,946,833,114
which-of-these-drivers-will-score-p
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Which of these drivers will score pole positions in 2024?
null
null
899.305342
YES
871e7dcac11c
v1h9cbtyji
false
wBYfXajsCqaOxDkEqzCz8U3rFNB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "YES holders, do you have anyone specific in mind?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jonah Weissman
S8lAvlwDEPaGWOkcNpjs
public
contract
1,717,947,000,121
will-trump-actually-nominate-a-libe
JonahWeissman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ0R08lEWjgZ6q7AFz1nPa-4Q72avJiJrSHlFNvOTae=s96-c
Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?
null
0.357285
84.083387
NO
null
1b50ueb4xha
false
J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This poll has been closed, so as to provide a definite line between the upcoming June poll and this one.", "type": "text" } ], ...
Steve Sokolowski
HfUm6MvM7gwfd5GFBy8h
public
contract
1,717,947,171,933
did-openai-achieve-weak-agi-with-gp
SteveSokolowski
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c
Did OpenAI achieve weak AGI with GPT-4o?
null
null
null
null
null
snn5w8srx9
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
The Official
B4HbGfhBUeMluS6StUXD
public
contract
1,717,947,221,439
will-india-beat-pakistan-2024-t20-c
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will India beat Pakistan? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
null
null
null
null
null
b1cy0wx9axw
false
iQKE9LHS0GN0TCOmXWHGzwBM3Tj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this not only for the singles draw?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Hayden
KNrzUOx6vT4L5SfsFRMd
public
contract
1,717,947,326,311
how-many-walkovers-will-occur-in-th
Hayden
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ-MWguzXeTZ_PXFF8kxsEl1_wogfZIQOCMO-1gQ0n5XpDuF8=s96-c
How many walkovers will occur in the men's main draw of the 2024 French Open?
null
null
173.458278
YES
9724e61ae481
i0myczwl08
false
7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w3ndp4018we", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan Homerick
7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP
public
contract
1,717,947,427,094
are-these-programming-language-feat
DanHomerick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
frtxwmzvub8
null
54.49859
NO
nx5us3kcul
n3jhvl7u3il
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kcfhnirvt7", "label": "TommyGoldman", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Snarflak
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,947,485,340
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
20.124993
YES
51e4cacd136a
iwzztt2pit9
false
yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9lcsrtbakQTYS28PeP4SwhdcwJH3", "label": "MaxChiswick", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Daniel Filan
UdahpHQ9JYVsT7hwhAKJ
public
contract
1,717,948,213,842
will-i-make-it-to-the-final-table-o
DanielFilan
https://firebasestorage.…6a0-6889d0558a2e
Will I make it to the final table of the Manifest 2024 poker tournament?
1tx1bmqu8ga
0
1,766.997304
YES
null
cczjkm0nl7a
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r7bw3zprnca", "label": "dezzao", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Kongo Landwalker
NTjr8ptihEhvnRhFLDtM
public
contract
1,717,948,429,279
russia-detonates-nuclear-weapon-for
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Russia detonates nuclear weapon for any purpose before EOY 2024?
r7bw3zprnca
0.125149
0
NO
null
lre944k1z6h
false
JuNOySInVWVyNZKfVnajVbdwPjc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There was one Saturday night", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Indra
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,948,646,886
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Indra
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0nvJAZwVJNNfBTkpBwxUG0GzpxsrCxpoesMC-nEmp=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
4,056.520055
YES
cd775d87b21c
uguqhaiyb5
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lre944k1z6h", "label": "Indra", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,948,660,926
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
lre944k1z6h
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
sjvba0b6t6
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gkjrt22txcd", "label": "JuddRosenblatt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,948,674,028
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
gkjrt22txcd
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
2amo2rywvy3
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I have seen no breakdancing yet.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,948,714,391
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
5d8ndrndg78
false
ib04ONx9ULTPKiAxlAiEBER20783
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does Apple have to specify anything about the action button? Or if the new LLM just only happens to Support iPhone 15 pro and above still resolves true...
