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j2m9fo5re3c
false
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ohm57hipej", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
James
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,342,993,610
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
JamesF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
ohm57hipej
null
null
null
null
dkawsku4q1l
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "label": "JamesF", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,343,023,707
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
null
null
null
null
null
cdlnckkhc3e
false
37HPAlvhLRcWqwcEnaWSFqTmQSE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "My final score was a 1440. A bit disappointing, I plan to retake it in the fall.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
the_puzzlax
XcefyCCSDubpFkFIOQaz
public
contract
1,717,343,024,795
what-will-my-spring-2024-sat-score
the_puzzlax
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKojQZcBy88x7yWXmIHFDzHsVzXavdct7mHfc_bdoqYJPc=s96-c
What will my Spring 2024 SAT score be?
null
null
118.790967
NO
ba9137a3f912
47wpbb7f5i5
false
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1vmhzxy3qtj", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
James
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,343,070,351
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
JamesF
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
1vmhzxy3qtj
null
null
null
null
ey23edh3sm
false
4awgG8uHiJeyHswKCHMBZMHKcyu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does the right wing ever claim to be \"evidence-based\"? Seems more based on tradition and authority and anger.", "type": "text" } ...
Snarflak
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,343,294,618
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
Snarflak
https://firebasestorage.…441-21a1c85f3480
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
null
null
379.722955
NO
5f6db2f28df6
t9801xztv6
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "It's just occurred to me that a lot of these change odds drastically if the added advantage is conditional on you voting for him, rather than happening...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,343,350,614
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
null
null
69.944487
NO
d0b881dee9a5
kwvg2s3560b
false
NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "is07no320x", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
dionisos
YNsC29Fl1BlfMtidAMjB
public
contract
1,717,343,536,330
whowhat-do-manifold-users-think-the
dionisos
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c
Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.]
is07no320x
null
27.035936
NO
5bd18463c12a
pyo8wsy2fl9
false
uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "deleted", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
notarealuser
CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx
public
contract
1,717,343,650,008
what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a
notarealuser
https://firebasestorage.…8ad-29a00de78354
What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4?
null
null
null
null
null
ud78kplez1k
false
uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
notarealuser
CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx
public
contract
1,717,343,715,537
what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a
notarealuser
https://firebasestorage.…8ad-29a00de78354
What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4?
null
null
null
null
null
smmhwzyq96b
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kwvg2s3560b", "label": "dionisos", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
YNsC29Fl1BlfMtidAMjB
public
contract
1,717,343,755,164
whowhat-do-manifold-users-think-the
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.]
is07no320x
null
61.467363
NO
efda2dbc885b
lql7dqfn4aq
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z9579yutgp9", "label": "Predictor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Evan
r8zsTWR7wrdVlJdzH6ya
public
contract
1,717,343,860,677
is-jordon-trishton-walker-thea-dire
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
Is Jordon Trishton Walker the/a director of research and development of Pfizer?
lu86a5It7HIZwG7JonhU
null
null
null
null
60exoyic2yo
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "c8f0g137xt9", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,343,904,689
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
kgcp4uhl0gp
false
W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Pu24CxQ0d5gqZyXuKmb7", "label": "VictorGallagher", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Evan
oN5XpRyyVujwSBGYyMV5
public
contract
1,717,343,965,076
when-will-the-worlds-share-of-solar
EvanDaniel
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c
When will the worlds share of solar electricity reach 10% ?
qjnMgyOnzyEP5SDQqRWM
null
null
null
null
w4n5wbi55gr
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "e3bw77y9e2t", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,344,027,632
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
muyc640jnlk
false
NkVYTWX3UVUiy2z5fc1SknVeEXt2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "smmhwzyq96b", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
dionisos
YNsC29Fl1BlfMtidAMjB
public
contract
1,717,344,116,271
whowhat-do-manifold-users-think-the
dionisos
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaBN5h-fDSn1z_PVqv7Ig7DoyQe7_sl0KXlw4bokw=s96-c
Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.]
