CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

0.11522892178121705

66iSLeXd1g2H2XgkuyOa

{"NO": 57.11498101752408, "YES": 1503.1266669761485}

0

will-szas-kill-bill-hit-no-1-billbo

1465

Will SZA‘s 'Kill Bill' Hit No. 1 Billboard Charts by the end of january 2023

1675382340000

w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1

cpmm-1

0

8.766409310234197

True

play

NO

public

1672673947867

yunglady

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution as YES, if the Songs peak position is 1 on 01.02.23.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The charts are currently flooded with bloody Christmas songs help.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675406488193

130

yunglady

1675379805667

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7FQMqwZBcCEK7gBJ428sQ-Ra8BNOPEPbgz7JlgYw=s96-c

5

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…884-8255d7bb0bd3

5

[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1672673949090}]

["entertainment"]

0.5

1675379805532

1675357741863

0

0.20580966117958993

zOtYlzcerlXfZTw8AeMr

{"NO": 588.4988039198092, "YES": 5453.675263927246}

0

isaacking-and-destiny-together-mani

79679.47757349254

@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will manifold users find that ethnical?

1673326740000

kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2

cpmm-1

0

0.7854217240003325

True

play

NO

public

1672675447215

Courtney

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "label": "IsaacKing"}, "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " and ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "labe...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673399943528

990

Courtney

1716326758492

0

https://firebasestorage.…612-81c81feb2973

5

50

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…821-f5e3d7cd966d

49

[{"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672676477788}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1716326758492}]

["manifold-community", "nonpredictive"]

0.5

False

1673326700744

1675552244162

0.03

0.7339615906911454

KRbvzez8VZ4F8ylPBpaR

{"NO": 372.2445174353955, "YES": 114.10765788490816}

0

isaacking-and-destiny-together-mani-d3cebf8b1759

455.9110398438513

@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will there be a comment about this market manipulation on 10 or more of @DesTiny's market before Jan 31st?

1675313940000

kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2

cpmm-1

0

2.6720080825306645

True

play

NO

public

1672676451387

Courtney

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See this link for detailed description of the incidece of market manipulation:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/will-my-profit-be-above-1500-by-the", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680222857328

170

Courtney

1675274523508

0

https://firebasestorage.…612-81c81feb2973

7

0

12

7

[{"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672676961594}, {"name": "Isaac King", "slug": "isaac-king", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "3ww7z4edIEnG4OvXOYD3", "createdTime": 1672676969261...

["manifold-community", "isaac-king"]

0.5

1672766124870

1675274521624

0.9

0.7788275287237029

hcAbI9WwzL1mixZe3qRE

{"NO": 410.38302730382514, "YES": 155.20028257854815}

0

isaacking-and-destiny-together-mani-fc3619a728bc

694.8082307413708

@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will there be a comment about this market manipulation on 10 or more of @IsaacKing's market before Jan 31st?

1675313940000

kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2

cpmm-1

0

2.4186415860577117

True

play

NO

public

1672676632435

Courtney

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See this link for detailed description of the incidece of market manipulation:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/will-my-profit-be-above-1500-by-the", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680222868490

210

Courtney

1691635356794

0

https://firebasestorage.…612-81c81feb2973

11

0

12

https://firebasestorage.…ed1-e06b15dc27a8

6

[{"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672676925004}, {"name": "Isaac King", "slug": "isaac-king", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "3ww7z4edIEnG4OvXOYD3", "createdTime": 1672676943436...

["manifold-community", "isaac-king"]

0.5

1675288471987

1691635354643

0.9

0.17718085094219047

cHmuJCSPzty8OHnc7ypS

{"NO": 277.00002896287697, "YES": 2210.9367084747364}

0

isaacking-and-destiny-together-mani-42332c90e971

2545.579023637934

@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge before Jan 31st?

1675313940000

kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2

cpmm-1

0

1.7933840243768566

True

play

NO

public

1672676765215

Courtney

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See this link for detailed description of the incidece of market manipulation:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/will-my-profit-be-above-1500-by-the", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680222881016

430

Courtney

1675797567860

0

https://firebasestorage.…612-81c81feb2973

22

0

12

https://firebasestorage.…fde-e1319a31c588

23

[{"name": "Isaac King", "slug": "isaac-king", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "3ww7z4edIEnG4OvXOYD3", "createdTime": 1672676951946}, {"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "kKg6dAvxTWRW6FXK53Q1dsf3moI2", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672676771585...

["manifold-community", "isaac-king", "manibadges"]

0.5

1675288474093

1675797564348

0.03

0.6813584771681236

yKIh8rJXxubuUxOG0tLi

{"NO": 2389.0718397253327, "YES": 14.271479110596053}

1

will-destiny-be-live-by-4pm-today

3840.014434445732

Will Destiny be live by 4pm today?

1672696800000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

5.941582777262219

True

play

YES

public

1672677182841

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 2nd. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672697244816

250

Wobbles

1672696545838

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a02-83010363c54e

13

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672677183308}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672696545735

1

0.7206746736595157

h0JN41pysMxxFx0wzKad

{"NO": 23031.942679471715, "YES": 44.86205653829711}

1

will-destiny-go-live-by-4pm-tomorro

23152.070441244603

Will Destiny go live by 4pm tomorrow?

1672777510427

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

2.3009522292522657

True

play

YES

public

1672677218062

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 3rd. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672777510427

310

Wobbles

1672777506718

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

0

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…9da-042c04d34471

15

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672677218512}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672777506552

1672777232075

1

0.3802800830413594

TrAv7l0eRmFNb1HUZblO

{"NO": 207.66809832485885, "YES": 1693.0228536403893}

0

will-destiny-go-live-by-4pm-on-jan

6984.225967317172

Will Destiny go live by 4pm on Jan 4th?

1672869600000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.126262488436645

True

play

NO

public

1672677258134

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 4th. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672879196423

610

Wobbles

1672956507496

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

1

31

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f14-1f2905474bff

26

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672677258571}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672869588131

1672956504519

0.07

0.6733909462761332

MN0oNGCXG6XbXlUp38xC

{"NO": 12747.19428464763, "YES": 113.77818130498963}

1

will-destiny-go-live-by-4pm-on-jan-4d5b24345f7a

22137.47544615341

Will Destiny go live by 4pm on Jan 5th

1672935594268

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.7819455961530455

True

play

YES

public

1672677302436

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 5th. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672935594268

590

Wobbles

1672937264146

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

30

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-54faaf6dc6c4

26

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672677303023}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672935578971

1672937259015

0.96

0.7326379087774073

MS4cGWn8BK1uGazZnDAy

{"NO": 735.2887347831429, "YES": 22.971875787853264}

1

will-ethereums-price-be-above-1300-5269f0ebce0b

826.7112652168572

Will Ethereum's price be above $1300 on January 31st?

1675227540000

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

cpmm-1

0

6.449002710100833

True

play

YES

public

1672677810721

Marcus Abramovitch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves on January 31st at 11:59PM EST according to the median of Coinmarketcap, Coingecko and the ETH/BUSD spot market.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/", "type": "tex...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675232577909

90

MarcusAbramovitch

1675200496569

0

https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031

1

3

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…021-6a56d17cefe5

2

[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1673474640762}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 16726778117...

["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "ethereum"]

0.5

1675200496410

0.99

0.14097247832015236

y91S4RQqhGY2p5U6lfI5

{"NO": 967.1918582805677, "YES": 1090.8109599188879}

0.1270257657412197

will-opensea-join-the-sp-500-b259921e4b1a

336.5488992997094

Will OpenSea join the S&P 500?

2524629540000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0

9.91842963743392

False

basic

public

1672677815663

DismalScientist

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

DismalScientist

1680616843065

0

https://firebasestorage.…b16-0ce5136b681e

2

12

0

https://firebasestorage.…cfc-99cfa9994862

8

[{"name": "Markets", "slug": "markets", "userId": "St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2", "groupId": "M3DAkm4fP0XVdJBAiRgr", "createdTime": 1672677815882}]

["markets"]

0.5

1680616842958

0.5022793206576753

ZLyPJxeD8uLiD6isTb2b

{"NO": 174.25501146016012, "YES": 190.50527088301624}

0.4799999999999998

will-the-buffalo-bills-beat-the-cin

89.96706721687569

Will the Buffalo Bills beat the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday night?

1672709400000

uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2

cpmm-1

0

1.7507091464771667

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672678137275

BCG

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Bengals are at home. Buffalo is favored by 1.5 points.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672717563404

190

BruceGrugett

1672717550460

0

https://firebasestorage.…832-adff2729ad86

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…917-89cf3fa0b472

9

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672678137651}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1672707245630

1672717547255

0.48

0.7390452380949447

c3DQdLJoLsalV0Iqehvi

{"NO": 440.43680199863223, "YES": 311.8382653975903}

1

will-the-georgia-bulldogs-beat-the

773.3405710869845

Will the Georgia Bulldogs beat the TCU Horned Frogs in the national championship game at SoFi stadium on Jan 9?

1673310600000

uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2

cpmm-1

0

1.3427365877598714

True

play

YES

public

1672678642543

BCG

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Georgia is favored by 13.5 points.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673370509945

350

BruceGrugett

1673272672586

0

https://firebasestorage.…832-adff2729ad86

18

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…7cf-863fc9d5f40e

14

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672678643050}]

["sports-default"]

0.5

1673272671379

0.8

0.7207614881449481

zyF2EeOAItDuPrCDFaqG

{"NO": 240.83376230416405, "YES": 134.43425643862503}

0

will-i-go-to-bed-before-midnight-fo-46cb9437209f

513.3692111375158

Will I go to bed before midnight for the next week?

