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8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "In the first bit, an American would need to work to get social credits to get to a level of comfort of the median American in 2023, thus a No. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Comfortably defined as subjectively equivalent to the standard of living of the median American in 2023.\" is from the description; are you saying I included an additional opinion beyond that criteria?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Frogswap
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,863,996,577
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.277272
1,085.416637
NO
null
4gcgyl40yav
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "huge if factual", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "humongous if actual", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,070,203
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
t6rd4h6l1zk
0.330866
272,403.097222
NO
null
zav7wxuk66
false
b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sorry, why did you resolve this NO? They did the thing. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Muga Sofer
Y7v6oGhNgeaITzwy7fYG
public
contract
1,719,864,106,575
will-the-puntland-region-declare-in
MugaSofer
https://firebasestorage.…ea7-19aebfd949c8
Will the Puntland region declare independence from Somalia by June 30, 2024?
ilf40k8srw
0
552.030563
YES
null
d9o3t4q5oa
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "QUACKTASTIC, if true!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,112,529
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
t6rd4h6l1zk
0.330866
8,480.449683
NO
null
kwk6mf25moh
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I would teach you all of that if I trusted you to update your beliefs accordingly.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,719,864,200,723
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
mwkd6if4t8
null
3.055573
NO
xu4agxmfx4
s0ay2db3bzo
false
fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"an American would need to work [...] to get to a level of comfort of the median American in 2023, thus a No.\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How come that's a no?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
t-bird
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,864,233,751
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
tbird
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.277272
34.499998
YES
null
r6ibq04vhes
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62", "label": "MolbyDick", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "someone's probably already asked this, but I just want to be sure you're not going to be in a tough personal financial position if this doesn't play out, right? hats off for playing the game aggressively and betting on your beliefs (truly), but you wouldn't be the first to put a notable amount of real money into it and there's always a chance it doesn't pan out. I guess I'm just kind of looking out to be sure you're okay in either scenario, especially when people encourage you to bet more.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,239,088
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.330866
13,654.105172
YES
null
sm7ybzb94u
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I need liquidity so I sold my july shares, enjoy the free mana @ whoever gets to fixing the prob first", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
qXrIu1hyCO6FirylOyAk
public
contract
1,719,864,261,485
in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
In what month will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
null
null
628.612655
NO
0847ad6e3c23
zqehoalmzzl
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Imagine being in July 2024, with the tech market absolutely roaring for over a year now, tech bulls flush wish faanng winnings, looking for the next big thing, and thinking an Elon stock can't at least meme its way to a price below its own 52 week high, right after a major decision in his favor that was the source of much of the lack of confidence", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,389,009
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
t6rd4h6l1zk
0.330866
139,512.098544
YES
null
kaf6qc0zofc
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm not buying shares that are only worth something if I stop playing", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising
PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM
public
contract
1,719,864,413,287
will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
24ept8g49wn
0.194951
479,046.618813
NO
null
6gswe5szpz7
false
H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bro is loaded, we should be paying him for stock tips and other financial/life advice.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Earl Kelly
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,436,623
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
EarlKelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
null
null
null
null
1rcc9lh82c6
false
H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Here is your chance for another big win. No regrets ever. Should be your life motto.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/MolbyDick/will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "iframe" } ], "type": "doc" }
Earl Kelly
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,864,617,545
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
EarlKelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
gt9qn0rm24e
null
32.080248
YES
b2532c8daa55
tw45mw4pri8
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I really do appreciate you asking. No i wont, I own and operate a business that generates me enough income to be more then okay, not to mention my life's saving, 401k, etc. and specially my share count on TSLA, which is more then my options play, as I've been investing in tesla since 2017. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Life is a game, I've made a decision long ago to play it as willful as i can. You only live once, make it count eh?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,864,623,004
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.330866
4,254,470.95863
YES
null
cyxqlwvuzlc
false
gdpzHI4CU7Uju7zHoG9MlmPrEYd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "petoMIbaMqdGwl3agbOXjlZVMJs1", "label": "DylanSlagh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Mark Robinson (Gov NC) or Sarah Sanders (Gov AR)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