is07no320x
null
27.035936
NO
5bd18463c12a
rz87ysv868c
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "c8f0g137xt9", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,344,155,440
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
pjnux6vvq1
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ey23edh3sm", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,344,206,760
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ey23edh3sm
null
2.759356
YES
16df8c8459d1
u8jop6rrmag
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why on earth would he?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RemNi
GUOdVh1FxxTsw4VYptME
public
contract
1,717,344,258,132
conditional-on-a-warrant-will-netan
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Conditional on a warrant, will Netanyahu visit at least one nation that recognizes ICC jurisdiction within 6 months?
null
0.273914
41.01935
NO
null
ql6zg6bmcd
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "60exoyic2yo", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,344,299,793
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
h4wvan12lf
false
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kqjdv4dp4m", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
N.C. Young
Z0sdCaiiwKVovcNsyCk3
public
contract
1,717,344,356,580
what-words-will-be-in-the-subtitle
NcyRocks
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
What words will be in the subtitle of "Avengers 5"?
kqjdv4dp4m
null
268.286095
NO
81346c67fc16
tq8ojgelkbr
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w4n5wbi55gr", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,344,389,266
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
pvkv6qoelh
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ptjglgfz7hf", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
ClubmasterTransparent
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,344,536,616
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
ptjglgfz7hf
null
null
null
null
oxi4ot3pn8
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "h4wvan12lf", "label": "NcyRocks", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
Z0sdCaiiwKVovcNsyCk3
public
contract
1,717,344,621,032
what-words-will-be-in-the-subtitle
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
What words will be in the subtitle of "Avengers 5"?
kqjdv4dp4m
null
null
null
null
i4ic1ojhn4a
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Does Italy today require the purchaser of a car to also have a driver’s license?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph...
ClubmasterTransparent
xDgZ9GpBj4IeliajNSFr
public
contract
1,717,344,709,748
will-we-be-able-to-buy-a-25k-autono
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?
null
null
null
null
null
kmngozd2iu
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "60exoyic2yo", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bair
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,344,814,438
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
119.092701
YES
null
w3eduw6shsa
false
ib04ONx9ULTPKiAxlAiEBER20783
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
eclair4151
t7Ewym4a84h1HwAnaWmL
public
contract
1,717,344,921,718
will-apple-announce-new-hardware-at
eclair4151
https://firebasestorage.…d46-ea85d23e6623
Will Apple announce new hardware at WWDC 2024?
null
0.703642
5,023.516486
NO
null
dsfnr9euaxl
false
mZKaAbBA5iNEOKJBU0BrluyX8n83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "Z6p2RKdCXJSaX2yNAUp6", "label": "ChuckLauerVose", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Simon Westlake
n6R17ssAE8yKMHX1JABQ
public
contract
1,717,345,070,148
when-dreamchaser-launches-will-it-l
SimonWestlake
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI6iDk5AS4j1o_3L_kt2oVHYo_s-gOCd0dsz1kKbmUd-B6rug=s96-c
When dreamchaser launches, will it land on the runway succcessfully?
Z6p2RKdCXJSaX2yNAUp6
0.684807
76.560538
YES
null
ad2dayjxnm9
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ey23edh3sm", "label": "Snarflak", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,345,144,408
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
ey23edh3sm
null
529.468239
YES
fe4488ef81bd
l0vmk0gbwhl
false
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "While Wikipedia's page hasn't updated, ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "...
cshunter
q47nQstNm4eHa06Mdpr5
public
contract
1,717,345,226,009
will-conservatives-and-hardliners-w
cash
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
Will conservatives and hardliners win a supermajority in Iran’s 2024 legislative elections?
null
null
null
null
null
z9033s0fyki
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pvkv6qoelh", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,345,282,341
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
ptjglgfz7hf
null
69.944487
NO
d0b881dee9a5
rnpg266d6mr
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5usfq6ox0u3", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,345,317,302
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
6ua2zzohyrw
null
529.468239
YES
fe4488ef81bd
bikibfpcy1f
false
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "According ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { ...
cshunter
Ruzlct60WpVvKknEgrzb
public
contract
1,717,345,417,136
will-the-anc-receive-less-than-50-o
cash
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
Will the ANC receive less than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election?
null
null
null
null
null
2cspqf3uibj
false
VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This was actually much close than I might have guessed, I made eight posts in May. I have significantly cut back my redditing, retaining activity on on...
