enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T05:03:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe9b9793e7972399d039ba6041cdd562a356fcdf9c7f58051e6c75f2a605ef74c | 0xbb8a21373c428a876268289e1e7d756724448cb447528469a0444377ff47dd98 | Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 26 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Arkansas State win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas State”.
If the Bowling Green win, the market will resolve to “Bowling Green”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-arst-bgsu-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2024-12-27T02:00:00 | 3 | 0xa1E022C350A35B6896C4277E37902D37E8A58A1C | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "5518273374987789437905052204391367525439824459980497302974551851515050693912",
"outcome": "Arkansas State",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "71674772834326868896594062606068395053859471601978137980615685687584304874152",
"outcome": "Bowling Green",
"price":... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:09:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x74a4f98027d0df96f393c4b5ec32b4a5ce3a67945450c5b8553cf26fc56555c8 | 0x3eb2eea0158e6261b7599d69bcbab9554ee35f3b8ab56d49d24bc348f13ec3bd | Suns vs. Pacers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-phx-ind-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x856c840e6ecA3EEb7af404f5Bcb52750CAeb8a3b | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "65158336403553172314103403564630121027912935815899595351340867303797170607090",
"outcome": "Suns",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "68153044086763111278316977385948474275177322769489702941112390151831737861221",
"outcome": "Pacers",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T06:05:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5f18896851d6fabcaacbf03d8e6b3a04cf07a809ece78a1d86cd59c84cf6f9f2 | 0x702788186b8058944e2d207dfd95d6c0224a0191f0b68fae9f2a4953cca74016 | Jets vs. Bills | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 29 at 1:00PM ET:
If the New York Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the Buffalo Bills win, the market will resolve to “Bills”.
If the game is not completed by January 5, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-nyj-buf-2024-12-29 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2024-12-29T18:00:00 | 3 | 0xCb01C1Fd493619Ee6980cea281361189A453966F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "7158041221490407757903620302447243566630578318864275693903463227800025090005",
"outcome": "Jets",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "65996508062240757076932458561213466539565064790338006174921950874266429266712",
"outcome": "Bills",
"price": 1,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-22T07:07:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3260bbedc033e860121f8a491cf98ee09ee909c015bd66c5efac5e9821115bec | 0x582cc7fc6769848906f08bee4ec11b22e83e27bc5dc745468d4587cf2718b01b | Golden Knights vs. Sharks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 27 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the game is not completed by January 3, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-las-sj-2024-12-27 | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2024-12-28T03:30:00 | 3 | 0xFd2f5F8E683Cae26053cFBba510fba5558b18F6b | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "22656724713894557918893661605636034800458049092847762043102743503725940279988",
"outcome": "Golden Knights",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "43072241751832802206827252295916063187719243905934570639036150311674660940088",
"outcome": "Sharks",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:09:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe519260109fa4eaf1549003e9bd625ecc738109c56e14a3172d9088b12e51f45 | 0x106b31dca79850777d749fed6348b6404f09df1751e3ba46577b9fe96f7f6ba1 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 3 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the game is not completed by January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mem-sac-2025-01-03 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T03:00:00 | 3 | 0xD594353079887328fb5e8fa06d06313d22e330d8 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "65478015897961888711175674598783477756516549139538859539314257316455630019066",
"outcome": "Grizzlies",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "90428448114346856572622287410096834042591896401581725553879850578861920975755",
"outcome": "Kings",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T05:02:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa1cef121a64789f7f66342455e337f543e365f3204c8e6e498c2d4a9cf199474 | 0x47732c0c47a2608d885ef41fc4422934f9234b621ea4c6f9202f1798a72002b5 | Pittsburgh vs. Toledo | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 26 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh win, the market will resolve to “Pittsburgh”.
If the Toledo win, the market will resolve to “Toledo”.
If the game is not completed by January 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-pitt-tol-2024-12-26 | 2025-01-02T00:00:00 | 2024-12-26T19:00:00 | 3 | 0x8B24c36fc024d75519Eb0B454F34488428fB93Cd | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "72040167070261340168408725264964334374079331213597428901492929116092577007769",
"outcome": "Pittsburgh",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "52078056693520782762461912196138441883035786122400919564057489930299140096612",
"outcome": "Toledo",
"price": 1,
"... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-23T21:30:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfe625d62f9d8140502e45ede37f7566b19e1ab32b33dc071c8aa538ca24110c3 | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534706 | Will Lonzo Ball stay with the Chicago Bulls? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lonzo Ball of the Chicago Bulls is not traded before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Chicago Bulls, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-lonzo-ball-stay-with-the-chicago-bulls | 2025-02-06T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xc204e3b6d52a9b9d23b3f53e89a6ea32bdd3e25c3d1dc5a95d8f4d7a34534700 | 0x7ccf8ebc7b20caea26084895e4196cadca0d1e39b6703227d844eef3e6d86fd0 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "16899225545182245109463125508722877352370870821251486281107289066581764870631",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "59036678254499191481793578413095302702578778193481004196029136895877681223323",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Lonzo Ball"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-29T05:05:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2004ee2717a6e3be91772eafdb7af0051b5a34c6044e17051904d5b955a6e927 | 0xb70c8170925921c5a6826593d4dc589e8da6748e8c103a131b7911007a5336ad | Grizzlies vs. Suns | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 31 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mem-phx-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T02:00:00 | 3 | 0xD6f9ee2321085acAc769ec1Fb40106dA9D3E958d | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50396448077188253358562701787789042456132145972242736209089901333834493198130",
"outcome": "Grizzlies",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "74225544892491106235215039120393148307860634953833413074101917604474670708280",
"outcome": "Suns",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-27T17:15:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x422879e55967681be695af8b244e2fad8b080809f89fb33011c69fd2ffe5da9d | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a07 | Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 400 (inclusive) and 424 (inclusive) times on X between December 27, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-400-424-times-dec-27-jan-3 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4e8a247aa15a89577cfa0a2b8395ad60ce0a0af7e20ea147c253c9afb87b9a00 | 0xd4293937478580b34871a90663acebb49da1b05b18d3a7569d1504eeb12537e4 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 500
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15238441310274462942574426112954677754326083387882696666299672907534105820566",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "12855766011815017695287491495784726389162139880413827731485630695597497827993",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xccd55d067d712f07e884f74131e5c9bae0c13336e641e166f909b1c7e7486cce | 0x01df55a6185a3a28eee095d54c41e3007f917a10a951c46c3b509921869f1c38 | Will Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,750.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-4750-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "14193600453419423897145257797597917088858054638081055402400964876146706268814",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "105938327287299043862880620325563881923464122837675827594819033482627605387102",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:10:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd3b5e480ff00889945ceae1c891d6eee68c3880d66290c142f256a55cc0d94fc | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e001 | Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 9:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05-draw | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T14:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e000 | 0x5ce10fa093a79f9ef5b7f32029bfa3575a9bd83fa6ce8d86723d76850f30d5a0 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "90730445732583962728091269743235390286530301176136663934022432523735614080112",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "105882200382900849483638917407531344609774512382792718234690442990111055670099",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T16:51:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2c9d8f14940b5a55b6484523cf9412df7de80224de78db1cef561b04215150cb | 0x4b1c8b9368b8cccfb2cf25c426a815164d6d412a6d816cd9630ba7810a374f22 | India vs. Australia – 5th Cricket Test Match | This market will resolve to whichever national team wins the 5th Test match between India and Australia, scheduled to begin January 2, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
If India wins the match, this market will resolve to "India".
