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ooNhwEO0WPUe9C98mLiX | who-will-win-artist-of-the-year-at-8c60b200c669 | 168 | Who will win artist of the year at the 2022 American Music Awards? | 1668992400000 | xQ3lJu89f3OHWO1M7uHy3jZ9I4B2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.785892077904559 | True | play | fba4dea4b936 | public | 1668636359617 | James Sully | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The awards will air on Sunday, November 20 (three days from this market opening)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.theamas.com/nominees/2022-nominees/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669002622445 | 499.99999999999994 | JamesSully | 1668991876494 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0swnNpuPjxXdXuFk2safF3lO1O2_4MqTpMPESzelc=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "4d00efc194f5", "prob": 0.019889889571333093, "text": "Adele", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2752466208776091, "userId": "xQ3lJu89f3OHWO1M7uHy3jZ9I4B2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 13.563272687661772, "textFts": "'adel':1", "contractId": "ooNhwEO0WPUe9C98mLiX", "createdTime": 1668636359617, "probChanges": {"day": 0,... | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "xQ3lJu89f3OHWO1M7uHy3jZ9I4B2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1668636359825}, {"name": "Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "userId": "xQ3lJu89f3OHWO1M7uHy3jZ9I4B2", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1668... | ["entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 1668991876381 | {"fba4dea4b936": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | KEbNhH7GNO1RlXZsPYyP | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | young-don-stocks-permanent | 0 | Young Don Stocks (permanent) | 1668636958577 | R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668636862452 | Shah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668636958577 | 50 | Shah | 1710218346889 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1sEyPe9RMg6yr44xfx2aRadoNvfzfCffEXHkoF=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.56931174191497 | mHlWcK9K9Dvv2rWhZ6UI | {"NO": 929.3633159707192, "YES": 756.9714250138334} | 0.6187433678895852 | young-don-stock-permanent | 3230.52727897136 | Young Don Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036429 | GgEwiiBGdmUrMJhqIOnH2rGCSSt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.018345864796657 | False | play | public | 1668636864282 | Cooley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent market for Young Don.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": "black man, with dreads, holy crusader, with a cross", "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/d... | STONK | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 830 | Cooley | 1713584817799 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1693477649091 | 1668647262630 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CRupYH0iLqbxGc5wY1uT | least-used-dgg-emote-by-end-of-nove | 7635.867990467056 | Least Used DGG Emote By End of November | 1669877940000 | 8AGrFhZfkUV8x4uJzZghW7vcXOA3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.621673936309526 | True | play | 1bbc79983d0e | public | 1668637295581 | Foreverything | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Least used emote according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polecat.me/emotes", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://polecat.me/emotes", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669939569407 | 5339.999999999998 | Foreverything | 1710218530544 | 0 | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "87252e9a5007", "prob": 0.0022934830201165866, "text": "nathanZoomer", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.022197898574238865, "userId": "8AGrFhZfkUV8x4uJzZghW7vcXOA3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.656486608586606, "textFts": "'nathanzoom':1", "contractId": "CRupYH0iLqbxGc5wY1uT", "createdTime": 1668637295581, "probChang... | 11 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 1669877936365 | 1669939243758 | {"1bbc79983d0e": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3136784177551506 | OllQGT6nSHyAJChij2DZ | {"NO": 320.67872903644394, "YES": 551.3595900090742} | 0 | annalicia-will-return-to-the-panel | 1747.8502096933403 | Annalicia will return to the panel before it hits 3 people again | 1668642084738 | R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1081639573796247 | True | play | NO | public | 1668637386552 | Shah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-16 3:41 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668651587520 | 410 | Shah | 1668651669663 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1sEyPe9RMg6yr44xfx2aRadoNvfzfCffEXHkoF=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668637396587}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668640318589 | 1668651670217 | 0.2099999999999998 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.450132604618214 | oWRNBZAQh0YEDKMGPiFk | {"NO": 141.7151471237152, "YES": 159.82367750919195} | 0.42058141422701667 | azzyohm-stock-permanent | 87.72707537386144 | AzzyOhm Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036430 | WvM5DMB1zUdhBiGm6bOpw7LurAI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668638031965 | legolas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | legolas | 1713586779561 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WvM5DMB1zUdhBiGm6bOpw7LurAI3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668638032412}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1669569396519}, ... | ["destinygg", "permanent-markets", "ancient-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1698413822682 | 1668650101475 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12593903540129903 | yXUtUC19heamFuHymSP7 | {"NO": 931.0753065988482, "YES": 1372.15637805663} | 0.08906129258360866 | will-sbf-be-vindicated | 2903.071866681674 | Will SBF be vindicated? | 1774925940000 | H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1 | cpmm-1 | 3.078191837246648e-16 | 10.036267367602072 | False | basic | public | 1668638379509 | MP | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if by March 30th 2026, Sam Bankman-Fried is vindicated. This doesn't necessarily mean that Sam will be proven innocent, but if the public discourse forgives him somehow, this market will be resolved to YES.", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.0034831046037198943} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9066730043699608, "platformFee": 0.5909381423155686, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MP | 1718390183261 | 0.1 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf | 0 | 29 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668638379844}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1696357315797}] | ["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "sbf-trial"] | 0.11138267431345919 | 0.5 | 1718390180211 | 1699740717950 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3169633196550716 | Gz9wC2KNoudDW5W47lIa | {"NO": 61.84393510838231, "YES": 961.614362321348} | 0 | will-destiny-ban-somebody-in-the-co-1b85bbbd11a4 | 1959.2047478270458 | Will Destiny Ban somebody in the coming hour? | 1668642780000 | lDl6WOwXT6SfWbqnKnp0I6ZdQui1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.1799519462203083 | True | play | NO | public | 1668639186228 | Roogle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny ban somebody in the coming hour?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Nukes count as bans)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last Result: YES ... at onl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668642797851 | 330 | roogle | 1668642752302 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2STZjDz-R8Wcthg5E7E_bXTbUoimN9Hq1n0ZSPkA=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "lDl6WOwXT6SfWbqnKnp0I6ZdQui1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668639186587}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668642752159 | 1668642659367 | 0.08999999999999993 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20432409817326766 | 80lrIpk6HtgZs344VTA8 | {"NO": 350.9316399164354, "YES": 1834.8390726319742} | 0 | will-low-tier-god-join-the-call-any | 7531.477421892862 | Will Low Tier God join the call anytime this stream. | 1668650650874 | EQ7bHG7tg2XbRk6O3EhXQE84gcP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2937859362059934 | True | play | NO | public | 1668639632462 | AwsomeO AwsomeO | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes if Low Tier God joins the call anytime this stream. Stream interruptions don't count, but if destiny intentionally ends stream it does.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668650650874 | 830 | AwsomeOAwsomeO | 1668649235200 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fhmm3kf7q1oVs6lwjxFU-B9rWpbtLAFBSEH-H=s96-c | 41 | 0 | 32 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "EQ7bHG7tg2XbRk6O3EhXQE84gcP2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668639633201}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668648921899 | 1668649234181 | 0.028133868339046 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | r8WKLjn0yhBuy3L98UWu | {"NO": 115, "YES": 21.739130434782624} | 1 | will-destiny-quote-another-biblical | 65 | Will Destiny quote another Biblical verse in this discussion | 1668640103139 | vKhRGd9XhPS5Kb1raBn9ztMUGBS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.696944995011032 | True | play | YES | public | 1668640007942 | ripperino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Destiny just read a verse verbatim regarding abortion.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve yes if Destiny quotes/ reads out a different verse during the course of this dis... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668640103139 | 110 | ripperino | 1668640134978 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "vKhRGd9XhPS5Kb1raBn9ztMUGBS2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668640008397}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668640097131 | 1668640132602 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YNAVM2may1SUUsAGEdmy | who-is-more-likely-to-be-2024-repub | 1370.5193086679767 | Who is more likely to be 2024 Republican nominee: Trump or DeSantis? | 1735649940000 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1668641023462 | Keepcalmandchill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Keepcalmandchill | 1720053161621 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "05e5e6b41cf8", "prob": 0.9770853559474572, "text": "Donald Trump", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 281.74936852954795, "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.607597230461941, "textFts": "'donald':1 'trump':2", "contractId": "YNAVM2may1SUUsAGEdmy", "createdTime": 1668... | 14 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1668641023751}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "cre... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "2024-gop-primaries", "donald-trump"] | 0.10473272445479635 | 1711092203316 | False | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.55 | hvhtEbUEQ2lnNr9qYCCs | {"NO": 235.96166175601672, "YES": 262.10493393209026} | 0.34285714285714286 | by-how-many-points-will-ohio-state | 30 | By how many points will Ohio State beat Michigan on 11/26/22? | 1669503099055 | CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3606120353047102 | True | play | MKT | public | 1668641942390 | ZONK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You are predicting how many MORE POINTS Ohio State will score than Michigan.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A POSITIVE value is predicting OSU to win.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669503099055 | 250 | ZONK | 1668853189359 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1668641942776}, {"name": "College Football", "slug": "college-football", "userId": "CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1", "groupId": "ky1VPTuxrLXMnHyajZFp", "createdTime": 1668642548949}] | ["sports-default", "college-football"] | 0.55 | 1668853189144 | 0.34285714285714286 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