NoitUK
KpyRTA8ApZ8jwv34Jgj1
public
contract
1,717,345,437,176
will-i-regularly-post-to-a-lemmy-in
NoitUK
https://firebasestorage.…606-6461b85c2c3f
Will I regularly post to a Lemmy instance in May 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
kec9tgvjoc
false
evfOfV4Sm1cv8ONlwl4I6KOwk4f2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Now that Florida is gone, the DC trial could feasibly start before the election. ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragrap...
BennyBoy
0eyHWQbaW9qLWJzy9761
public
contract
1,717,345,437,877
will-any-of-the-other-donald-trump
BennyBoy
https://firebasestorage.…c9c-86f10ac9a50c
Will any of the other Donald Trump criminal trials (Jury Selection) start before the November Presidential election?
null
0.432723
547.473489
YES
null
369mxln19f9
false
VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gs5a2klifae", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
NoitUK
DMNBzVD0kHV7bw5PFR84
public
contract
1,717,345,490,948
will-manifold-sponsor-a-dougdoug-st
NoitUK
https://firebasestorage.…606-6461b85c2c3f
Will Manifold sponsor a DougDoug stream in the next six months?
gs5a2klifae
0.03175
465.011405
NO
null
8ukocyr30v9
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ffz42mbpj87", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,717,345,508,807
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
ffz42mbpj87
null
1,049.843861
NO
08463c5f4f91
wfpt6dipf1a
false
2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "aurc3sschb8", "label": "24a", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Josh Wilkes
5sX1P2V1oO77FVHViv80
public
contract
1,717,345,516,457
will-xi-jinping-be-still-be-the-pre
JoshuaWilkes
https://firebasestorage.…516-65b151c295c8
Will Xi Jinping be still be the President of China or CCP Chairman by 2025?
oa7tgigd8zc
0.95868
355.296218
YES
null
fuzgf06we3v
false
V1YeIh32ozXzkndrxK0uHSPNlc53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "a...
Jono
RjrSEsLXnYrq1Yqz06Pp
public
contract
1,717,345,547,670
will-there-be-a-confirmed-instance
Jono3h
https://firebasestorage.…665-d33d645b1716
Will there be a confirmed instance of acausal trade before 2040?
null
null
null
null
null
0zk97k0v2r4
false
VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Congratulations to the extremely elderly parasite and his definitely-not-a-spy wife..", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
NoitUK
IQoTYVXCUl6ssBK1WAhD
public
contract
1,717,345,672,543
will-rupert-murdoch-marry-elena-zhu
NoitUK
https://firebasestorage.…606-6461b85c2c3f
Will Rupert Murdoch marry Elena Zhukova in 2024?
null
0.577236
6.8523
NO
null
z2228db57j
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "wasnt the point to close/resolve things earlier now? i thought that was the way they incentivize for creators ", "type": "text" } ...
chris (strutheo)
bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW
public
contract
1,717,345,708,361
will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9?
fmsmshfkr8e
0.983009
2,039.384344
YES
null
7y9cs6t201a
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z2228db57j", "label": "strutheo", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW
public
contract
1,717,345,892,480
will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9?
fmsmshfkr8e
0.983009
8,803.265432
YES
null
1jxiqncc1p9
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kmngozd2iu", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,346,074,692
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
wvt4qywh8rc
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1jxiqncc1p9", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,346,455,601
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
avw8hlfd9be
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "1jxiqncc1p9", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bair
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,346,516,191
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
119.092701
YES
null
259c9f1dw58
false
dEvAkoH19rTcIENraMy3kZyHOe82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if the operation is to slow down an adversary's AI development without intending to slow down AI development in general?", "type": "text...
Luke Hanks (HankyUSA)
ScZxGSJE4jf1DHfXXq5C
public
contract
1,717,346,584,316
will-there-be-a-military-operation-312w0l1eba
HankyUSA
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrs9Q53gYHp6HbnXlXHhLBPcjB8HOvuaWTt58yPYSM=s96-c
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
null
null
null
null
null
w7s8u03rma
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wvt4qywh8rc", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bair
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,346,616,774
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
119.092701
YES
null
ooldz12nxh
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "bump, new meme added, vote for jan here : ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "vyYzjEbTFMaexiR4aG42...
chris (strutheo)
En0ncv9e19UiqN4Zxz69
public
contract
1,717,346,691,698
what-memefold-post-will-be-voted-be
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Which #memefold post will be voted best Manifold meme of 2024?
null
null
0
NO
0ba8854c631c
r1hc3j09yn
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "houston now eligible ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
PvWyYOQL7I3NFmZJtXSb
public
contract
1,717,346,713,681
who-will-create-manifolds-meme-of-t
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Who will create Manifold's Meme of the Year?
null
null
null
null
null
ngrajpyjdd
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "(1) Excluding from consideration Data the TNG character", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "att...
