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av6ayp7rfbp
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "for the bullest of bulls", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
chris (strutheo)
xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f
public
contract
1,720,069,767,720
will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
null
null
null
null
null
5b8zsr4to7
false
eieeU345lwUIithZDydMfum1WKG2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Correct also N/A if elected but not sworn in for any reason.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
Alex Litzenberger
skag5rmevs
public
contract
1,720,069,897,714
if-biden-is-sworn-into-a-second-ter
alexlitz
https://firebasestorage.…fc2-2c228e26fbd4
If Biden is sworn into a second term will he die within 4 years of being sworn in?
eqx9f1xkqxn
null
null
null
null
4vy5enwlyvg
false
ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Point taken, and this is a massive tangent. But if you know addicts, they can be incredibly sober and conscientious on things unrelated to using their ...
Craig Talbert
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,720,070,098,326
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
CraigTalbert
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
haub8huenwc
0.425371
-0
NO
null
olgumyea1rq
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
iscjdurmd7
public
contract
1,720,070,185,949
will-trumps-vice-president-running-1m7rhv2imp
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Trump's vice president running mate be Nikki Haley OR Ron DeSantis OR Vivek Ramaswamy OR RFK?
null
null
null
null
null
qaerd0072lm
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
9wcsaj5AOfZQxLvEdaeC
public
contract
1,720,070,319,223
which-of-the-following-emoji-ideas
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🔣Which of the following emoji ideas will be officially in Unicode and available for use by EOY 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
95.728998
YES
a8f914deaceb
dmbwa8laben
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
LxUp6UEQoaQYWFGcLi0P
public
contract
1,720,070,407,834
which-pokemon-will-be-starters-in-g
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which Pokemon will be starters in the Legends Z-A?
null
null
null
null
null
9gv885dk3em
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
rtVPdK0hDdzFR7Es2fYu
public
contract
1,720,070,425,339
what-will-be-the-top-3-newest-media
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which will be the top 3 NEWEST media franchises to make over $10B according to Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?
null
null
31.111111
YES
5d5ada110ad4
1dyl2pl5f61
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgrade to basic!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
VH9rQ8dJaiELkKWinAQt
public
contract
1,720,070,448,949
which-of-these-movie-franchises-wit-92a2c296ede9
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which of these movie franchises with 5 entries will get a 6th released before Jan 1st 2028?
null
null
12.525253
YES
9fa728dbaf2f
gwr8pwrca8h
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
VQumyqPv32zOCUcdiJVa
public
contract
1,720,070,458,847
which-will-be-my-top-3-largest-mark
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which will be my top 3 largest markets by traders at EOY 2024?
null
null
-0
YES
910bbd54d1c9
uv22gzp1gjs
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
4iDXofLQ8Kb6AscFfCr9
public
contract
1,720,070,496,769
which-country-will-the-next-secreta
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
null
null
0
NO
0e6e82da47a5
0gd3c9h6xfw5
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
QYVgrsbuSLsMO7slhojL
public
contract
1,720,070,529,178
which-country-will-be-the-first-to-3f8a125ba439
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which country will be the first to adopt a true Universal Basic Income (UBI) program for all citizens?
null
null
57.430102
NO
0345540a58d4
p0d47xyjfsa
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
xWhj9vLpMvqLEM1iN7uo
public
contract
1,720,070,554,141
-which-of-the-fifty-mostvisited-web
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
null
null
14.230214
YES
9209b5a21587
49npxbtbyp4
false
lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He did it early this year: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Collected Over Spread
w2brrUAUUKSuZFXrFxNS
public
contract
1,720,070,566,699
will-andrew-mccutchen-make-a-furrie
CollectedOverSpread
https://firebasestorage.…b3f-1fccf3e5c242
Will Andrew McCutchen make a "furries" tweet during Anthrocon 2024?
null
0.545001
78.896062
NO
null
cty9e0hkb5k
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
jgczfFCwZIO4dUBMxpCR
public
contract
1,720,070,578,500
which-countriesnationsstates-will-b
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which countries/nations/states will be playable in Civilization 7 on release?
