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0.8621841492496787 | mc4YYNBUebSJxaxiUzYt | {"NO": 4545.355282523035, "YES": 299.0842554999026} | 1 | if-the-tiktok-ban-law-is-passed-in | 4886.318950425855 | If the TikTok ban law is passed in the senate, will it be signed by a president before the end of 2025? | 1715112236565 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1711297082449 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.8039557143041636, "platformFee": 2.8039557143041636, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715112236565 | 480 | strutheo | 1715112236565 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711297082641}, {"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1711297082645}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTi... | ["us-politics", "tiktok", "politics-default", "tiktok-ban", "united-states", "internet", "us-senate", "china"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715112120527 | 1715112154053 | 0.99 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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MfcaOptaCTzy39ktBkU9 | what-is-your-sexuality | 0 | What is your sexuality? | 1713959940000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711297674725 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713959941079 | jim | 1713790171201 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธโ๐ LGBTQIA+", "slug": "lgbtqia", "groupId": "cLtLfm3NSrhXU6lV6Cuy", "createdTime": 1711297674885}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1711297674889}, {"name": "Sex", "slug": "sex", "groupId": "hin1uXjOTBV5jHs3S2hz", "createdTime": 1711297674891}] | ["lgbtqia", "polls", "sex"] | 0.25 | 1713790170575 | ["9b4c95926202"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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B3s3sNyJQFInqDBPj272 | how-many-gazan-civilians-must-die-b | 0 | How many Gazan civilians must die before IDF/Israel should face punitive consequences from the international community? | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1711301935523 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Remember, the answer to the question asked in reverse, or how many Israeli civilians must die before Hamas must face punitive consequences from the international community, turned out to be about 1,000. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | BTE | 1711319625856 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1711301935679}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "createdTime": 1711301935677}, {"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict... | ["arabisraeli-conflict", "gaza", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 1711319625436 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13292288532574778 | oxVCOiItWEiunRgSpDWO | {"NO": 362.1591107000539, "YES": 3802.5641459510252} | 0 | will-mike-johnson-lose-his-position | 3492.855462089164 | Will Mike Johnson lose his position as Speaker of the House by April 24th? | 1713931140000 | IVngLqcAfmRZEWzib4OcDqzj8W62 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1711302402799 | Dylan Crimmins | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Speaker Mike Johnson (R) is the current sitting speaker for the US house of representatives. However, his position is being challenged, with many members of the house being unhappy with his position, including Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) who has fil... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.014390300759267987} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.213261642723027, "platformFee": 4.213261642723027, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714403934077 | 540 | DylanCrimmins | 1713931140000 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711237462071 | 0 | [{"name": "Speaker Johnson", "slug": "speaker-johnson", "groupId": "32882e34-cc29-40ba-9c26-cf1ca5a51eac", "createdTime": 1711302402933}, {"name": "๐ 118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1711302402929}, {"name": "U.S. Congress", "slug": "us-congress", "groupId": ... | ["speaker-johnson", "118th-congress", "us-congress", "speaker-of-the-house-election", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713925804286 | 0.01 | IVngLqcAfmRZEWzib4OcDqzj8W62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Y7kwT96RCjsvw4FW28MB | which-words-will-appear-in-the-lyri | 17472.820038915394 | Which words will appear in the lyrics of Taylor Swift's "The Tortured Poets Department"? [ADD YOUR OWN] [Answers 101+] | 1713919759685 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711302508016 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is an extension of ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "label": "Conflux"}}, {"text": " 's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "original market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 41.55966558579773, "platformFee": 41.55966558579773, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713919759685 | 3085 | Ziddletwix | 1713919759685 | 0 | 26 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5c9e031d8081", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Movie", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.633605885914733, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 854.7269827055554, "textFts": "'movi':1", "contractId": "Y7kwT96RCjsvw4FW28MB", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "create... