id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
p1dspnd52bf | false | Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Anyone who denies that AI won't be by 2030 is deluding themselves, let alone 2035",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragrap... | blankspace737 | YUkqI0EPhMoxjferJU2d | public | contract | 1,718,536,820,629 | by-2025-will-most-welleducated-peop | stardust | By 2025, will most well-educated people expect AI to within 10 years be better at intellectual work than 99% of humans? | null | 0.126623 | 342.957091 | YES | null | |
dkgyy1z7jyv | false | Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What the past 10 years should have taught everyone is never bet against AI. Its progressing at a faster rate than the most optiimistic predictions whic... | blankspace737 | BcJbQTDX1rdmaLYGKUOz | public | contract | 1,718,537,291,300 | will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat | stardust | Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025? | null | 0.239061 | 395.702475 | YES | null | |
jfaquj7gxag | false | 9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This matches the Metaculus market’s close date. This Manifold version could be updated to end later if desired.",
"type": "text"
}
... | David Glidden | a7WqfMq9R45znElz37zX | public | contract | 1,718,538,371,554 | will-an-ai-system-be-reported-to-ha | dglid | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c | Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to
another computer system before 2033? | 7so807ln5u | null | null | null | null |
snijij5qqws | false | HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'd do it if it was less than 10k. Coming from someone with two \"natural\" children",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "parag... | Timothy Bandors | nKy4ULBxQZNHPoOWUDun | public | contract | 1,718,538,756,096 | will-it-be-revealed-that-at-least-3 | TimothyBandors | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028? | Lety0ZGd88NvVMjyaD1S | null | null | null | null |
hw43sslith | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think it's more than that. I still think it's worth it. How much would you pay for a pill that raised your IQ or your child's IQ by 5 points? Way ... | Nathan Wei | nKy4ULBxQZNHPoOWUDun | public | contract | 1,718,538,834,808 | will-it-be-revealed-that-at-least-3 | nathanwei | Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028? | Lety0ZGd88NvVMjyaD1S | null | null | null | null | |
jfeqp8egnmi | false | nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Do you not know that a man is not dead while his name is still spoken?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | Gaz Downright | Tiu2Ul6Lso8r3IdcT5pN | public | contract | 1,718,540,158,528 | will-jimmy-carter-exist-at-the-end-3ce6858d57e0 | GazDownright | Will Jimmy Carter exist at the end of July 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
scg5exgf1x8 | false | RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I admire your optimism",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Shaked Koplewitz | RAfP69qbh16Quoc2WeQD | public | contract | 1,718,540,731,485 | will-the-icj-determine-that-israel | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza? | 30h70z45bs2 | null | null | null | null |
xv4jljadpxc | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I imagine timeline-gates to be not space-continious.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"... | Kongo Landwalker | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,541,259,364 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | KongoLandwalker | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | null | null | null | |
a05wmmyodtb | false | Fbh0cUO6NGZ3rMo3qdu6qWyIVb63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Disney @ 40 square miles",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Adam Beedell | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,542,239,301 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | AdamBeedell | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLhjmtPJsI8lg6fn9j9m6kNKjlMGPYxrXtNHuqw7ABo9Q=s96-c | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | null | null | null | null | null |
wwok29sb4z | false | jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Michael Wheatley | 6qSDHpqU8H2i8r2ZvMts | public | contract | 1,718,542,943,564 | will-media-coverage-about-manifest | MichaelWheatley | Will media coverage of Manifest 2024 result in 500+ signups? | null | 0.275504 | 2,001.444252 | NO | null | |
tcqlb2u7f1q | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Christopher Randles | H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f | public | contract | 1,718,543,009,947 | coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | 🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (33 DONE) | null | null | 366.044922 | NO | b5f7218e483d |
892icsf1297 | false | qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Qoiuoiuoiu | TI4wY7MrXPBXbYLwOfun | public | contract | 1,718,543,319,269 | trump-in-or-near-cybertruck-by-2025 | Qoiuoiuoiu | Trump in or near Cybertruck by 2025 | null | 0.390656 | 24.364584 | YES | null | |
8n4cb5p6yc | false | D5g8arLKvGUoIN9B25QJIJA31HL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Wikipedia for 2019 elections says that they won 187+147=334 seats back then: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
... | Jacek | D3grDK6ynMkoro3FVH7C | public | contract | 1,718,543,361,642 | what-will-be-true-about-the-2024-eu | Jacek | What will be true about the 2024 EU Parliamentary Elections | ht5d0dcvto7 | null | 849.488643 | YES | f90c6e92a360 | |
