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... | Joshua | CTqYXKh51Fd7X3QNtlVk | public | contract | 1,719,875,153,765 | will-the-ufo-retrieval-program-clai | Joshua | Will the UFO retrieval program claims by whistleblower David Grusch be viewed as accurate in June of 2024? | null | 0.01 | 723.903949 | NO | null | |
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... | chris (strutheo) | 86MJxIJUk8nOKzLfXPBR | public | contract | 1,719,875,266,225 | what-will-happen-in-the-next-6-mont | strutheo | What will happen by July 1st? (ADD RESPONSES)
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... | duck_master | X4G8gbm09M9PWzxvloCe | public | contract | 1,719,878,509,465 | will-i-encounter-issue-number-1-whe-a62358afc303 | duck_master | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fduck_master%2Flove-images%2F0P82jd00Lc.59?alt=media&token=eb4ef3fd-c16c-4725-a772-3879a67385a6 | Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market? | null | 0.184309 | 152.008661 | NO | null |
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... | Jessica Evans | 4eqtxxfqbz | public | contract | 1,719,878,573,761 | will-transgender-us-passports-with | JessicaEvans | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ09N-L0VcH3A2_jFbvwzXuPQH7Z8dtC_qkPe9VUC3kHfs=s96-c | Will transgender US passports with a gender other than that assigned at birth be revoked in 2025? | kiwd0qqlvin | 0.316278 | 553.576817 | YES | null |
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... | mint | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,879,097,563 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | mint | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.761904 | 25,374.135626 | YES | null | |
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"l... | JRP | xcdn8kiz7y | public | contract | 1,719,879,853,790 | will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category | parhizj | Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5? | fa0j44ouw36 | 0.44 | 1,132.046625 | NO | null | |
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} | Bruno Joyal 🍅 | bzotts62gNcNeokTjtx5 | public | contract | 1,719,879,858,185 | will-biden-step-asidewithdraw-from | BrunoJ | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteYBxZSAOQI4rRpDCyiUNObDhTNJGeFDpW2VnHY5rWn5Eo=s96-c | Will Biden step aside/withdraw from the U.S. Presidential race prior to the Democratic National Convention? | null | null | null | null | null |
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} | jackson polack | 86MJxIJUk8nOKzLfXPBR | public | contract | 1,719,880,441,361 | what-will-happen-in-the-next-6-mont | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | What will happen by July 1st? (ADD RESPONSES)
| null | null | 914.443221 | YES | 81ad132e3019 |
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"text": "Hmm, I don't thiiiiiink it was 95 on June 23rd, but if you have evidence from a chart or screenshot feel free to bet up and take the mana!",
... | Panfilo | iwv1NEQD8F4ibsuAcUnf | public | contract | 1,719,880,636,072 | will-any-video-game-released-in-jun | Panfilo | Will any video game released in June have a Metacritic score of 95 or higher? | gorb0ai7wji | 0.18 | 1,042.353903 | NO | null | |
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"text": "Edit They upgraded the intensity on the home page (com atcf also) to 135 kt. Their was a Dropsonde that showed 138 kt in average lower 150m but rest of... | JRP | xcdn8kiz7y | public | contract | 1,719,880,656,007 | will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category | parhizj | Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5? | fa0j44ouw36 | 0.51 | 1,132.046625 | NO | null | |
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"text": "I mean I don't see it in the swag store, but at Manifest they definitely had some stuff involving the logo, which is why I assume this is YES. ",
... | Ziddletwix | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,881,158,517 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | Ziddletwix | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | null | null | 1,393.716232 | NO | f8d13e11d1ef | |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Bence | tj13l0rpoj | public | contract | 1,719,881,392,570 | will-joe-biden-tank-his-statement-o | bence | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c | Will Joe Biden tank his "statement on Supreme Court's immunity ruling" on July 1st? | null | null | null | null | null |
hdwknpsm318 | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
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"text": "938 estimated MSLP by rule of thumb (940 - (23/10)) doesn’t seem strong enough for cat 5 either",
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"text": "This supports a NO resolution so far, but I will wait the full two days before resolving.",
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"text": "This excerpt appears to be from a discussion related to the manga and anime series \"One Piece.\" The mention of \"gear 5\" refers to a transformation ... | Craig Talbert | QVawSKNbXV8xXQqFWzwA | public | contract | 1,719,881,531,173 | will-the-aging-effects-after-gear-5 | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | Will the aging effects after gear 5 be permanent? | null | null | null | null | null |
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"cont... | Craig Talbert | QVawSKNbXV8xXQqFWzwA | public | contract | 1,719,881,600,317 | will-the-aging-effects-after-gear-5 | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | Will the aging effects after gear 5 be permanent? | LQrZTG8PDPwiQl6rPC4f | null | null | null | null |
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"text": "there was a calibration chart shirt floating around at Manifest but idk if it's the same as the one the option refers to, or if it was a fresh print th... | stefanie | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,881,600,431 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | shankypanky | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 115.973118 | YES | f6fe2636d5a3 | |