eclair4151
uLsvzNffR2NPC63XomtY
public
contract
1,717,948,995,415
apple-will-claim-the-action-button
eclair4151
https://firebasestorage.…d46-ea85d23e6623
Apple will claim the Action Button is a hardware requirement for the new Siri
null
null
null
null
null
sfwbkndcra
false
JuNOySInVWVyNZKfVnajVbdwPjc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What does announcing entail? I've heard about some", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Indra
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,949,031,383
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Indra
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0nvJAZwVJNNfBTkpBwxUG0GzpxsrCxpoesMC-nEmp=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
5,463.442169
NO
1519c6031e0e
til2oj6o4zg
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sfwbkndcra", "label": "Indra", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,949,169,596
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
sfwbkndcra
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
hehf4rtlrsg
false
JuNOySInVWVyNZKfVnajVbdwPjc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "til2oj6o4zg", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Indra
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,949,311,357
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Indra
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0nvJAZwVJNNfBTkpBwxUG0GzpxsrCxpoesMC-nEmp=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
sfwbkndcra
null
5,463.442169
NO
1519c6031e0e
nmor0284x7l
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hehf4rtlrsg", "label": "Indra", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,949,389,205
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
sfwbkndcra
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
eisadys30yh
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kohli is gone, India is toast.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Universal FC ⚽
B4HbGfhBUeMluS6StUXD
public
contract
1,717,949,432,952
will-india-beat-pakistan-2024-t20-c
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
Will India beat Pakistan? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
null
0.782527
262.900353
NO
null
lvtnqq9fgri
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does the moisture meter count as a manifold celebrity? :P ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type":...
niko
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,949,730,438
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,245.59936
NO
cd775d87b21c
akmq8mqrtji
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "From a different angle, this:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": nu...
Christopher Randles
qycP7JFr5c2bjf7h3HDX
public
contract
1,717,949,823,852
when-will-starship-land-on-a-launch
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
When will Starship land on a launch pad?
null
null
null
null
null
bzk2n1s12ev
false
FgjVBV7DEYSxBap0JIwKEISAXDq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I did not in fact find all three -_- (should resolve NO)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
inaimathi
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,950,022,762
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
inaimathi
https://firebasestorage.…f1b-6b8056fdb600
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
147.121674
NO
ogev5rca5u
ydujv1km1t
false
FgjVBV7DEYSxBap0JIwKEISAXDq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Talked to Trace briefly; this got pitched to the podcast hosts, who decided not to run with it. ", "type": "text" } ], "t...
inaimathi
XgthqORgTOpUBzhn32Yv
public
contract
1,717,950,238,567
when-will-blocked-and-reported-do-a
inaimathi
https://firebasestorage.…f1b-6b8056fdb600
When will Blocked and Reported do an episode on the Nonlinear incident?
null
null
115.06823
NO
776f2b9cbaba
zao5i1fns5e
false
iEE5Xt4StNg7Wtu1pNN6YE5v1S23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3m3zh0riogk", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Sapphire828
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,950,361,916
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
EstMtz
https://firebasestorage.…4bd-91600290a4d7
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
10xkx05rcq2
0.102206
56.361142
NO
null
dfajpqwro3
false
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pqldcuwwv8o", "label": "KongoLandwalker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
singer
KiVRt189JWbSD33jMHLK
public
contract
1,717,950,368,458
will-i-solve-a-project-euler-task-b
singer
https://firebasestorage.…4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
Will I solve a Project Euler task before the end of June?
u2vim9eebe9
0.848865
30.37833
NO
null
0dr2xfgkf28s
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "FYI, for these two new responses, hostage and rape, any form of the word will count. So hostages, raped, etc.", "type": "text" } ...
mint
yFGOoLiTjE27wNtgO38D
public
contract
1,717,950,464,392
netanyahu-address-to-joint-session
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
Netanyahu Address to Joint Session of Congress Prop Bets [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
184.891807
NO
6zenybqadz
ozakf0cjzz
false
wDSneO1pBGOVpAgHXs4sWK7xkf12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "b1cy0wx9axw", "label": "Hayden", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Walker
KNrzUOx6vT4L5SfsFRMd
public
contract
1,717,950,611,302
how-many-walkovers-will-occur-in-th
walker75
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLDNva9gDRFv9ewuQeAwVLujKmkR643x73OrJKnGgVHNGqosg=s96-c
How many walkovers will occur in the men's main draw of the 2024 French Open?
