id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ta6wt26d4k | false | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolves YES",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Alexander Miller | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,218,066 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | AlexanderMiller | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,081.145402 | YES | 2f317831253a | |
98ehl1ixul5 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "how will you determine resolution?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | 1N2AHFvhcyilrMPyjOjH | public | contract | 1,717,900,263,118 | will-the-next-president-allow-as-ma | Bayesian | Will the next US president allow Hollywood to make as many true-to-physics time travel movies as past administrations? | null | null | null | null | null | |
kfg6vfttrgo | false | 2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "SPzJ51CkHAUDH0kQ9XrPrVuPBfZ2",
"label": "ScottAlexander",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "men... | Corinne | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,439,062 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | manic_pixie_agi | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 517.15276 | NO | b8gjj8awwm | |
scjyxgerkbc | false | Reojf0vF1KStl8jhf9dodil7Q433 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e446phzvof",
"label": "Gen",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Douglas Campbell | k4XTBQLFuDvBljexbalv | public | contract | 1,717,900,534,141 | will-china-invade-taiwan-by-the-end | DouglasCampbell | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJy5vuO-IQmcBW2wAwiuRlMculoQM7ZrH_wXNxjQ=s96-c | Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024? | e446phzvof | 0.089923 | 21.838419 | NO | null |
0olc2p0dd84o | false | 2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The probability of is high enough I suspect it has already happened or the market is over confident.",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Corinne | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,587,014 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | manic_pixie_agi | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 517.15276 | NO | b8gjj8awwm | |
k9144qocbbm | false | 2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Corinne | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,685,504 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | manic_pixie_agi | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 517.15276 | NO | b8gjj8awwm | |
1bloja6rh55j | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k9144qocbbm",
"label": "manic_pixie_agi",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Shelvacu | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,727,128 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Shelvacu | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | k9144qocbbm | null | 1,164.987894 | NO | 065fbd96fd63 | |
9nlc8xrjhaf | false | 2BVjwaEP1tYvmQ1xqIRzkID5aPC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think is worth resolving N/A to avoid perverse incentives",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type"... | Corinne | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,900,792,916 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | manic_pixie_agi | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 517.15276 | NO | b8gjj8awwm | |
bi8ijc51gd | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7dscwcu1m4g",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Snarflak | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,901,064,468 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | Snarflak | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | 7dscwcu1m4g | null | 313.021885 | YES | bqu726ee8n | |
3k8xk16ten2 | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "g5vvcnfomod",
"label": "Shelvacu",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Shelvacu | PL28v6APNSQkXJXx4AFj | public | contract | 1,717,901,156,625 | how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3 | Shelvacu | Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline? | g5vvcnfomod | null | null | null | null | |
6wfy8midf8l | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9nlc8xrjhaf",
"label": "manic_pixie_agi",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Pat Scott🩴 | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,901,161,432 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Stralor | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | 9nlc8xrjhaf | null | 2,162.761365 | YES | 68bd808c2fa2 | |
edv51n0jmz | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Which bet was this?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,901,169,575 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 4,739.783083 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
uls51vd4yfo | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qqt0r42b7u",
"label": "AlQuinn",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,901,354,179 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Snarflak | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 2d62h51fvje | null | 20.124993 | YES | 51e4cacd136a | |
wbvjrj2w9ip | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "edv51n0jmz",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,901,454,309 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | edv51n0jmz | null | 778.383102 | YES | 8gqgoka43j | |
z2m3qx9ph1 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Maybe add the manifest 2024 tag to this? (Not required ofc but it fits and that way it’s covered by the recap markets(",
"type": "text"