1672855490064

aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2

cpmm-1

0

2.4733219345463824

True

play

NO

public

1672678950503

Tassilo Neubauer

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will not buy \"no\" in this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "(I define \"going to bed\" by me taking on a pyjama and falling into bed with the intention of not standing up again. If I am not able...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672855490064

170

Tassilo

1672855634609

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwzeRtF3jljd4fEx4a2RaFcXKNYfaw6x45evm33=s96-c

10

0

https://firebasestorage.…803-b76d2b5d1467

6

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672678951425}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1672819462766

1672855629349

0.82

0.5789718040862635

Q3hHXiqG0LC4in45Tf8t

{"NO": 32100.463179559072, "YES": 1.3210614592353522}

1

will-the-marketcap-of-usdt-be-above-ae8182d981b7

32299.870153774264

Will the marketcap of USDT be above $70 Billion on December 31st 2023

1703970831062

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

cpmm-1

0

5.184323406317799

True

play

YES

public

1672679332126

Marcus Abramovitch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Source will be the median of Coingecko, Coinmarketcap and Messari", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703970831062

110

MarcusAbramovitch

1703970831688

0

https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031

5

0

https://firebasestorage.…6ac-82a8b7dec9d1

2

[{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1672679333071}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130858126}]

["finance", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703970820167

1

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

39naZ409qYHBJYCxEB91

who-will-be-mvp-of-the-202223-seaso

533.0329138571109

Who will be MVP of the 2022-23 NFL season?

1676008740000

t83EJ0hiRpQCwJfk86dT23eTimz2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.700428491005753

True

play

477d280d6e7d

public

1672679353022

Jodi Gale

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 2, 2:29pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Who will be MVP of the 2022-23 season?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Who will be MVP of the 2022-23 NFL season?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "para...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676041339499

540

JodiGale

1675976676585

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu01TdArGRBNRhfj_uDs7cKMW_k8C-giAxLzVJ2xU6o=s96-c

1

8

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "477d280d6e7d", "prob": 0.8652264183600443, "text": "Patrick Mahomes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 115.12807250820902, "userId": "t83EJ0hiRpQCwJfk86dT23eTimz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 17.93313559316114, "textFts": "'mahom':2 'patrick':1", "contractId": "39naZ409qYHBJYCxEB91", "createdTime": 1672679353022, "prob...

1

https://firebasestorage.…10c-7a74a0d9111d

8

[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "t83EJ0hiRpQCwJfk86dT23eTimz2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1672679353549}]

["sports-default"]

1675976676361

{"477d280d6e7d": 100}

True

0.2050850304767192

fUhjVONRu91siOp0Sti5

{"NO": 308.2251929255935, "YES": 546.5022631350789}

0

will-it-turn-out-that-lastpass-is-e

844.2034661534036

Will it turn out that LastPass is easier to hack than claimed?

1704239940000

HyH0vsJ7LncFGl8yprmUVTfNdxL2

cpmm-1

0.03255564568863201

1.2916118807874208

True

play

NO

public

1672680033590

Benthamite

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For concreteness: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this page", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://palant.info/2022/12/28/lastpass-breach-the-significance-of-these-password-iterations", "class": null, "target": "_blan...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704242669884

360

Benthamite

1704242670123

1.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpjghXLjRJiALhE-4NjihKqx2Bqqzq9-9HyIepghg=s96-c

2

16

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…286-9126a8fd5feb

7

[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "HyH0vsJ7LncFGl8yprmUVTfNdxL2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672680034573}]

["technology-default"]

0.11165418608268624

0.5

1704214385609

1704242663426

0.13

HyH0vsJ7LncFGl8yprmUVTfNdxL2

0.8009534452576288

SG4zWrxDf4weOojJvkML

{"NO": 3385.243913371881, "YES": 1513.561476421689}

1

all-prediction-markets-are-motivati

4372.949432759557

All prediction markets are motivation markets. Is it true that this force is not disproportionately more useful for antisocial ends (assassination markets) than pro-social ends (charity impact markets)?

1695106740000

z0hsC2huTjZ1Ql0UPetjZjUFC3j2

cpmm-1

0

0.35777089969495157

True

basic

YES

public

1672680324356

Nathan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "TLDR simplification: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "YES = prediction markets good, pro-social on balance.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO = prediction markets bad, anti-social on balance.", ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1695598546602

1800

NathanHelmBurger

1695088149483

0

https://firebasestorage.…db4-12b4caf5f952

5

88

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…11e-a10f381e8bfd

62

[{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "z0hsC2huTjZ1Ql0UPetjZjUFC3j2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1672680325217}, {"name": "Change My Mind", "slug": "change-my-mind", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "kzzraVgQ4jzw7XmLUZDv", "createdTime": 1672946420421}]

["science-default", "change-my-mind"]

0.5

1695088149164

1692631768991

0.9

0.4561981839611709

tCGBsCJfeqlxSEln2DOU

{"NO": 242.04119872004063, "YES": 393.00679270381823}

0

will-i-throw-up-on-alcohol-until-th

566.1074469777146

Will I throw up on alcohol until this Sunday Evening?

1673205627975

w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1

cpmm-1

0

1.1749273981855943

True

play

NO

public

1672680417696

yunglady

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Im invited on two birthdays this Friday and Saturday (so the sixth and seventh of January) and my last few housepartys were accompanied with nausea. So I´m really looking forward to what will happen on the weekend.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hard...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673205627975

310

yunglady

1673202433038

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7FQMqwZBcCEK7gBJ428sQ-Ra8BNOPEPbgz7JlgYw=s96-c

16

0

https://firebasestorage.…f88-e0b9babf4192

11

[{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "userId": "w2NKbnnwtbWldF1qtgmAN1cko1g1", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1672680418666}]

["gambling"]

0.5

1673202432891

0.34

0.6143795340955076

FAvdgZx6znmxZ1xR3zza

{"NO": 733.6024456282811, "YES": 206.2575093176426}

1

will-i-write-10-blog-posts-in-2023

2734.7559252457013

Will I write 10 blog posts in 2023?

1704067140000

BTvncdSbMrYZG95y4lUCQxwrGKO2

cpmm-1

0

1.2331008012664033

True

play

YES

public

1672680684768

Uzay

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My blog is at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://uzpg.me/blog.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://uzpg.me/blog.html", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ". I wrote two blog posts last year. I...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704109298146

350

uzpg

1704109298504

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwx1qQr-9Po2MYUMosCKx7gZgt0uJSli8_6Vcja=s96-c

0

21

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…dc6-e0643289b958

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "BTvncdSbMrYZG95y4lUCQxwrGKO2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672680685828}, {"name": "Blogs", "slug": "blogs", "groupId": "924bd6a5-2849-4b46-9cea-28e21b9fe77f", "createdTime": 1697877158165}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024"...

["personal-goals", "blogs", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704060640817

1703805036351

0.85

BTvncdSbMrYZG95y4lUCQxwrGKO2

0.480377854766902

9ggq0cTyD5kS2e9WQ3xK

{"NO": 57.083026130566545, "YES": 135.6990415273675}

0

will-me-and-nilss-project-idea-get

89.55626338301069

Will me and @Nils's project idea get published online in January

1675209540000

BTvncdSbMrYZG95y4lUCQxwrGKO2

cpmm-1

0

3.169766291488398

True

play

NO

public

1672680843230

Uzay

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If we make it public in a way that people can sign up for the service we've started working on a few days ago, this resolves YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675648907208

90

uzpg

1674375725985

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwx1qQr-9Po2MYUMosCKx7gZgt0uJSli8_6Vcja=s96-c

3

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…e54-c69b31c5faf0

4

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "BTvncdSbMrYZG95y4lUCQxwrGKO2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672680844292}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1674375724789

0.28

0.11054484574704916

BVsWjyOAiUPIIJgjKA05

{"NO": 953.4867701713223, "YES": 1184.8393592012144}

0.09092234416326295

will-marc-andreessen-be-charged-wit

1212.7795375383864

Will Marc Andreessen be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.118096114220485

False

basic

public

1672681178595

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Marc Andreessen", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Andreessen", "class":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0008649170949117518}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.2616245501368576, "platformFee": 0.19172924925534734, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1718550843093

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…76e-23bb0b1a2573

13

[{"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672681186120}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1672681190640...

["scandal-markets", "law-order"]

0.5

1718550839995

1683914341900

0.0952779973050907

ybw4F8ZOkqLvkTZk8rdy

{"NO": 926.1047019153779, "YES": 1497.5065163536335}

0.061145847291697676

will-peter-thiel-be-charged-with-an

990.8884746601126

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.27650923402518

False

basic

public

1672681351982

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Peter Thiel", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Thiel", "class": null, "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -4.221922297576591e-05}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.004263431991611825, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1718563477247

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…2a1-3ab2121372da

14

[{"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672681385719}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1672681392159...

["scandal-markets", "law-order"]

0.5

1718563474180

0.6038873602945917

08uEbqKP99eBRVPQsH7J

{"NO": 577.4266084847293, "YES": 596.9279920628748}

0.6068155555555556

what-will-the-average-sale-price-of

728.9634301065421

What will the average sale price of housing in Canada be in Dec 2023?

1704087087631

GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1

cpmm-1

0.07190645223412732

0.6555002376605371

True

play

MKT

public

1672681716868

cshunter

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "WOWA", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://wowa.ca/reports/canada-housing-market", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", average sale price of housing in Cana...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704087087631

590

cash

1704087088359

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e

1

18

0

https://firebasestorage.…5c6-b6209a8180e9

4

[{"name": "Canada", "slug": "canada", "userId": "GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1", "groupId": "SkT5CgJLsfHhVpK8V2C6", "createdTime": 1672784763047}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1672681717231}, {"name": "Finan...

["economics-default", "canada", "finance", "world-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.1125766334568516

0.5920022222222222

1702996365774

1704087071118

0.6068155555555556

GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1

0.10427345968881663

5TCVUI0X94aX3PtzudP0

{"NO": 948.2074886904601, "YES": 1255.624389936955}

0.08080694925239143

will-jordan-peterson-be-charged-wit

858.5002447239276

Will Jordan Peterson be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.171839628915068

False

basic

public

1672681893055

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Jordan B. Peterson", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordan_Peterson", "clas...

