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2hbz273mq8u
false
oYKXAatHp3YN6vidj2KHdCFr91d2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pwk0kdc1o3", "label": "jacksonpolack", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
mongo
MiYKcO3SMlpUqgbRh9TK
public
contract
1,716,669,821,383
will-the-nudes-in-bio-bots-be-gone
mongo
https://firebasestorage.…91f-028f5752ee7f
Will the "░N░U░D░E░S░ ░I░N░ ░B░I░O░" bots be gone from twitter before the end of 2024?
cij403erwoi
null
null
null
null
9pz1uoewvaj
false
iGpTEc7ijZf5Nv3UUsM5G5euMnT2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What happens if you do the poll, and the 5th ranked thing has like 20% approval? Will it resolve to true? It feels like it'd be a lot better to resolve...
Dominic de Bettencourt
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,669,921,441
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
dominic
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_rYabDlibjswkfie6jTwLYXt1nSx42B8oytNLxA=s96-c
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
0
NO
fdb3f2d22989
fr1qszt8hy
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
stefanie
4cArjeTM7aiBg8cjYnwO
public
contract
1,716,670,017,678
will-tucker-carlson-start-a-russian
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will Tucker Carlson start a Russian TV show in 2024?
null
0.170979
160.956762
YES
null
q5d3jtn0lgg
false
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The AI Act will enter into force 20 days after publication. That is the default for EU regulations and also the case for this one specifically: ", ...
Johnny Ten-Numbers
k140nIGQ66PafKvySKas
public
contract
1,716,670,346,543
will-the-eu-ai-act-enter-into-force-289ddee092ef
1941159478
https://firebasestorage.…5d6-609a1a4230e5
Will the EU AI Act enter into force before the end of May 2024?
null
0.06
3,902.23868
NO
null
h7o8ivifs4t
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9pz1uoewvaj", "label": "dominic", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,670,399,893
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
9pz1uoewvaj
null
37.695491
YES
d674a30b0234
0vqzlawmbn6
false
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "eaqfddbj7du", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Nathan Young
W7rttoExHN7Bw1WmHabq
public
contract
1,716,670,604,735
will-trump-continue-to-be-able-to-d
NathanpmYoung
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNathanpmYoung%2Flove-images%2Fg-n-xy50_N.43?alt=media&token=28208478-6907-4bc5-9fde-15746ee9af90
Will Trump continue to be able to do business in New York State next spring?
myrsi74adm
null
null
null
null
kglcwho02nh
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "He has three of the four polls, and he has ballot access in the following states:", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": nu...
Timothy Johnson
6tH4hCf3kWtXWA64lMnu
public
contract
1,716,670,747,756
will-rfk-qualify-for-the-6272024-pr
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Will RFK Jr. qualify for the 6/27/2024 presidential debate on CNN?
null
0.152758
165.896888
YES
null
6cbpvxetver
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,670,986,914
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
sfyvx3qnw3
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,670,994,992
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
ob5zpnsqrse
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Argument FOR:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,671,032,851
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
41.559596
YES
59a364c55d2c
oiksygxrgam
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,671,041,536
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
jzp79hihhe
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,671,049,122
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
vmjsys51lv
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,671,052,542
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
kixbw6e0pi
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,671,101,759
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
x3b0lpdqnj
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Argument FOR:", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,671,521,842
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
41.559596
YES
59a364c55d2c
2noa88r8zeg
false
Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pc25zylebm", "label": "Hayden", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
vibhav
uAj4hPT7qv0lanUMK4Vs
public
contract
1,716,671,525,891
202324-nba-season-prop-bets
vibhav
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c
2023-24 NBA Season Prop Bets
pc25zylebm
null
0
YES
e9ac226ea3d5
tqwhoa33xic
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolving YES thanks to ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "lQNtuosKRXcTAuiUv324XX5e0zs1", ...