... | Ziddletwix | UdahpHQ9JYVsT7hwhAKJ | public | contract | 1,717,901,454,587 | will-i-make-it-to-the-final-table-o | Ziddletwix | Will I make it to the final table of the Manifest 2024 poker tournament? | null | 0.04409 | 17,034.605688 | NO | null | |
f0s6gwhfgyr | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wbvjrj2w9ip",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,901,526,795 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Ziddletwix | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | edv51n0jmz | null | 4,739.783083 | NO | 9dbcde390667 | |
64vlk6j6pqg | false | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The conservatives have it, 635 to 609. This can resolve now:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
... | Mana | XB9QwIiyWvAuTJG3rTQn | public | contract | 1,717,901,704,027 | uk-general-election-2024-who-will-f | Mana | UK General Election 2024 - who will field more candidates, Reform UK or the Conservative Party? | null | null | 14,235.113885 | NO | 3qe9u9zlu8 | |
kpk5lku395 | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wfgl6u5t01s",
"label": "AlexanderMiller",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Snarflak | QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI | public | contract | 1,717,901,725,482 | are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden | Snarflak | Are you voting for Trump or Biden? | wfgl6u5t01s | null | null | null | null | |
wr3oqp5f8u9 | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uiiz6me2ekp",
"label": "stardust",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI | public | contract | 1,717,901,738,434 | are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden | Snarflak | Are you voting for Trump or Biden? | uiiz6me2ekp | null | null | null | null | |
oq4b2dh2zt | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What do I choose if I'm voting third party but my electoral vote is going to Biden?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragr... | Snarflak | QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI | public | contract | 1,717,901,765,590 | are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden | Snarflak | Are you voting for Trump or Biden? | null | null | null | null | null | |
f3irbpw8df | false | etEkYCPEe5emmK4vvbR30H7i5982 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4mneokty0wp",
"label": "Aleph",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Max Harms | 6Gakf8HFwgl7sudHZQvM | public | contract | 1,717,902,101,338 | will-gpt5-be-able-to-be-a-coauthor | MaxHarms | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0xedDuqyhLuCxjkkUd0pH8wOEEFh2BRRMNMgrdTzG1EU=s96-c | Will GPT-5 be able to be a decent co-author? | 4mneokty0wp | null | null | null | null |
pcxcaxhgw2 | false | BMPLNYGbHzaFPE34cO6HPRkdesb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lang... | Haws | 2DeP3F0kgbor4zXJXrSP | public | contract | 1,717,902,268,688 | nhl-finals-game-1-oilers-vs-panther-hdd9wi7vlq | Haws | NHL finals game 1: Oilers vs Panthers | null | null | 377.968317 | NO | daiq1al7ih | |
ghozx1yv8s7 | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "f0s6gwhfgyr",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,902,316,562 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | edv51n0jmz | null | 778.383102 | YES | 8gqgoka43j | |
t5f5uiio0c | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ghozx1yv8s7",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jim | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,902,461,710 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | jim | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | edv51n0jmz | null | 379.069492 | YES | b1c017127c93 | |
l29t4qby82 | false | U907XL5wZSQ0pD7pMXe2HaS0NR33 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Can confirm that @MaxHarms is not at Manifest this weekend and won’t be. Epistemic Status: Married. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Haven | DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2 | public | contract | 1,717,902,937,603 | which-users-will-attend-manifest-20 | HWH | Which users will attend Manifest 2024? | null | null | 654.719365 | NO | 54f7f848acad | |
8zlmfcoyvk9 | false | VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uls51vd4yfo",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Al Quinn | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,902,969,518 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 2d62h51fvje | null | null | null | null |
b7d6jmmc9rh | false | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How are you going to resolve if it doesn’t come out in 2024? I think N/A resolution doesn’t work anymore.",
"type": "text"
}
],... | Oleg Eterevsky | ZuktObarUpBJB0I9tZFW | public | contract | 1,717,903,788,331 | conditional-on-hollow-knight-silkso | OlegEterevsky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | Conditional on Hollow Knight: Silksong releasing in 2024, which month will it be released in? | null | null | null | null | null |
kfmq296jx5o | false | GvDEldGQT9bg4BCNjMPY4WuZMgw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think this should be resolved ✌️",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt":... | Petra | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,903,920,492 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | 0xPetra | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 256.898858 | YES | 7ef68c4dd728 | |
fpe7t84kbt4 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yes!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": ... | stefanie | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,903,982,189 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | shankypanky | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 5,167.201674 | YES | ac9f592329e2 | |
