id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
l5pr0zy8axa | false | hQbeiz4VmvY6HxxJAT87V5pFuhS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Gonna start a new movement: effective narcissism?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Mark Bowen | rvV9kDFlQ77H1hb5rBs1 | public | contract | 1,717,079,917,207 | will-narcissistic-orgying-tech-nerd | MarkBowen | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrhpHD9z-sCsnmuOnjdBUlN3oTne-OC3D7JhuvNtooLwQT=s96-c | Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills? | htpy5impm2 | 0.539481 | 256.501253 | YES | null |
lkj9oyhbzs | false | oYKXAatHp3YN6vidj2KHdCFr91d2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wxs450lvfqb",
"label": "ChrisPrichard",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | mongo | smANSajbPwRwf9ik7p82 | public | contract | 1,717,080,033,058 | which-books-in-this-list-will-i-rea | mongo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7I_X--wyVrh_ZPix4FSV8YMpbXtxCdMU-qkPeUUA=s96-c | Which books in this list will I "really like"? | wxs450lvfqb | null | 506.79318 | YES | 536d50136e9c |
mba3a7e8azd | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "he's announcing GPT-5 🚀 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | 5UzdJIyhO0QyrfJrsQGM | public | contract | 1,717,080,148,170 | what-will-be-true-of-david-lynchs-m | shankypanky | What will be true of David Lynch's mysterious June 5th announcement? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | null | null | null | |
494989r1gdk | false | ZKkL3lFRFaYfiaT9ZOdiv2iUJBM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "q2umyqspKRTNeFlcMQhjLt04A4n2",
"label": "aashiq",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | mint | cTjzuW6P6R4P0YXUTehl | public | contract | 1,717,080,170,516 | will-any-nato-nation-send-troops-to | mint | Will any NATO nation (including France) send troops to Ukraine in 2024? | null | 0.17174 | 358.408671 | NO | null | |
nkeqmqig6q | false | aitOeHRE8UeJMGdGjUFzqc9gJup2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "where is the crocodile option ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Robin Donquixote | PwBcifRV37KEJxtFEWzc | public | contract | 1,717,080,351,538 | who-is-the-by-blood-son-of-rocks-d | RobinDonquixote | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLGgec-9yNrLwv88K_8tiZcRjsYgkDKajp9nPQeqpoEX0gFBQ=s96-c | Who is the by blood son of Rocks D. Xebec? | null | null | null | null | null |
2g6uq9ysr0m | false | 9tMOYH0haQedEtscs52ovqodo3t2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lkj9oyhbzs",
"label": "mongo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Chris Prichard | smANSajbPwRwf9ik7p82 | public | contract | 1,717,080,536,127 | which-books-in-this-list-will-i-rea | ChrisPrichard | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYidkxgB2nkeLVgNFdhGolb0T_m7SDNRfGUzOifoQ=s96-c | Which books in this list will I "really like"? | wxs450lvfqb | null | null | null | null |
caqmcaoax6 | false | d6gReYVHeVNmoXadzf5mcV5W79a2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "s0125t9b0np",
"label": "TheAllMemeingEye",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | CALIGULA | rKGDO1xfx8p5DSGhPLRB | public | contract | 1,717,080,598,716 | will-my-cat-die-this-week-or-next-w | CALIGULA | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLk6Y3P6dsnk6zEUBuGCz7C5v8W1wCCHSyg0tPGCRm6fjH9ojiE=s96-c | will my cat die this week or nah? | s0125t9b0np | 50 | 22.74859 | NO | null |
cbtbn8f1het | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "this should resolve yes ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Oa8lKJXI9AZWPV2welD0bq6wzng1",
... | stefanie | WYlaWtavxx66rJ2uiHMc | public | contract | 1,717,080,624,858 | is-gpt2chatbot-made-by-openai | shankypanky | Is gpt2-chatbot made by OpenAI? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mtircolrm4g | false | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "No takers on this?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bubbles | fbSgG99mHhdUSExucOQw | public | contract | 1,717,080,701,182 | when-will-the-community-movie-be-re | Lorelai | When will the Community movie be released? | null | null | 290.852947 | YES | 974957c71b0f | |
u9hyzc6wqt | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j9bz2tklboj",
"label": "JonathanRay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bruno | BS41cNJFT3qSPLnjNKaJ | public | contract | 1,717,080,815,136 | what-will-happen-to-the-uk-before-2 | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | What will happen to the UK before 2050? | j9bz2tklboj | null | null | null | null |
kd46tq0k8zq | false | XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "puiusu83on",
"label": "JonathanRay",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Fion | BS41cNJFT3qSPLnjNKaJ | public | contract | 1,717,081,236,484 | what-will-happen-to-the-uk-before-2 | Fion | What will happen to the UK before 2050? | g3rz1l82sw | null | 267.703587 | YES | dae75b17e1ff | |
57fxa1gjufa | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Ernie | 0YuHMYeYx8mcMH1pq08p | public | contract | 1,717,081,329,749 | mizzy-serves-at-least-a-month-in-pr | Ernie | Mizzy serves at least a month in prison before 2025 | null | null | null | null | null | |
