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byh11zeik6t
false
6KWjHgjrlzUCYTxXW9NEGzm5JWu1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I strongly dislike both, but I think Biden is the lesser evil. My preferred candidate is Chase Oliver.", "type": "text" } ], ...
J00
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,360,078,995
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
J00
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLk_gEnLrWNlyW6mDOUfpw0ts6v_z9wyYwNMpg17QPE=s96-c
Do you support Trump or Biden?
null
null
null
null
null
lezn3yup04
false
VFzSD3qUntb9Pu0giXBvjkmkqsh2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "6c0fj2ug2d9", "label": "Moscow25", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pjfkh
po5P7afYMej7Nqp5waB6
public
contract
1,717,360,090,281
will-trump-be-pardoned-or-have-a-si
Pjfkh
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI8G8CptLN8rZpkc1wuPjxiTtiehCNWr6XuloMSvvz6=s96-c
Will Trump be pardoned OR have a significant legal victory in the New York case before the election?
fcdoef4bbyj
null
null
null
null
v8rmw1gcc8o
false
y5epDloYrxdc6yqnC1VjnTuVCal2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4cdu4qgy68u", "label": "GaryGrenda", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bair
OzQ98blOASYf60lphBXO
public
contract
1,717,360,100,691
will-50-of-all-new-car-sales-in-the
Bair
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
uikq5ya1oz
0.54
119.092701
YES
null
cvul0py5fxm
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
Pat Scott🩴
gfQm1Qv6rxCt8O0DlY74
public
contract
1,717,360,159,781
manifest-2024-lessonline-summer-cam
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
Manifest 2024: LessOnline + Summer Camp Prop Bets [May 31-June 7]
null
null
1,033.966863
YES
5okh99oqza
9clrh4x1qsq
false
zANxxeUKBvU6GNf8cIRcO7wXXul2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I can get you a year's worth of semaglutide for $600 right now. Real pure semaglutide manufactured legally, with no need for prescription or insurance....
Mira
HYgyaBBnnu0jaf2x3zWC
public
contract
1,717,360,235,083
will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200
Mira
https://firebasestorage.…959-42404b37a55f
Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
null
null
null
null
null
r4j5pjagdai
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9jzt1byto6t", "label": "Stralor", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,360,271,567
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
nq52qshsqg
null
2.06313
YES
58f1389a1390
elgs5mlzc3
false
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "r4j5pjagdai", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Pat Scott🩴
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,360,476,932
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
Stralor
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
nq52qshsqg
null
208.315976
NO
0b8ca19072a2
ul60rwn3v2d
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9clrh4x1qsq", "label": "Mira", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
RemNi
HYgyaBBnnu0jaf2x3zWC
public
contract
1,717,360,675,192
will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
9clrh4x1qsq
null
null
null
null
teppnimw78c
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "umrtcpzitoj", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
9OrITykedhV3BbaevcYn
public
contract
1,717,360,700,230
will-a-market-structure-that-incent
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will a market structure that incentivize betting on long term markets be found, by the end of May?
l7zes3jivn
0.052394
2,172.17544
NO
null
ev57so8kl5w
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jge83sbqln9", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
pNQgTGSkEQG0lNlv7ctE
public
contract
1,717,360,766,935
will-oversimplified-youtube-channel
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Oversimplified (YouTube channel), post a video this spring?
jge83sbqln9
0.023066
4,303.76834
NO
null
422dzv023qc
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "9clrh4x1qsq", "label": "Mira", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
RemNi
HYgyaBBnnu0jaf2x3zWC
public
contract
1,717,360,779,611
will-semaglutide-cost-less-than-200
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
9clrh4x1qsq
null
null
null
null
46czugv3b8g
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "label": "NathanpmYoung", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "ment...