If Australia wins the match, this market will resolve to "Australia".
If the match is declared a draw, tied, abandoned, has “no result,” or does not finish before January 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50–50. | india-vs-australia-5th-cricket-test-match | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T23:30:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46348172211244127140041022076985670056349725577426366759589022735847566496790",
"outcome": "India",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "44572561407511020980890077829715298133706350201015541475136948719630562666248",
"outcome": "Australia",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"Cricket",
"India",
"Games",
"Austrialia"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T07:03:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xff327ae606fc3ef824a76a5d0ce76713147a4b8ce54d4ce6adf1f0a2f29ec9b9 | 0x8f63d7d64b4e3526f3e9d9372b378aaf5e5e7587483f2e29d0365a9c7095f022 | Islanders vs. Bruins | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 6:00PM ET:
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-nyi-bos-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T23:00:00 | 3 | 0x619FBe36C94Ab5a174548d128d07337c125CE5f2 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42361815637547349186071451279252240593672714319492931574589104054402638834161",
"outcome": "Islanders",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "34502415936789523855598108532084329663930755668465894598301423204159623799932",
"outcome": "Bruins",
"price": 0,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:09:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc0122a4c969b1644f684d938977eeb29f4afdec91b3edff934a068f2382c0858 | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e02 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:30PM ET,
If Arsenal wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Arsenal loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04-ars | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T17:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e00 | 0xdbf099d8e0b9b3e355ab21719625903238cb4b5c91331df2674d3d37d93d14d9 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92453582355614351897879396105178126675065649220032830856273377164787125620762",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "23513154169988422350327719572571326002451864784331463271974098394179467122666",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:49:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb09c37ecf1457fb815570d80416b9753589f6be295c6bc7d3f49f396f3b6c671 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1301 | Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 250 (inclusive) and 274 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-250-274-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xd9812bfb47630bef571064e7d7a72d8de9998abda646c96e978d491c8ae408ce | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43110752141762534129478461294112161675651764224675861687911777934169536169400",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "522720010626716952273827561859117238586044540394137742662462462525267730645",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": true... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:08:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2837cdd42e4a3d4445cb80e124f6a15a43cf4822a53877afd96d54ef0c1d76db | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b00 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Crystal Palace wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Crystal Palace loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-cry-che-2025-01-04-cry | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b00 | 0x4227e690d936f85c13bc9654a91de7c08d36264cb9cf08eb3201ef5fd558003c | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18471119673744947044319509121228176974973847140132081228517022500068333536328",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15583547847980501454693133091173513182649241829976645095765645098385108237600",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:14:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd5e817d0c052e0bc1b2653800e794fa89d30c04c4bcdb7388c6b04a4b5c58350 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d0d | Will another team make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team other than those listed makes the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if another team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-another-team-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x28b9cf357b845b4f0427ff96feb5d7b706cf59719dc6b560d7138d24860a80ae | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "105638566144865175663968127560669532197959848799580683281705596681360739642535",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "22582260844348617733919107391542667984772725746711921044502007015718096356374",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:07:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0830a705c78d71eeb293870cd2cdee9bb03464875f26f9713d698a3e9622520f | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d02 | Will the Browns make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Browns make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-browns-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0xa385d6426f1c47294a3f2f429aaba51fb6268a93e264521f1a732323680e44f9 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80795628720933501149149100435905845921264365029128962180419459057226434822067",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "71714119476699508098047686377489652741920448688895412159876596301685009479438",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:39:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x49d173fc7117c7491a918f084c6e9d7e7e110f3caf3aeaa2f5be9edaf3555a21 | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04306 | 216 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 216 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 216-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x1aa06de6ef9683c2d3d1da4565a508d59632d5b29ae0399a31112d710c1df9c4 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 150
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "39833945469692947613452331663326804276179570927758898393442183779385995108580",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "25245954953973119599950874843958059355139532981542904705726538148450083501194",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd100eaa5eb47d06b9f3f4ff37ad34c1e588b3f322cd8d7d408c379a2ce3ea03e | 0xc2e2fa29f323c615420ca3a16d8b4544f90447936c4ccd8b62f15d2a89b4a4cd | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $60,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-60000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112918611901220013725322222636611141155427593977261205533146706583406101029216",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "61387991842495258719917789605246000245508119493109774111742861695254171823662",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:02:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xaa2b61bb8e7f3994c88ed8fac42e8e87afc4f96797c74c460a48746bf3c98285 | 0xaadd4174b294f236948fbcca11dd2ef682a187466f20d1d3157bb431d1747866 | Alabama vs. Michigan | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 12:00PM ET:
If the Alabama win, the market will resolve to “Alabama”.
