id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2
classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2
values | commentType stringclasses 1
value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2
values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
xmju3ff7s6o | false | ChkIUvDGJqPjAcsjRqLdvzWfeyw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "i4ic1ojhn4a",
"label": "ClubmasterTransparent",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Simone Romeo | xDgZ9GpBj4IeliajNSFr | public | contract | 1,717,349,890,262 | will-we-be-able-to-buy-a-25k-autono | SimoneRomeo | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKsTe1OuSlrF4Bq4iBBPjtQlimBPGxShXSI_8Cz0MehwA=s96-c | Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy? | i4ic1ojhn4a | null | null | null | null |
6meyqfj4tse | false | yykycFLFkqfC48MK7gaPfseTkvl2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pxr4dcqczql",
"label": "DanielFilan",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Daniel Filan | cRUeKdYm3bZPgjlS3f6D | public | contract | 1,717,349,930,001 | how-many-manifest-attendees-will-i | DanielFilan | How many Manifest attendees will I see at contra on the 6th? | pxr4dcqczql | null | null | null | null | |
v06pnwe0kbe | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "54s6384vgw",
"label": "WhoamI748e",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | CwMcNYGZxKgJgTWE26X2 | public | contract | 1,717,350,014,711 | uefa-champions-league-202324-finals | PlasmaBallin | UEFA Champions League 2023-24 Finals - All market dashboard | 6pv863k1okl | null | 245.737775 | NO | a490627bfcd0 | |
v2fyfqzltmm | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2",
"label": "shankypanky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | nikki | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,350,190,558 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | nikki | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | null | null | 2,697.218203 | YES | 8bca377e66b7 | |
15an3n36yc1 | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qotsajjat8q",
"label": "BrunoParga",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Archibald Crone | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,350,197,598 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BlueDragon | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | mhaa5iv7xd | null | null | null | null | |
pjdcl15u28 | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "v2fyfqzltmm",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,350,231,938 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | v2fyfqzltmm | null | 1,025.222535 | YES | 8bca377e66b7 | |
tipshk5gcm | false | KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "v2fyfqzltmm",
"label": "nikki",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | stefanie | gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74 | public | contract | 1,717,350,292,528 | manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam | shankypanky | Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7] | v2fyfqzltmm | null | 1,025.222535 | YES | 8bca377e66b7 | |
ev5r2m75fh | false | UDV6BjK8MCUrjDWBrjm6LqWboXU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think i sold the bag for SFBA",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Vihaan Gupta | qW7FqLBslGcNlS1XKrgF | public | contract | 1,717,350,398,232 | what-team-will-win-arml-top-score-a | VihaanGupta | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc5B9OhFyFzJX4WF6W_bcqn66r2yvui5KFFHBQcRg=s96-c | What team will win ARML (top score among both divisions)? | null | null | 4,467.426941 | YES | ba0063ff816f |
h7yvou0ppvg | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This resolves no",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | kbVK9ZBEuE5GVoaPWEXx | public | contract | 1,717,350,441,621 | what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene | nikki | Manifest 2024 Prop Bets | null | null | 225.964356 | NO | dccbbaa3142f | |
umt0k5ece2 | false | RabL4fATYvdJfRO7qYkwoFyZWYq2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Ironically, the user who accused ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "8SD1VS3Xi1R9NCAzvnBPjwWAUZL2"... | Arky | 2pbG1mKtIKAIgptg5pPK | public | contract | 1,717,350,476,802 | am-i-a-scammer-with-30-accounts | Arky | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLQN_M4pd9jLZ5rJw6o8dYiJLjJ8C33gC5taqyV8YKL07o=s96-c | Am I a scammer with 30+ accounts? | null | null | null | null | null |
tcnuvig3ad | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Here’s a ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Archibald Crone | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,350,569,988 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BlueDragon | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | null | null | null | null | null | |
k2xlwfz0fa | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "15an3n36yc1",
"label": "BlueDragon",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ben Shindel | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,350,590,574 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | mhaa5iv7xd | null | 105.997376 | YES | 387a05262c1a |