Ziddletwix
EC49PTuJ6uyyHNmBnmZI
public
contract
1,717,360,800,110
community-notes-will-handle-predict
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Community Notes will handle prediction markets well or show the manifold/polymarket market graphs before 2024 June
gmxd8b2sb5
0.038099
1,439.834196
NO
null
7qnn2t2j8rl
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5wtfWB2k6iOiIexu4eQUN87ARry1", "label": "akrasiac", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
kHKK0uytTLVYVfhKeokX
public
contract
1,717,360,865,392
will-seribantumab-receive-fda-appro
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will seribantumab receive FDA approval by the end of May 2024?
null
0.01
344.013209
NO
null
65a1holp5ov
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
PARH8aS9E0PehVqQ1wSI
public
contract
1,717,360,898,398
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-608af03901cc
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will any of the videos uploaded to Mr Beast's YouTube channel in May 2024 surpass 150M views?
null
0.010209
355.678795
NO
null
jsyzdwc89q
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "yhxl81jkvxg", "label": "JamesBaker3", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
3c0CFhgLX7QMGbBXIfe5
public
contract
1,717,360,943,388
will-i-be-able-to-buy-mealsquares-2
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will I be able to buy MealSquares 2.0 in May?
yhxl81jkvxg
0.947286
3.696122
YES
null
vfb74b8l9jb
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "label": "vluzko", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
DeFwmhYMVeIWMNpablZF
public
contract
1,717,360,978,314
shortterm-ai-33-by-june-2024-will-s
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Short-term AI 3.3: By June 2024 will SOTA on HumanEval be >= 99%?
null
0.03287
259.779878
NO
null
f3y0jd01au
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "label": "toms", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
r17Fg9Myb9s0u04m3lDc
public
contract
1,717,360,997,004
will-haist-harvard-ai-safety-team-b-de013366814d
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will HAIST (Harvard AI Safety Team Student Group) be mentioned in a major news outlet by May 31, 2024?
null
0.051162
105.168591
NO
null
b8akc973mge
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "poqliyzwzpe", "label": "TheAllMemeingEye", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }...
Savior of Plant
N1EZ58Ip4WYvbrlmegyD
public
contract
1,717,361,014,420
what-would-have-to-be-true-about-do
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him
poqliyzwzpe
null
38.733175
NO
8462092872c0
4wyw7jzseha
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
LvWv0GXsSnG3RAXZhTSc
public
contract
1,717,361,019,811
will-laurie-glimcher-ceo-danafarber
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Laurie Glimcher (CEO, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute) Resign Due to Manipulated Research Data by June 1, 2024?
kp58riuxp5s
0.017158
488.021576
NO
null
v8jahn74hnc
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "HSB5OZ8jBHQZZLjs9oWS7avZTqE3", "label": "Odoacre", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
csIy55H3ygYhZLDDfSIJ
public
contract
1,717,361,047,390
which-months-will-have-a-record-on
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which month(s) will have a record on Mana sales going forward
65x8cg5e5c8
null
681.06841
NO
955adba1a13b
49r3n3jeiel
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
rVnFTzdaR02zUhfS33KL
public
contract
1,717,361,096,540
if-loan-system-is-removed-will-near
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
If loan system is removed, will near 0% long term markets stop being accurate?
null
0.143331
84.610931
NO
null
ioms87hcf2i
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "sCOvPc5J2sOacn0DYjwL7OAMzcV2", "label": "benshindel", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention...
Ziddletwix
CUJaUVajBKOIMmvXKF5D
public
contract
1,717,361,113,910
which-things-will-be-trendy-this-su
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Which things will be trendy this summer? (A June 2024 GoogleTrends Adventure)
null
null
105.648303
YES
23bd8fe41134
7nqps68f856
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "enem92zxfik", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
Y64vyQ1097AlPe3JX2h0
public
contract
1,717,361,172,284
who-will-win-the-next-champions-lea
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
WHO will win the next Champions League
enem92zxfik
null
5,073.061781
YES
a7648c352738
hbsy8xr2vho
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Crazy how the nationalities of the 2024 world champion (Chinese, teenager current wr holder 46.80) and 2023 world champion (Romanian, teenager, former ...
KldTouchr87
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,361,303,578
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
null
null
329.208082
YES
1fda418fcda3
z3miq4natgo
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Who cooked up these options 😭😭😭", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
KldTouchr87
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,361,324,787
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
null
null
329.208082
YES
1fda418fcda3
nqz5vf3se2
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
xQRqDibQwrDIZbMpmxRS
public
contract
1,717,361,398,832
will-casey-newton-begin-dating-an-a
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
Will Casey Newton begin dating an AI before June of 2024
mrl8perebkf
0.03139
2,922.215858
NO
null
akxhnn7gd6k
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "No hate to Baeleb but bro took a year break he ain winning ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type"...
