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sgdh1bdaq9g
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Archibald Crone
1EThWNpPwqwzgRimLRhi
public
contract
1,716,657,696,546
acx-2024-who-will-win-the-2024-mexi
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? [ACX 2024]
null
null
null
null
null
vf6kglycmeh
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2", "label": "JimHays", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
ClubmasterTransparent
mjDMESDUCFIb98edVMpd
public
contract
1,716,657,903,353
will-donald-trump-contest-and-win-t
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Will Donald Trump contest and win the 2024 US Elections?
null
null
null
null
null
umzgcxy0kg
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Maybe relevant since it has to due with the cause of IFT-2 and -3 engine failures: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": ...
Jess Riedel
xJJ4dVF08qGfJ1Rb90S2
public
contract
1,716,658,346,427
will-the-4th-starship-test-activate
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
Will the 4th Starship test activate the Flight Termination System?
null
null
null
null
null
aidmftvkbgw
false
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5z2il782lla", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Nathan Young
W7rttoExHN7Bw1WmHabq
public
contract
1,716,658,417,154
will-trump-continue-to-be-able-to-d
NathanpmYoung
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNathanpmYoung%2Flove-images%2Fg-n-xy50_N.43?alt=media&token=28208478-6907-4bc5-9fde-15746ee9af90
Will Trump continue to be able to do business in New York State next spring?
myrsi74adm
null
null
null
null
trco58svor
false
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e7wmmjh5jf", "label": "MaximLott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Isaac King
d7TRl5aRU5jumgSc2g2L
public
contract
1,716,658,476,226
if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
IsaacKing
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
kz5ycit1zms
null
431.831004
YES
b3d3b8388207
5xvhfxe4wz3
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "oops", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Christopher Randles
dLHcK1jDzmJStP1IG0JY
public
contract
1,716,658,507,714
will-elon-musk-make-2-or-more-tweet-8d4b8b02e66d
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on May 26, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET
null
0.766639
1,218.924071
YES
null
dhoqm053ehf
false
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6tW9cZjrRKqeOdJV25u5", "label": "MartinModrak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Nathan Young
fnB94L3lMghOhs5lwfve
public
contract
1,716,658,603,607
after-18-months-without-open-warfar
NathanpmYoung
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNathanpmYoung%2Flove-images%2Fg-n-xy50_N.43?alt=media&token=28208478-6907-4bc5-9fde-15746ee9af90
After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
6tW9cZjrRKqeOdJV25u5
null
null
null
null
broy83n5l4n
false
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's more or less the consensus that you can't get to AGI only by scale",...
Isaac King
4VZ4JdGvtk2JxQI2v7dN
public
contract
1,716,658,638,227
if-i-write-an-encyclopedia-of-bad-a
IsaacKing
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
If I write an encyclopedia of bad AI arguments, will people seem to find it useful?
IlJmrd95uniUPeo5Mt7y
null
null
null
null
y3g5taod8l
false
jfaeGZZWDZaaTNyPhSmQr1LFt112
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "trco58svor", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Maxim Lott
d7TRl5aRU5jumgSc2g2L
public
contract
1,716,658,684,657
if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
MaximLott
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMaximLott%2FlIRSc-_Jnz.42?alt=media&token=064fc512-2dab-4d14-96ae-42dc6f59dac3
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
kz5ycit1zms
null
326.315275
YES
341b58d0c0cc
l0g0q9pmm3n
false
aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "SpaceX says it hopes to launch Starship as early as June 5. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "typ...
Tricky Duck
sThSq1dHmaqcwZ6fEPoI
public
contract
1,716,658,799,865
can-we-explore-space-and-solve-prob
TrickyDuck
https://firebasestorage.…b03-a48bf6d36fa7
Can we explore space and solve problems on Earth at the same time?
null
null
null
null
null
eaqfddbj7du
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "aidmftvkbgw", "label": "NathanpmYoung", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
W7rttoExHN7Bw1WmHabq
public
contract
1,716,658,910,399
will-trump-continue-to-be-able-to-d
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Will Trump continue to be able to do business in New York State next spring?
myrsi74adm
null
null
null
null
gxkpkiwp66l
false
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y3g5taod8l", "label": "MaximLott", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Isaac King
d7TRl5aRU5jumgSc2g2L
public
contract
1,716,659,000,930
if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
IsaacKing
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
kz5ycit1zms
null
431.831004
YES
b3d3b8388207
45pnzxy9xue
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Shinsung Delta Tech Co. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": nul...
jim
VVvOLY5rCtX6beOpO1VA
public
contract
1,716,659,215,808
memefold-financial-which-strange-hi
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
MemeFold Financial: Which strange, high risk investment will yield the greatest return by EOY? [COMMENT IDEAS]
null
null
null
null
null
r2stj8j7v3
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Who has an opinion? Add your own", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,659,222,635
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
0
YES
f10871759974
zv0lo2yciws
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolving N/A per the below discussion, after conferring with other mods.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }...
