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false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "MTA board declined to override Hochul even though her intervention wasn't really legally authoritative. Grim.", "type": "text" } ...
Panfilo
sohsVVUytgye5wvtzuHu
public
contract
1,719,858,057,720
will-congestion-pricing-in-nyc-be-e
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Will Congestion Pricing in NYC be enforced by the end of 2024?
null
0.2
1,659.326872
NO
null
b0qzuuvgjnc
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not really, they ruled that \"As for a president's unofficial acts, there is no immunity.\"", "type": "text" } ], "type":...
Muga Sofer
vhJDBxu0oXGuZdM6YwcS
public
contract
1,719,858,060,667
which-supreme-court-justices-will-v-d25f33f35f19
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Which Supreme Court justices will vote to grant Trump’s claims of absolute presidential immunity?
ck050819hr
null
302.207076
NO
c8d4ecda869b
6132ju17qkp
false
Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23", "label": "dgga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
blankspace737
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,858,100,234
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
stardust
https://firebasestorage.…901-b7160011e796
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
vxyyaqjh1oq
0.549818
98.212828
YES
null
91e05nkstps
false
ImEvI9xignTu2PqWk1lfpw1L2sf1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That being said, I did accurately call Tim Scott being overhyped.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Mars Martian
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,719,858,122,206
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
MarsMartian
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL4aZThWbgAsdvtdQ2ciR-QCfPN2WEmJxByI9o0FjRKjZBejQ=s96-c
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
6ntojd3jvwv
null
184,565.202184
YES
9ea983eccba9
y9hjhqw5d3q
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "But it is absolute for official acts, and the legal argument of his defense claimed the acts in question as official. That's what the market is about."...
Panfilo
vhJDBxu0oXGuZdM6YwcS
public
contract
1,719,858,152,797
which-supreme-court-justices-will-v-d25f33f35f19
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Which Supreme Court justices will vote to grant Trump’s claims of absolute presidential immunity?
ck050819hr
null
3,125.608302
YES
97409df181ec
u7lke5dlj3i
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Big, if true!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,858,211,468
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.259917
6,360.495958
NO
null
e3gqzztibce
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can you link us to the reason it should resolve yes?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
jackson polack
6UL37vdG6ig0C3WiD8vs
public
contract
1,719,858,341,657
will-the-gorosei-manage-to-interrup
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will the Gorosei manage to interrupt Vegapunk's video message before it FINISHES?
37t3bxch4f
null
null
null
null
gt9qn0rm24e
false
S4Dca8uEDWYskc9fYENrheTcFg82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well we mispredicted this one", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Mark Hamill
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,858,444,849
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
MarkHamill
https://firebasestorage.…262-532109daa79d
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
null
null
2,444.830019
YES
b2532c8daa55
lm5cpxco4tf
false
fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not even \"comfortably\" is sensibly defined. Many things that were considered luxuries not that long ago are now considered so essential by the averag...
t-bird
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,858,470,151
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
tbird
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
null
null
null
null
vievfxoucap
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In chapter 1117 of one piece the gorosie successfuly interrupt the message. It resumes in chapter 1119", "type": "text" } ], ...
Andrew
6UL37vdG6ig0C3WiD8vs
public
contract
1,719,858,497,849
will-the-gorosei-manage-to-interrup
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will the Gorosei manage to interrupt Vegapunk's video message before it FINISHES?
37t3bxch4f
0.76
80.593559
YES
null
6evwl78b0f
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The market only asks if the message will be interrupted and it doesn't give a said duration. You could @ the traders in the market to see how they feel...
Andrew
6UL37vdG6ig0C3WiD8vs
public
contract
1,719,858,584,784
will-the-gorosei-manage-to-interrup
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will the Gorosei manage to interrupt Vegapunk's video message before it FINISHES?
37t3bxch4f
0.76
80.593559
YES
null
83t0063mtob
false
H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Andrew G
f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ
public
contract
1,719,858,771,653
will-openai-still-be-doing-superali
AndrewG
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c
Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
sq9eckrjj0n
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So does this market go on until the end of one piece ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc...
Andrew
biXq0Tl6I185ivohSgoV
public
contract
1,719,858,826,679
will-kizaru-betraydefect-the-marine
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines?
ahgjddll4c
0.702953
1,047.273527
NO
null
tzlsponnde9
false
bFuNwkqX9qZt8d4IJTalGkRlt3n2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Still confused. A good search keyword might be “désistement”. All the other political parties are united in stopping the far right. There is no world i...