6ekeifpmrbd | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k2xlwfz0fa",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Archibald Crone | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,350,685,705 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BlueDragon | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | mhaa5iv7xd | null | null | null | null | |
2mfqi0t2834 | false | 6M2g1pRmc2N8OjbakA2ggzuc8Wy1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "3vjvjamr6g5",
"label": "ArmandodiMatteo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Niplav Yushtun | Oi8DFOzkuBv5OyC4cqea | public | contract | 1,717,350,688,439 | what-book-will-i-enjoy-reading | NiplavYushtun | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7JIxP7AIaL0K4wGj6lg8fkm3g_3Lvv4cElS396=s96-c | What books will I enjoy reading? | 3vjvjamr6g5 | null | null | null | null |
k7hajlzz7j | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Oh we should ping ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3",
"... | Joshua | T7ReSjOHXgl1iRvIK2bD | public | contract | 1,717,350,850,702 | will-ron-desantis-win-at-least-thre | Joshua | Will Ron DeSantis win at least three states in the Republican primaries? | sg0c51hsxgb | null | null | null | null | |
1otxmbas96 | false | XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "koxsf4pss4a",
"label": "MarcusAbramovitch",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Fion | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,350,875,166 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | Fion | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.51502 | 2,950.377307 | NO | null | |
5aiza079014 | false | W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "e5qzw577mis",
"label": "Bair",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Gary Grenda | OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO | public | contract | 1,717,350,927,522 | will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the | GaryGrenda | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c | Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? | uikq5ya1oz | 0.54 | 53,663.921631 | NO | null |
17v9l0gwi6n | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k2xlwfz0fa",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Archibald Crone | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,350,930,914 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BlueDragon | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | mhaa5iv7xd | null | null | null | null | |
m613hwjeu1a | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "z2228db57j",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Pat Scott🩴 | bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW | public | contract | 1,717,350,940,903 | will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro | Stralor | Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9? | fmsmshfkr8e | 0.99 | 226.294834 | NO | null | |
awppkrvsht9 | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "wy0k9yt65ei",
"label": "ManifoldPolitics",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Pat Scott🩴 | bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW | public | contract | 1,717,350,991,397 | will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro | Stralor | Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9? | wy0k9yt65ei | 0.99 | 1,161.486081 | NO | null | |
o9on7rrhs8 | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Do we guess starliner or starship?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Christopher Randles | rVelFlL0vgWxc1KGUFQ8 | public | contract | 1,717,350,994,242 | will-the-rocket-explode | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | WILL THE ROCKET EXPLODE | null | null | null | null | null |
kputuykbgn8 | false | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Here’s a ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Archibald Crone | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,351,273,309 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BlueDragon | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | null | null | null | null | null | |
6nhoffer4tr | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Christopher Randles | 1Iax6OAuk32lSEAMPeSA | public | contract | 1,717,351,276,710 | will-elon-musk-make-2-or-more-tweet-7371656ab43e | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Elon Musk make 2 or more Tweeter(X) posts on Jun 02, 2024 between 9am to 9pm ET | null | 0.986861 | 492.006473 | YES | null |
hafppe2q6w | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Mads Pedersen won stage 1",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Stuart Slagle | UxIKiCtKeNybXYn5boTA | public | contract | 1,717,351,471,523 | after-stage-1-of-the-2024-criterium | ovals | After Stage 1 of the 2024 Critérium du Dauphiné, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | null | null | 614.304214 | YES | moi9ynyt4z | |
4n8oue9epeg | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Biden at digital odds of 2.52 to 2.54 on betfair so you can bet against him at 39.37% and bet for him at 39.68%.",
"type": "text"
},
... | Christopher Randles | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,352,386,720 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.514327 | 39.756706 | NO | null |
a0puztxmznu | false | tqP1xJXWFBM5SFi4xmwDSCj1Ffv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "en80tqetpie",