Manifold Politics
781x8buSmeM9CTkpk5dh
public
contract
1,716,659,338,132
will-there-be-an-sec-approval-for-a-47f9daaf241b
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Will there be an SEC approval for a Spot Ethereum ETF the May 23rd, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
e44xi2nfcmg
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The fun doesn’t have to end on June 1!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "a...
ClubmasterTransparent
A798ewKPGH83kygqAWva
public
contract
1,716,659,338,577
will-elon-musk-step-down-from-being-70acd78e5777
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before June 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
3ugzaoxuzq2
false
jfaeGZZWDZaaTNyPhSmQr1LFt112
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Should add JD Vance", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Maxim Lott
tPLAFk3FPVm3xrBmldfh
public
contract
1,716,659,488,197
who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
MaximLott
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMaximLott%2FlIRSc-_Jnz.42?alt=media&token=064fc512-2dab-4d14-96ae-42dc6f59dac3
Who will be elected president in 2028?
null
null
757.447544
NO
236ad1b2fc5a
3v451uf35h
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Re-resolving NO, based both on the the title stating ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": nul...
Manifold Politics
C0l7BQXSIWtlCvzD9Cef
public
contract
1,716,659,514,369
will-there-be-an-sec-approval-for-a
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Will there be an SEC approval for a Spot Ethereum ETF before May 23rd, 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
7014xoz47ts
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Share your informed opinion by June 15! Add your own.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs...
ClubmasterTransparent
6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf
public
contract
1,716,659,520,899
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN]
null
null
55.548331
NO
3a8e58def8bd
6uqtmmdydm
false
M7EdfE9HkWUwiKA8k71JoFOEK0O2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "i5bs3besy9", "label": "10thOfficial", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Lexer
yfyPBZNkCMZiffCyICSj
public
contract
1,716,659,754,939
manifold-leadership-approval-rating
Lexer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIQC4RAMX-tRlYW2iezY6IODewj13oOqJubj3-yYSiq=s96-c
👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
i5bs3besy9
null
null
null
null
fqvr92rsz3d
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is MPIB Elon’s fault? Share your opinion here!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { ...
ClubmasterTransparent
MiYKcO3SMlpUqgbRh9TK
public
contract
1,716,659,784,368
will-the-nudes-in-bio-bots-be-gone
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Will the "░N░U░D░E░S░ ░I░N░ ░B░I░O░" bots be gone from twitter before the end of 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
3i80qxaungk
false
T8NlrAJopwPEGVtYNT632dG1T9w1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3v451uf35h", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Tony Gao
C0l7BQXSIWtlCvzD9Cef
public
contract
1,716,659,900,963
will-there-be-an-sec-approval-for-a
TonyGao
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIpLUZiDF36FdJMiy0qk-FYuQsmXeN1d4n7tfVFMp7ZDbs=s96-c
Will there be an SEC approval for a Spot Ethereum ETF before May 23rd, 2024?
3v451uf35h
0.055529
193.599314
YES
null
ivpp71rfpgj
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Re-opening this market because the", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks...
Manifold Politics
k2J6H0zsJd5h6NtQLeCy
public
contract
1,716,660,076,434
when-will-a-spot-ethereum-etf-be-ap
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
When will a spot Ethereum ETF be approved?
null
null
null
null
null
o0zh8lye44e
false
RkgxY86BkXapNguatNnE45ZaxQG3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Going to and especially staying on Mars is apparently quite uncomfortable -- this episode with Zach Weinersmith who just co-wrote a book about it is ve...
chris kux
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,660,262,286
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
chrislkj
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fchrislkj%2FydIrfIlRbj.39?alt=media&token=de0d9748-f0ec-4844-a8e6-a316b74867c4
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
null
null
null
null
null
5ulznj8ds46
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3i80qxaungk", "label": "TonyGao", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Manifold Politics
C0l7BQXSIWtlCvzD9Cef
public
contract
1,716,660,346,463
will-there-be-an-sec-approval-for-a
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Will there be an SEC approval for a Spot Ethereum ETF before May 23rd, 2024?