Eric Bolton
xfKNVBbOlXuuYUg3VqXu
public
contract
1,719,858,879,523
who-will-succed-to-gabriel-attal-as
EricBolton
https://firebasestorage.…cef-e6d468df0f51
Who will succed to Gabriel Attal as a Prime Minister of France consecutively to the Parliament dissolution ?
null
null
281.122304
YES
ndm73dq58h
7wr6qdo84m2
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh. Good point", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM
public
contract
1,719,859,049,684
will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
24ept8g49wn
0.25
23,769.309866
YES
null
drf5gl9qsrr
false
ciKwLsv9BzN60pzDcExop0PSlW82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Anon User
KUevckvgKiHKUDJVnylB
public
contract
1,719,859,105,693
which-scotus-justices-will-rule-wit
AnonUser
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLD2CvAyHFcLXRaMRcgzmZAHRAiIEoOUtG5VlT07dDM=s96-c
Which Supreme Court Justices will rule with the Majority in the Trump immunity case?
null
null
96.328974
NO
5f6ca43ab559
i50bd6ps1gb
false
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The original poster hasn't provided the promised evidence; I take this as it not existing.", "type": "text" } ], "type": ...
Tetra
cxWCw1jGHulK4k2gP3lv
public
contract
1,719,859,147,054
is-it-true-that-llama270bs-elo-rati
Tetraspace
https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f
Is it true that "Llama2-70B's Elo rating will be ~3000"?
null
null
null
null
null
13c4vfhv6zx
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yeah, I guess you're right. I was confused by the fact that he was trying to delay the New York trial on the basis of immunity, but it seems like that ...
Muga Sofer
vhJDBxu0oXGuZdM6YwcS
public
contract
1,719,859,184,650
which-supreme-court-justices-will-v-d25f33f35f19
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Which Supreme Court justices will vote to grant Trump’s claims of absolute presidential immunity?
ck050819hr
null
0
YES
97409df181ec
m4hij829nym
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92", "label": "Tumbles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Joshua
PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM
public
contract
1,719,859,220,792
will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
24ept8g49wn
0.25
20,564.966324
YES
null
9a5a75nvrc
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I just didn't considered that Remco was going to do the same thing...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ]...
JAAM
xikaig5ty2
public
contract
1,719,859,325,111
after-stage-3-of-the-2024-tour-de-f
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
After Stage 3 of the 2024 Tour de France, who will wear the Maillot Jaune?
xpyun0kn1yg
null
3,191.03947
YES
64ylspeuqg
cz7quaaejfu
false
IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Mistrial declared. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ken Michaels
jp0rtnr8ya
public
contract
1,719,859,330,090
the-karen-read-case-will-the-jury-r
kenmichaels
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9
The Karen Read case - will the jury return with a verdict before the end of the day Monday, July 1?
null
0.20015
370.066144
NO
null
cu9mcixam37
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don't like trump.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Andrew
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
public
contract
1,719,859,419,339
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
null
0.560597
109.935557
NO
null
ex9h54ggugh
false
8F51KnOVikcy57eEkJ2QxMEjSqZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Next recon should arrive ~7:30 pm eastern", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Scott Supak
xcdn8kiz7y
public
contract
1,719,859,465,271
will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category
ScottSupak
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c
Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5?
null
0.45
596.161248
YES
null
h8hk5cpcpj8
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Solving as mod based on the website in the description", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attr...
JAAM
xikaig5ty2
public
contract
1,719,859,501,581
after-stage-3-of-the-2024-tour-de-f
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
After Stage 3 of the 2024 Tour de France, who will wear the Maillot Jaune?
null
null
3,191.03947
YES
64ylspeuqg
c7ave616ebc
false
lVc6NzP3DhV6olHD5R7iE2iPPmA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The vote yes or no on a no is always just a touch confusing. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Mark Terrano
N5TNJvxP0NVuIpyxTtyh
public
contract
1,719,859,533,112
will-biden-be-the-nominee
MarkTerrano
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5cauDUCJovEiOj7E8_9avjQ7t8jxFaDggn4eKc=s96-c
Will Biden be the nominee?