KldTouchr87
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,361,481,716
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
null
null
329.208082
YES
1fda418fcda3
opct2gc5wi
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "GTA 6 planned for Fall 2025: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Timothy Johnson
HvTJLPAMNrSMoSORu3tm
public
contract
1,717,361,699,268
will-taylor-swift-get-married-befor-bdee43f8f26a
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
Will Taylor Swift get married before Grand Theft Auto 6 releases?
null
null
null
null
null
zzgs0h0atrn
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "USB-C connectors have many issues", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RemNi
9AWfRmCiT9APnWN3csor
public
contract
1,717,361,739,024
will-there-be-a-new-usb-standard-co
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will there be a new USB standard connector by 2033?
null
0.596058
48.466421
YES
null
puk0cr6e3dg
false
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "label": "SemioticRivalry", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "me...
jim
IeRD0KuHxZUTSgDCSnNE
public
contract
1,717,361,774,227
at-manifest-2024-will-jim-convince
jim
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
At Manifest 2024 will @jim convince Eliezer Yudkowsky that an AI moratorium would be a bad idea?
null
0.106644
901.476805
YES
null
t8wqctl6lwt
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if companies can purchase these but individuals cannot?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type...
RemNi
xDgZ9GpBj4IeliajNSFr
public
contract
1,717,361,802,412
will-we-be-able-to-buy-a-25k-autono
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?
null
null
null
null
null
0srwcok7f4gr
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Summer McIntosh could conceivably pull it off ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": null...
KldTouchr87
w4rkBlj0gLs6ioN7auXH
public
contract
1,717,361,968,554
2024-paris-olympics-prop-bets
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
2024 Paris Olympics Prop Bets [Add your own!]
null
null
54.462533
YES
a38c808daec0
k2pqbrjpdb
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Why are so many people voting no on this question?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RemNi
Q64BBTJSHWQfhovq5bnA
public
contract
1,717,362,012,712
will-a-reliable-and-general-househo
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
null
0.386051
89.699146
YES
null
sxutfy54c09
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "label": "Tripping", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
1LttYAb8uNTe4kgMAfDg
public
contract
1,717,362,083,657
how-much-will-kingdom-of-the-planet
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
How much will Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (2024) gross at the worldwide box office?
null
null
169.564016
YES
28698fdcd603
hbqtydsp2qe
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The lowest performing gpt-4 model is a fairly low bar now ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type":...
RemNi
CsFFqpYZBlrxTWE82P2L
public
contract
1,717,362,109,216
will-xai-release-a-model-that-match
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will xAI release a model that matches or surpasses GPT4 performance in 2024?
null
null
null
null
null
nqinhshvqwr
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573", "label": "mods", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ziddletwix
7cLbLgQFzsYJpAa8eqFw
public
contract
1,717,362,326,165
rottentomatoes-2k24-critics-yes-vs
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
RottenTomatoes 2k24: Critics [YES] vs. Fans [NO] 🍿🍅⚔️
null
null
767.641535
YES
301690ce45d7
hvbw9yy4f1
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "label": "AmmonLam", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Timothy Johnson
zLcAzUjbPrzYrVUY1TRv
public
contract
1,717,362,344,493
when-will-gaza-have-a-ceasefire-whi
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
When will Gaza have a ceasefire? (before end of which month?) [Israel Hamas Conflict]
null
null
307.501514
NO
30e27d8cb5d8
25yj6rvjgi2
false
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Savior of Plant
kBS7PSzOTv9nIJSgmGSK
public
contract
1,717,362,351,790
will-any-ai-regulation-be-passed-be
SaviorofPlant
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
Will any AI regulation be passed between now and the start of the 119th Congress?
null
0.390707
0
NO
null
288cdg9ebzo
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Do they need to physically demonstrate this? At scale?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "do...
RemNi
u1hCf24lNpTqWYEpM2Uq
public
contract
1,717,362,622,605
alphafold-involved-in-a-sota-c02-di
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?
null
null
null
null
null
a7k3j0vg1rp
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "I just hope they support inpainting user uploaded images properly ", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], ...