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ท Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1711302508256}, {"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1711302508258}, {"name": "๐ธ Taylor Swift", "slug": "taylor-swift", "groupId": "TgyXEpID2HktDrf1QYfB",... | ["music-f213cbf1eab5", "culture-default", "taylor-swift", "entertainment", "celebrities"] | 0.25 | 1713919721312 | 1713798386020 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | liquidity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4100396961074167 | Dql82lfNOj5chJkiKvV6 | {"NO": 872.0125152165285, "YES": 1155.869360725812} | 0.3439805020544924 | will-rob-lucci-betraydefect-the-mar | 592.2371343682407 | Will Rob Lucci betray/defect the Marines? | 1730370300000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.77484593218303 | False | basic | public | 1711302836027 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F_QEWUC-Ddt.png?alt=media&token=3a280339-185c-41fa-879f-469e194871e0", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.025428662013186776} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.758067783844695, "platformFee": 0.5912041044278088, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AmmonLam | 1718303498186 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 22 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "One Piece Stocks", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1711302836249}] | ["one-piece-stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718303494991 | 1711315945220 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iZUGwZMShU8wozJlmR5z | which-meme-is-chatgpt-recreating-wi-bd9e4b55d4ed | 2427.149976571245 | Which meme is ChatGPT recreating with this image? Bonus 1: High Art Edition | 1712548740000 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711303094751 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I fed ChatGPT a meme, I had ChatGPT describe the meme, I had ChatGPT recreate the image... with a twist. Guessing the meme has been too easy, so we're going to add a layer. I added \"Generate me an image of a painting in the style of ____\", where ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712595715358 | 705 | VerySeriousPoster | 1712548740000 | 0 | 12 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b44adb93ff3d", "prob": 0.78, "text": "Style: Vermeer", "index": 0, "poolNo": 229.35895820620792, "userId": "wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 65.59156983130737, "textFts": "'style':1 'vermeer':2", "contractId": "iZUGwZMShU8wozJlmR5z", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "wUb31hi72zgolO... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712545550019 | 1711755854488 | 0.14 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000008 | Z3bm9VsIUgkj46LC82BQ | {"NO": 99.99999999999963, "YES": 99.99999999999996} | 0 | daily-coinflip-cb2a2eb7a24e | 9132.251872463736 | Daily coinflip | 1711425540000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.04000533461369902 | True | play | NO | public | 1711303097994 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 127)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711454745789 | 100 | Traveel | 1711425540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674441975928 | 0 | [{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1711303098154}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1711303098149}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1711409443963 | 1711429864664 | 0.5 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21127927393192872 | MJ7tQahoqHkMJSQqbyec | {"NO": 729.6186988047547, "YES": 1759.0253869604387} | 0 | will-the-blue-mop-cutoff-be-at-leas | 4860.290286794456 | Will the blue MOP cutoff be at least 6 above the green MOP cutoff? | 1717214340000 | 3oukOT538uNC2icQRCn9fkuWVKG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.897182990636301 | True | basic | NO | public | 1711303479659 | Pseudonymous Bosch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Blue Cutoff\" = minimum USAMO score for 11th graders to qualify for MOP.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Green Cutoff\" = minimum USAMO score for <=10th graders to qualify for MOP.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.10000000000000246} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 49.317396188701, "platformFee": 49.317396188701, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717365351311 | 1000 | PseudonymousBosche24f | 1717214340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3CX9YCbowSku9aiQ7U_aAzcGuk026jr6hZNTRmkhp8w=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706744508044 | 0 | [{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1711303479802}] | ["competition-math"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715568471408 | 0.1 | 3oukOT538uNC2icQRCn9fkuWVKG2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23730916690017778 | DsMXehh7Ii5iIiJ7SgjW | {"NO": 1234.6381227534016, "YES": 412.4275486386088} | 0.48225337787104333 | will-nj-senator-bob-menendez-run-fo | 10515.655826269744 | Will NJ Senator Bob Menendez run for re-election an independent? | 1731484740000 | xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.591210450908225 | False | basic | public | 1711304481923 | themightysalmon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Robert Menendez appears on the NJ ballot for US Senator without a party affiliation. Otherwise, resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.politico.com/news/2024/... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.05211099317852336, "month": -0.17241930847357761} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 203.15703382322033, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | themightysalmon | 1719759979461 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707978226998 | 0 | [{"name": "US Senate", "slug": "us-senate", "groupId": "Scdb6UrBLNsi1zvLGSD5", "createdTime": 1711304482106}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711304482109}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "cre... | ["us-senate", "politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-election"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719759976238 | 1717471078291 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