null
null
5.40006
NO
6e82affc6ec2
mqj2zwl6h
false
8F51KnOVikcy57eEkJ2QxMEjSqZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shame this closed early.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Scott Supak
vhcygq75yf
public
contract
1,719,859,615,987
what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1
ScottSupak
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c
What will be the maximum strength of Hurricane Beryl?
null
null
565.204471
YES
78jr3qx8ye
npvue233gkj
false
EIV7jGjL3jhXPJmief8lB37F8su2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Pat Myron
url2vico9x
public
contract
1,719,859,624,969
how-will-scientific-consensus-in-20
PatMyron
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FPatMyron%2FTwhMJnB6r7.7s-47px?alt=media&token=eaf328f2-64ea-4238-a4a1-b96a1eab91a2
How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
null
null
null
null
null
kp2epmjwrxe
false
f86VB93FBjcEtiI2c4WFH2YoE2D3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "When does this resolve to No if he just hasn't faced any legal consequences yet?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
Cornelis Dirk Haupt
b1xg26vkju
public
contract
1,719,859,688,140
will-keith-gilldeep-fucking-valuero
CornelisDirkHaupt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYsqG2jWEHcuvQR-En6fKxH4qCtLNYboywT7jto=s96-c
Will Keith Gill/"Deep Fucking Value"/"Roaring Kitty" face any legal consequences for pumping $GME?
null
null
null
null
null
bb1qlq5sz2q
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can we see a progressive on this list? Maybe Bernie, AOC, Ro Khanna...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
robm
88ykSdduJBm1fOE5UBin
public
contract
1,719,859,707,083
who-would-win-the-us-presidential-e-e43c62c31980
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024? [More Answers]
null
null
124.318161
YES
65cd1a42334a
v6qs0gvmo7b
false
4iC2MEvQtHNkBLBkORm84TeLe0O2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good news for Ohtani stans like me: according the latest update, he wants to participate so long as he’s medically cleared.", "type": "text" ...
Spongpad
YEn2UFM79oC6nNcsqFps
public
contract
1,719,859,712,427
will-shohei-ohtani-play-in-the-2024
LBeesley
https://firebasestorage.…624-9f8c6cb1e486
Will Shohei Ohtani play in the 2024 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby?
null
null
null
null
null
33bdpj21oc7
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I like if there are both types though, at least in this predictive case you have less chance to lose to update/betting races.", "type": "text...
JRP
vhcygq75yf
public
contract
1,719,859,770,456
what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
What will be the maximum strength of Hurricane Beryl?
mqj2zwl6h
null
1,752.133514
YES
ywyvitw6yl
nab1cc0lhb
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Almost the same as this one:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null,...
JAAM
4ivng9290d
public
contract
1,719,859,787,007
will-a-tour-de-france-race-be-disru
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Will a Tour de France race be disrupted by civil protests?
null
null
null
null
null
mikoqvj39vh
false
8F51KnOVikcy57eEkJ2QxMEjSqZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "37.70396945 for 6/30/24", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Scott Supak
2pOaWvsuFpEf8dLgBL8d
public
contract
1,719,859,806,795
what-will-bidens-approval-rating-at
ScottSupak
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c
What will Biden's approval rating at 538 be on 6/30?
null
null
916.092459
YES
yzn62duhbk
nld5czacg3k
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You're right to be confused! The court and the former president both seem uninterested in any kind of clear test for what is and isn't official!", ...
Panfilo
vhJDBxu0oXGuZdM6YwcS
public
contract
1,719,859,852,170
which-supreme-court-justices-will-v-d25f33f35f19
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Which Supreme Court justices will vote to grant Trump’s claims of absolute presidential immunity?
ck050819hr
null
3,125.608302
YES
97409df181ec
h9rgtk5ueis
false
cFtRC9xpmuXwzNaaDu2hmKIUaaI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I spoke to my friend yesterday. In the last month Otherbranch has landed several new clients, interviewed a steady stream of candidates, and ", ...
Jonagold
9GJhfeuAZG7f6hrAUC4V
public
contract
1,719,859,867,597
will-a-software-engineer-get-a-job
Jonagold
https://firebasestorage.…a2e-66f0b8262cbc
Will a software engineer get a job through the tech hiring startup Otherbranch.com by the end of June?
null
null
null
null
null
zd6xtcdtwm
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yeah similar -- didn't see this one", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "co...
