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false
3os8dDHZebXXR7S0j0LgnSTXJ7L2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Pirates needed ~1.5% for an extra mandate (~1.2 % to lose one), STAN would have to lose ~2% to change the distribution", "type": "text" ...
hominidan
P1Xc0toaBrZ9W4Wl6S2M
public
contract
1,717,968,022,563
2024-czech-eu-elections-will-voting
hominidan
https://firebasestorage.…1cd-ececcc4cf2f0
2024 Czech EU elections: Will voting for Pirates be more influential than voting for STAN?
null
0.644103
80.42365
NO
null
f7wsyrs2q8c
false
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "06ahakgi439", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Kongo Landwalker
TcYnACd1FeO2WxjauWq7
public
contract
1,717,968,070,844
who-will-complete-these-tasks-first
KongoLandwalker
https://firebasestorage.…335-755c19fad97f
Who will complete these tasks first? "Yes" for @Awex, "No" for @KongoLandwalker.
02khtt346z09
null
null
null
null
yr5nuzcon1j
false
GSKLuvDpKGhoM9gUTPiwmrk9XWi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Wamba Ivanhoe
PmL5n2pS0wj1ok6FMsBZ
public
contract
1,717,968,303,790
if-manifest-becomes-an-annual-or-bi
ShitakiIntaki
https://firebasestorage.…af4-315bb12f4740
If Manifest becomes an annual or biennial event, will I go to the next one?
null
0.228215
1.27672
NO
null
qc10vovrga
false
KNqZAiItmVTCX0LzUcj8Twg7tnh1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shooting from the hip here, in decreasing frequency of use, I’m guessing:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }...
snazzlePop
uSkAOnWASY4KdqL5pQ4S
public
contract
1,717,968,357,323
how-many-individual-drugs-will-i-co-of6krlu8ah
snazzlePop
https://firebasestorage.…4df-4312e7a7f92b
How many types of drugs will I consume at Manifest?
null
null
537.233182
YES
gu1w2s1126
0xme1x3nzlnf
false
LJcW2PB0dGTeAVWKUeio4taveKo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Did around 5h", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Anton Bogun
opa5EGlIYxW0HmGerGHF
public
contract
1,717,968,522,841
will-i-do-4h-or-less-of-work-on-gra-b9fpmoa3x3
AntonBogun
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKIkgJ3gNoBVdiNHmHyZFKPprQaeQNvCqsiX9H0ZjpajZo=s96-c
Will I do 4h or less of work on GraphSheets this week?
null
null
null
null
null
872vu640i86
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3", "label": "Eliza", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bayesian
O2nfSWMrBvdSYVAtNmcL
public
contract
1,717,968,774,177
will-gigacasting-return-and-make-a
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will @Gigacasting return and make a public action on the site before 1 July 2024?
null
0.244102
682.370175
YES
null
3ip0ppmu8rl
false
SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He said he did", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Elliot
9NAN9SAqQ8SW4cv1N1hP
public
contract
1,717,969,055,698
will-nate-silver-place-a-bet-on-man
Elliot_dev
https://firebasestorage.…675-27cfa49c3d4e
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
null
0.322191
671.303268
YES
null
u9i9xetqjp
false
Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3ip0ppmu8rl", "label": "Elliot_dev", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan Elton
9NAN9SAqQ8SW4cv1N1hP
public
contract
1,717,969,077,902
will-nate-silver-place-a-bet-on-man
delton
https://firebasestorage.…3f9-de1db9ae18d6
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
3ip0ppmu8rl
0.322191
268.787643
YES
null
o8vqsn0bo6b
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He just said at Manifest he hasn’t created an account ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Dan
XkiQAy1tKxVtK9av1sUN
public
contract
1,717,969,082,955
which-political-nates-are-using-man
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Which Political Nates are using Manifold anonymously? [Unlinked Multiple Choice - Expires 2025]
null
null
376.570249
NO
e2b52e85c1a0
4e32falh7k
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3ip0ppmu8rl", "label": "Elliot_dev", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dan
9NAN9SAqQ8SW4cv1N1hP
public
contract
1,717,969,144,128
will-nate-silver-place-a-bet-on-man
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
3ip0ppmu8rl
0.322191
959.137761
NO
null
jy6ypiorocb
false
h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "p72lsf8gd4h", "label": "JoeC", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Benjamin Ikuta
qi6H5uRFpxRRpWceWlhw
public
contract
1,717,969,811,465
will-i-have-a-girlfriend-in-2024
benjaminIkuta
https://firebasestorage.…42c-4fd343f08410
Will I have a girlfriend in 2024?