b1cy0wx9axw
null
334.71694
YES
f60b06b9954f
kq23kby33f
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zao5i1fns5e", "label": "EstMtz", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
9JNRQ3fhGuyuoW1gN0xL
public
contract
1,717,950,710,101
if-asi-is-created-and-doesnt-wipe-o-bxa1loxmvl
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
10xkx05rcq2
null
null
null
null
r7ft046eclf
false
wDSneO1pBGOVpAgHXs4sWK7xkf12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ozakf0cjzz", "label": "walker75", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Walker
KNrzUOx6vT4L5SfsFRMd
public
contract
1,717,950,732,135
how-many-walkovers-will-occur-in-th
walker75
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLDNva9gDRFv9ewuQeAwVLujKmkR643x73OrJKnGgVHNGqosg=s96-c
How many walkovers will occur in the men's main draw of the 2024 French Open?
b1cy0wx9axw
null
334.71694
YES
f60b06b9954f
9es9vxh4c4
false
iQKE9LHS0GN0TCOmXWHGzwBM3Tj1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r7ft046eclf", "label": "walker75", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Hayden
KNrzUOx6vT4L5SfsFRMd
public
contract
1,717,951,011,077
how-many-walkovers-will-occur-in-th
Hayden
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKQ-MWguzXeTZ_PXFF8kxsEl1_wogfZIQOCMO-1gQ0n5XpDuF8=s96-c
How many walkovers will occur in the men's main draw of the 2024 French Open?
b1cy0wx9axw
null
173.458278
YES
9724e61ae481
stwrheegori
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "a2j2b3uteem", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Haws
IGC7eGFkKTlsh97E7Yry
public
contract
1,717,951,295,221
are-manifold-users-voting-for-trump
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Are Manifold users voting for Trump or Biden in the 2024 election?
ugzwqdwdyws
null
null
null
null
2vp33u4xy6k
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dfajpqwro3", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Kongo Landwalker
KiVRt189JWbSD33jMHLK
public
contract
1,717,951,482,715
will-i-solve-a-project-euler-task-b
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Will I solve a Project Euler task before the end of June?
u2vim9eebe9
null
null
null
null
o7xmobsae7g
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "To clear the resolution criteria for this question, it resolves on the % of votes for the 2 candidates only (not American/not voting wont count to this...
Haws
IGC7eGFkKTlsh97E7Yry
public
contract
1,717,951,806,609
are-manifold-users-voting-for-trump
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Are Manifold users voting for Trump or Biden in the 2024 election? [RESOLVES BY %]
null
null
null
null
null
w798lgt5o8
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9n9obveod4a", "label": "ShitakiIntaki", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,951,974,858
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ue4ezfbfa4
null
1,222.893852
NO
1119a937b6cd
1kgxc4ritaa
false
BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bn0wsu9vcgu", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Haws
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,952,046,004
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Haws
https://firebasestorage.…977-f36ea9ae4436
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
oq4b2dh2zt
null
null
null
null
vmk42fz9pym
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "N/A means you got your money back. You can remake it at no cost", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "t...
Bayesian
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,952,051,434
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ue4ezfbfa4
null
1,222.893852
NO
1119a937b6cd
aikym965t6
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Absolutely, it won’t be “normal.” Last couple elections haven’t felt “normal.” This one can’t be expected to be MORE “normal”, it has significant novel...
ClubmasterTransparent
78SEU5O3SjDZAXWxsROZ
public
contract
1,717,952,223,240
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-8ec83c4e9644
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?
null
0.75553
199.129547
NO
null
wrtqlnxszv
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "those are great changes, I appreciate it :p", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
IGC7eGFkKTlsh97E7Yry
public
contract
1,717,952,590,987
are-manifold-users-voting-for-trump
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Are Manifold users voting for Trump or Biden in the 2024 election? [RESOLVES BY %]
ugzwqdwdyws
null
1,971.041129
YES
e5hs4dew3o
pwk3l1qwfbl
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Massive rig job here if I’ve ever seen one. Maybe they can fix the field before having a T20 World Cup there with the worlds best players.", ...
