id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b8qzcp6d86p | false | q2umyqspKRTNeFlcMQhjLt04A4n2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I don't know what you mean by \"equally valid\", but that is a possible interpretation. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | aashiq | HynIom2k85qg7GlU4gfC | public | contract | 1,717,109,527,304 | will-any-image-model-be-able-to-dra | aashiq | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4VZlz6mNajaBLii3A0z76YIPyr0zXxzVWxdAy8=s96-c | Will any image model be able to draw a pentagon before 2025? | joriwflu4n | 0.651352 | 580.367467 | NO | null |
3l7r43nkqhe | false | yv3waCUZ4GWBrDznjtSkIF7QL1k2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I find this convincing: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
... | Balasar | rwb8spHLhFTFd9GtmEza | public | contract | 1,717,109,777,526 | will-the-us-remove-its-restrictions | Balasar | Will the US remove its restrictions on allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to target inside Russia by July 1st? | null | null | null | null | null | |
y13rb03l6b | false | yv3waCUZ4GWBrDznjtSkIF7QL1k2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3l7r43nkqhe",
"label": "Balasar",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Balasar | rwb8spHLhFTFd9GtmEza | public | contract | 1,717,109,844,635 | will-the-us-remove-its-restrictions | Balasar | Will the US remove its restrictions on allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to target inside Russia by July 1st? | 3l7r43nkqhe | null | null | null | null | |
h14pri2wn9c | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "325 reviews. Just 2 ! more fresh could get over 90%.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null... | Christopher Randles | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,109,857,293 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 6,169.042671 | YES | 52c8a526fb05 |
3bfkx7i1n44 | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "z0nhj913hgq",
"label": "Tumbles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,110,132,736 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Joshua | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 240,594.177304 | YES | e06cf30461f6 | |
1n2bvbneqf9 | false | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hzg2g794p3",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Chris Billington | oJStcCDbR8kmkkvyNiV8 | public | contract | 1,717,110,225,606 | when-will-openai-release-a-more-cap | chrisjbillington | When will OpenAI release a more capable LLM? | ft3qq0zr4hj | null | 13,854.824598 | NO | f063276cd339 | |
7lj0n34ypp3 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | WrJNShaZhXrx1Emyh7VP | public | contract | 1,717,110,371,453 | will-trump-live-to-see-joe-biden-hu | strutheo | Will Trump live to see Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, or Hillary Clinton found guilty of a crime? | null | null | null | null | null | |
aluinyf6du | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3bfkx7i1n44",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,110,375,600 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Joshua | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 240,594.177304 | YES | e06cf30461f6 | |
3kx4z4dph65 | false | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Since he’s a convicted felon I don’t think he can possess a gun? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"c... | Joshua | 5DEMnZNVs2JW8gGKHSdh | public | contract | 1,717,110,469,079 | will-trump-be-photographed-holding | JoshuaB | Will Trump be photographed holding a gun before election day? | null | 0.408686 | 1,046.989647 | NO | null | |
xdr8r7516cn | false | R1FYWUk3bveksTL1k9kJCmuJjey1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I intended to halt trading when a verdict was reached, but I don’t see how to do that.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "par... | zaperrer | a5Ialv2XlHTcMZWxUgP4 | public | contract | 1,717,110,934,787 | will-trump-be-found-guilty-will-tru | zaperrer | Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase? | null | null | null | null | null | |
l5i9ibg09xo | false | e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "en8unnaqqw",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Timothy Johnson | eN2nn1SkhmEQ8DIJj8LG | public | contract | 1,717,111,268,826 | will-china-send-pandas-to-the-us-by-eef82e32ce25 | TimothyJohnson5c16 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c | When will China send pandas to the US? | en8unnaqqw | null | 304.83358 | YES | 0a0960c41826 |
n1eyv950m4 | false | vrPa0bHD3MQ7QGore2pXulifTwh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i put this at 30%. twitter is going to use ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
... | Campbell Hutcheson | gdphXxSp9NqDJJDuhWFp | public | contract | 1,717,111,359,920 | will-midjourney-have-xtwitter-integ | CampbellHutcheson | Will Midjourney have X/Twitter integration by 2026? | null | 0.57 | 102.33767 | NO | null | |
ccnpjvmse3v | false | RK6Nd7IBfMVOcLekfqcN9Ys17qJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Are you aware that he doesn't contest enough seats to even become prime minister? Why waste 4 mana?",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Peter Njeim | YaB5L4NTfzHMOq7dJrRl | public | contract | 1,717,111,390,920 | who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-f13eee1bee08 | PeterNjeim | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKEfIjg6agfzK10gUG7Pht9z6y3O1nV87K7pQwUqKf_0HE=s96-c | Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election? | null | null | null | null | null |