BINARY

{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.0008622825707836346}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.07350740934037593, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1718554512855

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

0

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…452-56b100ab0ebb

20

[{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1672681997996}, {"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672681994635...

["scandal-markets", "law-order", "jordan-peterson"]

0.5

1718554509794

0.11581135970744705

7mIyuTjLIWdVU1oRZtKW

{"NO": 886.4181292804157, "YES": 1765.1980496664082}

0.061714394748971224

will-curtis-yarvin-mencius-moldbug

1829.4802663735888

Will Curtis Yarvin ("Mencius Moldbug") be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.158892262934167

False

basic

public

1672682237642

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Curtis Yarvin", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curtis_Yarvin", "class": nul...

BINARY

{"day": -3.469446951953614e-17, "week": -3.469446951953614e-17, "month": -3.469446951953614e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1708643887233

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

24

0

https://firebasestorage.…a15-0f12ceb8cafe

17

[{"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672682300633}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1672682305713...

["scandal-markets", "law-order"]

0.5

1708643887032

1672688561482

0.6780940677043688

bDkbFMF7OyVD1dE4NNi8

{"NO": 2440.011520200632, "YES": 56.542169293290385}

1

will-teslas-marketcap-be-above-400b-ea2ea5482e9d

3171.9995554065717

Will Tesla's marketcap be above $400B on January 31st 2023?

1675200282149

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

cpmm-1

0

3.2227001873517187

True

play

YES

public

1672682951191

Marcus Abramovitch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://companiesmarketcap.com/tesla/marketcap/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://companiesmarketcap.com/tesla/marketcap/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " as resolution source", "type": "text...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675200282149

290

MarcusAbramovitch

1710451935042

0

https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031

0

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…465-abadd9002b19

11

[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV"}]

["economics-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "tesla"]

0.5

1675200262940

0.99

0.07201922961679984

DAK6BYL4DOAooFfRmyjb

{"NO": 961.9853211222808, "YES": 1148.0878737959827}

0.06105786816988256

will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-charged-w

1021.9111477347831

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.474787459511322

False

basic

public

1672682956859

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Eliezer Yudkowsky", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eliezer_Yudkowsky", "cla...

BINARY

{"day": -6.938893903907228e-18, "week": -6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -0.002855178078552366}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.22203002193510504, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1718217740064

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

27

0

15

[{"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672682963845}, {"name": "EAChargeMarkets", "slug": "eachargemarkets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "6Arn4vU86J0PavOvI8If", "createdTime": 167...

["scandal-markets", "eachargemarkets"]

0.5

1718217736793

1679541764008

0.20147012974665454

LytpUKhJpNn05JrdwFI9

{"NO": 37.95765162578391, "YES": 19410.175916455246}

0

will-usdcs-market-cap-exceed-usdts-1296a0fc8cbf

23466.14728337242

Will USDC's market cap exceed USDT's market cap by March 31st 2023?

1680326308974

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

cpmm-1

0

4.084387165641728

True

play

NO

public

1672683068792

Marcus Abramovitch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Token market cap:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"ty...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680326308974

170

MarcusAbramovitch

1680326297975

0

https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c13-f99c1d8c9701

4

[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1672683069766}]

["crypto-speculation"]

0.5

1680326297837

1678581740803

0.01

0.40305551056273

Bs8HOQfBWHOeSAZrIiWL

{"NO": 159.58053208718232, "YES": 3445.206121821633}

0

will-destiny-talk-publicly-to-moist

3771.7834456380533

Will Destiny Talk Publicly to MoistCritikal / penguinz0 / Charlie in 2023?

1704088740000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

1.2550068586216376

True

play

NO

public

1672683126707

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be on stream / video", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704131249113

570

destiny

1704131249547

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

30

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…482-811bbf99b38a

16

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672683127179}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131737803}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704069726503

0.03

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

0.2903341964308742

wtCv7CY4efhXEmuhYyaC

{"NO": 130.60810521170336, "YES": 577.4240780110435}

0

will-i-catch-covid-again-in-2023

542.6405936513831

Will I catch Covid (again) in 2023?

1704095940000

UlhMl6cfkhRXo06orCqZ57pKN7t1

cpmm-1

0

2.1832163849584316

True

play

NO

public

1672683222963

miscatulated

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I've gotten every vaccination/booster as they've been available, and have been careful about wearing masks in large venues. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I caught Covid for the first time i...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704130752115

210

miscatulated

1710206848073

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw6HBeQJ9K0qAilnKIGVZR-U45i_MpVbVTliOQf=s96-c

0

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d20-c5bacc3da4d7

4

[{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p"}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS"}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "covid-d7a9361d772d"]

0.5

1703887083748

1703885747029

0.08

UlhMl6cfkhRXo06orCqZ57pKN7t1

0.15478125389512234

lctFQLzPprO7KcMdc4hf

{"NO": 189.30126773641678, "YES": 33078.04209468006}

0

will-eu-natural-gas-prices-top-5-pe

34595.193840732594

Will EU natural gas prices top $5 per 1 cubic meter for any month in 2023? (Medvedev's Predictions 1b)

1704425437632

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0

1.1726192228552517

True

play

NO

public

1672683268471

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if EU natural gas prices reach at least $141.64 USD per Million Metric British Thermal Unit (MMBtu) for any month in 2023 according to data at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PNGASEUUSDM", "type": "text...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704425437632

450

jack

1704425438250

0.1

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

25

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…2a3-2bfc06ff77d9

10

[{"name": "Medvedev's 2023 Predictions", "slug": "medvedevs-2023-predictions", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "5jqzUnfjImNTBeWtyw0s", "createdTime": 1672683268690}]

["medvedevs-2023-predictions"]

0.11512488246648252

0.5

1704148841671

1704425425836

0

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

0.49135821481628644

2xtBQyhcv1JA0aLILbvx

{"NO": 49.26390148094015, "YES": 9703.920738001932}

0

who-will-destiny-publicly-speak-to

35155.57703117228

Who will Destiny publicly speak to next? XQC (Yes) or Nick Fuentes (No)

1689061337737

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0.05114200248894869

2.2316815918750015

True

basic

NO

public

1672683318088

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be on stream / video", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1689061337737

1190

destiny

1689061234254

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

2

60

0

https://firebasestorage.…0c4-7b6a332d4b12

30

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672683318652}]

["destinygg"]

0.15832977199807424

0.5

1689061234118

1689058360390

0

0.0850250536126359

y1MovDMFuOKc2l5ETXuw

{"NO": 955.2187660475078, "YES": 1220.4958656501224}

0.06779762061493136

will-richard-hanania-political-writ

1940.7856785885565

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.337775463317449

False

basic

public

1672683487057

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Richard Hanania", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/RichardHanania", "class": null, "tar...

BINARY

{"day": -4.163336342344337e-17, "week": -4.163336342344337e-17, "month": -4.163336342344337e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

ScroogeMcDuck

1704691692865

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

1

21

0

https://firebasestorage.…0a6-429d480f2113

10

[{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1672683512042}, {"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672683507931...

["scandal-markets", "law-order", "us-politics"]

0.5

1704691692731

1672683793601

Y0JQURuDpSREDmFwzS4H

how-why-predictit-resolve-their-mar

370

How & WHY Predictit resolve their market on "Anthony Fauci remains NIAID director through eoy 2022" ?

1675324740000

ees9Sl8QgyWqVm3sHtvv66Kzqfq2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.988398938453521

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672685371176

Jake Wasserman

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7702/Will-Anthony-Fauci-remain-NIAID-director-through-the-end-of-the-year", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7702/Will-Anthony-Fauci-rema...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703880822038

400

JakeWasserman

1703906093127

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7AmVr7Nz1fManhY2zKDb10nCCe5J4-YUYerr7MYg=s96-c

2

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "49edd1fc75ab", "prob": 0.10330578512396695, "text": "YES because the spirit of the question was will he quit or be fired", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.1557841424169295, "userId": "ees9Sl8QgyWqVm3sHtvv66Kzqfq2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 27.39220635617895, "textFts": "'fire':14 'question':7 'quit':11 'spirit':4 ...

67

https://firebasestorage.…217-1fbfa179b44f

2

[{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "ees9Sl8QgyWqVm3sHtvv66Kzqfq2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1672685371508}]

["predictions-on-predictions"]

1675228583639

1703906092461

W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3

True

0.23742889694812394

nHWr7H0TtNIMpvWTju8J

{"NO": 236.80617967064012, "YES": 2449.4461637694476}

0

will-i-run-a-marathon-in-under-thre

4011.6400497716245

Will I run a marathon in under three hours in 2023?

1701045317732

W5UwVm0ZZMersP5g1NarJhBvP1R2

cpmm-1

3.5736700541779693e-16

1.5361406406776208

True

play

NO

public

1672685706795

Brendan Finan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "Resolution", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if my official \"chip\" time for any marathon in 2023 is under 3:00:00. If I believe that the chip or timing equipment has...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1701045317732

430

BrendanFinan

1701045555809

0.4

https://firebasestorage.…a45-6212ce41e009

0

22

0

3

https://firebasestorage.…a9e-17788b91617d

2

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "W5UwVm0ZZMersP5g1NarJhBvP1R2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672685707141}, {"name": "Running", "slug": "running", "userId": "W5UwVm0ZZMersP5g1NarJhBvP1R2", "groupId": "PaaoqRhsQCCuJW5JjRsl", "createdTime": 1676422208208}, {"name": "M...