75bo9h2g5z3
null
null
null
null
zfskxrttojk
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think he should! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Susanne inFrance
QJaRqnzYAIAMXj1UlxoR
public
contract
1,717,970,107,335
will-scott-alexander-write-a-blog-p
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will Scott Alexander write a blog post by end of July about threats to American democracy?
null
null
null
null
null
ehgcsusltz6
false
SjGUx6SlbwU4ue0BVjxxaMuygsA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4e32falh7k", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Elliot
9NAN9SAqQ8SW4cv1N1hP
public
contract
1,717,970,296,459
will-nate-silver-place-a-bet-on-man
Elliot_dev
https://firebasestorage.…675-27cfa49c3d4e
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
3ip0ppmu8rl
0.322088
671.303268
YES
null
jdlsqj2p5z
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,717,970,360,649
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
null
null
null
null
null
1b9ynietg64
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "3k Liquidity Total", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "...
SirCryptomind
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
public
contract
1,717,970,467,199
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
null
null
null
null
null
b3bul6bn8zp
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It was so good", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
IPBVC154XoObftslKu3D
public
contract
1,717,970,550,150
which-session-at-manifest-2024-will
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which session at Manifest 2024 will be Manifold’s favorite? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
11.313244
NO
6d4g36ccb0
wg4jebnvnmm
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "zwF9u3WmTherZotbnd8CB0lrUzs1", "label": "NicoGoethals", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Charlie Bauer
LZ2aXE9pn2zsYd1FKBgl
public
contract
1,717,970,707,351
will-the-current-prime-minister-of
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
Will the current Prime Minister of Belgium be replaced before the end of 2024?
null
0.487816
443.260995
YES
null
pttao24air
false
MAAD1J6G9lXzi01YGIiKAvh8KAN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sev5xqp5bg", "label": "DavidBolin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Dustin
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,717,970,715,774
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
Dustin
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhOa--qvfxnXT1JfaOu1QgWzLbV_gIUyiQ7sh4hoQ=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
82nzdtu3m25
0.49
52,908.696699
NO
null
3d7i0dmmt8p
false
bYO9yYhDGQg5G6z5a6RZ3fmkt8B3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bty2jrjw36", "label": "StephenSPower", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Lukas Day
69ft1ePbWBTtcZGINh3F
public
contract
1,717,970,923,669
will-3-or-more-idaho-libraries-will
LukasDay
https://firebasestorage.…0ad-0400288973bd
Will 3 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
bty2jrjw36
null
null
null
null
9kcasw5woic
false
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You can't tell me what to- oh nvm", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shelvacu
IYx7CJrEh2QoZwPFZH5I
public
contract
1,717,970,931,157
placeholder-dont-bet-14e12d547699
Shelvacu
https://firebasestorage.…a8d-63bc6f7bd3d2
Placeholder - Don't bet
null
null
null
null
null
19u7ju8h46sj
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Go for it! With six months experience you already have a sense for which aspects of prediction markets appeal to you— if you were to parlay that experi...
Susanne inFrance
7ZPAWBfmAEVtmSU1b0sC
public
contract
1,717,971,032,073
will-manifold-help-me-pivot-my-care
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024?
null
0.521731
18.538084
YES
null
1hyrhlwp72y
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "holy crap myles popped off", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
WJ3DuUPCJhiofMVxEbrn
public
contract
1,717,971,222,847
who-will-win-the-classic-tetris-wor
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Who will win the Classic Tetris World Championship (CTWC) 2024?
null
null
62.325075
YES
3ded5aa22417
cqskul22mud
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Election results come in today", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Charlie Bauer
5BCquRe5PgiY2pQaZScw
public
contract
1,717,971,354,265
which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-n
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
Which parties will be part of the next Belgian government?
null
null
46.25017
YES
3xn1lr3msu
4cwjhgc6czk
false
dYLpkCCilcRnDhTXK5eSX0oHK3x1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Attention investors, all items will resolve at the end of the night around 12:00 AM PST due to my lack of availability. Sorry for any inconvenience in ...