Fion
VdgOfFrbMsAl0TSbu1Yd
public
contract
1,716,671,537,091
will-somebody-create-a-manifold-uk
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
Will somebody create a Manifold UK General Election Projection?
null
50
5,443.908276
YES
null
2r3x7czft63
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pm5ok7d8m9", "label": "sbares", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Garrett Baker
NYISJsNFjI3aIMGExGgo
public
contract
1,716,671,560,610
will-neuralink-successfully-enable-c5092c5cd2a1
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
pm5ok7d8m9
0.45
200.598289
YES
null
c63994gim7q
false
Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "VVVj8BOvZ9fpuy8r85wokS8xSUk1", "label": "bennyfeldman16fc", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "m...
vibhav
LFEGGEYiGzaGf0wjhC9V
public
contract
1,716,671,632,327
who-will-win-the-2024-hsnct
vibhav
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 HSNCT?
null
null
null
null
null
50nw20fqw62
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "409fo3zmlac", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,671,656,203
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
null
null
null
null
54waz1t5b1a
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Close time updated to the official race start time, 2:52 PM.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
Timothy Johnson
6uwQ0AHYVcNqFYqEBEQD
public
contract
1,716,671,668,724
who-will-win-the-2024-bowerman-mile
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Bowerman Mile race?
null
null
116.047875
YES
b51acf187e50
vihcoojw17c
false
PcmJqrSd5HN56RpdSmy0UjNSSMl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "aw0yb3aqcdo", "label": "AustinPlatt", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Noit
VdgOfFrbMsAl0TSbu1Yd
public
contract
1,716,671,845,411
will-somebody-create-a-manifold-uk
Noit
https://firebasestorage.…735-191267a06d3d
Will somebody create a Manifold UK General Election Projection?
aw0yb3aqcdo
null
null
null
null
maxgcn4uj2k
false
ScsiswU6F8TGyb3GGh1N8T0A9Qs1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm not sure why some of these entries were N/A-ed - Steven Spielberg, for example.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragr...
Zane
LkPCpjA6WImIfMByv4Un
public
contract
1,716,672,060,729
universal-death-market-which-public
ZaneMiller
https://firebasestorage.…cd7-65f87738b782
Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
null
null
null
null
null
6s1oz0b4o5
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "maxgcn4uj2k", "label": "ZaneMiller", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Joshua
LkPCpjA6WImIfMByv4Un
public
contract
1,716,672,118,310
universal-death-market-which-public
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
maxgcn4uj2k
null
1,772.060807
NO
23086409a434
kcgg06y0cyr
false
GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ld49ibg5per", "label": "patrik", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Nathan Wei
1ENGovCzIHzj3SHq71Wn
public
contract
1,716,672,218,046
china-will-win-and-the-us-will-fini
nathanwei
https://firebasestorage.…47c-77836969b89a
China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad
ld49ibg5per
null
null
null
null
ycdxghp0a48
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "50nw20fqw62", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,672,256,072
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
ej3gepqvvja
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Hahahahaha", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bruno
ZDRx34sOTLeTDRuSPpRQ
public
contract
1,716,672,531,874
which-political-party-will-be-the-t
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party?
null
null
null
null
null
3jk5nfmrhyk
false
37HPAlvhLRcWqwcEnaWSFqTmQSE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If i’m one of the first, yes. If I am one of hundreds or thousands, only if I can return.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "...
the_puzzlax
uoGz6fMVYvLlEf5T81Lm
public
contract
1,716,672,563,801
if-you-had-the-opportunity-to-go-to
the_puzzlax
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKojQZcBy88x7yWXmIHFDzHsVzXavdct7mHfc_bdoqYJPc=s96-c
If you had the opportunity to go to Mars with guaranteed safety and low enough monetary cost, would you take it?
null
null
null
null
null
caculxu9mqu
false
4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "80k no limit at 21", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
jackson polack
E0edSLrDpEBvWiu5vsbF
public
contract
1,716,672,608,761
will-scarlett-johansson-receive-mon
jacksonpolack
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c
Will Scarlett Johansson receive money from OpenAI as a settlement, compensation, or damages by the end of 2024?
null
0.189143
79.95905
NO
null
ygmwef59rvn
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "label": "NathanpmYoung", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Joshua
QTGwE3vguvtLrX3W77Vs
public
contract
1,716,672,693,371
ongoing-relationships-stocks-which
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Ongoing Relationships Stocks: Which Manifolder's Relationships will still be ongoing through May 2024?
null
null
17.142857
YES
fbc015110834
exdfbz1gns
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Also ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63", "label": "Mad"...