Universal FC ⚽
B4HbGfhBUeMluS6StUXD
public
contract
1,717,952,932,770
will-india-beat-pakistan-2024-t20-c
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
Will India beat Pakistan? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
eisadys30yh
0.788086
2,277.349312
NO
null
16gid0bm1v8
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’ve seen CONCACAF matches with better conditions than this nonsense.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ]...
Universal FC ⚽
B4HbGfhBUeMluS6StUXD
public
contract
1,717,952,988,615
will-india-beat-pakistan-2024-t20-c
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
Will India beat Pakistan? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
eisadys30yh
0.788086
2,277.349312
NO
null
uhv1ftm9et
false
e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5d8ndrndg78", "label": "eclair4151", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
gigab0nus
uLsvzNffR2NPC63XomtY
public
contract
1,717,953,156,720
apple-will-claim-the-action-button
gigab0nus
https://firebasestorage.…bb4-402507eb7110
Apple will claim the Action Button is a hardware requirement for the new Siri
5d8ndrndg78
0.189358
9.202303
YES
null
citc6cgrxu
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "od2k0l0835", "label": "JCE", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Eliza
LpgObEEjrG7sP2Wu5uZi
public
contract
1,717,953,651,601
who-will-win-the-2024-criterium-du
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Criterium du Dauphine?
58hyjfm2fum
null
3,758.062055
YES
36adcd395408
elldi3uabcc
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "citc6cgrxu", "label": "Eliza", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Eliza
LpgObEEjrG7sP2Wu5uZi
public
contract
1,717,953,677,372
who-will-win-the-2024-criterium-du
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Criterium du Dauphine?
58hyjfm2fum
null
3,758.062055
YES
36adcd395408
nw8ktbozkbj
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Thanks for hosting!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Eliza
ecB9W2PJhpvddwFYnTRm
public
contract
1,717,953,709,978
after-the-final-stage-8-of-the-2024-d442e69cdd14
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
After (the final) Stage 8 of the 2024 Critérium du Dauphiné, who will wear the Maillot Jaune?
null
null
1,559.723593
YES
4b96186040ad
knj2p1ugdxs
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Roglic and Remco both made it through Dauphine on their bikes. They're probably both suffering minor injuries but nothing that would derail a TDF start...
Eliza
K7LSHE4UNZJ7d5dtOm9G
public
contract
1,717,953,896,360
will-the-2024-tour-de-france-have-j
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Will the 2024 Tour de France have Jonas Vingegaard, Tadej Pogacar, Primoz Roglic and Remco Evenepoel?
null
0.643724
880.651255
YES
null
3zr6kpmg6xq
false
Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Arb opp ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
AdamK
iwdYdkQWHFuAaqA2WVu7
public
contract
1,717,954,520,291
will-the-project-be-an-issue-in-the
AdamK
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c
Will The Project be an issue in the 2028 election?
null
null
null
null
null
daxv1hiqliv
false
bqGlgUgWHXgfioHRIU3mdXEYbGw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Carlos Alcaraz can be resolved yes.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kaivu
BwUgiJAlovtiT7hWIKP6
public
contract
1,717,954,619,266
which-mens-singles-player-will-win
Kaivu
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5it87VqcRKspUt_py8q3eQyhYn9N8evvLehdkzg=s96-c
Which Men's Singles Player Will Win a Grand Slam (Tennis) in 2024?
null
null
1,148.544612
YES
0b1e171a3f7a
u3nw67j862h
false
Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xq5fiw0u4yq", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
blankspace737
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,954,709,385
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
stardust
https://firebasestorage.…901-b7160011e796
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
h8bo8lgdz6s
null
null
null
null
3vloyueq2ua
false
ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can be resolved yes.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Vaibhav Gupta
ufVVp5AtlRI7INo8XeK6
public
contract
1,717,954,882,000
will-carlos-alcaraz-win-a-major-cha
VaibhavGupta
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a major championship in 2024?