ReeMARKable
cMLnvPwU3xSZiNBA0R8v
public
contract
1,717,971,597,702
nba-basketball-finals-live-thursday
ReeMARKable
https://firebasestorage.…198-b06ea07e9f66
NBA Basketball Finals Live: Celtics vs Mavericks Game/Halftime/Point Totals.
null
null
null
null
null
bpocvihyyyw
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So what was the story of this market?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
James Baker
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,971,640,403
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
null
0.009551
916.691605
YES
null
t73w1oeug6k
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,807,194
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
g9q1rdqb6n
4tu6rxt3j5
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,813,896
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
q1qivatrk9g
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,874,082
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
equiuyh26ab
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,879,115
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
g9q1rdqb6n
3k8wh1snhb7
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,881,527
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
1m67eilnbro
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,931,483
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
811ct5uiajw
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,950,097
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
g9q1rdqb6n
5tyvz9zc3kq
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,955,663
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
0l53qncyz8cn
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,991,994
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
7f7s46jsap7
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,996,456
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
984.937059
NO
g9q1rdqb6n
fni98itytf
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,971,999,375
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
iwy9eaikau
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA
public
contract
1,717,972,053,614
how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days? V2
null
null
null
null
null
sva8z0kjzgt
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Close date might be a bit optimistic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
5BCquRe5PgiY2pQaZScw
public
contract
1,717,972,128,854
which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-n
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Which parties will be part of the next Belgian government?
null
null
null
null
null
wohugqh0ekj
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bpocvihyyyw", "label": "JamesBaker3", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jim
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,972,352,009
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
bpocvihyyyw
0
1,054.560499
NO
null
t0kq2cgyp2a
false
8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jbo2bz19oum", "label": "komplexkonjugat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
GooGhoul
OiJ9KnW29ImsmlHrg4sO
public
contract
1,717,972,474,026
is-the-promethean-virus-in-large-la
GooGhoul
https://firebasestorage.…e8f-79dd2d8c953b
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
jbo2bz19oum
null
null
null
null
5hqowp71irn
false
qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "872vu640i86", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Agh
O2nfSWMrBvdSYVAtNmcL
public
contract
1,717,972,852,202
will-gigacasting-return-and-make-a
Agh
https://firebasestorage.…96a-92c3aadf6a66
Will @Gigacasting return and make a public action on the site before 1 July 2024?
872vu640i86
0.957878
0
NO
null
wwfgglyk5ls
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5hqowp71irn", "label": "Agh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Bayesian
O2nfSWMrBvdSYVAtNmcL
public
contract
1,717,973,136,475
will-gigacasting-return-and-make-a
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will @Gigacasting return and make a public action on the site before 1 July 2024?
872vu640i86
0.931941
182.370175
YES
null
6tx5e5ltpyq
false
Tz41xTDNKjN48bgtH7Me4TYoTKQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Leonardo
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM
public
contract
1,717,973,249,592
will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar
LeonardoKr
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpog6i--u15_WA_66nvBoZhXHAdY-Bksm1f9q8CmA=s96-c
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
null
0.49
15,726.984848
YES
null
3g33ri3nm9p
false
MRjW2CLX2ZWYm97PMwvTdYSTJ5g1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There have been rumours circulating for a few days that due to the terrible start to the campaign, Sunak will resign and let someone else (Cameron) tak...
alh
RJF4QrcQa2xm5E8TeiFP
public
contract
1,717,973,424,824
will-there-be-a-new-leader-of-the-u
alh
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c
Will there be a new leader of the UK Conservative party before the general election?
null
0.034352
400.364547
NO
null
cwgdkblxu4
false
9A2Nxc3v47X6GjzdlOzdHEdePiv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Result is 10. Thank you for your predictions. New question will be up shortly :) ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragrap...
CrowTheFox
wsuY9KRIKIpAN4DPVXyi
public
contract
1,717,973,672,932
what-will-my-d12-land-on-daily-w58jvibdj4
CrowTheFox
https://firebasestorage.…595-28d54bbe7c1c
What will my d12 land on? - Daily
null
null
null
null
null
lpffpk2a0dr
false
nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0h9dj4kvthot", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Mqrius
qycP7JFr5c2bjf7h3HDX
public
contract
1,717,973,675,449
when-will-starship-land-on-a-launch
Mqrius
https://firebasestorage.…af0-8c35c7e89dda
When will Starship land on a launch pad?
akmq8mqrtji
null
30.628312
YES
4d79c9650ee7
ouqd67cdsvl
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yes CO2. They had to increase fire suppression 10 times for booster for IFT2 and I think they also increased for starship for IFT 3 so maybe not as muc...