Joshua
QTGwE3vguvtLrX3W77Vs
public
contract
1,716,672,758,822
ongoing-relationships-stocks-which
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Ongoing Relationships Stocks: Which Manifolder's Relationships will still be ongoing through May 2024?
ygmwef59rvn
null
17.142857
YES
fbc015110834
151u62pj9yp
false
9tMOYH0haQedEtscs52ovqodo3t2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "label": "Gigacasting", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Chris Prichard
G9LK2uvWOmbtd6hsCErD
public
contract
1,716,672,978,745
what-will-be-the-top3-ai-labs-in-20
ChrisPrichard
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYidkxgB2nkeLVgNFdhGolb0T_m7SDNRfGUzOifoQ=s96-c
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2025?
null
null
17,631.667959
NO
a7aae4eca313
60eldwqmbb8
false
RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Resolves YES: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
Arky
GZxpSHmwnyMTpjBYL5tz
public
contract
1,716,673,173,480
will-daniel-perry-be-pardoned-until
Arky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c
Will Daniel Perry be pardoned until the end of 2025?
null
0.99
1,400.126331
YES
null
tm9czx38o0l
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ycdxghp0a48", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,673,179,305
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
null
null
null
null
m2wgl2mbod
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
kkEbfirimVq2tfb1ZIl0
public
contract
1,716,673,207,948
will-someone-play-doom-on-the-moon-099ebcaf2ab3
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will someone play Doom on the Moon by the end of 2060?
null
null
null
null
null
n68qzcyyoq
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "73 out fully ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
dWj7KTMNGAKjFJKiiUVc
public
contract
1,716,673,231,624
will-skibidi-toilet-reach-100-full
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Skibidi Toilet reach 100 full episodes (by the creator's numbering) by EOY 2024?
null
0.241561
0
YES
null
jc4427mo7x
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
PuVV0cUvyORbPZ0YaFBR
public
contract
1,716,673,237,990
will-bitcon-reach-100k-before-the-o
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Bitcoin reach $100K before the One Piece manga ends?
null
null
null
null
null
k4xiqwgrfhq
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
JeQtP7Iy55xXPYnjgu8z
public
contract
1,716,673,243,184
will-a-superbowl-game-go-to-double
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of March 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
sus9v2av8ac
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
8VhzltZEZOX20zJODUdA
public
contract
1,716,673,248,032
will-there-be-a-new-most-liked-yout
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will there be a new Most Liked YouTube video by EOY 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
iv7e0x6nk1
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
7f4WjccHH6yD42cot2Ep
public
contract
1,716,673,255,638
will-sam-altman-still-be-ceo-of-ope
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
bokh5nhfauf
false
UWYwI4o0D1dVErgMvko1slLrgfD2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "very good work, we from ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Putra Yulanda
omMI0dsgiTnB7NoSxsOO
public
contract
1,716,673,258,444
what-is-the-current-thing-today-tra-5e3490b327f9
PutraYulanda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOKvLuqq0pDJ_3ziJTJBSSLPazxv-nr_u8KbsNMnVNGzR_KcY=s96-c
What is the "Current Thing" today? [Tracker, resolves to Market]
null
null
null
null
null
rn3msjg33sh
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
7HtUYqt5dFZGmGbYD18t
public
contract
1,716,673,265,267
will-nintendo-legally-go-after-palw-98389633dcbe
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Nintendo Legally go after Palworld before Taylor Swift gets engaged/married?
null
null
null
null
null
s08awqegxn
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
E5rLyzWVoDWANAUH962n
public
contract
1,716,673,268,753
will-a-person-die-on-the-moon-befor
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?
null
null
null
null
null
hnxn59p46g6
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
pXI4QH7WTZSL83roOjkF
public
contract
1,716,673,280,117
will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-f1bb90be7133
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Taylor Swift get married before Twitter launches a Peer to Peer payment system?
null
null
null
null
null
27wpw7nekgu
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
7BqIr8kesruBnAY2bY37
public
contract
1,716,673,296,519
will-tucker-carlsons-streaming-serv
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Tucker Carlson's streaming service still be charging at least $9/mo on June 1st 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
jcvrcu9mcg
false
ANizTgbWIbaIKdPJcLdifo2Qc6m2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I'm sorry, what do you mean by episodes of movies? ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" ...