If the Michigan win, the market will resolve to “Michigan”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-bama-mich-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T17:00:00 | 3 | 0x5f166aF5B0448A67F8E2263c23b8DB16e8e4E064 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "3160741548861417440201157078504491863896856732004513243952446665356649437423",
"outcome": "Alabama",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15094783282088933426024706312266639042763106260264681002512573452050145583888",
"outcome": "Michigan",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:54:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x247cd5c4016505003b98db90acc4054978315747e0bae3c3acce02293e53f1cc | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1307 | Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 400 (inclusive) and 424 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-400-424-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x1a5e38dc9facdfe269f923f578664876def0d841b579f7be94a914e09d6eca78 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "100497464513439688613424327403114344334237300383494850925442038972098864118502",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "84178194512765768951713741315646386231399191789627528851169149204379496120468",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:51:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xda08945237f96189164d980944cb84dac6f23e0797f5becae637ec088f367f25 | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa800 | Will 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market refers to the first 3 selections of the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If there is exactly one quarterback selected in the first 3 picks of the first round of the draft, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: If there are 2 or 3 QBs selected in the first 3 picks, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-1-qb-get-taken-in-the-first-3-picks-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa800 | 0x31629cd21f994e2e354a61a42116e89e381de6af77a3abab979f428a24ffdac2 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "100205093052982289130165806285668380906914566362634814170533684276814698833864",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "8433748401414536756880711875693637866510810148215344320221800307221474150350",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"football",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Fantasy Football",
"CFB",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:09:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc956b10a339271f45125c65a99c6afba4ce7a9105d38006442360f69014c5e60 | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e01 | Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04-draw | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T17:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e00 | 0x3d55306f55da4003e9f4b43997d78dc6369eb010f8bb846f0ce693cd242b601d | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75180980198746342752740534458231118067731913903981110488043091819935753571749",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "37567687617677740295437254750410029516401349511387414644190933052073316574813",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:25:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xed0b641aa66087b917432f120a96e26f4aef6c127241be3dc7c67d6989550ebf | 0xb42c777f78922c58d9ad14ef0912e10d361e333c72749c38a2a1e71c8b9f281e | Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Astaria launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Astaria team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | astaria-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112227927718851125026758689054082860489388378296978838952999953678715836957556",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "3098173457380092352048506855154268447054348433524943823603028772987923995792",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:53:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x47285d47d4d3b596011272a8ce6aa5710989f445c50d4da8bc9c82a51c6832d1 | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa803 | Will zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market refers to the first 3 selections of the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If there are no QBs selected in the first three picks of the first round, this market will resolver to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-zero-qbs-get-taken-in-the-first-3-picks-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa800 | 0x41efcd8d3edade1070fd2ba6fdb793f694fb0a3bef6983a7e866e1797d36715f | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "98241120336782431525226450006679846830085243035910653438524574545823817080777",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "82668369399971934448938390538045672492243915247441812370058513823026322264879",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"football",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Fantasy Football",
"CFB",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb66c3477f83da99a18bfb067ff538fab2374e38a9cf40e531d78a4b233da051e | 0x3df0627c088087f13201154afbfec718c570a582ca450941b6a3d720b349a387 | Will Solana hit $250 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $250.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-hit-250-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "99730792832442898857981299420995113130569888593663865502312620937709206806541",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "38486314600144399419608109167446149478324321361037443402913849449532885386182",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:24:02 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x3d55e76c297ecaffd1d46d05564895c0ee0b44ac710519bf7f8a4665eb3c5727 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0d | Will Company H have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company H has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company H with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-h-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x9570dd3a8762e49bd523783c2ac45a208f4b3da0afbf447ce845bb3b74a8efdb | {
"rates": null,
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},
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] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T16:45:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9275d673250e74063977c97f6de626a899e960ac2dc56d0bea0364c6e825126f | 0xe538b48769bb65978f3f9180fd7c83e975b42e9d05e153c7afe0a2455be6edf0 | Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses? | On December 30, Siqi Chen launched the $ZERO token as a test. After reaching $6m in market value, Chen sold ~444 SOL worth of the token, and the value subsequently plummeted. You can read more about it here: https://cryptobriefing.com/zero-token-launch-controversy/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Siqi Chen refunds more than $500,000 of investors' money by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-siqi-chen-refund-500000-in-zero-losses | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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{
"token_id": "91659743377467422795881053263576075950474140509856940750070922251695902120124",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Memecoins"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:54:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf7e36d6225513c08da9902b9c927fbb25f7cbc961187971364d27e8c9f9a5804 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | WIll it take Jerry Under 500 strokes to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry less than 500 strokes to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-under-500-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x97b3ea2ceea7d29cf4bdd61b4de08b880414609abea0723145a1a0a86793ae73 | {
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"outcome": "No",
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"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:51:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf26b262daf2af3165dbd880a8ba14aae57bc990b1e64dcc84bbd61fbb0490f85 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1303 | Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 300 (inclusive) and 324 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-300-324-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xc9143b6f5054206b3456d905433d8d3064fb432ceb3e864949fcbac49985f11a | {
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"token_id": "40247308977791958343737970844348780001373811628965335807403523693803941056537",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:23:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2090c30d181142250d1f25b5da4808b16cddd7f2e2cfcf19bdfd508325498fb6 | 0x34861a78baf7267af23cd9c3dcea52863868582d2ca6cc12ebd13b2954b4e3a7 | Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Linea launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Linea team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | linea-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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} | false | [
{
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:47:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9179d7a449f793cfd23ab12d3913f012877d05dfc1d57901cb4d8cb5bb97d7ed | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f301 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by OpenAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0xe47019b3820ac1d26f2f6c5b296198b32fb139260f0736c4e38a52147d8ebf73 | {
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"token_id": "46839893548955500606224314447678497664316345779754023768199436843877361905476",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.991,
"wi... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:22:10 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xeefdfb2a32f7304c9f07a7a752731529b6b28085c02cc711d9714f9f0511fc14 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a09 | Will Company D have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-d-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xe3fdc2144c98ee3c59e7d173442a1d78c4de964af0cdfe1311ae1a3f6e425910 | {