null
null
49.583333
YES
cac7f8a8968b
o8lube0qjn
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
sz3d83jucoRkty9eVi6V
public
contract
1,720,070,629,455
who-will-run-for-president-in-the-2
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
117.286665
YES
876c8fc82e4d
6at34zbpxmw
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If your point is that music isn't the absolute ", "type": "...
jackson polack
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,070,748,109
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
37,824.989209
YES
null
pfxfytd4rk7
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Arguments based in neuroscience or evolution explaining, \"why should mus...
jackson polack
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,071,425,383
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
37,824.989209
YES
null
bknydcn40ab
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Jonathan Ray
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,720,071,449,571
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.433391
2,123,357.454994
YES
null
9fi6f8fqt2l
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "upgraded to basic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
3h7gb21c4w
public
contract
1,720,071,554,978
will-bitcoin-reach-7654321-before-t-u5oxue0x45
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Bitcoin reach $76543.21 before the end of Blue Monday?
null
null
null
null
null
nsxqmdeuo1s
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As I've already highlighted you could use the same reasoning to show that...
jackson polack
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,071,555,380
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
37,824.989209
YES
null
ghungv6f97p
false
74aMU8x2ajPfVbqodngPjJbFBx42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "SLAYYYY QUEEN 👑 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
nyan
nqoGauKQ2OiSy8OfbzQT
public
contract
1,720,071,619,901
will-i-make-imo-2025-ac12d0df0604
nyc
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLykD3KIyMWeaQshG4LeYfGAcpyPubhGpKpmbQ0UMIQpok=s96-c
Will I make IMO 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
1pldhu1algs
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "one down", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
nN1kmCYlniJdj3DTUwiF
public
contract
1,720,072,353,199
will-bitcon-still-be-above-69k-on-b
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Bitcoin still be above $69K on both 6/9 AND 9/6? (June 9th and Sept 6th)
null
null
null
null
null
1p6v2vpjmq1
false
byEds8x9SMYgX0BuPMufdcpbSIH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
PREDYX
o28q5wwg69
public
contract
1,720,072,540,576
will-bitcoin-go-below-58k-in-july-2
predyx_markets
https://firebasestorage.…b9b-f40c94e62b4e
Will Bitcoin go below $58K in July 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
3wephh0iidx
false
lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "label": "MP", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Collected Over Spread
uL7CwUtpbuuFxHASErx5
public
contract
1,720,072,597,994
will-reddit-be-acquired-by-a-faamgn
CollectedOverSpread
https://firebasestorage.…b3f-1fccf3e5c242
Will Reddit be acquired by a FAAMG+NT or one of its founders by June 2024?
null
0.01
64.279724
NO
null
qb1w8dc07z
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As we enter July 4th and almost a week after the debate, Polymarket has Biden's odds (to drop out) steady at around 63%. After peaking as high as 82% b...
Niko
w4l6r8bqau
public
contract
1,720,072,655,007
will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
null
0.374225
37,327.604593
YES
null
xn7mscpl9l
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Meanwhile Democratic mega-donor Reed Hastings joins Bill Ackman, others in calling for Biden to step aside.", "type": "text" }, ...
Niko
w4l6r8bqau
public
contract
1,720,072,833,501
will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
null
0.364997
37,327.604593
YES
null
w13xy4mynx
false
ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yep, the race has been unfortunately postponed for 2 months as ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": ...
Captain Jack Sparrow
NCtFAeJDoYyeZhqXQ8fX
public
contract
1,720,072,916,211
will-i-run-my-first-half-marathon-i
diadematus
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-6f1bd0a31520
Will I run my first half marathon in 1:54 or less?
null
0.365608
320.706469
YES
null
mjnpobn9dgf
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Fair enough. I just probably wouldn’t describe this as a conditional market at all then. It’s a normal market where one of the outcomes is “not conditi...
Jess Riedel
0hdpfslmcl
public
contract
1,720,073,037,028
conditional-on-biden-dropping-out-w-tfcbbs9jur
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
Conditional on Biden dropping out, who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President? [Add answers]
2ye61xggbtb
null
null
null
null
3l06ujs5rc9
false
ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i can't resolve N/A for some reason ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x5...
