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Qd4hNck2h6zEQYWvitSi | will-ranag-be-up-or-out | 2086.5081142030094 | will @RanaG be up or out? | 1715245135492 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | fe6dc25bd083 | public | 1712706443182 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolving according to statement from Rana ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "it's to do with her job at mckinsey", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mid... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.23908701514977, "platformFee": 4.23908701514977, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715245135492 | 240 | jim | 1720053161621 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "fe6dc25bd083", "prob": 0.9699999999999999, "text": "up", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 625.7785359905452, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.353975339913802, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Qd4hNck2h6zEQYWvitSi", "resolverId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "cr... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Employment", "slug": "employment", "groupId": "e764e757-f3a5-4326-9b5a-191680029040", "createdTime": 1712706444030}] | ["employment"] | 0.25 | 1714576361365 | 1714575132445 | {"fe6dc25bd083": 100} | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HiQ2QCenydBKgX403VCW | which-nfl-team-will-win-the-afc-nor | 765.589353322214 | Which NFL Team Will Win the AFC North During the 2024-25 Season? | 1738396740000 | Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712707089836 | vibhav | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "100% for first place", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "67% for second place ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.449515848978888, "platformFee": 4.449515848978888, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vibhav | 1716248306641 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1ec6c587c143", "prob": 0.6455984255609888, "text": "Baltimore Ravens", "index": 0, "poolNo": 122.04851682557268, "userId": "Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 66.99859356587442, "textFts": "'baltimor':1 'raven':2", "contractId": "HiQ2QCenydBKgX403VCW", "createdTime": 1712707089836, "pr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705419897240 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1712707090068}, {"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1712707090060}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQARE... | ["football", "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "sports-default", "nfl"] | 0.25 | 1716248303452 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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BNXoTZmRJi8UP9Bo2Xtt | what-will-be-the-score-of-the-new-g-63f496e4b398 | 1741.4686677898762 | What will be the score of the new Gemini 1.5 Pro in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena at the end of May? | 1717279140000 | F5AmEfs8yrgwQfe2WI2QaCLnxlH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 310a90f53cc4 | public | 1712708198594 | João Pedro Santos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Leaderboard Link", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.844157781324606, "platformFee": 1.8537394696271567, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717360189716 | 310 | JoaoPedroSantos | 1717279140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtecoxpTLGJurOP75nBQtfeKmyslcBjetqi-AF9Gkt9MN3-u=s96-c | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "39be0d09d511", "prob": 0.0015765950598204642, "text": "<1200", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.6557374137929628, "userId": "F5AmEfs8yrgwQfe2WI2QaCLnxlH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1048.5425385985084, "textFts": "'1200':1", "contractId": "BNXoTZmRJi8UP9Bo2Xtt", "resolverId": "F5AmEfs8yrgwQfe2WI2QaCLnxlH2", "created... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690976624835 | 0 | [{"name": "GPT-4 speculation", "slug": "gpt4-speculation", "groupId": "SWiC5KtQnc48oWmaoAZA", "createdTime": 1712708198856}, {"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1712708198886}, {"name": "Chatbot Arena Leaderboard", "slug": "chatbot-arena-leaderboard", "groupId": "fec... | ["gpt4-speculation", "chatgpt", "chatbot-arena-leaderboard"] | 0.25 | 1717207507818 | {"310a90f53cc4": 100} | F5AmEfs8yrgwQfe2WI2QaCLnxlH2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6694217883664895 | WF6kvVNqBwRL3POdqdHk | {"NO": 1145.6707113024313, "YES": 907.9327624043644} | 0.7187250570339709 | will-george-w-bush-endorse-the-repu | 415.22679077503756 | Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime? | 2218575540000 | sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.624576540907137 | False | basic | public | 1712712811587 | Jony | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.328523338415345, "platformFee": 1.328523338415345, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Jony | 1715423747727 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704308854841 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712712811744}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712712811791}] | ["politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715423744420 | 1712743439533 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27142529058191833 | p1o46xtRjTulpY2eXV5H | {"NO": 1023.4876334985858, "YES": 886.5127063792345} | 0.30075033585090055 | will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e | 863.8352576236387 | Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? | 2082776340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.574180913912002 | False | basic | public | 1712712879479 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "u2yjc4LBdHfKZptsOJhG", "label": "/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "zyn1QXBsY0WwKLZl... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.003215926582110784, "month": -0.020145386752083494} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.855513436275654, "platformFee": 1.6298986218167224, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1720027156544 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "US State Government", "slug": "us-state-government", "groupId": "v8YHysZ0MaHi9v8xLl86", "createdTime": 1712712879673}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1712712879671}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupI... | ["us-state-government", "united-states", "culture-default", "us-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720027152676 | 1716747450950 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cZsyTbCwB2zuIJoQfdzP | what-will-mistral-8x22b-first-appea | 755.9451206090907 | At what rank # will Mistral 8x22b first appear on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard? | 1713812842128 | XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | f9ff5022732b | public | 1712713097987 | Henri Thunberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Counted as the number it first enters the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "leaderboard, ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard", "class": "break-anywhere hover:und... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.210816603891174, "platformFee": 4.210816603891174, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713813134338 | 400 | HenriThunberg | 1713812842128 | 0 | 12 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "420c859657b6", "prob": 0.002593581404511073, "text": "1-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.1941819310574115, "userId": "XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 459.2432383019628, "textFts": "'-3':2 '1':1", "contractId": "cZsyTbCwB2zuIJoQfdzP", "resolverId": "XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1", "created... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1665991918794 | 0 | [{"name": "Mistral", "slug": "mistral", "groupId": "7a7936dd-81e7-463d-8300-ca0f54b8bc39", "createdTime": 1712713098439}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1712713098442}, {"name": "Open Source", "slug": "open-source", "groupId": "f8f2077f-2acf-42df-aacf-40671528224f", "c... | ["mistral", "ai", "open-source", "chatbot-arena-leaderboard"] | 0.25 | 1713809069370 | 1713813123234 | {"f9ff5022732b": 100} | XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23337652625552707 | FUhbwtvW9EAS4q2yEj3r | {"NO": 1201.7109094821499, "YES": 491.7216000798795} | 0.4265958395197496 | will-ross-ulbricht-be-released-from | 1886.0489501550944 | Will Ross Ulbricht be released from prison before January 1st, 2030? | 1893560340000 | 4riEolq08YSVMg6GArRX7r4u5wk1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.535384482480026 | False | basic | public | 1712713666217 | Tracy Harms | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Efforts are being made to obtain clemency.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://freeross.org/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://freeross.org/", "class"... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 0.12104967042328607, "month": 0.08404888970073293} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 50.35893061354795, "platformFee": 0.08411079131108468, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | TracyHarms | 1719718698734 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwX8bEpVTyS_SFiZjatythaw9ZQG6fsp6PuvnJiZdJOFtEaVXw=s96-c | 19 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712606292629 | 0 | [{"name": "Prison Markets", "slug": "prison-markets", "groupId": "ybPe7R5zhvOzOIs3n3yM", "createdTime": 1712713666353}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712713666374}, {"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY... | ["prison-markets", "us-politics", "scandal-markets"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719718695570 | 1716934259890 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lghuwgVzPCqofZDMXeNj | premier-league-weekend-prop-bets-ap-c9a7af385a8a | 12589.481570717568 | Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, Apr 13-15 | 1713273741185 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1712714015417 | Tyler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All bets should be affected by at least one of the 10 PL games happening this weekend, including the Monday game (April 13-15) and should be written in a way that can be resolved once the final game is complete.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "parag... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713273741185 | 2275 | Tyler31 | 1713579290110 | 0 | 31 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "20a54bd3609b", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Man City ends the weekend on top of the table", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1699.0896008181105, "userId": "6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 14.690794485198888, "textFts": "'citi':2 'end':3 'man':1 'tabl':10 'top':7 'weekend':5", "contractId": "lghuwgVz... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645086356220 | 0 | [{"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed88-4480-9b00-c00a7d4d1e2d", "createdTime": 1712714015654}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1712714015668}, {"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "g... | ["prop-bets", "premiere-league", "premier-league-20232024"] | 0.25 | 1713258027473 | 1713579289522 | 0.04 | 6C8eyp1HS4Qqfpn2ver4UmvM2Xy1 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aTfAkdrPmjysevlI5Sth | what-will-donald-trumps-truth-socia | 1373.7557602070292 | What will Donald Trump's Truth Social Stock be worth when he is allowed to sell (~ September 2024)? 🗽🦅🇺🇸💲🟠 | 1730465940000 | cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712714677088 | Elf | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Upon IPO, Trump's stake was worth ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "$4.8 Billion ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.111703381978393, "platformFee": 0.5173777880124573, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1105 | elf | 1720118078166 | 0 | 31 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4a64ac8b3b65", "prob": 0.8085350716160858, "text": "0 to 1 billion", "index": 0, "poolNo": 619.5245658162517, "userId": "cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 146.70634681188795, "textFts": "'0':1 '1':3 'billion':4", "contractId": "aTfAkdrPmjysevlI5Sth", "createdTime": 1712714677088, "pro... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668973436049 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712714723073}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712714725004}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr... | ["stocks", "business", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "finance"] | 0.25 | 1720118074992 | 1712877234118 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LRS1AfM7l1OyyvJ3GAFX | what-will-be-joe-bidens-twoway-supp | 0 | What will be Joe Biden's two-way support among black voters in 2024, per Catalist? | 1712719534055 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712714929525 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Catalist had Biden at 90% with black voters in 2020, vs Clinton's 93% and Obama's 97%.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://catalist.us/wh-national/", "type": "text",... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712719534055 | 150 | SemioticRivalry | 1712719534055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "40ac9d2e8378", "prob": 0.24, "text": "<80%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.888888888888884, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 45, "textFts": "'80':1", "contractId": "LRS1AfM7l1OyyvJ3GAFX", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "createdTime": 17127... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.24 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5781990852874047 | N53fId51SVQz6zhcIJEi | {"NO": 132.75406264647145, "YES": 296.316004049341} | 0 | will-there-be-a-recount-in-the-ca16 | 3431.6933501795666 | Will there be a recount in the CA-16 Congressional Primary? | 1714535940000 | 8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712714947528 | Mike Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the top-two primary for California's 16th Congressional district, Evan Low and Sam Liccardo have tied for second. Someone has requested a recount which could change the results. This market will resolve to YES if either San Mateo or Santa Clara ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.8574824579311007, "platformFee": 3.8574824579311007, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716158226763 | 260 | MikeChenSF | 1714535940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucr-veg201DGQzF4jqPWo9dgBl01vEy2ksiaZA4BSRo=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1661144467248 | 0 | [{"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", "createdTime": 1712714947727}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712714948160}, {"name": "🏄 California", "slug": "california", ... | ["us-congressional-elections-2024", "us-politics", "california"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713808158883 | 1715837164853 | 0.38 | 8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2 |
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