"rates": null,
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{
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] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:05:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x755b314303b8c20a971c78bd15cf48d7e642e13c5a859f2c6d10a002b2579980 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d01 | Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Tennessee Titans make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-titans-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0xe443900beeefa88c895897629eb4f21068cb8deaa77e7a8e882fca6fa172f616 | {
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"token_id": "76452302138567694162084281820121447427573702243859539857717240643120547622700",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
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"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:54:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf1bc899c0b76482a9612746e6934cd26bb3f7d0cebb031507784510998641200 | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82302 | Will ECB lower interest rates by 25bps in January 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) January 2025 meeting the deposit facility rate is reduced by between 1 (inclusive) and 25 (inclusive) basis points beneath the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for January 30, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | will-ecb-lower-interest-rates-by-25bps-in-january-2025 | 2025-01-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | 0x0fa9caa47a52d6fbcb735e190a8b13e9eac8349e105f61faea9df0bd08bfe115 | {
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"token_id": "77872659508152420046558337338796420110511413560863830236438489360614015778029",
"outcome": "No",
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"winner": fal... | [
"Business",
"finance",
"interest rates",
"Economy",
"ECB",
"European Central Bank"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:02:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x14b965ad4681ae74112ed35945ef111dc9c03442bc7750422906f8bbb167138a | 0xda999843124d34bdc1e6fb947fd52bcbcc9dd72af79e7c02ed2803c4019009cd | Jones-Aspinall date announced before February? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UFC announces that a fight between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall has been scheduled by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that the fight has been scheduled will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether the fight actually occurs or when the fight is scheduled for.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the UFC or Dana White (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | jones-aspinall-date-announced-before-february | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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false | false | false | true | true | 2024-12-31T21:48:47 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xdd4c05fa126774b6994ef0ae84d55677127f2afd6edc7f31ab03b1680e09cd1f | 0xfe659486cf43347f90ac6dae540ac629e5052283cdfd0f3d7852c02ef51b43f0 | Will Georgia and Notre Dame combine for 46 or more points? | This market refers to the “Sugar Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 8:45 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Georgia Bulldogs and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their game is 46 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 46, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-georgia-and-notre-dame-combine-for-46-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T01:45:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"Sugar Bowl"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:29:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc7f52bcbe1bdae343ca855ba4883462fb76243e021f80a4d5d93469378bb857c | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1307 | Will it take Jerry 42-50 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 42 hours (inclusive) and 50 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-42-52-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0x40d44f61930850814a626f46333697780bad73b0c79884da823f5925d339afdf | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
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"token_id": "56299503398179337670100412359955286154303028135050720708686810074924097229832",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
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false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:42:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2544a4c6fba5de6287a15f1abb2859a519436985ef04b9ae54ea1789c128a73e | 0xb1ad4cc795a2513b2f540f44bc92f6572a9e5bc4a5b8dd2eb5d11bdcd5e49c01 | Will Jerrod Mayo get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerrod Mayo is fired by the New England Patriots or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to no.
The resolution source will be official information from the New England Patriots, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jerrod-mayo-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
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"token_id": "18842951847777690297249009418878085513782816951116540578144858604339787602703",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:34:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x67ea5d08ee56e010e56dd4a26ff51f4d74057e9f891d05f7aa674000204d885c | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0107 | Will the Giants get the eighth pick? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the eighth pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-rewarded-the-eighth-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0x130ab06a40c51ac1bb5d8dff63e3f81e748b71524a47ae89e1516d8870178167 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91308179302858700161169041653856146235794596858521429502588226190128695080927",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "103614128404602680600993563671066706983781793738393450933020563074673239898102",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc4d828c790111e10b0dbf0472edd05db9c8da28a141c4d22c37ebd2935d20f4e | 0x8ea5836d69e736d2cefbca59aa16bdc209bdee2cb726c099f76b8debdf11653f | Will Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $140.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-dip-to-140-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "11706709503703363317012799894071103428322080837078986992627740308121971711370",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "29104517899541617394242282991373922131512286765537408560442351798452781856779",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:32:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x89ae0e432e6cf845a8f0202f377937023c4639977809e839465c585665f14c34 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0106 | Will the Giants get the seventh pick? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the seventh pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-the-seventh-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0x8c116ca1dc72c19c90c94539fe2ee3ce3b96b17b6cf5aa2ae5519897dad3b89a | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "78659933391776953197250122014806054486788448155304319644219072844587760215689",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "16738127375088919927398738884744900850829210243040134780151780440107323451696",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:20:34 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x5f8c3f31e7c3f5470f016e036848ff7495031bd45aec804b9bef539490866fd7 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a07 | Will Company B have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company B has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company B with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-b-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xa2627c81b5b7162a32c46a02e66eed63489ed538a325f064ba2f65fa0592efc2 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:46:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x36b1ccb771da7c9fdfabe5c84ca434e086cbc803c8300a09479f838f87a8f05f | 0x1970b4e259d13def754784d03ba43399fec5ece1532f18bcad4e260a93d84c03 | Will Texas beat Arizona State by 13 or more points? | This market refers to the “Peach Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Texas” if the Texas Longhorns win their game against the Arizona State Sun Devils by 13 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “ASU”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-texas-beat-arizona-state-by-13-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T18:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "78288537846009507225499712769559353536682487416197407856388617971242412122900",
"outcome": "Texas",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "45625595803927482805771986639071389778903391231797991683220629552714437133819",
"outcome": "ASU",
"price": 1,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"texas",
"Games",
"CFP",
"Bowl Games",
"Arizona State",
"College Football Playoff",
"Peach Bowl",
"ASU"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:55:36 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x74e1da54ca0c1b4c15ca7532d66cdcb3d55474785df503f71ca86752a9e4fe99 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30b | Will Company F have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company F has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company F with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-f-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x83b968cf3902341b1ef6d41613984b14fb242514e11c1db84d17d5ec63ee0533 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:04:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfb3ba8f6118dc6405002d1ff3153e1649e18fe1a8e27ba1ba755c0c9c1000d30 | 0x2e50099683b6912744bdb9b408cb9f453cce7e605270fd3bd29b4ed6e4e68015 | Ohio State vs. Oregon | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 1 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Ohio State win, the market will resolve to “Ohio State”.