10edozyza23 | false | vrPa0bHD3MQ7QGore2pXulifTwh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i am 20% on this because i don’t think the issue will be framed this way, but as job loss, etc…",
"type": "text"
}
],
"ty... | Campbell Hutcheson | nOXCmJFNsLx08PjOc4Qk | public | contract | 1,717,111,558,639 | in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big | CampbellHutcheson | In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion? | null | null | null | null | null | |
m4gxcqkehqc | false | oNShNEPoPcYuHlt1qLDI4h0aanq2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "trkcbab5et",
"label": "AustinPlatt",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Riley | Iv8fcNBVqPpWtYYkOB1A | public | contract | 1,717,111,851,265 | how-many-seats-will-the-labour-part-83e146bac5d4 | Riley12 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJGeBzVZ_qeAFxPlHJlOK7i-rFKw0rHA8xyQd0CcpRW-w=s96-c | UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? | xqrz8sggbad | null | null | null | null |
trxhh10cdu | false | PAbRiiLh2KVClsU5dtGJKD6lkTZ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | CyfralCoot | l6u8krLxwMazidXcOxYC | public | contract | 1,717,111,857,851 | what-would-happen-in-minecraft-121 | CyfralCoot | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c | What would happen in Minecraft 1.21? [Add answers] | null | null | 443.630136 | NO | ce782e65090c |
8a6luud94ei | false | a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Odds are a little high given the number of non-qualifying alternative phrasings they could use e.g. Trump is convicted, Trump guilty, Trump found guilt... | The All Memeing Eye ♠️ | 5qsRisqOvy94WjGq5lq3 | public | contract | 1,717,111,885,930 | what-2-word-phrases-will-appear-in | TheAllMemeingEye | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c | What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 29.798471 | NO | 284e00f24cb6 |
uktrbup8ozp | false | HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "c27m3lq9t",
"label": "NateWatson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel | 0r7CYWde6DojE7zo3Fwe | public | contract | 1,717,112,347,332 | if-trump-is-convicted-in-the-hush-m | Daniel_MC | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c | If trump is convicted in the Hush Money case, will he successfully appeal? | 4wmewj3dx8 | null | null | null | null |
zajwrx4ynu | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "manifest hasn't even started mate",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | hSJ8ZwqC2M71ch7NppnR | public | contract | 1,717,112,423,540 | will-i-go-to-manifest-2024 | nikki | Will I go to Manifest 2024? (Jun 7-9) | null | 1 | 71.257287 | YES | null | |
iza5vnqtrl | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zajwrx4ynu",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | chris (strutheo) | hSJ8ZwqC2M71ch7NppnR | public | contract | 1,717,112,637,302 | will-i-go-to-manifest-2024 | strutheo | Will I go to Manifest 2024? (Jun 7-9) | zajwrx4ynu | 1 | 2,513.786858 | YES | null | |
rwo20u5f0tp | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "mod can unresolve if they want , my bad",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | hSJ8ZwqC2M71ch7NppnR | public | contract | 1,717,112,663,032 | will-i-go-to-manifest-2024 | strutheo | Will I go to Manifest 2024? (Jun 7-9) | zajwrx4ynu | 1 | 2,513.786858 | YES | null | |
afzgqslo9d | false | n1ZFS428CKRTVF5xiAJJHsfGfss2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "trxhh10cdu",
"label": "CyfralCoot",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Najawin | l6u8krLxwMazidXcOxYC | public | contract | 1,717,112,752,621 | what-would-happen-in-minecraft-121 | Najawin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIeT2AGuhQ3RJ_aXRU0h-DIVlDI88KHt7zuAy_NJ6l5=s96-c | What would happen in Minecraft 1.21? [Add answers] | trxhh10cdu | null | 45.416667 | NO | d615ae680f66 |
7gmb7pgxwjv | false | D3MeAINv5uMz6cDoiGSOcU1U1TG3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm sad that I can't add \"The US made Covid-19 in a lab in China.\"",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],... | chaos | c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS | public | contract | 1,717,112,951,579 | what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr | chaos | What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) | null | null | null | null | null | |
l73twh77sl | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "VIN in 12,000 range being collected",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"mark... | Christopher Randles | C3RfAM2MloM2RbS2Rsng | public | contract | 1,717,112,971,888 | will-tesla-deliver-more-than-5000-c-8b7a1ab72742 | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Tesla deliver more than 5000 Cybertrucks in 2024? | null | 0.96473 | 1,505.254692 | YES | null |