1y39i9bjdwf | false | oCGz6skK84YejXCqZYfyRYbHWf02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It happened. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Jérémy Perret | 3WwBmIYT1ir5TKVjgALk | public | contract | 1,718,544,372,420 | will-mrbeast-release-a-video-about | JeremyPerret | Will MrBeast release a video about GiveDirectly by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
nv76shdori | false | aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "DiCaprio will mistakenly think it’s a dating site that matches his age interest. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragrap... | Tricky Duck | DABmBhaVaykYWMCFNwhQ | public | contract | 1,718,544,825,473 | who-will-acquire-23andme | TrickyDuck | Who will acquire 23andMe? | null | null | 15.631097 | YES | 9fssrn0hvl | |
y6ddq8ilm6f | false | Nf9JCMARj8cSrQTdpN9z5JMikSJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is incredible",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lambda Fairy | 3WwBmIYT1ir5TKVjgALk | public | contract | 1,718,545,073,321 | will-mrbeast-release-a-video-about | tfae | Will MrBeast release a video about GiveDirectly by the end of 2024? | 1y39i9bjdwf | null | null | null | null | |
bqswvbdkf6p | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zNNQ1oKJAKPX2GwbUODThDvBLPr1",
"label": "RobertKennedy",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "ment... | The Official | 2WgcOsviMro02kFcj6Cf | public | contract | 1,718,545,791,123 | will-the-ufl-complete-their-2024-se | 10thOfficial | Will the UFL complete their 2024 season? | null | 0.99 | 2,927.661384 | YES | null | |
o03ykcspmp | false | aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "NAA would be pronounced “nah,” as in “Tell me how you slipped through the Olympic drug screenings.” “NAA.”",
"type": "text"
}
... | Tricky Duck | hjnRluKTOLgd11u4ykX9 | public | contract | 1,718,545,916,143 | what-will-become-a-new-popular-posi | TrickyDuck | Name new popular, positive terms for genetic technology use in oneself or one's offspring [2k subsidy] | null | null | 9.446583 | YES | pu44mfh49z | |
ei60c3yt9nv | false | j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Would you bet against AI developing FTL next week? Instead of making blanket claims, each proposition should be evaluated on its own merits. ",
... | Jim Hays | BcJbQTDX1rdmaLYGKUOz | public | contract | 1,718,546,507,751 | will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat | JimHays | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c | Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025? | dkgyy1z7jyv | 0.23 | 3,356.602967 | NO | null |
uaa8bn1m6d | false | n3wkv4kEB7Z21j2zWKd8dI9UJTz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "170 classes as of 6/15",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | rolemartyr-x | YR2UuEqvQXzCny8ywYjO | public | contract | 1,718,546,518,415 | will-i-complete-my-200th-boxing-cla | rolemartyrx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIUndX5os02z4ljOJyvkhEnif4neS6T-_T5lXcS7LykH0G7=s96-c | Will I complete my 200th boxing class by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
3l2ecjjc4hm | false | DTyyXdqFjkWdnFRnL04Exf8XNBH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Are we counting tethered weather balloons?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | William May | 7eKBJxpgwK1qbgOU57J8 | public | contract | 1,718,547,427,836 | will-any-humancreated-structure-bre | willMay | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteeDrgBpYDhcDpFLfsJCcUx16JMujXQeeQhEItDcczzFNw=s96-c | Will any human-created structure break 1km in height before 2035? | null | null | null | null | null |
yye30bio6fl | false | 22vje7Gs7Ga9EJVOdaSMAJUyRtf1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Please note that Linux is currently sitting at 2.32% market share, so betting NO here means that you believe Linux market share will ",
"type... | coprod | mol2lbhPiVwilBaM2mcu | public | contract | 1,718,547,766,382 | will-linux-get-to-2-market-share-in | the_coproduct | Will Linux get to 2% market share in steam by 2025? | null | 0.876259 | 414.640278 | YES | null | |
l9k8qtq3smn | false | IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm predicting this market to be around 40% by the next chapter if kizaru is not mentioned ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type":... | Andrew | biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV | public | contract | 1,718,548,121,692 | will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine | AndrewCrosse | Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines? | null | 0.670798 | 711.866932 | NO | null | |
ridqrcwfls8 | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Current symptoms: nasal congestion so bad that it required many interventions to be able to breathe through my nose at night (Sudafed+ibuprofen+saline... | Jonathan Ray | cCKe5crr6hlARaVQvGtl | public | contract | 1,718,548,213,900 | will-my-followup-covid-test-be-posi | JonathanRay | Will my follow-up covid test be positive? | null | null | null | null | null | |
37i56ouahr7 | false | b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Huh. Weird. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"ty... | Muga Sofer | D3grDK6ynMkoro3FVH7C | public | contract | 1,718,548,320,955 | what-will-be-true-about-the-2024-eu | MugaSofer | What will be true about the 2024 EU Parliamentary Elections | ht5d0dcvto7 | null | 1,823.864813 | YES | 4134195c2889 | |