Niko
4ivng9290d
public
contract
1,719,859,943,069
will-a-tour-de-france-race-be-disru
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will a Tour de France race be disrupted by civil protests?
nab1cc0lhb
0.554298
129.303597
YES
null
em2shdrf19f
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "although I explicitly say if a stage is moved and postponed while your market focuses on the rider being disrupted ", "type": "text" ...
Niko
4ivng9290d
public
contract
1,719,860,038,767
will-a-tour-de-france-race-be-disru
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will a Tour de France race be disrupted by civil protests?
nab1cc0lhb
0.554298
129.303597
YES
null
4okifpahe7c
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If people are still not long on companies operated by Elon Musk, a guy who kids in 10000 years in the future are talking about as having helped make hu...
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,069,720
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.254897
139,512.098544
YES
null
ojutz15g0s
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Astronomical, if true!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,197,556
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.254897
7,023.554071
NO
null
wljftt47ntm
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What happens when they publish production and delivery figures tomorrow showing a fall from a year ago? Then we can't help you either.", "typ...
Christopher Randles
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,310,720
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.251693
32,002.282353
NO
null
8727ldzhton
false
hJ7Ct0qxNCXdDPr05SX3S1RjqZi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Alright I've placed my bet now, Looking forward to seeing what happens!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Josef Mitchell
ckfhj7ay0q
public
contract
1,719,860,484,015
how-soon-will-private-investment-in
JosefMitchell
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLRg4DBYKVKO7463AJGB8eCmiZbW2D763Pj2tsmFSOeIA=s96-c
How soon will Private investment in LLMs be lower than it was in 2024Q1? (from 01.01 to 31.3 of 2024)
null
null
1,168.349794
YES
804yxnc6c6
1fwkvwajxm
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I mean, he did help bring ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,860,508,891
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
mwkd6if4t8
null
3.055573
NO
xu4agxmfx4
t6vfvxecm
false
xftw4QebI3Ohxq4wZ8zzoJvcmt32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Harris Newsom when?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jbca
skFXGHajQFUScuAyrXtn
public
contract
1,719,860,544,105
will-the-democratic-party-conduct-a
jbca
https://firebasestorage.…888-253cf5fd2f46
Will the Democratic Party conduct any official primary debates for the 2024 Presidential election?
null
0.051807
0
NO
null
co0fphxwlp5
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well done lad", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "t...
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,732,108
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.269976
3,513,482.670193
YES
null
vashg4kxkge
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": ...
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,790,234
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.264243
3,513,482.670193
YES
null
nrfnwwcr1na
false
ANizTgbWIbaIKdPJcLdifo2Qc6m2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I didn't 😆", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
DiscoDan
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,860,856,586
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
DiscoDan
https://firebasestorage.…17a-5e4483ef05ed
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
gt9qn0rm24e
null
23,532.096358
YES
c5f26d7ee780
xi0t8vhxsoc
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Jeremy likes his Cybertruck more than any Apple customer liked their Vision Pro", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,860,877,893
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.264243
139,512.098544
YES
null
b97dvfpdv46
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "There's live markets for both whether it will hit C5 and the strength in the Gulf of Mexico, if you still want to trade on intensity", "type"...
Savior of Plant
vhcygq75yf
public
contract
1,719,860,943,751
what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
What will be the maximum strength of Hurricane Beryl?
mqj2zwl6h
null
689.808229
YES
78jr3qx8ye
m7na54xvqc
false
T7U6tVUousboc7z9j4unOPYv46P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "By the way, in case anyone is wondering in light of this article in the NYT. I'll still resolve yes if the fee charged is lower (or higher) than the pr...
capablemonkey
sohsVVUytgye5wvtzuHu
public
contract
1,719,860,964,774
will-congestion-pricing-in-nyc-be-e
capablemonkey
https://firebasestorage.…169-c66ec6f9f622
Will Congestion Pricing in NYC be enforced by the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
s7ijbwcejx
false
8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Comfortably\" is explicitly defined as from the perspective of 2023. If the lack of social credits made life less comfortable than the median 2023 Am...
Frogswap
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,861,050,802
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.274476
1,085.416637
NO
null
mtfd6sd7uub
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "🙄 How did he help bring Hitler to power? What were Stalin's instructions? How is that relevant to the statement in the bet?", "type": "t...