x23022ih45c | false | Z6cqvFCKXFbGZRpKuZTqKAhUyHI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "no elong musk is going to rename it rizzler",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dennis Zhou | TzLFeXvVPuS7d7xgxunI | public | contract | 1,717,113,093,207 | will-twitter-still-exist-by-end-of | DennisZhou | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKMBwpIZq4y_rd63h_3-TJANi0BlCIDUANBrsHjXpnh=s96-c | Will Twitter still exist as "Twitter"? (2024) | null | null | null | null | null |
ecxpwfbcmhw | false | TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ping. Last day of May tomorrow!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | John Carpenter | VBurppkKtEMwvn4PlsAo | public | contract | 1,717,113,245,487 | when-will-the-stock-price-of-aapl-c | JohnCarpenter | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c | When will AAPL stock close above $200 for the first time? | null | null | 174.634804 | NO | 300aeae17127 |
9i5xxl1da2q | false | TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ping. Last day of May tomorrow!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | John Carpenter | LUc7Y5LFGmyyy8VhNdWo | public | contract | 1,717,113,254,913 | when-will-the-stock-price-of-msft-c | JohnCarpenter | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c | When will MSFT stock close above $450 for the first time? | null | null | 539.740497 | NO | e6057a80c270 |
ejuxkjln1uo | false | TUvm26ov7fefFj7KYBSHuE49s2M2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ping. Last day of May tomorrow!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | John Carpenter | pPSEBYjVZkP6ewkMacPj | public | contract | 1,717,113,266,870 | when-will-goog-stock-close-above-20 | JohnCarpenter | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLbnMbgGdE9ZUUqzpL2THIy9BWVUALl8URxyyYemF9Ib6JghmvmNA=s96-c | When will GOOG stock close above $200 for the first time? | null | null | 599.15926 | NO | f5c45dec6dd3 |
58ahzvhmdp7 | false | ciKwLsv9BzN60pzDcExop0PSlW82 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "VSoJiHHO5rZ9DKCdMHxpBAsvY233",
"label": "TeriDiPiano",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Anon User | PbuCceCTLlOMwDDmPkUR | public | contract | 1,717,113,440,872 | will-donald-trump-be-found-guilty-o-39b7200958b3 | AnonUser | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLD2CvAyHFcLXRaMRcgzmZAHRAiIEoOUtG5VlT07dDM=s96-c | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any charges in the April NY trial? | null | 0.99 | 1,554.567107 | YES | null |
6imr6e2awxi | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7gmb7pgxwjv",
"label": "chaos",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Plasma Ballin' | c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS | public | contract | 1,717,113,821,246 | what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr | PlasmaBallin | What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) | 7gmb7pgxwjv | null | 292.998885 | NO | cde7ed30deb3 | |
6uofjx5ws53 | false | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Co1qWo2X2RV7ZfGSS46o",
"label": "MarkIngraham",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | ismellpillows | fovo3TFMXjJLhkL1hw9G | public | contract | 1,717,113,861,464 | will-an-ai-get-a-perfect-sat-score | ismellpillows | Will an AI get a perfect SAT score before 2025? | RmGsET1EBvO1s9Ynpp5k | null | null | null | null | |
dr0vedi2lvw | false | zAL350xo8WWharbbXW10qIyZiA32 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "tu36pk40yxq",
"label": "GG",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Ricardo Meneghin Filho | Sjne7uTMCAsKV5O2cgC6 | public | contract | 1,717,113,883,524 | will-openai-sanction-porn-on-at-lea | RicardoMeneghin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxa_JaSW_ntGFcNuOD7ZyeYTRMcpcd3CmFMW8yVmvn4=s96-c | Will OpenAI sanction porn on at least one of its models before 2025? | qy37gdhwwfc | 0.195025 | 356.712635 | NO | null |
69rm6zf0jab | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Dan | O7nk1SONGBS1JBltXwvx | public | contract | 1,717,113,899,357 | will-we-find-out-by-the-end-of-2024 | DanMan314 | Will we find out by the end of 2024 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? | null | null | null | null | null | |
cxvwz6uoip5 | false | SrKm9OghX8hoxUmrztZJe88oplQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6xgrver1d6n",
"label": "ManifoldPolitics",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Michael Mars | Iv8fcNBVqPpWtYYkOB1A | public | contract | 1,717,113,956,499 | how-many-seats-will-the-labour-part-83e146bac5d4 | ooe133 | UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? | 6xgrver1d6n | null | null | null | null | |
07jiu1o31vcr | false | 28c5p2EeLGMMRhICPUbpDm2A2il2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "18avijxiamp",
"label": "ZviMowshowitz",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Vitor | Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY | public | contract | 1,717,113,984,463 | how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d | VitorBosshard | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2E37JwpTiA4tIhpgQ_jOAY4uQ2Vgv3jJXF8rIs=s96-c | How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end? | gn79ipahmij | null | 1,599.112019 | YES | b0117080de6b |
a8yhq16uteg | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The Russian networks are almost certainly connected to the government but even if that doesn't count, Spamoflauge has direct attribution:",