K Sivad (Zuben)
QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37
public
contract
1,719,864,655,379
who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
KSivadZuben
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLuf4bouoz9KNm40HO4JfV8vSjCorlzEQUgbxdahlQ7jfKJrj1=s96-c
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
null
null
null
null
null
7mlhed8n2wg
false
fM5S4OgOpuSgLSFew8jfWREVGj83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My point is that definition doesn't make sense. If the 2023 standard of living is considered abject poverty in 2070, and you need to work in order to live better, how would you resolve this?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "On the one hand, you live \"comfortably\" by 2023 standards. On the other hand, work will still be necessary because no one (certainly not most people) will be satisfied with abject poverty.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So the answer to the title question will be \"yes\", and the description would suggest \"no\". \"No, work is not necessary in 2070, because abject poverty is totally fine.\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
t-bird
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,864,722,997
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
tbird
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJjMYLd65kow9CkcK3y2zMckGDSOjo6sPgbufTKzPWZ=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.277272
34.499998
YES
null
fomlyizalue
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "well, could be a hedge against defaulting: if you're about to default, the value of these shares could go way up!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ben Shindel
PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM
public
contract
1,719,864,797,204
will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
24ept8g49wn
0.194951
1,264.138247
YES
null
boht6htbckw
false
gdpzHI4CU7Uju7zHoG9MlmPrEYd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "2028 I'd going to be the most open of primaries. Dems have a weak bench filled with Governors that have destroyed thier states. Thier congressmen in the house and senate are just too radical. The GOP civil war continues with the establishment vs MAGA to establish for control.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
K Sivad (Zuben)
QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37
public
contract
1,719,864,823,478
who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
KSivadZuben
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLuf4bouoz9KNm40HO4JfV8vSjCorlzEQUgbxdahlQ7jfKJrj1=s96-c
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
null
null
null
null
null
cignfqigixs
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
r9ekyv7tsc
public
contract
1,719,864,832,744
one-month-from-today-will-israel-ha
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
One month from today, will Israel have declared war on Hezbollah or Lebanon?
null
null
null
null
null
x0hbm6hi067
false
GafKInOhxQXMaFQAlcWaY3vdIoZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Per the website: \"Etched raises 120M to build Sohu\" seems to imply they don't have a functional product yet. If the benchmarks they put out are even close to accurate then it is a complete gamechanger, so I'm going to assume they are very fudged and will probably delay shipment due to inability to get close to them", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jaundiced Baboon
zfi78oaapm
public
contract
1,719,864,848,338
will-the-sohu-ai-chip-ship-to-custo
JaundicedBaboon
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLeJmQSjR41TC5-jzUMRPyrHztjGjbVuTHUmW6OqRGa31KgA=s96-c
Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?
null
0.494972
95.918544
NO
null
84z8vvcyho
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The hedge would be of literally no value, I can't benefit from a few extra shares if my balance and net worth are both -1,200,000M", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising
PXd5l5qBVArJrSYZhivM
public
contract
1,719,864,934,636
will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
24ept8g49wn
0.194951
479,046.618813
NO
null
2vynrw4dky3
false
gdpzHI4CU7Uju7zHoG9MlmPrEYd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "For some reason, my money would be on Mark Robinson (Gov NC) He is charismatic and brilliant.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
K Sivad (Zuben)
QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37
public
contract
1,719,864,942,238
who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
KSivadZuben
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLuf4bouoz9KNm40HO4JfV8vSjCorlzEQUgbxdahlQ7jfKJrj1=s96-c
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
boht6htbckw
null
null
null
null
jwnglf5hzbd
false
gdpzHI4CU7Uju7zHoG9MlmPrEYd2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kamala is finished after 2024...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
K Sivad (Zuben)
QJTKUEFU0UIj4Cm1Fm37
public
contract
1,719,865,063,380
who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
KSivadZuben
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLuf4bouoz9KNm40HO4JfV8vSjCorlzEQUgbxdahlQ7jfKJrj1=s96-c
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
null
null
null
null
null
t75644w0r9e
false
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As of 1 Jul 2024, every \"Big Tech\" stock is performing better than the S&P 500 year-to-date, though Apple only barely so:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FwxHrvjERlm.png?alt=media&token=85045b3f-a6a0-4844-a40e-30e9bbcd9884", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FF5p7ATd6c1.png?alt=media&token=9249c991-30d4-4789-a3b5-7dec0af47a72", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" } ], "type": "doc" }
cshunter
RnE4HPxmUiBsIOxXto1B
public
contract
1,719,865,088,604
which-big-tech-stocks-will-outperfo
cash
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
Which Big Tech stocks will outperform the S&P 500 in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
tmbzvieya0s
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This idea also featured prominently in \"Ministry for the Future\", a realistic climate change future novel by Kim Stanley Peterson.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
James Baker
fZImymbFacC1SOHtshtn
public
contract
1,719,865,116,435
by-2050-will-humans-pump-significan
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels?