["personal-goals", "running", "manifold-running-club"]

0.10478930259397402

0.5

1701003830106

1701045555344

0.03

0.5124189283873148

Z10nr9kIjiVtSqZKz7fN

{"NO": 7103.817682510418, "YES": 230.8977248882499}

1

mit-cry

20905.046840370735

M*T? :cry:

1684216991819

4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2

cpmm-1

0

0.7652792523736087

True

basic

YES

public

1672686499130

pic

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "COPIUM 😢 ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apr 26, 10:53pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "MIT? :cry:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → M*T? :cry:", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1684216991819

1290

pg

1684249969478

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkWUg5DpuopoRXru2Clb0-vXevdDNFqgy_QAgu-Iw=s96-c

1

66

0

https://firebasestorage.…d0d-3450b9a293da

15

[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "4RDyO21Tj5XfNnpQLcN6ooWSXjB2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1672686499443}]

["proofniks"]

0.5

1684216985027

1684249965144

0.97

0.2717112086881664

pzaUjPr2p2MSU5IhV0GZ

{"NO": 781.4698700725278, "YES": 14695.081362146695}

0

will-destiny-reach-1m-subscribers-o

54243.1482721894

Will Destiny reach 1M subscribers (on YT) this year?

1704029340000

JI5HsHQcELTJ6uWp6eEzRVrE8r12

cpmm-1

0

0.4524820569447985

True

basic

NO

public

1672687259299

Fyterian

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the YouTube streamer Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (known online as \"Destiny\") reach the One Million subscriber milestone on YouTube this year (2023)?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704088800283

1810

Fyterian

1704088801014

0.4

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7lOowa8HXcZGM2xqg6z096XZawtATGyVSlakzt=s96-c

98

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…119-6118236a7a94

65

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672693120683}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703118767426}]

["destinygg", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.14398173629424918

0.5

1702947882909

1673946614211

0.02

9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2

0.8998506701958503

gN5LCsRAxqit7t31ImVP

{"NO": 1386.8706330421235, "YES": 112.51975379322846}

1

will-my-writing-prompt-response-on

1793.831724818926

Will my writing prompt response on Reddit get more than 50 upvotes in 24h?

1672774200000

wiBPUYfUBWeAoi9zxNAO7ENNn623

cpmm-1

0

3.3983210603114635

True

play

YES

public

1672687399620

Hei

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have just written a short story as a comment on r/WritingPrompts on Reddit as the user u/mr_hei. The link to the prompt can be found here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.reddit.com/r/WritingPrompts/comments/101gmd5/comment/j2nz7gb/?utm...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672791314724

270

Hei

1672774022510

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp76A1-gvNCORb3jaVsqB_n5LYGSmrrYXehShiG4=s96-c

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a57-666cbb231a1e

10

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "wiBPUYfUBWeAoi9zxNAO7ENNn623", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672687399914}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1672774022408

1672716937189

0.99

0.35747241653425005

LI44HMav1EBG8xWeN08l

{"NO": 113.61333848234888, "YES": 320.26738187041155}

0.1648319015024223

will-bart-kay-be-charged-with-any-f

202.21943657320304

Will Bart Kay be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

1893455940000

YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672687420900

Scrooge McDuck

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Bart Kay (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Youtuber", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@bart-kay", "class": null, "t...

BINARY

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

ScroogeMcDuck

1684628024316

0

https://firebasestorage.…67b-77a20a25abcc

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…e89-e0d97d032533

3

[{"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "userId": "YDKVMXbTskWF2lal1pXNSADV3WD2", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1672688196534}]

["scandal-markets"]

0.5

1684628024144

1672705374584

0.0736977232331631

tn3RxUi77WYyFnNtUFsU

{"NO": 615.2821320914172, "YES": 2385.2702000272247}

0

will-any-fusion-reactor-project-dem-b0da77e5de75

12129.440539428328

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2023?

1704096000000

pY2DeRJXwFSq9vtvKTKDX5jVo6u2

cpmm-1

0

0.9861129768724974

True

play

NO

public

1672688788568

Karl Keefer

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Some people are really optimistic about fusion, especially given recent progress. Initial probability is still super low here anyways because fusion power has been \"soon\" many times in the past.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704127454024

710

karlkeefer

1704127454490

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj766Nnn6RY4KyrYSHlCDdUH-DYm9oRYEdNpwtD=s96-c

1

36

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…318-b5a7ca18a70b

27

[{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "pY2DeRJXwFSq9vtvKTKDX5jVo6u2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1672688788854}, {"name": "Fusion Energy", "slug": "fusion-energy", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "hxlU6VBs9NexTi7Y7j6L", "createdTime": 1676503606680}, {"nam...

["science-default", "fusion-energy", "nuclear", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1698412950953

False

0.02

pY2DeRJXwFSq9vtvKTKDX5jVo6u2

0.7963711812361942

9MMjOBcJEVkF4tQI0Hkg

{"NO": 61286.516182182044, "YES": 268.97333404041274}

1

will-the-euro-be-worth-more-than-th-337c8968ff9e

62987.408966959745

Will the Euro be worth more than the US Dollar at the end of 2023?

1703969305708

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

cpmm-1

0.8206472387625092

0.053229247548820524

True

play

YES

public

1672688836060

Marcus Abramovitch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reference:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EUR-USD", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EUR-USD", "class": null, "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1703969305708

830

MarcusAbramovitch

1703969306793

2.3

https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031

4

44

0

https://firebasestorage.…97b-38f636da5b50

23

[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1672688836849}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132685557}]

["economics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.2271429375708946

0.5

1703969286179

1700098300808

1

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

MZGS839Adv4uinN85sKg

test-market-8179005b6a6f

30

Test market

1672689288737

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.939478067851447

True

play

MKT

public

1672689259304

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672689288737

260

ZZZZZZ

1710206795953

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

1

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "7e0a37c760c5", "prob": 0.32149901380670615, "text": "A", "index": 0, "poolNo": 38.359798296913795, "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 80.95564793949902, "textFts": "", "contractId": "MZGS839Adv4uinN85sKg", "createdTime": 1672689259304, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "m...

https://firebasestorage.…2c5-530d0dfb5d2e

1

[{"name": "testing", "slug": "testing", "groupId": "Lokp5JWIA0BDlEPePSfS"}]

["testing"]

1672689269425

{"3288d7856c4c": 33.333333333333336, "7e0a37c760c5": 33.333333333333336, "95a35bb2433b": 33.333333333333336}

True

0.37299952145832926

4laR7RsacrU6TuovGUwS

{"NO": 143.87102612716674, "YES": 216.12835212665777}

1

will-my-sister-try-manifold-markets

94.23739272083823

Will my sister make a Manifold Markets account in the next twenty four hours if I send her a link to this post?

1672710994198

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

2.0213068985535303

True

play

YES

public

1672689646045

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Neither she nor I will bet on this.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 2, 12:01pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will my sister try Manifold Markets in the next twenty four hours if I send her a link?", "type": "te...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672710994198

190

ZZZZZZ

1672711062923

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

8

0

https://firebasestorage.…551-11659cf4e024

9

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1672689646417}]

["fun"]

0.5

1672709992802

1672711061384

0.28

0.4124756743491704

vqq39k6lHDQRHVtTMaBD

{"NO": 838.6916451209877, "YES": 1200.4057312380962}

0.32908813139332643

will-czechia-adopt-the-euro-before

641.1375499574647

Will Czechia adopt the euro before 2030?

1893391140000

qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1

cpmm-1

0

9.800176395482984

False

basic

public

1672690090673

Elspeth

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.024079498668682586, "month": -0.02407949866868181}

0

{"creatorFee": 2.2611835018918134, "platformFee": 0.5128857111309493, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Elspeth

1719990382026

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c

1

18

1

https://firebasestorage.…591-dc1f0aa25315

2

[{"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1672690090885}]

["currency"]

0.0925958433292597

0.5

1719990378885

0.38594039269714747

UTLQmrDAAELNHeDaH6c8

{"NO": 111.83709164193266, "YES": 319.4978723287346}

0.1803295424298098

will-sweden-adopt-the-euro-before-2

862.9256895761348

Will Sweden adopt the euro before 2030?

1893391140000

qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672690117594

Elspeth

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 0.08218118655408439}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.028083497129582, "platformFee": 4.414377331650126, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

Elspeth

1718725067107

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c

11

0

https://firebasestorage.…b2d-4a97aa88f81f

2

[{"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1672690117819}]

["currency"]

0.5

1718725064000

0.2800042576186621

IdlnjUJyb3YRgmdq2ifF

{"NO": 982.4439337856518, "YES": 921.4364817502374}

0.29310918023701343

will-poland-adopt-the-euro-before-2

588.5405597569392

Will Poland adopt the euro before 2030?

1893391140000

qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1

cpmm-1

0

9.602654803776883

False

basic

public

1672690142012

Elspeth

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.07231682149086349}

0

{"creatorFee": 6.06342280976059, "platformFee": 0.8824910932425253, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Elspeth

1719614182091

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c

1

16

1

https://firebasestorage.…86c-055d7d77762a

3

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672690143060}]

["politics-default"]

0.5

1719614178854

0.35325960736205186

UVjHrsTJk0796UXhzcaL

{"NO": 732.262700667027, "YES": 3048.6173137818823}

0.11598164864026424

will-apple-announce-the-launch-of-a-b458d168ad1b

14848.99766353068

🚘 Will Apple announce the launch of a car by 2030?

1893474000000

OQaC0IrVMpeUFAMgsU0PE0Hvkyu1

cpmm-1

0

9.56352283860647

False

basic

public

1672690179986

Probajoelistic

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if, by the end of 2029, Apple officially announces that it will release a car. This does not require that the car be released or available by that date.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Similar market: "...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.006835074542295649}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.684943386433487, "platformFee": 4.119857947644089, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1230

probajoelistic

1718611145618

0

https://firebasestorage.…ef4-27ec116e3424

0

132

0

https://firebasestorage.…524-fa9e65a6ca09

19

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej"}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih"}]

["technology-default", "apple"]

0.5

1718611142514

1715080729428

False

0.3328414887043298

DzLCxlxLyErFeCU4yluS

{"NO": 95.0599951496614, "YES": 218.01303845911542}

0.1786665513622036

will-ukraine-adopt-the-euro-before

231.26850978060267

Will Ukraine adopt the euro before 2030?