RemNi
SEF4oo9KX9nVtK7MSPr9
public
contract
1,717,362,680,867
what-model-version-number-will-midj
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
What model version number will MidJourney default to at the end of 2025?
null
null
null
null
null
5igspe15ixb
false
rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "k2pqbrjpdb", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Tumbles ♠︎ Misses Manifold
Q64BBTJSHWQfhovq5bnA
public
contract
1,717,362,836,746
will-a-reliable-and-general-househo
Tumbles
https://firebasestorage.…8aa-654bdc115c8d
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
k2pqbrjpdb
0.386051
7,874.485625
NO
null
1xssnfg9qwh
false
cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "4v4mw9pf0l7", "label": "Agh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Genzy
ubX6ny2ocG8Tbzd14GNj
public
contract
1,717,362,856,850
which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-ho
Gen
https://firebasestorage.…bad-76d96081176f
Which Hogwarts house do you sort Holden Caulfield into?
mpqa6lz91
null
null
null
null
i0wwpsig1bc
false
rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "kzq5d8s2gtk", "label": "ChristopherRandles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Bruno
YjxGSpTMl7VzafTG74Lf
public
contract
1,717,362,954,916
who-will-the-anc-form-a-minority-go
BrunoParga
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c
Who will the ANC form a minority government with?
kzq5d8s2gtk
null
null
null
null
7yny4c6p8d7
false
hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Biden has been one of the worst presidents in terms of foreign policy.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ...
Simran 🤍
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,362,967,830
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
SimranRahman
https://firebasestorage.…59c-fb117d1f5f71
Do you support Trump or Biden?
null
null
null
null
null
hhps7zbhswk
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Nothing dramatic has happened here yet, has it?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Plasma Ballin'
SQ1vPvplbRIKJIBb4Ffc
public
contract
1,717,363,582,887
what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-zgrov4cuhk
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of June 2024?
null
null
162.121005
YES
3bjkniwynn
qth2xovfmyb
false
xfvv2IHWADa6xJjECe73FFXU3CV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Transformers is still an incredibly popular series worldwide, especially in China. No shot this goes negative", "type": "text" } ...
EugeneBixby
BxfalLjZBYYUvPeNpFU7
public
contract
1,717,363,781,299
after-furiosas-poor-opening-weekend
EugeneBixby
https://firebasestorage.…a71-2fe7e17f7e21
After Furiosa's poor opening weekend, will any of these upcoming movies flop this year?
null
null
199.72019
NO
a3e17dda39e4
7uj3llf4g7a
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "z3miq4natgo", "label": "DerekYao", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,363,953,989
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
z3miq4natgo
null
53.154548
YES
4794635ec1ee
5rmpjuc6vze
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Who’d u think have good shots", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,363,972,846
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
z3miq4natgo
null
53.154548
YES
4794635ec1ee
rhirkq6njm
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5igspe15ixb", "label": "Tumbles", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
RemNi
Q64BBTJSHWQfhovq5bnA
public
contract
1,717,364,045,326
will-a-reliable-and-general-househo
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
k2pqbrjpdb
0.386051
89.699146
YES
null
1ioboxwol3i
false
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "hhps7zbhswk", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Gabrielle
SQ1vPvplbRIKJIBb4Ffc
public
contract
1,717,364,070,521
what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-zgrov4cuhk
Gabrielle
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of June 2024?
hhps7zbhswk
null
null
null
null
64u5d0x07uv
false
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "nqinhshvqwr", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Plasma Ballin'
7cLbLgQFzsYJpAa8eqFw
public
contract
1,717,364,217,329
rottentomatoes-2k24-critics-yes-vs
PlasmaBallin
https://firebasestorage.…942-444e233b50a5
RottenTomatoes 2k24: Critics [YES] vs. Fans [NO] 🍿🍅⚔️
nqinhshvqwr
null
null
null
null
8dxwjw95k5
false
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Christopher Randles
BG8EsrzKLbyMXtF6vnnN
public
contract
1,717,364,656,814
will-nvidia-stock-close-the-month-o
ChristopherRandles
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
Will Nvidia stock close the month of May higher than its start of May opening price?
null
0.987461
6,533.018792
YES
null
jyw1fhny03
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "definitely a risk", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RemNi
dPFf6wYIm7bzY5P2QoHu
public
contract
1,717,364,815,445
will-sentient-cabbage-wipe-out-huma
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will sentient cabbage wipe out humanity by 2100?
null
null
null
null
null
tdf21btb0y
false
oYKXAatHp3YN6vidj2KHdCFr91d2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Would a national government announcing that they've already bought some bitcoin count as a \"reveal\", or does it have to be \"exposed\" by some other ...