null
0.911071
116.410095
YES
null
czxh1g8ux6a
false
ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ubDKHRj6aqWFPjCP9EYh8vTw37v1", "label": "d", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Vaibhav Gupta
WpiEtGXikwomF0pYBuJS
public
contract
1,717,954,938,736
will-carlos-alcaraz-win-at-least-1
VaibhavGupta
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 1 Grand Slam in 2024?
null
0.799461
635.709584
YES
null
636vzzxjg0c
false
ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves No as Alcaraz won.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Vaibhav Gupta
0V6u8KeetBmJKk6JSsNr
public
contract
1,717,955,031,527
-major-sporting-events
VaibhavGupta
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c
🏟️ Major Sporting Events
null
null
141.772072
YES
7u46r08px7
798hyc4sx17
false
ENjSHoCXnRNEBJPZsNi7zaGGoJT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves No.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Vaibhav Gupta
0V6u8KeetBmJKk6JSsNr
public
contract
1,717,955,048,715
-major-sporting-events
VaibhavGupta
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxb-2zG9DyM1Oj2hEcbvj1CpBg2v9yA0bzHFTD-j=s96-c
🏟️ Major Sporting Events
null
null
141.772072
YES
7u46r08px7
8icpeerempl
false
0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "he has left", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "tex...
colorednoise
yYsyVdPQsIsr3EVpkRYa
public
contract
1,717,955,203,689
will-benny-gantz-leave-israels-gove
colorednoise
https://firebasestorage.…7c5-3d0b33690749
Will Benny Gantz leave Israel's government, after threatening to, before Jun 18?
null
0.879725
25,442.530082
YES
null
yqkqbvnlhl
false
SqOJYkeySMQjqP3UAypw6DxPx4Z2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4z1c7tc39v3", "label": "Cosmic1", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Shump
1CCzU4eWXSX0dBZWCXrX
public
contract
1,717,955,410,593
will-ai-be-able-to-generate-correct
Shump
https://firebasestorage.…b42-86292dabc67f
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
4z1c7tc39v3
0.342462
110.239982
NO
null
wvs7trp1s6p
false
n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How does this work and where can I bid? How will you transfer them? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ],...
Universal FC ⚽
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,717,955,420,444
how-much-will-my-political-markets
UniversalFC
https://firebasestorage.…336-9360eb780ce1
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
null
null
null
null
null
cpz63tbvz55
false
Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wp9xtuxix98", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
blankspace737
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,955,609,885
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
stardust
https://firebasestorage.…901-b7160011e796
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
uiiz6me2ekp
null
null
null
null
jycejnd0xm
false
dYLpkCCilcRnDhTXK5eSX0oHK3x1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
ReeMARKable
yYsyVdPQsIsr3EVpkRYa
public
contract
1,717,955,779,862
will-benny-gantz-leave-israels-gove
ReeMARKable
https://firebasestorage.…198-b06ea07e9f66
Will Benny Gantz leave Israel's government, after threatening to, before Jun 18?
null
0.879725
13,444.612306
YES
null
p9vnm6lmo38
false
FwUZ6ImOMmY5Tc5RlxL6dammsuU2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This happened in during the Manifold Theater", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Louis
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,955,928,017
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Thunderstar
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5i5tRwQycrz57qr_9mtg-51AflSWl8S2-Y_93f6Q=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
3,849.232598
YES
e23b2c82859d
vngnmijflq
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9ue1hrc9ip8", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Al Quinn
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,717,956,249,052
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2d62h51fvje
null
null
null
null
3j8rv0ktnuy
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "cringe ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,956,261,715
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
null
null
null
null
null
9m4otk3lxe7
false
DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It sold for $104, so 104,000 mana", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TonyPepperoni 🪿
mJSxEfDg8xB4Pfrzq3gb
public
contract
1,717,956,296,399
how-much-mana-or-mana-equivalent-wi-a04vameist
TonyPepperoni
https://firebasestorage.…884-fdf2cfdcaefb
How much mana (or mana equivalent) will the Moisture Meter auction for at Manifest 2024
null
null
null
null
null
pub09enjtyi
false
js1u8BIyzjVoBjkM1YQgueA0bav1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "yi1m96ygpkn", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
JohnofCharleston
njoGXomKgzgNwP9A0mAP
public
contract
1,717,956,342,670
during-manifoldlol-will-the-audienc
JohnofCharleston
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7uw9wqj12zSkINvp2TjDpvLAn3j0gX7j7-RLYCrA=s96-c
During manifold.lol, which topics will the audience laugh at a joke about?