3v451uf35h
null
null
null
null
1dt50pmt9be
false
M7EdfE9HkWUwiKA8k71JoFOEK0O2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": null, "type": "italic" } ], "text": "From the NOAA dataset, which is being used for resolut...
Lexer
yhICmZdhVvGCamJMXdp6
public
contract
1,716,660,350,563
will-2024-be-even-hotter-than-2023
Lexer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIQC4RAMX-tRlYW2iezY6IODewj13oOqJubj3-yYSiq=s96-c
Will 2024 be even hotter than 2023? 🥵
null
0.73128
1,133.985416
NO
null
ejhid3heu3
false
M7EdfE9HkWUwiKA8k71JoFOEK0O2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I came to a counterintuitive conclusion on this one. Wondering who else will.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Lexer
yhICmZdhVvGCamJMXdp6
public
contract
1,716,660,396,735
will-2024-be-even-hotter-than-2023
Lexer
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIQC4RAMX-tRlYW2iezY6IODewj13oOqJubj3-yYSiq=s96-c
Will 2024 be even hotter than 2023? 🥵
null
0.73128
1,133.985416
NO
null
trvn0k3t9u
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "How are answered ranked when you're determining the top 10? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
jim
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,761,909
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
89.582231
YES
d05042c53367
g8pnxtx42yd
false
eOLu0ORi40ULQoOrVWCUyfvEaum2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "odnp1z599qj", "label": "ed", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Jeff Koons
8GBJppKZi0gwGX2ukPAP
public
contract
1,716,660,812,467
will-uks-real-gdp-growth-for-year-2
JKHater
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FJKHater%2FUUGVxInxvm.10?alt=media&token=79cb6b55-78a4-4e76-8c22-b1fb61043d3a
Will UK's real GDP growth for year 2025 exceed 1% under Labor party?
odnp1z599qj
50
997.133065
NO
null
7spyy4rlal
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This doesn's make sense.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,819,220
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
254.195308
YES
37f0747697e3
h6ngl1r4vds
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What about Elon Musk v George Soros? Option just added here", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
ClubmasterTransparent
qJaydsFHsED2cI6d6kbx
public
contract
1,716,660,852,758
if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-37e0e5b8ed2b
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or George Soros?
null
null
null
null
null
hjqlnokh1ul
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7spyy4rlal", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
jim
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,861,179
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
89.582231
YES
d05042c53367
nl9nqqo5hhg
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hjqlnokh1ul", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,875,428
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
254.195308
YES
37f0747697e3
854gi1eh0p
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7spyy4rlal", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,901,249
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
0
YES
f10871759974
6lihwg967g6
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "854gi1eh0p", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,946,402
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
254.195308
YES
37f0747697e3
xzffqsx7ns8
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6lihwg967g6", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
jim
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,660,963,147
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
89.582231
YES
d05042c53367
xvwcti0qx1
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "trvn0k3t9u", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,661,056,416
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
trvn0k3t9u
null
0
YES
f10871759974
9frncwcailc
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
726Wu2wiyCp37Qnw7OHK
public
contract
1,716,661,063,302
will-there-be-a-female-president-of-cdb1525d9f97
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will there be a female president of the United States before China and Taiwan go to war?
null
null
null
null
null
g348g7z0tv9
false
7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Both Haley and Dean Phillips dropped out on March 6.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc"...
Kevin Burke
ca2vFi1ZZVJkt7zQYeGt
public
contract
1,716,661,069,685
which-political-candidate-will-drop-6fb79a1a569f
KevinBurke
https://firebasestorage.…943-2649cecf3291
Which political candidate will drop out of the presidential race next?
null
null
330.232862
NO
d521c210a4d4
xpd2ys4hw8h
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
nMw3ow5HWDoV9KgMvUUh
public
contract
1,716,661,072,473
will-elon-musk-get-a-chip-implanted
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
null
null
null
null
null
2y2s1yditad
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6lihwg967g6", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,661,241,813
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
7spyy4rlal
null
0
YES
f10871759974
kqimt6s9asn
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does a blockade to set stage for an invasion count even if the blockade fails before the actual invasion?", "type": "text" } ],...