Snarflak
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,861,092,080
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
mwkd6if4t8
null
669.025556
NO
5f6db2f28df6
u8kmxcurxy
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's a play on Tesla inventing within ten years the scene in I, Robot where a self driving car goes around with a self existing robotic human, not deli...
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,861,276,987
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.264208
139,512.098544
YES
null
gqv9dv7m0wc
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
duN
Sm4bFgZIMRJOswQJi1Xn
public
contract
1,719,861,370,063
destiny-prop-bets-2024
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
Destiny prop/fun bets: 2024
null
null
196.436243
NO
8b54a842781c
ttzq891igm
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How was this the case? It's not \"mechanical\" (as I understand it)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Bubbles
5VxIQger5o9WXEObpfZe
public
contract
1,719,861,417,231
open-market-will-i-find-gold-in-cal
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
[OPEN MARKET] Will I find Gold in California? (And other bets for my trip to CA).
94tgl2s9hdb
null
225.124858
YES
581b48786011
8mo5psnedrb
false
f86VB93FBjcEtiI2c4WFH2YoE2D3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What on earth happened? Why in the hell is this at 78% that is insanely high. I am out the loop. As far as I can tell we just have the ongoing border c...
Cornelis Dirk Haupt
0I5Ud3F6iS0QbC5DNEnl
public
contract
1,719,861,469,474
will-the-israel-invade-lebanon-by-t
CornelisDirkHaupt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYsqG2jWEHcuvQR-En6fKxH4qCtLNYboywT7jto=s96-c
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
g6edis5hyf
null
null
null
null
zo6kx6kx6na
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Added some more liquidity. Let's have fun here.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Niko
7auq5ebfvy
public
contract
1,719,861,524,552
french-2024-parliamentary-elections
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
French 2024 parliamentary elections -- multi-question. Final round July 7th.
null
null
273.794202
NO
weqko06w0q
qyk9avncv7o
false
1KcfMPDrXJW6E8biWslfDfO49Uz1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think Pence was the \"logical\" choice in 2016 for establishment republicans. Unknown moderate midwestern governor that appeals to social conservati...
Jason
vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN
public
contract
1,719,861,534,594
who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445
Jason1e41
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLTl4RLD4QKuTXUMboQr4GVWev7Jx-sNdjfkiObl3MK=s96-c
Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP)
mq6pj9sixu9
null
21,741.392438
YES
1956526b7eb9
ltiwk4enqko
false
y7t4zUhMAfdjakaJVPAwkw5fXPu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You guys are much more bearish on England than the bookies ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content...
Yolotomassi
5wdifzNBgWUqHlgdMp6a
public
contract
1,719,861,560,659
which-team-will-win-the-2024-uefa-e
Yolotomassi
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu88Y1RWC3nzyqRD4bPpZDPbZVJJq_4GpJHw1cr36w=s96-c
Euro 2024: Which team will win the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship?
null
null
null
null
null
24wjkbm9lqo
false
1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Limit up, only for the most dedicated YES believers", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
duN
w4l6r8bqau
public
contract
1,719,861,564,937
will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec
dgga
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
u32dvfldg5o
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My attempt at summarizing your arguments: ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Patrik Cihal
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,719,861,585,991
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
275vda80j8n
0.247432
54,791.6868
NO
null
l2ekklbaa3
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3", "label": "NielS", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
y4gMmrkZIohPqNsoZvOM
public
contract
1,719,861,604,621
taylor-swift-1-album-for-10-or-more
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks in a row?
null
0.919154
5,837.380778
YES
null
2t5ec5j9z0y
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgrade to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
1unnxv20aj
public
contract
1,719,861,666,311
will-biden-be-nominated-win-reelect
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Biden be nominated, win reelection, serve out his whole term, and get his well deserved retirement?
null
null
null
null
null
bhk1q9i101f
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "And we have Dashboards: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Lion
8x6u4cq921
public
contract
1,719,861,707,156
who-will-win-the-green-jersey-overa
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Who will win the green jersey (overall points classification) at the 2024 Tour de France?
null
null
131.05001
YES
ybnyqqgb7z
0pylw9e3iaj
false
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The Global Peace Index ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
cshunter
HeEsfhk1Jh3xQujLFyqD
public
contract
1,719,861,731,267
will-the-middle-east-be-more-peacef
cash
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
Will the Middle East be more peaceful, according to the 2024 Global Peace Index?
null
null
null
null
null
a2n54ig87zl
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Added more liquidity. Let's get some bets -- far from efficient. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
Niko
kqhzexky7i
public
contract
1,719,861,763,862
how-much-usd-trading-volume-will-po
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
How much USD trading volume will Polymarket generate in July? $111M in June.
null
null
374.10642
YES
ctj06v3w54
jm6km66zod
false
APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Looks like they fed 130kt into the models for the 18Z run:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "...