HBR8spjXir7p3N6agfbo | who-will-win-osu-vs-um-112622 | 165 | Who will win OSU vs UM 11/26/22? | 1669503012383 | CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.787664358140534 | True | play | a34366bf9865 | public | 1668642284791 | ZONK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401405153", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401405153", "class": "z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decora... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669503012383 | 300 | ZONK | 1720053161621 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a34366bf9865", "prob": 0.3107867568529725, "text": "Michigan", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 66.78315436202851, "userId": "CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 148.10101585897738, "textFts": "'michigan':1", "contractId": "HBR8spjXir7p3N6agfbo", "createdTime": 1668642284791, "... | 4 | [{"name": "College Football", "slug": "college-football", "userId": "CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1", "groupId": "ky1VPTuxrLXMnHyajZFp", "createdTime": 1668642561825}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "CUXOSMEyJ0gJ4Asfy0a0y9jUAKn1", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1668642285049}] | ["sports-default", "college-football"] | 1669293875475 | 1669506085767 | {"a34366bf9865": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5624265144092658 | fYFEG9gDofaRpTHMeUmA | {"NO": 106.5281418359101, "YES": 77.57777672686181} | 0.6383348060457363 | soundhorn | 51.64832875232523 | Soundhorn | 33217163036441 | qfUABocqg7e3xX5g9RgKUuy6GIx1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668642401541 | Orangie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 90 | Orangie | 1713587217355 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "ETO", "slug": "eto", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "IiNevwTtyukII0eSmPIB", "createdTime": 1668724933602}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1681609871909}, {"name": "all sto... | ["eto", "ancient-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1685644932152 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iyweCIq0kvkHv6rDEuM1 | how-many-followers-will-the-destiny | 725.8712542556686 | How many followers will the @destinydebates TikTok account have by the end of November | 1669852677015 | KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.716497949843671 | True | play | ae4c43c1f099 | public | 1668642535765 | dggL | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How many followers will the @destinydebates TikTok account have by 12:00am dec 1st, 2022. Any market updates will be given", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-30 6:00... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669852677015 | 600.0000000000001 | cutie | 1669852162467 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FCutiePatootie%2FjaNzHeZbKN.jfif?alt=media&token=b07ecd31-246e-4ad5-9a09-f9f89dbef721 | 0 | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "ae4c43c1f099", "prob": 0.8626502208526632, "text": "90k-91k", "index": 0, "poolNo": 105.55964579108377, "userId": "KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 16.807036833475465, "textFts": "'90k':2 '90k-91k':1 '91k':3", "contractId": "iyweCIq0kvkHv6rDEuM1", "createdTime": 1668642535765, "probC... | 13 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "KGDJ2IcFxVf7J0TdiGEXCtLi50z2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668642536207}, {"name": "TikTok", "slug": "tiktok", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "MjTB5PFWedvqLHXO0vKz", "createdTime": 1670970785758}] | ["destinygg", "tiktok"] | 1669852162297 | {"ae4c43c1f099": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3623695919220352 | O75erkqmVUQb291OTAWe | {"NO": 161.07847367812437, "YES": 162.74127187772018} | 1 | will-moky-defeat-zain-in-his-salty | 287.0372881556108 | Will Moky defeat Zain in his Salty Suite match at Apex 2022? | 1668825187540 | GH2So9KSqENMUyNEnjSOfZKkWdK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.083930022186297 | True | play | YES | public | 1668643182607 | Alexander Bateman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES means MOKY will win his salty suite match", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO means ZAIN will win his salty suite match", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668825187540 | 170 | AlexanderBateman | 1668806950836 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyN7tNPudd_h1k5b7jYmUOFv-BM58J4eCB7RF5Y=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "GH2So9KSqENMUyNEnjSOfZKkWdK2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668643183029}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1668806950709 | 0.36 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42727484330429305 | zp5QUsyHsvqZfnV8J2hP | {"NO": 162.00602842310616, "YES": 178.91668852870987} | 0 | youtube-chat-stock-permanent | 174.90230902215848 | Youtube Chat Stock (Permanent) | 1668729540000 | vqPuXA7lpcTMR8dq2ZSUoY7oG3u1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9003449673223365 | True | play | NO | public | 1668644587179 | Kriggar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its Duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBr... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668779263132 | 170 | Kriggar | 1668726386841 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0qA_TpP9TOcsv7ASsoTvC_oRn-XtN7WVk00ciJ=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "vqPuXA7lpcTMR8dq2ZSUoY7oG3u1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668644587677}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "vqPuXA7lpcTMR8dq2ZSUoY7oG3u1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668644774902}] | ["economics-default", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668726386520 | 0.40317211884671467 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39770570985206544 | 43vftyZbAt5eSD5yILaJ | {"NO": 155.44000357834787, "YES": 2591.2828278939587} | 0 | will-destiny-drop-a-905-tonight-bef | 11925.68957176029 | Will Destiny drop a 905+ tonight before ending the stream? | 1668650776930 | 6yjzU8RFtRYtEI8O6tq3p8C7Brw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3118509555987372 | True | basic | NO | public | 1668645206511 | Gnarbabies | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "905 and up. What do you think? ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668650776930 | 1410 | Gnarbabies | 1710218510547 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1mIb7toXgtqK_wEk27_8d7Y4UxscDSKOepjE3s=s96-c | 66 | 0 | 45 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668650758747 | 1668650815097 | 0.03810050714613502 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5171290465207554 | lUogwiEhR7GKrxQYoVei | {"NO": 112.53372195656745, "YES": 106.87411264690282} | 1 | twitch-chat-stock-permanent | 140.05226646939482 | Twitch Chat Stock (Permanent) | 1672527540000 | vqPuXA7lpcTMR8dq2ZSUoY7oG3u1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.597347693797208 | True | play | YES | public | 1668645366166 | Kriggar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No= Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Meant to function like a traditional Stock Market.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This will be lenghten... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675144058182 | 110 | Kriggar | 1710218373963 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0qA_TpP9TOcsv7ASsoTvC_oRn-XtN7WVk00ciJ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 7 | 6 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}] | ["destinygg", "permanent-markets"] | 0.5 | 1671586141078 | 1675144196038 | 0.53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19704855983219954 | a8F4tr2P21Dxj7zSO1PH | {"NO": 968.4407840160094, "YES": 1075.7226100688924} | 0.18095292959580997 | by-the-end-of-2024-will-at-least-2 | 468.39518001115016 | By the end of 2024, will at least 2 MIRI researchers publicly consider the Infra-Bayesianism agenda to have contributed substantially to solving the alignment problem? | 1735689540000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.704011206824191 | False | basic | public | 1668645662742 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.498001805406602e-16, "week": -2.498001805406602e-16, "month": -2.498001805406602e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Alana | 1684522466847 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "AI Alignment ", "slug": "ai-alignment", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1668645663320}] | ["ai-alignment"] | 0.5 | 1684522466723 | 1676639937102 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8268720090818296 | NtlQ0Lek3foVjmS7elSl | {"NO": 846.6211178315215, "YES": 357.81884879938104} | 0.9187023584510129 | will-i-consider-myself-a-fulltime-a | 1967.7945958641922 | Will I consider myself a full-time AI alignment researcher by the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5585161125950706 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668646106853 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please use all available information about me to make this prediction. I will also answer questions in the comments.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704101601986 | 430 | Alana | 1704101602361 | 0.1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "AI Alignment ", "slug": "ai-alignment", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1668646107302}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131216921}] | ["ai-alignment", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.10424213835049824 | 0.5 | 1704039780148 | 1704101595348 | 0.92 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37791549574481087 | 8UTCKhNeIsK7mJNGeRKO | {"NO": 132.7341915374646, "YES": 116.03694336908777} | 0.37 | predict-metaculus-will-iran-disempo | 81.06741681599524 | Predict Metaculus: Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | 1668834000000 | 4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.485036039510812 | True | play | MKT | public | 1668646150170 | Johnny Ten-Numbers | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The following Metaculus forecast is set to open soon: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13457/iranian-modesty-police-disempowered-by-2024/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.m... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669646979508 | 130 | 1941159478 | 1668833971346 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | [{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1668646170775}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "... | ["politics-default", "iran", "predictions-on-predictions", "metaforecasting", "reciprocal-scoring"] | 0.5 | 1668833971211 | 0.37 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17704989969376836 | suglwMMwwII5kVeMRkMn | {"NO": 636.2384926809528, "YES": 2328.0823660835454} | 0 | will-destiny-hit-a-900-first-try-to | 14844.625941234697 | Will destiny hit a 900 or more first try next stream? | 1669146625377 | L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.875621865041663 | True | basic | NO | public | 1668646310021 | Labyran | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 16, 7:59pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will destiny hit a 900 first try tomorrow?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will destiny hit a 900 or more first try tomorrow?