irmleo2ni7 | false | v1sXfDTUK2gOSWrK4pYrJ7boLJx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I would have put Diogenes on there.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Krantz | jZXgDYzTWCsZTGGyFFEr | public | contract | 1,717,081,369,640 | who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour | Krantz | Who will win the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ssfetnw69f | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ih9eljv0dy",
"label": "adssx",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Craig Talbert | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,081,376,637 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 166.736433 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
oq6r9b9j0ns | false | s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e4sxkc9lb7f",
"label": "ManifoldPolitics",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Quantum Gambler | xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1 | public | contract | 1,717,081,500,004 | trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican | Mirek | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055 | Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th? | e4sxkc9lb7f | null | null | null | null |
eopnag7z2 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "aella (unlisted) was predicted G but resolved R , the runner up",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"t... | chris (strutheo) | uTlSC8uAmahCXmb1M66r | public | contract | 1,717,081,622,542 | which-persons-hogwarts-house-will-b | strutheo | 🪄Which person's Hogwarts House will be the most difficult for Manifold to predict? | null | null | 680.459665 | YES | 72f58b5064a9 | |
j2c86v9sxj | false | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "irmleo2ni7",
"label": "Krantz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | houstonEuler | jZXgDYzTWCsZTGGyFFEr | public | contract | 1,717,081,691,794 | who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour | houstonEuler | Who will win the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament? | irmleo2ni7 | null | null | null | null | |
2o36dhw4gvp | false | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "p0s0r24b8np",
"label": "Panfilo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Panfilo | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,081,745,883 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Panfilo | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | p0s0r24b8np | null | 9,311.423794 | YES | 52c8a526fb05 | |
yi3ndtuaa8m | false | hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "GDI increased 1.5% compared to 1.3% for GDP",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
... | Zachariah Schwab | F7K3VjrRPTBXwpoKFCVf | public | contract | 1,717,081,810,175 | will-q1-2024-us-gdi-grow-faster-tha | ZachariahSchwab | Will Q1 2024 US GDI grow faster than GDP? | null | 0.512656 | 1,437.501609 | YES | null | |
engc8t002oq | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The Opta supercomputer predicts more Champions League glory for Madrid, who triumphed in normal time on Saturday in 55.6% of 10,000 pre-match simulatio... | Universal FC ⚽ | 4RPTODxPehmsYgONkTm0 | public | contract | 1,717,081,870,845 | will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bayern | UniversalFC | Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid? ⚽|🏆 Champions League Final | null | 0.29079 | 9,587.859691 | NO | null | |
e6hk5n1qkq | false | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "mgmfs1nz6c",
"label": "KongoLandwalker",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Eliza | XrIbNfM9iiuhRzACE8fC | public | contract | 1,717,081,886,708 | will-a-1-cent-coin-be-issued-by-the | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | Will a 1 cent coin be issued by the US government in 2030? | mgmfs1nz6c | null | null | null | null |
88cyu69w8po | false | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zysg0q86kf",
"label": "ShakedKoplewitz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Eliza | XrIbNfM9iiuhRzACE8fC | public | contract | 1,717,081,925,883 | will-a-1-cent-coin-be-issued-by-the | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | Will a 1 cent coin be issued by the US government in 2030? | 3qfaraztm26 | null | null | null | null |
lcsknbqruo | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ssfetnw69f",
"label": "CraigTalbert",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Antoine Dusséaux | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,082,092,814 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 252.313052 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
r4ahhgjkmx | false | JbR42honqBfz9TCHnHk0JGERPit2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "More about the French military trainers I mean instructors here: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"c... | $aturation | lHRfcBWCswVpBPLe0PE2 | public | contract | 1,717,082,355,734 | will-a-nato-country-put-boots-on-th | smokey | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKqNxgPFHnX0iy5ad3wtLe11iFMhuFJfWYG6Cpg1vnJvoewVQ=s96-c | Will a NATO country put boots on the ground in Ukraine before 1 Sept, 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