"label": "SemioticRivalry",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},... | Eddison Chen | NrJjqVDyXkRQV9SOtm3U | public | contract | 1,717,352,404,344 | will-joe-manchin-run-for-governor-o-ypw3rg3wva | EddisonChen | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJZyPZL1lDqTwPsNgYsFDsMXQlhqKhCTPUzVFc7vp0Kwg=s96-c | Will Joe Manchin run for Governor of West Virginia as an Independent? | n3p5kdsyf9 | null | null | null | null |
t4zu1dyz2ce | false | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Current month (currently free mana, as the counter already crossed USD 300 million):",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "parag... | Martin Modrák | gYLdVqkIXURxo6epKW66 | public | contract | 1,717,352,487,692 | total-value-of-crypto-stolenscammed-iv8c78tpmy | MartinModrak | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c | Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between June 16th and July 15th as tracked by Molly White (W3IGG) | null | null | null | null | null |
8z9czpxvya | false | 7CqYcJmWkPgUfBIidYuB0bnBlGz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "t3rc37g0odp",
"label": "24a",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Ivan K. | PoKr6DRhPR90UW889T9o | public | contract | 1,717,353,104,985 | will-russia-pay-any-reparations-to | IvanK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0xPnSV2EwI5r6CiqUQhuO9yaG25XwBiLA3d-aDfg=s96-c | Will Russia pay any reparations to Ukraine by 2030? | t3rc37g0odp | null | null | null | null |
lu0sg8no0ma | false | HQzIlQIYD8PorlSmx6FpFIr30wA3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Reopened because of incorrect closing time ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Julian Lees | ZWpPIznAbOYc4nAe8TCa | public | contract | 1,717,353,164,807 | which-teams-will-reach-the-semifina | JulianLees | Which teams will reach the semifinals of Super Rugby Pacific 2024? | null | null | 163.656648 | YES | a65e5def0c5d | |
7olg7l912ps | false | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What a great list. I believe we have similar taste. I used to love Michael Haneke films, but nowadays I can't bare to watch them anymore. His filmograp... | redcat | QlY0zzM5YjlWMqdP88gP | public | contract | 1,717,353,439,995 | help-al-quinn-find-good-movies-beca | redcat | Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty! | null | null | null | null | null | |
21sbmul2nas | false | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Extended by a month",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Gabrielle | I2HJPBeSvVq5pC1UjMs1 | public | contract | 1,717,353,547,067 | will-bitcoin-hit-77777-before-55555 | Gabrielle | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c | Will Bitcoin hit $77,777 before $55,555? | null | null | null | null | null |
7tiohh3bss | false | 0wZ0MmJzG9RL7OnjbqYydNeZXjv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "@Fion He probably just intends to arbitrage with a real money prediction site (since they are all at 40~ on Biden), this isn't saying anything about hi... | colorednoise | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,353,567,295 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | colorednoise | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.511857 | 9,319.1513 | NO | null | |
e1globw4av6 | false | llmLu5Omf7cFFG9QQ3WjxhrCua92 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm planning to resolve this yes because of this workshop paper by Misha. Let me know if you think this is unfair.",
"type": "text"
}... | Asher | zLDy9OSgNjZhmd5BOdjm | public | contract | 1,717,353,675,168 | will-either-misha-or-asher-get-publ | Asher | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6kcmhEPeVS1TLNTIAkOCj1_f3Mgxy_Ef7TAUDZ=s96-c | Will either Misha or Asher get published by the end of the school year? | null | 0.198686 | 53.087621 | YES | null |
gjqriqq8jqj | false | HQzIlQIYD8PorlSmx6FpFIr30wA3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Will be very interesting to see this year's championship play out. From my perspective: ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "p... | Julian Lees | tuHPOlgOWKtl8CKvoroh | public | contract | 1,717,353,943,295 | -2024-rugby-championship-all-games | JulianLees | 🏉 2024 Rugby Championship: All Games | null | null | 41.065654 | YES | 8b7193e9d856 | |
vdi3o890jue | false | y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "5aiza079014",
"label": "GaryGrenda",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bair | OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO | public | contract | 1,717,354,306,500 | will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the | Bair | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c | Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? | uikq5ya1oz | 0.54 | 119.092701 | YES | null |
b2ncafz6g49 | false | VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7olg7l912ps",
"label": "redcat",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Al Quinn | QlY0zzM5YjlWMqdP88gP | public | contract | 1,717,354,336,004 | help-al-quinn-find-good-movies-beca | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty! | 7olg7l912ps | null | null | null | null |
p7jyhev5hc | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "With 4 rotten in last 8 reviews shown taking to 89.73%, seems like it is easier to get below 89.5% than above 90.5%",
"type": "text"