ewa0utq90c8 | false | 8F51KnOVikcy57eEkJ2QxMEjSqZ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2",
"label": "1941159478",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention... | Scott Supak | 2pOaWvsuFpEf8dLgBL8d | public | contract | 1,718,548,969,310 | what-will-bidens-approval-rating-at | ScottSupak | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c | What will Biden's approval rating at 538 be on 6/30? | null | null | 148.203575 | YES | cnbg187h4a |
c0m2j1u29q6 | false | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How do we improve the liquidity here?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"al... | Tyler | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,549,408,076 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | Tyler31 | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | null | null | 1,756.523271 | NO | 21176624aeb8 | |
g1b28n9a39f | false | RK6Nd7IBfMVOcLekfqcN9Ys17qJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Adding this for correctness, legitimate violence is a subset of violence, and therefore claiming that it doesn't have a monopoly on violence is false. ... | Peter Njeim | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,549,513,252 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | PeterNjeim | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKEfIjg6agfzK10gUG7Pht9z6y3O1nV87K7pQwUqKf_0HE=s96-c | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | vai971orhc | null | null | null | null |
otjg1of0sw | false | NIDSXnqp4yUVKjlSF1NMrUw0Dbx1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | protomer | i6iwnxebsp | public | contract | 1,718,549,564,577 | how-much-antiesg-activism-will-sp-5 | promisemender | How much anti-ESG activism will S&P 500 companies face in 2025 relative to 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
tofl4qz9mkm | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Are people betting this so high just because of AI doom and charter cities? I think if the government willingly cedes 26mi^2 to a charter city for a ... | Jonathan Ray | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,549,608,023 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | JonathanRay | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | null | null | null | null | null | |
peb54cr0uj | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I disagree that they never lie. And they also strategically don’t answer questions that they clearly could so as to minimize what can be inferred from ... | Ansel | ffw69DcLpVxzF9hpapiz | public | contract | 1,718,549,823,746 | will-the-jelly-fish-ufo-video-authe | Ansel | Will the jelly fish UFO video authenticity be confirmed by the pentagon or DoD by December 31, 2025 | xUFRc2d9rZThfR36jIrL | null | null | null | null | |
a2d2fnxhqij | false | e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "We need to post limit orders or all add something to the liquidity pool.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | gigab0nus | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,549,855,558 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | gigab0nus | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 530.821383 | YES | 6f2a573b2cbf | |
51cq61ntgis | false | hmqpIVl4jzgEqvqaeWRfAfYxzXG2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hey got rejected from the Dartmouth waitlist, closing this now.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"t... | Faraz Ahmed | mIrNFcGgHwanYG3SvJeR | public | contract | 1,718,549,936,823 | i-applied-to-over-20-colleges-in-rd | FarazAhmed | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKPTkEOaUPqN-YkUOdSbf5k0fR959abxOJHko5Ja6mOwLM=s96-c | I applied to over 20 colleges in RD season as an International needing aid. Which ones would I get into? | null | null | null | null | null |
gvtwdv75e9q | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1",
"label": "Tyler31",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Universal FC ⚽ | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,550,010,665 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | UniversalFC | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 952.811267 | YES | 6f2a573b2cbf | |
b5l73jnmc3c | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Maybe I had latent covid since 6/9ish but staying out all night on 6/13 finally weakened my immune system enough to make it symptomatic. Maybe my flu... | Jonathan Ray | cCKe5crr6hlARaVQvGtl | public | contract | 1,718,550,204,348 | will-my-followup-covid-test-be-posi | JonathanRay | Will my follow-up covid test be positive? | null | null | null | null | null | |
lldncsfmzul | false | yQJobnzBK3aJFoYH6jl8Ns1M2Di2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Denmark is trash.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Hans Koch | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,550,276,719 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | HansKoch | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7hFX4KMfBUEsfWkR5M2v6T2xtOT8VaheyE7hqwyx6ryg5cw=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | null | null | 295.711455 | YES | 69416dc5e39c |
ex6j2pqqmhq | false | 7L0vEaY5mghx33qU9XQBwXg25x73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It's the sort of think Musk would do, agreed.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ponti Min | nKy4ULBxQZNHPoOWUDun | public | contract | 1,718,550,466,453 | will-it-be-revealed-that-at-least-3 | PontiMin | Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028? | Lety0ZGd88NvVMjyaD1S | null | null | null | null | |