or517vdmtts | false | PnJEXKhw7HSN9mFQo8rwSP9E7F63 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | 0xSMW | C4WdcK1OhcDbH0AKvBdw | public | contract | 1,717,082,376,998 | what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1 | 0xSMW | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtebzQADjl9sxVe3FwAwXHh0rvywWS3WBEkCu89gmBWd7hs=s96-c | What will be TIME Magazine's 100 most influential Companies of 2024? | null | null | 60.046247 | YES | 71d593984f7a |
w5sailrstq | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "a2uuptm65cf",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Kongo Landwalker | C4WdcK1OhcDbH0AKvBdw | public | contract | 1,717,082,475,358 | what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1 | KongoLandwalker | What will be TIME Magazine's 100 most influential Companies of 2024? | 0oj6ez8my73e | null | 104.439168 | YES | 57f6b3ffdc73 | |
72g47aussr4 | false | qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm resolving this question now, a few hours early. The bug has been fixed and my streak shows 233, which is as high as it needs to go for this market.... | robm | yXryS9eo9aP5Is4ZxGYN | public | contract | 1,717,082,580,722 | will-my-streak-show-0-this-week | robm | Will my streak show 0 this week? | null | null | null | null | null | |
1vrym2gmhfc | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "lcsknbqruo",
"label": "adssx",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Craig Talbert | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,082,898,245 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 166.736433 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
vmzrqaff32 | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1u95d695yiz",
"label": "AlexCao",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Craig Talbert | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,083,006,222 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 166.736433 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
00a81o1gufpyw | false | JbR42honqBfz9TCHnHk0JGERPit2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think people born -91 will reach longevity escape velocity, so the only thing that can stop you from becoming 2100yo would be some type of kinetic de... | $aturation | 9QqJBfBd2iDe32DmQ80U | public | contract | 1,717,083,138,702 | how-will-i-die | smokey | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKqNxgPFHnX0iy5ad3wtLe11iFMhuFJfWYG6Cpg1vnJvoewVQ=s96-c | How will I die? | null | null | null | null | null |
d9phd9wu32f | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "1vrym2gmhfc",
"label": "CraigTalbert",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Antoine Dusséaux | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,083,184,135 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 252.313052 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
bnlxyjuq21c | false | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "djuejw9jzm9",
"label": "Daniel_MC",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | RLt8Q8zPq2NMouT17cIn | public | contract | 1,717,083,395,987 | will-trump-say-all-50-states-before | JoshuaB | Will Trump say all 50 states before the election? | djuejw9jzm9 | 0.310319 | -0 | YES | null | |
2axs5i7624h | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "muzv56bm0oh",
"label": "k83f86",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ian Philips | Gtv5mhjKaiLD6Bkvfhcv | public | contract | 1,717,083,507,313 | agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708 | ian | AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test] | muzv56bm0oh | null | 423.6003 | YES | 67ea62c46640 | |
ahyx8gwhbk4 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "😎",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | G8V3CsOSbiJRXMnLTfEu | public | contract | 1,717,083,521,938 | will-strutheo-slay-all-top-20-creat | strutheo | Will @strutheo slay all top 20 creators or reach 69,420 traders first ? | null | null | null | null | null | |
xd0gzehnc7n | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ahyx8gwhbk4",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chris (strutheo) | G8V3CsOSbiJRXMnLTfEu | public | contract | 1,717,083,543,141 | will-strutheo-slay-all-top-20-creat | strutheo | Will @strutheo slay all top 20 creators or reach 69,420 traders first ? | ahyx8gwhbk4 | null | null | null | null | |
3ylo255w3eo | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "39%",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | eH8wgrSOxoLQdY4PISVW | public | contract | 1,717,083,626,876 | do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5 | strutheo | 📌5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Do you think this poll will reach 500 responses by EOY 2024? (39% DONE) | null | null | null | null | null | |
plm3xmg8tpq | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "llml1f5zr0a",