Enlil
ogSVOzusZx9FaQMFFDx8
public
contract
1,716,661,428,811
will-china-invade-taiwan-by-2035
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
null
null
null
null
null
2buvq2aeqf
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sxaa3728wkh", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,661,669,869
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
null
null
null
null
yomlf0tuok
false
HWKtbHfQPBSXvw8LICx3atroQGr2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "broy83n5l4n", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
MADGAMBLER6969
4VZ4JdGvtk2JxQI2v7dN
public
contract
1,716,661,740,914
if-i-write-an-encyclopedia-of-bad-a
MADGAMBLER6969
https://firebasestorage.…cfc-fa3f31fbb877
If I write an encyclopedia of bad AI arguments, will people seem to find it useful?
IlJmrd95uniUPeo5Mt7y
null
null
null
null
50resfxzab
false
OSvYhGfobxOKEyHHuKqUPGC0Jdw2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
GRC*
TGyjhI5Gl6wZDLMEhkXV
public
contract
1,716,662,078,857
which-team-will-win-the-scottish-cu
GRC
https://firebasestorage.…cee-62c10ab6693e
Which team will win the Scottish Cup in 2023/2024?
null
null
null
null
null
2le95e7bpjp
false
lWvX7WwoYhVUajxiDxxHfN2kM4e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Here’s to hoping ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Boo Lightning
NJwOrbBCu7DU74386PlD
public
contract
1,716,662,086,473
are-we-about-to-hit-another-ai-wint
BooLightning
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKC4X2INo4-tyTknyIWpq6Mo4Do5kOyczhqltam6O7u4wE=s96-c
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
null
null
null
null
null
8xy968x6tnh
false
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Aditya Gupta
2PDnjF9ydr4ZP13pv8I8
public
contract
1,716,662,314,080
cricket-which-of-these-players-will
AdityaGupta4830
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbP2SEivBqEg1hTuRbZsvsjl3_Cp6D6eqx-U_XnxfQ=s96-c
Cricket: Which of these players will play more than 7 matches in IPL 2024?
null
null
669.774122
YES
f266322c734c
56csopw3qpe
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0CBIhXEoqRZAvCVsBfERO8VtZHT2", "label": "Bubbles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,662,348,201
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
0
YES
f10871759974
jc019k4imr
false
Hl00u2lWwcgYwYV92yvK1uWTPav1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gp37yc7iy6v", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Bob Snodgrass
RLGJEKkJGRwmvGDdpArg
public
contract
1,716,662,381,223
what-will-happen-first-a-ceasefire
BobSnodgrass
https://firebasestorage.…c00-ba7907f2cf2e
What will happen first: A Ceasefire Deal Announced, Rafah Ground Invasion (Per NYT/WSJ), or June 1st?
gp37yc7iy6v
null
3,555.440108
YES
da786cd38018
lcb379q566m
false
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8xy968x6tnh", "label": "AdityaGupta4830", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Eliza
2PDnjF9ydr4ZP13pv8I8
public
contract
1,716,662,622,688
cricket-which-of-these-players-will
Eliza
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
Cricket: Which of these players will play more than 7 matches in IPL 2024?
8xy968x6tnh
null
4.409774
YES
ce40adc0120c
3va8l2fpnel
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5ie7bskd1hu", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ben Shindel
3MdLtoKVfTfxaNnk9cvc
public
contract
1,716,662,746,516
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will there be controversy over whether someone playing on blind mode cheated?
6xk9inifvas
0.098494
29.085887
NO
null
lvjxzxomcal
false
sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3va8l2fpnel", "label": "benshindel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ben Shindel
3MdLtoKVfTfxaNnk9cvc
public
contract
1,716,662,798,508
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest
benshindel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will there be controversy over whether someone playing on blind mode cheated?
6xk9inifvas
0.098494
29.085887
NO
null
8zezjs6voil
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "56csopw3qpe", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,662,933,581
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
56csopw3qpe
null
519.648106
YES
37f0747697e3
p7a5433p40a
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm conflicted about this one. Obviously protesting the Israeli singer is antisemitic, but it's also silly to point to this as evidence that Europe is ...
Plasma Ballin'
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,716,663,261,312
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
null
null
1,185.946396
YES
36508860cdd0
4f3v5kh43da
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "10 already and I created it less than 2 hours ago. If you have no opinion you will not like this market, stay home.", "type": "text" ...