ClubmasterTransparent
RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH
public
contract
1,717,346,754,645
manifold-american-english-pronuncia
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide
null
null
11.709206
YES
2spz9vls4y
kggl4jj7j6k
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "avw8hlfd9be", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,346,795,435
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
t4hmb3iy4pf
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "one month left - get your submissions in", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
vS3j92Y86VrDoQNpR7NR
public
contract
1,717,346,991,279
what-will-be-the-best-ai-generated-2aa4f85e33f3
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
🖼️What will be the best AI generated Manifold banner created in Q2 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
0
NO
0daaf4ef00fd
4gz661ie262
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NBA finals time", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, ...
chris (strutheo)
BmeQJCpUqNSwnL63HTcg
public
contract
1,717,347,027,047
will-mark-cuban-run-for-president-b
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Mark Cuban run for president before the Dallas Mavericks play in the NBA Championship again?
null
null
null
null
null
ggrel565ll
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mo30srldkp", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
P9s56FK7i1yBgNiOAzew
public
contract
1,717,347,052,551
leftwing-or-rightwing-which-personc
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
8pvfrh1ej5n
null
2.759356
YES
16df8c8459d1
pj7gtnfetxg
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "finally staying <4% again?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
1sfbjcTu6zgqjCVjqWA2
public
contract
1,717,347,142,698
will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
null
0.033073
3,467.835372
NO
null
0k4bnpq4xbkv
false
W4DPeAn1dgSCKihdNbXNQ9t2IG13
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "w7s8u03rma", "label": "Bair", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Gary Grenda
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,347,166,084
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
GaryGrenda
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4ZHecqpAg_FOj7PUML7fIWG_Ze1jJz3VVozoux3A=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
53,663.921631
NO
null
c0unldhxvg
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "p95atij4rnl", "label": "pzet", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Bayesian
AfnSVV1wVfw6DANJtRWE
public
contract
1,717,347,175,841
will-i-become-a-master-on-codeforce
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will I become a master on Codeforces by the end of August?
p95atij4rnl
0.82
2,736.867136
NO
null
loamypiqa8o
false
rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "label": "komplexkonjugat", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
Matt C. Wilson
Vez3ZzwAn1T5p6uBLvn5
public
contract
1,717,347,279,613
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-92
MattCWilson
https://firebasestorage.…c23-a3b854776865
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 92)
null
null
1,187.909672
YES
8169suohzl
v61wh4pummf
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Susanne inFrance
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,347,363,612
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
null
0.985289
5,164.81092
YES
null
5hxufg7i1xr
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mhaa5iv7xd", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Archibald Crone
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
public
contract
1,717,347,381,067
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president in North America?
mhaa5iv7xd
null
null
null
null
pq0tl9d7p7k
false
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
The Official
jsGjRmS6NpeE0Nnzqh9F
public
contract
1,717,347,402,544
will-donald-trump-create-a-tiktok-a
10thOfficial
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
Will Donald Trump create a TikTok account by the end of 2024?
null
0.389302
1,870.085824
YES
null
x039ausvgjh
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Geoffrey Irving says he’s not bound: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "ma...
Garrett Baker
gxhKEFlUMqGMRaVKs8hX
public
contract
1,717,347,409,611
which-of-the-names-below-will-i-rec
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Which of the names below will I receive significant evidence are NOT bound by non-disparagement agreements by EOY 2024
null
null
null
null
null
1sqsaahmoyc
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "“Lie-l’c” (it’s a schwa) is the plant and the aroma, “lie-lack” is the color.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
ClubmasterTransparent
RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH
public
contract
1,717,347,481,482
manifold-american-english-pronuncia
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide
null
null
17.902218
NO
9wsygk1uxh
fe67x25phyr
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "“Usual culprits”", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, "content": [ {...