oa29ettxnqa | false | JbR42honqBfz9TCHnHk0JGERPit2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vVRJosxGdPhS3qZVG1h8IboRZIs2",
"label": "TiredCliche",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | $aturation | lHUfBELcZRdOSdLQoTwl | public | contract | 1,718,550,812,028 | will-lex-fridman-interview-volodymy | smokey | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKqNxgPFHnX0iy5ad3wtLe11iFMhuFJfWYG6Cpg1vnJvoewVQ=s96-c | Will Lex Fridman interview Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2024? | kg825d0vyv9 | 0.324925 | 81.566129 | NO | null |
sm27qqamw6 | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It would be surprising if soldiers engaging in a barbaric first strike of indiscriminate mass murder of civilians & hostage taking didn’t also rape som... | Jonathan Ray | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,551,199,440 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | JonathanRay | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | null | null | null | null | null | |
gvpxcj8x4up | false | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Positive",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text":... | PhilosophyBear | tr9b02u0f5 | public | contract | 1,718,551,305,574 | what-weird-unexpected-things-will-c | PhilosophyBear | What weird unexpected things will correlate with being a conservative in my planned omnibus correlational survey? | 5gly5jdb1wa | null | null | null | null | |
4h6ilppf2ij | false | 2BsWEpeUpKRqI5dJq1V4UWk0fkd2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You should try the query “Is pi^pi^pi^pi \\in \\mathbb{Z}?”. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"typ... | Arre | vfuupIy5bVrDmiKz4EJ2 | public | contract | 1,718,551,334,284 | is-pipipipi-an-integer | Arre | Is pi^pi^pi^pi an integer? | 0S0wLuTH4vbb2B1PDgiU | null | null | null | null | |
xmzx1o9y6y | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What do you mean? Equal opportunity is the whole point of socialism. Those who work harder are rewarded for it. Workers are paid a fair wage for th... | Snarflak | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,718,551,391,704 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | Snarflak | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | 7sc1g6aywoj | null | 621.897736 | NO | 5f6db2f28df6 | |
wao6pv4vdk9 | false | Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "25% is way too high a probability !",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"mark... | Dan Elton | dd7xzz1Nvopy1ojZcR6x | public | contract | 1,718,551,460,061 | will-lighthaven-shut-down-in-2024-d | delton | Will Lighthaven shut down in 2024 due to lack of funds? | null | 0.22 | 502.646428 | NO | null | |
40nj3yk3jto | false | I2bVfkY49dQ54suiyzZ2SN15QZA3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Why is Mario Kart 9 a higher percentage than Mario Kart 10? Am I misinterpreting the rules?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type":... | Kraalnaxx | ibDBCrvI3WN9bU1GnFJO | public | contract | 1,718,551,542,894 | which-of-these-100-video-games-will | Kraalnaxx | 🎮Which of these 100 video games will release LAST (or after 2040) in chronological order? (1 DONE) | null | null | null | null | null | |
9lsij9v43tp | false | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It seems like something is broken with how bad the prices swing. There were enough positions on the Netherlands game I wouldn’t have expected that. ",
... | Tyler | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,551,544,835 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | Tyler31 | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 1,651.821282 | NO | 69416dc5e39c | |
oonvp4e71f | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "PkBnU8cAZiOLa0fjxiUzMKsFMYZ2",
"label": "horse",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ansel | X9NDYkvPdFGnManadWqJ | public | contract | 1,718,551,672,260 | if-eliezer-yudkowsky-loses-his-bet | Ansel | If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why? | null | null | 447.392127 | YES | 22b8fe0f9869 | |
pe8wm3zzfms | false | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Currently the probabilities in this market add up to 108%: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content... | M L | 8kzzo9ex10 | public | contract | 1,718,551,678,459 | free-mana-will-20-free-profit-oppor | ML12d1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c | FREE MANA: Will 20 free profit opportunities be shared and taken by the end of July? | null | null | null | null | null |
v1eck1zwjhn | false | ZxeJ69vdBeN4qoUJ1Sf9JZjPYgF2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | KiWiiU | SUe6veYYBzcETvSpf5h4 | public | contract | 1,718,551,725,803 | will-oppenheimer-win-best-picture-a-603b8110eee5 | KiWiiU | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZvAtIf79h7TzS-fEoD5CT_JPUPi6MDOpjCGT11lh-UW0t1SJl=s96-c | Will Oppenheimer win best picture AND Bitcoin reach $70K AND Nintendo announce a new console by EOY 2024? | null | 0.91 | 463.225474 | NO | null |
u3n34rdpk3i | false | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Jack | yqX34aCKYMoZAscZNcXQ | public | contract | 1,718,551,804,907 | which-publications-will-write-about | jack | Which publications will write about Manifest in June 2024? | null | null | 918.544306 | YES | ewasxs5xi8 | |