Christopher Randles
qycP7JFr5c2bjf7h3HDX
public
contract
1,717,974,534,508
when-will-starship-land-on-a-launch
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
When will Starship land on a launch pad?
akmq8mqrtji
null
null
null
null
lolp4ign5ro
false
HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Daniel
TIY2Y3M356XrTFUpd5vJ
public
contract
1,717,974,610,269
when-will-there-be-a-ceasefire-in-u
Daniel_MC
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
null
null
null
null
null
45buu89t0ue
false
Iar7J99RNHSqh3FFi3CERKhkQv23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "bpocvihyyyw", "label": "JamesBaker3", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
William Ehlhardt
R2HaGtNpurtmLWxLRutR
public
contract
1,717,974,763,594
do-not-bet-if-you-already-know-the
WilliamEhlhardt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhIt4otiuT2URGdpXkfphc7Dd1YGXK9gzUx5RHztA=s96-c
[Do not bet if you already know the answer]
bpocvihyyyw
0
3,341.629934
NO
null
lg8nciylw9i
false
e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wow, this closed with a percentage sum of 77%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
gigab0nus
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,717,974,813,353
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
gigab0nus
https://firebasestorage.…bb4-402507eb7110
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
null
null
71.393657
NO
7a43f1d6445f
11xqemde7f1l
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1", "label": "DanMan314", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention"...
Ziddletwix
Ju0UwZYr6XVbhU7w1esA
public
contract
1,717,975,032,215
who-will-be-a-special-guestspeaker
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will be a special guest/speaker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
5,274.236422
YES
61eb74d7e138
ftja5o3rn7
false
uglwf3YKOZNGjjEXKc5HampOFRE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm assuming that friends giving a couple dollars for the sake of getting this to resolve yes doesnt count ", "type": "text" } ...
David Chee
ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54
public
contract
1,717,975,289,875
who-will-get-funding-because-of-the
SirSalty
https://firebasestorage.…36b-b18dac7680bd
Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
null
null
3,203.442987
NO
yv2mi1anqi
dghoeh25smk
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He's here :0", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,975,365,279
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,788.480505
NO
dccbbaa3142f
c9yzitagn6d
false
GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "l33zyqqohlr", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Yoav Tzfati
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,975,789,815
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Crazytieguy
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-adaa38437cc0
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
l33zyqqohlr
null
771.67383
YES
6e36ae11cfc5
z6zm640zsig
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "c9yzitagn6d", "label": "Crazytieguy", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,975,849,943
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
l33zyqqohlr
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
52oe9b3asw8
false
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Looks like this resolves \"NO\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "conten...
Michael
uv0mYI8V8jObViCzqlOL
public
contract
1,717,976,448,313
will-flight-dl257-be-delayed-by-30
burkh4rt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
Will flight DL257 be delayed by 30 minutes or more?
null
0.013996
219.478979
NO
null
51ibfl3oree
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
IPBVC154XoObftslKu3D
public
contract
1,717,976,581,487
which-session-at-manifest-2024-will
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which session at Manifest 2024 will be Manifold’s favorite? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
19.815388
YES
or4vp6j8z9
jspsq87vw0r
false
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Vance in 2nd:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contr...
Michael
tGrQQoL6e3jnShw7MPv8
public
contract
1,717,976,582,409
trump-vp-odds-who-will-be-in-2nd-pl
burkh4rt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
Trump VP Odds: Who will be in 2nd place on PredictIt on June 8th?
null
null
558.380886
YES
bde133de11cd
uusfaziv45j
false
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Scott in 1st:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contr...
Michael
xSEAcMdTDENcIORv90PS
public
contract
1,717,976,620,873
trump-vp-odds-who-will-be-in-1st-pl
burkh4rt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
Trump VP Odds: Who will be in 1st place on PredictIt on June 8th?
null
null
267.818642
YES
cdd47371c1e6
tpuj7o37p
false
91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7umx3cpnt0h", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Bruce
ZNOG00Vq18bxbzGJk6FS
public
contract
1,717,976,755,371
will-netanyahu-be-out-of-office-by
Bruce54df
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c
Will Netanyahu be out of office by year end 2024?
py7nbidsty
0.591008
11,550.068203
YES
null
eh2vhz4d1dj
false
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Any word on a resolution for this market? Presumably ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "nvwiMP9zk...