w1817bxrzen | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "fpe7t84kbt4",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jim | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,904,001,302 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | jim | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | fpe7t84kbt4 | null | 379.069492 | YES | b1c017127c93 | |
9ue1hrc9ip8 | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "8zlmfcoyvk9",
"label": "AlQuinn",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,904,027,182 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Snarflak | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 2d62h51fvje | null | 20.124993 | YES | 51e4cacd136a | |
f672o72m7tv | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "you're right. but there was one of these in a Summer Camp Bootcamp and ~40 of us saw it glow in the dark. (datura/moonflower)",
"type": "text... | stefanie | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,904,097,237 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | shankypanky | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | fpe7t84kbt4 | null | 5,167.201674 | YES | ac9f592329e2 | |
uw57jhmg4n | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zk46y3sazz",
"label": "Predict",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jackson polack | t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL | public | contract | 1,717,904,384,966 | will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024? | sshuawaitc | null | null | null | null |
h8cgmpoubcq | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "t4v781zkg7",
"label": "10thOfficial",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Stuart Slagle | XFNtTZyhyC44YTAbCTQ9 | public | contract | 1,717,904,396,750 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo-77661cde04af | ovals | Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | t4v781zkg7 | null | 307.555755 | YES | 2fbe03d51bbf | |
cvdy5aagenq | false | uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "f672o72m7tv",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Shelvacu | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,904,471,788 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Shelvacu | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | fpe7t84kbt4 | null | 1,164.987894 | NO | 065fbd96fd63 | |
szjakhiwo8 | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Sorry shareholders - placed second in my qualifier :( ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "do... | Daniel Filan | UdahpHQ9JYVsT7hwhAKJ | public | contract | 1,717,904,471,818 | will-i-make-it-to-the-final-table-o | DanielFilan | Will I make it to the final table of the Manifest 2024 poker tournament? | null | 0 | 1,766.997304 | YES | null | |
rvdn3ait9ak | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "cvdy5aagenq",
"label": "Shelvacu",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | stefanie | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,904,979,756 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | shankypanky | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | fpe7t84kbt4 | null | 5,167.201674 | YES | ac9f592329e2 | |
wfbq3q1t7t | false | oTM5dBmBh1aiQBPsyBDhMvHheZt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I've heard that it will not be with a title change to windows 12, any big update counts or only if it's windows 12? Regardless sailing demo seemed prom... | noney | YAeFFOYM2J6mbTVWS3QN | public | contract | 1,717,905,732,395 | will-microsoft-unveil-windows-12-be | noney | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAstXlydmpqoy7N40v4rx0DkqBzMnYi_09tG46Hye-19bu=s96-c | Will Microsoft unveil Windows 12 before Old School Runescape releases the sailing skill? | null | 0.214041 | 154.249556 | NO | null |
gd8jnzhclf8 | false | oTM5dBmBh1aiQBPsyBDhMvHheZt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "American beers or proper beers? 😂",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | noney | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,905,850,299 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | noney | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAstXlydmpqoy7N40v4rx0DkqBzMnYi_09tG46Hye-19bu=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | null | 0.273705 | 78.287496 | NO | null |
vtw1d54jrvd | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I may add other Grade 1 races this summer. Until then, we can look forward to the fall classic",
"type": "text"
}
],
"ty... | Stuart Slagle | XFNtTZyhyC44YTAbCTQ9 | public | contract | 1,717,905,902,595 | which-horse-will-win-the-2024-belmo-77661cde04af | ovals | Which horse will win the 2024 Belmont Stakes? | null | null | 307.555755 | YES | 2fbe03d51bbf | |
s4zgw51m4qa | false | m2VgPpAjjSd4u6PASOhZTK2PL2q2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "o1d22dezfzb",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Alex Kislenko | ww1rEG9yipAzwyt2NPqb | public | contract | 1,717,905,936,676 | of-the-10-coolfold-financial-portfo-d75c9ce849e6 | AlexKislenko | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKdK0jJKEuURL-YuB6QMImC9F1pIMg8cr9d551vvFlhG0Y=s96-c | Of the 10 CoolFold Financial portfolio stocks, which will perform the best? | o1d22dezfzb | null | null | null | null |
wo8f3hm611i | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "iwbesnbalr",
"label": "Stralor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Pat Scott🩴 | KARvvXZuzJNFOYQ8IWkm | public | contract | 1,717,906,204,700 | will-i-eat-ass-in-the-next-24 | Stralor | Will I eat ass in the next 24...? | 8s2q5nqaaj | null | 282.45773 | YES | a06afbcc5807 | |