ClubmasterTransparent
qMtEGWTyykNo0T2Cc42S
public
contract
1,716,663,313,542
what-will-happen-in-may-2024-add-re
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
🌼What will happen in May 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
335.815257
YES
4adc3c4c8303
409fo3zmlac
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2buvq2aeqf", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,663,378,522
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
i5yc2y62hz
false
GmaScn1bXEaAgZvilcjmNxHS6qk2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think it's common to have some symptoms until way after you've already tested negative (could be days, could be months). I recommend not conditioning...
Yoav Tzfati
v1wKsiYl9RlpWHcG1Xi7
public
contract
1,716,663,407,398
what-day-will-i-first-test-negative
Crazytieguy
https://firebasestorage.…3fd-adaa38437cc0
What day will I first test negative for covid?
null
null
null
null
null
ld49ibg5per
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Out of the last 10, there were only 3 such. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Patrik Cihal
1ENGovCzIHzj3SHq71Wn
public
contract
1,716,663,440,209
china-will-win-and-the-us-will-fini
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad
null
0.611037
661.980843
NO
null
w5ba64rbpp
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": nu...
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,664,044,281
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
ca6noois6we
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A poll can only ever answer one of these, and that's at a reach. This market should be voided and rethought, IMO.", "type": "text" } ...
Gaz Downright
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,170,025
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
null
null
null
kffqvfh54c
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ca6noois6we", "label": "GazDownright", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,316,242
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
37.695491
YES
d674a30b0234
6nq60bx8npe
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kffqvfh54c", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,436,388
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
519.648106
YES
37f0747697e3
mbwqgt3lulg
false
2BxXRsWcjIU3OTyyhyjac7yyy4P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7pxpwenup9c", "label": "TimothyJohnson5c16", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Kakonomics
dBd12ycgw5G1BOjoBJN8
public
contract
1,716,664,485,739
will-caitlin-clark-score-50-points
Yoae
https://firebasestorage.…9b9-ed72121a5535
Will Caitlin Clark score 50+ points in any game during her first WNBA season?
7pxpwenup9c
null
null
null
null
mx7920tjrc
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6nq60bx8npe", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,558,058
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
37.695491
YES
d674a30b0234
mlxs849h49h
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,619,017
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
519.648106
YES
37f0747697e3
w5cogfjhe3
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kffqvfh54c", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Gaz Downright
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,664,767,810
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
null
null
null
x92h0w4d4b
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do you disagree with the police investigation?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Joshua
4cnN0iBesPQ2OL9sKYkl
public
contract
1,716,664,920,484
did-the-boeing-whistleblower-die-of
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Did the Boeing whistleblower die of foul play? (media consensus)
null
null
null
null
null
sl4s4t7vm1
false
A1MrT3UaPieiKqUprL2eyuGdprx1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mbv2voswqta", "label": "singer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pickle Maniac
28RJ23fKDFMr4Mo8YQ4f
public
contract
1,716,665,063,909
will-human-narration-for-audiobooks
PickleManiac
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLq9d0fUbKM_ozRHfNEsUIlv1SCtWlWiM7KduVMcdk3_7HRrZI=s96-c
Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?
9ssl7s7imb
0.47688
95.610669
NO
null
59h9okdil4k
false
hqOOjUTKcZSIxV9xoFiJrPgLwf32
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Both Haas drivers have been disqualified for tomorrow's race. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { ...
Lee Woods
8lkkeDMInSrJCH8wkrPL
public
contract
1,716,665,336,573
will-kevin-magnussen-receive-a-race
LeeWoods
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIJ2D9jnq95ZstW0tW1YTMtoJ-heKtQ_G_R0RQwetoJQbot=s96-c
Will Kevin Magnussen receive a race ban during the 2024 F1 season
null
0.611803
1,341.971118
YES
null
fc4i76vecpd
false
sSmuNjhRzWhUjDudvx0uSMAq1Yg2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Sergio Corona (1928), Raul Castro (1931), Stanley Baxter (1926), Joanne Woodward (1930), Desmond Morris (1928), Ethel Kennedy (1928)", "type"...