1893391140000

qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672690182503

Elspeth

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.7184517602818333, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

130

Elspeth

1717407770479

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c

0

5

0

https://firebasestorage.…55f-980e65867ea2

1

[{"name": "Currency", "slug": "currency", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "9dU059eOFc5Mgw9iSO8N", "createdTime": 1672690182695}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182224721}]

["currency", "ukrainerussia-war"]

0.5

1717407767111

False

0.4780739779975218

7eH6RBHg1S4mT795OPcw

{"NO": 134.972465312501, "YES": 382.72661088220116}

0

this-market-resolves-yes-if-the-bot-fcdc2a54ed7b

8444.595381086756

This market resolves YES if the bots hold mostly NO

1672776900000

n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2

cpmm-1

0

1.6044036661326797

True

play

NO

public

1672690572172

ZZZ ZZZ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A repeat of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/this-market-resolves-yes-if-the-bot", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/ZZZZZZ/this-market-resolves-yes-if-the-bot", "cla...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672778812583

250

ZZZZZZ

1672776535600

0

https://firebasestorage.…280-d14d0d5ca2f9

1

14

0

https://firebasestorage.…be8-712518a6dc79

9

[{"name": "Trading Bots", "slug": "trading-bots", "userId": "n820DjHGX9dKsrv0jHIJV8xmDgr2", "groupId": "kCrjmHWxycGEmZsHwaW8", "createdTime": 1672690572543}, {"name": "Bot Exploitation", "slug": "bot-exploitation", "userId": "jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2", "groupId": "qw17zbF8GTadfT6VerpX", "createdTime": 1682523006519...

["trading-bots", "bot-exploitation"]

0.5

1672776535454

1672691466650

0.24

0.5974841356511825

1fPIrwbl8GDtXqhdMjNb

{"NO": 1961.4850774222052, "YES": 430.2786199298912}

0.8712456257109061

will-the-assassination-of-marielle

2333.252769898453

Will the assassination of Marielle Franco be solved before 2027?

1798761540000

EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1

cpmm-1

0

10.228445957004059

False

basic

public

1672691043779

Franklin Baldo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marielle_Franco", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marielle_Franco", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para...

BINARY

{"day": 6.661338147750939e-16, "week": 6.661338147750939e-16, "month": 6.661338147750939e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

FranklinBaldo

1712774103087

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c

15

0

4

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672691044735}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1672691074340}]

["politics-default", "brazil-3292d24d179f"]

0.5

1712774099833

1706070499486

0.28159538490457314

hUc1k7GRyvfEQIhX0MDc

{"NO": 965.2952222952032, "YES": 12266.435475212757}

0.029922951371782715

will-there-be-a-nuclear-powerplant-fcd5aa3f1658

53150.44589422044

Will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2025?

1767221940000

Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1

cpmm-1

0.007849538945149866

9.266536255581379

False

basic

public

1672691405536

Tim P

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if there is a plant delivering electricity at any point during that year.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "#politics #world #technology #energy", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "parag...

BINARY

{"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": 3.469446951953614e-18}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.024474724017495716, "platformFee": 0.024474724017495716, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

2015

TimP

1713851995284

2.6

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxMqsZzJuxerPf1d5mbi2erJaCZRbGgt7H8s45S=s96-c

9

186

0

https://firebasestorage.…82f-f24ea0a2fa3d

145

[{"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "userId": "Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1672691414012}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "Hz3F4HZScwTg2RKhM1WeJ9zjEPq1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1672691405842}, {"name": "Germa...

["economics-default", "energy", "germany", "global-macro", "nuclear-power", "nuclear"]

0.21796793429292424

0.5

1713851991999

1697326720644

False

0.29872621811358785

ohl4qJNxNY4e6Y2p6bXf

{"NO": 756.4028213723755, "YES": 17390.957105702924}

0

will-destinys-twitter-account-theom

94797.35936761914

Will Destiny's twitter account @TheOmniLiberal be banned before April 2023?

1680321540000

F7OyAaHxfPfHYdV75NbyBjPeikH3

cpmm-1

0

0.4238301686110728

True

basic

NO

public

1672691432461

Versuch

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny be banned on Twitter before April 2023?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Market closes midnight 3/31/23", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "or", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680349216904

2010

Versuch

1680316628149

0

https://firebasestorage.…a62-1df21db76c7d

7

267

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…81e-d68279fe6a86

207

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "F7OyAaHxfPfHYdV75NbyBjPeikH3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672691433267}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "F7OyAaHxfPfHYdV75NbyBjPeikH3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672692138375}]

["us-politics", "destinygg"]

0.5

1680316627098

1680308775513

0.02

0.1356424009072994

HZc6cSDERsyA9l1emIOp

{"NO": 163.28129719428378, "YES": 1070.5687827524926}

0

will-isaacking-lose-his-trustworthy

1490.2842176337028

Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge before Jan 31st?

1675313940000

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0

3.1548878602830226

True

play

NO

public

1672692514199

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is mostly a duplicate of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Isaac's market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-i-lose-my-trustworthy-ish-badg", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675314744693

230

jack

1675116967539

0

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…786-942a4a240b3f

9

[{"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672692531439}, {"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672692514403...

["manibadges", "manifold-community", "isaac-king"]

0.5

1675116967379

1672692819915

0.02

0.34701775545565205

DSUZCMYJtjQbzMWGpe62

{"NO": 8314.999631455872, "YES": 40.75119140018568}

1

will-isaacking-lose-his-trustworthy-ec06dc536f2c

37847.202305553204

Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge in 2023?

1683065993032

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0

1.9326770637206714

True

basic

YES

public

1672692570609

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is mostly a duplicate of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Isaac's market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-i-lose-my-trustworthy-ish-badg", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1683065993032

1470

jack

1683150537743

0

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

0

75

0

https://firebasestorage.…929-e95be38bc663

15

[{"name": "Manifold community", "slug": "manifold-community", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "kxcJEPJzowmv9SFul2mF", "createdTime": 1672692581386}, {"name": "Isaac King", "slug": "isaac-king", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "3ww7z4edIEnG4OvXOYD3", "createdTime": 1672692570825...

["isaac-king", "manifold-community", "manibadges"]

0.5

1683065942735

1683150534760

0.99

0.2577345033474374

0R1Oes6P1PJuxN45l3x3

{"NO": 48.84053545524148, "YES": 3102.313798194126}

0

will-the-manifold-team-be-working-o

3174.9264799359858

Will the Manifold team be working out of Momentum in mid 2023?

1688158440000

igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2

cpmm-1

0

4.366240379060831

True

play

NO

public

1672692847201

Austin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on whether our main office location is the Momentum office building (near the 16th street BART station) as of market close.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.google.com/maps/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1690321786120

500

Austin

1687726296605

0.1

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c

2

13

0

6

https://firebasestorage.…b11-3c45f8f6e33f

12

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672692950420}]

["manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.11714790227445034

0.5

1687726296481

1684810544935

0.01

0.42990545998572255

1TtYVMyNckAicJWv6i0t

{"NO": 180.8421933605582, "YES": 2330.3968886768016}

0

if-manifold-hosts-a-meetup-in-nyc-t

3727.7949690171786

If Manifold hosts a meetup in NYC the first week of February, will 25+ people come?

1675558299713

tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2

cpmm-1

1.0975719490761708

True

play

NO

public

1672693214843

SG

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's happening! ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "NYC Manifold Meetup ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.eventbrite.com/e/nyc-manifold-meetup-tickets-525945536257", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}, {"type":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675558299713

700

SG

1675553446253

0

https://firebasestorage.…6d6-ad95bdb11967

1

23

0

https://firebasestorage.…dcc-a4912b867cb7

17

[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672693222521}]

["manifold-6748e065087e"]

0.5

1675549687203

1675553443108

0.06

0.42768009079702357

wxiA1IFEBRdFRjHSzdlc

{"NO": 358.6938436368677, "YES": 407.60289504040816}

0.3967209231021733

what-is-the-empty-weight-of-a-tesla

219.7552040556363

What is the empty weight of a Tesla Semi? (in lbs)

1735685940000

3hYFuweHfHcXp94ztLv92gKDxSp2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672693322153

niklaswik

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please note this will be resolved N/A if no reliable sources give a somewhat verifiable number, or if I conclude that it has not been proven with enough certainty before closing time (end of 2023).", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type":...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

380

niklaswik

1710451960635

0

https://firebasestorage.…318-7532efdfc1f3

2

5

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…dd4-0adb91df38f6

2

[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej"}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}, {"name": "Tesl...

["technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "tesla", "ancient-markets"]

0.4

1704149939648

0.3269676094790737

AYwAmRxJFjFoI7xmlMVs

{"NO": 150.41484514131378, "YES": 193.59695645333272}

0.2740215282652419

will-elspeth-behave-in-a-way-that-i

553.3122653532753

Will @Elspeth behave in a way that I would consider dishonorable by the end of 2023?

1735718400000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672693364854

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This could include fraudulent market resolutions, voting falsely in a poll, lying in a comment, etc.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Honest mistakes are not dishonorable.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 1.5453890966959873, "platformFee": 1.5453890966959873, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

170

IsaacKing

1714039251639

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

1

7

0

https://firebasestorage.…028-8af6cfff6632

4

[{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1672693365056}]

["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution"]

0.5

1714039248262

1712311155312

0.36539215451068957

YY0wgco25CzsmvQw2Pq3

{"NO": 262.60661455176125, "YES": 644.6008297059452}

0

will-elspeth-incorrectly-resolve-a

614.9735167845474

Will @Elspeth incorrectly resolve a market by the end of June 2023?

1688194800000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0.6313012625056679

1.110308817511643

True

play

NO

public

1672693468716

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes honest mistakes. If the ability for the creator to undo market resolutions is added, this resolves N/A.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1690954653238

370

IsaacKing

1690938059424

2.3

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

2

18

0

7

https://firebasestorage.…91f-a552a24d14e6

3

[{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1672693468936}]

["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution"]

0.16083817690383426

0.5

1688190858084

1690938057500

0.19

0.742350908993456

cXN2nuvIAM3KfihDCQWQ

{"NO": 1742.484468943202, "YES": 74.48171624576283}

1

will-courtney-resolve-or-fail-to-re

2180.8557700274805

Will @Courtney resolve (or fail to resolve) any markets incorrectly by the end of February 2023?