If the Oregon win, the market will resolve to “Oregon”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-ohst-oreg-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T22:00:00 | 3 | 0x0589AA81769D906e9ee727Dab3c3F6016f5Dd58F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 400
}
],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 2.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "85263463488816497124072939978113235765724188036267467033681116993025213026758",
"outcome": "Ohio State",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "33681675194913454387635742648096682537977713679026568319806026457510969265292",
"outcome": "Oregon",
"price": 0,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"College Football Playoff"
] | ||||
false | false | false | true | true | 2025-01-03T21:47:31 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xce104326345db841147943e39af3d3f64776534527da345e1feb31449c0cc091 | 0x4904ea2b7e10f932d86b37d0b4791154979aa1bbde68a364fb3b69ceac443737 | Will Mike McCarthy get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike McCarthy is fired by the Dallas Cowboys or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mike-mccarthy-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 70
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41160928962490591242423471672097229093884990725045975474344821101433342002195",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.185,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "62234686601691157284701191132273701453681753515873038648774391861185171168571",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.815,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:03:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa4ef6d90e6209023e9a752546178c370f98c8d6b12041b957d0c6261831bc556 | 0xa162f62f969ee886bf09aa6d0d3a809b8583cf109a062fcc22de933c4ed34da3 | South Carolina vs. Illinois | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 3:00PM ET:
If the South Carolina win, the market will resolve to “South Carolina”.
If the Illinois win, the market will resolve to “Illinois”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-scar-ill-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T20:00:00 | 3 | 0xa5B1f74A04b32c436bfB38Be860b247C0636A4b6 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67455405779906409846928691706547283118854927109301102272664305530140892418438",
"outcome": "South Carolina",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "53529165327714310264787100777789745526859353742668493742664846732466214240557",
"outcome": "Illinois",
"price": 1,... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:15:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x78dd44195111f89210b059180792a1fa156d1f211392e76575dc36846e815987 | 0xb73550daf5831c0c09254aa7d42f9edaed21da7ece21efdb3ababb73fd94aba1 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-130000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77252770716032169427248210536603791716366460125006751242155179652569535874066",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "109933102571617138129529880030607845605531870318746930701877154306080250374449",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T22:41:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3df055c68e1572a5084f19d65af33f8584fa823428c1e108833fb4b0d550a91b | 0xef89696ecb0412a95919baede360935a08ceb9a7c5c81b50b501d15fcc86a3ac | Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official investigation by a law enforcement agency or a court ruling determines that the the incident on November 26, 2024 involving Suchir Balaji involved foul play by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
This includes findings from the police, FBI, or any court indicating that the Balaji incident was caused by intentional physical harm from another party.
Note: determinations that the Balaji incident likely involved foul play will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any government agency, law enforcement agencies and courts. | suchir-balaji-foul-play-determined-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "24238340544775019439314580238942427871011487763164297664015429426015136037006",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "69369975004949176736173289838249720761564693159803766043727936312124292620511",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"OpenAI",
"Culture",
"Tech"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T18:55:32 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x4f6be3a3a4d10c128211a0a430e44de4b66e7e9f7ab02a0393f1f4ad924ad980 | 0xc329ed0a89325fbfcf61000704f984dbb324bc75d43db1882fd6d908668297f0 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Gaza between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | israel-withdraws-from-gaza-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-13T21:10:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "11512022135606101409111892101277435424095244943637628350132621658656733187436",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.205,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "41158123627243409797280482436177040010605365778006722266467179035594283771722",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.795,
"win... | [
"Politics",
"Gaza",
"hamas",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Macro Geopolitics",
"2025 Predictions",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:48:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0f8b644e78bbe65c2ab9ff2aa3a9a0df135d76a46438b5584b3fe448d358bd47 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f304 | Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Meta has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-meta-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x86679d54d8cdc9c3123c1ed2f92b7e2a94c30c0367715f1438c03f81f28ed829 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "97889358640441036034161940087584230713891063567957562616907911718373867789415",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.002,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "8441712771489990544045040821794387398846537023919166166958413797599548823328",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.998,
"winn... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:54:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5a132cc06de532da58549f7b38464367d430b01fc0210cc1afb9d271df6fef15 | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | Will ECB raise interest rates in January 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) January 2025 meeting the deposit facility rate is increased by any number of basis points above the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for January 30, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | will-ecb-raise-interest-rates-in-january-2025 | 2025-01-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | 0x69ed1c30da087041bdf9a02d39b1b91c099d719f5d34ee6265e9b9a4bb243c2f | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "110175512515649021929236073172568292584650292638089390879308854760449112220092",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "104540299089862884453421594639239508194019566426862189659309054532598595284373",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Business",
"finance",
"interest rates",
"Economy",
"ECB",
"European Central Bank"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:15:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x943c233a03510764fc03b81ea6bd0407c760ab86a74c4ded11c150135f56e5c2 | 0xdd86c424e6880c9d7fc0c0f4708029fa03aa784329462032393e253bbbc3ecd0 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $5,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-5000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "17035662718664760263736401394475408843313301425359051149044116052791358401022",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "106973945634592964198748197018014545261580280122178013381508635753581884275811",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:47:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x03ae5d518a03b0cff959ebece32f8b63348262fea504ccbd332c3004563f5721 | 0x79e6954e3558de8dd5f937dfb00381b412d2680aeba99636646d442baabbc72e | Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward? | This market refers to the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If Shedeur Sanders is drafted before Cameron Ward, this market will resolve to "Sanders".