null
0.104784
116.365112
YES
null
2osit5twy3l
false
T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Not working: ambiguous, but if we are going explicitly than NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Risotto: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Eggs: NO (not sure)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Caviar: NO (not sure)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Star: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kiss: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Together: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shirtless: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Taylor: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "85: NO", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tony Gao
192cjqc79i
public
contract
1,719,865,166,044
the-bear-season-3-predictions-megam
TonyGao
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c
"The Bear" Season 3 Predictions Megamarket [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
94.10923
NO
negiuiv0hj
1ckeb9efcqlj
false
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As of 1 Jul 2024, according to the funds' website, XLK and XLC are both well out in-front in-terms of year-to-date growth at about 18% each:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F_FjH1aq06b.png?alt=media&token=92128a4e-3a67-4ebd-899b-067c22404eb9", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" } ], "type": "doc" }
cshunter
YbAAUvgmZegH2Pl3vxLp
public
contract
1,719,865,326,421
which-sector-of-the-us-stock-market
cash
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
Which sector of the US stock market (S&P 500) will perform the best in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
vl5ehxenfgf
false
KQIZEaeOOwVatEt07ktQ1mV4CMk1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wasn't said in the first debate: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/27/politics/read-biden-trump-debate-rush-transcript/index.html", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/27/politics/read-biden-trump-debate-rush-transcript/index.html", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nsokolsky
6dwu9i91o9xSZIjtCn5Q
public
contract
1,719,865,334,132
will-delve-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-u
nsokolsky
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-0bf53e95c42d
Will "delve" be said by anyone in a US presidential debate in 2024?
null
0.223586
143.050399
NO
null
ji2zqgnncs
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves no? Haven’t seen her on stream in a while, any info?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
522zDiMzWRe7gmSZSCCp
public
contract
1,719,865,423,577
will-the-bridge-burn-destiny-farha
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will the Bridge Burn: Destiny & Farha by July 1st 2024
null
0.12668
329.487539
NO
null
gttrqc9u1wk
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Wait, so if the ruling was in ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "any", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " way beneficial to Trump then it's considered \"in Trump's favor\"?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That's absurd, and using that reasoning this market should resolve 9-0 in favor of Trump. Even the dissenting opinion established multiple rights for Trump, which if it had been the majority opinion could have been easily argued as being \"in Trump's favor\".", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I asked for clarification on this point over a month ago, and was told: \"If ... Trump does not have immunity from this specific prosecution, it would count as 9-0\". This received no clarification or correction from the market creator, so I reasonably accepted it as the standard being used.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
For Truth
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,865,468,065
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
2,485.355724
YES
b2532c8daa55
itma54hhxdq
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "They might be on questionable terms but it's all off screen, not really any public fallout and it's possible they're on 'fine' terms currently", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising
522zDiMzWRe7gmSZSCCp
public
contract
1,719,865,536,654
will-the-bridge-burn-destiny-farha
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
Will the Bridge Burn: Destiny & Farha by July 1st 2024
ji2zqgnncs
0.12668
138.454546
YES
null
qs2iws6atpf
false
H9WsRqp0riS8Q4oUOvwYptkQwcP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nice try, good effort here for sure. Lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Earl Kelly
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,865,609,959
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
EarlKelly
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYce6r9qcA6KpyiKEz3Co6Vx_SzjlJr3gV8HLI3=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
32.080248
YES
b2532c8daa55
f43yuuhiu2f
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "okay I trust we're all making the right decisions for ourselves but I just wanted to say something (sometimes the thrill of the chase takes some people past their means). ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "don't cash out your life savings - but I'll look forward to celebrating with you from my much more conservative seat on the yes team when the time comes 😅🫡", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,627,251
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.412006
13,654.105172
YES
null
s8opa789vh9
false
AAlytu8Z2cYd1ewYzuqhkU9NMgt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hung trial? Want to make a market on whether they’ll try this again?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
niko
iNgnYPhSJonrD4RTH8so
public
contract
1,719,865,685,281
will-karen-read-be-found-not-guilty
Nikos
https://firebasestorage.…a97-2c3621c2928b
Will Karen Read be found NOT GUILTY on all the crimes she is charged with?