... | Christopher Randles | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,355,154,932 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 6,169.042671 | YES | 52c8a526fb05 |
aiy02qa2yk | false | 4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ad2dayjxnm9",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Snarflak | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,355,205,988 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | Snarflak | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | ey23edh3sm | null | 379.722955 | NO | 5f6db2f28df6 | |
mnmr8p223om | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "aiy02qa2yk",
"label": "Snarflak",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Bruno | P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew | public | contract | 1,717,355,342,007 | leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week? | ey23edh3sm | null | 2.759356 | YES | 16df8c8459d1 |
bqgy4isl8hh | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "w4vxwnf49re",
"label": "Mirek",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | Bruno | Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP | public | contract | 1,717,355,452,177 | -who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | 🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico? | mhaa5iv7xd | null | null | null | null |
kzq5d8s2gtk | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It is usually form a coalition with some party(s) or form a minority government on their own. Forming a minority government with another party seems li... | Christopher Randles | YjxGSpTMl7VzafTG74Lf | public | contract | 1,717,355,468,054 | who-will-the-anc-form-a-minority-go | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Who will the ANC form a minority government with? | null | null | null | null | null |
y64hq9qimi | false | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "99vkw68v6nd",
"label": "chrisjbillington",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
}... | Sss | nCwMMA0Dyqe0lGYbMLE0 | public | contract | 1,717,355,477,635 | what-is-true-about-gpt2chatbot | Sss19971997 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | What is true about gpt2-chatbot? | 99vkw68v6nd | null | null | null | null |
d7mrasru3lj | false | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xbqbagudk1n",
"label": "ian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | ClubmasterTransparent | 9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA | public | contract | 1,717,355,560,297 | who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp | ClubmasterTransparent | Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition? | 19ztbhfy8yb | null | null | null | null | |
xd8zaxz6ha | false | u6fhON8bIDUsC11YmOcXx3kxOat2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Next question: ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"con... | wylderai | J9gVMvsExQD5OSOU9pT2 | public | contract | 1,717,355,566,966 | will-the-anc-win-a-majority-in-the | wylderai | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhcB8djJV_UMmMGE6QUmZ5Ai6LdjNBpwUdFgGpQUA=s96-c | Will the ANC win a majority in the 2024 South African general election? | null | 0 | 33.649257 | NO | null |
ftepch2jkeu | false | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "7tiohh3bss",
"label": "colorednoise",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Marcus Abramovitch | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,355,567,904 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | MarcusAbramovitch | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.509949 | 128,502.737441 | NO | null | |
os2z1tj5ewg | false | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j9g47pzysuk",
"label": "capybara",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Sss | t3fRLHKE2mMVvIAd2dtq | public | contract | 1,717,355,573,388 | will-yahoo-disappear-before-2034 | Sss19971997 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | Will Yahoo disappear before 2034? | j9g47pzysuk | null | null | null | null |
j55bylwagba | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ftepch2jkeu",
"label": "MarcusAbramovitch",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Christopher Randles | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,355,853,645 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.509949 | 39.756706 | NO | null |
6r1eqne2yut | false | GLzpZPkoRWcZv7I1sbSGv9mPZlB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It might annoyingly improve with age. It’s not as controversial saying that compute is the fundamental parameter of importance once all the network des... | capy | 5V6xCFqwL6EauCfG2HPs | public | contract | 1,717,355,885,727 | will-roons-tweet-about-various-grea | capybara | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FKevinDoran%2F6rlhLww5NS.35?alt=media&token=c2bbf567-0a54-4425-9ebd-1cec295a7660 | Will Roon's Tweet about various great minds discussing flops age well by 2027? | null | null | null | null | null |
c9bx4tw9egs | false | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "j55bylwagba",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Marcus Abramovitch | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,355,928,563 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | MarcusAbramovitch | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.509949 | 128,502.737441 | NO | null | |