If Cameron Ward is drafted before Shedeur Sanders, this market will resolve to "Ward".
If neither player is drafted, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | who-will-get-drafted-first-shedeur-sanders-or-cam-ward | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 1
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "11385604161970384388166250342136421174335624540785605813341846137876609321588",
"outcome": "Sanders",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "110087558868436004942580344316891241385777194319435508249402412774278736990446",
"outcome": "Ward",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"shedeur sanders",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:05:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd68b73bdbf743f813914e239c18d20ac4083dc9adc9d2645c152a213f1600442 | 0x2e3a5d433beee074fc142f8a7868f8a17e508c4cd0ac97dc564af6f9bb32696e | Minnesota vs. Virginia Tech | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 3 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Minnesota win, the market will resolve to “Minnesota”.
If the Virginia Tech win, the market will resolve to “Virginia Tech”.
If the game is not completed by January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-minn-vt-2025-01-03 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T00:30:00 | 3 | 0x895d80eeDe5A27E224B8Ad2C868Ab819c942fA7e | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "4774260524423405536239795396187866777388424703483149101396982725683643975163",
"outcome": "Minnesota",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "63207850371769505177138854461583304616179983892556544898620938688960255050544",
"outcome": "Virginia Tech",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:54:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6c92932d3bf0bd3237b0ecba372c5f324b1f9019ad8224ae9d66e1c71434ec4c | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1306 | Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 375 (inclusive) and 399 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-375-399-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xcd3644c93755f1a656ea3a3b1219a2d35f651cf003c9fdcecb5e4fce442c7813 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80660877824421741647396444687847005846039311206067727911205456396782075083251",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "63725156667305018067406841745414902962948229882139434163147950886101143708087",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:52:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x06532ca2152172bfe890d376476b1bc425a1a320eb5c4187f5787a3f64fb5d95 | 0xd8d7a71061f68115f908183977040a4ce0e75e64b9097530b4afcd9b4a5c2b18 | MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? | On December 30, MicroStrategy announced that, during the period between December 23, 2024 and December 29, 2024, the Company acquired
approximately 2,138 bitcoins (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt86aee42aac939a6f/6772966708d14f09dfda7bd4/form-8-k_12-30-2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. | will-microstrategy-purchase-more-bitcoin-before-trump-inauguration | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 40
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "17310352668626192929864237444039665353355459724705249900364069605899510455347",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "37369346160175605961860109921265418248942276951870363235434659967187186126205",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:05:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe84982410314f815056eb56397b0d0cceeb8b16777d0667ab6f0e373a5c2cc19 | 0xe2607612df0019a01676167c46ba22d1cfcaf8426dd21d15f09bd4d0362fda0a | Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 97,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
| bitcoin-above-97000-on-january-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "102281115552110447508805083408116159078734328345407158156320108528033469896643",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "21012903223715238900269755202350413949200157267992247582965906247670534320243",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:55:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x553f3e57a19903e4cdb3b523402d8a9a1c52f64958f423fc185b99ac65391015 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af01 | Will it take Jerry between 500-999 strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 500 strokes (inclusive) and 999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-between-500-999-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x9036360b7776c6d05b953e1f709d48eba11ae0f37bd06226519101ca3a7e6e99 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 15
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112031903044830415786396038746727955715375422327066658121844735299663359910554",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "35342376655865521548141376294336192530643940890336491525614483044573856864475",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:48:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xde044f256463ca9deca624b5c8410d98f68a177683827d0a513646064e0a3ba5 | 0xe7574551354e3a46a5ad32ec1bc969aa7430429ffd6c1d8af5f3c96f823e31a8 | Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded? | This market will resolver to "Yes" if the First Pick of the 2025 of the NFL draft is traded before the start of the 2025 NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this pick is traded at any point before the draft begins, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official announcements made by the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft-get-traded | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "93193063723675957020999336543843999964881288987200939453162321616407209220259",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "5163290079660583218604722282227680187354128642217536782800972726925572119364",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"CFB",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:07:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x479a1581a10479308d21418080675b336f578c2d9f0173f4a89a7868ea5bc37e | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab01 | Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04-draw | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab00 | 0x2b2c40c6d5c441ae2e96fba48c28d519888c0aaa800a78b045ac217415c72521 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "58218979541725529979387971271970048756654033776476559160632775263456200049025",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "57434608843108383317230700036736004119631732385677613153324709842864026800658",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:19:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa6852cb4eaf23193e9dc073471131102017ba31ac9571f5ee8a12c4cc1800d7c | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a05 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by DeepSeek has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x84d81c7498fb8eb4dfd291b7f085dfa24fe132fa085523160bf96ac4b9f79556 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 1
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67952170237118161113823978955884644334240779330929575423311924287450926538956",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.023,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15905087200030046549174784862773233319133931818015049320260412799169140575950",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.977,