lwx7q5xndpn | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "According to ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Kevin Burke | 808CzCXU2zLf7xiZYTCo | public | contract | 1,717,907,738,311 | will-there-be-a-liquidity-event-for-2c6e882f3f1f | KevinBurke | Will there be a "liquidity event" for Figma by the end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2697xef0t5v | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The Kalshi team told me they’ll win so logically they will. 😎",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"ty... | Elliot | csARaDbNcMoo1px9lvgB | public | contract | 1,717,908,144,973 | will-kalshi-win-their-lawsuit-again | Elliot_dev | Will Kalshi win their lawsuit against the CFTC? | null | null | 366.317229 | YES | 9e6bae17bd98 | |
vecbd61e1u | false | Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wr3oqp5f8u9",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | blankspace737 | QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI | public | contract | 1,717,908,157,571 | are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden | stardust | Are you voting for Trump or Biden? | uiiz6me2ekp | null | null | null | null | |
7d219g4usp | false | HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k9144qocbbm",
"label": "manic_pixie_agi",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Conflux | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,908,388,459 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Conflux | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | k9144qocbbm | null | 972.477861 | NO | 08c3ae385a69 | |
i5zr85rmct | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "As of today Yuki is ahead 7:6 🏎🎌",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Enlil | CEGw0lbt4yoxqTRl4EFx | public | contract | 1,717,908,419,371 | will-yuki-tsunoda-have-equal-or-mor | Enlil | Will Yuki Tsunoda have equal or more Q3 appearances than Sergio Perez during the 2024 season? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vit1896w81s | false | HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zpc5piiid7",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Conflux | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,908,487,431 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Conflux | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | zpc5piiid7 | null | 972.477861 | NO | 08c3ae385a69 | |
bi7oss6ngq | false | bGzeFSQonHViiUGlIQKSQCoSMuj1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i8xloay9k7s",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | not telling | AJX909fjJknukKUl3tgc | public | contract | 1,717,909,532,126 | what-are-the-top-frictions-preventi | nottelling2ccc | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0KZO9Ji8D2vJ2u2RLHgTvQg2mIqcQcJzV9rf51=s96-c | What are the top frictions preventing wider adoption of forecasting best practices? | ng98d0yxil | null | 0 | NO | 0mi1hn2zho |
pjv9tuau83 | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Note to self: check that your song is within your vocal range before choosing it based on a name gimmick 😅",
"type": "text"
}
... | N.C. Young | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,910,049,310 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | NcyRocks | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | 385.920306 | NO | biacvy3l9d | |
7cvtzwakwx9 | false | MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Nice to see the humans win and the bots lose. Was this at Manifold?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | Jim | 5V9EGPQwo2kNTIv4YoVU | public | contract | 1,717,910,337,137 | will-i-interact-with-a-marriageable | JimAusman | Will I interact with a (marriageable) woman in 2024? | null | 0.577808 | 10.711957 | YES | null | |
nkd0r4z23r | false | cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "To me it feels as if the LLMs are echoing Nick Land and CCRU. I like that ❤ ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | uair01 | OiJ9KnW29ImsmlHrg4sO | public | contract | 1,717,910,365,748 | is-the-promethean-virus-in-large-la | uair01 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c | Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real? | null | 0.302149 | 66.216424 | NO | null |
7w7wosoxcun | false | cbLvMyHDBMeApgOcL2QoWRdcve63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "159c5k6pvx",
"label": "JohnDavidPressman",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | uair01 | OiJ9KnW29ImsmlHrg4sO | public | contract | 1,717,910,477,314 | is-the-promethean-virus-in-large-la | uair01 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYLtCUTXQWAx5xx-hnQest6ndeRhzArY4NWM4cabw=s96-c | Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real? | wt6a2im0twn | 0.302149 | 66.216424 | NO | null |
lnvaas7bsu | false | foG4N8oWHvfcCOtxUojy8XzKx7A3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7w7wosoxcun",
"label": "uair01",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | John David Pressman | OiJ9KnW29ImsmlHrg4sO | public | contract | 1,717,910,770,505 | is-the-promethean-virus-in-large-la | JohnDavidPressman | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLUh4TXYbvIk6ZMpAVP7OeqjAOpUBlTcv9xybWh_N2MCvP9oA=s96-c | Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real? | wt6a2im0twn | 0.302149 | 437.559324 | YES | null |
uuq6gtbgsic | false | 6Q1UZ4BfBoUNAtN8KTY35joPlXi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolves yes, ari and I argued about it",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joe and Seth | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,911,336,081 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | JoeandSeth | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 1,607.210059 | YES | 6zfayp35mv | |
3haym3gmtqi | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1418fg99eewf",