7rrn6bas7ne | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ah, makes sense. Although if I’m not mistaken, you also submitted ‘UFOs are time travelers’?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type"... | Ansel | X9NDYkvPdFGnManadWqJ | public | contract | 1,718,551,908,579 | if-eliezer-yudkowsky-loses-his-bet | Ansel | If Eliezer Yudkowsky loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what is the reason why? | ikb3ey0yx8n | null | 447.392127 | YES | 22b8fe0f9869 | |
brq4mi1apu | false | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The most important criteria, though, are about the future.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"... | Steve Sokolowski | CD010okuK8AWLkGaQaUT | public | contract | 1,718,551,912,490 | who-will-be-trumps-vp-nominee | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | Who will be Trump’s VP Nominee? | 7lpr7ki5qmy | null | null | null | null |
xtqkk3ttpfe | false | Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Rubio doesn't seem to have a commanding presence though. It's not just about looks, it's how they speak and their comfort on stage or in front of came... | Dan Elton | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,718,551,972,113 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | delton | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | bnggvhdfpr4 | null | 8,167.576624 | YES | 68097f122634 | |
p98qxmwall | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is anyone keeping track of day-to-day data?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mqrius | 8WvobuEpJHRMvpCzcPK0 | public | contract | 1,718,551,980,915 | will-june-2024-be-the-hottest-june | Mqrius | Will June 2024 be the hottest June on record? | null | 0.905335 | 555.342189 | YES | null | |
qc0hlxj4by9 | false | Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Glenn Youngkin is too low at only 3%. Trump recently met with Youngkin. Strategically, a moderate makes the most sense for Trump. Additionally, Youngki... | Dan Elton | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,718,552,094,166 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | delton | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | null | null | 8,167.576624 | YES | 68097f122634 | |
her0o1mqpl | false | uDqNyh5nDgf8IAu3nv2v2DD7Q743 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What is the resolution criteria here?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dmitry Okunev | bZos9A2Uk8vkqpyQgYwL | public | contract | 1,718,552,129,811 | do-oneway-functions-exist | DmitryOkunev | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKyfJlIXVF2dpdc-Xvx_Z1TmFz2kh56YKbw6i64iCGI=s96-c | Do One-Way Functions exist? | null | null | null | null | null |
l4x9ja9qwte | false | sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ZxeJ69vdBeN4qoUJ1Sf9JZjPYgF2",
"label": "KiWiiU",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Jony | SUe6veYYBzcETvSpf5h4 | public | contract | 1,718,552,166,826 | will-oppenheimer-win-best-picture-a-603b8110eee5 | Jony | Will Oppenheimer win best picture AND Bitcoin reach $70K AND Nintendo announce a new console by EOY 2024? | v1eck1zwjhn | 0.91 | 3,614.380695 | YES | null | |
649p5zmuc6j | false | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "No, the spirit of the question is attempting to ask the question \"At time of market creation, is there intelligent non-human life orginating from eart... | Elliot Davies | dm0p41bsnt | public | contract | 1,718,552,460,047 | complex-communication-with-a-nonhum | ElliotDavies | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050 | rfqcgkwwvq | null | null | null | null |
pz5gn2gz6fr | false | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "In retrospect, base rate in Open Relationships is probably much lower than monogamous relationships ",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Elliot Davies | rzE0Lgqg1bMaylY7Ry0y | public | contract | 1,718,552,678,341 | will-i-be-in-a-relationship-with-m | ElliotDavies | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | Will I be in a relationship with M****** on July 31 of 2024 | CpwWZ5q2fNUyBGNddKjA | null | null | null | null |
wsz5t8621jg | false | 4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I like it. I think the multi-choice and numeric ones were literally the same except for the UI. But this one makes some bets more or less leveraged, ri... | Johnny Ten-Numbers | 2pOaWvsuFpEf8dLgBL8d | public | contract | 1,718,552,745,707 | what-will-bidens-approval-rating-at | 1941159478 | What will Biden's approval rating at 538 be on 6/30? | ewa0utq90c8 | null | 26.775535 | NO | mnnaxex4hy | |
7ehezff34ds | false | mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What happens if the plan changes such that Artemis 3 is no longer planned to be a moon landing (which would get delayed to Artemis 4 or later)?",
... | Simon Westlake | Bts0idu6vXJnJR2JrInZ | public | contract | 1,718,552,903,980 | how-many-rocket-launches-will-be-ne | SimonWestlake | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c | How many rocket launches will be needed for the Artemis III human moon-landing mission? | null | null | 314.489358 | YES | dd24167b8c11 |
hojl1u0zoho | false | bFuNwkqX9qZt8d4IJTalGkRlt3n2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yes but traditionally cohabitation only occurs if the opposing side is able to secure a parliamentary majority coalition. Even if they were to repeat t... | Eric Bolton | xfKNVBbOlXuuYUg3VqXu | public | contract | 1,718,552,909,138 | who-will-succed-to-gabriel-attal-as | EricBolton | Who will succed to Gabriel Attal as a Prime Minister of France consecutively to the Parliament dissolution ? | tcsjupcx8n | null | 78.106685 | NO | z0rj63z75n | |