Golden Omega 10
5RgX04YIVYPQXJUkNB1Q
public
contract
1,716,665,351,279
battle-of-the-nonagenarians-who-wil
GoldenOmega10
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKylSleQiNPVkKLBwP-Xo_8NCKg5MkG2ZH34gTNQE7KMHUhKA=s96-c
Battle of the Nonagenarians: Who will outlive Jimmy Carter?
null
null
null
null
null
uph96n6dkv
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jc019k4imr", "label": "BobSnodgrass", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
RLGJEKkJGRwmvGDdpArg
public
contract
1,716,665,920,693
what-will-happen-first-a-ceasefire
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
What will happen first: A Ceasefire Deal Announced, Rafah Ground Invasion (Per NYT/WSJ), or June 1st?
gp37yc7iy6v
null
0
NO
74177def07ab
47ukboevz1b
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Manifold Politics
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,716,666,135,646
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
null
0.786444
-0
YES
null
l1y0xxmh5bk
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xtbgru3tuek", "label": "JoeandSeth", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
chris (strutheo)
DjN8X9iYVnnlCCu32bk5
public
contract
1,716,666,279,145
what-will-the-nvidia-stock-price-be
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
What will the Nvidia stock price be at the end of 2024?
xtbgru3tuek
null
null
null
null
impjdi7poct
false
tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Feel free to let me know here in the comments which questions you're particularly interested in!", "type": "text" } ], "t...
SG
ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ
public
contract
1,716,666,428,123
which-questions-will-we-answer-duri
SG
https://firebasestorage.…6d6-ad95bdb11967
Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
fykaxokz5gi
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Oh, also here's ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ {...
Manifold Politics
k2J6H0zsJd5h6NtQLeCy
public
contract
1,716,666,459,432
when-will-a-spot-ethereum-etf-be-ap
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
When will a spot Ethereum ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]
ivpp71rfpgj
null
null
null
null
judvqkozpp
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I feel like there should at least be a \"no - other reasons\" options", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ]...
Mich
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,666,526,392
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
null
null
null
null
null
e4sxkc9lb7f
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's looking bad for the dems!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": nul...
Manifold Politics
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,716,666,582,715
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
null
0.786444
-0
YES
null
jhc0xm6jcsk
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "submit questions to be answered by the founders panel! ✍ ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
stefanie
ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ
public
contract
1,716,666,781,047
which-questions-will-we-answer-duri
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
y8lqepwdj8
false
ONHr3BzNytStRqViq6ZQIws7hsi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "judvqkozpp", "label": "Mich", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
PGeyer
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,666,971,315
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
PGeyer
https://storage.googleap…q6ZQIws7hsi1.png
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
judvqkozpp
null
null
null
null
aimv86v3nsc
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "trkcbab5et", "label": "AustinPlatt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Manifold Politics
Iv8fcNBVqPpWtYYkOB1A
public
contract
1,716,667,027,682
how-many-seats-will-the-labour-part-83e146bac5d4
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win?
xqrz8sggbad
null
1,689.759752
YES
ffd7405e2195
8vicqwqh
false
Hl00u2lWwcgYwYV92yvK1uWTPav1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "uph96n6dkv", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Bob Snodgrass
RLGJEKkJGRwmvGDdpArg
public
contract
1,716,667,209,161
what-will-happen-first-a-ceasefire
BobSnodgrass
https://firebasestorage.…c00-ba7907f2cf2e
What will happen first: A Ceasefire Deal Announced, Rafah Ground Invasion (Per NYT/WSJ), or June 1st?
gp37yc7iy6v
null
3,555.440108
YES
da786cd38018
6xgrver1d6n
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I love to see the trading activity here! I'm adding a subsidy to incentivize price discovery. Enjoy the free mana if you're right, ", "type":...
Manifold Politics
Iv8fcNBVqPpWtYYkOB1A
public
contract
1,716,667,239,060
how-many-seats-will-the-labour-part-83e146bac5d4
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win?
null
null
1,689.759752
YES
ffd7405e2195
o55vc8vzumi
false
5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What question do you want to ask us?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
James
ophX4TO8SIU15wpFpzxJ
public
contract
1,716,667,252,071
which-questions-will-we-answer-duri
JamesGrugett
https://firebasestorage.…e65-9d8b4836eb03
Which questions will we answer during the Manifold Founders' Panel at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
wc4eehf50g
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "y8lqepwdj8", "label": "PGeyer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Mich
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,667,333,041
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
judvqkozpp
null
null
null
null
w2q81z5e9i
false
PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jkqh7waejsm", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Lisa Marsh
CkwP7FiyoLvqr9JgPgrX
public
contract
1,716,667,402,009
will-michael-gove-lose-his-seat-at
lisamarsh
https://firebasestorage.…baf-262c369f8514
Will Michael Gove lose his seat at the next general election?