"... | Dan | O7nk1SONGBS1JBltXwvx | public | contract | 1,717,114,097,127 | will-we-find-out-by-the-end-of-2024 | DanMan314 | Will we find out by the end of 2024 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? | 69rm6zf0jab | 0.921379 | 4,132.491709 | YES | null | |
oadgh9mzu9k | false | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "SqOJYkeySMQjqP3UAypw6DxPx4Z2",
"label": "Shump",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Dan | XFvN7kR5QkFQiFLylkGL | public | contract | 1,717,114,338,522 | will-we-find-out-before-2025-about | DanMan314 | Will we find out before 2025 about a nation state using Generative LLMs for generating propaganda messages? | null | 0.896951 | 2,665.593391 | YES | null | |
uuxeuxv5gpk | false | D3MeAINv5uMz6cDoiGSOcU1U1TG3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6imr6e2awxi",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | chaos | c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS | public | contract | 1,717,114,426,376 | what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr | chaos | What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) | 7gmb7pgxwjv | null | 105.601989 | NO | 9a8e4e6fe2f2 | |
vcvblc2mdvn | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Bayesian | aGkuWqGUL0sQFaR03sps | public | contract | 1,717,114,579,598 | will-elon-musk-be-googled-more-than | Bayesian | Will Elon Musk be googled more than Kanye West on any day in May, in the US? | ml7nk6fzdkh | 0.451635 | 522.639063 | YES | null | |
4m4fqrrsheb | false | wbXNSHyBlFb22U3jMxheKBoOXYn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Appeal will take a long time (and an appeal is guaranteed). Are you saying that you will wait for the appeal outcome or does filing the appeal immediat... | Chris V | ynVXMvvaemmypx9EeFUE | public | contract | 1,717,114,852,523 | will-trump-face-any-significant-rep | voodoo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJvMxwuK2gMCy5Z5egEg2drhsz4s5lov7Jd_WwypFTydJw=s96-c | Will Trump Face Incarceration or Political Restrictions from Hush Money Verdict? (Fines/Appeals = No Repercussions) | null | null | null | null | null |
nmj7q4lq6mk | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2",
"label": "AlexLiesman",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,114,864,186 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Ziddletwix | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | null | 0.15486 | 165.414197 | NO | null | |
967sqcztpqu | false | EKnSYyz71XadjA1gChNwxubpp6J3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "aluinyf6du",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Jonas Vollmer | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,114,867,659 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | JonasVollmer | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqZTipfMh8me9ID8kOWIN_e0cMRyQ68DN8Ikyk2p3E=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 12,172.157555 | NO | 51e4cacd136a |
9lkfw228ouh | false | vrPa0bHD3MQ7QGore2pXulifTwh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i put this at 70% because gpt-4-0613 had very weak performance",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"ty... | Campbell Hutcheson | CsFFqpYZBlrxTWE82P2L | public | contract | 1,717,114,952,384 | will-xai-release-a-model-that-match | CampbellHutcheson | Will xAI release a model that matches or surpasses GPT4 performance in 2024? | null | 0.436754 | 830.185483 | YES | null | |
7ax6y8nr5wn | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | rRq1RHMuxGDl7CSf2lDY | public | contract | 1,717,114,991,805 | will-trump-take-the-stand-in-his-ne | Ziddletwix | Will Trump take the stand in his New York trial? | null | 0.014614 | 1,012.931774 | NO | null | |
40tv4qu59oa | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2",
"label": "SimonGrayson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Ziddletwix | EWYiuhwpz7bgGQ1s1kQZ | public | contract | 1,717,115,025,744 | when-will-there-be-a-verdict-in-don | Ziddletwix | When will there be a verdict in Donald Trump's hush-money trial (the Stormy Daniels trial)? | null | null | null | null | null | |
hsmpw879hg | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "a8yhq16uteg",
"label": "DanMan314",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | jackson polack | O7nk1SONGBS1JBltXwvx | public | contract | 1,717,115,070,902 | will-we-find-out-by-the-end-of-2024 | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will we find out by the end of 2024 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? | 69rm6zf0jab | null | null | null | null |
2welu6t2f62 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | 6npe7oBAYhJLzx1lKTSx | public | contract | 1,717,115,073,631 | will-any-of-the-trump-hush-money-tr | Ziddletwix | Will any of the Trump Hush Money trial jurors have their identities leaked during the trial? | null | 0.01 | 256.422854 | NO | null | |
pl6v3ogomi | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | 6K2T0SqLSoIKrqqBJSPR | public | contract | 1,717,115,098,222 | when-will-trumps-hush-money-trial-e | Ziddletwix | When will Trump’s Hush Money trial end? | null | null | null | null | null | |
izzl6q9bwqi | false | vrPa0bHD3MQ7QGore2pXulifTwh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i hold this at 20%. i see the potential acquirers as amzn or google or msft but i don’t think anth leadership is looking for an exit.",
