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... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,720,053,835,151 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | l4lieyd8zm | null | 3.055573 | NO | xu4agxmfx4 |
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"l... | Savior of Plant | 1nr9odzvdc | public | contract | 1,720,054,006,212 | at-what-strength-will-hurricane-ber | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | At what strength will Hurricane Beryl make landfall in Jamaica? | null | null | 1,004.936346 | YES | 5zy99nw6gv |
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... | Stop Punting | 1qcmennj3v | public | contract | 1,720,054,907,128 | will-bronny-james-score-10-points-i | StopPunting | Will Bronny James score 10 total points in the 2024-25 season (not inclusive of preseason) | qqgd3er4nbk | 0.5 | 0 | NO | null | |
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"att... | Blomfilter | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,054,930,859 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Blomfilter | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | null | 284,561.144154 | YES | d827ecde0e0b | |
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"l... | Predictor 🔥 | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,720,055,462,885 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | Predictor | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | null | null | 1,949.230025 | YES | eca0885814f3 | |
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} | Magnus | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,056,453,112 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | thepurplebull | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | 9qqwvem83e7 | null | null | null | null |
4ykwy1mr782 | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
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{
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"text": "20 prize points? I'm not sure.",
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} | Predictor 🔥 | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,056,527,103 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | Predictor | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | 9qqwvem83e7 | 0.474469 | 1,445.463288 | NO | null | |
3b4d16rohu2 | false | qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1 | {
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"type": "pa... | M.H. | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,056,682,340 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | MilfordHammerschmidt | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gsa1ezfyjk | null | 0 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
rhtefi98ppa | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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"content": n... | Ansel | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,056,699,757 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Ansel | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ko887pslnes | null | 2,520.172956 | YES | 892080ca10c6 | |
si2mhn20dyf | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
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{
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"text": "I don't know who you think you're talking to like that, but okay. GFY",
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]... | Predictor 🔥 | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,056,765,456 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Predictor | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ko887pslnes | null | 1,285.703196 | YES | 8de9e54470a7 | |
ufsksfrhrpe | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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... | Ansel | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,056,933,723 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Ansel | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ko887pslnes | null | 2,520.172956 | YES | 892080ca10c6 | |
elianu4jzc6 | false | bj2HHw8ukXYsrqD5Ms5jYfNwCfQ2 | {
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"text": "Yeah it's rare that normal people have any strong opinions about a vice president. People hated Dick Cheney, laughed at Dan Quayle, but mostly they're ... | NT | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,056,939,983 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | n_t | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtf9ABsWnJwqWByRDhIaTC7G3Yi7-PIQDpBvmpTpWJ-6=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gsa1ezfyjk | null | 11,451.232323 | YES | 230d5d1b7613 |
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} | fish | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,057,103,320 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | kurt | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 71wj7e8w5w3 | null | 21,376.594814 | YES | d827ecde0e0b | |
f3althz8wwo | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
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"text": "It’s been a while since we’ve seen her not in “vice president mode” so it’s possible that she’s been holding back a bit so as not to outshine Joe? I re... | Ansel | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,057,239,644 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Ansel | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gsa1ezfyjk | null | 2,520.172956 | YES | 892080ca10c6 | |
y399qgmpr4k | false | 0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2 | {
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} | Magnus | aexns5j8am | public | contract | 1,720,057,436,997 | is-it-joever | thepurplebull | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c | Is it Joever? | null | null | null | null | null |
