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"l... | Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising | gcma0qv358 | public | contract | 1,718,526,203,474 | will-kelly-jean-be-on-jstlk-s-strea | Tumbles | Will Kelly Jean be on jstlk 's stream again before the end of June? | 2mcl3yd93hg | 0.760218 | 121.895829 | YES | null | |
qft1g1k9ou | false | nbI9r6hdKiT4j2qdWGK63g4UNsm1 | {
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"text": "Fair enough. The only thing I'm surprised by is that the Spiérling only has twin motors. Surely you'd want 4 wheel drive for this?",
"type": ... | Mqrius | pcKEteLEpNXEzJ4kJ9Uw | public | contract | 1,718,526,662,186 | will-tesla-have-a-060mph-1-sec-car | Mqrius | Will Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028? | d89p4f4b0i | null | null | null | null | |
e2c2w2b238r | false | zghUFlG4NuZ9tCjV2zRBaBi4WS92 | {
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} | Rana G | i32ddLzkBWaCpO7Pv4d1 | public | contract | 1,718,527,120,048 | in-what-career-path-will-i-be-in-ju | RanaG | In what career path will @RanaG be in June 2025? | 6krf65cjsg | null | 0 | NO | 1qel7gonef | |
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"text": "What equal opportunity do you have under socialism? Also the lefts redistributive policies like affirmative action and DEI are the opposite of fair..."... | blankspace737 | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,718,527,943,076 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | stardust | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | null | null | 60.221381 | YES | s0efm1hg2r | |
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"text": "Videos on the Photomolecular effect: ",
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},
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"ma... | GooGhoul | xxmlmljko5 | public | contract | 1,718,527,973,710 | will-there-be-any-industrial-or-com | GooGhoul | Will there be any industrial or commercial uses of the Photomolecular effect by 2035? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "The “driven without a helmet” was a temporary thing until Shakeel clarified that it doesn’t matter; the current clarification in the description supers... | Mikhail Samin⚡️ | pcKEteLEpNXEzJ4kJ9Uw | public | contract | 1,718,528,420,084 | will-tesla-have-a-060mph-1-sec-car | ms | Will Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028? | yxi09lmpjkp | null | null | null | null | |
z9jmubsz4i | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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"text": "This market reeks of toxic perfectionism",
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],
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],
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} | Ansel | ckW33mqy3uKq7Hx28i7w | public | contract | 1,718,529,056,020 | will-manifold-ever-stop-misresolvin | Ansel | Will Manifold ever stop misresolving their own markets? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vuplko9j84m | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
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"text": "It'd just be that if time travel exists & if you go back in time then you'd have always have gone back in time in the first place, so any changes you m... | GooGhoul | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,529,348,997 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | GooGhoul | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | dQKl3EcTD5nMmcaAoF0K | null | 23.47199 | YES | 55d216be8e6b | |
0yqetydjlzz9 | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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"text": "I don't think dynamic timeline is incoherent, it just requires at least one additional time dimension",
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],
... | Ansel | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,529,508,090 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | Ansel | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | iETHMwWtzJeC3eyyD9GP | null | 69.078996 | YES | aa793410a1f8 | |
uwhzzh5rb1 | false | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | {
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"text": "Apologies. I was going off of the Mission Report linked below.",
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}
],
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... | MercurialGuesser | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,530,260,707 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | OP | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | ft36jum0lmm | 0.809065 | 348.034529 | NO | null | |
jidpavwjab9 | false | hRoFYeiB5Ef4wpXb4gZiPuJRJnf2 | {
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"text": "😅 Lol, please help me convince the manigods 🙏",
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}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lay | 7m2nnucz6n | public | contract | 1,718,530,761,395 | will-london-reach-35c-or-higher-any | Lay284 | Will London reach 35°C or higher anytime this year? | jqq89qhd1c | null | null | null | null | |
y7yjd9kh1c | false | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | {
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"text": "I like this question, because it's helpful to specify where on the timeline--from de facto loss of control to military confrontation--this market would... | AdamK | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,530,916,281 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | AdamK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | adoq0v910eo | null | null | null | null |
7xsumzs1ct9 | false | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | {
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"text": "Haiti, Syria, and Yemen are examples that would probably count today.",
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]... | AdamK | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,531,113,153 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | AdamK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | c0m1aijhqf | null | null | null | null |
fcibaino46s | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
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"text": "HPMoR's fixed timeline is super fun, it almost makes me want our timeline to be a fixed timeline.",
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},
{
... | GooGhoul | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,531,176,511 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | GooGhoul | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | 23.47199 | YES | 55d216be8e6b | |
22gwhjmduzd | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
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"text": "Other is performing pretty well, but what exactly are you expecting other to be?",
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"attrs": nul... | GooGhoul | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,531,365,252 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | GooGhoul | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | null | null | 23.47199 | YES | 55d216be8e6b | |
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"text": "I would add that the A/HRC/56/23 document (a .doc file contrary to the more detailed .pdf files) is probably the most authoritative and succinct docume... | hansvb | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,531,494,622 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | hansvb | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ_EdNAoax_sKyNBDGr5D6wOxydkbGkOGb8oEaJZT0c384=s96-c | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | ft36jum0lmm | 0.764034 | 74.529363 | YES | null |
last21kshth | false | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | {
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... | Martin Modrák | 2Xps0MV8vGywffWEu2GN | public | contract | 1,718,532,048,190 | if-trump-is-still-in-the-race-will-b6f272d1b139 | MartinModrak | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c | If Trump is still in the race, will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Illinois Republican presidential primary? | null | 0.010011 | 14.754672 | NO | null |
g2gwym81m9u | false | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | {
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"text": "I'd say the bar should be really high for organized crime to count. It is not enough for the activity to be hard to completely root out, like Dark Net ... | AdamK | hiypdy59y6 | public | contract | 1,718,532,750,515 | will-it-be-widely-understood-that-t | AdamK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035? | o9wsexf5drr | null | null | null | null |
e0ge4fnz6xg | false | 1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2 | {
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"text": "Another month, another bond",
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],
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} | aenews | 8WvobuEpJHRMvpCzcPK0 | public | contract | 1,718,532,768,904 | will-june-2024-be-the-hottest-june | aenews | Will June 2024 be the hottest June on record? | null | 0.903839 | 39,580.83674 | YES | null | |
ual6xtmaobr | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
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"text": "This can resolve NO. There have been cases this year, so it cannot be the case that there have been no cases for three years before 2027.",
"... | Bruno | XHQIBHD4GseUsyJgjLRw | public | contract | 1,718,532,805,484 | will-polio-be-eradicated-before-202 | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will polio be eradicated before 2027? | null | null | null | null | null |
ausnu5qsn9 | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
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"text": "You take atomic clock in timeline A and jump to timeline B in hope to have 2 clocks at a time.",
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],
"typ... | Kongo Landwalker | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,532,830,230 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | KongoLandwalker | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | null | null | null | |
5d0o958ikir | false | nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2 | {
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"text": "I wonder if wearing a helmet makes you feel safer, causing complacency, and actually increasing the overall risk of head injury.",
"type": "t... | Gaz Downright | qbzp0UMp450ZEymlpg6u | public | contract | 1,718,533,352,502 | will-i-see-anyone-other-than-myself | GazDownright | Will I see anyone other than myself wearing a helmet in a car before the end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
m3wrk4xlkrl | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
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"text": "Hmm, what about just bringng a cable connection to a Stratum 0 reference clock back in your own timeline & using it to predict the precise time on the ... | GooGhoul | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,533,668,270 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | GooGhoul | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | 23.47199 | YES | 55d216be8e6b | |
zfqrsf2yihm | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
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"l... | RemNi | wKbR2SFRJY8I5ZIEbcfN | public | contract | 1,718,533,771,325 | will-russia-launch-major-offensive-9c5e3e376432 | RemNi | Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September? | null | 0.248726 | 0 | YES | null | |
msl1imz0tif | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
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"l... | RemNi | wKbR2SFRJY8I5ZIEbcfN | public | contract | 1,718,533,785,474 | will-russia-launch-major-offensive-9c5e3e376432 | RemNi | Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September? | zfqrsf2yihm | 0.248726 | 0 | YES | null | |
eb35n4nfxi6 | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
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"text": "I do not understand the cable idea.",
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"co... | Kongo Landwalker | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,534,092,710 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | KongoLandwalker | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | null | null | null | |
i8ndvw4ew7i | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
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{
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"text": "I’m thinking wormholes or something like it will be the most likely way that time travel works yeah",
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],
... | GooGhoul | GP7FeJsbtU5Uh2efttSS | public | contract | 1,718,534,207,699 | if-we-discover-time-travel-what-kin | GooGhoul | If we discover time travel, what kind will it be? | vi75c04qcg | null | 23.47199 | YES | 55d216be8e6b | |
fhwbdhd9bfh | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | RemNi | xfKNVBbOlXuuYUg3VqXu | public | contract | 1,718,534,213,400 | who-will-succed-to-gabriel-attal-as | RemNi | Who will succed to Gabriel Attal as a Prime Minister of France consecutively to the Parliament dissolution ? | tcsjupcx8n | null | null | null | null | |
0uqv55h39bzb | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
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"l... | RemNi | xfKNVBbOlXuuYUg3VqXu | public | contract | 1,718,534,473,827 | who-will-succed-to-gabriel-attal-as | RemNi | Who will succed to Gabriel Attal as a Prime Minister of France consecutively to the Parliament dissolution ? | tcsjupcx8n | null | null | null | null | |
1okmj41uqif | false | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | {
"content": [
{
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"text": "Does this include robot-created structures if the humans created the robots? I would guess no.",
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}
],
"typ... | Martin Randall | 7eKBJxpgwK1qbgOU57J8 | public | contract | 1,718,534,651,926 | will-any-humancreated-structure-bre | MartinRandall | Will any human-created structure break 1km in height before 2035? | null | null | null | null | null | |
dt6oly5ngoc | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
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{
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{
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"text": "UEFA has not implemented the blue card in their rulebook for Euro 2024.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
... | Universal FC ⚽ | HXDovWhn6vMUkOr33Nkj | public | contract | 1,718,535,797,754 | will-any-player-get-a-blue-card-at-051e1b7cae69 | UniversalFC | Will any player get a blue card at the 2024 Euro Cup? | null | null | null | null | null | |
dozr9j95d7w | false | 6w0gfA9hJ5T6hqZOhyTZA2kAM913 | {
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Noah | YjxGSpTMl7VzafTG74Lf | public | contract | 1,718,536,144,733 | who-will-the-anc-form-a-minority-go | noaht2 | Who will the ANC form a minority government with? | null | null | 3,174.407096 | NO | nfew0ryo6r | |
6almgydhj2c | false | RyBSY9RP8weKsA6JOaSqPjFQFoi2 | {
"content": [
{
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{
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"text": "The challenge is to generate \"basically any photo\", not just an image with the same face.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type":... | na pewno | Z4k6Fp0dshmFgArG0JFT | public | contract | 1,718,536,674,956 | instant-deepfakes-of-anyone-before | na_pewno | Instant deepfakes of anyone before the end of 2024? | dap28i5zom5 | 0.133747 | 4,054.138138 | NO | null |
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