"win... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T18:55:52 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x50b8b0f741566a420756d975faaf4cc4716229cd5183c3a35b3b20ac2b5050ef | 0x8175ed6e95019015b7a4cccd6f221bc8441f1aa413a84276c35bbb0423202c98 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-a-new-country-buy-bitcoin-in-2025 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-02-14T18:13:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "52696967762983156376661808083218380818225074723063198070857375460800745709299",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.46,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "68828044399544708262191871118160142177815171872585044911093257854055272644515",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.54,
"winne... | [
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"2025 Predictions",
"Featured"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:30:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2c401fc82d3c11cbe0c7e7d11547ceb3ae8ae0905bbb7ac054c71cca3099113e | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1308 | Will it take Jerry 50-60 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 50 hours (inclusive) and 60 hours (inclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-52-60-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0x0784a99f2e8ae5b7a38d359811f4674d9685ff0ffdb445897f7c84d07d7fd588 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "66700451138462620916826633082635615118024946798552116939244658165546089913505",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "86883366757846819263669363897189038100264599851787974682758242672837507367244",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:38:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8ef1ee6cf09df28df18b888571fe7a66cee7b43d8306c01c966af784e7a46de1 | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4103 | Will the next US Speaker be elected in four ballots? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the fourth ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-next-us-speaker-be-elected-in-four-ballots | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | 0x3fe43ff5ba945a21f2f20d4c248063c065ac513912d2ce21387223198e66ffbe | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 200
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "10446799148043951835619458564185227974168809676922757604189182011355472976179",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "38671498628475077774417590015818370106766860810954949019790038634115303369119",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T05:02:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x162cc3116b0bca7596fe36955b51eb4b65f68ff695f8a4f1b556e5b5d1d33672 | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e01 | Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 6 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-06 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-wol-not-2025-01-06-draw | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T20:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e00 | 0xe0236bcdc2e1ab49d6927993ed7d6f77f9589d058cce29ba5728e87f67c37ffc | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "13715678078900418740064235624765891718868174640331623492947154127546301511740",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "4680949825928745515998600219353094269640307846693928019405115445384787997706",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:56:22 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3f20482542239099d8200e74a5b99bd3237c890eaa68ee3c816fb26c9042cd9a | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e130a | Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 475 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-475-499-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xe93b39c44dd5bdb69dcf8a15154ca78220abcc805347429d230ed695240fa55b | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "94870549378376686038802778388847325165753675122809041818724855352678115818704",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "41532484312492590783935730736555984495335706993048706828065689217392512211041",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x70d1afd01e7e915e57410e5c7b18baaa7752749ea79fb1d8b95859018b6aa29e | 0x44afcb45aa847adce37ab2a2bf990f4d4892bd42177a4d91ec5ea25536d3e97f | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-2000-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "65850442379443034222932744102710307646020660872337004037957886703910999660066",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "97945441988870124048510059352385213786541208259240254759915415689961148788305",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:37:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcc57afe2847987ea4a14c60c10876625e7c8a76010987d9109ec299022c7d2a2 | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4101 | Will the next US Speaker be elected in two ballots? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the second ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-next-us-speaker-be-elected-in-two-ballots | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | 0x735f60409d7ca47fe066c0d467ec6a1068a09476543251ccef9a551742f5b976 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 200
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "14590229397909868964267537604277537619936308473604503196144885998769154694541",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "72675447134379154124550311658419757458039944792001633917727657953923338588817",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:36:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd380e26f8265723ed69245bba11c05272d5f103476f398f143f856c575b71f70 | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-next-us-speaker-be-elected-in-one-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | 0x85b71321bb0a09dff454b9b0fb3d623f68ac05797ae5cd6cba9ea6d4b425667f | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "84669392585137882744924051957902086276033115666013539791669367328421489968548",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "11113929172877606072068098285682249763111874467141419814111653194959126053644",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T07:03:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x367565716d527f1c8ed864c6ddca865df35e2760f1be2dc800fd7135caa863ef | 0x3a8b194156eccc4249b26eb96fc01d0f6a2a8c69e09da2d06b4bbb6f65afea30 | Lightning vs. Ducks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-tb-ana-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-13T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x3823e8901881Dd48f2c1DA5CD7b5771251762a71 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77438285458470870272317690697014853750780845176394819613303943949183637922323",
"outcome": "Lightning",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "81262929848490812485645413020825478428294084867603791885532718601694787096875",
"outcome": "Ducks",
"price": 1,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:05:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x20e3c647cc2e79d34090cb12f29fb1238fbfe44e46962b3392f5e42699b1e316 | 0x53d360787f7240fa798144eaa4f444dc903067638fc1c9afd45addb0aa380325 | North Texas vs. Texas State | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 3 at 4:00PM ET:
If the North Texas win, the market will resolve to “North Texas”.
If the Texas State win, the market will resolve to “Texas State”.