foc91gkbkaf | false | OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I tried this with GPT-4o (which is free on ChatGPT now) and it gave the correct answer 2/3 times. The last time it talked about the Hall effect for a w... | Caleb Biddulph | uPKyiKzHz73ypVSzJGHd | public | contract | 1,718,553,244,155 | will-chatgpt-get-the-monty-hall-eff | CDBiddulph | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfnooldvqsfyLB7ZRjdJceJURCVsUcLn8Ir7VvJneRY2A=s96-c | Will ChatGPT get the Monty *Hall effect* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024? | null | 0.392199 | 919.620149 | YES | null |
2kimev6ph83 | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What was the pivot date? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
... | Christopher Randles | RULPK0g10L9sTwUBqj4z | public | contract | 1,718,553,339,331 | one-year-after-the-pivot-will-over | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Six months after the pivot, will 50% of legacy Manifold users report they like the site more than before the changes? | null | null | null | null | null |
q23wg20j5ci | false | mrWm2AuHgjSoVgeYNvyCpUVcvpm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "as much as i like kizaru they probably gonna be sitting out the rest of egghead til its over sadly",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Abraham | biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV | public | contract | 1,718,553,649,575 | will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine | Abraham2a3c | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7_tb_QD4TPXfXyzHc5i54_w1wuVUUR9Y4ONcVNMiZ=s96-c | Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines? | l9k8qtq3smn | 0.670798 | 2.00239 | YES | null |
0hclscqksyss | false | Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "time zone?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | vibhav | irsqMLlgaO9LqfLqWrpI | public | contract | 1,718,553,753,705 | will-this-market-have-an-odd-number-2113b753541d | vibhav | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c | Will this market have an odd number of traders by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
te6se1ju23 | false | ZxeJ69vdBeN4qoUJ1Sf9JZjPYgF2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | KiWiiU | Wr4MSYCH2nX25GfFTLbC | public | contract | 1,718,554,106,720 | will-nintendo-release-a-successor-t-43026d71cdfe | KiWiiU | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZvAtIf79h7TzS-fEoD5CT_JPUPi6MDOpjCGT11lh-UW0t1SJl=s96-c | Will Nintendo release a successor to their Switch console before the end of February 2025? | null | 0.319402 | 128.263929 | NO | null |
10q4avt3nam | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "never mind apparently txn fees/traders dont contribute toward upgrading market tiers, only boosting/subsidizing does",
"type": "text"
... | chris (strutheo) | 61z2aj6ko1 | public | contract | 1,718,554,442,705 | market-quest-what-tier-will-the-tra | strutheo | 💎Market Quest: What tier will traders level this market up to by the end of the year? | null | null | 133.079669 | NO | lhkvc8slc7 | |
62ve07i6ag | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "He said this at the end of his speech yesterday ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": nu... | Charlie Bauer | LXrTdCOO1uoi1tUo30V4 | public | contract | 1,718,554,588,025 | what-will-donald-trump-promise-to-d | CharlieBauer | What will Donald Trump promise to do in June 2024? (free response) | null | null | 1,082.437848 | YES | bz2vn88r9y | |
bg74bym9ieh | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "this would be solid reasoning if trump was a remotely strategic person",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | Savior of Plant | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,718,554,659,815 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | qc0hlxj4by9 | null | 19,771.360431 | YES | 59badb9482e3 |
8q33jfpq965 | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If there was an option for “he’s the best person currently alive” I would have picked that ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type":... | Charlie Bauer | l2k3t9ejp1 | public | contract | 1,718,554,772,292 | which-of-the-following-is-true-abou | CharlieBauer | Which of the following is true about Elon Musk? | null | null | null | null | null | |
9moa20oij4p | false | yQJobnzBK3aJFoYH6jl8Ns1M2Di2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Denmark is not even famous for their trolls, that is how trash they are.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | Hans Koch | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,554,928,446 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | HansKoch | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL7hFX4KMfBUEsfWkR5M2v6T2xtOT8VaheyE7hqwyx6ryg5cw=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | lldncsfmzul | null | 732.396131 | YES | 69416dc5e39c |
j75srxje48 | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Universal FC ⚽ | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,555,086,544 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | UniversalFC | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 952.811267 | YES | 6f2a573b2cbf | |
1ssfzjqhq08j | false | VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Right, and remember his dainty sip from an even daintier water bottle? Disqualifying, in our age of post-modern politics:",
"type": "text"
