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... | SirCryptomind | 3S8p2GOiP5rZxhcebZul | public | contract | 1,718,892,442,639 | -will-the-sp-500-indexspinx-close-h-17e3f57ffc51 | SirCryptomind | 🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Higher Than 5,499.99 At Any Point During 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Lion | 6hYD2rWpYvTquhDnufcj | public | contract | 1,718,893,014,273 | bulls-vs-bears-will-the-sp-500-hit-9632da1d8fde | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,500.00 before 4,500.00? | null | 0.98978 | 7,657.743449 | YES | null |
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... | Haws | 5lSzAKdJ4un2AuEKnRSl | public | contract | 1,718,894,412,157 | fairlyrandom-testing-market | Haws | FairlyRandom testing market | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Timothy Bandors | lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ | public | contract | 1,718,894,629,475 | will-boeings-starliner-return-with | TimothyBandors | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut? | zwnsgrffulc | null | null | null | null |
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"type": "mention"... | The Official | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,718,894,746,936 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | 10thOfficial | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | scjzeto77sl | null | 1,568.981878 | YES | pxjck5ptf | |
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... | Timothy Bandors | lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ | public | contract | 1,718,894,805,834 | will-boeings-starliner-return-with | TimothyBandors | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut? | zwnsgrffulc | null | null | null | null |
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... | Haws | g98bfvctn8 | public | contract | 1,718,894,820,739 | tuesday-dice-roll-what-number-will | Haws | Tuesday Dice roll - What number will they land on? | null | null | 271.450173 | YES | opc1py9vlh | |
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... | chris (strutheo) | IObyXQAuLvvmxKAaEEJ6 | public | contract | 1,718,894,851,713 | who-will-destiny-debate-or-have-a-d | strutheo | 🎙️Who will Destiny debate or have a discussion with before the end of his career? [ADD RESPONSES] | 2gwlxsmikie | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Timothy Bandors | lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ | public | contract | 1,718,895,074,613 | will-boeings-starliner-return-with | TimothyBandors | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut? | zwnsgrffulc | null | null | null | null |
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"type": ... | Josh Wilkes | lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ | public | contract | 1,718,895,083,611 | will-boeings-starliner-return-with | JoshuaWilkes | Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut? | zwnsgrffulc | 0.95 | 375.695328 | NO | null | |
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"l... | Charles Foster | kuCvMHLZ8wtaYYqb4sWe | public | contract | 1,718,895,095,652 | will-california-bill-sb-1047-become | CharlesFoster | Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session? | null | 0.63 | 569.93911 | YES | null | |
eruy6i5x9aj | false | HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02 | {
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"ty... | Timothy Bandors | lwTN4mEB9rHSs9OiJLTJ | public | contract | 1,718,895,142,441 | will-boeings-starliner-return-with | TimothyBandors | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | Will Boeing's Starliner return with an astronaut? | zwnsgrffulc | null | null | null | null |
9pwufsbnj6j | false | IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92 | {
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"text": "Dude your literally the heart of manifold. I don't know how I would eat breakfast in the morning or do my work if you were not on manifold 😭 😭 😭 😭 ... | Andrew | rmMR0Naa9uZqzFH8sl4V | public | contract | 1,718,895,199,880 | will-manifold-miss-me-when-im-gone | AndrewCrosse | Will Manifold miss me when I'm gone? | null | null | null | null | null | |
i9vope07w8 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | IObyXQAuLvvmxKAaEEJ6 | public | contract | 1,718,895,232,352 | who-will-destiny-debate-or-have-a-d | strutheo | 🎙️Who will Destiny debate or have a discussion with before the end of his career? [ADD RESPONSES] | 2gwlxsmikie | null | null | null | null | |
3ze0cr7xapk | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | IObyXQAuLvvmxKAaEEJ6 | public | contract | 1,718,895,253,390 | who-will-destiny-debate-or-have-a-d | strutheo | 🎙️Who will Destiny debate or have a discussion with before the end of his career? [ADD RESPONSES] | 2gwlxsmikie | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Stuart Slagle | nSD1tLVh8tslKSkKPl6D | public | contract | 1,718,895,274,202 | which-trainer-will-win-the-most-202 | ovals | Which Trainer Will Win The Most 2024 Royal Ascot Races? | null | null | 156.971022 | YES | vpn37v3yts | |
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"type": "doc"
} | Stop Punting | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,895,342,445 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | StopPunting | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | null | null | 0 | YES | 840f16586d79 | |