"label": "colorednoise",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Antoine Dusséaux | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,083,663,558 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 252.313052 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
cwgp1fjvvk | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The banner 😬😅",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Antoine Dusséaux | xEOVfUvD9AeieOZJcP1w | public | contract | 1,717,083,722,229 | will-there-be-israeli-settlements-i | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? | null | null | null | null | null |
gtyflzdvm9 | false | 0rSFGxcgLrYIhoTRw7RPZJFjtWg2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yeah! I’ve got Udio premium. Some songs can be found @keltantoo on YT for proof",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"... | keltan | G12Ju0Fjmdaix2nJ9fNH | public | contract | 1,717,083,782,151 | will-10-people-in-the-comments-repo | keltan | Will 10 people comment saying they spent money on AI music before 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
k0rfuesqaq | false | 8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "u5iimixhylg",
"label": "MrVgpo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | dwax | kdldMvx040uWBVGpCgfj | public | contract | 1,717,083,817,875 | will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1116 | dwax | Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1116 of One Piece on May 30th? | u5iimixhylg | null | null | null | null | |
xefvu94gxs8 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "G8V3CsOSbiJRXMnLTfEu",
"label": "/Mich/will-strutheo-slay-all-top-20-creat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
... | chris (strutheo) | QIlDNkb4Gp1iIAmeZtRA | public | contract | 1,717,083,850,843 | how-many-top-creators-will-i-slay-b | strutheo | 🐲How many Top Creators will I Slay by the end of 2024? | null | null | 71.04825 | NO | 2c02d0c0bdc5 | |
xpusj584cub | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "G8V3CsOSbiJRXMnLTfEu",
"label": "/Mich/will-strutheo-slay-all-top-20-creat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
... | chris (strutheo) | tIbWsIQPM1v6Z6hwSyxj | public | contract | 1,717,083,856,784 | will-i-slay-all-20-top-creators-by | strutheo | 🐲Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2fb6hb1z0jd | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "There are diminishing returns to adding more liquidity to a market. At some point, adding extra liquidity actually makes it worse because there aren't ... | Plasma Ballin' | 8Up5Fete5pibl3970vK0 | public | contract | 1,717,083,954,595 | will-a-crystal-market-with-m1000000 | PlasmaBallin | Will a "Crystal" market with Ṁ1,000,000 of initial liquidity be created by the end of July? | null | 50 | 83.359494 | NO | null | |
ejnhpiw497l | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2",
"label": "ShakedKoplewitz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "me... | Nathan Wei | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,084,947,584 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | nathanwei | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | null | null | null | |
u6b8qeqyb3i | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | OrLYZ4e5J99n0pGDJzlE | public | contract | 1,717,085,435,473 | how-much-will-furiosa-a-mad-max-sag | Ziddletwix | How much will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) gross during its domestic opening weekend? | null | null | 1,982.547854 | NO | 1735c14f6f16 | |
8umcqhcw5 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | 3bFgDna8gP4r34zMyHFd | public | contract | 1,717,085,513,628 | weekend-box-office-number-1s-q2 | Ziddletwix | Weekend Box Office Number 1’s [Q2] | null | null | 525.889274 | YES | eb2da2bffeb7 | |
c82hdxk9j55 | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How was this trading at like 40% a couple days ago?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
... | Ben Shindel | TvgYlvYb5HX9uBzAOXnD | public | contract | 1,717,085,515,169 | did-sam-altman-abuse-annie-altman | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | In 2026, will Manifold think that Sam Altman abused Annie Altman? | null | null | null | null | null |
hzg2g794p3 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4fbj8evntf",
"label": "agabara",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bayesian | oJStcCDbR8kmkkvyNiV8 | public | contract | 1,717,085,958,248 | when-will-openai-release-a-more-cap | Bayesian | When will OpenAI release a more capable LLM? | ft3qq0zr4hj | null | 1,487.321855 | YES | e5af59030d52 | |
3byog138zrs | false | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This wasn’t even close.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null... | Simon Grayson | XPYvWhdUMLxJAihRPlG9 | public | contract | 1,717,086,041,579 | will-small-boat-crossings-be-down-y | SimonGrayson | Will small boat crossings be down year-on-year by the time the UK’s Parliament is dissolved for a general election? | null | null | null | null | null | |