"type... | Campbell Hutcheson | I9suP3JFMAHWHwYRZgpm | public | contract | 1,717,115,214,100 | will-anthropic-be-acquired-by-anoth | CampbellHutcheson | Will Anthropic be acquired by another company before the end of 2025? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mcl2o318lar | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "91LrGIYMw4WP8OVeSNNq7Rj8inr1",
"label": "FreshFrier",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention... | Ziddletwix | 1cqvrGEjoSyvysZFHU5M | public | contract | 1,717,115,263,861 | conditional-on-not-being-convicted | Ziddletwix | Conditional on NOT being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2mxhbj2r109 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2",
"label": "LivInTheLookingGlass",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type"... | Ziddletwix | QS0iI55ksxUEXW6RxoAA | public | contract | 1,717,115,345,652 | conditional-on-trump-being-convicte | Ziddletwix | Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, in what year is the first such instance? | null | null | null | null | null | |
eihzx19h6j | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2",
"label": "Gigacasting",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | pShvyfkgRnOI5KeSxjlc | public | contract | 1,717,115,431,803 | will-trump-be-convicted-in-ny | Ziddletwix | Will Trump be convicted? (in NY) | null | 0.950589 | 2,581.642704 | YES | null | |
y25e4k9lf3b | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2",
"label": "Gigacasting",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | SI19wtFDgBbpWXaO2J3l | public | contract | 1,717,115,452,835 | will-a-jury-convict-trump | Ziddletwix | Will a jury convict Trump? | null | null | null | null | null | |
2y38nljf2vj | false | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Gabrielle | 7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ | public | contract | 1,717,115,457,703 | will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f | Gabrielle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024? | null | 0.735062 | 10,566.524713 | YES | null |
58r18pfxysh | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Guys you are not going to BELIEVE This: ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
... | Ernie | mth3wOm79KoBN510tRBM | public | contract | 1,717,115,648,734 | boat-owners-only-sign-correct-inter | Ernie | "Boat Owners Only" sign - correct interpretation? at Morro Bay, CA | null | null | null | null | null | |
x4r29rcoija | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,115,818,931 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Ziddletwix | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | 0.15486 | 696.742482 | NO | null | |
8zxumg9z76j | false | HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lang... | Daniel | HSFwQ8o6np4QWbvBWPZg | public | contract | 1,717,115,909,800 | what-will-trumps-sentence-for-his-f | Daniel_MC | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c | What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include? | null | null | null | null | null |
i5sczc8uigf | false | HYKavv7hgWhxCCsziWEifoxOdjA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lang... | Daniel | 76LbHWetZ0pDRgEfRAJX | public | contract | 1,717,115,983,280 | will-trump-be-found-guilty-of-at-le | Daniel_MC | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaQGTfUoEbrPqZn0U9_IjEWIouF64_J7fnacyXbRg=s96-c | Will Trump be found guilty of at least one of the 34 felony counts in the NY Stormy Daniels hush money trial? | null | null | null | null | null |
807f6zhy47 | false | aE5DNen5abQazD0RlpGCtTUws2k2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Extremely glad to have lost my bet on this one. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Andrew Brown | Bzd2WtlFSBJHHMpPxGnY | public | contract | 1,717,115,987,183 | how-will-the-donald-trumps-stormy-d | AndrewBrown | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJeN_apmwR7XocElja1WS8Y9d_4jY6bRKmt-bVdD_cr6FE=s96-c | How will Donald Trump's Stormy Daniels/Hush Money felony trial end? | null | null | 19,760.528952 | YES | 80554db8df09 |
jsj7omh7sf | false | rKGG8x9f3NYkkSFpcFCenVWMHQT2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This confused me, because the question inherently supposes that they ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
... | Ben Pace | gxhKEFlUMqGMRaVKs8hX | public | contract | 1,717,116,464,006 | which-of-the-names-below-will-i-rec | BenPace | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6lp2JF_7byGczdD1yJRQB9yaHHS2GRuuZJGOin=s96-c | Which of the names below will I receive significant evidence are NOT bound by non-disparagement agreements by EOY 2024 | null | null | -0 | NO | u2357zn9pf |
prp7intj8r | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "x4r29rcoija",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,116,944,077 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | PlasmaBallin | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | null | null | null | null | |
rd8xtmvhgmi | false | 2LMuQFb5J8RviL9GM0JmwQcHQhd2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "onbur6cuie",
"label": "KeenenW",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | emilio | rpINgNCUuLZiHkvZkGjZ | public | contract | 1,717,117,072,418 | major-league-baseball-mlb-regular-s | emilio | Major League Baseball (MLB) ⚾Regular Season Matches | hvmubunsvd | null | 78.228695 | NO | 2a2dc6be3b13 | |