mongo
SfFReHtz81zD8jDCJLw3
public
contract
1,717,365,020,909
will-a-national-government-be-revea-07aa303fe9e5
mongo
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7I_X--wyVrh_ZPix4FSV8YMpbXtxCdMU-qkPeUUA=s96-c
Will a national government be revealed this year to have been secretly buying Bitcoin?
null
0.331104
7.297451
NO
null
5gf9nu0stzp
false
UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "qqw44gqcceq", "label": "JonathanRay", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Jonathan Ray
NyA5UxR0NvsVc2yIEfIs
public
contract
1,717,365,213,238
what-is-the-best-explanation-to-the
JonathanRay
https://firebasestorage.…4e6-c893d48ec660
What is the best explanation to the Fermi Paradox?
0631oRKgRVCAqG8Br7EI
null
54.952109
YES
d11251c01ffc
wppp17yk8qj
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What if someone builds a device that ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "ma...
RemNi
pRrjPdfgKPxzdoAeeP8S
public
contract
1,717,365,219,202
will-an-explosive-at-least-one-thou
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will an explosive at least one thousand times more powerful than the Tsar Bomba be developed before 2040?
null
0.137175
0
YES
null
3n437sbreha
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "wppp17yk8qj", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, {...
RemNi
pRrjPdfgKPxzdoAeeP8S
public
contract
1,717,365,282,752
will-an-explosive-at-least-one-thou
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will an explosive at least one thousand times more powerful than the Tsar Bomba be developed before 2040?
wppp17yk8qj
0.137175
0
YES
null
svvpbvjup3
false
tkNCtOhWIFTBae4SqpC85drkYx83
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jge83sbqln9", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Looneylookey
pNQgTGSkEQG0lNlv7ctE
public
contract
1,717,365,479,131
will-oversimplified-youtube-channel
LucasKozbinski
https://firebasestorage.…534-f4193fbb3f81
Will Oversimplified (YouTube channel), post a video this spring?
jge83sbqln9
0
0
YES
null
qgc61mapurf
false
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "64u5d0x07uv", "label": "PlasmaBallin", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Ziddletwix
7cLbLgQFzsYJpAa8eqFw
public
contract
1,717,365,559,433
rottentomatoes-2k24-critics-yes-vs
Ziddletwix
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
RottenTomatoes 2k24: Critics [YES] vs. Fans [NO] 🍿🍅⚔️
nqinhshvqwr
null
767.641535
YES
301690ce45d7
f480i91lxfi
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Market for next week: ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ ...
Base
QI79jOI2XRSjvXWDbi3m
public
contract
1,717,365,631,905
what-will-happen-this-week-27050206
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
What will happen this Week? (27.05-02.06.2024) [You can add answers]
null
null
2,792.388086
YES
9331cd405582
bihe2e8jyk6
false
3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Where does a campaign to reduce the number of non-medical abortions, but otherwise increase access to contraception sit?", "type": "text" ...
MercurialGuesser
aUiYsXCwKOvY8p836tUj
public
contract
1,717,365,649,336
contraception-becomes-much-harder-t
OP
https://firebasestorage.…8da-0f20dd0e5cac
Contraception becomes much harder to access in China through 2030
null
null
null
null
null
ecgkzini3k
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "pls give me info for that in the next 7 days otherwise i will resolve it no", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" ...
Base
QI79jOI2XRSjvXWDbi3m
public
contract
1,717,365,716,774
what-will-happen-this-week-27050206
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
What will happen this Week? (27.05-02.06.2024) [You can add answers]
null
null
2,792.388086
YES
9331cd405582
tj73us0qwmf
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "what about non-ARM RISC ?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
RemNi
GWkusXuica725LKhibgY
public
contract
1,717,365,730,241
will-armpowered-pcs-make-up-30-of-t
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will ARM-powered PCs make up 30% of the PC market by 2026?
null
null
null
null
null
vkue6kpf2r
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This is \"employed in the US\" for the resolution right?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "...
RemNi
ob6ch6lYN8vCelL6ifEc
public
contract
1,717,365,800,100
will-there-be-more-paralegals-and-l
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will there be more paralegals and legal assistants employed in 2026 than today?
null
null
null
null
null
hn4rt4dw4vg
false
e1vpMsZfzASlIASX1xPtLxyAFnA2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "California: IM A STH", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }, { "attrs": { "alt": null, ...