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669146625377 | 1050 | Labyran | 1669146710342 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3rGjtZQ6NyFZYwoBfPwl20oXyT8kYiyigRAr3fYQ=s96-c | 53 | 0 | 36 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668646322525}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1669144976452 | 1669146709159 | 0.05553051637301543 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CEbOfZmhgacQqBEU0ydv | what-word-will-hit-its-google-trend | 1947.9656031347326 | What word will hit its Google Trends all-time high in December 2022? | 1672441140000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.668371168497353 | True | play | 87db194465d0 | public | 1668646514712 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to the most searched of the submitted answers, if it hit its global all-time-high in December 2022 on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://trends.google.com/trends/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672661584016 | 640 | itsTomekK | 1672673780645 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "141a8ad4a25f", "prob": 0.01197882243902877, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.08793197046908696, "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 7.252686935659084, "textFts": "", "contractId": "CEbOfZmhgacQqBEU0ydv", "createdTime": 1668646514990, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0... | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Tomek's 🟡 specials", "slug": "tomeks-specials", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Tnqa2ZTn9jMpD7wSBWGJ", "createdTime": 1668646676020}, {"name": "Google Trends", "slug": "google-trends", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "G71hVdQqs1RbmxkGBUC8", "createdTime": 166864651... | ["google-trends", "tomeks-specials"] | 1672433886325 | 1672673777279 | {"87db194465d0": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.497933690409276 | 0x6ZTVYtRXWWKjZDL0VN | {"NO": 983.0057446149245, "YES": 1006.8928027229132} | 0.4919320112636373 | god-stock-eternal | 550.4053443347734 | God Stock (Eternal) | 4102484340000 | 9DVzoDI4rWV7EPWhqRXaXP9eAvj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.590353687828003 | False | basic | public | 1668647667424 | cosmicturtle333 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "God, YHWH, Allah, Jehovah, Elohim, Bhagavan, El, The Light, King of Kings, Alpha and Omega, Hu, Hayyi Rabbi, Om, Akal Purakh etc.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | cosmicturtle333 | 1710218331362 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu34BAUJAm3Cf1GUfUPUlpulst_Uw_C-iP5gZL9mKQ=s96-c | 21 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1684200803502 | 1676346584415 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7261020269952854 | ukFtvntm8uhdFATiorLh | {"NO": 1294.2004897346467, "YES": 236.5351825904753} | 1 | will-the-annalicia-bridge-survive-t | 2052.3445503529756 | Will the Annalicia bridge survive the year of our lord 2022? | 1672531140000 | L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3838330460236443 | True | play | YES | public | 1668648139168 | Labyran | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 16, 8:22pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will the Annalicia bridge survive the year of our lord 2022", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will the Annalicia bridge survive the year of our lord 2022?", "type": "text"}]... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673110557360 | 390 | Labyran | 1672625652464 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3rGjtZQ6NyFZYwoBfPwl20oXyT8kYiyigRAr3fYQ=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 2 | 14 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "L3ZijSlMTkYhwI3dikFFKFYApDs1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668648139538}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672512356918 | 1672625649483 | 0.94 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5787930048728934 | H86FPY2X9ONHRsseDwqd | {"NO": 1360.4865562439911, "YES": 231.00913521620856} | 1 | will-ron-desantis-out-fundraise-tru | 1828.9026415579656 | Will Ron Desantis out fundraise Trump in Q4? | 1684381304226 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9764909969744155 | True | play | YES | public | 1668648595270 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-03-31 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1684381304226 | 510 | BTE | 1684381294654 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8 | 12 | [{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1668648595537}, {"name": "2024 GOP Primaries", "slug": "2024-gop-primaries", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "mwL1bEUy5R4QtlycizAr", "createdTime": 1675834836492}] | ["magaland", "2024-gop-primaries"] | 0.5 | 1684368266139 | 1684381291903 | 0.89 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5340253733929963 | r3vvJkuYumUgwXfnRlo0 | {"NO": 613.3332914679834, "YES": 438.9524108012298} | 1 | will-the-manifold-website-be-fast-b | 2467.188647546136 | Will the Manifold website be fast by the end of 2023? | 1675230605730 | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7232786689566595 | True | play | YES | public | 1668649529852 | Andrew G | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if in my subjective opinion Manifold is fast by December 31, 2023. If Manifold becomes fast and then slow again, resolves YES anyways.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675230605730 | 630 | AndrewG | 1675362964356 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668649530314}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1674847653038 | 1675362960465 | 0.62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2515451741234756 | UqheqHu4DKNcHmYjgVcI | {"NO": 530.6892752156544, "YES": 458.632865517009} | 1 | will-ftx-clients-retrieve-90-of-the | 4083.455477046914 | Will FTX clients retrieve 90% of their deposits by Nov 30, 2022? | 1668726084708 | 0FlJypoKfcgatnkFqYKg0yq04L63 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9498375497295359 | True | play | YES | public | 1668649736705 | yaya wong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668726084708 | 550 | yayawong | 1669806162895 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu34ursHw3zoG1GONDFRl6ivWpNv1KYSjICKGBcu=s96-c | 27 | 0 | 29 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668677491619}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "c... | ["finance", "crypto-speculation", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1668726038362 | 1669806132349 | 0.28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5737113202561887 | IlMXb2LgVketC4kjgkas | {"NO": 265.76447610488844, "YES": 106.83748596623903} | 0.7699999999999997 | will-richard-heart-richard-james-sc-7cc51b6804e6 | 645.8606064806462 | Will Richard Heart (Richard James Schueler) be charged of any felony crime before 2030? | 1893455940000 | YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668649770570 | Scrooge McDuck | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Richard Heart (Richard James Schueler), the creator of Hex cryptocurrency, has been criminally charged with any felony crime.