Captain Jack Sparrow
NCtFAeJDoYyeZhqXQ8fX
public
contract
1,720,073,046,026
will-i-run-my-first-half-marathon-i
diadematus
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-6f1bd0a31520
Will I run my first half marathon in 1:54 or less?
null
0.365608
320.706469
YES
null
ed7k463id7
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "as of a couple of months ago NA is only possible for Mods/Admins", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "...
stefanie
NCtFAeJDoYyeZhqXQ8fX
public
contract
1,720,073,439,698
will-i-run-my-first-half-marathon-i
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
Will I run my first half marathon in 1:54 or less?
3l06ujs5rc9
null
null
null
null
c1jxl3zn12n
false
T7EybFKrm5bP1NBglYX7Twtwuv13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Goodluck! ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The Wabi Sabi
NCtFAeJDoYyeZhqXQ8fX
public
contract
1,720,073,547,633
will-i-run-my-first-half-marathon-i
TheWabiSabi
https://firebasestorage.…2ec-cedfd2c3f9b5
Will I run my first half marathon in 1:54 or less?
w13xy4mynx
0.365608
13.221804
YES
null
idtvh2499i
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Taylor should launch a write-in campaign.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Timothy Johnson
vGxmvFNNfQ4IMr0KZcad
public
contract
1,720,073,729,708
who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-cdd19020e97f
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Who will be the 2024 Democratic Nominee, if it is not Joe Biden?
null
null
null
null
null
oa105vkh95l
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If there is, I haven't found it. Sell, buy, pay the fees both times. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
robm
Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv
public
contract
1,720,074,120,830
agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
7t6t4hviyut
null
9,318.553753
YES
5d48ed784957
v81p3xeagz
false
LRWC4p997NObPY7tN5b8vYfvdsH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don't think it's going to happen before the end of the month. It's been a week and the president is still making new excuses to try to explain what h...
becauseyoudo
w4l6r8bqau
public
contract
1,720,074,142,199
will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec
becauseyoudo
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fbecauseyoudo%2F0GXbVCpNNX.bmp?alt=media&token=d5558412-2de1-47d7-ad36-a44a43748531
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
qb1w8dc07z
0.365294
53.235816
NO
null
lqhksr3dj4h
false
byEds8x9SMYgX0BuPMufdcpbSIH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
PREDYX
uCXtqcxwV2lmFgWrJ4pQ
public
contract
1,720,074,305,573
who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e8e500acc68a
predyx_markets
https://firebasestorage.…b9b-f40c94e62b4e
Who will be the Democratic Nominee 2024
null
null
0
NO
046bdbfd67a9
1orl4kv1n2p
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm not certain (I'm not really in any numeric markets) but I think you can adjust the range and it adjusts the sell positions? have you tried that? ",...
stefanie
Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv
public
contract
1,720,074,322,679
agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
7t6t4hviyut
null
null
null
null
801x6ujuufk
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "that said, even by adjusting the range you can't choose to sell only a portion of those iiuc", "type": "text" } ], "type"...
stefanie
Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv
public
contract
1,720,074,356,704
agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…221-72113ad45c7e
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
7t6t4hviyut
null
null
null
null
9efx2v0ejen
false
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2", "label": "traders", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Simon Grayson
qjhg3K40PMPzR7mC1gu1
public
contract
1,720,074,727,398
general-election-2024-will-rishi-su
SimonGrayson
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak announce his resignation before election day?
null
null
null
null
null
89xv6zcgnra
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Seems pretty correlated with \"will Biden drop out by end of July\" market.", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, ...
Niko
d432iklgys
public
contract
1,720,075,928,930
will-joe-biden-endorse-kamala-harri
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will Joe Biden endorse Kamala Harris for the Democratic Party Presidential Nomination before the end of July?
null
null
null
null
null
q9e0m2pa0w
false
8JQO8LyZBINXAdTRsqxQOZV4vwu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I agree with you. I think that Manifold should not add real money gambling. The current setup, where everyone is in it for the love of the game, create...