DiscoDan
BajZ4k4REmmemaFo5fKI
public
contract
1,716,673,340,322
what-tv-shows-will-i-watch-at-least-264e43f89c3e
DiscoDan
https://firebasestorage.…17a-5e4483ef05ed
What movies will I watch at least two episodes of before 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
lgq1fdgda18
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Was poorer than a grad student when he was starting zip2. His middle class asshole dad wasn’t supporting him when he went to America with his brother....
Jonathan Ray
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,716,673,354,227
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
null
null
316.036702
NO
fdb3f2d22989
zw116lqvxed
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "650", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
bfBNC48s2OusFpw149hR
public
contract
1,716,673,354,399
will-our-steam-game-heartseeker-sur
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will our Steam game Heartseeker surpass 1000 sales by Oct 5th 2031 (10th anniversary of release)?
null
null
null
null
null
3at4ann79b4
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "50nw20fqw62", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,673,372,036
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
vi9e6kwkric
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
Y8h8Nw79vFYwBAFeJI4j
public
contract
1,716,673,373,846
will-trump-beat-biden-in-national-p-a7a307ae2768
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Trump beat Biden in national polling on 538 at the beginning of August?
null
null
null
null
null
5bewaqle3e6
false
PcmJqrSd5HN56RpdSmy0UjNSSMl2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is now official policy of Sunak’s conservatives, so maybe it should tick up a bit? Probably not a lot though, given how bad his odds look. ", ...
Noit
JH7ZJqadtGEdtCBufBee
public
contract
1,716,673,381,413
will-the-uk-government-pass-legisla-5b20fdf67168
Noit
https://firebasestorage.…735-191267a06d3d
Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?
null
null
null
null
null
g7fmx4i5hii
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
rohKcqwN2kWA8qLNCKnh
public
contract
1,716,673,387,520
in-2024-human-marathon-under-2h-or
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
In 2024: human marathon under 2h OR Bitcoin reaches $150K OR perfect game pitched OR Manifold reaches 40K MAU?
null
null
null
null
null
8z8nnxm0zbc
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": nu...
chris (strutheo)
PRz9pDpXy8nMmx7xA2Uc
public
contract
1,716,673,397,797
will-biden-live-to-see-luffy-find-t
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?
null
null
null
null
null
frf0uodgx5m
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
7eRJarqvByVsNdMgvy1z
public
contract
1,716,673,405,394
will-pickleball-be-an-official-olym
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Pickleball be an official Olympic event before the first female president of the United States ?
null
null
null
null
null
hh1709z2j9b
false
ANizTgbWIbaIKdPJcLdifo2Qc6m2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Ah, I think I understand 🤦‍♂️ Which movie will you watch for a second time! 😁", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph"...
DiscoDan
BajZ4k4REmmemaFo5fKI
public
contract
1,716,673,438,171
what-tv-shows-will-i-watch-at-least-264e43f89c3e
DiscoDan
https://firebasestorage.…17a-5e4483ef05ed
What movies will I watch at least two episodes of before 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
omkek5lfj7
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "nvm found it ✌️", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,673,459,724
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
1mr20v2glp8
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ziddletwix
Uzw7bNWFlKZ5oJfpvA0G
public
contract
1,716,673,925,199
will-an-englishlanguage-film-win-th
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will an English-language film win the Palme d'Or at the Cannes Film Festival in 2024?