1676308002623

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

3.379146095489632

True

play

YES

public

1672693675727

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes leaving a closed market unresolved for more than a week (unless stated or strongly implied beforehand), or changing the close date or resolving it to N/A without a good reason.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1676308002623

310

IsaacKing

1676307963858

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

2

17

0

https://firebasestorage.…02d-e9416d6ca1f5

11

[{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1672693675988}]

["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution"]

0.5

1676307879212

1676307960719

0.99

0.9082729800907423

7vPfUot46yyQ8lR8uJls

{"NO": 3558.4652624744153, "YES": 367.9390617066988}

1

will-jeremy-renner-survive-his-rece

5853.862749726373

Will Jeremy Renner survive his recent snow-plow accident? (Marvel Hawkeye actor)

1680508740000

wiBPUYfUBWeAoi9zxNAO7ENNn623

cpmm-1

0

2.6006401760703954

True

play

YES

public

1672693857899

Hei

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to various sources, on Sunday, Jeremy Renner (who most famously played Clint Barton, aka Hawkeye, in the Marvel Cinematic Universe) was working on his land when he got into a \"weather related accident\". Reportedly, his plowing machine (...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1680910759684

490

Hei

1694268889030

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp76A1-gvNCORb3jaVsqB_n5LYGSmrrYXehShiG4=s96-c

2

25

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…653-bfb508e926cc

12

[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "wiBPUYfUBWeAoi9zxNAO7ENNn623", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1672693858126}]

["entertainment"]

0.5

1680508721141

1694268887974

0.99

0.49999999999999933

GUlNxO9ewYhw90mMXkr9

{"NO": 9.649125183866317, "YES": 259.09084526959725}

1

i-will-flip-a-coin-in-5-minutes-wil

1333

I will flip a coin in 5 minutes. Will it come up as heads?

1672694540756

2SKmD6IJgZe6O0kyHDHVmlLqc9b2

cpmm-1

0

5.513629786165963

True

play

YES

public

1672694440271

EmuOther

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672694540756

70

EmuOther

1672694498206

0

https://firebasestorage.…f81-56c4abece674

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…3c0-b54f9152257e

3

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "2SKmD6IJgZe6O0kyHDHVmlLqc9b2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672694441166}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672694498091

0.04

0.531237831200713

ohyZELRtzfNBENGBspQB

{"NO": 1088.5677634476913, "YES": 131.46788290091104}

1

will-khokhlov-have-sex-today

11936.67568710893

Will Khokhlov have sex today?

1672749050296

gPhfh5s9BdeSjMtOLkOH1NOehIE2

cpmm-1

0

1.3721861432601903

True

play

YES

public

1672695063894

Criter

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "3.01.2023 vaudeville ship", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672749050296

370

fc29

1672745962622

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5vgq7yS63GYlxDXij2QBMxK9DJWAukVK8HzqlFYg=s96-c

1

19

0

https://firebasestorage.…0a2-6cf52f595436

15

[{"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "gPhfh5s9BdeSjMtOLkOH1NOehIE2", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1672695064099}]

["sex-and-love"]

0.5

1672745962405

0.9

0.7142264146457314

yFDxy9VhFKY5jF33ZQAZ

{"NO": 559.3714977140723, "YES": 453.6292504867905}

0

will-my-2170-market-have-more-than

4892.535004058106

Will my [21%,70%] market have more than 200k total volume by time of closing?

1673550000000

FzpgR5aK88WvlbER2dKykybnDn42

cpmm-1

0

0.7367762716589284

True

play

NO

public

1672695329284

Levi Bankman Finkelstein

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval", "class": null, "target": "_b...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673717551023

530

levifinkelstein

1673658667027

0

https://firebasestorage.…7af-758a6b65d591

27

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…dbc-627a86a170b5

21

[]

0.5

1673549951086

1673658663738

0.76

0.4625673822115226

YvE0c0SDdIfqYxLUpxbV

{"NO": 33979.826724644714, "YES": 216.06302242929817}

1

will-george-santos-rny-be-expelled

336208.3891736785

Will George Santos (R-NY) be expelled from Congress during his first term?

1701447847514

YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23

cpmm-1

0.05421570131736317

0.7141094314055261

True

basic

YES

public

1672695418217

Jack

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if George Santos is expelled from the US House of Representatives during the 118th Congress (Jan 2023 - Jan 2025). Otherwise NO. If Santos resigns, dies, or leaves Congress for any reason other than being expelled, immediately resol...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1701447847514

3990

jack

1704322772707

1.3

https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096

12

570

0

https://firebasestorage.…af4-d1d605d6d29c

29

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672696394726}, {"name": "George Santos", "slug": "george-santos", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "zPal3ZyA96rIMxF7lqkK", "createdTime": 1672695418415}, {"nam...

["george-santos", "us-politics", "118th-congress", "politics-default"]

0.14563618564857977

0.5

1701447840632

1701447340416

1

0.44413516016056703

W8RDAYT2SpdyyT0P0jSx

{"NO": 1085.1000109339477, "YES": 78.43479009984307}

1

will-destinys-profit-be-positive-at

2452.34315124128

Will @DesTiny's profit be positive at the beginning of March 2023?

1677657600000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

1.6771838278066356

True

play

YES

public

1672695788614

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves based on Destiny's displayed profit at the exact time of market close. That close date will not be changed after market creation. Any bugs affecting Destiny's profit are ignored; the true profit is what matters.", "type": "text...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1677864702864

350

IsaacKing

1677692855780

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

0

18

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…929-c9c1ca66b7fd

14

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672695789563}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1677606261187

1677692852961

0.92

0.36676855974242195

18I1JxnJkKXIeiwiJ0Mj

{"NO": 278.8414487063623, "YES": 332.3280461387887}

0

eye-for-an-eye-nonphysical-poll-in

132.55998992697994

Eye for an eye, non-physical. Poll in description

1673931540000

k48blIwzagRttjKpJ7pabEqNKSr1

cpmm-1

0

1.2510352127993896

True

play

NO

public

1672696679504

Butidigress

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "MARKET RESOLVES AFTER ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "3 MONTHS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}, {"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " 2 WEEKS BASED ON POLL BELOW", "type": "text", "marks":...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674010415786

300

Butidigress

1674010403186

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1XmJ94Qz8SgF05tqF6WJS9d0nGUVmZ24o0-qBH=s96-c

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…461-c6cfb871dabd

7

[{"name": "Experimental", "slug": "experimental", "userId": "k48blIwzagRttjKpJ7pabEqNKSr1", "groupId": "GAn872bm0J8FT8pNYtyq", "createdTime": 1672697272284}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "userId": "k48blIwzagRttjKpJ7pabEqNKSr1", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1672696679699}, {"name": "Fun", "sl...

["polls", "experimental", "fun"]

0.5

1673928515434

1674010399887

0.33

0.19935184331395758

p5t2hd4vIWNHnFgToAdp

{"NO": 643.590211570574, "YES": 13649.328030289471}

0

will-microsoft-announce-that-it-is

15509.893069519274

Will Microsoft announce that it is acquiring any of Shopify, Netflix, Roku, Pinterest, Snap, Unity, Discord, Reddit, TikTok, or Adobe by February 2024?

1706756040000

H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1

cpmm-1

0.08714821237691539

0.7336045258082375

True

basic

NO

public

1672696681312

MP

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Microsoft announces they signed a definitive agreement to acquire any of these companies (or a significant subsidiary, like buying just Adobe Experience Solutions), this market resolves to YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1706819724348

1270

MP

1706819724573

1.3

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf

45

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…f10-8d1e49755bae

8

[{"name": "Microsoft", "slug": "microsoft", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "bKtvk7DIpkrzESy6I3ZK", "createdTime": 1672696681475}, {"name": "M&A and Antitrust", "slug": "ma-and-antitrust", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "CR8uZ5IUc3V1fS5md4QQ", "createdTime": 1678770040566}, {"...

["microsoft", "ma-and-antitrust", "tiktok"]

0.12992525954171882

0.5

1706755086635

1706784839724

0.01

H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1

0.7785414859846342

wVvtdqzozyGl7nD8ReXY

{"NO": 6872.379003533503, "YES": 270.0376574551946}

1

will-destiny-go-live-by-4pm-in-jan

10646.542710339814

Will Destiny go live by 4pm in Jan 6th?

1673042400000

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.4411394824875776

True

play

YES

public

1672697312826

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 6th. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673046394200

630

Wobbles

1673041454572

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

32

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…3aa-0d7f00c8ba1c

19

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1674774649315}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1673041351030

1673041451654

0.99

0.6677567033778293

ELdHnb3CFhCgbYEDQMNh

{"NO": 820.7994605431495, "YES": 25.72263247001973}

1

will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-530-mi

1270.7676780212964

Will I run at least 5km at a 5:30 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1673747154146

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

4.947901590285914

True

play

YES

public

1672697459287

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "http://galen.me/data/logs/running.csv", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://galen.me/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673747154146

90

galen

1673750380984

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

3

0

https://firebasestorage.…398-50de046c7684

4

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697459559}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1673746114202

1673750378167

0.98

0.3764004560550926

lp3ORjxElV2kuUvChb8E

{"NO": 164.76783856419343, "YES": 4907.062770464771}

0

will-i-run-at-least-10km-at-a-530-m

5031.5846760470895

Will I run at least 10km at a 5:30 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.2923391156629052

True

play

NO

public

1672697496224

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052828139

720

galen

1704052828452

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

1

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…9b8-f53bd3d1d54c

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697496559}, {"name": "New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "cr...