JRP
xcdn8kiz7y
public
contract
1,719,861,804,447
will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category
parhizj
https://firebasestorage.…a85-f1db3ce3acf8
Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5?
ex9h54ggugh
0.428848
894.116384
NO
null
c2i17msjcro
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2", "label": "mint", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
uAeAYGdj7aIMX7PcUrHY
public
contract
1,719,861,868,116
will-ibm-resume-advertising-on-x-be
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will IBM resume advertising on X before July 1st, 2024?
null
0.013781
7,278.502463
NO
null
8qcoqsbwbzc
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "label": "Tripping", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
s9hTVKhsmosYcWgmJuNe
public
contract
1,719,861,923,884
will-inside-out-2-2024-gross-more-w
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Inside Out 2 (2024) gross more worldwide at the box office than Inside Out (2015)?
null
0.99
2,636.94693
YES
null
b8mn3b99m1c
false
N9zdElegR8grtM09PvbkNE8j1Q52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The weighting of these features has a large impact. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs"...
Douglas Schonholtz
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR
public
contract
1,719,862,000,887
will-there-be-an-ai-language-model
DouglasSchonholtz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2qNRkMQ6fshYCoTEUvcyP4x_krGV3r3rKPlZSn=s96-c
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
928n1y55ayv
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
3bFgDna8gP4r34zMyHFd
public
contract
1,719,862,002,852
weekend-box-office-number-1s-q2
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Weekend Box Office Number 1’s [Q2]
null
null
585.920678
YES
12b5d37d7a33
5f681vrh0z4
false
ZqiZSqrlgWbxJLA6aoqk4JDsqWB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4iz7kGfEvvM7DYx96m1ZmM2Zn0l1", "label": "mikeangelo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
No one
wGCnnsgxNTrw6X9tHEvx
public
contract
1,719,862,030,141
which-month-will-trump-announce-his
Noone9ff8
https://firebasestorage.…e93-cb09472510d1
Which month will Trump announce his running mate?
null
null
3,540.559995
NO
020d6f66f924
hb23gb6r1yf
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qMqjd5teTohldlf37qxHCbsRAxU2", "label": "TheOtherKC", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Ziddletwix
Ac6gZQ4JcFMkwrz9u46k
public
contract
1,719,862,071,031
will-openai-reveal-that-rashida-jon
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will OpenAI reveal that Rashida Jones provided samples for the "Sky" voice option by the end of June?
null
0.02606
2,640.778637
NO
null
k5d4lmcp19t
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "coolfold collateral damage - chris", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt":...
chris (strutheo)
np0jfpmkcu
public
contract
1,719,862,096,128
which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-43jyxd2tye
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which will be the best meme posted in #memefold in July 2024 according to Manifold?
null
null
null
null
null
k0c6ub4qnya
false
vSGfCdrFfrVF51BlDm7rbUt7Bx52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It has been postponed to the end of 2024 at the earliest.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "a...
Pavel Korytov
VlL9cxzX8zavgOwoUkC5
public
contract
1,719,862,293,697
will-the-first-flight-of-the-dream
SqrtMinusOne
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI4O9fF7WJn_eb3AeE_edJDWgrhDNbeHBC12UvZ3LwyjoRlDxMyEA=s96-c
Will the first flight of the Dream Chaser spaceplane be successful?
null
null
null
null
null
dfd66wxn4tv
false
PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "When the biggest YES and NO holders are peacefully talking to each other", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" },...
CyfralCoot
FSYnjwJePSQHwRMlGQFW
public
contract
1,719,862,344,093
when-will-i-get-a-firefox-browser-e
CyfralCoot
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c
Will I get a browser extension where I can select text and click a button to make an image automatically by mid 2024?
dpywxb1gva4
0.87
3,639.002768
NO
null
ktrszmmho5
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Finance brained people don't understand that technological progress drives ~100% of economic surplus 🫦 ", "type": "text" } ], ...
