p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.34080437288028204 | iFHdiyEJO5jS8f15ykRt | {"NO": 99.53175117994684, "YES": 190.98695542919384} | 0.21224595506851593 | does-exp-pspace | 81.01304457080604 | Does EXP = PSPACE? | 32503708800000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668753644611 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that EXP does or does not equal PSPACE.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 130 | BoltonBailey | 1708308114445 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1668753644795}] | ["computational-complexity-theory"] | 0.5 | 1708308114299 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19139250542418987 | QS8l1AiYdGZ2Z5nEKZtr | {"NO": 940.256961021327, "YES": 1134.031576572016} | 0.16405399220548028 | is-integer-factorization-in-p | 2659.098328887063 | Is Integer Factorization in P? | 32503708800000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0.1821502460090068 | 9.639945012661748 | False | basic | public | 1668754082147 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "integer factorization problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integer_factorization", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.007697349279097737, "month": -0.0232652692514998} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.5424485945931226, "platformFee": 1.8459226747438486, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1719731248210 | 1.2 | 26 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1668754082342}, {"name": "Cryptography", "slug": "cryptography", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "q82xXEDGUflqiEo7cXcF"... | ["computational-complexity-theory", "cryptography"] | 0.1387926976846894 | 0.5 | 1719731245051 | 1692006766565 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.09086503288697524 | fqBylTv3sUsGEz9pxxmQ | {"NO": 954.4380554727892, "YES": 1129.412103760048} | 0.07788417286738601 | is-integer-factorization-npcomplete | 713.4800404590849 | Is Integer Factorization NP-Complete? | 32503708800000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.279990425454958 | False | basic | public | 1668754139574 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "integer factorization problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integer_factorization", ... | BINARY | {"day": -4.163336342344337e-17, "week": -4.163336342344337e-17, "month": -4.163336342344337e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1717523327455 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1668754139784}] | ["computational-complexity-theory"] | 0.5 | 1682960132554 | 1717523326486 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44186046511627913 | WH1cu6KiaK3ROIk6ZlyF | {"NO": 53.33333333333338, "YES": 95} | 0 | will-i-top-8-the-pioneer-showcase-c-0056c86f6d83 | 25 | Will I top 8 the Pioneer Showcase Challenge on 11/20/22 on MTGO? | 1668817634477 | qUuDrCqpKnWMx4CK1bzWeWGp3E22 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6784420586276987 | True | play | NO | public | 1668754146930 | Aryeh Zax | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if I am one of the top 8 players after the Swiss rounds in this weekend's Pioneer Showcase Challenge, and NO in any other scenario.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nov 17, 10:50pm: ", "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668817634477 | 70 | azax | 1668817641466 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkqupI4ZhzqaACa9wG2eDL-nOfn60TLW83JLJyg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "qUuDrCqpKnWMx4CK1bzWeWGp3E22", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668754147362}, {"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1668757202358}] | ["gaming", "magic-the-gathering"] | 0.5 | 1668755618700 | 1668817639613 | 0.307692307692308 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3859857482185287 | 1NePmeuIpuR2p3Y5QG03 | {"NO": 42.72727272727275, "YES": 129.99999999999997} | 0 | will-i-top-8-the-modern-showcase-ch | 60 | Will I top 8 the Modern Showcase Challenge on 11/19/22 on MTGO? | 1668817591209 | qUuDrCqpKnWMx4CK1bzWeWGp3E22 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.0539267010161675 | True | play | NO | public | 1668754182333 | Aryeh Zax | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if I am one of the top 8 players after the Swiss rounds in this weekend's Modern Showcase Challenge, and NO in any other scenario.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668817591209 | 70 | azax | 1668817619074 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkqupI4ZhzqaACa9wG2eDL-nOfn60TLW83JLJyg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "qUuDrCqpKnWMx4CK1bzWeWGp3E22", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1668754182694}] | ["gaming"] | 0.5 | 1668755588120 | 1668817617289 | 0.1712328767123297 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6249083138605005 | dE0BDBaASgel3xpUgLFN | {"NO": 944.9109643058293, "YES": 1013.1489045994178} | 0.6084274024481622 | is-graph-isomorphism-in-p | 475.3720413886064 | Is Graph Isomorphism in P? | 32503708800000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.646432749898942 | False | basic | public | 1668754249845 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "graph isomorphism problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graph_isomorphism_problem", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.01751252043088003, "month": -0.017143358214073312} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.09166273942985, "platformFee": 