Susanne inFrance
2qyVBkj72NGp4jB48nUI
public
contract
1,717,347,703,141
in-2030-what-will-consensus-say-is
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the US obesity epidemic?
null
null
null
null
null
xiq1v4z3wnf
false
u6fhON8bIDUsC11YmOcXx3kxOat2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The IEC has announced the ANC won 159 seats ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, ...
wylderai
J9gVMvsExQD5OSOU9pT2
public
contract
1,717,347,742,347
will-the-anc-win-a-majority-in-the
wylderai
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhcB8djJV_UMmMGE6QUmZ5Ai6LdjNBpwUdFgGpQUA=s96-c
Will the ANC win a majority in the 2024 South African general election?
null
0.058382
33.649257
NO
null
dga5yo5ryyf
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z9033s0fyki", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
ClubmasterTransparent
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,347,869,264
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
ptjglgfz7hf
null
null
null
null
81jzrybwx5t
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Would this count if the pigs were placed on a flight and flown from a location to anotherm or do the pigs need to fly on there own. As in the pig fly w...
Andrew
nqKrkMtdF9l5Atid46g0
public
contract
1,717,347,901,624
what-will-happen-before-luffy-finds
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
👒What will happen before Luffy finds the One Piece? [ADD RESPONSES]
null
null
108.265288
YES
58c5a3ca3db1
dcz4londxw
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I found another lot of 220x for ~70...", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null, ...
chris (strutheo)
7YjdC8kze53UUk38tUS8
public
contract
1,717,348,083,137
will-i-regret-buying-100-cartermond
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will I regret buying 100 Carter-Mondale pins for $100 a year from now?
null
0.240765
703.452556
NO
null
jm4tlz93ga
false
urjrS8o0FbbPQOvPdwXu1acSHDu2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "81jzrybwx5t", "label": "AndrewCrosse", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ess Ay
nqKrkMtdF9l5Atid46g0
public
contract
1,717,348,113,721
what-will-happen-before-luffy-finds
Snga
https://firebasestorage.…c82-fe1bde3dac77
👒What will happen before Luffy finds the One Piece? [ADD RESPONSES]
81jzrybwx5t
null
50.780653
YES
5193dfe9fd22
p6bes210d2
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mhaa5iv7xd", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Archibald Crone
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
public
contract
1,717,348,169,828
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president in North America?
mhaa5iv7xd
null
null
null
null
6amhihuyek4
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "v61wh4pummf", "label": "SusanneinFrance", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Plasma Ballin'
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,348,211,769
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
v61wh4pummf
null
null
null
null
sxvpu63dzgc
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Right now, we are not resilient to loss of a single tile in most places, ...
robm
CKuP5LDl4wv70nTg7Yxx
public
contract
1,717,348,273,136
what-will-be-true-of-the-everyday-a
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
What will be true of the Everyday Astronaut 's Starbase tour with Elon Musk about IFT 4?
null
null
154.483446
YES
o6d8r9t9as
af0gdothggv
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "19f5m7wraqj", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
ClubmasterTransparent
yk2Oy6AK8j4n0Bh7mcfP
public
contract
1,717,348,297,024
which-of-the-following-is-true-of-e
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Which of the following is true of Elon Musk?
vtjbz50oob
null
2,090.570122
NO
3492687fa606
iaks6gjxeqp
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Ill set up a place with instructions and paper at lighthaven after less online ends ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "parag...
chris (strutheo)
CDuYbTQ0Q9ABXoE12xHP
public
contract
1,717,348,340,291
will-they-fold-1000-paper-cranes-at
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will they fold 1000 paper cranes at Manifest 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
stjco9s2z8e
false
IiMcXEGTjUXE5oAOu95ntKjxzZ92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jm4tlz93ga", "label": "Snga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Andrew
nqKrkMtdF9l5Atid46g0
public
contract
1,717,348,364,623
what-will-happen-before-luffy-finds
AndrewCrosse
https://firebasestorage.…f22-3dec558fe261
👒What will happen before Luffy finds the One Piece? [ADD RESPONSES]
81jzrybwx5t
null
270.051751
YES
58c5a3ca3db1
mgmu06ztm9
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "40y81ixgwq4", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Susanne inFrance
5sgdsTiqF9sAUz4ZYpQS
public
contract
1,717,348,375,882
who-will-send-the-next-astronauts-t
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Who will send the next astronauts to the moon?
yOpoDdJFGncmMIlb830M
null
87.533523
YES
519c4aae8051
f94uuvem0j
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "8ukocyr30v9", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,717,348,445,534
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
ffz42mbpj87
null
1,185.946396
YES
36508860cdd0
e5qzw577mis
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "When I ask people that have recently bought a gas car recently why they d...