null
0
422.39975
NO
null
ge845zyq15a
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Those who have faith, Rejoice.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,703,783
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.408075
4,442,760.39487
YES
null
ho6unbkcmo
false
FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Exactly. Imagine comparing 1970 to 2020.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if you could live, but no access to internet, no phone bill, no phone, no computer. Would be practically impossible. Even homeless people have phones these days. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We don’t know what that equivalent thing will be in 2070", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Yann
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,865,716,516
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Yann
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
null
null
null
null
q6uxnunae5r
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Jackpot, if true!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,722,901
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.42
8,480.449683
NO
null
k3xb2vg43nn
false
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "We should be more concerned about ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "label": "MattF", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ". Like really worried.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Predictor 🔥
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,757,883
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Predictor
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.417985
8,480.449683
NO
null
scmfb1gmktf
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I love you I sold my NO shares I am no longer a doubter", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,823,954
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
ge845zyq15a
0.413591
0
NO
null
glcdhpj5w67
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62", "label": "MolbyDick", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " might be the most important manifold account to follow, everyone should be keeping an eye on this market! 👀", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,900,354
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.374512
332,400.950026
NO
null
3vxdccg8z1m
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Broke: Betting NO to get \"free money\" ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Woke: Betting YES so you can profit when our lord and savior ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62", "label": "MolbyDick", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " invests his 1 billion dollars from Tesla calls back into this market", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,952,917
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
ge845zyq15a
0.356638
268.529409
YES
null
7lyv4ckgsww
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Many more markets to come", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,865,964,335
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
glcdhpj5w67
0.356638
4,471,072.171023
YES
null
qf9cadylcfh
false
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FJ04GIJtqTn.png?alt=media&token=740301d4-1668-42cc-94d2-154837a8c10d", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Blomfilter
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,154,228
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Blomfilter
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.371961
11,556.808747
NO
null
9a9j5vsmqvp
false
y0ZRYqguQQU3W2wD87kFsgT9M4j2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think the latest is when Destiny talked about Farha on ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uCt_tJmRHk", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "11-05-2024:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can you tell us what's going with Farha? uh nothing but she's like friends with like I think Jasmine and maybe Lauren I don't know so I just I don't want anything to do I if people are like weird or dramatic I just like axe I just don't want anything to do with it it's too much there's like no gain for potential downsides or whatever so fuck it", "type": "text" } ], "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "blockquote" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Note that Lauren is blacklisted until March 6th 2025, according to ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://wiki.destiny.gg/view/Lauren_DeLaguna", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "the wiki", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ".", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good luck interpreting that :)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pazzaz
522zDiMzWRe7gmSZSCCp
public
contract
1,719,866,164,408
will-the-bridge-burn-destiny-farha
Pazzaz
https://firebasestorage.…15b-c6ca2e9ba1b8
Will the Bridge Burn: Destiny & Farha by July 1st 2024
ji2zqgnncs
0.12668
272.13456
YES
null
m821d411g8
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Who will win the robotaxi race?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
oLbr41vcpJE7AKUr55iy
public
contract
1,719,866,343,401
whos-full-self-driving-technology-w
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Whose full self driving technology will I be able to order a robotaxi from first in Corvallis, Oregon?
null
null
1,308.36458
NO
a05874290693
8gmsiqnoi3d
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "💀", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I might take another look at this one tomorrow lol, maybe I’ll ask him via dono or patreon question or something.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Genzy
522zDiMzWRe7gmSZSCCp
public
contract
1,719,866,415,267
will-the-bridge-burn-destiny-farha
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Will the Bridge Burn: Destiny & Farha by July 1st 2024
ji2zqgnncs
0.12668
329.487539
NO
null
fkyvbnfiav
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Note: this also naturally includes YES if it resolves before the close date + time!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
hpy7ZMfRlFj6NiEaopjh
public
contract
1,719,866,436,449
what-will-be-true-of-the-tsla-88-ma
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
What will be true of the TSLA 8/8 market by the time it closes?
null
null
664.906944
YES
ijldnebptd
idsnh4s7ui8
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "label": "MattF", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://media4.giphy.com/media/fxsAcheaMi1PnxPJaf/giphy.gif?cid=5ff1f1cavsr1mtyq9govh4yj7pmfqmo5vqnbx3fyds1ixyjr&ep=v1_gifs_search&rid=giphy.gif&ct=g", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,449,239
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
null
null
null
null
9p92hee2y6o
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lol", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
hpy7ZMfRlFj6NiEaopjh
public
contract
1,719,866,509,016
what-will-be-true-of-the-tsla-88-ma
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
What will be true of the TSLA 8/8 market by the time it closes?