hguhyi8a24u | false | ct6oydGUOWPw4mriOThe4VKvjp02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "d9phd9wu32f",
"label": "adssx",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Craig Talbert | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,086,231,925 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | CraigTalbert | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu07zX_MPxiC_Z__K153f6dF4Tly8coWnj1HWKHboRo=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 166.736433 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
kaz0gz41z0s | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "it's still possible to do this ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | stefanie | w4zfQIizCAHPN3Yv6wqh | public | contract | 1,717,086,274,581 | will-openai-patch-the-hack-that-all | shankypanky | Will OpenAI patch the "hack" that allows users to access the unreleased MacOS ChatGPT app in May? | null | 0.34 | 552.520608 | NO | null | |
enqotj91iue | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | fTwUd0HyT1xB8H9nKqDs | public | contract | 1,717,086,326,376 | will-the-first-10-trillion-be-a-com | strutheo | Will the first $10 Trillion be a company other than Apple or Microsoft? | null | null | null | null | null | |
lipqhca5o19 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | BN92tJjMrzPuRW7jcJnL | public | contract | 1,717,086,345,500 | will-the-first-10-trillion-company | strutheo | Will the first $10 Trillion company be one that started Jan 1st 2010 or later? | null | null | null | null | null | |
c3vdvew0w95 | false | 2BjZn7l2acSHgyHaFdXsStawcM12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Isaac Carruthers | IcjfxMqnuoRCf9wcXTP1 | public | contract | 1,717,086,703,374 | will-these-indexes-hit-this-high-pr | IsaacCarruthers | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcXXLFBQ4W22BzdB2pjzWmPe8QTc5dbbJiQblZf_gXrgLw=s96-c | Will these Indexes hit this high price 📈 before low price 📉 | null | null | 688.585203 | NO | 36914b554b22 |
as0ctibsxil | false | EKnSYyz71XadjA1gChNwxubpp6J3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "m9fd0pntkeh",
"label": "OliverHabryka",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Jonas Vollmer | xTMnUHNSZF0pxDIsE5Se | public | contract | 1,717,086,759,743 | by-the-end-of-2023-will-substantial | JonasVollmer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqZTipfMh8me9ID8kOWIN_e0cMRyQ68DN8Ikyk2p3E=s96-c | By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up? | 5ckxe709mw | 0 | 14,170.296108 | NO | null |
heotjckmrb | false | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "8umcqhcw5",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | JAAM | 3bFgDna8gP4r34zMyHFd | public | contract | 1,717,086,813,834 | weekend-box-office-number-1s-q2 | egroj | Weekend Box Office Number 1’s [Q2] | 8umcqhcw5 | null | null | null | null | |
4ozael3jmch | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "bold"
}
],
"text": "🏀 Get Ready to BALL BIG! 🏀",
"type": "text"
... | Predictor 🔥 | 0GIBkffKG2YGu9XzCP65 | public | contract | 1,717,086,887,651 | which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-fd3163334bf5 | Predictor | Which team will win the NBA Finals 2024? | null | null | 52,623.529828 | YES | 888d844a79ea | |
u1d4osv5snn | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Why does feed show me this as “related market”",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
... | ClubmasterTransparent | 4a4wZyG8OwmFyXSWMRZL | public | contract | 1,717,087,016,364 | manifold-leagues-megamarket-season-44e1da24b291 | ClubmasterTransparent | Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 13 (May) | null | null | null | null | null | |
npze1z6gwl7 | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4ozael3jmch",
"label": "Predictor",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ben Shindel | 0GIBkffKG2YGu9XzCP65 | public | contract | 1,717,087,342,636 | which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-fd3163334bf5 | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Which team will win the NBA Finals 2024? | 4ozael3jmch | null | 42,933.671843 | YES | 5e5ac7ca8679 |
899uzcegzqc | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | xIrSMjaccHN4kFiUF8eZ | public | contract | 1,717,087,429,011 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-9e9de7bb0a55 | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Lex Luthor? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mto0vwnief | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | EW6jnWOvvYs7PE2V050z | public | contract | 1,717,087,435,390 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-9a8636956863 | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Dr Eggman / Robotnik? | null | null | null | null | null | |
xjkj872q5n | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | aiP2O9JBpGe878W06BkW | public | contract | 1,717,087,440,000 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-4951c3118178 | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Frank Underwood? | null | null | null | null | null | |
oxk7c0k3ks | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hguhyi8a24u",