0.13055749992624027, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1719873203489 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5 | [{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1668754250057}] | ["computational-complexity-theory"] | 0.5 | 1719873200434 | 1718142602125 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.755507804787272 | rNf2BucIsRv8nkSPdVR2 | {"NO": 566.1623337216218, "YES": 1184.0968550706896} | 0.5963674225966176 | by-2027-will-adam-be-replaced-by-a | 1920.587024387154 | By 2027 will Adam be replaced by a novel optimization algorithm? | 1798790400000 | acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.551319062890157 | False | basic | public | 1668754282722 | Vincent Luczkow | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am including both Adam and close variants (e.g. AdamW).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To judge it I will look at the top 20 most cited ML papers released that year. If >= 50% of them use a... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1861132713920991} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 35.211278113088476, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | vluzko | 1719484524666 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 8 | [{"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1668754282977}, {"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "acvO0NAsghTTgGjnsdwt94O44OT2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1668754289079}] | ["technical-ai-timelines", "ai"] | 0.5 | 1719484521608 | 1669104612910 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12536630108857405 | 0HXpwZuTiaoDBz4gpSgY | {"NO": 885.8378477342035, "YES": 1658.379914533483} | 0.07111888541172183 | is-graph-isomorphism-npcomplete | 1253.653833472268 | Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete? | 32503708800000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0.0009744040908224906 | 10.091196185594 | False | basic | public | 1668754316361 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve once a widely-accepted proof exists that the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "graph isomorphism problem", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graph_isomorphism_problem", ... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 4.595488696657046e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0050245972278406825, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1718947665946 | 1.1 | 22 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Computational Complexity Theory", "slug": "computational-complexity-theory", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "rkDU85UpYnk6QG5tiE8U", "createdTime": 1668754316573}, {"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", ... | ["computational-complexity-theory", "mathematics"] | 0.11253092450234375 | 0.5 | 1718947662761 | 1711685653387 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.184817503603173 | 3oVLTG13QBdT7dYgbiEb | {"NO": 962.396291545933, "YES": 1096.9723602071595} | 0.16590581334377313 | sha256-collision-by-20320618 | 844.6744419713591 | SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18? | 1971215940000 | uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2 | cpmm-1 | 0.211440188815013 | 9.00796194246626 | False | basic | public | 1668754571084 | Bolton Bailey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if, on or before the close date, humanity is aware of two distinct bytestrings with the same image under the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "SHA256 hash algorithm", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.007972555445331986, "month": -0.007972555445331958} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.587466280422775, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BoltonBailey | 1720047474200 | 3.3 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668754571491}, {"name": "Cryptography", "slug": "cryptography", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "q82xXEDGUflqiEo7cXcF", "createdTime": 1668754602201}] | ["technology-default", "cryptography"] | 0.14300744247978606 | 0.5 | 1720047470707 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7329881266939445 | qDnFR5h3hV8tUbqQytYh | {"NO": 5502.465172411101, "YES": 202.9186916512249} | 1 | will-bitcoins-total-market-capitali | 10146.64895621697 | Will Bitcoin's total market capitalization set a new all-time high within the next 10 years? | 1709926189389 | rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5251003495235356 | True | play | YES | public | 1668755482693 | cos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " if the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "$1,278,797,895,528", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1709926189389 | 570 | cos | 1709926422304 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1668755628360}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668755617726}, {"name": "Bit... | ["crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "crypto-prices", "finance", "rational-reminder"] | 0.5 | 1709926061389 | 1709926421840 | 0.99 | rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8546978992322953 | biaKFKeHsUs7qzBy1O3R | {"NO": 2479.5601962949168, "YES": 790.38946937811} | 0.948594863717665 | will-the-cryptocurrency-markets-tot | 7570.093184428711 | Will the cryptocurrency market's total market capitalization set a new all-time high within the next 10 years? | 1984374720000 | rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.098065062324546 | False | basic | public | 1668755555594 | cos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " if the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market exceeds ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "$3,080,321,493,191.00", "type": "text", "mar... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | cos | 1712245777509 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1668755689229}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "rEHBdwqHM8fIdcrwBemaavsY6GQ2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1668755687226}, {"name": "Cry... | ["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "finance", "rational-reminder"] | 0.5 | 1712245774274 | 1682238238848 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21025699899856076 | dW7TAfCeKmEFwZkqNwS5 | {"NO": 256.8305909326511, "YES": 2737.7048121780344} | 0 | will-anyone-be-disqualified-from-a | 3848.404130941156 | Will anyone be disqualified from a Magic tournament for betting on it on Manifold by the end of 2023? | 1704085200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0.02011585472360215 | 1.6094388812341331 | True | play | NO | public | 1668757501044 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Magic tournament rules prohibit wagering on any portion of a tournament.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1705142030815 | 450 | IsaacKing | 1705142031029 | 1.3 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 14 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1668757501222}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCq... | ["magic-the-gathering", "predictions-on-predictions", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.12052601935434498 | 0.5 | 1704039185520 | 1704693078956 | 0.02 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3353889512593191 | iWIO8vkjQb2mvzdc32XI | {"NO": 64.90109206212304, "YES": 238.38222583597073} | 0 | will-mono-green-devotion-in-pioneer | 130 | Will Mono Green Devotion in Pioneer get a ban by the time the next Standard set is released? | 1675400400000 | TLl56ShpinXT9xtjR1jYYHNGasp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3073748007512616 | True | play | NO | public | 1668758000456 | delzed | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mono Green Devotion is often lauded as the best deck in Pioneer, and by some accounts it's the best deck by a problematic margin. There have been calls from some corners of the playerbase for Wizards to power it down through targeted bans. Others h... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675401066823 | 110 | izzetdelzed | 1675387322338 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "TLl56ShpinXT9xtjR1jYYHNGasp1", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1668758000712}] | ["magic-the-gathering"] | 0.5 | 1675387322188 | 0.12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6972603604917629 | ILdNm9naCWQljPSkiJe4 | {"NO": 1688.1910973624565, "YES": 26.38070869913804} | 1 | will-a-new-doctor-who-spinoff-be-an | 1706.813258344365 | Will a new Doctor Who spinoff be announced in 2023? | 1702513191145 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.257493974343457 | True | play | YES | public | 1668763570963 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1702513191145 | 250 | NcyRocks | 1702513198681 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1668763571467}, {"name": "Doctor Who", "slug": "doctor-who", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "gZBhA7uv8d1q5i3UWBc2", "createdTime": 1668766... | ["entertainment", "doctor-who"] | 0.5 | 1702439715702 | 1702513197034 | 0.99 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.3386941731474782 | ZGFyMbHlGzV6sfSPhZZx | {"NO": 147.13956954060598, "YES": 343.3018978158044} | 0.18000000000000027 | will-metas-metaverse-have-100-milli | 221.1109051950904 | Will Meta's metaverse have ≥100 million monthly active users on Dec 31, 2033? | 2019686340000 | xNWBOH84z0Tqw6z7DMycr2plf793 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668768688425 | thursday | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For perspective: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Steam had 131 monthly active users in 2021", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": ... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 210 | Ines | 1686171691149 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FInes%2F4nRKL6z5HY.02?alt=media&token=554ef401-4a15-46d9-bbbf-493731232557 | 9 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "xNWBOH84z0Tqw6z7DMycr2plf793", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668768688768}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1686171690644 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39524413032366057 | jYM65S4j6g44cDrn0Rr6 | {"NO": 789.8203075478528, "YES": 1361.9265585189548} | 0.27484635329897933 | will-chess-be-solved-by-2100 | 6706.799956076159 | Will chess be solved by 2100? | 4102398000000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0.11131935734965258 | 3.5489404185913758 | False | basic | public | 1668769120327 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From starting positions.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NcyRocks | 1719698643551 | 2.3 | 2 | 47 | 1 | 22 | [{"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104669273}, {"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1672808280801}, {"name": "Chess", "slug": "... | ["chess", "futurism"] | 0.14333221649321826 | 0.5 | 1719698640107 | 1705286800447 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