null
null
1,162.55701
YES
ijldnebptd
i1ukpk3s849
false
kao73g2es1T46wMoskeGoCSO0KI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Thanks for writing that comment, and I hope your new investments will pay off!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Jörn
qXrIu1hyCO6FirylOyAk
public
contract
1,719,866,551,124
in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r
Joern
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6Z93xvS1kGC7v3fAQmA1DUaiVZoaIMJKtg2xhJ=s96-c
In what month will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
sm7ybzb94u
null
2,205.903244
NO
0847ad6e3c23
3pg0apgh94w
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This was the most recent time I went all in on a trade", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F68enpvcYor.jpg?alt=media&token=6ff58771-adcc-41b5-adb7-ec0d51811b16", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" } ], "type": "doc" }
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,598,044
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.411577
173,324.033157
YES
null
30y0pi7wito
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I am specifically betting my life savings on Slovenia to win against Portugal today 🙂", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
qXrIu1hyCO6FirylOyAk
public
contract
1,719,866,631,147
in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
In what month will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
sm7ybzb94u
null
628.612655
NO
0847ad6e3c23
qhll5nd25vo
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I mean, the Supreme Court rules that the President has immunity for official acts but not unofficial acts, which pretty much every lawyer already assumed, and for some reason people here interpret this as \"favorable\" for Trump?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is bizarre. If the decision had been 8-1, with 8 justices giving this exact dissenting opinion, while one justice gave the opinion that Trump should be executed on the spot, then would this have been considered an 8-1 ruling in \"favor\" of Trump?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The ruling was that Trump does not have immunity for his unofficial acts, which covers nearly everything he was indicted for. The fact that 3 justices gave the opinion that he shouldn't have blanket immunity for his official acts either does not somehow make the actual ruling ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "more", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " favorable.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
For Truth
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,866,644,720
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
2,485.355724
YES
b2532c8daa55
5rgya04jbp
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Well done", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,644,765
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
r6ibq04vhes
0.406091
4,506,253.949868
YES
null
xmau78mfw3
false
9pduED6AAYSDeHBRRvMNxONVzMJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The battle cry of a generation. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Quroe
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,866,690,705
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
Quroe
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJg8aYkK2Eda5l9we4JJ_Q_wClTY2k9cHpy6jNUymbUB5RV=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
if3t81v54bi
null
169.612107
YES
b2532c8daa55
4vz8hztpbyo
false
xNpOLJjYzAf8r1YvoH2OqsiOmak2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "After hours might fuck us here.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ned Flicks
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,755,063
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
NedFlicks
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3q20rXzm79sDLB6I2-mWj8H2RKNv_tdVblWsSH=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.428864
466.208885
NO
null
fde9ldabnvo
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "sink it all in!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,866,991,538
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
4vz8hztpbyo
0.408432
285,379.016908
NO
null
r93wifvt5h
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "the biggest risk is deliveries tomorrow. I am expecting a >430k deliveries.", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "+ Energy Storage Numbers. ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "hardBreak" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "But q2 will be in my favor", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,005,660
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
4vz8hztpbyo
0.408432
4,513,223.524723
YES
null
6b3j8mcdgfg
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xNpOLJjYzAf8r1YvoH2OqsiOmak2", "label": "NedFlicks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " ...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,034,808
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
null
null
null
null
cso17fv94l
false
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "it's all priced in!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nikki
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,046,623
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
nikki
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
4vz8hztpbyo
0.409831
20,893.747868
NO
null
nsx8a59zat
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " has arrived", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,089,242
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
6b3j8mcdgfg
0.43
66,909.094221
NO
null
yimsld0khko
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Honestly I wish I could save my mana for other markets but the FOMO is real ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,212,688
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
6b3j8mcdgfg
0.425759
200,001.564519
NO
null
1xr7oz4futl
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Mother of all FOMOs coming for $TSLA", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,250,734
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
6b3j8mcdgfg
0.424734
4,526,596.98395
YES
null
0lrfhfdiytx
false
seF80w4NuDXRDFINDuLgJPZb4A83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " the portugal just ended at 0-0.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
celery
UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C
public
contract
1,719,867,310,997
uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop
WhoamI748e
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKUqqQCy_0aaMYaUr-4Yqx9_5mI-AGwfE8G2mx2p1iLgVY=s96-c
UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE!
null
null
996.189756
YES
nb13xjhrrv
oahzm7720u
false
seF80w4NuDXRDFINDuLgJPZb4A83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "the Portugal match*", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
celery
UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C
public
contract
1,719,867,320,042
uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop
WhoamI748e
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKUqqQCy_0aaMYaUr-4Yqx9_5mI-AGwfE8G2mx2p1iLgVY=s96-c
UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE!