Timothy Johnson
lzwiyoeyZyK9BabJbjju
public
contract
1,717,365,804,471
manifold-competition-state-vanity-l
TimothyJohnson5c16
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYY1maA_aMEcew3CXHdOWt6elNschJLRt5gE5D8AQ=s96-c
[Manifold Competition] State Vanity License Plate Civil War
null
null
null
null
null
jtek81ficm
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,831,231
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
9ih3m7bkap4
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,836,104
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
s2ju5mi38sg
false
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "vkue6kpf2r", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
RemNi
ob6ch6lYN8vCelL6ifEc
public
contract
1,717,365,850,602
will-there-be-more-paralegals-and-l
RemNi
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
Will there be more paralegals and legal assistants employed in 2026 than today?
vkue6kpf2r
null
null
null
null
0pnjs67djfhj
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,873,376
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
dgiuhshmkr
false
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Base
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,878,049
how-many-hits-after-30-days
Base
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
1,262.491056
NO
ef66cc22eb16
pr5dknfgbn
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,884,127
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
xheie2vs1ze
false
ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "This was supposed to be 2024-08-15, but it's too late to fix, so it will stay Aug 25.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "para...
Oleg Eterevsky
Riw9kjHgBRhCO5HLPxJ0
public
contract
1,717,365,902,442
when-will-video-chat-with-gpt4o-be
OlegEterevsky
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c
When will video chat with GPT-4o be available to all premium users?
null
null
null
null
null
jzcke4pg27g
true
xVf5mxjIgHWPBHnFko05fqtsOft1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": { "alt": null, "contractIds": null, "deleteCallback": null, "deleteNode": null, "description": null, "frameBorder": null, "hideCloseButton": null, "id": null, "image": null, "inputKey": null, "l...
FairlyRandom
4eIQB7HUHtIAFVKq5Zeq
public
contract
1,717,365,931,964
how-many-hits-after-30-days
FairlyRandom
https://firebasestorage.…00d-eb2b72450393
How many hits after 30 days?
null
null
null
null
null
9v8grkfsel5
false
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "lezn3yup04", "label": "Pjfkh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Niko
po5P7afYMej7Nqp5waB6
public
contract
1,717,366,204,319
will-trump-be-pardoned-or-have-a-si
Moscow25
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
Will Trump be pardoned OR have a significant legal victory in the New York case before the election?
fcdoef4bbyj
0.211453
392.28972
YES
null
vt5jkfadi9g
false
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
Archibald Crone
Nj37vQSYqI8yXSdVxshP
public
contract
1,717,366,357,172
-who-will-be-the-first-woman-presid
BlueDragon
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
🇲🇽 Who will be the first woman president of Mexico?
null
null
null
null
null
t3udlinku1h
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "i’m confused by what you concretely do", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Bayesian
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,366,368,006
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
nq52qshsqg
null
2.06313
YES
58f1389a1390
o9qcdx8pred
false
KHX2ThSFtLQlau58hrjtCX7OL2h2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": [ { "attrs": { "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora...
stefanie
6VwJ6xRRYSfenLQyFTzf
public
contract
1,717,366,686,933
what-topics-or-who-will-elon-musk-t-0a7be0e1f6ef
shankypanky
https://firebasestorage.…ba1-83532c98e108
What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th? [ADD YOUR OWN]
null
null
1,663.517177
YES
dfe86c906f7a
33vnr5r7lnf
false
qNyAyreBy9QUeN5RwQSTSFIrLU12
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "t3udlinku1h", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
robm
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,366,693,161
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
robm
https://firebasestorage.…c2d-4d0e2a793adf
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
nq52qshsqg
null
5.500012
NO
0b8ca19072a2
069971wsfo5q
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "teppnimw78c", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bayesian
9OrITykedhV3BbaevcYn
public
contract
1,717,366,706,887
will-a-market-structure-that-incent
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
Will a market structure that incentivize betting on long term markets be found, by the end of May?
l7zes3jivn
0.052394
76.365626
NO
null
7zmdwwctxgn
false
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "there’s a lot of similar poll-market structures on other markets, snd usually the rule is ‘you can buy as many shares as you like, but only in the dire...