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.0968364352549941

0.5

1704018092890

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.5254673060028482

TwoKaeMum0n9HlN2I9hi

{"NO": 1072.186042434668, "YES": 302.21987164163585}

1

will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-500-mi

560

Will I run at least 5km at a 5:00 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1675549419725

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

0.7720677589760055

True

play

YES

public

1672697545258

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "http://galen.me/data/logs/running.csv", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://galen.me/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675549419725

560

galen

1675549392108

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

4

0

https://firebasestorage.…8e8-648c799d9436

5

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697545516}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1674778124868

1675549388748

0.8

0.422855339242396

hSbu6Vr5kIT3n514Dooa

{"NO": 134.67897804691597, "YES": 4872.298390908623}

0

will-i-run-at-least-10km-at-a-500-m

4304.955655168603

Will I run at least 10km at a 5:00 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.3481629575469647

True

play

NO

public

1672697631528

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052804486

720

galen

1704052804868

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

0

13

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…8a0-fc93b5b2c7d8

4

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697631814}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 16829000726...

["personal-goals", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704018080563

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.8935871058517241

5cnCZmpwcP1yTaoiDVwm

{"NO": 15178.898476211853, "YES": 1287.5013705904062}

1

will-this-market-have-at-least-20-l

16401.08038546404

Will this market have at least 20 "likes" at the beginning of February?

1675238400000

y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-1

0

0.7029330135050866

True

basic

YES

public

1672697644173

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll try to check it as close to the close date as I remember to do, but please provide screenshots if you want to be certain.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675395826924

1970

IsaacKing

1675343764912

0

https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

37

98

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…ae2-f713e112c619

85

[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1672697644447}]

["fun"]

0.5

1675238214126

1675343761559

0.99

0.4531613822803501

7eqyq1R1QrTYUox2rUVt

{"NO": 114.3297008760768, "YES": 4642.46740571623}

0

will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-445-mi

4226.735743075777

Will I run at least 5km at a 4:45 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.425220023974021

True

play

NO

public

1672697666751

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052832973

640

galen

1704052833379

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

7

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…2b0-55fe32470ce4

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697667023}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130346676}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704011827218

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.39378117032480914

ivjBN9HFghxdRAC0MqE0

{"NO": 131.80357637803826, "YES": 4283.82732176579}

0

will-i-run-at-least-10km-at-a-445-m

3688.314110052449

Will I run at least 10km at a 4:45 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.471574013041911

True

play

NO

public

1672697711749

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052838162

620

galen

1704052838409

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

6

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…227-45b5befc96a3

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697712050}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128875874}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704018069894

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.4999999999999998

UQA2cMlK8ARnvODf7O3m

{"NO": 6.613010518074034, "YES": 378.04264686653664}

0

will-destiny-get-a-900-including-90-3069f27f2783

17120.236254549676

Will Destiny get a 900+ (including 900) first try Abathur

1672697774647

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

6.029718982420432

True

play

NO

public

1672697725497

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672697774647

690

PryingMind

1672697806080

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

37

0

https://firebasestorage.…e44-7fb929a2dc83

34

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672697726357}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672697774213

1672697802936

0.5

0.3009110916332322

DftMSdmAXqu843hjHmvR

{"NO": 376.6499085549839, "YES": 2545.559747739539}

0

will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-430-mi-c784a6c42a40

6896.0244534639405

Will I run at least 5km at a 4:30 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

0.8376282873965772

True

play

NO

public

1672697754012

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052842363

680

galen

1704052842636

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

2

11

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…7ec-bde0d0f48dd4

4

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697754305}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129837830}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1703288168728

0.06

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.343075932621414

nZeq3LB0JhvonmuCHIeS

{"NO": 180.92459507837265, "YES": 4557.58936913925}

0

will-i-run-at-least-10km-at-a-430-m

4651.572925862122

Will I run at least 10km at a 4:30 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.3155259533682506

True

play

NO

public

1672697772164

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052704157

680

galen

1704052704509

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…608-728dc776a115

2

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697772511}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129705291}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704025982307

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

y0E6dUHgCJc0OXcuPD5g

what-will-destinys-first-rating-out

780.8647849033164

What will Destiny's first rating out of 10 for Dune Part 2 be?

1735711140000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672697780386

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Usually after he watches a movie chat asks about, he rates it out of 10, if he doesn't do this by the end of the year (given the movie comes out on time) I will resolve N/A. Dune Part Two is set to release November 3, 2023", "type": "text"}, {"text...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 1.5069300623755038, "platformFee": 1.5069300623755038, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

780.0000000000005

destiny

1716272525321

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

10

0

DISABLED

[{"id": "965352d51ec5", "prob": 0.13637152694555804, "text": "10", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.2773029232901175, "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.756134184155499, "textFts": "'10':1", "contractId": "y0E6dUHgCJc0OXcuPD5g", "createdTime": 1672697780386, "probChanges": {"day": 2.7755575...

1

https://firebasestorage.…86c-3f2b1e9154f4

4

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672697780839}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1681775997581}, {"na...

["destinygg", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

1716017234828

1710265001845

True

0.4163225176074124

KIf2Pg7cijRuwwdFqqHV

{"NO": 130.47938999683336, "YES": 4560.316234777006}

0

will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-415-mi

4739.856853820014

Will I run at least 5km at a 4:15 min/km pace (or faster) in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.403341051721303

True

play

NO

public

1672697800274

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052846728

640

galen

1704052847029

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

8

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…c99-9d25030c161f

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697800543}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703131588824}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704011890335

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.49999999999988703

wfx2BGPkiABsy6CAyB3o

{"NO": 164.25117572098475, "YES": 15.220591201427084}

1

will-destiny-get-a-900-including-90-a7dcb5688274

8383.952750712799

Will Destiny get a 900+ (including 900) THIS TIME

1672697897917

JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2

cpmm-1

0

4.999405077030006

True

play

YES

public

1672697862890

PryingMind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672697897917

530

PryingMind

1672697926510

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c

29

0

https://firebasestorage.…ce7-03e036e9f5d1

26

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672697863366}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1672697896170

1672697923962

0.5

0.7764705882352928

IAPExlr00eMN7HszFJzA

{"NO": 570, "YES": 495.00000000000006}

1

will-i-run-further-than-10km-in-a-s

50

Will I run further than 10km in a single workout in 2023?

1674601402917

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.0313486601788164

True

play

YES

public

1672697870337

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "http://galen.me/data/logs/running.csv", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://galen.me/...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1674601402917

520

galen

1674601391550

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

1

0

https://firebasestorage.…a96-001c94c64811

2

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697870602}]

["personal-goals"]

0.5

1672698685582

1674601388654

0.8

0.3683965671301262

Be4NRJP1HW2kuVwJC1Db

{"NO": 232.84947942847577, "YES": 6704.377698067155}

0

will-i-run-further-than-20km-in-a-s

6882.03017579432

Will I run further than 20km in a single workout in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

0.9932575823320189

True

play

NO

public

1672697887552

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052853550

960

galen

1704052854409

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

1

26

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…13d-a28a0ef5c2f4

6

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697887832}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129163160}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704018048477

1675715566815

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.43393856551924964

UjA5OKfMZD6aVUFXO01w

{"NO": 113.99177847145634, "YES": 4474.574407240852}

0

will-i-run-further-than-30km-in-a-s

4045.7727867346493

Will I run further than 30km in a single workout in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.4900281430513567

True

play

NO

public

1672697900302

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704052722411

720

galen

1704052722755

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

12

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…420-e58f286e60fc

5

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697900601}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128891536}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704018028718

1674980988239

0.02

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

0.42181694407130843

A6MhZ1H88rPAsG7kYBIo

{"NO": 131.85443165680866, "YES": 4393.268258723508}

0

will-i-run-further-than-40km-in-a-s

4575.361435905694

Will I run further than 40km in a single workout in 2023?

1704027540000

zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012

cpmm-1

0

1.3769746781154812

True

play

NO

public

1672697933947

Galen

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://galen.me/public/logs/running.csv", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704051321310

640

galen

1704051321681

0

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1

9

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…a66-d13b0d59a613

3

[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672697934230}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132955904}]

["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.5

1704000493881

0.02

b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

0.7758482050481492

7Y4KIs0tXPjXrnAJCjgG

{"NO": 897.3732713774693, "YES": 947.0790504410578}

0.7663335333813575

manifold-stock-permanent

9193.333304600246

Manifold Stock (Permanent)

33217163036408

tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2

cpmm-1

0

6.349406970588187

False

play

public

1672698015795

SG

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...

STONK

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.027833696530991436}

0

{"creatorFee": 8.593354485317347, "platformFee": 0.8795186525497426, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

980

SG

1717692177152

0

https://firebasestorage.…6d6-ad95bdb11967

6

42

0

https://firebasestorage.…2eb-851e2fcbc8fb

21

[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": ...

["destinygg", "nonpredictive", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "unsubsidized"]

0.5

False

1717692173889

False

0.7524900725498134

3zkUXbeC5IYANwDJaWIz

{"NO": 9876.2679514562, "YES": 188.01702961917636}

1

will-destiny-go-live-by-4pm-on-jan-99b1b3fbe410

10194.684870013163

Will Destiny go live by 4pm on Jan 7th?

1673108676514

UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1

cpmm-1

0

1.7364989909538275

True

play

YES

public

1672698112614

Wobbles

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Destiny is live on any channel by 4pm CST on Jan 7th. (streams going past midnight from the previous day do not count, must be a new stream)", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673108676514

570

Wobbles

1673108672710

0

https://firebasestorage.…e8e-ad0f7255d2ca

29

0

https://firebasestorage.…cf5-6dc42d6e12be

24

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672698113054}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1673108672559

0.97

0.5670228780142915

IRuFxRr1ffP0ZfWQl5ix

{"NO": 205.48167409039687, "YES": 3526.1320365855067}

0

will-destiny-talk-to-the-podcast-of

8228.121887146068

Will Destiny talk to "The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters" (two people grilling his and Melina's relationship at the beginning of today's stream) in January?