0lrfhfdiytx
null
996.189756
YES
nb13xjhrrv
5gj0qad8h0a
false
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The entire media is saying that this granted almost all of what Trump asked for, including Donald Trump himself. It is pretty difficult for me to outline every possible way that the decision could happen in a market in advance, but I feel that the vast majority of people would say that this was 6-3 in favor of Trump.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FcbVuEZH6Ar.png?alt=media&token=98c4d188-1c31-44d9-a094-9e977c4a3c6e", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "image" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Semiotic Rivalry
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,867,395,552
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
SemioticRivalry
https://firebasestorage.…b1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
0
YES
6560328de083
2fxn8wdx4d9
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Looks like just \"If no such info has come out by deadline, resolves NO.\"", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
James Baker
6wNVIDCKlURgt5whhVgv
public
contract
1,719,867,414,622
info-that-the-board-pushed-out-altm
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
Info that the board pushed out Altman from OpenAI due to personal, non-AI issues, by mid 2024
5segux9ik48
0
298.80068
NO
null
dj0evdgflps
false
KukaIffKZlc5LPbgOkXqORgapLe2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "July 21st", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
gmbleawy
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,719,867,583,957
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
gmbleawy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdOPub8HgywYNaNmomTkUEqKE8rUJG2F62FWRe0izck6ts=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.756801
14,343.892161
YES
null
kfx9f9amzoc
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bienvenue en France et l'étape quatre", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Lion
am3za87tpn
public
contract
1,719,867,607,462
who-will-win-stage-3-at-the-2024-to
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
Who will win stage 4 at the 2024 Tour de France?
null
null
69.324782
YES
b9ottgmieq
hvi68c908g
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62", "label": "MolbyDick", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " 20x this right now", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,654,143
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
null
null
null
null
ida6skka2a
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I just made a (mini) market for tomorrow's stage, if there is enough interest I'll keep doing markets for individual stages", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/egroj/who-will-win-stage-3-at-the-2024-to", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "iframe" } ], "type": "doc" }
JAAM
eIc6hRegmVFSLfYwwLwy
public
contract
1,719,867,683,435
who-will-win-the-2024-tour-de-franc
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Who will win the 2024 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
null
null
8,018.771963
YES
2c2810c2414f
2xtqqh79qrv
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "that was 1/10 :[", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,768,450
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
hvi68c908g
0.41922
350,017.351785
NO
null
g4zgbb4vwcj
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "🧡", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
LvTDt2dAQAdltiTM6VuR
public
contract
1,719,867,768,570
which-of-these-will-i-stralor-do-by
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Which of these will I, @Stralor, do by the end of June? Meta Goals Market
null
null
622.09033
NO
aa98c6badc2f
u8huh9ia1aa
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good market!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
LvTDt2dAQAdltiTM6VuR
public
contract
1,719,867,830,075
which-of-these-will-i-stralor-do-by
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Which of these will I, @Stralor, do by the end of June? Meta Goals Market
null
null
16.71169
YES
42dbf0dce00f
dxw2r3606d
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "😂 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,854,558
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
hvi68c908g
0.41922
66,909.094221
NO
null
4rnsgim1xo6
false
0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Maniflop", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Magnus
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,867,888,896
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
thepurplebull
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
null
null
525.87745
NO
d4d88be4159a
jdr1j0j42rj
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "lmao Jackson has no patience!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,899,524
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
hvi68c908g
0.417238
4,620,274.189678
YES
null
mpogky4j8am
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Small underspecified market by an inactive user, going by the most reasonable assumption and resolving NO.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Gabrielle
4lnXF525fyivteu2Ux3Q
public
contract
1,719,867,909,254
ai-will-gpt4-have-local-memory
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
AI: Will GPT-4 have local memory?
null
null
null
null
null
luwmf6n32en
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm doing my part!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Savior of Plant
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,937,970
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
hvi68c908g
0.435763
815.278656
YES
null
w5u6uv3lwmm
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yessir", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,986,994
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
hvi68c908g
0.44
4,636,916.178507
YES
null
9xltpbsngh
false
4Ou4U9ubQ8f4pMsswck3jZjyXEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Ok the truth social got me on board I agree with you now", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Eric Zhu
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,867,991,005
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
EricZhu
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
121.736879
NO
b2532c8daa55
tlzkyzeed1
false
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Waiting for people who thought this was obviously dumb last week to vote No in bulk on this very temporary very illogical upturn in the market, it's free mana!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Matt F
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,867,996,589
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MattF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
0.44
187,489.261028
YES
null
z62vs0vzudh
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "So yummy.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,868,017,183
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
tlzkyzeed1
0.44
4,636,916.178507
YES
null
xted9ladtn
false
JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " new market!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "language": null, "level": null, "src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Ibozz91/will-we-get-silksong-news-in-the-fo", "start": null, "title": null, "tweetId": null, "url": null }, "content": null, "type": "iframe" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ibozz91
rJzdlh3kn4o2i8HywXld
public
contract
1,719,868,040,677
will-there-be-silksong-news-this-mo
Ibozz91
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c
Will there be Silksong news this month?