9dhyiim3t | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "prp7intj8r",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,117,291,290 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Ziddletwix | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | 0.02562 | 696.742482 | NO | null | |
05jviez37l3 | false | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "prp7intj8r",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Eliza | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,117,343,287 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | null | null | null | null |
rokskdjg7l | false | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "05jviez37l3",
"label": "Eliza",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Eliza | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,117,376,782 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | null | null | null | null |
g3dymoq65x8 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "05jviez37l3",
"label": "Eliza",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Ziddletwix | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,117,392,238 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Ziddletwix | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | 0.02562 | 696.742482 | NO | null | |
khj1bs0k8pp | false | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "njptc43imwg",
"label": "GabeGarboden",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Predictor 🔥 | DmHNc6MvEibyaGNw3YoP | public | contract | 1,717,117,499,256 | will-i-take-delivery-of-a-cybertruc | Predictor | Will I take delivery of a Cybertruck before June 1st 2024 | h7kj3s9dk9s | 0.897216 | 1,687.76656 | YES | null | |
6scd4rzltj4 | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2y38nljf2vj",
"label": "Gabrielle",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel Tello | 7dydRYW81ShM8d6w6bwJ | public | contract | 1,717,117,548,284 | will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024? | 2y38nljf2vj | 0.75 | 150.135211 | YES | null |
m7rwxa72xa | false | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "f9lv3ahiflc",
"label": "MattCWilson",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | komplexkonjugat | K8w4E6d3R0M44v3UPSaD | public | contract | 1,717,117,814,463 | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-90 | komplexkonjugat | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 90) | f9lv3ahiflc | null | null | null | null | |
ev1ijmffnk | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "967sqcztpqu",
"label": "JonasVollmer",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Joshua | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,117,905,189 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Joshua | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 240,594.177304 | YES | e06cf30461f6 | |
lnu45w42el | false | o6Zhs9n8GzUHt5BarOcse9kinHG2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Abhishek Tripathi | i6CKOXAMfRYYzxP0nKQ0 | public | contract | 1,717,118,075,445 | will-infer-still-exist-and-have-act | AbhishekTripathi | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKyqD1or9T4LH86oIkKcQA3W9GlSiPNAyxKpUPgyvrp9NlhSQ=s96-c | Will INFER still exist and have active forecasting at the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
oilqdcinr3i | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2",
"label": "Joshua",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Charlie Bauer | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,118,119,247 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | CharlieBauer | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 391.433289 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
j5bw26d7gam | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Plenty of Celtics limit orders up!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ben Shindel | y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx | public | contract | 1,717,118,350,721 | who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship? | null | null | 16,082.311094 | YES | 734a0a905106 |
3m54rajv1lj | false | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Next turn:",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text... | komplexkonjugat | K8w4E6d3R0M44v3UPSaD | public | contract | 1,717,118,411,219 | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-90 | komplexkonjugat | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 90) | null | null | null | null | null | |
qf5e2e473o | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "2ygidn2bp98",
"label": "Odoacre",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ernie | Cf2B2dBEkOgn1QCcB0Rc | public | contract | 1,717,118,468,930 | will-ai-replace-jurors-in-trials | Ernie | Will AI replace jurors in trials? | qbxdcva1v8j | 0.132202 | 73.659128 | YES | null | |
zwht4bfopbi | false | X7eEaQER2RauGtssmqMAv5PbFln2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Would a feature that identifies commonly used tasks/workflows and generates or suggests their automated/scripted execution count?",
"type": "... | Daniel Tello | dihMWMgwydXbxglBjTbE | public | contract | 1,717,118,539,184 | will-apple-announce-their-own-gener-0ad078f7d497 | deagol | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6BsfsqAl7jpz1-555S-MyDfZq8L-o_pMzd20B1Yw=s96-c | Will Apple announce their own Generative AI model at WWDC 2024? | null | 0.668528 | 100.425315 | YES | null |