1675231200000

kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52

cpmm-1

0

0.7639121042835095

True

basic

NO

public

1672698402313

GAZE WITHIN

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675538845579

1070

destiny

1675298599556

0

https://firebasestorage.…0ce-f8fe467a3405

2

53

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…d12-3d27de5108ea

45

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "kULuZJTXdxae8Iy8i6DX8074fZ52", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672698402783}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1675213032781

1675298596334

0.07

0.1827250370750215

xN5MMUPw58vP2zyS4GOp

{"NO": 538.7798396675087, "YES": 3852.613837221801}

0

will-destiny-give-up-on-factorio-be

5643.197878391858

Will Destiny give up on Factorio before finishing the space exploration mod?

1675438877416

6VGeTgTbjSOfJKHiWtUOIJu7bq92

cpmm-1

0.9630978099820213

True

play

NO

public

1672698519573

Tenaccarli

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve Yes, if destiny chooses to abandon his space exploration, or takes a week long break (lets be honest, he wont be picking it back up at that point).", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675438877416

810

Tenaccarli

1675438717411

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2FtTMhvseo4ZJDO-ki1ssnOY-JE_NROupmC_p2=s96-c

1

41

0

https://firebasestorage.…c0e-41e97440bb91

29

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "6VGeTgTbjSOfJKHiWtUOIJu7bq92", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672698520075}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1675438717266

0.03

0.5626069162739421

krsq1KGqqqAEc8zDI213

{"NO": 257.8079797423598, "YES": 333.6521100958646}

1

will-i-pass-my-linear-algebra-exam

596.6807501431645

Will I pass my linear algebra exam with excellent mark?

1673431754204

aRAasAJzQnPAsz9yvHm8kCv3Gft2

cpmm-1

0

1.1819440035190154

True

play

YES

public

1672699656256

Владимир Якунин

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If I won't pass, I'll die", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If I will, I will have sex with Anton Khokhlov", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673431754204

310

e628

1673413477904

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6c5Y4hXe1bUZI-_giOMg3I0xXsuj89T16G0duB=s96-c

1

15

0

https://firebasestorage.…c38-8980bd588ad7

12

[{"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "aRAasAJzQnPAsz9yvHm8kCv3Gft2", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1672699657100}]

["mathematics"]

0.5

1673413434767

1673413474850

0.5

0.6541906173431062

y7mtabemHk9brLFwta6X

{"NO": 138.51422352786648, "YES": 172.8846743016892}

0

will-gurov-gives-automates-for-exam

536.7294767400106

Will Gurov gives automates for exam?

1672988400000

CMWjtukWYaXJFoyqvzj59IMNDlh1

cpmm-1

0

2.1506033861954936

True

play

NO

public

1672700083554

Ярослав Морозов (Yar4ik000)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-01-06 12:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1673520128506

170

Yar4ik000

1672953079722

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5uErtTWPjueFUV0D_RzIyN-4KTSslqg-BRBVo=s96-c

10

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…18c-12a8cbc4f160

7

[{"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "CMWjtukWYaXJFoyqvzj59IMNDlh1", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1672700084396}]

["mathematics"]

0.5

1672953079575

0.6

0.5

skb3X80gsJTawkQa3R0g

{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}

0.5

gaat-groenrood-the-provinciale-stat

0

Gaat 'Groen-Rood' the Provinciale Staten winnen

1672700779116

tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3

cpmm-1

0

4.3944491546724365

True

play

CANCEL

public

1672700667616

Wie Dan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Krijgt de lijstcombinatie Groenlinks PvdA opgeteld de meeste stemmen in de Provinciale Statenverkiezingen", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1672700779116

50

WieDan

1672700667616

0

https://firebasestorage.…4d5-fa2d148276f6

0

https://firebasestorage.…676-1b01fdce1300

True

1

[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1672700668537}, {"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1672700714386}]

["politics-default", "nederland"]

0.5

0.3448947900215307

iKYSng8BfFyUWzNqM3IO

{"NO": 111.85029327560267, "YES": 1561.0817911418958}

0

will-there-be-a-seperate-movie-watc

2557.2573977542606

Will there be a seperate movie watcher tab in dgg by 1st July 2023

1688162400000

rgjJ6nogxZeMQ3dqlKH9BLCC3tE3

cpmm-1

2.1442020325067815e-15

1.9467015982288662

True

play

NO

public

1672700670451

Smallow

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mentioned by Destiny in dgg: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://rustlesearch.dev/surrounds?channel=Destinygg&date=2023-01-01T18%3A28%3A36.495Z&username=destiny", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://rustlesearch....

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1688635537195

310

Smallow

1688132645596

0.4

https://firebasestorage.…f4b-9f67fdb4df6c

17

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…682-559de4cbc0a7

6

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rgjJ6nogxZeMQ3dqlKH9BLCC3tE3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672700670923}]

["destinygg"]

0.11571635999693708

0.5

1688132645448

0.04

0.4856817686541804

pUJTagvHLkkDp5o8S179

{"NO": 224.47477854856336, "YES": 143.7523777395576}

0

gaat-groenrood-the-provinciale-stat-0c219764db2f

502.36647371747796

Gaat 'Groen-Rood' de Provinciale Statenverkiezingen winnen

1678906800000

tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3

cpmm-1

0

1.785332565458412

True

play

NO

public

1672700851093

Wie Dan

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Krijgt de lijstcombinatie Groenlinks-PvdA opgeteld de meeste stemmen in de Provinciale Statenverkiezingen?", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1678989258115

190

WieDan

1678823362374

0

https://firebasestorage.…4d5-fa2d148276f6

10

0

1

https://firebasestorage.…687-3484e7fea402

7

[{"name": "Nederland", "slug": "nederland", "userId": "tO4DwIsujySUwtSnrr2hnU1WJtJ3", "groupId": "bhrat2biKksU578PIonQ", "createdTime": 1672700851290}]

["nederland"]

0.5

1678823362217

1675161073985

0.6

0.41083865215872295

3e4Owh1vfmjZaGCNsxmW

{"NO": 615.4214502501367, "YES": 1287.4516635727216}

0

will-destiny-ban-movies-in-january

9078.566169533533

Will Destiny ban movies in January 2023 again?

1675206000000

rgjJ6nogxZeMQ3dqlKH9BLCC3tE3

cpmm-1

0

0.4934476135597685

True

play

NO

public

1672700884090

Smallow

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved instantly as Yes if Destiny bans movies in dgg", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To clarify: ThatLuckyCamper's (and perhaps zlxb's) decision to not stream movies anymore is not a ban by...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675638962680

910

Smallow

1675204494463

0

https://firebasestorage.…f4b-9f67fdb4df6c

46

0

2

https://firebasestorage.…e2c-2f52ce764a3a

31

[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "rgjJ6nogxZeMQ3dqlKH9BLCC3tE3", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1672700884556}]

["destinygg"]

0.5

1675204494019

1675109072003

0.25

0.16858248953527824

jh2sqcm7ig6vvwl9z6a9

{"NO": 1390.2439858551513, "YES": 6264.753167679978}

0

will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-tata-st

37803.44390132612

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023?

1675012083712

toFuvWdYFchnB6mljZSNrUpQAjf1

cpmm-1

0

0.43107464224923575

True

basic

NO

public

1672700899533

kottsiek

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See here for information on the event:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://tatasteelchess.com/about/tournament/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://tatasteelchess.com/about/to...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1675012083712

1990

kottsiek

1675011987105

0

https://firebasestorage.…484-0109a1811f48

5

116

0

https://firebasestorage.…6c2-e6ea856674b1

92

[{"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "toFuvWdYFchnB6mljZSNrUpQAjf1", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1672700899714}, {"name": "Polymarket", "slug": "polymarket", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "yeQpbHOQhxPyQifhmJrY", "createdTime": 1673864001815}]

["chess", "polymarket"]

0.5

1675011986936

1675011717307

0.04

0.426314184291602

BrLrD0Fl56lfcJvBlalP

{"NO": 989.0180733590646, "YES": 1057.4566839293777}

0.4100364652143799

an-ai-will-bindingly-arbitrate-a-di

17853.56130365491

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

1798761540000

ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23

cpmm-1

0.7035642988688922

9.41332797022126

False

basic

public

1672701016036

Reality Quotient

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to YES if a commenter shares convincing evidence before the expiration date, otherwise will resolve to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.019963534785620185}

0

{"creatorFee": 101.98693574613927, "platformFee": 100.55900048961091, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1070

RealityQuotient

1718480568002

2.3

https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FRealityQuotient%2F1ibfR9B3aE.52?alt=media&token=d93aaf2f-c14b-456b-bfb8-027eb4381783

1

82

0

https://firebasestorage.…3ab-f403917d48b0

31

[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672701059529}, {"name": "US Judiciary ", "slug": "us-judiciary", "userId": "ZMFmxzlu8ie6k2RT3iei64fncY23", "groupId": "fn3K66FEEdix860EzTJU", "createdTime": 1672701050037}, {"name...

["ai", "technology-default", "us-judiciary", "us-politics", "ai-impacts", "futurism"]

0.20005328022946275

0.5

1718480564940

1714622223870

sCS0UIwR5HjOp6CWYc56

who-will-be-the-50th-us-president

370.73814333648914

Who will be the 50th US President?

2646735120000

Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1672701071431

WXTJ

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve it when it happens. The closing date is arbitrary and far in the future. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0.46495594688670794, "platformFee": 0.46495594688670794, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

WXTJ

1715966007507

0

https://firebasestorage.…ed7-9ff9afa6374e

11

0

ANYONE

[{"id": "416771055749", "prob": 0.9099999999999961, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 122.6318825330815, "userId": "Y1lQV3vFHvPREeehRQpV4MN66A03", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 12.12842794283282, "textFts": "", "contractId": "sCS0UIwR5HjOp6CWYc56", "createdTime": 1672701071991, "probChanges": {"day": 1.1102230246251...

https://firebasestorage.…148-63d3f0f4a06d

8

[{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96"}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG"}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united...

["us-politics", "politics-default", "future-us-presidents", "united-states", "ancient-markets"]

1715966004141

1672705545014

True