null
0.555491
1,388.862884
YES
null
04144b2jy15y
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Ziddletwix
vqRECfBOCwbgHSgH3F3K
public
contract
1,716,673,996,720
will-winner-of-the-palm-dog-at-the
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will winner of the Palm Dog at the Cannes Film Festival also win the Palme d'Or, Grand Prix, OR Caméra d'Or?
null
0.468379
863.766595
NO
null
dnwtt6euorg
false
hqUHVBYKEdXGYsMsBL22wIqAibg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "+1 parallel to the SHs and sabaody now, he gonna come back stronger than ever!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Toni Leo
4LzxKthtg1dJIhQYCyZN
public
contract
1,716,674,080,876
kidd-stock
ToniLeo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKAMrxEXcwUB91Ryyg5pCTD7NIe8dGWWK2gfAPtDjpDfg0KIA=s96-c
Kid Stock
null
null
null
null
null
vh18ivnqe3h
false
NuHwhn6zEFaGrZakbtiqPqMB0cJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2r3x7czft63", "label": "GarrettBaker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
sbares
NYISJsNFjI3aIMGExGgo
public
contract
1,716,674,103,196
will-neuralink-successfully-enable-c5092c5cd2a1
sbares
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxzkvyIz-LOJPQwSdbXHkM-F-In2wj3gxsEipRrEw=s96-c
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
pm5ok7d8m9
0.45
4,566.40559
NO
null
53es8omfb4h
false
GLzpZPkoRWcZv7I1sbSGv9mPZlB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What exactly has Anthropic contributed? The Golden Gate Bridge thing is almost confirmation that they shouldn’t be top 3. ", "type": "text" ...
capy
JoKOuHebLuGKni0Qfy8j
public
contract
1,716,674,230,254
which-3-ai-labscompanies-will-make
capybara
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FKevinDoran%2F6rlhLww5NS.35?alt=media&token=c2bbf567-0a54-4425-9ebd-1cec295a7660
Which 3 AI labs/companies will make the most impact in 2024 (technical contributions to the field of AI)?
null
null
1,800.364827
YES
abdc1c2071e3
xuv49b5sb4
false
wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "dr22ph3rka6", "label": "CampbellHutcheson", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Chris V
Z1GN0uwK9PbFMqGoZEs5
public
contract
1,716,674,280,779
will-nvidias-share-price-break-2000
voodoo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c
Will Nvidia's share price break $2000 in 2024?
dr22ph3rka6
0.413461
10,311.539029
NO
null
mbj43u9u2d
false
GLzpZPkoRWcZv7I1sbSGv9mPZlB3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jcvrcu9mcg", "label": "DiscoDan", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
capy
BajZ4k4REmmemaFo5fKI
public
contract
1,716,674,305,340
what-tv-shows-will-i-watch-at-least-264e43f89c3e
capybara
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FKevinDoran%2F6rlhLww5NS.35?alt=media&token=c2bbf567-0a54-4425-9ebd-1cec295a7660
What movies will I watch at least two episodes of before 2025?
jcvrcu9mcg
null
null
null
null
3kitp2gju9y
false
ZO9qSVVstZgzKNToBWDYibeBW8P2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Andri
3OPoTJIyfHOFN0jywOtN
public
contract
1,716,674,401,995
if-ukraine-wins-eurovision-2024-wil
andri
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHeGd_f3weXHQGNPF2fxvAezw2jBBMQXNlzd1tkV2szg=s96-c
If Ukraine wins Eurovision 2024, will Eurovision 2025 take place in Ukraine?
null
null
null
null
null
m5u5r3zhgf
false
QQInWv7nHJgbmN67E7QlHfQDkO42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If banned then unbanned, how does this resolve?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Dave K
3rtPOzDg6Isk7lJfWPcz
public
contract
1,716,674,453,850
will-necrodominance-be-banned-in-mo
DaveK
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2R6SvkbqD9GkJI_SN-kCZntRToJnhbIGK4scrO=s96-c
Will Necrodominance be banned in Modern by 5/25/26?