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,862,374,280
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.264095
139,512.098544
YES
null
ywub1s0n8l
false
yTue1A3ApPhtq3tYKBY2vxEEvG52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves no ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Paper Boy
lCF2631mj3fkzjUi6UgZ
public
contract
1,719,862,409,373
will-klay-thompson-be-on-the-warrio
PaperBoy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKvvIqQ7wel-RMQneP56-S8xiaR9D7ojtRAVjiR78e5gg=s96-c
Will Klay Thompson be on the Warriors next year?
null
0.011532
269.824887
NO
null
wdtyjqizam
false
VutNSM1pulf0iLjFlNUtgVLKUzr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Manifold traders are way out of line with Vegas odds on this game, which saw a USA win open at an implied ~35% probability, having now drifted up to 40...
mjh
FHX6rAooZt1Ggbe1e82g
public
contract
1,719,862,441,616
2024-copa-america-all-matches
meh
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmeh%2F-FCJ_xuzNs.59?alt=media&token=6f5d7b9a-38c0-4956-b7fc-6f1795ead647
2024 Copa America 🏆|⚽ All Matches
null
null
71.843853
NO
sxdvheaqdx
x1e67j67dp7
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Conflux published this fantastic article about Biden's situation from a prediction market/Manifold perspective and it is well worth a read for a little...
Lion
rmqowryzty
public
contract
1,719,862,541,022
is-manifold-overreacting-or-underre
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Is Manifold overreacting or underreacting after the first presidential debate on CNN (compared to next month)?
null
null
0
YES
4dsqnniaf0
551qov0wxd7
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My hail mary now is to bet my life savings on Slovenia and try to make 20k before the leagues close...", "type": "text" } ], ...
Savior of Plant
CldMKDYl6GYxoAiQc92R
public
contract
1,719,862,603,789
will-i-stay-in-masters-league-in-ju
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will I stay in Masters league in June?
null
0.035493
218.243605
NO
null
8rt8a76q1kh
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "is this now referring to creator fees instead? (& I assume it ignores referrals/etc, just the fees?)", "type": "text" } ], ...
Ziddletwix
LXA0FCDX6GYkyt0CijAU
public
contract
1,719,862,663,733
ernie-ever-makes-more-profit-in-a-l
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Ernie ever makes more profit in a league than trader bonuses til eoy 2024
EaTwCGm8L67menD50ABh
0.706261
1.390104
YES
null
m3el3xych7f
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Democrats' long term prospects in the Senate are quite difficult due to the fact that in 2020, 31 out of 50 states (and therefore 62/100 Senate seats) ...
Semiotic Rivalry
ez07523nwa
public
contract
1,719,862,727,126
will-a-republican-president-choose
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
Will a Republican President choose Sonia Sotomayor's replacement?
null
0.629917
0
YES
null
iun960flizi
false
HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Pretty crazy in some way. There only been a few artists last 20 years who went like 10 weeks in a row top 1. I would say this is not even swift her bes...
Niel S
y4gMmrkZIohPqNsoZvOM
public
contract
1,719,862,748,169
taylor-swift-1-album-for-10-or-more
NielS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks in a row?
l2ekklbaa3
1
2,260.56658
YES
null
4g88juy6fiy
false
fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If that opinion of yours was part of the description, I wouldn't have commented about it. As written, it's self-contradictory. Don't use a word if I ne...
t-bird
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,862,749,741
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
tbird
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
null
null
null
null
t6rd4h6l1zk
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "Disney gif. Donald Duck throws himself back in his chair in jubilant laughter. He holds onto his feet in myrth.", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, ...
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,862,822,794
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.264095
3,513,482.670193
YES
null
e2gnleebuus
false
HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well done to her but like a few months ago i wouldn't have expected this to be honest but then a few weeks ago it was already pretty clear she would be...
Niel S
y4gMmrkZIohPqNsoZvOM
public
contract
1,719,862,901,961
taylor-swift-1-album-for-10-or-more
NielS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks in a row?
l2ekklbaa3
1
2,260.56658
YES
null
wbo32ng9y5c
false
HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Morale of the story: never bet against Taylor Swift. Lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
Niel S
y4gMmrkZIohPqNsoZvOM
public
contract
1,719,863,004,298
taylor-swift-1-album-for-10-or-more
NielS
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks in a row?
l2ekklbaa3
1
2,260.56658
YES
null
jyvjz0bq4sr
false
fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "By the way, I think you meant to end the first bit of your first paragraph with \"Yes\", otherwise I don't understand it.", "type": "text" ...
t-bird
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,863,100,783
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
tbird
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
null
null
null
null
mpvgyyef7w
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Exponential, if true!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,863,113,706
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.340027
7,680.602236
NO
null
ju8av6f0hp
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Finance brained people don't understand that technological progress drives ~100% of economic surplus 🫦\"", "type": "text" }, ...