Michael
f4wsnl8j5DqNE2bGcQkp
public
contract
1,717,976,846,582
will-manifold-be-more-accurate-a-mo
burkh4rt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
Will Manifold be more accurate a month after the pivot
null
0.1286
259.61544
NO
null
2cnoongsavb
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Btw David says he’ll be at the final table ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
176i8UTsdiOoDehgSRek
public
contract
1,717,977,093,589
who-will-win-poker-at-manifest-2024
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win poker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
7,210.170405
YES
865e835d33f0
pl9e1ltp73k
false
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Still pretty close:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Michael
pQuhYdfw7b4ZIDBwOCds
public
contract
1,717,977,124,257
will-trump-beat-biden-in-michigan-p
burkh4rt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
Will Trump beat Biden in Michigan polling at the beginning of June? (538)
null
0.99
11.901793
YES
null
dp68h0g3y7n
false
0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lg8nciylw9i", "label": "gigab0nus", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gordan Knott
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,717,977,214,439
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
GordanKnott
https://firebasestorage.…14a-c87addf6031a
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
lg8nciylw9i
null
null
null
null
ygbax75dd5s
false
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1", "label": "FairlyRandom", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Traveel
QKPCMQl5zpZlW0Ycl1OV
public
contract
1,717,977,271,896
daily-coinflip-2yqajkpp1g
Traveel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c
Daily coinflip
null
0.51
191.08419
YES
null
0k5mm9oq8ak
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
QKPCMQl5zpZlW0Ycl1OV
public
contract
1,717,977,275,787
daily-coinflip-2yqajkpp1g
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Daily coinflip
null
null
null
null
null
4ty2nn3uj05
false
0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lg8nciylw9i", "label": "gigab0nus", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gordan Knott
C7htjtpARkXFMSTUx910
public
contract
1,717,977,280,509
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-61c98fedafb1
GordanKnott
https://firebasestorage.…14a-c87addf6031a
How many times will "AI" be mentioned during the WWDC keynote?
lg8nciylw9i
null
null
null
null
1bbbeca7sgp
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
QKPCMQl5zpZlW0Ycl1OV
public
contract
1,717,977,334,066
daily-coinflip-2yqajkpp1g
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
Daily coinflip
null
null
null
null
null
dm6l4pceyhe
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wwfgglyk5ls", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Eliza
O2nfSWMrBvdSYVAtNmcL
public
contract
1,717,977,511,792
will-gigacasting-return-and-make-a
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Will @Gigacasting return and make a public action on the site before 1 July 2024?
872vu640i86
null
null
null
null
wfg9cjip8
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This option seems to have been bought to max almost immediately after creation lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragra...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,977,594,377
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
158.00125
NO
8gqgoka43j
no976kawuo
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do you promise not to make the deepfake yourself?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
TTbTHCnKZ9xwdFYqlFL3
public
contract
1,717,978,087,100
credible-footage-incl-good-deep-fak
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Credible footage (incl. good deep fake) of Jordan Bardella shitting himself, before French snap election 2024
null
0.5
18.500068
NO
null
oi8r24qnynd
false
jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is every startup listed on this market? %alphabet, \"2D/toodie(?)\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Michael Wheatley
wg0QliiZKzdwejKIXxV5
public
contract
1,717,978,309,450
who-will-win-the-manifest-pitch-com
MichaelWheatley
https://firebasestorage.…671-d7dcd38ad23a
Who will win the Manifest Pitch Competition (as selected by the judges)?
null
null
3,192.748988
NO
xzqv04pyak
uvh7kymo3gi
false
z5HPFTdzZ9RWBx1fNlz7f0Nhnoj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "9p at Bayes Attic 🤗 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
moo
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,978,552,619
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
moo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDvU3TziiTS_eyAfe2SYp-kh7027e_ytiOqa_aTyGCnjc1=s96-c
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
5,294.701223
YES
472ee8b3a7d4
pxul34lqsd
false
qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tc3k2j4gnq", "label": "stardust", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Qoiuoiuoiu
QkZgeemQXPC0Bm5pfXrI
public
contract
1,717,978,725,458
are-you-voting-for-trump-or-biden
Qoiuoiuoiu
https://firebasestorage.…2ea-1eb85c642bfa
Are you voting for Trump or Biden?