gejxar39nf9
null
null
null
null
r559ntqa9j
false
ONHr3BzNytStRqViq6ZQIws7hsi1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wc4eehf50g", "label": "Mich", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
PGeyer
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,667,526,002
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
PGeyer
https://storage.googleap…q6ZQIws7hsi1.png
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
judvqkozpp
null
null
null
null
829nejdury6
false
7UjvnqrEwyUiGyhWjONEWGYxo4i2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Haas with the double pit-lane start in Monaco!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
BK
2yiL7Gr1yrLANuRigl9p
public
contract
1,716,667,719,211
will-there-be-a-scrutineering-findi
B_K
https://firebasestorage.…b2b-1a43a6e11455
Will there be a scrutineering finding and penalty assessed against a car from Red Bull, Mercedes, or Ferrari in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
exvhpas0ova
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r559ntqa9j", "label": "PGeyer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Mich
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,667,787,395
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
judvqkozpp
null
null
null
null
8nsvwqd7gxe
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "A poll of who exactly?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Snarflak
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,667,998,534
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
null
null
null
x9rj1r86rcb
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8nsvwqd7gxe", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,668,086,049
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
8nsvwqd7gxe
null
37.695491
YES
d674a30b0234
xs9yvj931i
false
6NjgcSqIYqdg4mID9976SHPNLAl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mx7920tjrc", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Patrik Cihal
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,668,105,397
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
patrik
https://firebasestorage.…184-1140b99c8021
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
ca6noois6we
null
519.648106
YES
37f0747697e3
7x3tuc8jrx3
false
Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "59h9okdil4k", "label": "LeeWoods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Enlil
8lkkeDMInSrJCH8wkrPL
public
contract
1,716,668,129,810
will-kevin-magnussen-receive-a-race
Enlil
https://firebasestorage.…679-a63c7b518da2
Will Kevin Magnussen receive a race ban during the 2024 F1 season
59h9okdil4k
null
null
null
null
qmqyolc3erq
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If the author dies or retires without publishing an end, is the manga considered ended for this market ?", "type": "text" } ], ...
Mich
enDYPoHVisJ5GxcrK6bk
public
contract
1,716,668,540,118
will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
Will Taylor Swift get married before the One Piece manga ends?
null
null
null
null
null
6o9880akptp
false
WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Bump because if I'm stupidly throwing out my Mana, we shall as well get a good laugh along the way !", "type": "text" } ], ...
Mich
hWXY0Dl1q38Sx7Sc0zXJ
public
contract
1,716,668,720,248
how-comfident-do-you-think-one-shou
Mich
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c
How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?
null
null
null
null
null
aarvzir3abl
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "x9rj1r86rcb", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Snarflak
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,669,113,396
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
8nsvwqd7gxe
null
null
null
null
ynp5dd3p50h
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e4sxkc9lb7f", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Timothy Johnson
xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1
public
contract
1,716,669,170,143
trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th?
e4sxkc9lb7f
0.786444
380.755534
YES
null
3eo3ugpcas6
false
lQNtuosKRXcTAuiUv324XX5e0zs1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I've just added the monte carlo simulation which should theoretically give more realistic results (and seat ranges for each party) ", "type":...
Austin Platt
Iv8fcNBVqPpWtYYkOB1A
public
contract
1,716,669,222,119
how-many-seats-will-the-labour-part-83e146bac5d4
AustinPlatt
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6uBUbeQwTXx7_TucB1d9jl66tPnKFcDYI2lHbe=s96-c
UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win?
xqrz8sggbad
null
null
null
null
4m3taytrxv
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "aarvzir3abl", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,669,386,047
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
8nsvwqd7gxe
null
37.695491
YES
d674a30b0234
s9p6fwretbk
false
PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5eat72p6xl9", "label": "mariopasquato", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
CyfralCoot
tyx5SFdjFIofzqAzcTSv
public
contract
1,716,669,635,300
what-percentage-of-dark-matter-is-b
CyfralCoot
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c
What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?
nb9smw57fd
null
null
null
null
njvr4a051v
false
PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7vw5uemg547", "label": "ProjectVictory", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
CyfralCoot
nMw3ow5HWDoV9KgMvUUh
public
contract
1,716,669,798,895
will-elon-musk-get-a-chip-implanted
CyfralCoot
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
dqrmvg0edi
0.45
40
YES
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