Derr Shilll
zKiiIxaRZQKTwPX2df9I
public
contract
1,720,076,012,633
can-manifold-legally-add-real-money
DerrShilll
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYhholl7nZ7GDHx4lV563lsZY9b6efieX_Az_1aCghkzKDog=s96-c
Can Manifold legally add real money gambling?
null
null
null
null
null
asxevrld4d
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Great market but could use more subsidies? Tiny bets move the market... ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Niko
yPvAimGMifGDRgqlvQph
public
contract
1,720,076,110,704
who-would-win-the-presidential-elec-a7c77ba426a3
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Who will be the 2024 Dem Nominee, and will they win or lose?
null
null
null
null
null
b427veqs92e
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Three days into July, Polymarket did $24M in volume, off a big day July 3rd on Joe Biden markets.", "type": "text" } ], "...
Niko
kqhzexky7i
public
contract
1,720,076,417,389
how-much-usd-trading-volume-will-po
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
How much USD trading volume will Polymarket generate in July? $111M in June.
null
null
374.10642
YES
ctj06v3w54
penuogv61v9
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "hey ammon u should pay us all out our 3000 ironmanas since we're all guaranteed at least that much 😃 ", "type": "text" } ], ...
jim
CZyfJkv4csxPFN3K0Z5q
public
contract
1,720,076,624,340
which-candidate-would-last-the-long
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
[Daily Streak Ironman] Which candidate would last the longest? [40000 Mana prize]
null
null
2,411.442717
YES
d7fafd96cfc6
suhvcprl8ug
false
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "BASIC + 1K ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { ...
SirCryptomind
Ef9GJ7znOx8ZNA7iP9Yc
public
contract
1,720,076,676,669
how-many-spacex-launches-will-occur-1f700bd49db4
SirCryptomind
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
🚀 How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During July 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
e8lv33mttg5
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Just to be clear, the current level of prosecuting political opponents wouldn’t be sufficient?", "type": "text" } ], "typ...
MercurialGuesser
4wcb85kkeg
public
contract
1,720,076,714,926
will-the-us-undergo-a-major-politic
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
null
0.325487
83.93636
NO
null
2e5yae04c1s
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The main Presidential Election market handle is now at $221M -- up from $206M when we started the month.", "type": "text" }, ...
Niko
m3wi5fm1v2
public
contract
1,720,076,752,788
what-will-be-total-betting-handle-o
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
What will be total betting handle on Polymarket for main Presidential Election market by end of July? Starting $205M.
null
null
375.519765
YES
byazk5wxhm
4j9mym49pfq
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Good job! I bet you're proud of yourself.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
1VHfoNnXFCW05Ph5TYUm
public
contract
1,720,078,212,816
french-left-union-with-single-candi
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
French left union with single candidacy per seat (Snap legislative June 2024)
w9b3vr5bjt
null
null
null
null
pk4qhmki7db
false
CFNZ1tsWZ6W075nXtHp5eSwQNp12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Wow, people are really optimistic about Silksong, huh?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Greg Mat
suywOEi5QrSUxBWf0j0j
public
contract
1,720,078,497,975
will-hollow-knight-silksong-be-rele-6233b0a9e863
kosmopolak
https://firebasestorage.…e93-5aa75a58c659
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong be released in 2024?
null
0.524233
326.148095
NO
null
2phxncuuq5g
false
Hyhyr9q250WU2rEV0pNqUAGoaWt1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "To know the results we need to wait until the end of the year. Hope the guesses are correct. We will monitor regularly on ", "type": "text" ...
Jobb Steve
K1Lz4QiwFWtmV6JjScHS
public
contract
1,720,078,514,815
which-of-investanswers-2024-money-m
JobbSteve
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJrtUY0rJweg_vu6SwU8tvxYV4zYdpkbKOvJFi81C4JbWfi4Q=s96-c
Which of InvestAnswers 2024 money making predictions will be correct?
null
null
null
null
null
2f6eb3gbw1r
false
Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Lion
6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf
public
contract
1,720,078,735,527
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef
Lion
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th?
null
null
null
null
null
2pbve4nszjt
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Probably to find a more permanent solution to cope with the stress.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, ...