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,863,119,481
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.340027
4,185,731.94458
YES
null
wxnwg5ucmt
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "it was already pretty clear she would be keep pushing out new versions to...
Ziddletwix
y4gMmrkZIohPqNsoZvOM
public
contract
1,719,863,195,748
taylor-swift-1-album-for-10-or-more
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Taylor Swift #1 album for 10 or more weeks in a row?
l2ekklbaa3
1
5,837.380778
YES
null
8icvucbedac
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you should push the price to 90% that'd be funny, imo", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc...
jackson polack
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,863,276,967
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.388776
272,403.097222
NO
null
x99c562crz
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I agree, sell some of your tesla profits and go all-in, you will be rolling in money anyway on 8/8", "type": "text" } ], ...
Savior of Plant
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,863,316,647
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
dlyje9a4t9
0.383975
8,360.166075
NO
null
dk4pnfs366f
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think part of the problem is I have the liquidity too low on this market, didn't expect much interest. So every trade with any meaningful mana amount...
The Official
FHX6rAooZt1Ggbe1e82g
public
contract
1,719,863,497,277
2024-copa-america-all-matches
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
2024 Copa America 🏆|⚽ All Matches
wdtyjqizam
null
550.450533
NO
i72n4apr18
7dye3ctmbn
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "if you think the probability is much lower it's quite lucrative for you to buy it down, then", "type": "text" } ], "type"...
stefanie
0I5Ud3F6iS0QbC5DNEnl
public
contract
1,719,863,511,322
will-the-israel-invade-lebanon-by-t
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
g6edis5hyf
0.786944
281.452821
YES
null
t1su7dy2oia
false
8xQnIB88joaJhPlVukko1KWmAhA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I thought that they would rule in favor of immunity, but saw the market and thought \"guess I was wrong\". All that free mana lost. Oh, and now Preside...
Jaeson Booker
QivIbSyuS8PKffGhbS99
public
contract
1,719,863,520,186
will-the-supreme-court-uphold-the-r
JaesonBooker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7Rs0_O0TIrqz7XA7vEBK-PqCatVcTZJI0ImEYs=s96-c
Will the Supreme Court uphold the ruling that Trump does not have immunity in the election subversion trail?
null
null
null
null
null
9qwekoxdola
false
8xQnIB88joaJhPlVukko1KWmAhA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Really wish I had bet now.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jaeson Booker
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,863,601,958
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
JaesonBooker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7Rs0_O0TIrqz7XA7vEBK-PqCatVcTZJI0ImEYs=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
gt9qn0rm24e
null
null
null
null
pnxk7ixl4er
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "big if tru", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,863,667,864
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
t6rd4h6l1zk
0.330866
4,254,470.95863
YES
null
tasbh1y2qcp
false
VutNSM1pulf0iLjFlNUtgVLKUzr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "England don’t stand a chance against whatever team comes out of the other side of the bracket. I expect whoever wins the Spain/Germany game to be inst...
mjh
5wdifzNBgWUqHlgdMp6a
public
contract
1,719,863,764,371
which-team-will-win-the-2024-uefa-e
meh
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmeh%2F-FCJ_xuzNs.59?alt=media&token=6f5d7b9a-38c0-4956-b7fc-6f1795ead647
Euro 2024: Which team will win the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship?
ltiwk4enqko
null
2,111.888354
YES
609a7f10cfba
ic6dz02thr
false
oK0iNRZNtNQZHXcvS59XWKWvqk52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Expecting Penaldo to do anything besides tap-ins and pens is some serious optimism", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragr...
David Lin
e1qq17aetg
public
contract
1,719,863,957,833
will-cristiano-ronaldo-score-a-goal-2u4gnjta5a
dlin007
https://firebasestorage.…a64-8f5b65aa3484
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal during Euro 2024?
null
0.294112
2,256.262691
NO
null