"label": "CraigTalbert",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Antoine Dusséaux | rzZr4Wa1SD5k0BZGvaSG | public | contract | 1,717,087,449,360 | -what-will-be-the-jewish-proportion-5tzgbr9rtj | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035? | 4bzlpaf4gf | null | 252.313052 | YES | xfyl9e0des |
5d8mpsgbgu | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | zxX4gkc9jFDfMZn9LLqC | public | contract | 1,717,087,468,886 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-3b08980b7bbb | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Avon Barksdale? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mdu5vtqg44 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | ymuvSkpR31B1SSO8a9ni | public | contract | 1,717,087,472,726 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-3573b20a0406 | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Scar (Lion King) ? | null | null | null | null | null | |
73bh675dkye | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | quMUocH3384OvzgHiS8U | public | contract | 1,717,087,479,194 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-ed63de0367f7 | strutheo | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Michael Jackson? | null | null | null | null | null | |
90osftfozo7 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | 3rcAKQr2545pVacv55Bz | public | contract | 1,717,087,541,571 | are-you-in-favor-of-this-tax-fat-ta | strutheo | Are you in Favor of this Tax: Fat Tax? | null | null | null | null | null | |
hcuo93vnnmu | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | AA6K5I2fWB33Cm2Fhjhk | public | contract | 1,717,087,605,097 | are-you-in-favor-of-this-tax-repeat | strutheo | Are you in Favor of this Tax: Repeater tax (NBA)? | null | null | null | null | null | |
f6pkroexelw | false | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2",
"label": "AndrewG",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | f422ZIhxUC0QqQBiaKMQ | public | contract | 1,717,087,834,248 | will-openai-still-be-doing-superali | Lorxus | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | Will OpenAI still be doing Superalignment in June 2024? | 9e6zvrbqw2e | 0.49 | 2,508.055508 | NO | null |
i212tk2ampo | false | 9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Michael | C4WdcK1OhcDbH0AKvBdw | public | contract | 1,717,087,891,727 | what-will-be-time-magazines-100-mos-1ccb89e7e3a1 | burkh4rt | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c | What will be TIME Magazine's 100 most influential Companies of 2024? | null | null | 114.685285 | YES | 46c5d201097d |
gu0cwvo5jg | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | En73gBPhyWGSikueE5o0 | public | contract | 1,717,088,058,370 | will-bitcoin-be-above-6969696-at-th-c1c45e056b01 | strutheo | Will bitcoin be above $69696.96 at the end of May? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ynduk1fiewl | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "My wife gets in an argument with the collinses about maternity leave",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],... | Jonathan Ray | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,088,177,741 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | JonathanRay | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 918.045833 | YES | b9be7b7e6aad | |
kaydjeo0kqf | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is this a tax on fat people or a tax on fatty food? Either way, I'm against it.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"... | Timothy Johnson | 3rcAKQr2545pVacv55Bz | public | contract | 1,717,088,299,820 | are-you-in-favor-of-this-tax-fat-ta | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | Are you in Favor of this Tax: Fat Tax? | null | null | null | null | null |
e7j0dnt6mtw | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "houston you got this 🙏 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | RCiDzgPymY9mp2OS05LV | public | contract | 1,717,088,396,689 | will-nvidia-close-above-1138-on-may | Bayesian | Will Nvidia close above $1138 on May 31st? | null | null | null | null | null | |
w6h47ftkq9d | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "should this kind of market be unranked and unsubsidized since it's just predicting a poll of manifold users? ",
"type": "text"
}
... | Jonathan Ray | yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP | public | contract | 1,717,088,422,286 | which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e | JonathanRay | Which of the following is true of Elon Musk? | null | null | 29,763.889258 | YES | 37f0747697e3 | |
kgjxd9b8vsr | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "npze1z6gwl7",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Predictor 🔥 | 0GIBkffKG2YGu9XzCP65 | public | contract | 1,717,088,425,955 | which-team-will-win-the-nba-finals-fd3163334bf5 | Predictor | Which team will win the NBA Finals 2024? | 4ozael3jmch | null | 52,623.529828 | YES | 888d844a79ea | |
4zdxc8ue80q | false | 8K7OokTvKUWJ8OjAucDKG90Yi4H2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zgdsukxzf1",