Patrik Cihal
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,078,741,516
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
54,791.6868
NO
null
oztks2zyv47
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I presume you mean \"== 50“? What you wrote in the description contradicts the question title, no?", "type": "text" } ], ...
Bruno
g05fueocwk
public
contract
1,720,078,809,798
will-there-be-50-states-in-the-unio
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
null
null
null
null
null
8z11tlucxbm
false
Cy0ob0rBI1ZmToC7cnVKNRHiYgk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "That's right.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Eric Neyman
dYC5iChvIITjrwCrjmoO
public
contract
1,720,078,856,008
will-llms-be-banned-at-the-2026-mit
EricNeyman
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiPFPOiz1zGjPpuk7iqSJxdcLSra5RL3n0RXK2q=s96-c
Will LLMs be banned at the 2026 MIT Mystery Hunt?
4AIvTRwnf6F5ECpD8tVS
0.202776
77.616141
YES
null
lzgjzni247s
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I've made a hypothesis based in both neuroscience and evolution. We can make a hypothesis and then see how well that model explains observed phenomena ...
Patrik Cihal
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,078,900,963
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
54,791.6868
NO
null
yhmwlnm6n
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"If your point is that music isn't the absolute ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
Patrik Cihal
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,079,240,155
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
54,791.6868
NO
null
c14y1vtzh8r
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The perceived stress relief that comes from external rewards (such as sweets or music), is also constant because the amount of total reward that we can...
Patrik Cihal
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,079,546,304
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
54,791.6868
NO
null
4vek084ohds
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "More projections", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
Niko
7auq5ebfvy
public
contract
1,720,079,972,751
french-2024-parliamentary-elections
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
French 2024 parliamentary elections -- multi-question. Final round July 7th.
null
null
273.794202
NO
weqko06w0q
q6ye5nxxsvl
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's in the manifesto and they haven't walked it back. The election has started. Resolves YES", "type": "text" } ], "type...
Fion
K0qw50lhdAdW4RZjhR7m
public
contract
1,720,080,139,562
at-the-next-uk-general-election-wil
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
At the next UK general election, will Labour be promising to block all new North Sea oil and gas exploration?
null
0.99
6,207.12533
YES
null
0wtm91vo2xes
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bro's hustlin for funds to buy biden down", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
CZyfJkv4csxPFN3K0Z5q
public
contract
1,720,080,336,198
which-candidate-would-last-the-long
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
[Daily Streak Ironman] Which candidate would last the longest? [40000 Mana prize]
penuogv61v9
null
75.672822
YES
73951627ff7b
qlm41lp7rn
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bayesian
9gbe8pda0j
public
contract
1,720,080,424,636
will-a-president-die-on-the-fourth
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will a president die on the fourth of July in 2024 or 2025?
null
0.203723
147.121674
NO
null
soj8ap62tfj
false
SrKm9OghX8hoxUmrztZJe88oplQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Teleprompters are 1950s tech, and the reading motions of the eyes give them away no matter how many are in use. Biden seemed to be going off of some ki...
Michael Mars
YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM
public
contract
1,720,080,426,821
will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
ooe133
https://firebasestorage.…3c2-8a79ed5be7f2
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
null
0.405577
8,453.158008
NO
null
0ac0ow6fvse9
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "USA president former or sitting ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
9gbe8pda0j
public
contract
1,720,080,447,841
will-a-president-die-on-the-fourth
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will a president die on the fourth of July in 2024 or 2025?
qlm41lp7rn
null
null
null
null
n5ilgz8wins
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm keeping manas in reserve... waiting for an opportunity ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type"...
jim
CZyfJkv4csxPFN3K0Z5q
public
contract
1,720,080,492,416
which-candidate-would-last-the-long
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
[Daily Streak Ironman] Which candidate would last the longest? [40000 Mana prize]
penuogv61v9
null
2,411.442717
YES
d7fafd96cfc6
awf2b02qafe
false
byEds8x9SMYgX0BuPMufdcpbSIH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
PREDYX
o28q5wwg69
public
contract
1,720,080,582,218
will-bitcoin-go-below-58k-in-july-2
predyx_markets
https://firebasestorage.…b9b-f40c94e62b4e
Will Bitcoin go below $58K in July 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
u0i9269vb4q
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The perceived stress relief that comes from external rewards (such as swe...
jackson polack
s7b3q9x08b
public
contract
1,720,080,988,048
does-listening-to-music-lead-to-hig
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Does listening to music lead to higher utility?
