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"text": "What do you mean by expert consensus? Neuroscience will agree, and this will extend into gender whether you want it to or not, though it will probably... | Jessica Evans | eHgA4OV8P11rWdVKl5DH | public | contract | 1,718,869,983,623 | in-2040-will-expert-consensus-sugge | JessicaEvans | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c | In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Shaked Koplewitz | ytOaPHPNLFO5FFxzDnlo | public | contract | 1,718,871,696,195 | if-israel-attacks-iran-within-3-mon | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | If Israel attacks Iran within 3 months, will anyone be killed as a result of the attack? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Genzy | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,718,873,352,327 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Gen | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | qy737ahw81 | null | 98,949.302047 | YES | 51e4cacd136a | |
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... | Ihor Kendiukhov | 4i4y5ktv3n | public | contract | 1,718,874,125,351 | will-a-new-lab-create-a-topperformi | IhorKendiukhov | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY_LCXlnQVZAJ2jXC13YFJNvtOWrpX0gMSDHrcWDg=s96-c | Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028? | i68pgk8dq6p | 0.55 | 19.234326 | NO | null |
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} | Sushia | f8PUpAASskqwzWhS2jwn | public | contract | 1,718,874,925,645 | will-destiny-be-alive-by-2025 | Sushia | Will Destiny be alive by 2025? | null | 0.983489 | 518.368272 | NO | null | |
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... | Noit | BF8rAeYD9YCynwdFdReW | public | contract | 1,718,876,024,765 | who-will-be-the-next-conservative-p | Noit | Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader? | null | null | 1,356.314543 | YES | 708309228ad5 | |
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} | Qoiuoiuoiu | jwkaakx7af | public | contract | 1,718,876,747,991 | the-market-xtreme-edition | Qoiuoiuoiu | "The Market": X-treme Edition | null | 0.004234 | 1,634.890122 | NO | null | |
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... | Santeri | cp2uxtuzmy | public | contract | 1,718,877,314,251 | will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-nex | sanyero | Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years? | null | 0.91956 | 28.651592 | YES | null | |
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... | Pat Scott🩴 | pb5afbolir | public | contract | 1,718,877,410,843 | what-world-events-will-happen-befor | Stralor | What world events will happen before Biden leaves office? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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} | Genzy | f8PUpAASskqwzWhS2jwn | public | contract | 1,718,877,836,008 | will-destiny-be-alive-by-2025 | Gen | Will Destiny be alive by 2025? | 2hd3u8p6m4s | 0.983489 | 478.692495 | NO | null | |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | CliveBettington | fv3qjg3l2 | public | contract | 1,718,877,960,675 | will-the-orange-paint-at-stonehenge | ChrisGardham | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK2FYTrcwPQnV_NOKMiu7ZtDggAxvuLH08nHWIfGQkr6Fio6A=s96-c | Will the orange paint at Stonehenge be cleaned up by July 1st 2024? | null | 0.916074 | 812.577493 | YES | null |
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"alt": ... | Genzy | f8PUpAASskqwzWhS2jwn | public | contract | 1,718,878,527,933 | will-destiny-be-alive-by-2025 | Gen | Will Destiny be alive by 2025? | 2hd3u8p6m4s | 0.983489 | 478.692495 | NO | null | |
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],... | Eli but Chad | fWRV7Pr3QoPqot0KuWb5 | public | contract | 1,718,878,939,662 | will-i-do-a-us-research-placement-a | elibutchad | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3 | Will I do a US research placement after my 5th semester? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Eli but Chad | 7ZqoN8KgkCFafzXjqf7Q | public | contract | 1,718,879,110,586 | will-replies-to-ten-wellengineered | elibutchad | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3 | Will GPT-4 be more competent than me in my area of expertise? | 01hzk7guQJmMJ4ZQMVOf | null | null | null | null |
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... | JuJumper | DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY | public | contract | 1,718,881,987,851 | which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil | JuJumper | Which engineering breakthroughs will happen before 2050? | 937xzgc3tic | null | 89.041388 | NO | 13se6uxyn6 | |
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... | JuJumper | DEm0OW0GR1hQVdTCJFyY | public | contract | 1,718,882,007,227 | which-engineering-breakthroughs-wil | JuJumper | Which engineering breakthroughs will happen before 2050? | 937xzgc3tic | null | 89.041388 | NO | 13se6uxyn6 | |
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"type": "mention... | Bruno | wFIqiYVBp0uFQGlbYtbq | public | contract | 1,718,882,215,244 | will-a-manifold-user-do-something-v | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029? | p5cwlnudq8 | null | null | null | null |
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"text": "Resolving this, but if Biden has a heart attack and the DNC decide to make Carter the nominee at the convention I'm gonna feel pretty stupid ",
... | Shaked Koplewitz | HaUj1u1Ucxb1J59eziMk | public | contract | 1,718,882,404,481 | will-jimmy-carter-be-the-2024-democ | ShakedKoplewitz | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c | Will Jimmy Carter be the 2024 Democratic nominee for president? | null | null | null | null | null |
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... | Simon Grayson | ajDaklXBYYy7RJ14ZtAH | public | contract | 1,718,883,060,125 | will-the-bank-of-england-change-the-dda37e8acd22 | SimonGrayson | Will the Bank of England change the UK's interest rate at their 20th June meeting? | null | null | 5,475.887139 | YES | 703edfc97ddb | |
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g1u2o1gudj | true | xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1 | {
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"l... | FairlyRandom | NBNz5u6thHlYfyDBD8FA | public | contract | 1,718,888,823,245 | how-many-hits-after-30-days-v2 | FairlyRandom | How many hits after 30 days? V2 | null | null | null | null | null |
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