... | Al Quinn | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,718,555,218,419 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | bnggvhdfpr4 | null | 247.11735 | NO | 93a1f2f817df |
3dikb877c6l | false | fnYl3YDoUjXvGNrj72EZvKCbHR83 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "When I wrote this question I was interested in both 1) and 2) . So as long as the option to give to \"earplugs in Bangladesh against noise pollution\" ... | Lorenzo | Lt81Vx5fVyOEKw01sM3B | public | contract | 1,718,555,304,317 | will-givewells-recommendations-age | Lorenzo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhzcpHjwZ67O8HADuUYEMWdxEt94d8LT4MtPpRpc6o=s96-c | Will GiveWell's recommendations age poorly, by 2026? | dxrc37zzckw | null | null | null | null |
9hojppo071u | false | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will that be enough to fix the problem? If so, I’ll pay half (can i still send mana??) ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attr... | Tyler | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,555,420,060 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | Tyler31 | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 1,163.844093 | NO | 69416dc5e39c | |
i5na3wawjki | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mNU1f9Cb2cfYsYFGHdwniANPhZd2",
"label": "Maxaa4a1",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Joshua | w9qxj1f8oz | public | contract | 1,718,555,658,626 | will-joe-biden-be-replaced-as-the-d | Joshua | Will Joe Biden be replaced as the 2024 Democratic candidate? | null | null | null | null | null | |
s9h6a0i88c | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "it currently seems to be plus, I didn't do anything, is that enough liquidity or did you want more?",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | jackson polack | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,555,751,129 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | null | null | null |
ac46lpd8wbj | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1",
"label": "Tyler31",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Universal FC ⚽ | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,555,966,726 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | UniversalFC | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 952.811267 | YES | 6f2a573b2cbf | |
n15weiy6ut | false | H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lan... | Earl Kelly | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,102,374 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | EarlKelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | lldncsfmzul | null | null | null | null |
nbo6icdmdnf | false | H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2",
"label": "10thOfficial",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Earl Kelly | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,718,556,237,092 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | EarlKelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | null | null | 644.997354 | YES | eca0885814f3 |
7ql7z5eicir | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "that’s not completely mysterious, maybe people don’t have better / more certain options ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | Ansel | b2v3iudszf | public | contract | 1,718,556,300,635 | resolves-yes-on-jan-1-2029 | Ansel | Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029 | w72olt8ike | null | null | null | null | |
ljd2sk7bu4 | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Plus literally just means '10k or higher liquidity' it's the exact same liquidity pool measurement as before tiers",
"type": "text"
}... | jackson polack | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,306,273 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | null | null | null |
gpf3v8th567 | false | H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2",
"label": "10thOfficial",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Earl Kelly | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,718,556,308,630 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | EarlKelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | null | null | 644.997354 | YES | eca0885814f3 |
5h3s2jb77i4 | false | n1ZFS428CKRTVF5xiAJJHsfGfss2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This week's episode was garbage, lmao. The entire thing was just \"omg, who's it gonna be, who's gonna be the big bad\", and there was no emotional ten... | Najawin | dsutqw2s9x | public | contract | 1,718,556,416,292 | will-see-description-appear-in-the | Najawin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIeT2AGuhQ3RJ_aXRU0h-DIVlDI88KHt7zuAy_NJ6l5=s96-c | Will [see description] appear in the Season finale of Doctor Who? | mqsuys9u8p9 | 0.426157 | 211.048987 | YES | null |
9mkvqx88915 | false | RqRkNuiib7U9HjfyyhiKcPwN0Z83 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Why does that mean it should resolve as N/A?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Andrew Hebb | whWcO1JAt1tVafY15XSs | public | contract | 1,718,556,506,619 | will-googles-gemini-beat-gpt4-in-te | AndrewHebb | Will Google's Gemini beat GPT4 in terms of capabilities on release? | 1q6uz31wohu | 0.220404 | 3,100.131998 | NO | null | |
omhaez56m1n | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "liquidity adding for mc markets seems broken lol",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jackson polack | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,634,463 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | null | null | null |