1vi3tx5nx3lh
0.255011
37,824.989209
YES
null
3dpzoztmuzt
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "epic", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Pat Scott🩴
vGxmvFNNfQ4IMr0KZcad
public
contract
1,720,081,357,357
who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-cdd19020e97f
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Who will be the 2024 Democratic Nominee, if it is not Joe Biden?
idtvh2499i
null
101.041617
NO
aae1f970580c
rejl79cs0i
false
IMsxAK2hNJXFi4em784SumAZblI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I am somewhat surprised that the market didn't update more on Claude 3.5 Sonnet (since Opus was quite low and the resolution criteria were quite sensit...
osmarks
Pu76Dviq4en3zPBAQXXu
public
contract
1,720,082,484,065
will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll
osmarks
https://firebasestorage.…6be-39130c20180e
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
4i24n02oy7m
0.422216
1,819.542522
NO
null
filz33s9xrq
false
cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Takes like this are just obtuse. Trump ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "...
lukres
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,083,239,993
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
lukres
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Flukres%2Fj1m8DGNy5T.12?alt=media&token=fc58ce31-3de5-4d8d-bf45-abb061ee29a2
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
null
28,464.305567
YES
892080ca10c6
1qvghlgf053i
false
M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Yes this is how it works :) ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Łukasz Bartoszcze
uQoXxG5ca7Y2mii0Jq35
public
contract
1,720,083,581,950
who-will-win-the-player-of-the-tour
ukaszBartoszcze
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c
Who will win the Player of the Tournament award at EURO 2024?
tvg42gm5i
null
61.653309
YES
0718d28e5be7
qj0ssjaf52r
false
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can we resolve this now?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Marcus Abramovitch
jWQDj82Mq9LeahHp6hIu
public
contract
1,720,083,922,378
is-lk99-a-high-temperature-77k-supe
MarcusAbramovitch
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
Is LK-99 a high temperature (>77K) superconductor?
null
0.01
5,295.926806
NO
null
mo76wgzzh5s
false
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "resolves no", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Marcus Abramovitch
tSQM56njYPG9Fpby3z6j
public
contract
1,720,083,934,599
will-sam-altman-stop-being-openai-c
MarcusAbramovitch
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
Will Sam Altman be fired or resign as OpenAI CEO before July 2024?
null
0.014824
2,678.24605
NO
null
8f3pwbob88
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Limit order up for YES at 6%", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jim
nav2ajpah4
public
contract
1,720,084,217,867
will-tesla-tsla-reach-a-new-all-tim
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Will Tesla TSLA reach a new all time high this year?
null
0.064298
0
YES
null
1pk9d9nrsb5
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Tfw she picks Biden as her VP 😲 ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,084,331,650
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
h9tmdu06vl6
null
655.848559
YES
cfbd5238d276
vjcvb1fe7ak
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why do they spend so much at all then?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,085,346,066
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
r0tdpvb1a3
null
655.848559
YES
cfbd5238d276
5g4909k3hol
false
byEds8x9SMYgX0BuPMufdcpbSIH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolving to YES", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "co...
PREDYX
o28q5wwg69
public
contract
1,720,085,388,942
will-bitcoin-go-below-58k-in-july-2
predyx_markets
https://firebasestorage.…b9b-f40c94e62b4e
Will Bitcoin go below $58K in July 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
yc1a99hukt
false
Zgn442YHdxd2p6i3rSQ1ySUYkwg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Ez money", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Courier Six
p66tCcsTNxSKuJQd0jKi
public
contract
1,720,085,403,346
who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e
CourierSix
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3xSJrXwsTL80MvRByPYBPB5hQCnDnv8GJ06iku1A=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
null
9,483.038416
YES
1c15af17c7e0
50087kmzp7e
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How many options can resolve yes?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
ncnvxevltz
public
contract
1,720,085,689,623
during-the-ge-2024-results-when-wil
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
During the GE 2024 results, when will Labour reach 326 seats, an overall majority in the House of Commons?
null
null
90.308949
NO
5b62lol25g
2qs75ezc3gc
false
JsoHnF7zq8Phr6J0K2qKXimVcrs2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Opposite narrative emerging: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": nu...