byo3nhvclgs | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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} | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | yxktdwcvg4 | public | contract | 1,718,895,361,672 | what-will-be-true-of-safe-superinte | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers] | b0eltwxcv2k | null | 35.332256 | NO | oaf34kew8x |
js6mbqhb7m | false | e4uEmboKKXedpcoMa6ew4f1adTn2 | {
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} | gigab0nus | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,895,376,616 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | gigab0nus | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | gasmam299k | null | 8,045.132008 | NO | 4200a35f2afc | |
my24pvjyfw | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
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],
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],
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} | Stuart Slagle | VkTpKXYlVWKZkfBWRmbg | public | contract | 1,718,895,381,345 | which-jockey-will-win-the-most-2024 | ovals | Which Jockey Will Win The Most 2024 Royal Ascot Races? | null | null | 389.322461 | YES | iepuvghppo | |
lvo95eehbhg | false | 8AgOEn5pOUahZGukE6BrFzQosC03 | {
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"type"... | AhmedButCooler | uPSnMj5QnfmndAxdaGZa | public | contract | 1,718,895,418,262 | will-the-exact-value-of-busy-beaver | AhmedButCooler | Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(5) be known before 2030? | null | 0.98 | 1,583.044454 | NO | null | |
0bebcucos9i8 | false | 7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103 | {
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"text": "Small bet on NO. Getting payroll right is pretty damn important (at least in the US). The first check lagging a bit may be expected, but the second che... | Dan Homerick | wokhrf6r7u | public | contract | 1,718,895,440,959 | will-i-get-paid-properly-next-week | DanHomerick | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c | Will I get paid *properly* next week? | null | 0.43 | 90.093061 | NO | null |
ylaesntach | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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jkenzu2ntt | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
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],
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} | The Official | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,718,895,485,681 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | 10thOfficial | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Group Stage Matches | gasmam299k | null | 3,908.913885 | YES | e5e3f852d31c | |
krbef3hgctk | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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"text": "What an absolute MAD LAD",
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],
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],
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} | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | N04gengVdJwBO87QBjPL | public | contract | 1,718,895,586,283 | will-george-santos-become-a-creator | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | Will George Santos become a creator on OnlyFans before 2026? | r8q1inp6gdb | 1 | 13.702801 | NO | null |
hekj8xbff95 | false | Or9iYF6aaVUdpXk0u92NcUu4Y6A3 | {
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"content": nul... | abhimanyu | wo7uvrw47r | public | contract | 1,718,895,591,208 | will-india-and-china-go-to-war-befo | abhimanyu | Will India and China go to war before 2026? | of748nxvfk9 | null | null | null | null | |
rpf6nfsigu | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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],... | chris (strutheo) | rmMR0Naa9uZqzFH8sl4V | public | contract | 1,718,896,177,008 | will-manifold-miss-me-when-im-gone | strutheo | Will Manifold miss me when I'm gone? | 9pwufsbnj6j | null | null | null | null | |
fbygyffzmrt | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
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"text": "More random bugs than ever. Balance updates lagging, constantly needing to refresh. Plz fix. Tks.",
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}
],
"... | Predictor 🔥 | yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj | public | contract | 1,718,896,302,183 | manifold-leadership-approval-rating | Predictor | 👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index] | null | 0.424374 | 0 | NO | null | |
ot5swnl8au | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
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"text": "I think this market is about fairly priced. Of course Israel is not trying to ethnically cleanse Gaza, but from a 2.3M prewar population, the NYT esti... | Nathan Wei | bZCoMr2o7oCwnflfTjUl | public | contract | 1,718,896,505,751 | will-the-palestinian-population-of | nathanwei | Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip drop below 2,000,000 before 2025? | null | 0.147487 | 48.023579 | YES | null | |
oh6h2cin6lm | false | XeQf3ygmrGM1MxdsE3JSlmq8vL42 | {