"label": "ShitakiIntaki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | singer | tQOewBqp7EnDCj6bFzAe | public | contract | 1,717,911,377,978 | how-many-billions-of-dollars-would | singer | How many billions of dollars would it cost the US to make the next Carrington Event not cause societal collapse? | an17ef03bi | null | 20.907574 | YES | 06wyzo1n6b | |
1wu2ljliodf | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | N.C. Young | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,911,423,429 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | NcyRocks | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | 6,204.096091 | YES | g2a24dat3o | |
dbvdqqn5r6a | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolution poll",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | N.C. Young | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,911,435,654 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | NcyRocks | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | 1wu2ljliodf | null | 6,204.096091 | YES | g2a24dat3o | |
z7c0wv6rsac | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Vote AENEWS!!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | g4JdqoPd68LkPRFxVW7R | public | contract | 1,717,911,500,920 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp-en6nwx7dhd | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2lfvd5oo7nj | false | h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "We kissed hello and goodbye but didn't do much else as I had hoped because she was tired ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "... | Benjamin Ikuta | ronmPgNLkIlxJB4tphwl | public | contract | 1,717,911,625,212 | will-i-get-a-girlfriend-by-the-end-0be9954bf53c | benjaminIkuta | Will I get a girlfriend by the end of 2024? | ouyno8q5kx | null | null | null | null | |
cutmrx20rj | false | 6Q1UZ4BfBoUNAtN8KTY35joPlXi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uuq6gtbgsic",
"label": "JoeandSeth",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joe and Seth | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,911,626,992 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | JoeandSeth | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | uuq6gtbgsic | null | 1,607.210059 | YES | 6zfayp35mv | |
w3ndp4018we | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "0viiaw6j949c",
"label": "ConnorDolan",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | singer | 7sMmoXCJkRw1XR66HUyP | public | contract | 1,717,911,738,985 | are-these-programming-language-feat | singer | Are these programming language features underrated or overrated? | frtxwmzvub8 | null | 129.048289 | NO | qcikqf7q07 | |
v0h9p9u0oba | false | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7cvtzwakwx9",
"label": "JimAusman",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | M.H. | 5V9EGPQwo2kNTIv4YoVU | public | contract | 1,717,911,881,789 | will-i-interact-with-a-marriageable | MilfordHammerschmidt | Will I interact with a (marriageable) woman in 2024? | 7cvtzwakwx9 | 1 | 2,161.806925 | YES | null | |
h8bo8lgdz6s | false | hQbeiz4VmvY6HxxJAT87V5pFuhS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I don’t think the outcome here will be meaningful: It’s a public market and there are many consequences for coming out as a Trump voter. ",
"... | Mark Bowen | QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI | public | contract | 1,717,912,432,722 | are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden | MarkBowen | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrhpHD9z-sCsnmuOnjdBUlN3oTne-OC3D7JhuvNtooLwQT=s96-c | Are you voting for Trump or Biden? | null | null | null | null | null |
u2vim9eebe9 | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Are you planning on betting? I'd be happy to buy 500 NO to help create an incentive.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "parag... | singer | KiVRt189JWbSD33jMHLK | public | contract | 1,717,912,696,192 | will-i-solve-a-project-euler-task-b | singer | Will I solve a Project Euler task before the end of June? | null | 0.846036 | 30.37833 | NO | null | |
jd9tehsaaeg | false | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sz4fngm5jrg",
"label": "sydneyf",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Raj Thimmiah | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,912,865,751 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | raj | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | sz4fngm5jrg | 0.252467 | 1,298.196396 | NO | null |
1sq0d70hzzd | false | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ohxxq8kosfi",
"label": "JohnBennett",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Raj Thimmiah | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,912,876,527 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | raj | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | ohxxq8kosfi | 0.252467 | 1,298.196396 | NO | null |
13s6da8ixye | false | yAPO0lFCr0VYiIosymUdZgbTxnC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "2024-06-08: 1716",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | phaen | nuB4dFSb3poVQn7SZG7I | public | contract | 1,717,912,955,565 | will-i-eat-under-1800-calories-each | phaen | Will I eat under 1800 Calories each day this week (through 2024-06-14)? | null | null | null | null | null | |
yhbx5a4zbi | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Edit: nvm",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,913,453,238 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | Joshua | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 778.383102 | YES | 8gqgoka43j | |
q4dbhzbkdd | false | GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You going to resolve it? 😅",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yoav Tzfati | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,913,612,996 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Crazytieguy | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | 2,015.421503 | YES | khdhk3m6ox | |
