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} | MercurialGuesser | je24zmi88q | public | contract | 1,719,910,399,124 | will-any-company-or-space-agency-ot | OP | Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027? | null | 0.607685 | 53.555912 | YES | null | |
3f0d04oki0s | false | sgTxCk08yEeyapR0FraG0OCw7iU2 | {
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"text": "Hi everyone, I would like to change the resolution criteria to 'the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'",
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jeqgmlz4tln | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
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"text": "Surprised this isn't trading higher given the right wing stereotypical tendency towards antivax, essential oils, homeopathy, ivermectin, drinking bleach because Trump said to etc",
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"text": "Yeah but it remains to be seen if they will be able to actually launch something in orbit. Just doing first stage test wont count.",
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"text": "This is actually a good strategy. It would discourage potential Biden voters from voting for Kennedy instead while encouraging potential Trump voters to do so. Anyone who would be discouraged from voting for Kennedy by this ad will likely switch to Biden, and anyone who decides to vote for Kennedy because of the ad would have otherwise voted for Trump ",
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} | MercurialGuesser | je24zmi88q | public | contract | 1,719,910,892,079 | will-any-company-or-space-agency-ot | OP | Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027? | yw3numfgwuc | 0.607685 | 53.555912 | YES | null | |
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"text": "Really? In my experience it's almost entirely focused in the section of the right that are super anti science conspiracy theorists, and are often pushed as alternatives to vaccination",
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"text": "This question has now closed. This was the first question I created on Manifold, and the resolution criteria are a bit weird. I will however try to follow them as closely as possible, which means waiting a month before resolving the question. Sorry for keeping your Mana locked up for so long.",
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"text": "If you have traded on this market and do NOT want it to be resolved by a poll, please respond to this comment with the word \"object\". If anyone does so in the next month, I will instead resolve the question personally as originally anticipated.",
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"text": "I'm not surprised by this. Alternative medicine was associated with New Age, so it was very stereotypically left-wing before covid. Now that the right wing position is to reflexively reject medical science and embrace whatever wacky alternative there is, alt medicine has become right wing. The reason essential oils and homeopathy seem left wing to me is because I haven't heard anything about right-wingers using them specifically, so I still associate them with pre-covid alt med.",
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"text": "Surprised yes is so high. Even in ideal circumstances EU application process is grueling, slow and with a bunch roadblocks (any existing EU country can block/veto it for any reason). Example: For Croatia it took 13 years and it was blocked all the time by the neighbours and that was in much better time for EU enlargement. ",
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"text": "I understand there is a lot of public support for Ukraine given the situation but Its hard to see that will still hold once conflict is resolved. There are also other factors, EUs general decline and economic issues, increasing political polarisation...its just hard to see EU having capacity to accept a big country like Ukraine with huge problems with economy, security, corruption.. in such a short timespan.",
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