p20m7x9fe5 | false | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I extended the time, but this may have to go N/A if Gay doesn't leave Harvard. Any thoughts ?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"typ... | Bruce | v1yFIn9WzDAcvu5TnsSt | public | contract | 1,717,355,984,547 | if-pres-gay-leaves-harvard-how-much | Bruce54df | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | If Pres Gay leaves Harvard, how much will she be paid in severance? | null | null | 137.628406 | YES | da2794bf190f |
ycptrc4f3j | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "c9bx4tw9egs",
"label": "MarcusAbramovitch",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ben Shindel | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,717,356,311,379 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | koxsf4pss4a | 0.509949 | 3,118.576639 | YES | null |
sxkox605ncb | false | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Big limit orders up, and if you want to trade up to 1 million mana ping me!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
... | Jack | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,356,323,816 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | jack | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | null | 179,005.982531 | NO | 088d6b2862b1 | |
4cdu4qgy68u | false | W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "vdi3o890jue",
"label": "Bair",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Gary Grenda | OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO | public | contract | 1,717,356,336,005 | will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the | GaryGrenda | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c | Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030? | uikq5ya1oz | 0.54 | 53,663.921631 | NO | null |
yh7grlmg8gd | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Since it looks like this question has come up again, re-upping this ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],... | Ben Shindel | iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy | public | contract | 1,717,356,360,394 | will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? | null | null | null | null | null |
z0w43cnxmzb | false | i1J2TGosWpaqEdmTNvZ9rkL3KKB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hmd2pxppbo",
"label": "strutheo",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Zardoru | PRz9pDpXy8nMmx7xA2Uc | public | contract | 1,717,356,486,912 | will-biden-live-to-see-luffy-find-t | Zardoru | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi2zcxQEIJb0YhDpOdYy6Ff9AQWyMuv4u7cdkwukA=s96-c | Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece? | hmd2pxppbo | null | null | null | null |
h1ldhv9ejp5 | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "5p62rq63o8f",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ian Philips | FqLzLGRgQeTv9697j0QI | public | contract | 1,717,356,762,383 | why-do-you-click-on-markets-on-the | ian | Why do you click on markets on the home page? | 5p62rq63o8f | null | null | null | null | |
u99py48axbr | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i bought ombana yes by avvisent",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jim | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,717,356,831,230 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | jim | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | null | 284,066.796669 | YES | 97ec8e5a23c4 | |
r3f3ggxmzal | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Constant dollars or nominal? PPP adjusted or exchange rate basis?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
... | Evan | HYgyaBBnnu0jaf2x3zWC | public | contract | 1,717,356,895,701 | will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200 | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031? | null | null | null | null | null |
hoh3lrfymjt | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "r3f3ggxmzal",
"label": "EvanDaniel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | RemNi | HYgyaBBnnu0jaf2x3zWC | public | contract | 1,717,356,971,065 | will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200 | RemNi | Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031? | r3f3ggxmzal | null | null | null | null | |
bl8aczv3ic | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Generator: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
... | Ernie | xkp8Tt9E9JCplDwGrDFV | public | contract | 1,717,356,977,702 | ai-image-generation-testing-gandalf | Ernie | AI Image Generation testing: Gandalf, Snow White, Tom Sawyer and King Arthur by 6/1/2024 | null | 0.681839 | 151.994629 | YES | null | |
mm42l0emsr | false | TNI73azr1rYIjNZMujosckAYSlM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pqs9wul1kks",
"label": "TimothyJohnson5c16",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | BRTD | xmobVf0OKrQtev8ky8rE | public | contract | 1,717,356,986,056 | will-rfk-jr-make-the-ballot-in-texa | BRTD | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsylYlJ6d2kI1TVD_JFz7OE98nlyJDg62SpkONuA=s96-c | Will RFK Jr. make the ballot in Texas for the 2024 Presidential election? | pqs9wul1kks | null | null | null | null |
15o5ef1fnvl | false | GSBHngag3UTwsdIcS0rfnKL07qB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "FSbHdYOVJfSMdxPQmRus",