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],
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],
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} | Jacy | w8ebrbr2dn | public | contract | 1,718,896,521,874 | will-claude-35-sonnet-take-the-1-po | Jacy | Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet take the #1 position for any period of time in its first month on the LMSYS leaderboard? | null | 0.688387 | 81.35005 | YES | null | |
b0b27ye7yyj | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Enlil | KhYSBd9V84stshwMUeKU | public | contract | 1,718,896,527,542 | will-the-reforms-of-the-new-preside | Enlil | Will the reforms of the new president of Argentina(Milei) be good for the country's economy by 2024 | null | 0.626337 | 915.928379 | YES | null | |
qey61h7hmy | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
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"text": "I'm tempted to buy no as I think this market is going to resolve no, but I don't want to contribute to unethical markets like this one. The market cre... | Nathan Wei | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,896,767,026 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | nathanwei | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | t84pbn82dah | null | null | null | null | |
dagjpiq8kn | false | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | {
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"text": "Some Training Camp Battles:",
"type": "text"
... | Stop Punting | am8L1kjb5lSZBsqSr6Fe | public | contract | 1,718,896,790,127 | 202324-nfl-offseason-the-quarterbac | StopPunting | 2024 NFL Offseason - The Quarterback Carousel | null | null | 249.033264 | NO | aa94b9859e49 | |
j844tf8xmw | false | FgjVBV7DEYSxBap0JIwKEISAXDq1 | {
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"l... | inaimathi | FCFZkLjpeQbzy6oPq8i5 | public | contract | 1,718,896,864,429 | will-i-be-able-to-buy-a-4090-for-le | inaimathi | Will I be able to buy a 4090 for less than $2500 CAD by June 2024? | null | 0.10877 | 244.615676 | NO | null | |
4qipu4jhixa | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
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"text": "Is this enough to resolve yes? I don't know if \"there are reasonable grounds to believe\" reaches the bar necessary to resolve this market as yes.",
... | Nathan Wei | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,897,015,735 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | nathanwei | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | null | null | null | null | null | |
vxdlu6ja0c | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
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... | Nathan Wei | NKM6oCA1aVmnxnYkB9JH | public | contract | 1,718,897,042,966 | will-the-oct-7-rape-claims-be-subst | nathanwei | Will the Oct 7 rape claims be substantiated by an independent investigation? | 4qipu4jhixa | null | null | null | null | |
1w81zbw35pr | false | oTM5dBmBh1aiQBPsyBDhMvHheZt2 | {
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... | noney | LNU86WgJa07jlQ0Zbo4V | public | contract | 1,718,897,250,676 | which-team-will-win-the-deadman-all | noney | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLAstXlydmpqoy7N40v4rx0DkqBzMnYi_09tG46Hye-19bu=s96-c | Which team will win the deadman allstars tournament? | null | null | 458.429976 | YES | 4l8frlaapv |
4mcvtbix5k2 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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cm687nynuif | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
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"l... | Soli ꩜ | Lg3p94BIaroWP5A0c0Sf | public | contract | 1,718,897,380,314 | is-this-real-gpt45 | Soli | Is gpt2-chatbot OpenAI's next-generation model (e.g. GPT-4.5, GPT-5, etc.) | wimge4p4kkk | 0.197797 | 0 | YES | null | |
bgrr6ei8f1a | false | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | {
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"text": "duplicate",
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} | Soli ꩜ | Lg3p94BIaroWP5A0c0Sf | public | contract | 1,718,897,393,668 | is-this-real-gpt45 | Soli | Is gpt2-chatbot OpenAI's next-generation model (e.g. GPT-4.5, GPT-5, etc.) | wimge4p4kkk | 0.197797 | 0 | YES | null | |
91qil9uoabp | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
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... | Christopher Randles | IcjfxMqnuoRCf9wcXTP1 | public | contract | 1,718,897,630,359 | will-these-indexes-hit-this-high-pr | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will these Indexes hit this high price 📈 before low price 📉 | null | null | null | null | null |
18tenw5i1hj | false | kg2vRQFSJ9aSZebFoLRkbfUlrqL2 | {
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"text": "#1 rank",
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} | 😸 | w8ebrbr2dn | public | contract | 1,718,897,699,606 | will-claude-35-sonnet-take-the-1-po | SCS | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fl70bi%2FLmIna_j0eW.11?alt=media&token=30c49838-b87d-47c3-a605-4574d09e491c | Will Claude 3.5 Sonnet take the #1 position for any period of time in its first month on the LMSYS leaderboard? | oh6h2cin6lm | null | null | null | null |
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