Bair
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,348,459,441
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
119.092701
YES
null
wez77dbtrjh
false
JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "40y81ixgwq4", "label": "jim", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Joshua
5sgdsTiqF9sAUz4ZYpQS
public
contract
1,717,348,554,927
who-will-send-the-next-astronauts-t
Joshua
https://firebasestorage.…7d5-f5791800ee6f
Who will send the next astronauts to the moon?
yOpoDdJFGncmMIlb830M
null
42.877537
YES
2ec7d11b8b14
69x4hqkopj
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "f94uuvem0j", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,717,348,580,862
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
ffz42mbpj87
null
1,049.843861
NO
08463c5f4f91
gpfephey4bc
false
eddVa8y1oEPcvY7zhaaFZ1r4DND2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "\"Chechen republic\" and similar stuff would also count.", ...
Onixar Lilen
PrMatrHgR2k3aaE7tlm5
public
contract
1,717,348,713,831
at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w-577334d56c4e
OnixarLilen
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtexJYsNPQODvcMkvDvV0JE1Y2RembqsIchHJ4dqYyAv=s96-c
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
null
null
null
null
null
8gg7mf974ni
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "NBA finals time!", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
chris (strutheo)
kvkHnd60cuhuUl8Cz94K
public
contract
1,717,348,900,472
will-mark-cuban-run-for-president-b-ohzjua4os4
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
Will Mark Cuban run for president before the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Championship again?
null
null
null
null
null
wy0k9yt65ei
false
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Public Service Limit Order ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Manifold Politics
bfuHyzgdpe5nDRH9aAzW
public
contract
1,717,348,916,857
will-manifest-2024-happen-in-sf-fro
ManifoldPolitics
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
Will Manifest 2024 happen in the SF Bay Area from June 7-9?
null
null
null
null
null
is1k6ey30nj
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "to be clear: this was for an earthquake in the Bay Area/felt at the event, so this doesn't resolve yes and I'm updating the option to be more specific"...
stefanie
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,348,916,892
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
1,025.222535
YES
8bca377e66b7
qotsajjat8q
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "p6bes210d2", "label": "BlueDragon", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bruno
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
public
contract
1,717,349,002,386
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico?
mhaa5iv7xd
null
null
null
null
ym8o0dir0jr
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6amhihuyek4", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Susanne inFrance
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,349,013,533
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
v61wh4pummf
1
5,164.81092
YES
null
0685z4xphost
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I know nothing about sports, seemingly every team except Dallas and Boston is at extremely low odds, is it a case where they're the only teams left in ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,349,023,175
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
null
null
null
null
null
vh051t6lmbs
false
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "can ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods"...
chris (strutheo)
QPYbCDIINseuOgNozcAq
public
contract
1,717,349,032,698
if-biden-wins-will-trump-be-found-g
strutheo
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
If Biden wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
3c1yizu1ne5
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2", "label": "shankypanky", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mentio...
Ziddletwix
McdPV7drrLL3gLY2TMVe
public
contract
1,717,349,044,944
will-inverse-cramer-hit-amazon-in-t
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
will Inverse Cramer hit Amazon in the next six months (June '24)?
null
0.03
3,739.855034
NO
null
7m4rwrnaahi
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "0685z4xphost", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,349,070,218
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
0685z4xphost
null
2,363.278697
YES
8730e267c153
xzcih4fexsb
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "ym8o0dir0jr", "label": "SusanneinFrance", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" },...
Plasma Ballin'
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,349,125,719
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
v61wh4pummf
null
null
null
null
ndizi02lt1m
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "3c1yizu1ne5", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
stefanie
McdPV7drrLL3gLY2TMVe
public
contract
1,717,349,179,959
will-inverse-cramer-hit-amazon-in-t
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
will Inverse Cramer hit Amazon in the next six months (June '24)?