Shai
Vt5H2E5rjTtjZaEUN9Wk
public
contract
1,720,086,045,900
will-the-us-consulting-profession-b
Shai
https://firebasestorage.…f38-e2c9873ba7d7
Will some U.S. consultants be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
null
0.427541
1,799.565985
NO
null
f99fluc72h
false
YBpyiLaBVGXZ8jwAvAfm3rAMuca2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "1 only -Whichever time range in which it's announced that Labour have won their 326th seat (or the last option, if they don't get to 326)", "...
Richard Bake
ncnvxevltz
public
contract
1,720,086,204,384
during-the-ge-2024-results-when-wil
RichardBake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK-7WWYxXhl0JkfzIWxf1SsXWQLSzPPj02OaZT6u2a3LoEW0rdJIg=s96-c
During the GE 2024 results, when will Labour reach 326 seats, an overall majority in the House of Commons?
50087kmzp7e
null
81.35005
YES
4hhlvsh621
8dozarqkax
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I will pay you 100 mana if you can convince the Manifold team to permanently bring back normal bounties", "type": "text" } ], ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
c78lo9vjaa
public
contract
1,720,086,238,042
will-anyone-pay-me-to-solve-a-probl
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Will anyone pay me to solve a problem for them?
null
null
26.677203
NO
yct0gwrwzv
wsnqwhzgqb9
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Have there ever been right wing one party regimes? Fascist nations didn't have elections at all did they?", "type": "text" } ],...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,720,086,929,280
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
l4lieyd8zm
null
161.122484
NO
dcfbedc0e892
ezwuvdbbvt7
false
Rq5KrjZr1Eg7uoHvudBVBOnbao42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Electoral Calculus has updated and gives the edge to the Conservatives again now — do bet lower 😈", "type": "text" } ], ...
Finn
SEQyattwFhw3qukWSl8v
public
contract
1,720,087,520,801
uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9
finn
https://firebasestorage.…cab-3f50b0a3feba
UK General Election - which party will win the second most seats?
ynix1esd45h
null
14,255.51286
YES
1b323f311a69
naq79r1g5fj
false
0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "You aren't concerned that he refused to admit he lost the 2020 elections? That seems like a deal breaker for me", "type": "text" } ...
colorednoise
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,087,695,753
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
colorednoise
https://firebasestorage.…7c5-3d0b33690749
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
7,569.546646
NO
51e4cacd136a
hw0w12ggqo6
false
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "menti...
Charlie
bhhnwhp8il
public
contract
1,720,087,774,668
will-uruguay-rotate-four-or-more-st
Charlie
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c
Will Uruguay rotate four or more starters (from the Panama match) in their Copa America match against the US?
ji4iwq7jhz
0.99
14.624161
YES
null
o6whxwi024b
false
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Apologies. It takes a short technical process to get these resolved. I will try to circle back to confirm this by the end of the week.", "typ...
Charlie
X4G8gbm09M9PWzxvloCe
public
contract
1,720,087,912,432
will-i-encounter-issue-number-1-whe-a62358afc303
Charlie
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
1u3ls5a590x
null
null
null
null
1pnqv0p20pm
false
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Apologies. It takes a short technical process to get these resolved. I will try to circle back to confirm this by the end of the week.", "typ...
Charlie
lm8jqJAhS7gU80R0GEJG
public
contract
1,720,087,920,152
will-i-encounter-issue-number-1-whe-ea7919fd548d
Charlie
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c
Will I encounter Issue Number 1 when I resolve this market?
6w330sydzcv
null
null
null
null
juj20mv6w6s
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "While I am pretty concerned by that, letting an all-out (potentially nuclear) war break out in the middle east is also a deal breaker and Biden's Iran ...