null
null
null
null
null
et5us2xs5d4
false
jAY6viyswAc4uYYXaBKKSmqjBzs1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Border conflic that forced civilians to desert towns. Israeli side proclaimed an ultimatum that Hz must leave to the north as prescribed in a previous Lebanon war resolution.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Many countries issued evacuation orders for their citizens.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The clusterfuck intensifies...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
IC Rainbow
0I5Ud3F6iS0QbC5DNEnl
public
contract
1,719,868,121,219
will-the-israel-invade-lebanon-by-t
ICRainbow
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxax3Edymo0WwuHQmZ4dtKDhb5-pSv_qdMfPA4FTpUk=s96-c
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
g6edis5hyf
0.725014
114.092922
YES
null
45132fqw4bi
false
AXCShICabXOEZrWoFSBPxmyU6jk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "betting NO based on the fact that it seems to have found no resonance on twitter, which would be the most likely vector of spread.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Peter Buyukliev
lv41nqg73m
public
contract
1,719,868,236,338
will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe
PeterBuyukliev
https://firebasestorage.…529-f0ece6de2b4c
Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024?
null
0.152059
3,640.188717
NO
null
ct0m4zgt26
false
ZqiZSqrlgWbxJLA6aoqk4JDsqWB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm just not participating in any markets without a description going forward. This feels so cheap", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
No one
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,868,299,057
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
Noone9ff8
https://firebasestorage.…e93-cb09472510d1
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
null
null
143.502377
YES
b2532c8daa55
0bngr4942xne
false
8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": ">How come that's a no?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sorry, yes, you're 100% right. I inverted the market it my head, Yes should be No and No should be Yes.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Frogswap
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,868,387,801
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.277272
1,085.416637
NO
null
7xrw2h3vdi
false
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "oM4vpyCe6Ca43M78SipoTXcgIL53", "label": "rossry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " we can tangle", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
TSLABull
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,868,410,296
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
MolbyDick
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3Fv6tHNtztWvt2EKzgxFCFO5vBboyToBEm5ne-O_e2iPy2vA10-am1HyumXwhHQ8TmgD7hUTB7yokY1_OnpMRIYz_I26jS_8xrIRYiLTpn4tz1ehGr5MBXc52cHtHOFIr75TBvfRBucNqWMi55HJ3gMafiLCsRRufPbWV9W75ebNkpPQr-Fajv1VVUfjMrOmDhzwcB0uEArrgF0lQ1aSuwd2JN11ZJo7Y7p4gyPbmMDureFH9Ppk6xmGp53c3N5lIgeS_dH309hrZWL-N1_L1xoWufgpSeq0GaYVcpChDe_uWm5muiM39lzL5xdzCh5CLJn2HsflObP9H_Ei2mQXM_JQa0PHtPI11wk4w90HMPihYAIv8U4GECdlSV7nKemKVQ5C9asqy40yji5loeo3jof6fSSvWMYvFj206ohJ0r-NviW0y2A-Pp_VCPDMPg8cLpToFGPcmYguqw6Kw87iUow37UNBwG_vKFyI9_k0QWVT6dXpSSMYpts6Ui-KOv__LGb_ybFWH0dHGR_KA_WNNWZyoH8IDbwiGhUATlBS8qTwS7MDrON0E7K2MJCxCHBcVQdmXFNrBvz0zi2kwCtaPUcLR9teA9h_lcj2ybyXjPfdY_KVPz_smz9XzNssQ5Qaw5sR6n1aTX-wNaONG7j3nIvaOXIArN1glV07JsXIOQYPkPHFnWWq0DMoqOBJHBcna922FE=s96-c
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
null
null
null
null
ljn3d2mxfvq
false
oM4vpyCe6Ca43M78SipoTXcgIL53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What size do you actually want to do? Happy to agree to put on $ here at 40%; let me know how much.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Ross Rheingans-Yoo
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,719,868,488,925
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
rossry
https://firebasestorage.…78f-c038986f33e5
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
7xrw2h3vdi
0.39
1,127,045.307241
NO
null
nvvcbyvci0d
false
BNRxiD3n0vMOV8yXyV5iKAkeTB82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " The decision abjectly rejected most of what Trump's lawyers were asking for, but sure.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I won't argue, but you should probably provide at least one media article that you're using to resolve this market. Resolving a market to its 1.6% outcome without providing any actual evidence beyond \"Trump thought so\" is just begging to upset people.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
For Truth
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,868,527,457
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
ForTruth
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK20H7igUt1-gPcrW65-fV97qkL3DKImwHJGpNxlOzz2-SJksA=s96-c
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
c90fodap1na
null
2,485.355724
YES
b2532c8daa55
1aqjt6bft0c