3c1yizu1ne5
0.03
1,585.991613
NO
null
f0hnra311w9
false
ZNbZqVJ7rJUmjzymhIgtfMc6JJQ2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "gpfephey4bc", "label": "OnixarLilen", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Vadim
PrMatrHgR2k3aaE7tlm5
public
contract
1,717,349,188,819
at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w-577334d56c4e
wadimiusz
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu30gaq8rWjmpzfVLcGMCtPvX9oYTxN3NWEN6SJ4=s96-c
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
gpfephey4bc
null
null
null
null
fq0wb43e7df
false
a4Y150jRVKWdZnH0wnciZuENtjN2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7m4rwrnaahi", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
The All Memeing Eye ♠️
y5eGY1CFGGllUatsiXMx
public
contract
1,717,349,236,035
who-will-win-the-2024-nba-champions
TheAllMemeingEye
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKHq72qrRXesE4B-F3ThIh_PIHc6roe5lLTOYJ8jGqrxZQ=s96-c
Who will win the 2024 NBA Championship?
0685z4xphost
null
null
null
null
54s6384vgw
false
seF80w4NuDXRDFINDuLgJPZb4A83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "tbewrsf2jq", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
celery
CwMcNYGZxKgJgTWE26X2
public
contract
1,717,349,288,353
uefa-champions-league-202324-finals
WhoamI748e
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKUqqQCy_0aaMYaUr-4Yqx9_5mI-AGwfE8G2mx2p1iLgVY=s96-c
UEFA Champions League 2023-24 Finals - All market dashboard
6pv863k1okl
null
311.741939
YES
11d772ea0a9a
6c0fj2ug2d9
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "fcdoef4bbyj", "label": "Pjfkh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
Niko
po5P7afYMej7Nqp5waB6
public
contract
1,717,349,313,729
will-trump-be-pardoned-or-have-a-si
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will Trump be pardoned OR have a significant legal victory in the New York case before the election?
fcdoef4bbyj
0.172434
392.28972
YES
null
wtrjahvdsq
false
bLt6k1O80HbqWMzqrsWtsktGLGx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "xzcih4fexsb", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Susanne inFrance
Nz3iCzue7KpWd6XLyQfx
public
contract
1,717,349,457,918
will-scotus-rule-in-favor-of-the-nr
SusanneinFrance
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIDOs86WcHU8dwcDIj414T7jk_b0RgedXuz4g-gxhsW=s96-c
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of the NRA in National Rifle Association v. Vullo before July 31, 2024?
v61wh4pummf
1
5,164.81092
YES
null
zzbwwsdh9mq
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is now the longest-lasting unresolved take, since it won't resolve until at least June 8, at which point it will be two days older than the Peter ...
Plasma Ballin'
KYemquxoEQCMagfo5XE0
public
contract
1,717,349,490,312
good-tweet-or-bad-tweet-which-contr
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
null
null
1,185.946396
YES
36508860cdd0
koxsf4pss4a
false
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "If anyone is interested, i will put up to $5000 of real money on the result of this question with me getting No at current market odds", "typ...
Marcus Abramovitch
4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F
public
contract
1,717,349,657,520
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres
MarcusAbramovitch
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
0.51502
128,502.737441
NO
null
sg0c51hsxgb
false
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "label": "Joshua", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Marcus Abramovitch
T7ReSjOHXgl1iRvIK2bD
public
contract
1,717,349,804,365
will-ron-desantis-win-at-least-thre
MarcusAbramovitch
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
Will Ron DeSantis win at least three states in the Republican primaries?
null
0.003044
10,024.584046
NO
null
w4vxwnf49re
false
s39YDTv6HvayjjrGcbT8TV56V0e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "mhaa5iv7xd", "label": "BrunoParga", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Quantum Gambler
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
public
contract
1,717,349,823,647
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
Mirek
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMirek%2FHT1snXZm5P.51?alt=media&token=3ba36ff2-73b1-44fb-9d34-e0da533f7055
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico?
mhaa5iv7xd
null
511.140344
YES
387a05262c1a