uiiz6me2ekp
null
null
null
null
soqw6u5dsrc
false
5ZLMEpuF15YyU9c1RTz7MorzAl22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think you meant Derrick Jones Jr?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Travis
b5Giam4Ipw6kpPDKvPq2
public
contract
1,717,978,771,297
nba-finals-player-props-live-gm-2-s
travis
https://firebasestorage.…802-cff93fb42209
NBA Finals Player Props Live: Celtics vs Mavericks Game 2 (Sunday, June 9)
null
null
183.452365
NO
7yxqkoz2br
c4p5t4njzfc
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I’m watching people do this in front of the Kalshi table right now ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Ziddletwix
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,978,909,588
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
5,079.914396
YES
26eee8e05d65
jpx92d9ut1d
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "c4p5t4njzfc", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,978,974,395
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
c4p5t4njzfc
null
6,076.616373
YES
8a927a207f83
0bvgt4y34f4i
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
rdsLRPfIkV4hmp89YRG7
public
contract
1,717,979,105,903
will-there-be-a-user-with-a-positio
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will there be a user with a position > 99,999 in the Crystal coin flip when the market closes?
null
null
null
null
null
6uh8bf8atou
false
jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If anyone added their own company name, that might have been expensive, message me and I can reimburse the creation fee", "type": "text" ...
Michael Wheatley
wg0QliiZKzdwejKIXxV5
public
contract
1,717,979,106,034
who-will-win-the-manifest-pitch-com
MichaelWheatley
https://firebasestorage.…671-d7dcd38ad23a
Who will win the Manifest Pitch Competition (as selected by the judges)?
null
null
13,469.789323
NO
85cy4930dv
2ufubowe60a
false
lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yolo", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Santeri
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,979,124,580
the-crystal-coin-flip
sanyero
https://firebasestorage.…646-eec20d51e537
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.495171
195,093.365485
YES
null
ig2y6b72css
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Incredible! I hope this becomes a very profitable day for you!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "ty...
niko
rdsLRPfIkV4hmp89YRG7
public
contract
1,717,979,330,148
will-there-be-a-user-with-a-positio
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Will there be a user with a position > 99,999 in the Crystal coin flip when the market closes?
null
null
null
null
null
oh7czirwg1d
false
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
David Glidden
oSD6AD4SGfUIKoUGXOiZ
public
contract
1,717,979,413,740
will-dan-hurley-be-the-next-coach-o
dglid
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
Will Dan Hurley be the next coach of the Los Angeles Lakers?
null
null
null
null
null
sfcxbbyutvc
false
Ljs38fqJp1djJPchj4w0Yo86yX63
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "To be clear, is this about the exact number, or about the original compensation package that was thrown out (regardless of its value at the time)?", ...
Hacking
fDI1wfsh6SeZdYOOPq6p
public
contract
1,717,979,702,256
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-to-giv
SeekingEternity
https://firebasestorage.…cda-7ccda5e42b13
Will Tesla shareholders vote to give Musk a $56 billion retroactive pay package in June 13th shareholder vote?
null
0.597299
408.281762
YES
null
0x4bx8g4htl8
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He gave a talk", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ziddletwix
DvWzZn3uX57mEdIUfaS2
public
contract
1,717,979,916,477
which-users-will-attend-manifest-20
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which users will attend Manifest 2024?
null
null
1,742.68226
YES
5a6rgegp8z
7ntlrwie0w6
false
bCl07I6lA5ZuVJGS2k6kNvAomF73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Footnotes:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type...
mako yass
QMMa4v8WQS1hleUUy3R4
public
contract
1,717,980,274,278
does-the-mega-drive-work
makoyass
https://firebasestorage.…2a2-804c13345c4e
Does the MEGA Drive work?