"label": "Noit",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | GooGhoul | Dg65t0iMagw37ACIBARy | public | contract | 1,717,088,907,296 | uk-general-election-which-party-wil-2aeaed32e06f | GooGhoul | UK General Election: Which party will win in Boston and Skegness? | 5wft6b54mwj | null | null | null | null | |
40d61thkp03 | false | QQInWv7nHJgbmN67E7QlHfQDkO42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "uc3wbwkrc7f",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Dave K | 7XpKDpeKw1paYi1IGR3Y | public | contract | 1,717,089,342,262 | what-will-the-low-end-of-my-pdoom-b | DaveK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2R6SvkbqD9GkJI_SN-kCZntRToJnhbIGK4scrO=s96-c | What will the low end of my p(doom) be after LessOnline + Manifest ? | 15su2bi1lxf | null | null | null | null |
rq33pnmf1k | false | 9gBkOzYZQAUG7Mj7EFTFFza0lw22 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think AGI makes astronauts almost redundant for space exploration. We will only send people into space for four reasons: 1) exploration of human psyc... | Jan | Yy3yScfu9VK2zaQtfsmE | public | contract | 1,717,089,533,382 | will-over-1000-people-live-permanen | Jan53274 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLZcSW6bpjqDQvELRglfn-UDKtyWOEMRwTOdJHuRLELfCA=s96-c | Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050? | null | 0.353658 | 289.467081 | NO | null |
mtyc9c2536 | false | DgiY4whXdTOHJyM3Qn0vcEsEcCD2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Antoine Dusséaux | 2yFjVaOYgeEwjWvmVbCK | public | contract | 1,717,089,611,122 | will-as-many-or-more-countries-reco | adssx | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu8p4k4KE9xrnxs6Iop5Df3i3SjHGfXZPYd0NPoUvA=s96-c | Will as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027? | null | 0.195471 | 94.465832 | NO | null |
fm7e9ymcxyi | false | 7ZUzSoFRd0SABh2p63Gp2Gcnr1u1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ab9jkfk4rv",
"label": "SaviorofPlant",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Michael Lo | D5b8H9yUWbE3wRSov3VO | public | contract | 1,717,089,620,970 | will-i-get-a-software-engineering-j-lgsrxz2nab | lomichael | Will I get a software engineering job within 3 months? | ab9jkfk4rv | null | null | null | null | |
ptp2vnrub7 | false | lg0za1E37yR4kGP5rcsc5sGUQW73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ynp5dd3p50h",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Jeff Kaufman | xA5k0OoRuGyVgZ7TrGJ1 | public | contract | 1,717,089,813,866 | trump-vs-biden-odds-will-republican | JeffKaufman | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6Od8vuN4D1xT20AJN03oeG7Gd36qcbp8ZXuiLRxA=s96-c | Trump vs Biden Odds: Will Republicans lead in the Election Betting Odds party average on June 15th? | e4sxkc9lb7f | null | null | null | null |
r2f10jtmu5 | false | GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Early polling results have ANC at 43% (",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"... | cshunter | Ruzlct60WpVvKknEgrzb | public | contract | 1,717,089,848,480 | will-the-anc-receive-less-than-50-o | cash | Will the ANC receive less than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | null | null | null | null | null | |
jdbcn1ji6kf | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "trading in the TIME market was a loss leader, bailed out by my trades in the TIME time market ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"typ... | Ziddletwix | Puz9gEnTqCSOQNxhgsm2 | public | contract | 1,717,090,050,420 | will-the-time-100-most-influential | Ziddletwix | Will the TIME 100 Most Influential Companies of 2024 list actually come out in May as promised? | lia8m460ac | 0.796463 | 10,253.877548 | YES | null | |
2zqjycr69r3 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm tempted to not count clear coinflips even if they are ranked. I don't think they should be ranked if they are used to coinflip. stocks / sports gam... | Bayesian | GEWijCSPAVtCHoGkfk0L | public | contract | 1,717,090,129,417 | will-anyone-profit-by-at-least-x-on | Bayesian | Will anyone profit by at least X on a single market in 2024? | null | null | 291.53582 | YES | ab6ec42957d4 | |
92c02bowuoe | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "it's not really the spirit with which I made the market, and all that. not sure though. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | Bayesian | GEWijCSPAVtCHoGkfk0L | public | contract | 1,717,090,182,433 | will-anyone-profit-by-at-least-x-on | Bayesian | Will anyone profit by at least X on a single market in 2024? | 2zqjycr69r3 | null | 120 | YES | f41cdfd7a3fc | |
ft2thqfldx | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "FTS was installed today. 6 days before earliest launch.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"att... | JRP | 6RJffBxB1hrIdQJI057e | public | contract | 1,717,090,520,917 | how-many-days-after-into-may-will-s | parhizj | How many days into May will Starship flight 4 will happen? | null | null | 117.129382 | YES | 3b5054d39a7b | |
9c0h3oe3pju | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "51e6c9fxyq7",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel Filan | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,090,560,520 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | DanielFilan | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | s6d2cqoebsa | null | 217.46688 | NO | f6e62954da91 | |