Bayesian
nKZKsekXFSTkiIvmuSNh
public
contract
1,717,367,162,866
-who-is-manifolds-goat-final-four-p
Bayesian
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Final Four)
nq52qshsqg
null
2.06313
YES
58f1389a1390
jkec0ze0lq
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "5rmpjuc6vze", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
KldTouchr87
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,367,500,082
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
z3miq4natgo
null
329.208082
YES
1fda418fcda3
qorj92oi9pi
false
gml98vCzznd8lqcY9SONnHfVI5k2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "label": "Bayesian", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
KldTouchr87
CBUaQIdaAcwdwM3AkhHA
public
contract
1,717,367,525,937
swimming-100m-freestyle-mens-gold-m
Kldtouchr87
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCTfkLHw0WFomqqwcUrjn6dF4vcpyd4aY3UVudrsOW6k-_H3E=s96-c
Swimming 100m Freestyle: Men's Gold Medal in the 2024 Summer Olympics
z3miq4natgo
null
329.208082
YES
1fda418fcda3
64bl9jedsm
false
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Fun fact: the lib dem candidate in 2019, David Dresser, is now the Reform candidate. I know there have been a few Labour defections to Reform and plent...
Fion
c4MEc3ZfLXICxNDrlb36
public
contract
1,717,367,543,930
uk-general-election-which-party-wil-bdaf51eb6f07
Fion
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
UK General Election: Which party will win Leeds East?
null
null
56.647577
YES
94482bd9f02e
pi2y65pxut
false
0OBPfjOxv2hjgRJFBvRoHNdLFuI2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Is this fulfilled, or am I misunderstanding the question?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": ...
Sindre
clmLR0viqS7n9jZm3Vag
public
contract
1,717,367,628,274
what-will-happen-in-norway-chess-to
Sindre
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI7S8dzmYSGKjH1PuSnjsb_GGjLpRI4xSBiy5Nm67glFoQ=s96-c
What will happen in Norway Chess tournament? Prop Bets
null
null
373.259447
YES
7fa00b03181d
9sfqir1b9hk
false
U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Guess I gotta go next year.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Panfilo
9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA
public
contract
1,717,368,023,696
who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp
Panfilo
https://firebasestorage.…30c-2f62a625fa0b
Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition?
null
null
null
null
null
hyhnu630ghq
false
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "d7mrasru3lj", "label": "ClubmasterTransparent", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" ...
Ian Philips
9tu4sZ68WIwjs4LQrcIA
public
contract
1,717,368,287,534
who-will-win-manifests-karaoke-komp
ian
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
Who will win Manifest's Karaoke Kompetition?
19ztbhfy8yb
null
3,008.515283
NO
u1jf6yhfn5
nuu7txd9dai
false
1rsoX9q5IAVFHs732Hlv7jlDTM82
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "yo ", "type": "text" }, { "attrs": { "id": "SgxRkw4w22hGXfrDITcpkXQjsbH2", "label": "yi", ...
dragooner
OJNFso0C6hcksIzTlyra
public
contract
1,717,368,299,710
will-david-chang-come-back-to-the-m
jousting
https://firebasestorage.…bf0-53aecb06deda
Will David Chang come back to the MDM Discord by June 2024?
qtuopyublmg
0.013348
437.822136
NO
null
74tgwyw7663
false
6CwPIJrQdNMswo07A0R19YILp363
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "jsyzdwc89q", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
James Baker
3c0CFhgLX7QMGbBXIfe5
public
contract
1,717,368,433,172
will-i-be-able-to-buy-mealsquares-2
JamesBaker3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJIXXxq4jvmFQ8maL0xWNL0ga_m0OYY3WdNuv58HzdcwdI=s96-c
Will I be able to buy MealSquares 2.0 in May?
yhxl81jkvxg
0.947286
268.072971
YES
null
81fxtma5nq3
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "933l17vhd9c", "label": "CarmelHadar", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Al Quinn
ZslgmdOyz0d0YqjTem3i
public
contract
1,717,368,462,571
will-israel-and-hizballa-significan
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Will israel and hizballa significantly increase their conflict during the first half of 2024
933l17vhd9c
0.837112
879.790824
NO
null
ikojeyl975h
false
j3DDsBlKwERpzRFeRIDRd5PSR6e2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "rhirkq6njm", "label": "RemNi", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
Jim Hays
Q64BBTJSHWQfhovq5bnA
public
contract
1,717,368,518,595
will-a-reliable-and-general-househo
JimHays
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5OSur1iRh2XJCBqWybZBd64MFALBZbO6xjTAxCmAM=s96-c
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
k2pqbrjpdb
0.384546
9,318.467413
NO
null
s0ks4hhryk8
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "Trump didn’t provoke any wars. Biden did two.", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" } ], "type": "doc" }
Charlie Bauer
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,368,533,473
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
Do you support Trump or Biden?