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.018766039041303806} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5145122384750581, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | ScroogeMcDuck | 1719077795340 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1673051978081}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1673051975633}, {... | ["scandal-markets", "law-order", "crypto-speculation", "cryptochargemarkets"] | 0.5 | 1719077792230 | 1719077753485 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1794883128031897 | 7806AktnzaroyNB8i6oO | {"NO": 962.6433064837066, "YES": 1105.4943749309627} | 0.16000605496914025 | will-coinbase-default-on-its-debt | 1315.412811633705 | Will Coinbase default on its debt? | 1854075540000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.760503633215496 | False | basic | public | 1668649952971 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FnQ5EY3yndH.jpeg?alt=media&token=8d00ddf1-3f4f-4d1c-88c8-26f923b9277b", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://market... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Gigacasting | 1710102260062 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668649953258}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 16686551348... | ["economics-default", "crypto-speculation", "coinbase"] | 0.5 | 1710102256461 | 1671084235035 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | fnA6HY90uqeOtwssvUbn | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | will-dan-misspeak-on-stream-tomorro | 0 | Will Dan misspeak on stream tomorrow? (Wednesday, November 17) | 1668651263305 | 30sADnphQmTnmVQZVJIfNJrGWEy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668651229646 | Jack Skellington | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Dan misspeaks on stream tomorrow and either someone on stream acknowledges it or if at least FIVE \"OMEGALUL HE\" messages (or some variant of) are posted into DGG chat up to 15 seconds after the misspeak.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668651263305 | 50 | JackSkellington | 1668651229646 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu242d2zcktD7NEnWZnkkPh8NtYd7XCLQe80LSo8=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "30sADnphQmTnmVQZVJIfNJrGWEy1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668651230061}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36530183635043095 | z4GTjOsNdkCBuU5f1qpS | {"NO": 40.17622977900945, "YES": 362.78331350266325} | 0 | zeddcucks-stream-ends-banned-or-oth | 667.3517637342043 | Zeddcuck's stream ends (banned or other) before end of Black Adam | 1668660604428 | 8AGrFhZfkUV8x4uJzZghW7vcXOA3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.8043742330352455 | True | play | NO | public | 1668652326489 | Foreverything | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"end\" = start of credits", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668660604428 | 130 | Foreverything | 1710218632767 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1668658469452 | 1668652672970 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
VRtyrpNyZttQJFzQEPTz | next-dgg-movie-will-be | 509.4734049096196 | next DGG movie will be | 1668659188780 | R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.698221115529766 | True | play | 3381f4698fb5 | public | 1668653041360 | Shah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-11-16 8:26 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668659820331 | 660 | Shah | 1668659168270 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1sEyPe9RMg6yr44xfx2aRadoNvfzfCffEXHkoF=s96-c | 16 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1a2ee0b92fbc", "prob": 0.00601715645018514, "text": "Indie Horror", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.05617961481708557, "userId": "R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.280392449111382, "textFts": "'horror':2 'indi':1", "contractId": "VRtyrpNyZttQJFzQEPTz", "createdTime": 1668653041360, "probCha... | 15 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "R5EPvvH40vXRW7bmhjHkp4Y0Y112", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668653041777}] | ["destinygg"] | 1668659168131 | 1668654535162 | {"3381f4698fb5": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28564874679949276 | 6Rctd84CHgDzOeCPndWG | {"NO": 169.0802753242185, "YES": 2417.9844561000036} | 0 | will-manifold-introduce-some-featur | 2262.3262482879354 | Will Manifold introduce some feature to encourage betting in conditional markets by the end of 2023? | 1704077940000 | H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1 | cpmm-1 | 0.025775838001460456 | 1.6827890246230794 | True | play | NO | public | 1668653727342 | MP | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Conditional markets are those that are resolved to N/A if some other stuff doesn't happen (If Trump run and the major networks calls him to have lost, will he win when they count the votes in Congress?).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704084898406 | 410 | MP | 1704084898682 | 1.1 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf | 1 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668653727779}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129206637}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.09781773951527307 | 0.5 | 1704069668024 | 1668730208946 | 0.03 | H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5037990740639195 | n2WAs6UuFTUEvAmThuli | {"NO": 386.40654232253326, "YES": 392.32344814167095} | 0.5 | how-many-months-after-my-last-buzz | 242.90014009011162 | How many months after my last buzz cut will I be able to put my hair in a proper bun? | 1925009940000 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668653923759 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: I will be getting occasional trims to prevent deterioration. I have had one thus far. It has been about 11 months", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When I resolve, I will round to the near... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 390 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1696781178265 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1668654006418}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1668654000531}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": ... | ["personal-goals", "olivia", "fun", "trans-questions"] | 0.5000000000007098 | 1696781177958 | 1668654198392 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25 | z5Azjkk0pDw1C905REGd | {"NO": 250, "YES": 250} | 0.25 | out-of-three-randomly-chosen-leetco | 0 | Out of three randomly chosen Leetcode "hard" difficulty problems, how many problems will GPT4 solve on its given the exact prompt from the problem? | 1668654576271 | Tuvk2vE8saQgB10Z7Gwv2CT1pQW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.7945185953131357 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1668654539984 | Stephen Malina | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My plan is to open up Leetcode, filter for \"hard\" (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://leetcode.com/problemset/all/?difficulty=HARD&page=1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://leetcode.com/problemset/all/?diff... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668654576271 | 250 | StephenMalina | 1668654539984 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhiY-B4DtNCOyjQmWNag-FugkJMBmr3jdWOk82M=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 1 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "userId": "Tuvk2vE8saQgB10Z7Gwv2CT1pQW2", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1668654540313}] | ["technical-ai-timelines"] | 0.25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.4078487205650353 | bzHrbHWS3hxM2xIdkjH2 | {"NO": 347.6637663569552, "YES": 487.4318765900755} | 0.32942639335228724 | what-percent-of-manifold-markets-us | 287 | What percent of Manifold Markets users are affiliated with the EA community? (Permanent) | 2240629140000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668699494432 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy in/short it again once it's over-cor... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0744189318224438} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.3654116164562313, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 410 | AmmonLam | 1717843276384 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1668699495013}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 166956447... | ["economics-default", "permanent-markets"] | 0.5 | 1717843162542 | 1717843275472 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22049268574666428 | MKQVBW0o2habFMjl3qRJ | {"NO": 958.5760287038227, "YES": 1084.5773949599484} | 0.20000000000000018 | will-an-aigenerated-paper-be-accept | 1349.3020082460423 | Will an AI-generated paper be accepted into Nature by 2025? | 1768664520000 | xPybeghQsdMLRm4PcGPjyClku143 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.642412703907372 | False | basic | public | 1668699780717 | Chase Stevens | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.9831027584651184, "platformFee": 2.9831027584651184, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ChaseStevens | 1716182995065 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Sm9iJZY5PZxiy-bzRCaFR0OEF4qY94exyqeLe=s96-c | 3 | 40 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "xPybeghQsdMLRm4PcGPjyClku143", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1668699781198}] | ["ai"] | 0.10459808069840588 | 0.5 | 1716182991841 | 1686971153895 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3595473503792479 | o9mpCCOLQYXfqq63zVe0 | {"NO": 83.6020251500497, "YES": 1641.6336307575452} | 0 | currently-the-combined-monthly-view | 2159.488319027689 | Currently, the combined monthly views of both of Destiny's channels is around 19 million views. Will they hit the milestone of 20 million views (combined) by the end of 2022? | 1672559940000 | 9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2803645537281216 | True | play | NO | public | 1668700087330 | johnleoks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Channel links.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://socialblade.com/youtube/channel/UC554eY5jNUfDq3yDOJYirOQ", "type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672560163936 | 270 | johnleoks | 1710218608836 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672332460081 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18003821523649582 | fLBl3cN967ku2njrHtNL | {"NO": 885.7836716847156, "YES": 1488.851091031327} | 0.11553842987082462 | will-geraldo-alckmin-be-the-preside | 1965.916246031967 | Will Geraldo Alckmin be the President of Brazil by Dec 31st 2025? | 1767236280000 | H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.81840828184282 | False | basic | public | 1668700162907 | MP | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to YES if Vice-President elected Geraldo Alckmin is swore into office by Dec 31st 2025.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I may bet on this market.