gy89h26z76u | false | yAPO0lFCr0VYiIosymUdZgbTxnC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Not entirely. But even if I go that route, I'll have to figure out how to sustain things after going off it anyway, so I'm focusing on that first. I mi... | phaen | v6UUopLRUlNTnxyqxLMa | public | contract | 1,717,913,697,070 | will-i-weigh-under-200-lbs-on-20241 | phaen | Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-12-31? (-1.55 lbs/week) | ut79icq71qd | 0.376518 | 93.882781 | YES | null | |
jjvbik2bids | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1sq0d70hzzd",
"label": "raj",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Savior of Plant | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,913,979,244 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | ohxxq8kosfi | 0.252467 | 747.262227 | NO | null |
p6gimjmhfui | false | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "g60ym6kfjwn",
"label": "qaslay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Raj Thimmiah | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,914,050,844 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | raj | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | g60ym6kfjwn | 0.252467 | 1,298.196396 | NO | null |
offwe1gmnt | false | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "gd8jnzhclf8",
"label": "noney",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Raj Thimmiah | IpVdsbRzwTKYHcjfry0j | public | contract | 1,717,914,063,646 | will-i-regret-drinking-3-beers-over | raj | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | Will I regret drinking 3+ beers over 2 hours at manifest from 6-8 pm? | gd8jnzhclf8 | 0.252467 | 1,298.196396 | NO | null |
rsxoymujhvk | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Savior of Plant | RbXF1OIhLktjarrR7dpn | public | contract | 1,717,914,348,435 | will-the-new-york-times-confirm-tha | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Will the New York Times confirm that the leak of its source code on 4chan was legitimate in June? | null | 0.2201 | 1,833.648222 | YES | null |
k0x8xydqzk | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "someone won already",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot | WWJjUMfB5xTM1HSz7p5i | public | contract | 1,717,914,829,687 | first-person-to-say-pickle-to-me-wi | Elliot_dev | First person to say pickle to me wins 2k mana. | null | null | null | null | null | |
emzmt6ct4e9 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "h9uo12uk7iw",
"label": "BooLightning",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | PrOf9UCuUoBtloMa7Dwj | public | contract | 1,717,914,965,349 | how-accurate-is-the-ai-countdown | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | How accurate is the ai countdown | 4rw6hg6y8gw | null | null | null | null |
ldd9i8u7amh | false | 8AgOEn5pOUahZGukE6BrFzQosC03 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Resolves NO with zero bullet points about sports on June 8 23:59:59 UTC. See this ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": n... | AhmedButCooler | WLWSNJqQq04B4S9Qkj0m | public | contract | 1,717,915,632,706 | will-the-english-wikipedia-in-the-n | AhmedButCooler | Will the English Wikipedia "In the news" section have two or more bullet points about sports on June 8? | null | null | null | null | null | |
kvf1tuw83mp | false | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The Tories just shade it!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": nu... | Simon Grayson | XB9QwIiyWvAuTJG3rTQn | public | contract | 1,717,915,943,443 | uk-general-election-2024-who-will-f | SimonGrayson | UK General Election 2024 - who will field more candidates, Reform UK or the Conservative Party? | null | null | null | null | null | |
bv603xvz7m | false | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Reform are running in 609 seats.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"conte... | Simon Grayson | Vqlel5shoIBN16Kz8UwF | public | contract | 1,717,915,995,531 | uk-general-election-2024-will-refor | SimonGrayson | UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK run in at least 600 seats? | null | 0.99015 | 155.879928 | YES | null | |
bpm2fxuq0jr | false | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Simon Grayson | ceVViMOewgc4GXfXApmK | public | contract | 1,717,916,110,144 | uk-general-election-2024-will-any-t | SimonGrayson | UK General Election 2024 - Will any Tory candidates defect and run for Reform UK? | null | 0.05 | 3,569.169159 | NO | null | |
qhel8suun5l | false | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3tffmg6hmd6",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | redcat | 4uM25K4xRTWW65l4iWoO | public | contract | 1,717,916,130,671 | will-this-market-help-me-find-an-of | redcat | Will this market get me an offer to interview that I end up doing for a new job by the end of Manifest? | 3tffmg6hmd6 | 0.221445 | 0 | NO | null | |
phdc8hxq1us | false | U63xexgO2Cebw3ZnyRHJ9ssHfui2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "resolves YES - CO2030 begins the application process in 2025",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
... | Eliot | yR6AeIP3VYjTzyNWZ5sK | public | contract | 1,717,916,463,109 | will-stanford-return-to-standarized-324a44013cf4 | eliot | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfDdlMXLAUeGjbpftcJiAgOHaluXWk-aT2uLji8EylC6WiZ=s96-c | Will Stanford return to standarized testing requirements (SAT / ACT) for undergraduate admissions in 2025? | null | 0.622358 | 631.278337 | YES | null |
t0xh3ic0lc | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bdfxme3ycjq",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,916,546,482 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | k90xqt6nne | null | 121.300315 | NO | e351573613dc |