3ewqm2ijide | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
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"l... | The Official | FHX6rAooZt1Ggbe1e82g | public | contract | 1,720,057,932,345 | 2024-copa-america-all-matches | 10thOfficial | 2024 Copa America 🏆|⚽ All Matches | null | null | 643.051384 | YES | cvlsdsnm4d | |
eqx9f1xkqxn | false | 6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363 | {
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{
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{
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"text": "Is this conditional on the actual swearing in? N/A if he doesn't get elected?",
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}
],
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... | James Baker | skag5rmevs | public | contract | 1,720,058,444,741 | if-biden-is-sworn-into-a-second-ter | JamesBaker3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c | If Biden is sworn into a second term will he die within 4 years of being sworn in? | null | 0.459051 | 180.064448 | NO | null |
08nps41gkb6d | false | uKcjazFwIkhMFvhie6cnANL8MTV2 | {
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"text": "Brawl uses Alchemy cards (alas), so Nadu could be nerfed rather than banned.",
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... | Karl K. | 4qp471u7qu | public | contract | 1,720,058,620,928 | will-nadu-winged-wisdom-be-banned-i-6prtu5t217 | KarlK | Will Nadu, Winged Wisdom be banned in Brawl by October? | null | 0.498924 | 98.769883 | NO | null | |
2w5iivz8pw4 | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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{
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{
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"text": "Another one 🔑",
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],
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"... | Niko | 7n58fdpeax | public | contract | 1,720,058,824,445 | will-a-second-sitting-democrat-cong | Moscow25 | Will a second sitting Democrat Congressman or Senator publicly urge Biden to drop out before July 7th? | null | 0.981378 | 656.328982 | YES | null | |
eqcz3uy1m4c | false | wMxdL9lv8SgJKMKFazXljpv4g292 | {
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"text": "Rubio can easily raise more money than Burgum can contribute. Burgum is barely a billionaire. Max he’s contributing $100M cash. ",
"type": "t... | FoxKHTML | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,720,058,866,418 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | FoxKHTML | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | 3bvfi5j2rxy | null | 153,726.959864 | YES | 086ed0cbbf50 | |
v3kah9n4m9l | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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"text": "No. That’s still stepping down from President. It also won’t happen. ",
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]... | Niko | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,058,929,560 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | Moscow25 | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | fbfqeyuqlw | 0.400421 | 37,327.604593 | YES | null | |
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} | Andrew G | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,059,063,963 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | 9qqwvem83e7 | 0.400421 | 9,713.019747 | NO | null |
93wi4yb7gtw | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
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... | Dan | dvmla8o1ku | public | contract | 1,720,059,407,113 | will-kamala-harris-be-president-by | DanMan314 | Will Kamala Harris be president by 2028? | null | null | null | null | null | |
d1omztvfykh | false | nU1f09PQ2tXXid2YO9Py924PV5J3 | {
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{
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"text": "yeah if he does resign it's likely to be much later, too.",
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"type": ... | David Bolin | 934ov6uj9o | public | contract | 1,720,059,472,053 | will-joe-biden-announce-that-he-is | DavidBolin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxBDzHEeklms-AzWLaDGByiape0wpIwJKLyGQDu=s96-c | Will Joe Biden announce that he is both dropping out and resigning from the presidency before the end of July? | 0gex81pe8bbb | null | null | null | null |
u7b5qhzulci | false | 6xRZb6sK2OfzveTDuGmjSIHpovF2 | {
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{
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"text": "The minds ai folks have been making some pretty impressive progress. Hit 60% on the public set recently.",
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],... | Usaar33 | AxjVvY3ODsYROrnOgANi | public | contract | 1,720,059,940,485 | will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai | Usaar33 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLs6a87Fmw7B5pZ9PGLt4kh3G0wqbs7jQWHmS8oi9ZfDYKD=s96-c | Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024? | rhsszj9j3he | null | null | null | null |
ytavakgkjsj | false | Vt7xU7iOuYSReDOkaaVCIdnowus1 | {
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"text": "I suspect the public set got into the training data. But yeah, I feel like all the ai markets are a bit distorted atm",
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... | Yo-cuddles | AxjVvY3ODsYROrnOgANi | public | contract | 1,720,060,081,305 | will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai | Yocuddles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLfSvcvtrqoxvB8tvHOAEml6nP00RH-Q2cd4JdCFfJS=s96-c | Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024? | rhsszj9j3he | 0.217082 | 26,639.44787 | NO | null |
