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"text": "I took another test today and it was negative. Will test again on 6/17.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}... | Jonathan Ray | cCKe5crr6hlARaVQvGtl | public | contract | 1,718,508,529,791 | will-my-followup-covid-test-be-posi | JonathanRay | Will my follow-up covid test be positive? | null | null | null | null | null | |
m3vpjau2jqb | false | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | {
"content": [
{
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{
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"text": "I will be resolving it N/A as soon as figure out how.",
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}
],
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],
"type": "doc... | PhilosophyBear | tr9b02u0f5 | public | contract | 1,718,508,600,673 | what-weird-unexpected-things-will-c | PhilosophyBear | What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey? | cxw90kmx9cs | null | null | null | null | |
t2kyyf5hukg | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"marks": null,
"text": "I can do it for you - it's not possible for non-mods/admins to NA anymore unfortunately ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | stefanie | tr9b02u0f5 | public | contract | 1,718,508,636,635 | what-weird-unexpected-things-will-c | shankypanky | What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey? | cxw90kmx9cs | null | 256.385222 | YES | ox1pcfvwef | |
e2b9to86g1n | false | ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13 | {
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"content": null,
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"type": "m... | Stark | yVSSHdotBiAW6mVyuses | public | contract | 1,718,508,775,151 | would-you-rather-manifold-chooses | StarkLN | Would You Rather? - Manifold chooses! | g06gtk8b8q5 | null | 143.480045 | NO | a1e1436fa370 | |
ofeeooq55xb | false | D2wJUW7r9Ra9g2YyprCXSTQlcir1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "what about Microsoft?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Will Spagnoli | 4i4y5ktv3n | public | contract | 1,718,508,943,901 | will-a-new-lab-create-a-topperformi | WillSpagnoli | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2sU79QetIQQO5guVWy7Corm7HP2Evo32HMft_p=s96-c | Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028? | null | null | null | null | null |
owhchlgb0al | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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"l... | chris (strutheo) | ii58o0wh8x | public | contract | 1,718,508,989,368 | will-the-united-states-usda-officia | strutheo | Will the United States USDA officially replace the MyPlate nutrition guide by the end of 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
u9jnvzc8f7d | false | Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bruh",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | JGY | cZ5U7lWOPL229PmKtcHU | public | contract | 1,718,509,602,901 | who-will-win-the-final-series-of-th | jgyou | Who will win the final series of the 2024 NHL playoffs? | null | null | 691.56091 | YES | vkm9vhsr1r | |
0ftli2ukmp1 | false | NndHcEmeJhPQ6n7e7yqAPa3Oiih2 | {
"content": [
{
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{
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"text": "No problem. Sorry for the bad fit, then.",
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],
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}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Josh | tr9b02u0f5 | public | contract | 1,718,509,872,558 | what-weird-unexpected-things-will-c | josh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJx0QJyn3_RlfR7N92j1FntqMP_80imf6p_zLKws=s96-c | What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey? | cxw90kmx9cs | null | 81.35005 | YES | 5kwyp50sl5 |
aa2pcttl34f | false | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "Isn’t there consensus that it does?",
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}
],
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}
],
"type": "doc"
} | ismellpillows | vQSLnYiQij72weDpl5vb | public | contract | 1,718,510,003,770 | do-high-levels-of-carbon-dioxide-ha | ismellpillows | Do high levels of carbon dioxide have significant negative impacts on cognition? | null | null | null | null | null | |
gl7qw33htpj | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This one would require you to find a large number of conservative atheists for your survey",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": ... | Plasma Ballin' | tr9b02u0f5 | public | contract | 1,718,510,942,538 | what-weird-unexpected-things-will-c | PlasmaBallin | What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey? | null | null | 193.579745 | YES | 5kwyp50sl5 | |
0k3484yfftnn | false | UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"marks": null,
"text": "NaN",
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],
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},
{
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"contractIds": n... | Greg Rosenthal | ro3tpgrVliDMJlmtT2cI | public | contract | 1,718,510,968,356 | bounty-for-reporting-manifold-bugs | gregrosent | Bounty for reporting Manifold bugs | null | null | null | null | null | |
krcjkr8xhza | false | UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"marks": null,
"text": "There are two Hufflepuff answers and no Gryffindor answer.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type":... | Greg Rosenthal | EGqAvAzJn4dQTqC4W8mC | public | contract | 1,718,511,075,878 | which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-yo | gregrosent | Which Hogwarts house do you sort Yossarian (Catch 22) into? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ozl3b6oaq9a | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"marks": null,
"text": "oops ty remaking...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | EGqAvAzJn4dQTqC4W8mC | public | contract | 1,718,511,283,716 | which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-yo | strutheo | Which Hogwarts house do you sort Yossarian (Catch 22) into? | krcjkr8xhza | null | null | null | null | |
j7si6snkci | false | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
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"label": "ForTruth",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | singer | vtj0N86CVH7fMCcuQM80 | public | contract | 1,718,511,356,951 | if-another-carrington-event-happens | singer | If another Carrington Event happens, will I be able to resolve this? | 3124k1u11sz | null | null | null | null | |
38w3uod64ux | false | ovFIUtAhsmW4CgczuBGoHSEjFI13 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "El Nino ending. I think the chances are still >50%, but this market should go down.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragr... | Stark | TPkEjiNb1wVCIGFnPcDD | public | contract | 1,718,511,412,781 | will-the-average-global-temperature | StarkLN | Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023? | null | 0.789847 | 6,547.456681 | NO | null | |
ns4ho90pmm | false | En8K1OQlFiP299l0BwZTCTZzG3Q2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Just “neko ears” is fine",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Arkhos | JurnlbMh5Jp4svlLWn8T | public | contract | 1,718,511,513,466 | cat-girl-ears-by-end-of-2029 | Arkhos | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLVY-kYDY0_k6HzlIF128JQa5QLUOlY7lidjyUHL88xWRvLMRM=s96-c | Cat girl ears by end of 2029? | 5nxnjjjceq2 | null | null | null | null |