uK7ybq4Bee69ME6ci26n | which-pioneer-deck-archetype-will-s | 102 | Which Pioneer deck archetype will see the most top-8 finishes in the first Pro Tour of 2023? | 1676867400000 | TLl56ShpinXT9xtjR1jYYHNGasp1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.835791879010081 | True | play | f96323392744 | public | 1668770397407 | delzed | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "MagicCon Philadelphia is the venue for the first Pro Tour of 2023. Pioneer, which is the sole constructed format of the event, is sometimes described as a rock-paper-scissors format dominated by Mono Green Devotion, Rakdos Midrange and Izzet Phoeni... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677209029760 | 399.99999999999994 | izzetdelzed | 1674240815408 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a963277a024f", "prob": 0.11255199070119175, "text": "Mono Green Devotion", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.497073000372668, "userId": "TLl56ShpinXT9xtjR1jYYHNGasp1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.34322707896181, "textFts": "'devot':3 'green':2 'mono':1", "contractId": "uK7ybq4Bee69ME6ci26n", "createdTime": 166877039... | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "TLl56ShpinXT9xtjR1jYYHNGasp1", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1668770397609}] | ["magic-the-gathering"] | 1674240815140 | {"f96323392744": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.18597246890764055 | A47hYRVvdzP58uiPCtfZ | {"NO": 168.20464599597142, "YES": 1365.7936216802955} | 0 | is-the-ftx-sex-tape-real | 1163.794117160132 | Is the FTX sex tape real? | 1672531140000 | S8pMsYeu44g3CvaumE6HCgkkScC3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.5945227232674597 | True | play | NO | public | 1668774742770 | Billy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "People claim there is an FTX sex tape featuring SBF and Caroline. Was meant to be released already but has been delayed due to \"not enough eyeballs\". ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https:/... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672563557058 | 270 | billyhumblebrag | 1695562864372 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1669060632939}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "c... | ["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1671873546831 | 1695562863740 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2877753061235073 | LEtTSMJcwyChpUBcNdlM | {"NO": 289.2877922344196, "YES": 1638.0619931760646} | 0 | will-jack-manifold-join-manifoldmar | 2450.3269049798605 | Will Jack Manifold join manifold.markets by end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | 0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.114896545443819 | True | play | NO | public | 1668799892525 | Sinclair Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.twitch.tv/jackmanifoldtv", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.twitch.tv/jackmanifoldtv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": "_blank"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1705039624432 | 530 | Sinclair | 1705039626138 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 14 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1668799892897}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128684352}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.10714359656376558 | 0.5 | 1704010005969 | 1704784512945 | 0.07 | 0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5556994989783255 | nMH5kEU936txzeAyrZQH | {"NO": 187.28462864183138, "YES": 94.04509285526957} | 0.7135281678976861 | what-percent-of-2022-ftx-future-fun | 115.6812259412963 | What percent of 2022 FTX Future Fund grantees and regrantees will receive continued grant funding from some other source at any time during 2023? | 1719817140000 | YijY3niL1FezWqnWcsQSFyoqwfy2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668800203447 | Rachel Shu | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A lot of organizations that received FTXFF$ this year are in a tight spot right now. Resolves to percent in July 2024, to allow time for reporting. Here are the list of current grantees: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://archive.ph/W3HRR", "typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 130 | noumena | 1683485909356 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgakM4ip6bShp4cqgoZZllrdWYfTh2VOuG82_FPQg=s96-c | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "YijY3niL1FezWqnWcsQSFyoqwfy2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668800203686}] | ["effective-altruism"] | 0.5 | 1683485909208 | 1668800301010 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.05888465928625879 | p4uZtkCDtt3gHoZ9Kmlw | {"NO": 915.060464238154, "YES": 2022.3954403140417} | 0.027530803201841775 | will-peter-singer-ever-win-the-nobe | 1405.3147739873164 | Will Peter Singer ever win the Nobel Peace Prize? | 2414548740000 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1668802339815 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Singer", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Singer", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "targe... | BINARY | {"day": -1.0408340855860843e-17, "week": -1.0408340855860843e-17, "month": -1.0408340855860843e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | egroj | 1697565473380 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668802340094}, {"name": "Nobel Prizes", "slug": "academic-awards", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "gF0c1fO8ozQYyctfQ5cT", "createdTime": 166880... | ["effective-altruism", "academic-awards"] | 0.5 | 1697565473247 | 1668866736011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15078613781695555 | YoFTyhxHucLNeHlnHMIq | {"NO": 845.4683959264576, "YES": 1996.9251481944248} | 0.06991982337896384 | will-givewell-win-the-nobel-peace-p | 1797.2196866726233 | Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040? | 2209006740000 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.991091862384133 | False | basic | public | 1668802464142 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.givewell.org/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.givewell.org/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hover:decoration-2", "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -3.818024576106305e-05, "month": -3.818024576099366e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.004871872389553527, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | egroj | 1719684429752 | 0.2 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 18 | [{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1668802464379}, {"name": "Nobel Prizes", "slug": "academic-awards", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "gF0c1fO8ozQYyctfQ5cT", "createdTime": 166880... | ["effective-altruism", "academic-awards"] | 0.11217045720333191 | 0.5 | 1719684426457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16531099406488353 | TqQsDjYVHvyK9N5vlWRI | {"NO": 206.7827389152756, "YES": 1449.917217153182} | 0 | will-destiny-talk-with-jordan-peter | 1701.1967245825722 | Will Destiny talk with Jordan Peterson by the end of 2022 | 1672527540000 | pPPlpgqF2lepRXJI4I0dPeDvezH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4661406217263515 | True | play | NO | public | 1668802658922 | ripo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Destiny should be on Mikhaila Peterson's podcast today - 18/11/2022", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will she help Destiny set up a talk with Jordan?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675361913547 | 310 | ripo | 1675361922507 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 17 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "pPPlpgqF2lepRXJI4I0dPeDvezH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1668802659292}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672523135247 | 1675361922090 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35933878498977734 | gGnxdT90w0mxEPTVwD9S | {"NO": 1237.2334232718604, "YES": 984.1378285410102} | 0.41353567365692007 | will-elon-musk-endorse-donald-trump | 78076.74336036776 | Will Elon Musk endorse Donald Trump for 2024 presidency? | 1730869140000 | x5BmcOZiBUbmbZqfz6S1RAsldZD2 | cpmm-1 | 2.4394093160309484e-16 | 9.330089754092615 | False | basic | public | 1668802763998 | Chase Gomes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve YES if Elon Musk announces that he will vote for, or is encouraging other people to vote for, Donald Trump in the 2024 US Presidential Election.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":... | BINARY | {"day": 0.017360061554680284, "week": -0.04636633836407744, "month": -0.14242703883244162} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1263.0780976674582, "platformFee": 293.5462805687553, "liquidityFee": 0} | 120 | 1210 | ChaseGomes | 1720224977742 | 0.2 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0S6LNwRZc2s5w1UUizeIEDM8PJxtd5X7hAbCUI=s96-c | 385 | 5 | 20 | [{"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "x5BmcOZiBUbmbZqfz6S1RAsldZD2", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1668802764288}, {"name": "Donald Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1691181893761}] | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump"] | 0.11521571880632867 | 0.5 | 1720224974484 | 1719890262954 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2812269195479488 | tMo8lX3vm9cdK7Z0nRnr | {"NO": 144.39178562889907, "YES": 320.1365350398569} | 0.15000000000000005 | within-2-years-will-i-get-a-tattoo | 407.36577161903637 | Within 2 years, will I get a tattoo endorsing the Effective Altruism movement? | 1731974340000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1668802770075 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | DanielKilian | 1686254966215 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668802770498}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1686254966063 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6916992960480772 | 4puPVNlPzjSJDzPMUFd3 | {"NO": 30364.170365172013, "YES": 19.841641466620786} | 1 | will-alex-jones-realalexjones-infow-2e12769bfff4 | 38198.75349495528 | Will Alex Jones (@RealAlexJones, @infowars) tweet in 2023? | 1702292438661 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0.02467131846796202 | 2.985221646796296 | True | play | YES | public | 1668803298817 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if one of the accounts @RealAlexJones and @infowars tweets between November 18, 2022, and January 1, 2024.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "2022 market... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1702292438661 | 690 | itsTomekK | 1702273099884 | 1.1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 1 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1668803299063}] | ["twitter"] | 0.12820951731983543 | 0.5 | 1702273099235 | 1702264646561 | 1 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7605030375669979 | lymOZYDHqDocH4YshRPn | {"NO": 1046.0848858213026, "YES": 972.8311819364219} | 0.7734750993288564 | will-the-phasing-out-of-100ll-leade | 3704.641899473825 | Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue? | 1896134340000 | 9OajVPYaxdVd9UeSlmeKlUKck0H3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.616592530728498 | False | basic | public | 1668803577935 | Ethan Hand | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Once the closing of an airport is reported due to a lack of revenue from fuel sales, the question will be resolved as yes", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MiniatureEnginesandMore | 1683488803258 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 0.5 | 1683488803102 | 1668806602654 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
igHqAmHAERq7gxDP2jZ6 | on-february-1-what-will-be-my-bigge | 20 | On February 1, what will be my biggest regret regarding what I did or didn't do during winter break? | 1675227600000 | 080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.962206060634121 | True | play | 2306b78acbdd | public | 1668803795732 | Tom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll resolve to whichever answer I agree with the most. If my biggest regret feels like a mix of multiple answers, I'll resolve PROB. If one answer is strictly more specific than another, and was added later, I'll resolve it to the more specific ma... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675228443328 | 320 | toms | 1675228423847 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "37e703901579", "prob": 0.6944444444444444, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 55.277079839256665, "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 24.321915129272938, "textFts": "", "contractId": "igHqAmHAERq7gxDP2jZ6", "createdTime": 1668803796359, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668803796237}, {"name": "Personal Decision in Hindsight", "slug": "personal-decision-in-hindsight", "userId": "aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2", "groupId": "SLMVFX9gYBmAciVC1cs... | ["personal-goals", "personal-decision-in-hindsight", "toms-personal"] | 1672531677535 | 1675228422301 | {"2306b78acbdd": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4105677354793102 | QLgILCBww7wxgObir7iv | {"NO": 34.51628540348289, "YES": 603.5509074079362} | 0 | will-bitcoin-balances-on-exchanges | 683.6056514649597 | Will Bitcoin total balances on exchanges fall below 1.75 million BTC this year? | 1672527540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5732024849071564 | True | play | NO | public | 1668804309589 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Investors have withdrawn 220K bitcoins from crypto exchanges in the week after the fall of FTX, according to data by Coinglass. The demise of Sam Bankman-Fried’s $32 billion crypto empire has affected not only crypto prices but seemingly investors’... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672658560541 | 170 | itsTomekK | 1672514567273 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1668804309840}, {"name": "Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1668804339066}] | ["bitcoin-maxi", "bitcoin"] | 0.5 | 1672514567094 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21481630106056807 | eTn7vYhsjyPEB9xLp8eZ | {"NO": 162.03641358793482, "YES": 907.6682746717145} | 0 | will-bitcoin-total-hashrate-reach-3 | 1272.0510855872192 | Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 300 EH/s this year? | 1672527540000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.370660220771984 | True | play | NO | public | 1668804633586 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mining hashrate is a key security metric of Bitcoin network. The more hashing (computing) power in the network, the greater its security and its overall resistance to attack. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672657288349 | 290 | itsTomekK | 1672514539721 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 1 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1668804633834}] | ["bitcoin-maxi"] | 0.5 | 1672514538533 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17208992820568353 | 48GtYaL8SJmMpaamhtnf | {"NO": 375.24837072651235, "YES": 2756.667875727909} | 0 | within-1-year-will-i-get-a-tattoo-w | 2598.4573096050003 | Within 1 year, will I get a tattoo with Manifold Market's logo? | 1700351940000 | hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43 | cpmm-1 | 0.3876037781028986 | 1.415865349706201 | True | play | NO | public | 1668805558472 | Daniel Kilian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1700504351164 | 550 | DanielKilian | 1700491409304 | 2.3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2hzKu9m4eg7Rg_Mj7Umv9Oy4uMEHofDmUl-Bpz2Q=s96-c | 30 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "hcsLvFo5SMe95EK3vc8sBtHVyE43", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1668805559177}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.15799740286619904 | 0.5 | 1699832749502 | 1700491407713 | 0.03 |
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