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... | Craig Talbert | QVawSKNbXV8xXQqFWzwA | public | contract | 1,719,881,751,572 | will-the-aging-effects-after-gear-5 | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | Will the aging effects after gear 5 be permanent? | LQrZTG8PDPwiQl6rPC4f | null | null | null | null |
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"text": "They were printed for last year -- the \"Prediction markets freaking work\" shirts that had the calibration chart!",
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}... | James | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,881,830,858 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | JamesGrugett | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 388.884752 | YES | 6bdba365f20b | |
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"text": "got it - so the last two are a no, right?",
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} | stefanie | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,881,881,689 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | shankypanky | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 115.973118 | YES | f6fe2636d5a3 | |
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"text": "I mean, we sold that swag this year, so I would have guessed Yes for the James' calibration shirt answer. But Well calibrated is definitely a no.",
... | James | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,882,081,351 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | JamesGrugett | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 388.884752 | YES | 6bdba365f20b | |
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"text": "A new blind survey had a lean result of -1.39 vs. the last blind survey's score of -1.40; the published score has not been updated and is still set to ... | Bence | ZlDNd204Hlc7GkXcztNI | public | contract | 1,719,882,192,536 | will-cnns-online-news-abandon-its-l | bence | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY6q8sP8ydlU9daTxBnT6rxi4S_cnrdBUjDR2INFbY=s96-c | Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings? | null | 0.227522 | 128.889286 | NO | null |
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"type": "mention... | blankspace737 | SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG | public | contract | 1,719,882,542,800 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres | stardust | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | vxyyaqjh1oq | 0.572825 | 98.212828 | YES | null | |
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"text": "hm I would have interpreted the market as swag made this year and sold, rather than leftover merch brought to the event only ",
"type": "text... | stefanie | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,882,643,357 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | shankypanky | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 276.711492 | NO | ad6d152d0689 | |
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... | David Bolin | SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG | public | contract | 1,719,883,366,396 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres | DavidBolin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | 7fdcsj7hlft | 0.572497 | 610.277766 | YES | null |
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"text": "(Obviously, I realize Biden will never tax unrealized gains; he was just campaigning. But he did claim he would do it.)",
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... | David Bolin | SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG | public | contract | 1,719,883,392,794 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres | DavidBolin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | 7fdcsj7hlft | 0.572497 | 610.277766 | YES | null |
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... | MercurialGuesser | aTv7qxQZud91AFVOodXQ | public | contract | 1,719,883,510,345 | by-2026-will-a-proeminent-chatbot-w | OP | By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Scott Supak | xcdn8kiz7y | public | contract | 1,719,883,888,419 | will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category | ScottSupak | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5DFv99tA_zCypikjGaDt5DPMJL0KdMjFQR3rdlyg=s96-c | Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5? | null | 0.41 | 596.161248 | YES | null |
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... | mongo | 0fh4mivr6o | public | contract | 1,719,884,245,061 | which-party-will-the-economist-endo-h8rounj836 | mongo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7I_X--wyVrh_ZPix4FSV8YMpbXtxCdMU-qkPeUUA=s96-c | Which party will The Economist endorse in the next UK general election (after July 4, 2024)? | null | null | 1,414.271128 | YES | oplik0j9bg |
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"text": "Whatever you think! Also, this should probably resolve the same as the Prediction markets: they freaking work answer.",
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... | James | dcjJSMHsVtqfZ4iSh4NF | public | contract | 1,719,884,328,653 | which-slogans-will-be-emblazoned-on | JamesGrugett | Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024? | pjwjjf7eso | null | 388.884752 | YES | 6bdba365f20b | |
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"text": "I’ll say this it’s still subjective and they can only blend to like 10% accuracy of vmax according to their own words",
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... | JRP | xcdn8kiz7y | public | contract | 1,719,884,676,647 | will-hurricane-beryl-reach-category | parhizj | Will Hurricane Beryl reach category 5? | 400amukelcg | 0.43 | 1,150.878821 | NO | null | |
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