null
null
null
null
null
qfncufjjaq
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,462,179
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
8ypsjmyfbyn
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,463,260
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
m92fihiqpc8
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,523,144
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
g8r33a1u7hb
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,528,609
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
xcgry1egcrg
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,530,717
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
rfes9ojg2el
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,716,674,583,815
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
2kog2503dxo
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "omkek5lfj7", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,674,741,459
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
null
null
null
null
be5k16qbx78
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vh18ivnqe3h", "label": "sbares", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Garrett Baker
NYISJsNFjI3aIMGExGgo
public
contract
1,716,674,964,226
will-neuralink-successfully-enable-c5092c5cd2a1
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
pm5ok7d8m9
0.45
200.598289
YES
null
ev3sjxe84fr
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w0we6rjbc", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gabrielle
G0GmOyaD1Qx3LoXfP9N7
public
contract
1,716,675,122,024
before-2035-will-there-exist-any-ai
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
w0we6rjbc
null
null
null
null
od19go3thcm
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": "", "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lan...
Bruno
hWXY0Dl1q38Sx7Sc0zXJ
public
contract
1,716,675,128,585
how-comfident-do-you-think-one-shou
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?
null
null
null
null
null
hzg8sk1tqdq
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8vicqwqh", "label": "BobSnodgrass", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
mint
RLGJEKkJGRwmvGDdpArg
public
contract
1,716,675,216,722
what-will-happen-first-a-ceasefire
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
What will happen first: A Ceasefire Deal Announced, Rafah Ground Invasion (Per NYT/WSJ), or June 1st?
gp37yc7iy6v
null
2,261.216703
YES
74177def07ab
89mz5f9nu9i
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "2kog2503dxo", "label": "aenews", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,675,251,753
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
50
666.471668
YES
null
ioj1464szhb
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If Manifold adds conditional markets, will they be used for shitmarkets more often than the frequency of shitmarkets today? ", "type": "text"...
Bruno
cS6hzLNYuCzqa2L1KT7l
public
contract
1,716,675,261,246
will-manifold-add-dedicated-conditi
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
kz38dlxpr6
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6o9880akptp", "label": "Mich", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gaz Downright
hWXY0Dl1q38Sx7Sc0zXJ
public
contract
1,716,675,461,262
how-comfident-do-you-think-one-shou
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
How comfident do you think one should be that their crush doesn't like them back so that it's better not to confess ?
6o9880akptp
null
null
null
null
0plrx3vv32jb
false
P6XpUpKbtlZ4B7jaFjYT3eKF07y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ga1y8q8qgge", "label": "LarsDoucet", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
notune
ka3ADk0gihMBJCE8sBPs
public
contract
1,716,675,638,274
will-a-gpt4equivalent-model-be-able-2146d4144ade
notune
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fnotune%2FZqoeQ1d4gW.27?alt=media&token=e89841b8-0480-4048-ad6c-636762b6788a
Will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware before 2025?
dtwejmcpmvk
0.674046
141.021625
YES
null
xwp3yrvfa1
false
1cr4qlB1WReHhDCyVhQmBrASOzF2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "89mz5f9nu9i", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
aenews
iBzWQphneI3X3n0yIkWv
public
contract
1,716,675,674,628
how-will-this-controversial-polymar
aenews
https://firebasestorage.…1ae-07ed3f188eea
How will this controversial Polymarket about Nikki Haley endorsing Trump before June resolve?
sxaa3728wkh
null
null
null
null
9o4rfv03a8c
false
0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "x9jqx8vtffa", "label": "SaviorofPlant", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Magnus
FYtNIEkxFEMcR7awWvc7
public
contract
1,716,675,685,925
when-will-the-first-hurricane-of-20
thepurplebull
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c
When will the first hurricane of 2024 make landfall in the US?
x9jqx8vtffa
null
null
null
null
xldgw17xh5
false
JuPdylq620YYzGYlRvqYE7MbbKA3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "As some of you may know that I was in some of the email threads to the now disgraced NIH official, David Morens, I want to categorically deny any accus...