d4cck9o75b | false | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q4dbhzbkdd",
"label": "Crazytieguy",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | N.C. Young | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,916,566,841 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | NcyRocks | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 6,204.096091 | YES | g2a24dat3o | |
6he2ckiktmm | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bpm2fxuq0jr",
"label": "SimonGrayson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Savior of Plant | ceVViMOewgc4GXfXApmK | public | contract | 1,717,916,974,480 | uk-general-election-2024-will-any-t | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | UK General Election 2024 - Will any Tory candidates defect and run for Reform UK? | bpm2fxuq0jr | 0.046616 | 0 | YES | null |
raez8162ie | false | ksztJQVI1vWwo5yFkFpC6lc7NHU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I win, by not being in attendance. Boom.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | 50P | g4JdqoPd68LkPRFxVW7R | public | contract | 1,717,917,071,738 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp-en6nwx7dhd | 50P | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte_ZmIMBL1BbPtdDtuZmJDd-iaXbsFKMss8lNRfesgO=s96-c | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | null | null | null | null | null |
bjf2bugckn | false | vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Please check the following market, it seems to be miscalibrated relative to this one.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs"... | AVS | e0OVJQIAAHKXRofxlvI8 | public | contract | 1,717,917,170,639 | will-israel-declare-war-on-hezbolla | AVS | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxOdjufQBz5ZO2pfxGwJKglhiWwsNVt1TDjdChO=s96-c | Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah before the end of 2024? | null | 0.583554 | 1.847471 | NO | null |
xehvghmwx7 | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Marx, Engels, Proudhon, Bakunin, Krapotkin, and Castro all have huge beards",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,917,386,625 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | null | null | 147.699591 | NO | dcfbedc0e892 |
w0mnmtselc | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "r2tkgcqr0x",
"label": "ShitakiIntaki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,917,530,332 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | okqov2hth4d | null | 147.699591 | NO | dcfbedc0e892 |
unxmz9aw55g | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "d4cck9o75b",
"label": "NcyRocks",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,019,455 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 | |
pnmtfl51i1m | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "unxmz9aw55g",
"label": "Elliot_dev",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ian Philips | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,389,310 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ian | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 5,338.694987 | YES | k9qra7yxoc | |
69ti161dzrj | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pnmtfl51i1m",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,423,166 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 | |
42urrfwv1wb | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "69ti161dzrj",
"label": "Elliot_dev",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,439,441 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 | |
7l34dnu3ul4 | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "69ti161dzrj",
"label": "Elliot_dev",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ian Philips | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,491,282 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ian | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 5,338.694987 | YES | k9qra7yxoc | |
l2e4acf7qa | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7l34dnu3ul4",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,545,445 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 | |
csq9gapc24q | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "l2e4acf7qa",
"label": "Elliot_dev",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ian Philips | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,569,904 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ian | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 5,338.694987 | YES | k9qra7yxoc | |
rlveyf53pt | false | js1u8BIyzjVoBjkM1YQgueA0bav1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I want it to be true so I'm betting on preferences. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"... | JohnofCharleston | gvExxWwTMhpbNsuDMxq0 | public | contract | 1,717,918,594,970 | will-there-be-a-2nd-summer-camp-hel | JohnofCharleston | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7uw9wqj12zSkINvp2TjDpvLAn3j0gX7j7-RLYCrA=s96-c | Will there be a 2nd summer camp held in 2025? | null | 0.755892 | 63.777266 | YES | null |
jm743mbh7zr | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "csq9gapc24q",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,608,675 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 | |
dpuuiuxta1m | false | SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "csq9gapc24q",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Elliot | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,918,639,706 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | Elliot_dev | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | q4dbhzbkdd | null | 3,409.083049 | YES | qbscyj6hy5 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.