"label": "Ophiuchus",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Nathan Wei | 8ClKQRgKvRhHq08iljhd | public | contract | 1,717,356,994,322 | which-is-the-best-demonym-for-manif | nathanwei | Which is the best demonym for “Manifold User”? | FSbHdYOVJfSMdxPQmRus | null | null | null | null | |
tic6isgpj5c | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "CEe52MqztKvrmpP6OEQ9",
"label": "/ovals/after-stage-2-of-the-2024-criterium",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
... | Stuart Slagle | UxIKiCtKeNybXYn5boTA | public | contract | 1,717,357,228,302 | after-stage-1-of-the-2024-criterium | ovals | After Stage 1 of the 2024 Critérium du Dauphiné, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | null | null | 614.304214 | YES | moi9ynyt4z | |
axdkpfsmdg | false | QRdUiXFvVRXFrq3zNOJrUj76iwn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "X3z4hxRXipWvGoFhxlDOVxmP5vL2",
"label": "traders",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | M L | MjhIk4fI9R4gWG16b0yg | public | contract | 1,717,357,281,051 | what-will-be-the-of-yes-votes-for-t | ML12d1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJQ_TkdRKgFmuMlRnyYbkd73FNjzN0J-38pXcnxV40C3A=s96-c | What will be the % of "yes" votes for the Swiss anti-vaccine ballot initiative "For freedom and physical integrity"? | null | null | 93.221989 | YES | ee96bfa7aa59 |
90k48iom2fo | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Ernie | qzN2D5VfbhiyUljBbRJX | public | contract | 1,717,357,394,743 | a-public-ai-generator-can-correctly-0256773c71a1 | Ernie | A public AI generator can correctly make images of complex 3d object stacking, Jun 1 2024 | null | 0.093839 | 88.125109 | YES | null | |
cp8op82bacw | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "15/20 fine on the mj alpha website, same as discord, v6",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"att... | Ernie | Sjk0ODxQjbMIopb8Mphw | public | contract | 1,717,357,555,324 | midjourney-can-create-correct-text-11a390329334 | Ernie | Midjourney can create correct text in images by June 1 2024 | null | 0.946722 | 486.055249 | YES | null | |
9tyl38jtwq | false | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I accidentally closed this trade thread.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
... | Stuart Slagle | LG9AEwWeJpsKLd4Zy7i3 | public | contract | 1,717,357,559,718 | womens-national-basketball-associat | ovals | 🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2024 Regular Season Games Live | null | null | 2,412.389067 | YES | 70f9af9c28f7 | |
t2fjkhm6cvd | false | b5a3UuCvBgMsA875HdcgdnVljdq1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y64hq9qimi",
"label": "Sss19971997",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Muga Sofer | nCwMMA0Dyqe0lGYbMLE0 | public | contract | 1,717,357,785,060 | what-is-true-about-gpt2chatbot | MugaSofer | What is true about gpt2-chatbot? | 99vkw68v6nd | null | 367.93706 | YES | d7ca7494ee62 | |
ex54q9qpl3n | false | KQIZEaeOOwVatEt07ktQ1mV4CMk1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "u8jop6rrmag",
"label": "RemNi",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{... | nsokolsky | GUOdVh1FxxTsw4VYptME | public | contract | 1,717,358,211,761 | conditional-on-a-warrant-will-netan | nsokolsky | Conditional on a warrant, will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months? | u8jop6rrmag | 0.268223 | 94.465832 | YES | null | |
bqugn2khnxq | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I tried to look up predictions of whether 2033 will be an El Nino year, and the first thing that comes up is the \"hypothetical weather wiki\": ",
... | Plasma Ballin' | ctBuBohLurOfIVoUS25l | public | contract | 1,717,358,235,352 | how-many-people-will-die-of-extreme | PlasmaBallin | How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2033? | null | null | 92.213331 | YES | 9i01lek0bq | |
htsfegftnal | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is there actually any evidence that it is a mixture of experts? Why is this so high?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "para... | Ben Shindel | nCwMMA0Dyqe0lGYbMLE0 | public | contract | 1,717,358,250,636 | what-is-true-about-gpt2chatbot | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | What is true about gpt2-chatbot? | null | null | 152.184493 | NO | 815788a0a653 |
0mm180b7avkf | false | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ex54q9qpl3n",
"label": "nsokolsky",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | RemNi | GUOdVh1FxxTsw4VYptME | public | contract | 1,717,358,265,661 | conditional-on-a-warrant-will-netan | RemNi | Conditional on a warrant, will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months? | u8jop6rrmag | 0.268223 | 41.01935 | NO | null | |
e3lq80a5cv9 | false | aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "🤣",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tricky Duck | c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS | public | contract | 1,717,358,303,512 | what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr | TrickyDuck | What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) | null | null | null | null | null | |
0ucw8qg5kjs | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "htsfegftnal",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ben Shindel | nCwMMA0Dyqe0lGYbMLE0 | public | contract | 1,717,358,337,616 | what-is-true-about-gpt2chatbot | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | What is true about gpt2-chatbot? | htsfegftnal | null | 152.184493 | NO | 815788a0a653 |