dhhscph004f | false | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Lol I was hoping it was the case. How can we fix?!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tyler | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,687,507 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | Tyler31 | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 1,119.061003 | NO | e5e3f852d31c | |
r1rnsg95n7n | false | H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3",
"label": "UniversalFC",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Earl Kelly | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,732,347 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | EarlKelly | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 507.246453 | NO | 69416dc5e39c |
aqgy2g8ml3 | false | e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2",
"label": "EarlKelly",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"... | gigab0nus | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,556,949,165 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | gigab0nus | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | c0m2j1u29q6 | null | 530.821383 | YES | 6f2a573b2cbf | |
pn4n4g04kkg | false | sTPfQiHMUHYtccdM1yL4LqW2BxQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "That's fine, simply pointing out that the question title seems different than the criteria. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type"... | Håkon Egset Harnes | Lt81Vx5fVyOEKw01sM3B | public | contract | 1,718,556,960,000 | will-givewells-recommendations-age | HakonEgsetHarnes | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtestNl4QHWmNiT0lMlj8r39Q4VL3g0qAVjfGEwDy2Vjsg=s96-c | Will GiveWell's recommendations age poorly, by 2026? | dxrc37zzckw | 0.264378 | 211.250715 | NO | null |
qq8hht9i6q9 | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "If I'm reading the ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
... | Evan | W1bfcM4m77fSemB0h9rh | public | contract | 1,718,556,970,387 | will-inflation-in-argentina-for-202 | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | Will inflation in Argentina for 2024 be... | null | null | 3,068.977571 | NO | docbg4b4wc |
ji2z56lcaeo | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "this is waaaaaaay better",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ben Shindel | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,557,006,872 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | c33t10r0r5v | null | null | null | null |
lx8b22tweom | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | stefanie | 6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf | public | contract | 1,718,557,020,824 | what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef | shankypanky | What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN] | null | null | 1,663.517177 | YES | dfe86c906f7a | |
vtfdtk1jfm | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I feel like you could give each player three tokens (with rock, paper, and scissors on them) and have them slide to the center and flip over at the sam... | Ben Shindel | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,557,048,283 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
grkkakd86pk | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "no Ben! ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,557,085,116 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | shankypanky | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | vtfdtk1jfm | 0.120597 | 145.843122 | YES | null | |
l6pxwzia39h | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Thanks 🧡 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | 6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf | public | contract | 1,718,557,118,051 | what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN] | lx8b22tweom | null | 0 | YES | 8e9d07a81f93 |
16n1hg41drp | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "convenient time for the site to freeze and reject my bet of course 🙃 looks like it got in partially - happy father's day to me lol",
"type":... | stefanie | 6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf | public | contract | 1,718,557,187,855 | what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef | shankypanky | What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN] | lx8b22tweom | null | 1,663.517177 | YES | dfe86c906f7a | |
ut9wckc82y | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "the tokens could be really cool",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ben Shindel | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,557,205,162 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | vtfdtk1jfm | null | null | null | null |
h8didwjrae | false | XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Oa8lKJXI9AZWPV2welD0bq6wzng1",
"label": "axr",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Jacy | g1xAEepbmskkLd90vSWb | public | contract | 1,718,557,207,208 | will-gpt2chatbot-rank-the-highest-i | Jacy | Will gpt2-chatbot rank the highest in chatbot arena by the end of May 2024? | null | 0.939129 | 1,272.683545 | YES | null | |
oqifh2cwjf | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "you could even have your own personalized set of tokens",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "d... | Ben Shindel | lv41nqg73m | public | contract | 1,718,557,219,310 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | vtfdtk1jfm | null | null | null | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.