i1e4r9dhmne | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "51e6c9fxyq7",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel Filan | KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0 | public | contract | 1,717,090,643,480 | good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr | DanielFilan | Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week? | s6d2cqoebsa | null | 217.46688 | NO | f6e62954da91 | |
5v8hchtyc28 | false | PcmJqrSd5HN56RpdSmy0UjNSSMl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Noit | lf55iLdGhghaPAp7m1eI | public | contract | 1,717,090,668,905 | how-many-mps-will-defect-to-another | Noit | How many MPs will defect to another party in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
u9mehkhciji | false | hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How much is significant?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Garrett Baker | 4Pmjnk2MT301kTCTHjoL | public | contract | 1,717,090,850,648 | 6-an-alternative-to-the-transformer | GarrettBaker | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c | 6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption. | null | 0.584136 | 405.674366 | NO | null |
f4r77uafju4 | false | PcmJqrSd5HN56RpdSmy0UjNSSMl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4zdxc8ue80q",
"label": "GooGhoul",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Noit | Dg65t0iMagw37ACIBARy | public | contract | 1,717,090,935,511 | uk-general-election-which-party-wil-2aeaed32e06f | Noit | UK General Election: Which party will win in Boston and Skegness? | 5wft6b54mwj | null | null | null | null | |
rmkevau37s | false | mezmUpPpyxarKrHxAs0k07Y1bVc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3",
"label": "SemioticRivalry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "me... | Stop Punting | RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH | public | contract | 1,717,092,374,695 | manifold-american-english-pronuncia | StopPunting | Manifold - (American) English Pronunciation Guide | null | null | null | null | null | |
r7cpge4jz8 | false | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2rbfnmcy2vs",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Isaac King | o8TvlRRQyQtgeCpOdtn5 | public | contract | 1,717,092,580,295 | if-manifold-begins-allowing-realmon | IsaacKing | If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve? | 2rbfnmcy2vs | null | null | null | null | |
7s6btg0fmkh | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Wait what, did the order change",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH | public | contract | 1,717,092,632,538 | manifold-american-english-pronuncia | Bayesian | Manifold - (American) English Pronunciation Guide | null | null | 121.309336 | NO | b9qqsmck9w | |
o7x8eorhbve | false | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yeah it doesn't have to do anything past drawing a single pentagon.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | Isaac King | HynIom2k85qg7GlU4gfC | public | contract | 1,717,092,650,953 | will-any-image-model-be-able-to-dra | IsaacKing | Will any image model be able to draw a pentagon before 2025? | joriwflu4n | null | null | null | null | |
h3xzltnnv5 | false | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9kqsgg85zvs",
"label": "ChrisThomas",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bubbles | aoFVJLgtMkMsc3HHVIwD | public | contract | 1,717,092,654,584 | what-news-stories-of-the-2020s-will | Lorelai | What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s? | y2biynvoj0g | null | 279.196376 | YES | 69317bbbbd8f | |
l6uxcfrdbme | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "oh seems like you swapped them. I approve.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH | public | contract | 1,717,092,684,787 | manifold-american-english-pronuncia | Bayesian | Manifold - (American) English Pronunciation Guide | 7s6btg0fmkh | null | 121.309336 | NO | b9qqsmck9w | |
m4vh9d20y4b | false | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "as0ctibsxil",
"label": "JonasVollmer",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Isaac King | xTMnUHNSZF0pxDIsE5Se | public | contract | 1,717,092,786,406 | by-the-end-of-2023-will-substantial | IsaacKing | By the end of 2023, will substantial evidence emerge that leaders in EA knew about (or had strong suspicions of) SBF/FTX's unethical investing practices and chose to cover it up? | 5ckxe709mw | 0 | 0 | YES | null | |
3wjcvg8623p | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "just got off an info call for the program, and figured out that I'm a \"Primary\" (somehow missed that originally), rather than an \"Alternate\". Worki... | Pat Scott🩴 | vZiCpQOF0A3JEM5DfgaM | public | contract | 1,717,092,832,677 | will-i-work-in-antarctica-this-year | Stralor | Will I work in Antarctica this year? Which parts of the process will happen? | null | null | 175.723132 | YES | 45a0ee9f0e5b |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.