Kristian Anders$n
4MkPyu5D9MRLPREODSD7
public
contract
1,716,675,743,289
did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
KristianAndersen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLfCER3HQfMxYpT36bgM9yVTL_16IFTq27qzThy_6nS=s96-c
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
null
0.59136
4,748.779452
YES
null
5yv3r9g4dvb
false
yTue1A3ApPhtq3tYKBY2vxEEvG52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Paper Boy
296ybaLp6xskH4pApIaQ
public
contract
1,716,675,791,798
will-rfk-junior-reach-5-percent-of
PaperBoy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKvvIqQ7wel-RMQneP56-S8xiaR9D7ojtRAVjiR78e5gg=s96-c
Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.
null
null
null
null
null
ykcgzc4p51h
false
yTue1A3ApPhtq3tYKBY2vxEEvG52
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": 0, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "lang...
Paper Boy
69kTOtaIDlh4eBVMVzxJ
public
contract
1,716,675,810,596
will-rfk-jr-reach-5-percent-of-the
PaperBoy
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKvvIqQ7wel-RMQneP56-S8xiaR9D7ojtRAVjiR78e5gg=s96-c
Will RFK Jr. reach 5 percent of the national popular vote in the 2024 election?
null
null
null
null
null
kxwse6bfstq
false
P6XpUpKbtlZ4B7jaFjYT3eKF07y2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0plrx3vv32jb", "label": "notune", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
notune
ka3ADk0gihMBJCE8sBPs
public
contract
1,716,675,852,648
will-a-gpt4equivalent-model-be-able-2146d4144ade
notune
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fnotune%2FZqoeQ1d4gW.27?alt=media&token=e89841b8-0480-4048-ad6c-636762b6788a
Will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware before 2025?
dtwejmcpmvk
0.674046
141.021625
YES
null
am4gnxdkx9m
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Gaz Downright
5iVl2XinS06zpUXwQRaQ
public
contract
1,716,675,875,912
will-manchester-united-make-it-to-e
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Will Manchester United👹 make it to Europe🇪🇺next season?
null
0.193135
1,647.648928
YES
null
ft1jkwtvqow
false
jZUBm9inM5W8zeSJDPClYNVLAcv2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why federal? (“Federal” isn’t a synonym of “serious”.)", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
Jess Riedel
szNJ2PRWnuqhEgzPeZJ4
public
contract
1,716,676,168,716
will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-charged-w-65595e6ff396
JessRiedel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtekvmOko5m7kKrx2fT2UZEzaEFrrwqJqTV6R6kPNhTwUQE=s96-c
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028?
null
null
null
null
null
022xqc9xfplj
false
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "am4gnxdkx9m", "label": "GazDownright", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
JAAM
5iVl2XinS06zpUXwQRaQ
public
contract
1,716,676,201,211
will-manchester-united-make-it-to-e
egroj
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
Will Manchester United👹 make it to Europe🇪🇺next season?
am4gnxdkx9m
null
null
null
null
a6un3ldmmdj
false
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "022xqc9xfplj", "label": "egroj", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gaz Downright
5iVl2XinS06zpUXwQRaQ
public
contract
1,716,676,257,558
will-manchester-united-make-it-to-e
GazDownright
https://firebasestorage.…03d-44c57f8e25b1
Will Manchester United👹 make it to Europe🇪🇺next season?
am4gnxdkx9m
0.193135
1,647.648928
YES
null
5lewdd5bfr
false
WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "m5u5r3zhgf", "label": "DaveK", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Zvi Mowshowitz
3rtPOzDg6Isk7lJfWPcz
public
contract
1,716,676,430,675
will-necrodominance-be-banned-in-mo
ZviMowshowitz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjZzVqACtxwmB1FREO1eZAIgN70yLkYEFBbecQn=s96-c
Will Necrodominance be banned in Modern by 5/25/26?
m5u5r3zhgf
null
null
null
null
eui5ye9v3rm
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I think this resolves YES. TL;DR: FOD ingestion is operating the engines outside their intended operating regime, it is not an ", "type": "te...