null
null
null
null
null
3o7g3hg25dc
false
6Q1UZ4BfBoUNAtN8KTY35joPlXi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We had 8", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joe and Seth
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,980,664,448
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
JoeandSeth
https://firebasestorage.…d63-7cd4d86d6320
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
1,607.210059
YES
6zfayp35mv
95so2lpqh2e
false
8jhfW8UNwFQqHQ1iL8SFdB5pWYZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "uhhh I meant to vote the opposite but I'm not sure how to undo my vote", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
Kathy Garcia
PieA9NY1m3mWBXgE6Qg7
public
contract
1,717,981,216,451
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-8ngla3296f
kgarcia
https://firebasestorage.…b84-4f76c7f1fc9e
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or An Autopen (signs everything, can't talk)?
null
null
null
null
null
xavraf677rb
false
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If you want to look further out than June, try this market:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Stuart Slagle
xMjOspsXXAQZwvN9slrm
public
contract
1,717,981,228,111
in-new-york-city-on-what-day-will-t
ovals
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of June 2024 be recorded?
null
null
300.952869
YES
ndjry44keo
7r20zqwc5dr
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "95so2lpqh2e", "label": "kgarcia", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
chris (strutheo)
PieA9NY1m3mWBXgE6Qg7
public
contract
1,717,981,483,837
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-8ngla3296f
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or An Autopen (signs everything, can't talk)?
95so2lpqh2e
null
null
null
null
6got8rackwv
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "At this point Ricciardo is ahead of Bearman 9 to 6 points. I'll keep this open though in the very unlikely case that Olli gets another chance to drive ...
Enlil
TMT2REc2UH6frRPDRrwv
public
contract
1,717,981,524,162
will-daniel-ricciardo-finish-ahead
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC?
null
0.834076
399.651669
NO
null
j0vv7o7ecoo
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "154", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP
public
contract
1,717,981,582,556
will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Summer Camp and Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
fkkc4hzavg
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ftja5o3rn7", "label": "SirSalty", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
chris (strutheo)
ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54
public
contract
1,717,982,480,820
who-will-get-funding-because-of-the
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
ftja5o3rn7
null
null
null
null
7qcsgh2x84w
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Aynone have a link to disco?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
ihHv8pPo7l3af9ZrKc54
public
contract
1,717,982,490,770
who-will-get-funding-because-of-the
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
53jj9dzvspj
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The real winner was the fees we paid along the way ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs":...
Dan
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,983,019,993
the-crystal-coin-flip
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.51
1,934.80437
YES
null
bfj82nl4z1
false
U6jjBfDcBUblSknI9D5GxhWhgNu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "we go to the moon not because it is cheesy, but because it is hard ", ...
Alok Singh
fMSodkfUDj3LxECrRgdr
public
contract
1,717,983,095,111
best-manifest-out-of-context-quote
alok
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucraZdhILF6UzF0e7M6E1oVMYcpSYXzdKXSiPL7kC5E=s96-c
Best Manifest Out Of Context Quote
null
null
null
null
null
odp97axgyxg
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Roughly one hour until we flip!!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,983,204,921
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
null
0.51
58,757.858504
NO
null
bd09mdzamzi
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "odp97axgyxg", "label": "Gen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Genzy
rFCd2cbiQhCBDxNFTcQ6
public
contract
1,717,983,222,122
the-crystal-coin-flip
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
The Crystal Coin Flip
odp97axgyxg
0.51
58,757.858504
NO
null
tb2qmxuqr3a
false
cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Dan
Ju0UwZYr6XVbhU7w1esA
public
contract
1,717,983,277,886
who-will-be-a-special-guestspeaker
DanMan314
https://firebasestorage.…9e0-a993f643533a
Who will be a special guest/speaker at Manifest 2024?
null
null
2,801.949655
YES
1w8sdkodnh
xlyqbkloaws
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tpuj7o37p", "label": "Bruce54df", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
RemNi
ZNOG00Vq18bxbzGJk6FS
public
contract
1,717,983,307,526
will-netanyahu-be-out-of-office-by
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Netanyahu be out of office by year end 2024?
py7nbidsty
0.591008
49.396527
YES
null
v58cqhtgf3n
false
aYwZvdAWKEfZrR1CGgYQ4fd9WDs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I made it happen at the dance class!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Roman Hauksson
kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx
public
contract
1,717,983,352,033
what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene
RomanHauksson
https://firebasestorage.…377-3a21cda4e609
Manifest 2024 Prop Bets
null
null
103.039772
YES
d7c6d4d69aca