3dopp6h4rea | false | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "oilqdcinr3i",
"label": "CharlieBauer",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Gabrielle | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,118,659,125 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Gabrielle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 45,766.187051 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 |
7wmhgztrnad | false | kDJ5DUrMFUfJsgmHxUW07kt4rtb2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "9M5yNZMnd9ag47PUS5It1eBolRA3",
"label": "KevinYang1b33",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "ment... | Math4Life2020 | z4ENXRW0H72GF2pAMVo9 | public | contract | 1,717,118,700,811 | will-i-make-mop-2024-5a40ea9b0553 | Math4Life2020 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcwBvSHrz-DrowVgW3mCBLo8gauVURpjgvOYAYZ_Ito=s96-c | Will I make MOP 2024 ? | null | 0.132261 | 994.826905 | NO | null |
iyckuogi8s | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Let's go kids",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ernie | ikRUBIqTr4nuWjRlVstk | public | contract | 1,717,118,704,740 | will-there-be-more-kids-than-dogs-i | Ernie | Will there be more kids than dogs in the USA by end 2030 | null | null | null | null | null | |
j199ioeld | false | TIxZM2CkXrVafA9OnTLLpSo1W0s2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The trial likely will have little to no effect, but gasoline wholesale prices are also collapsing, as well as major retailers about to cut prices.",
... | riverwalk3 | Ua0kzjbcBjwSySES4hYt | public | contract | 1,717,119,123,179 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p | riverwalk3 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 0.49572 | 5,000.901781 | YES | null | |
cplvcfbole | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3dopp6h4rea",
"label": "Gabrielle",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Charlie Bauer | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,119,148,637 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | CharlieBauer | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 1,969.020205 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
wbugm91xtqe | false | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "g3dymoq65x8",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Eliza | yd7KpA14EeNqeLym2APJ | public | contract | 1,717,119,251,190 | will-trump-replace-joe-tacopina-as | Eliza | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | Will Trump replace Joe Tacopina as his lawyer during his NY trial? | nmj7q4lq6mk | null | null | null | null |
ak6d0i54ru | false | bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "“Not be in prison” for the felony— ON Nov 5? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Susanne inFrance | mNccptRmfGGl9UZtl2wk | public | contract | 1,717,119,386,344 | will-donald-trump-be-eligible-to-vo | SusanneinFrance | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c | Will Donald Trump be eligible to vote in the 2024 election? | null | 0.732568 | 33.375068 | YES | null |
1f8cue0331i | false | RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": "",
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"lan... | fish | 30EzAFfW4YdQWOqodZIQ | public | contract | 1,717,119,569,461 | which-team-will-win-the-western-con | kurt | Which team will win the Western Conference? Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks | null | null | 14,484.377648 | YES | bfba958c6a86 | |
cerxscyzc2 | false | GxByO08XQHdK19Od5auuvu3K1g72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It would be a genius move ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ansel | ogCmoCcIVjvrbG9OWd0D | public | contract | 1,717,119,590,350 | will-biden-issue-a-pardon-for-donal | Ansel | Will Biden issue a pardon for Donald Trump before the 2024 presidential election | null | null | null | null | null | |
e0sb1p4dg6n | false | Fxsi2an7IoMsNLyq1ODqsXZIMqC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "yhh87nner2",
"label": "SaviorofPlant",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Benjamin Manns | YBrWo0qxVdoTfu0AzoOq | public | contract | 1,717,119,594,553 | daily-coinflip-u9uchxy9cq | benmanns | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkghDuSf2qFv60YgKDe4sB83Qr5ah-gRmsZWJ4Y8cUS4oz=s96-c | Daily coinflip | yhh87nner2 | 0.500244 | 1,915.211459 | YES | null |
wa444jsbzlt | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "0 chance biden or trump accept elon hosting though right",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "... | Bayesian | 5rrysfmfnduAtYnAm75J | public | contract | 1,717,119,603,573 | will-rfk-jr-participate-in-a-presid | Bayesian | Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024? | kzf6tmvkkv | 0.364492 | 219.304779 | NO | null | |
re85j6pk0yb | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Bayesian | OcLkN5mjmygCBfNt3CeX | public | contract | 1,717,119,759,540 | will-i-attend-lessonline | Bayesian | Will I attend LessOnline? | null | null | null | null | null | |
qx1p5ytcl18 | false | lcRGsjN51pbwM4T0sAwOVu01fPg1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Best wishes!!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Laya | zr3W3TyYSvbrVJSD3uDJ | public | contract | 1,717,119,767,294 | will-i-be-able-to-walk-all-the-way | Laya | Will I be able to walk all the way to the hospital once I go into labor? | null | 1 | 13.070449 | YES | null | |