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 9.71445146547012e-17, "week": 9.71445146547012e-17, "month": 9.71445146547012e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.38628666207250295, "platformFee": 0.38628666207250295, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MP | 1718482299272 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf | 1 | 17 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1668700169889}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1668700163106}, {"name": "... | ["brazil-3292d24d179f", "world-default", "politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1713606121951 | 1718482298299 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37662316502282295 | ej2TdsdNLW5Nz4QZpHsC | {"NO": 140.19508406542485, "YES": 1246.427140462554} | 0 | will-i-be-in-a-math-class-block-5-w | 2822.3593678983416 | Will I be in a math class block 5 which primarily teaches Algebraic Number Theory? | 1682522659212 | 1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5533884036281744 | True | play | NO | public | 1668702541399 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "sNiwwemjkHapp7KXCfxCPbMVEpF3", "label": "CadenBacher"}}, {"text": " thinks that I will be in an Algebraic Number Theory course Block 5, since my transcript says so. I do not.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1682522659212 | 330 | JoshuaB | 1681178668621 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1668702541610}] | ["proofniks"] | 0.5 | 1681178667507 | 1680718297631 | 0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16947608715641432 | clf9QnP6sVmCckaOVM0L | {"NO": 1049.7488350197216, "YES": 1124.6075424208489} | 0.15999999999999973 | will-i-live-to-be-over-1000-years-o | 16975.67210669669 | Will I live to be over 1000 years old? | 253402300740000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 1.539095918623324e-16 | 9.69879087707076 | False | basic | public | 1668702655762 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will I live to celebrate my 1000th birthday?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1085 | DanielKilian | 1702162127815 | 0.1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 1 | 57 | 0 | 29 | [{"name": "\"Life Insurance\"", "slug": "life-insurance", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "L8SBNLgBRvMFOceszGqO", "createdTime": 1668876778779}] | ["life-insurance"] | 0.11454996352290266 | 0.5 | 1702162127689 | 1695160556619 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.05448466905500332 | MEolcsFcEOjAgiu3u5BW | {"NO": 477.9404722327274, "YES": 2237.0397835069216} | 0 | will-sbf-raise-1b-by-the-end-of-nov | 3841.3660867183517 | Will SBF raise $1B by the end of November to rescue FTX? | 1669870740000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.344872625642383 | True | play | NO | public | 1668702761369 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "instantly infamous Vox feature", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23462333/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-cryptocurrency-effective-altruism-crypto-bahamas... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669912920302 | 550 | BTE | 1669847951981 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1668702761600}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime":... | ["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "free-money"] | 0.5 | 1669847951818 | 1668706462469 | 0.012161628551115593 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4134482415441741 | 1dJn2fCFRWcej7EhjIKO | {"NO": 379.51334401493784, "YES": 3007.6097919810218} | 0 | will-mrgirl-release-his-video-on-de | 6955.604789318893 | Will mrgirl release his video or an article/manifesto on Destiny before the end of 2022? | 1672376400000 | v1JkgffLqQWZCeqfrh48OQJE3Uk1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6214497371761889 | True | basic | NO | public | 1668703209844 | Orbiter Voltron | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "mrgirl is feverishly working on a video/article/manifesto about his allegations towards Destiny.", "type": "text"}, {"text": " ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "conte... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673111171992 | 1130 | OrbiterVoltron | 1673111430796 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 47 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "v1JkgffLqQWZCeqfrh48OQJE3Uk1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668703210227}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672367139776 | 1673111425506 | 0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5288828072441297 | o8TvlRRQyQtgeCpOdtn5 | {"NO": 838.3368342505936, "YES": 1149.7326669475524} | 0.450115319248374 | if-manifold-begins-allowing-realmon | 1471.4526635363682 | If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve? | 2209006800000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.640804990776221 | False | basic | public | 1668704642790 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll allow any reasonable type of scoring to demonstrate this, such as the ones described ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/1808.07501.pdf", "class": "z-10 break... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.036265242385831065} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 31.331169776278525, "platformFee": 3.700769909639599, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1719105467216 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1668704649318}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "cr... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "predictions-on-predictions", "metaforecasting"] | 0.5 | 1719105464159 | 1719027573295 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2951923282383709 | RqNgGnN1p9PdRCyTsjBV | {"NO": 263.3535365602386, "YES": 2980.014220880291} | 0 | will-sbf-make-another-tweet-before | 2837.1293189135135 | Will SBF make another tweet before Nov 18, 2022 11:59pm ET? | 1668833940000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1372340645257273 | True | play | NO | public | 1668705965564 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Evaluation according to Twitter account @SBF_FTX", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market was created on Nov 17, 2022 12:25pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668869171706 | 690 | AmmonLam | 1668833914673 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 36 | 0 | 1 | 37 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668705966127}] | ["twitter"] | 0.5 | 1668833914527 | 1668830139633 | 0.035692011682905804 |
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