yi1m96ygpkn
null
281.264091
YES
iys5aldlng
83t3hxi2omu
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Joshua
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,956,471,623
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
null
null
null
null
null
pb5mc96t7s
false
WKRU6KWSw5V5BmtR3joD1FdWdyD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "what are we betting on? whether Sparta will win the war, or Athens?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Business Law Prof
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,956,731,407
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
BusinessLawProf
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL5DjTEckoB7X5Yakn7bGlNwiOkikrvGISFy_pPvaBOcv3Zq2n1=s96-c
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
null
null
null
null
null
yq79o5qj6ls
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gRDHOcu1q1YTfSEF4HtrrMB3lmt1", "label": "pym", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
PS7u7UWIpI6RwifYI0Mk
public
contract
1,717,956,736,182
will-2024-be-the-deadliest-mount-ev
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will 2024 be the deadliest Mount Everest season ever?
null
0.010357
4,933.8855
NO
null
0xvx055fi8ps
false
QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
M L
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,956,786,582
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
ML12d1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
288.188164
YES
26eee8e05d65
0ox9qt7x8f2
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
RemNi
n5tydOlmXcnyAstwpStH
public
contract
1,717,956,792,710
will-there-be-an-age-of-mythology-i
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will there be an Age of Mythology II by end of 2028?
null
0.594359
644.375062
YES
null
rlqt55ega1q
false
ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "To be clear, NVDA and others will resolve to something even though they weren't picked, right?", "type": "text" } ], "typ...
Stark
1y0FHXHuFnJAuSndRGKJ
public
contract
1,717,956,875,527
coolfold-financial-advice-suggest-i
StarkLN
https://firebasestorage.…b7b-8e8f10700842
💰CoolFold Financial Advice: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI in 6 months, invest & win real money!
null
null
276.101473
YES
f6e1290177f9
lxbnv5hhwo
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0xvx055fi8ps", "label": "ML12d1", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,956,905,263
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
0xvx055fi8ps
null
778.383102
YES
8gqgoka43j
czbmnvb0o6
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0xvx055fi8ps", "label": "ML12d1", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,956,921,390
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
0xvx055fi8ps
null
4,739.783083
NO
9dbcde390667
zm3yig0ua3e
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0ox9qt7x8f2", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
RemNi
n5tydOlmXcnyAstwpStH
public
contract
1,717,956,972,956
will-there-be-an-age-of-mythology-i
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will there be an Age of Mythology II by end of 2028?
0ox9qt7x8f2
0.594359
644.375062
YES
null
nfpt3ubwvxc
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e9v5afeolku", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
2ObBcjSUilpSbE7CKyDz
public
contract
1,717,957,016,737
will-kingdom-of-the-planet-of-the-a-17bfbc18ee03
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (2024) be the lowest grossing of the series? (Domestic)
xq8sumwcda
0.027882
12,025.34086
NO
null
in6n3kha7tf
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wvs7trp1s6p", "label": "UniversalFC", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan
m9nonRyCZUepEKUATpz8
public
contract
1,717,957,022,281
how-much-will-my-political-markets
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
How much will my Political Markets Batch Sale sell for?
wvs7trp1s6p
null
null
null
null
i0hotywh4mr
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8lZo8X5lewh4hnCoreI7iSc0GxK2", "label": "ManifoldAI", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Ziddletwix
XkZSGkmsSnVsryZnuKQf
public
contract
1,717,957,178,165
is-manifolds-pdoom-by-2050-currentl-8c1e5cd21084
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Is Manifold's P(Doom) by 2050 currently between 25% and 75%? [Resolves to Poll]
null
0.024619
1,887.872217
NO
null