wy76yrm26ll | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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"l... | chris (strutheo) | 61z2aj6ko1 | public | contract | 1,718,511,830,766 | market-quest-what-tier-will-the-tra | strutheo | 💎Market Quest: What tier will the traders level this market up to by the end of the year? | null | null | 77.416131 | NO | lhkvc8slc7 | |
c33t10r0r5v | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "someone was also proposing 'rock poker scissors' 🤔",
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}
],
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},
{
"attrs"... | chris (strutheo) | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,512,098,788 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | strutheo | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
3g3b1tgsekw | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "😄",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Pat Scott🩴 | JurnlbMh5Jp4svlLWn8T | public | contract | 1,718,512,436,709 | cat-girl-ears-by-end-of-2029 | Stralor | Cat girl ears by end of 2029? | 5nxnjjjceq2 | 0.182481 | 0 | YES | null | |
c6zm4vwv916 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "neko pat ears",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | JurnlbMh5Jp4svlLWn8T | public | contract | 1,718,512,525,627 | cat-girl-ears-by-end-of-2029 | shankypanky | Cat girl ears by end of 2029? | 5nxnjjjceq2 | 0.182481 | 168.394845 | YES | null | |
ajh60qit02b | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
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"l... | chris (strutheo) | ptk3lhgoqu | public | contract | 1,718,512,575,892 | which-super-smash-bros-64-character-jyz0j66dtz | strutheo | Which Super Smash Bros 64 character do you like to play as the most? | null | null | null | null | null | |
r9btsn2yapq | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I don't quite follow how this works. How many traders do we need to upgrade to each new level?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"typ... | Timothy Johnson | 61z2aj6ko1 | public | contract | 1,718,512,599,303 | market-quest-what-tier-will-the-tra | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | 💎Market Quest: What tier will traders level this market up to by the end of the year? | null | null | null | null | null |
2ntb4app77o | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
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"text": "i think its more about trading volume than traders. and if you click upgrade, you can see how much mana left to each level",
"type": "text"
... | chris (strutheo) | 61z2aj6ko1 | public | contract | 1,718,512,654,832 | market-quest-what-tier-will-the-tra | strutheo | 💎Market Quest: What tier will traders level this market up to by the end of the year? | r9btsn2yapq | null | 77.416131 | NO | lhkvc8slc7 | |
z0muu3zqv6c | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "I pretty much agree with this. Now I have the motivation to finally finish season 1 now that there is a market on it. I dropped it halfway through befo... | JRP | 0kayd0v535 | public | contract | 1,718,512,708,101 | will-house-of-the-dragon-s2e1-a-son | parhizj | Will "House of the Dragon" S2E1 ("A Son for a Son") be rated >8.7 on IMDB, 2 days after release? (S1 premiere = 8.7) | 3ilpji5kvlf | 0.56 | 259.85365 | YES | null | |
dsqef2e2gj4 | false | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "Together we can meme ",
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},
{
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... | SG | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,512,758,619 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | SG | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | null | 50 | 437.559324 | NO | null | |
e1kdl0atimg | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "please manipulate this market for a seat at the tournament table 📈",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | stefanie | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,512,947,297 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | shankypanky | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | null | 0.380319 | 24.23004 | YES | null | |
wadrd4lvgc | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "getting closer",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | hrUoioShIbKJMRAhu05b | public | contract | 1,718,512,969,242 | will-bitcoin-price-surpass-77777-be-84bd56e23481 | strutheo | Will Bitcoin price surpass $77,777 before 7/7? | null | null | null | null | null | |
xkqgpqn1et8 | false | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "ahem, we can manifest it into existence",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | SG | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,513,331,251 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | SG | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | dsqef2e2gj4 | 0.380319 | 437.559324 | NO | null | |
d6oht0w0p1 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "we can memefest it into existence ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,513,359,355 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | shankypanky | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | dsqef2e2gj4 | 0.380319 | 145.843122 | YES | null | |
2rwfuxf9jne | false | 8MEqBKc0ETbArhlgup8nsY5iajs1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "Reading the talk section of the wikipedia page makes me think that the blank ballots should not be counted so I will wait on resolving this one",
... | M | KWZC3r9XnsqQkM7O8Jkj | public | contract | 1,718,513,480,122 | will-joe-biden-get-under-88-of-the | mb | Will Joe Biden get under 88% of the vote in any of these states in the 2024 Democratic Primary? | 7crxnp175h7 | null | 337.50516 | YES | e59038124b4d | |
dgnik5frmu7 | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "That report is explicitly not an “investigation”, and does not hold an investigative mandate. [0] The investigations referred to in the report are enti... | MercurialGuesser | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,513,518,379 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | OP | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | ft36jum0lmm | 0.79808 | 348.034529 | NO | null | |
icezwzc8idb | false | G3LhSYHrymapMN91FqCFhteTKqQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
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"text": "The thruster proposal is broken down elsewhere in the comments here, but for a fan car you’re looking at something like a McMurtry Spiérling. ",
... | GM | pcKEteLEpNXEzJ4kJ9Uw | public | contract | 1,718,513,556,449 | will-tesla-have-a-060mph-1-sec-car | GtothaM | Will Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028? | d89p4f4b0i | 0.199544 | 704.963967 | NO | null | |
02d2n985jlm8 | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It may also have something to do with Israel barring access to UN investigative bodies.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "pa... | MercurialGuesser | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,513,581,946 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | OP | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | z4fo2037dq | 0.79808 | 348.034529 | NO | null |
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