Evan
zRF9y8WMQakaSn2vYuD3
public
contract
1,716,676,553,508
is-raptor-reliability-solved-will-a
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Is Raptor reliability solved? (Will all of them work on the next flight?) (IFT-3)
null
0.921973
16.019823
YES
null
8xdu4bo496
false
ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gp37yc7iy6v", "label": "ManifoldPolitics", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
mint
RLGJEKkJGRwmvGDdpArg
public
contract
1,716,676,657,950
what-will-happen-first-a-ceasefire
mint
https://firebasestorage.…6c1-5baf736896c2
What will happen first: A Ceasefire Deal Announced, Rafah Ground Invasion (Per NYT/WSJ), or June 1st?
gp37yc7iy6v
null
2,261.216703
YES
74177def07ab
c5mwn572m3t
false
pp3fg6e4EybziUJVfMKaDNDAOVh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s9p6fwretbk", "label": "CyfralCoot", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
mario pasquato
tyx5SFdjFIofzqAzcTSv
public
contract
1,716,676,811,527
what-percentage-of-dark-matter-is-b
mariopasquato
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtemzqYFS4zuvOtBu7Ko52uxERLtlEzFHTvhCP-noDEfACs=s96-c
What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?
nb9smw57fd
0.293698
33.081925
NO
null
0cgv9wi532kl
false
pp3fg6e4EybziUJVfMKaDNDAOVh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0h1tyunhpgtt", "label": "IsaacKing", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
mario pasquato
tyx5SFdjFIofzqAzcTSv
public
contract
1,716,677,036,660
what-percentage-of-dark-matter-is-b
mariopasquato
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtemzqYFS4zuvOtBu7Ko52uxERLtlEzFHTvhCP-noDEfACs=s96-c
What percentage of dark matter is baryonic?
nb9smw57fd
0.293698
33.081925
NO
null
r82mieqrl3
false
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I predict that AI made at the end of 2025 would be called AGI by us today, but that at the end of 2025 we'll say that it's not ", "type": "te...
singer
s4GyWK57MvM5wGvwPMhk
public
contract
1,716,677,348,654
will-we-have-an-agi-as-smart-as-a-g
singer
https://firebasestorage.…4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
amc0bhem5sp
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Qf3WzmH8yPRHWDDMoNgmB9iNNJU2", "label": "wglane", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Timothy Johnson
LqB6F0nCZNbdmcRFL4qs
public
contract
1,716,677,516,491
who-will-win-the-2024-prefontaine-c
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 Prefontaine Classic Bowerman Mile?
null
null
473.293347
NO
0066700e2413
ryil610hc2l
false
pp3fg6e4EybziUJVfMKaDNDAOVh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Making slideshows of AI generated explicit images is well within the means of current open source tools. If enough of those get uploaded that may warra...
mario pasquato
BtTGLciY0EEE01MtKwxD
public
contract
1,716,677,619,742
by-end-of-2028-will-pornhub-have-a
mariopasquato
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtemzqYFS4zuvOtBu7Ko52uxERLtlEzFHTvhCP-noDEfACs=s96-c
By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
null
0.85522
280.325296
NO
null
j1yu2xazogh
false
mceW6RagJMfIZFKlOEpis65g9Mb2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "IPL Final!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Awex
WnjjxxZ7N0ls3WJB1BXm
public
contract
1,716,677,696,074
ipl-match-winner-super-market-yes-f
Awex
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIEJSiCXiS_kZhfU5yXKmqFem_U5QpZW21S2Qrt9yAVdXM=s96-c
🏏 IPL Match Winner Super Market. “Yes” for the first team to win, “No” for the second. 50 Mana bonus per game.
null
null
2,309.689187
YES
9da0aec5cf3f
wdmkjbdfdkj
false
NuHwhn6zEFaGrZakbtiqPqMB0cJ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "be5k16qbx78", "label": "GarrettBaker", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
sbares
NYISJsNFjI3aIMGExGgo
public
contract
1,716,678,110,662
will-neuralink-successfully-enable-c5092c5cd2a1
sbares
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxzkvyIz-LOJPQwSdbXHkM-F-In2wj3gxsEipRrEw=s96-c
Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?
pm5ok7d8m9
0.45
4,566.40559
NO
null