null
null
null
null
null
92vh3wt6yn
false
OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "s0ks4hhryk8", "label": "CharlieBauer", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Bubbles
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,368,670,840
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
Lorelai
https://firebasestorage.…bd3-9614af348f98
Do you support Trump or Biden?
s0ks4hhryk8
null
null
null
null
com6wo314ju
false
xfvv2IHWADa6xJjECe73FFXU3CV2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "pc5yjee465", "label": "josh", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, { ...
EugeneBixby
RKUo5XMnKNCmTP80EzpH
public
contract
1,717,368,870,563
manifold-american-english-pronuncia
EugeneBixby
https://firebasestorage.…a71-2fe7e17f7e21
Manifold Decides - English Pronunciation Guide
pc5yjee465
null
858.738625
YES
i2t0a0mrgz
yuwjoxe8n7j
false
UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "RFKJ probably meant democracy in the US, but worth considering whether a threat to democracy in the US is a threat to democracy worldwide, or maybe eve...
ClubmasterTransparent
jZFIM2hzFAcgErBnEClL
public
contract
1,717,368,871,117
why-is-donald-trump-a-threat-to-dem
ClubmasterTransparent
https://firebasestorage.…448-76c2f1fcfeee
Why is Donald Trump a threat to Democracy (Top 5 Reasons)
null
null
118.217002
YES
f190e437e8d1
to45uzg2me
false
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "49r3n3jeiel", "label": "Ziddletwix", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Martin Randall
rVnFTzdaR02zUhfS33KL
public
contract
1,717,368,898,066
if-loan-system-is-removed-will-near
MartinRandall
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
If loan system is removed, will near 0% long term markets stop being accurate?
49r3n3jeiel
0
28.919158
YES
null
rg2rzejue7e
false
wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "The US abandoned the Minsk II peace treaty, said that Ukraine would join NATO, installed 12 CIA bases on the Russian border, and rejected the Istanbul ...
Charlie Bauer
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,369,345,363
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
CharlieBauer
https://storage.googleap…Mt2zdsjlg8k1.png
Do you support Trump or Biden?
s0ks4hhryk8
null
null
null
null
eq3iqm8mra9
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "evqp06a9pf", "label": "ConnorTabarrok", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Al Quinn
NbPoV2oNedBzwrFBY0mn
public
contract
1,717,369,362,386
how-did-charlotte-the-stingray-conc
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
How did Charlotte the stingray conceive her pups?
evqp06a9pf
null
1,468.978313
YES
920dab682724
8x7197d1rgv
false
hIMCU8obvLSeOQm07kqvPkD2lVm2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": "What would you possibly do with an AI earbud that would replace drinking?", "type": "text" } ], "type": "paragraph" }...
Garrett Baker
3lknqUQSl1Q7ILLcBuFP
public
contract
1,717,369,731,626
will-ai-displace-social-drinking-wi
GarrettBaker
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjoFmf8O1o7c4jUCbaWIlJo80o0-6Iu7DZbNVOOhx4=s96-c
Will AI displace social drinking within 5 years?
null
null
null
null
null
mejmjw3drsc
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "92vh3wt6yn", "label": "Lorelai", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Al Quinn
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,370,183,626
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Do you support Trump or Biden?
s0ks4hhryk8
null
null
null
null
p7vpcx8dt6r
false
VTH7czHKuDRDBwjC2XFWPsqg6dj2
{ "content": [ { "attrs": null, "content": [ { "attrs": { "id": "7yny4c6p8d7", "label": "SimranRahman", "start": null }, "content": null, "marks": null, "text": null, "type": "mention" }, ...
Al Quinn
w1FLeke619n7j38hAq94
public
contract
1,717,370,225,252
do-you-support-trump-or-biden
AlQuinn
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c
Do you support Trump or Biden?
7yny4c6p8d7
null
null
null
null