826smr5jbfo | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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{
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"text": "How about ‘be elected president’",
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],
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} | Bayesian | dvmla8o1ku | public | contract | 1,720,060,552,230 | will-kamala-harris-be-president-by | Bayesian | Will Kamala Harris be president by 2028? | 93wi4yb7gtw | 0.311577 | 35.616555 | NO | null | |
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... | Magnus | 5xvZ2ZVhzaVIEWIUkYsr | public | contract | 1,720,061,144,502 | 5-years-from-now-will-chatgpt-be-se | thepurplebull | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c | 5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?" | null | 0.741466 | 854.070327 | NO | null |
lc9o0sdqkip | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | xYuMWO8RHpErY6FtOOTU | public | contract | 1,720,061,239,007 | will-fyre-festival-2-actually-happe | strutheo | Will Fyre Festival 2 actually happen before the end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
3sp6ye3a5je | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | kVrkZ9lTKD3AiEMvFsPe | public | contract | 1,720,061,274,821 | will-manifold-drop-to-1000-or-lower | strutheo | Will Manifold Engaged Users drop to 1000 or lower before the end of August? | null | null | null | null | null | |
d19o2j9cqym | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | OjFIX30pvONnovM6WLbb | public | contract | 1,720,061,298,137 | what-will-be-true-about-the-world-a | strutheo | 🔮What will be true about the world at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 598.520997 | NO | e5ab77b31e75 | |
1xywgtnm3lj | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
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"text": "11 PM advisory text doesn't mention landfall at 12UTC but the interactive track shows landfall is forecast for approximately then (a strong cat 1):",
... | JRP | vclk0o7spd | public | contract | 1,720,061,323,166 | at-what-intensity-will-hurricane-be | parhizj | At what intensity will Hurricane Beryl first make landfall in Mexico? | null | null | 1,196.605513 | YES | kv0f1jlawt | |
jbiy1ksjlpb | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | 14gu8ok04n | public | contract | 1,720,061,354,309 | will-martin-shkreli-be-convicted-of | strutheo | Will Martin Shkreli be convicted of a new crime by the end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
l2hxemv4e19 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | Xbau5fGuK1PrPRWgAwsc | public | contract | 1,720,061,416,339 | which-of-these-game-series-will-get | strutheo | Which of these video games will get their "third" entry by 3/3/2033? | null | null | null | null | null | |
o3gt9ednvpr | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | BexT7jKOxAPkMiAfOQoA | public | contract | 1,720,061,432,655 | will-the-fifteenth-doctor-ncuti-gat | strutheo | Will the Fifteenth Doctor (Ncuti Gatwa) star in 40 or more episodes of Doctor Who before regenerating? | null | null | null | null | null | |
y17ao40th0h | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | DjN8X9iYVnnlCCu32bk5 | public | contract | 1,720,061,508,976 | what-will-the-nvidia-stock-price-be | strutheo | What will the Nvidia stock price be at the end of 2024? (10x if split) | null | null | null | null | null | |
ft4z8mi2oya | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | GBRkkUPYKI1R6lV2pBl2 | public | contract | 1,720,061,554,081 | will-the-playstation-6-release-befo | strutheo | Will the Playstation 6 release before the end of 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
imlu6h3zgue | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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} | chris (strutheo) | kh8luVibr55QVhBPjMLj | public | contract | 1,720,061,571,409 | will-sonia-sotomayor-still-be-on-th | strutheo | Will Sonia Sotomayor still be on the Supreme Court at the end of 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
fns53z7vtso | false | jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2 | {
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{
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xys01lod81 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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... | chris (strutheo) | nav2ajpah4 | public | contract | 1,720,069,094,692 | will-tesla-tsla-reach-a-new-all-tim | strutheo | Will Tesla TSLA reach a new all time high this year? | r5hlexj6jcq | null | null | null | null | |
ebskpcffbam | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
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... | chris (strutheo) | zblop3b3ve | public | contract | 1,720,069,167,780 | will-tesla-tsla-reach-a-new-all-tim-f4udj0dpro | strutheo | Will Tesla TSLA reach a new all time high by end of June 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
d2kt31z6zv9 | false | 1RfsLVzFZwaLLXGaSr5yaG5ink23 | {
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"text": "Nah everyone is just being the Zoolander of media literacy. He was never going to drop out. There is no one who could replace Dark Brandon",
... | duN | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,069,543,064 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | dgga | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdgga%2F_HQHzw0yrx.0?alt=media&token=b8a7e5fb-51e0-49fa-b18c-463f38fe9ecc | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | c54xwnyxc4o | 0.399592 | 7,270.746186 | NO | null |
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