xwqd5lba2r | false | Disjvik10uMvgwgHmWKxCGQiBL12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "But he has already done ALL of that.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"c... | VNet Chrome | N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD | public | contract | 1,717,358,433,620 | what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do | VNetChrome | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKhCUV1ku9tdawrtVz5spuXXiiMfObHRMeKseoBeEVh=s96-c | What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him | null | null | null | null | null |
nq52qshsqg | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Could we not buy options to 99%? It prevents people from betting yes on them which messes up the vote",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Bayesian | nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh | public | contract | 1,717,358,517,657 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p | Bayesian | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four) | null | null | 2.06313 | YES | 58f1389a1390 | |
awnsfdl9s85 | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "the few mana you're earning aren't worth it and makes it more likely that you end up wrong",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": ... | Bayesian | nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh | public | contract | 1,717,358,546,523 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p | Bayesian | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four) | nq52qshsqg | null | 2.06313 | YES | 58f1389a1390 | |
ngvfj6db6ld | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "#34: Lynn Venhauss. WITNESS HER",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": nu... | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,358,601,851 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 9,538.520766 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 | |
t5tje34f0bj | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Ernie | uWo1MIYdg85xzUeGQS4O | public | contract | 1,717,358,638,301 | local-san-mateo-will-yi-fang-have-f-788383580e3d | Ernie | Local San Mateo: Will Yi Fang have found new employees by mid may 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
bg7f011y5i | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Manifold trying to be more accurate than itself after it becomes a real-money market:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "para... | Plasma Ballin' | iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy | public | contract | 1,717,358,715,370 | will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than | PlasmaBallin | Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? | null | 0.537717 | 109.090909 | YES | null | |
ynvt1aa5ncq | false | yxNesNHjvvYDJHtbR8A77Z1SUFy2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Scott | iLutvCxqWpguL7PH28jV | public | contract | 1,717,358,816,639 | reccomend-me-utopian-fiction-100m-f | ScottW | Recommend me utopian fiction, 100M for each qualifying submission | null | null | null | null | null | |
ppnkm3v8n8s | false | aLcMG0Cj63WLil96xiNOksVffg12 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "O8d9YVg1z77BxUiUlYa8",
"label": "NSR",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Tricky Duck | c0vo8DVmOBEbe3E4E4OS | public | contract | 1,717,358,822,870 | what-conspiracy-theories-will-be-pr | TrickyDuck | What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market) | O8d9YVg1z77BxUiUlYa8 | null | null | null | null | |
n6r6kfrj84 | false | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "more brilliant trading from jim. some traders forgot to take into account the fact the movie isn't very good ",
"type": "text"
}
... | jim | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,358,845,991 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | jim | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | null | null | 4,411.577304 | NO | 0b016a40d8c3 | |
66ihfsfdno | false | tAuGKgnJ8earoKXiJvDr7FBEx4m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Yejun | J9dS3WW62jpuw5AG922O | public | contract | 1,717,358,865,335 | will-human-embryos-selected-by-gene | YejunYun | Will human embryos selected by genetic markers for “intelligence” be implanted for pregnancy by December 31, 2027 | null | 0.67 | 173.817077 | YES | null | |
sorf1x1wila | false | sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "bg7f011y5i",
"label": "PlasmaBallin",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ben Shindel | iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy | public | contract | 1,717,358,875,437 | will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? | bg7f011y5i | null | null | null | null |
wgodg2cent | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "p7jyhev5hc",
"label": "ChristopherRandles",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | DUv8ftjMInHAbp7UgwqJ | public | contract | 1,717,358,892,467 | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha | Ziddletwix | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score >X%? | p7jyhev5hc | null | 9,538.520766 | NO | 1f72e6f34b10 | |
8x8kj19kds7 | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "k7bd1vgvarh",
"label": "24a",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