hQ6ubiBBmH2kIMJL2sfv | round-4-dune-part-two-versus-kung-f | 19243.54524397622 | [ROUND #4] "Dune: Part Two" versus "Kung Fu Panda 4": Who will gross more during the weekend of March 29-31? | 1712064341168 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | f7884b079c97 | public | 1711305025731 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the last three weekends, \"Dune: Part Two\" and \"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712064341168 | 300 | Ziddletwix | 1720053161621 | 0 | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "f7884b079c97", "prob": 0.9997197392826079, "text": "Dune: Part Two", "color": "#ffc107", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13449.616769512362, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.770455955162106, "textFts": "'dune':1 'part':2 'two':3", "contractId": "hQ6ubiBBmH2kIMJL2sfv", "resolverId"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC"}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly"}, {"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB"}, {"name": "๐ฅ Television & Film", "slug": "televisio... | ["culture-default", "entertainment", "movies", "television-film", "boxoffice", "hollywood", "dune"] | 0.25 | 1712064320846 | 1712175722622 | {"f7884b079c97": 100} | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
VNHTg5s91oxnAFM2Dbta | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-47 | 260 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 47) | 1711397480245 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711305128302 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711397714288 | 145 | komplexkonjugat | 1711406971925 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "44fe4431f5d8", "prob": 0.9923640806353086, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 305.00000000000006, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.3468759618343884, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct'... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1711305128446}, {"name": "๐ฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711305128463}] | ["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 1711393117503 | 1711406971298 | 0.99 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6160100323840384 | JQe9yBIZ5vHtZ25gOKab | {"NO": 15515.352202073122, "YES": 10.926780175495878} | 1 | -x-will-godzilla-x-kong-gross-more | 15606.807615257663 | [ ๐ฆ X ๐ฆ ] Will GODZILLA X KONG gross more during its domestic opening weekend than all other movies combined? | 1712005761205 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4406387547502177 | True | play | YES | public | 1711305711755 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The-Numbers.com has a weekend tracker for each year: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/weekend/released-in-2024", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.004718700876423565} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712005761205 | 240 | Ziddletwix | 1712005925585 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1711305711918}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9UyfXCrv", "createdTime": 1711305711916}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "X... | ["movies", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "entertainment", "culture-default", "boxoffice", "television-film", "hollywood"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712005745898 | 1712005909041 | 1 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4664249283403504 | R6B6bLAOxl19elSXourE | {"NO": 1012.7877198109525, "YES": 980.5054966474243} | 0.47449490149878026 | will-gabe-newell-be-alive-on-the-da-b2fb721093a9 | 236.1666482642542 | Will Gabe Newell be alive on the day Team Fortress 3 releases? | 2556161940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.623232022212143 | False | basic | public | 1711306474517 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1712248638388 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711306474698}, {"name": "๐ Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1711306474701}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly"... | ["gaming", "internet", "entertainment", "team-fortress-2", "steam", "valve-8f151385bf6e", "pc", "video-games"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712248635080 | 1711307291948 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
w7OmQUwWdFPGbpw7FXb7 | who-will-i-next-go-on-3-dates-with-db4778310e81 | 0 | Who will I next go on 3 dates with? | 1726858635855 | BM7WDql3V0fOWBtlc2s4ITzUPZ32 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 9.141775576582349 | False | plus | public | 1711306636133 | Eli Tyre | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "my profile", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.love/EliTyre", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " to get more info on me and the candidates.", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | EliTyre | 1711306636452 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "8e2471f73833", "prob": 0.02, "text": "Katja Grace (@KatjaGrace)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 204.08163265306123, "userId": "BM7WDql3V0fOWBtlc2s4ITzUPZ32", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10000, "textFts": "'grace':2 'katja':1 'katjagrac':3", "contractId": "w7OmQUwWdFPGbpw7FXb7", "createdTime": 1711306636134, "loverUse... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645567646991 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold.love Relationships", "slug": "manifoldlove-relationships", "groupId": "2e9a87df-94e3-458c-bc5f-81e891b13101", "createdTime": 1711306636452}] | ["manifoldlove-relationships"] | 0.25 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FRuc0Ozh0JhAdBFnTSGS | will-bitcoin-next-rise-above-70k-or | 1708.3182855408386 | Will Bitcoin next rise above 70k or fall below 60k? | 1711385242633 | RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 8bd3da12a0fa | public | 1711306684339 | fish | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711385242633 | 240 | kurt | 1720053161621 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "8bd3da12a0fa", "prob": 0.9879002260735072, "text": ">70k USD", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1423.8230071844987, "userId": "RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 17.438943775471444, "textFts": "'70k':1 'usd':2", "contractId": "FRuc0Ozh0JhAdBFnTSGS", "resolverId": "RabTJS18F8W5... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700606417730 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1711306684524}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1711306684527}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "create... | ["bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "crypto-news"] | 0.25 | 1711385234711 | {"8bd3da12a0fa": 100} | RabTJS18F8W5aAr9kPySvIUwIlz1 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TmmUYOC8gnowVFdyhVUb | when-will-mick-jagger-and-keith-ric-faabf669576f | 125 | When will Mick Jagger and Keith Richards die? | 3155842740000 | WR2p6FWfI2fx3U3zY0Ed5aBgMyt2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711307222039 | Armando di Matteo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In case they die in different decades, they each resolve to 50%", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 210 | ArmandodiMatteo | 1711535365483 | 0 | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d8e54f3f8dd9", "prob": 0.23199124166418475, "text": "2029 or earlier", "index": 0, "poolNo": 26.852508604832668, "userId": "WR2p6FWfI2fx3U3zY0Ed5aBgMyt2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 88.89543262004595, "textFts": "'2029':1 'earlier':3", "contractId": "TmmUYOC8gnowVFdyhVUb", "createdTime": 1711307222039, "prob... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1671552327023 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1711312537595}, {"name": "๐ฒ Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1711535364687}, {"name": "Unsubsidized", "slug": "unsubsidized", "groupId": "f08f413... | ["death-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | False | False | 1711308928948 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ma10IiVvVVp3FIJaI7ba | who-is-more-authentic | 0 | Who is more authentic? | 1711922340000 | cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711307660228 | lukres | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711922340563 | lukres | 1711402066477 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Flukres%2Fj1m8DGNy5T.12?alt=media&token=fc58ce31-3de5-4d8d-bf45-abb061ee29a2 | 189 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690889308481 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711307660577}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711307660564}] | ["politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1711402066055 | ["788455f48294"] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KHeye84dnUdjrbwwV8cK | what-will-be-true-of-gemini-2 | 47.164087823919914 | What will be true of Gemini 2? | 1798779540000 | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711307714895 | Sss | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.45062257447272397, "platformFee": 0.2960163527317368, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | Sss19971997 | 1717744742961 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "db4acb81c67f", "prob": 0.41233779882259525, "text": "It (the strongest variant) will be better than the best OpenAI model at the moment of release", "index": 0, "poolNo": 20.941254943511034, "userId": "8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 29.845393778259012, "textFts": "'best':10 'better... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696879998283 | 0 | [{"name": "Google Gemini", "slug": "google-gemini", "groupId": "m7v1GlEs2JcFyqdvUbuN", "createdTime": 1711307716712}] | ["google-gemini"] | 0.25 | 1717744739871 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07173377042702293 | PdeCL33DKztXnKmFHW7T | {"NO": 884.666560729731, "YES": 1883.5304814623516} | 0.03502468750478451 | will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person | 6311.834354263452 | Will Elon Musk be the first human to walk on Mars? | 3187313940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.54708766528515 | False | basic | public | 1711308662499 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If he is the member of a crew of people who touch down at the same time, this still resolves YES", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.925442805220532, "platformFee": 0.9753639923219419, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1717200914700 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1711308662671}, {"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1711308662669}, {"name": "๐ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLU... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "space", "space-exploration", "mars", "spacex", "billionaires", "celebrities", "science-default", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717200911536 | 1714153676272 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36123992301517976 | DZFkqwyJiy1YLgGuC7za | {"NO": 144.9795539114012, "YES": 418.5007910287941} | 0.16382041211259268 | metaculus-will-combat-troops-from-a | 280.7420719761341 | [Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? | 1798876800000 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711308917449 | Mirror Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the o... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1899114312350414, "platformFee": 1.1899114312350414, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | mirrorbot | 1714828199811 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696426201173 | 0 | [{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1711308917646}] | ["metaculus"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714828196496 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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xNaWo3xXFdzszGDjBRor | which-will-happen-first-agi-or-a-pi | 943.3503567834111 | Which will happen first: AGI, or a pile of sand at my local park being removed? | 1901246340000 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711313264686 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This pile of sand has been here for at least 3 years. I presume they want to use it for some kind of construction purpose. Every time I see it I think about the insane progress happening in the tech world and yet how we are still completely incapab... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.529062936628143, "platformFee": 0.12109701654767654, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SemioticRivalry | 1720053161621 | 0 | 37 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "798fc869556a", "prob": 0.7375678789389102, "text": "Pile of sand removed", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 821.8608471277558, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 292.42418425147446, "textFts": "'pile':1 'remov':4 'sand':3", "contractId": "xNaWo3xXFdzszGDjBRor", "cre... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711313264931}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711313264934}, {"name": "AI Impacts", "slug": "ai-impacts", "groupId": "q3Su0NeV9ta4DqhqlIEq", "createdTime": 171... | ["ai", "technology-default", "ai-impacts"] | 0.25 | 1717311472150 | 1711495179700 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6561512125739638 | MtRdR0ymCstF8LyMnObT | {"NO": 2231.268520614951, "YES": 43.00837980834763} | 1 | will-a-team-other-than-visma-alpeci-499c85974feb | 2702.0340092608562 | Will a team other than Visma, Alpecin, Trek, or UAE win a 1.WT race in February through April 2024? | 1713107374630 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.4307700145457605 | True | play | YES | public | 1711316398644 | Eliza | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There are 12 1.WT races that take place in February, March, and April 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "So far, they've all been won by Visma, Alpecin, Trek, or UAE.", "type": "text"}]}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.39301388914986224} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713107374630 | 180 | Eliza | 1713107374630 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680816506031 | 0 | [{"name": "๐๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1711316398821}, {"name": "๐ฒ Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXzAzPN8OcW", "createdTime": 1711316398832}, {"name": "๐ฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V... | ["sports-default", "peloton-discord", "road-bicycle-racing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713107367544 | 1711390316228 | 0.99 | hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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hAO5qH9M4DFUchMcWu4t | when-will-adepts-ceo-step-down | 205.9587009190246 | When will Adept's CEO step down? | 1719630945613 | 89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 05e470742e8d | public | 1711317420521 | Sophia Wisdom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When will Adept's CEO, David Luan, resign?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trying to capture things like Inflection's sudo-acquihire and Stability's maybe-death.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.722414667012417, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719630945613 | 220 | sophiawisdom | 1719630945613 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu25o7GK9K3P1izY1WQteKhc7mIonzLGps5iL73G=s96-c | 7 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "05e470742e8d", "prob": 0.6612989692246658, "text": "Before October 1 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 118.97809930933307, "userId": "89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 60.93764961256215, "textFts": "'1':3 '2024':4 'octob':2", "contractId": "hAO5qH9M4DFUchMcWu4t", "resolverId": "89PHKCr0tHN... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1666118624432 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ค AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711317420785}] | ["ai"] | 0.25 | 1719604461695 | 1717535783485 | {"05e470742e8d": 100} | 89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10333920773564495 | PrQe2Ont4dcYuBcaAlfE | {"NO": 921.4110516472591, "YES": 1310.5808369544618} | 0.07495321232105526 | third-dune-movie-but-not-directed-b | 915.133448759824 | Third Dune movie, but NOT directed by Villeneuve, before 2030? | 1893571140000 | XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.208574518488483 | False | basic | public | 1711317806279 | Henri Thunberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Is considered a third part of the same series as the first two Villeneuve movies if at least one of the three actors Timothรฉe Chalamet, Rebecka Ferguson, Lรฉa Seydoux are reprising their roles.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "p... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | HenriThunberg | 1712973603920 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1665991918794 | 0 | [{"name": "Science Fiction", "slug": "science-fiction", "groupId": "2fd05ee8-9cb1-43bf-beb4-45a5fd66fad6", "createdTime": 1711317806539}, {"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1711317806553}, {"name": "Dune", "slug": "dune", "groupId": "a7583e52-038a-4fe6-9b4f-1ee3... | ["science-fiction", "hollywood", "dune", "television-film", "cinema", "entertainment", "movies"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712973600595 | 1712295692493 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.601064538653414 | rgG0lGSjSmvqYxQkhgzN | {"NO": 820.9565256658314, "YES": 1096.8837729190132} | 0.5299999999999999 | will-donald-trump-use-his-trump-med | 2267.2748197464366 | Will Donald Trump use his Trump Media shares before the end of the lockup period? | 1727326740000 | jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.694944753661622 | False | basic | public | 1711318935641 | Hyperlincoln | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "EDIT: See Ciuccio's comment below. There is an inadvertent ambiguity here, and to resolve it I will resolve the question strictly as originally stated in the operative language: this market will resolve YES if Donald Trump transacts any DJT shares ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.08224479187290556, "month": -0.04138186935908561} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.52369216342307, "platformFee": 7.978215106700245, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Hyperlincoln | 1719760764286 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690992837377 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711318935813}, {"name": "๐ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711318935815}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "crea... | ["politics-default", "finance", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719760761145 | 1713247936882 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5IVYlXyGfvD9WqvImz9K | us-presidential-election-popular-vo | 25158.725364382255 | U.S. Presidential Election: Popular Vote and Electoral College Winner | 1735685940000 | 85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711319006816 | Simon | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves N/A if either Trump or Biden is not the candidate of their respective party on Election Day. Also resolves N/A if someone other than Trump or Biden wins either the popular vote or the Electoral College.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 254.62038210971872, "platformFee": 6.808039275008006, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1567.5 | Simon74fe | 1719673186085 | 0 | 85 | 4 | DISABLED | [{"id": "88bde363d693", "prob": 0.19719185007173437, "text": "BIDEN wins popular vote AND Electoral College", "index": 0, "poolNo": 262.1064754184281, "userId": "85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1067.0887997568852, "textFts": "'biden':1 'colleg':7 'elector':6 'popular':3 'vote':4 'win':2", "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645874228924 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711319007030}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711319007032}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-elect... | ["us-politics", "politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1719673182998 | 1717857744537 | True | prob-desc | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36220382443150745 | HMivV25yL6q3ONdTlnEo | {"NO": 191.5723870205317, "YES": 4276.74028517829} | 0 | will-apple-vision-pro-available-out | 5600.845366188 | Will Apple Vision Pro available outside of the US before the end of April 2024? | 1714485540000 | LS8QezxzKTM1eIU58fCLKE2KH322 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1711319413170 | Enrico Susatyo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if itโs available for ordering in any country other than USA", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2459627244504348, "platformFee": 3.2459627244504348, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714487327471 | 720 | esusatyo | 1714487896907 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680581898997 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1711319413333}, {"name": "๐ Apple Vision Pro", "slug": "apple-vision-pro", "groupId": "gEardgc5T6coQqiEmYG1", "createdTime": 1711319413337}, {"name": "๐ Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih... | ["technology-default", "apple-vision-pro", "apple", "virtual-reality", "business"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714477394712 | 1714487895249 | 0.02 | LS8QezxzKTM1eIU58fCLKE2KH322 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5234067817213915 | f6zkdXj9ZbuGNXLNCQYO | {"NO": 821.3898641531599, "YES": 1185.8776701184777} | 0.43203702142705785 | will-there-be-a-picture-of-bald-kat | 492.24506298137743 | Will there be a picture of bald Kate Middleton after her chemotherapy treatment? | 1735649940000 | LS8QezxzKTM1eIU58fCLKE2KH322 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.614213937749225 | False | basic | public | 1711319648819 | Enrico Susatyo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves no if thereโs no such picture by the end of year. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.002112487124876883} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.575073995629565, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | esusatyo | 1718361264530 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680581898997 | 0 | [{"name": "United Kingdom", "slug": "united-kingdom", "groupId": "c5bf9671-57a6-4372-a23a-601bcdc30f42", "createdTime": 1711319649072}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1711319649075}, {"name": "British Royal Family", "slug": "britis... | ["united-kingdom", "entertainment", "british-royal-family", "kate-middleton"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718361261068 | 1716896121075 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2j606H3JCjfuz9VlLhis | will-destiny-be-live-anywhere-4df1d9b4f2b5 | 42634.20562191735 | Will Destiny be live anywhere? | 1711931819455 | iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711319697230 | A Whole Turkey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will destiny ( not a clip ) be visible or audible in any live stream from any channel. Twitter space, discord, a youtube broadcast, as long as he is live and recorded for review, it will be resolved YES. If he is not live in any format will resolve... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711931819455 | 495 | AWholeTurkey | 1711931819455 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJXoYMkpGKhUTA_Na4PwM_SDlp0_3ib2nfGQhaw7x5B70s=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "276d7fb52d06", "prob": 1, "text": "Mon 3/25", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5472.188130791299, "userId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.2651740414357846, "textFts": "'3/25':2 'mon':1", "contractId": "2j606H3JCjfuz9VlLhis", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699290420656 | 0 | [{"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1711319697464}, {"name": "๐ฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1711319697475}, {"name": "Destiny", "slug": "destiny", "groupId": "d5076dce-8f87-4eaa-9735-77def68f9e0e", "create... | ["dalibanhq", "destinygg", "destiny"] | 0.25 | 1711931811313 | 1 | iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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KYfHSx5V92HnWrhrw6LX | live-what-will-happen-at-tonights-c | 15876.254867700061 | ๐ดLIVE: What will happen at tonight's Coolfold poker night [ADD RESPONSES] | 1711335054017 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711325480728 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711335054017 | 1470 | strutheo | 1711335704442 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1e285efd6581", "prob": 0.011670904993414763, "text": "chris gets a full house", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.127750150028236, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 688.283552539375, "textFts": "'chris':1 'full':4 'get':2 'hous':5", "contractId": "KYfHSx5V92HnWrhrw6LX", "resolution":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Poker", "slug": "poker", "groupId": "kpUuJYWzvqtBO3Be0Xsx", "createdTime": 1711325480959}, {"name": "Manifold TV", "slug": "manifold-tv", "groupId": "d6ab3e28-0306-4762-a47a-dd678785315f", "createdTime": 1711325480960}, {"name": "Livestreaming", "slug": "livestreaming", "groupId": "TZws4XJiarOAOewNxOje", "cr... | ["poker", "manifold-tv", "livestreaming", "live-betting", "youtube", "coolfold", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users"] | 0.25 | 1711335014630 | 1711335703272 | 0 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.49264535990373504 | HZznjW9PlCGdCLcjmOqN | {"NO": 189.45064259308796, "YES": 102.41339301856303} | 0.6423757024658013 | will-the-iucn-reasses-the-javan-tig | 70 | Will the IUCN reasses the javan tiger from โ Extinctโ to โCritically endangeredโ when tigers are next reassesed? | 2059012740000 | QnUnuvNGB1YMKkIlZmYG6fl9eNj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711325805830 | Joshua Bartlett | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1461694125315252} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4584483160029444, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | JoshuaBartlett | 1718617565359 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLrHZK1BMnH4TIzVLpAvx9iyt35hQENFarO6Vwk0Zyj=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695348085515 | 0 | [{"name": "Conservation", "slug": "conservation", "groupId": "9a442778-d6b6-4875-94a1-28bd1517a0df", "createdTime": 1711325805979}, {"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1711325805982}] | ["conservation", "animals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718617562074 | 1712914326998 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7862278926417775 | LSUYFwQHKNEeAff0MpKF | {"NO": 3356.7017613030134, "YES": 24.598548612273035} | 1 | will-the-united-states-beat-mexico | 3260 | Will the United States beat Mexico today (Concacaf Nations League)? | 1711337470258 | 6vJlRNw4NcXkUAI9D2k6rTqTqJM2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.418682551281712 | True | play | YES | public | 1711326678621 | Nick F. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711337470258 | 180 | fenouil | 1711337470258 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711137568886 | 0 | [{"name": "โฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1711326678760}, {"name": "๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico", "slug": "mexico", "groupId": "f8kNgkKR4d8snusk1qh1", "createdTime": 1711326678762}, {"name": "๐๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1711326... | ["soccer", "mexico", "sports-default", "us-soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1711336799274 | 1 | 6vJlRNw4NcXkUAI9D2k6rTqTqJM2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7783351645527344 | KsShsInz5r4pjWl7SIxF | {"NO": 6029.623380023391, "YES": 386.52323896361304} | 1 | will-there-be-a-house-vote-on-the-s | 7208.138456156089 | Will there be a House vote on the Senate-passed Ukraine aid bill in April? | 1713636238192 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9996839852286361 | True | play | YES | public | 1711327184408 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Specifically the Senate passed version, or something substantially similar to it. There is another Ukraine aid bill that's floating around the House which is structured as a loan, that one will not coun... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.030641379095058596} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.511975234715003, "platformFee": 20.511975234715003, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713636238192 | 840 | SemioticRivalry | 1713636238192 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1711327184554}, {"name": "๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1711327184561}, {"name": "๐ 118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "groupId"... | ["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war", "118th-congress", "us-politics", "ukraine"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713636047236 | 1713636067641 | 0.98 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 |
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