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,088,932,182
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
3,256.933538
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
4kgmu4sae52
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2", "label": "lukres", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,088,993,849
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
3,256.933538
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
4kibxi8l8qk
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Kamala polled poorly long before she was Biden's running mate. Her 2020 campaign crashed and burned pretty hard despite starting out strong. ", ...
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,081,554
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
gsa1ezfyjk
null
3,256.933538
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
pzof1q6c3e
false
TjvzR8cg5cVoLshGhhe4kwxnJEH2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "goated banner", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Symmetry
UemTPJpOoWsApwiMwWqZ
public
contract
1,720,089,083,174
when-will-china-invade-taiwan
Symmetry
https://firebasestorage.…17b-be701d8b2f3a
When will China invade Taiwan
null
null
null
null
null
3ulgrthzklk
false
XA1YJBwS9ISwLj6hf1Ola7y7mxN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "@colorednoise He's still lying about the 2020 elections today:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Peter Miller
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,201,512
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
PeterMillerc030
https://firebasestorage.…12a-e0019b6a7e37
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
76,467.35505
YES
8de9e54470a7
7yrk431ivxr
false
2FMogQwA0OUT6iqcbsq8EMtW3yw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "While I am pretty concerned by that, letting an all-out (potentially nucl...
spider
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,335,839
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
spider
https://firebasestorage.…930-f41df6d1ed53
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
2,507.133828
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
iyui2j6wfm
false
2FMogQwA0OUT6iqcbsq8EMtW3yw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I won't actually create a market for it right now, because conditionals on manifold are in a rough place at the moment", "type": "text" ...
spider
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,375,205
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
spider
https://firebasestorage.…930-f41df6d1ed53
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
2,507.133828
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
s3an6wrhoo
false
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Berman can resolve YES ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Kevin Burke
sm0MGN1Xq7YS2849k1e4
public
contract
1,720,089,453,825
which-f2-drivers-will-be-promoted-t
KevinBurke
https://firebasestorage.…943-2649cecf3291
Which f2 drivers will be promoted to f1 next season
null
null
196.478822
YES
b317403ee120
tctpoclw9m
false
XA1YJBwS9ISwLj6hf1Ola7y7mxN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How would you handle the counterfactual? If Iran gets the bomb within the next 4 years, pretty much guaranteed that the US party that's not in charge w...
Peter Miller
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,496,501
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
PeterMillerc030
https://firebasestorage.…12a-e0019b6a7e37
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
76,467.35505
YES
8de9e54470a7
5l3xfh2sts9
false
q8NamnyLmnbtuvMIvHlK2cERb3y1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I constructed the Sahm Rule indicator based on the monthly U3 unemployment rate posted on the FRED website from 1970 onward and recorded every event wh...
Peregrine
IMLre6PYIQgsesV6Wa6O
public
contract
1,720,089,501,024
will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-20
Peregrine
https://firebasestorage.…582-61aee271b84c
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?
null
0.21
2,451.715558
YES
null
n930644gvbl
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What's an appropriate market? you could ask if Joe Biden's administration is likelier to see direct hostile action by Iran - say, if Iran and Iranian m...
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,524,447
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
3,256.933538
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
3rifrl2hspf
false
RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I don't necessarily think Trump is smarter about Iran - I think leaving jcpoa was a mistake, and he is in general more friendly to dictators (as seen w...
Shaked Koplewitz
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,688,849
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
ShakedKoplewitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghyqz276_IAbhWaYW8vIhnwIaBQDXSxB3wO9AoCLw=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
3,256.933538
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
iaw3lvnyq9
false
2FMogQwA0OUT6iqcbsq8EMtW3yw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Conceptually it's pretty simple, just make a multiple choice market with five options", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
spider
ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf
public
contract
1,720,089,755,913
who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
spider
https://firebasestorage.…930-f41df6d1ed53
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
filz33s9xrq
null
2,507.133828
YES
33b8f3dc81b9
9qllqqqgqsc
false
B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Related market ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "con...
Elliot Davies
699p0RUrcLxVEJdRSWwf
public
contract
1,720,090,877,621
2x2-will-labour-get-a-majorit-will
ElliotDavies
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
null
null
80.203152
YES
5459aa5d3da5