... | Ernie | W3qVU2bAjiqS9HL3TONR | public | contract | 1,717,358,932,396 | the-ccp-itself-will-directly-produc | Ernie | The CCP itself will directly produce and raise children | k7bd1vgvarh | null | null | null | null | |
yg2hh214gg | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "pNeeWxqGLTWoSNuld4hS1UxrFRr2",
"label": "CooperDrbal",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mentio... | Ziddletwix | Ma0dKTwgUugrONk3mH0A | public | contract | 1,717,359,047,262 | who-is-going-to-win-the-nba-champio | Ziddletwix | who is going to win the nba championship? | null | null | 206.982062 | NO | 2a8fa2b7c151 | |
kk0fvbr7a6 | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "y7d9ff58bc",
"label": "Ziddletwix",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Ziddletwix | ZEGYaOkcF3HYNJSHlAD3 | public | contract | 1,717,359,071,790 | what-will-be-the-approximate-rank-o | Ziddletwix | What will be the approximate rank of Lakeside School among all national private schools this year? | y7d9ff58bc | null | 1,280.43507 | YES | 610015200047 | |
mt44cc54ry | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "zIN5WHck2EegmsqfFluyOJTMjcU2",
"label": "DrewRukavina",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "menti... | Ziddletwix | LKFQuZhbcOhRgvP6vzG2 | public | contract | 1,717,359,101,449 | will-destiny-become-romantically-in | Ziddletwix | Will Destiny become romantically involved in a serious relationship with another person by June 2024? | null | 0.033246 | 1,306.222975 | NO | null | |
2f7a5jrtgjg | false | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sorf1x1wila",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Jack | iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy | public | contract | 1,717,359,119,712 | will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than | jack | Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? | bg7f011y5i | 0.537717 | 255.9284 | NO | null | |
2w096eib908 | false | DfJm6cMNVVhsbJL5FKcSG9z4Nrv1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is going to be a NO, but understandable if you still want to wait a couple days for official exit:",
"type": "text"
}
],
... | Ciuccio | q1ZC9BFqRjfv6lUpIJGO | public | contract | 1,717,359,160,887 | will-adam-neumann-buy-wework-out-of | Ciuccio | Will Adam Neumann buy WeWork out of bankruptcy? | null | 0.046037 | 2,303.427748 | NO | null | |
jjqlpod2nxp | false | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sorf1x1wila",
"label": "benshindel",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Plasma Ballin' | iXmpl0NfoY7fDg9lxkdy | public | contract | 1,717,359,169,196 | will-manifold-be-more-accurate-than | PlasmaBallin | Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election? | bg7f011y5i | 0.537717 | 109.090909 | YES | null | |
1ynltkqttft | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"l... | Ernie | oDSS1aoZWha9nPk38Jyg | public | contract | 1,717,359,181,059 | bing-stops-being-tricked-by-the-mis | Ernie | Bing stops being tricked by the misleading query: "The 16 executive departments of the US government are:" | null | 0.75 | 14.486118 | YES | null | |
ghl3sgt9fgw | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | 8o5TOE7rvqvxHGqsSOuf | public | contract | 1,717,359,276,572 | will-the-2024-college-protests-cont | Ziddletwix | Will the 2024 college protests continue through the end of May? | mhderqbt6bi | 0.961866 | 366.423814 | YES | null | |
3kncodqzh8g | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | Ziddletwix | spYyugwYTKCpLIxCEB8n | public | contract | 1,717,359,312,919 | will-playboi-carti-drop-a-new-songa | Ziddletwix | Will Playboi Carti drop a new song/album by the end of May? | q9ijxhmquio | 0.029739 | 1,712.00599 | NO | null | |
frwiya9hh3 | false | 8tpyEuONEicPEGLBzBEPuvtHded2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Not an oil platform btw",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Greyhawk | fj5PbYTfTODXeiHpBNBW | public | contract | 1,717,359,408,244 | will-the-sealand-oil-platform-still | Greyhawk | Will the Sealand Oil Platform still be standing by February 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
c4n6h6setib | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
... | chris (strutheo) | zBsRZkjWx2ejUb4MId6X | public | contract | 1,717,359,409,201 | what-will-be-true-about-spice-the-n | strutheo | 🧂What will be true about Spice, the new Manifold currency? [ADD RESPONSES] | null | null | 1,417.370979 | YES | 46adc99f9c3b | |
g30r879mzfr | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "the AI art thinks everyone will die",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Savior of Plant | OYJqTdEH1i4DKvbrEk6t | public | contract | 1,717,359,942,697 | how-many-people-will-die-of-extreme-nunsfre4wz | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2026? | null | null | 717.596744 | YES | lryxq9ro7u |
9jzt1byto6t | false | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "nq52qshsqg",
"label": "Bayesian",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
... | Pat Scott🩴 | nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh | public | contract | 1,717,360,047,477 | -who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p | Stralor | 🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four) | nq52qshsqg | null | 208.315976 | NO | 0b8ca19072a2 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.