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1807761917274214899", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1807761917274214899", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Lion
3p170v2lld
public
contract
1,719,868,570,070
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-zvdamsxue7
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before Veterans Day (November 11th)? [ADD YOUR OWN]
null
null
null
null
null
0ze9zvu19w89
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "you're welcome to write that survey now, ftr", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
LvTDt2dAQAdltiTM6VuR
public
contract
1,719,868,647,031
which-of-these-will-i-stralor-do-by
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Which of these will I, @Stralor, do by the end of June? Meta Goals Market
g4zgbb4vwcj
null
622.09033
NO
aa98c6badc2f
3cjcu59a394
false
ug4JhYVKbtaBcV17pUosHTNpkRi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Seriously this is priced so ridiculously wrong", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris Canal
cd9xhpsbs0
public
contract
1,719,868,657,940
will-ai-agents-be-able-to-code-a-sm
ChrisCanal
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi8zVC-m6GzbOC7D457ZFPbmBNAxuIyLEm_7Vz3Qq8=s96-c
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
null
0.499112
979.539528
YES
null
88nw9u2w1d3
false
ug4JhYVKbtaBcV17pUosHTNpkRi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "label": "JamesGrugett", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": " Is this just a ploy to get us to buy more mana so we can bet this up to 99%?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Chris Canal
cd9xhpsbs0
public
contract
1,719,868,735,357
will-ai-agents-be-able-to-code-a-sm
ChrisCanal
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi8zVC-m6GzbOC7D457ZFPbmBNAxuIyLEm_7Vz3Qq8=s96-c
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
3cjcu59a394
0.53
4,761.578909
YES
null
okajq5lyj7
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1807757765655625890", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1807757765655625890", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Lion
3p170v2lld
public
contract
1,719,868,736,087
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-zvdamsxue7
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before Veterans Day (November 11th)? [ADD YOUR OWN]
null
null
null
null
null
vqip3ipsd9
false
8DSVFmhmsQZ9GOYcwsm7wXWkChj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "But it sounds like your issue isn't with the market's criteria being underspecified, but that it is asking something different from what you want it to ask. That's a case for making a new market rather than changing this one.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Frogswap
CPfMjdbOrD8LNMjiKWmD
public
contract
1,719,868,784,818
will-working-be-necessary-in-2070
Frogswap
https://firebasestorage.…70d-b0fdb2c577d8
Will working be necessary in 2070?
qugho3ri4iq
0.277272
1,085.416637
NO
null
uhsnk7xwop
false
rNVW9sNdznbeEiOEvWjw0ZmMSXZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Only betting in markets with a description is a good policy. Although I'm not sure what the description for this one could have been beneficial, which part of it feels cheap to you?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
blue rat
mY8eR7W0O3iALtUT66JN
public
contract
1,719,868,796,978
how-will-the-supreme-court-decide-t
bluerat
https://firebasestorage.…d80-4da51f53b651
How will the Supreme Court split in the Trump immunity case?
ct0m4zgt26
null
359.796571
YES
d4d88be4159a
rncix6phs9
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "href": "https://www.hpcwire.com/2024/06/24/what-we-know-about-alice-recoque-europes-second-exascale-system/", "target": "_blank" }, "type": "link" } ], "text": "New supercomputer planned to be installed in France : https://www.hpcwire.com/2024/06/24/what-we-know-about-alice-recoque-europes-second-exascale-system/", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Mich
Ar5MMEqmi1pqqCdb4MWk
public
contract
1,719,868,945,455
will-paris-be-the-hub-of-ai-in-euro
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?
null
0.366278
49.858879
YES
null
iasfb9y57yh
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Can you give some examples of things you would or wouldn't consider civic unrest? (I'm guessing no civil unrest after 2016 and 2020 elections, yes unrest in the George Floyd riots and jan6 stuff?)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Shaked Koplewitz
atJUSLZN5rmoWCBMpWOd
public
contract
1,719,868,988,088
if-trump-wins-will-there-be-wide-sc
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?
null
null
null
null
null
8fsoqlwvci3
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "happy Due Date Day 🧡 hope you're all feeling good ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
suqx2ukd3n
public
contract
1,719,868,994,553
on-what-day-will-our-baby-be-born-eslgkpbzzu
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
On what day will our baby be born?
null
null
2,069.225579
NO
ub0bnmdr3l