usznf11366j | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Blomfilter | 5rrysfmfnduAtYnAm75J | public | contract | 1,717,120,098,119 | will-rfk-jr-participate-in-a-presid | Blomfilter | Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024? | kzf6tmvkkv | 0.364492 | 6,232.865659 | YES | null | |
j0mnzqeqzgg | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "6E0HwRXxP6RoAer04YRe5R4vYdB3",
"label": "DavideBerweger",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "men... | Christopher Randles | s1cd1ESU4D9QhkEMNNm2 | public | contract | 1,717,120,179,253 | will-nvda-beat-550-share-analysts-e | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will NVDA beat 5.50 $/share analysts estimate in there next earnings on May 22 2024? | null | 0.989943 | 11,341.122433 | YES | null |
64fp5tyeo8w | false | yZ4vp93rmQfBXllZUiI2WKNJaeF2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "not aligned to my experience after actually seen it...it's definitely not a >90 score film",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": ... | ElectricSteam | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,120,218,551 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | ElectricSteam | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNq3o7W1unNrbg962fUXzL_KPTLhynNsWcqusZ7gHi-2M=s96-c | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 1,619.301806 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 |
g7zqpzogxau | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j0mnzqeqzgg",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Evan | s1cd1ESU4D9QhkEMNNm2 | public | contract | 1,717,120,690,462 | will-nvda-beat-550-share-analysts-e | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | Will NVDA beat 5.50 $/share analysts estimate in there next earnings on May 22 2024? | j0mnzqeqzgg | null | null | null | null |
s6p8oi60kh | false | iGpTEc7ijZf5Nv3UUsM5G5euMnT2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "In retrospect buying NO on this was a bad idea, I assumed analysts' estimates were well calibrated but have since learned that they are actually not ve... | Dominic de Bettencourt | s1cd1ESU4D9QhkEMNNm2 | public | contract | 1,717,120,871,859 | will-nvda-beat-550-share-analysts-e | dominic | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_rYabDlibjswkfie6jTwLYXt1nSx42B8oytNLxA=s96-c | Will NVDA beat 5.50 $/share analysts estimate in there next earnings on May 22 2024? | null | 1 | 335.789805 | NO | null |
nq4916fa0fm | false | RK6Nd7IBfMVOcLekfqcN9Ys17qJ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "54q1rkz9d7h",
"label": "TheAllMemeingEye",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Peter Njeim | liO81A8ROlMc3gLKPK2D | public | contract | 1,717,121,572,048 | will-this-market-have-a-greater-num | PeterNjeim | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKEfIjg6agfzK10gUG7Pht9z6y3O1nV87K7pQwUqKf_0HE=s96-c | Will this market have a greater number of traders than percentage odds by June 2024? | 54q1rkz9d7h | null | null | null | null |
gnpc44wdktq | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "bump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | zSvQvbsk4D2YX5phSba2 | public | contract | 1,717,121,599,475 | will-donald-trump-win-the-presidenc | strutheo | Will Donald Trump win the presidency from prison? | null | 0.279359 | 97.129387 | NO | null | |
1d85wahzxzw | false | zASzvc3hKIVauFwLUBQYLpwNwqm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "All in.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jon Boopin | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,121,707,856 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | JonBoopin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtewajbvgmYxmoO9F7XVHfmeObvivfQSL2O-Sbw57WpVht4=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | null | 46,736.458639 | YES | 51e4cacd136a |
gly242x3tt7 | false | AeBvsJ1vhEQAWTZ3TvdZCtyAc7S2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "13iulmb4d5ul",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Nat | qMtEGWTyykNo0T2Cc42S | public | contract | 1,717,121,724,015 | what-will-happen-in-may-2024-add-re | Nat | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQiPbh_DxrLlPxnGERX27JKVxmY1R7KNXsjag8WjbVIyY=s96-c | 🌼What will happen in May 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | bu862x3dni | null | 609.166927 | NO | 37698a3f1080 |
depeo33us7n | false | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3dopp6h4rea",
"label": "Gabrielle",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | VerySeriousPoster | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,121,801,609 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | VerySeriousPoster | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | z0nhj913hgq | null | 168.39475 | NO | 51e4cacd136a | |
lfjkc2b4oqm | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "true lol.. nvmd",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | qMtEGWTyykNo0T2Cc42S | public | contract | 1,717,121,812,064 | what-will-happen-in-may-2024-add-re | strutheo | 🌼What will happen in May 2024? [ADD RESPONSES] | bu862x3dni | null | 1,058.811477 | YES | 23506a188a54 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.