If the game is not completed by January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-unt-txst-2025-01-03 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T21:00:00 | 3 | 0x16d843af68a421aAC4051B0C6f94Ee877C4C239A | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "28609829802125420827254629011029618271216466804894287534059399041776654245457",
"outcome": "North Texas",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "6358375603547250044707428146052712301112916406776230161472705129474792581060",
"outcome": "Texas State",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:57:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbac0d85ba998d7a68066d8996abfd9f6cf6219d8c231c2bdaeebea34d25d0b84 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af06 | Will it take Jerry 4000-4999 strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 4000 strokes (inclusive) and 4999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-4000-4999-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x621aad17507c5cd4b4bb3b6c813a1223eedf66ed776b82261501d6926e98c8ff | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "105967831480860826452111519324720449138587607920294360123317722407891907772110",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "39886653686036429090754523921466322734055820864286334393819478987622877504840",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x47a70190b3316ea98c3cc52349537b6fdc7180a89d4c055dc35308713ccf6fe1 | 0x05f4cc767891f5f100a05cd31a77a8b241ed139d78ca46ec58be19d0b9c664a6 | Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-4000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "28597011255319151382971374204426530120450139863444367062312747549791647470468",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "96051904327614749395515601090158749060179276854832660219971294653308724978343",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcdab757d22e9ca242163475ed1426e6a8d2c9a579b39198f7cec223024ee2e89 | 0x91e22a06dc4b694788bfda895e90e256494a16c68df4ff50fcae034cce163ef9 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $90,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-90000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "85960683101891616445603305956751684944915110216625837134369504614420179134831",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "72394210795445625134726795251272566064093293443046671869964023160779663763675",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:28:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x35462816333a576c6907d4b0983bcf3207dcaaa560937451c60661301f6bcd9f | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1305 | Will it take Jerry 30-36 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 30 hours (inclusive) and 36 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-30-36-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0xe24f4ea7022af8a68bd475e8a87eec45d062ecb2c86db8a8137fbf927cbad869 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75970375218572561345573746882232842750436632877437863684250536355810124688743",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "21394863017381462234369434578733443087307110929429110851298106876908176200462",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:11:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb015c672af83a64dd246362c7895ac13227affcd67c1458cf5e7d7163aca31ca | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8901 | Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 11:30AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-liv-mun-2025-01-05-draw | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T16:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8900 | 0xf749d686436ac26a431d7e6376bce3d127e869e7b0737b35740659bbf8df0112 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25580962083295431547156031688792545986031850626823236906877232834913944522858",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "112072044159045382676279305597876581005715290330441244962126279159338792029676",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:53:12 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x361d13e2c8ff9bcd0b0bea808c02f6266194b30b0462eb9665a224a1a56962a2 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f309 | Will Company D have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company D has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company D with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-d-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x91a3974d658e44357a3cb17d49df9df6d2e12741112388e3ef2fdcfb494e5e9f | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:06:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x45358fbb69c758be2e6b5a2154e7c49d9f20203844bac0f88aa5e70cb2ade744 | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab00 | Will Southampton win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Southampton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Southampton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04-sou | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab00 | 0x5016e53a509fea480e551bb6e64a577068c82ff7fb78029e5357eb1bf957f536 | {
"rates": null,
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{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "104795567693538680173830248269913509413700877892621921941174277011045430606045",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:07:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa04295254b94cc8f207cdb635c43e5ff65231d0340185240b8b65e4371de68b0 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d03 | Will the Giants make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-giants-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x089e471689912a9e65fc6e37b149cb55f9bb484928dbb4f5e93d10dfcc1f3f75 | {
"rates": null,
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"token_id": "74003616284092153311069448988231298914726181545804132298735689786206453752528",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:41:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5a1e72141a55f2dce6ad8345d6113965e11d9159085ab512b8be9efa428c4ad5 | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b0430a | 220 or more votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 220 or more votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 220-or-more-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0xb4333ba01ac3a8c44bceec62eba04efde32a9a1a57a15c4395e408bd4a74a7bd | {
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:56:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2581b82fb51f4a84abee8d08302fc49c6390afcbd708777fd6554fcc07fd2b35 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e130b | Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts 500 or more times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-500-or-more-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xa1ce9858ba4545ae0e9309e387b304225fb7647630a0d52d8165c036b51cb487 | {
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"token_id": "5952101187566201093167597725854936576409310422958174466357681902264471675771",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:44:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x261c2a43f5e2260b1884297896a6911b1c328a56ad33634c4d62d931d72e6fde | 0x22d5f7d97e41c0bcf4d186a7e5bfe5ed5aace883597cc07fb24b39b54579e571 | Will Mike Macdonald get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Macdonald is fired by the Seattle Seahawks or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Seattle Seahawks, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mike-macdonald-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "1616257466852342142652430164345890484683954831412670184912533613054542526326",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "57767938692227973210239911756448591469034940532239116825035856035622732346801",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:36:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf672523ea2ab6162bf472b93e645b3ce933164f89c9771329ec06256241d75e4 | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04303 | 213 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 213 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 213-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x8f1118a20f7189f8439629c783754ddc757d460f3b2cd05a9dbe69d687d3a074 | {
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"token_id": "16601058568521914968683152354500227429150200698236206826741669727905729033131",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf95091c5d0afa715b7816dc555dbb6f9adb4bf61a9e516ce8b9f0e172b0b1281 | 0x58226883d293437edbd28aa26a333010d89dab631f642c145d527b45048876da | Will Solana dip to $180 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $180.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-dip-to-180-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "97408697217156728258254511220821054812220956341281310542892607405329817486561",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:52:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7eebaa5a2597437a95a3015675167790264bc1503e58665e6d37af9e696f7027 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1304 | Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 325 (inclusive) and 349 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-325-349-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0xf95e54cdd046d05a0625616eff4ee3c5ff3684cde6249047ca38804b5faac5f2 | {
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],
"min_size": 40,
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "30072775695713465685108910726270248069453394784410111116416975514436033300895",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:21:38 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xf2b177d6267194487880857175f9876fb2d352188f681dfe8bb732a665512305 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a08 | Will Company C have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company C has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company C with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-c-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x29fb2be2d54dbfcce600d517e91437b30432a997c0b72f372cd02e8d1f3e84cd | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:24:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x80193f17b426dd761473abf075cc8668c8e6a427769776e499cc90531618549c | 0x06c35858e96afcee2e624cfcbdbbe20b8665b6532e423719edf331180bb0aa2c | Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Pump.fun team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | pumpfun-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "24413632775464016431195065151572134329989543419186173296849494291829972072059",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "74443881572145041418039896747794544332855421169593668761426895980100482993519",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:17:02 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xad5642932e897c551def57ddc3066bdea2cf0eb13fc40979c1043743fceb5c9c | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a01 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by OpenAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x2c6276b2c1546cc83801e4caa9ce82a500c2c9d09b5e964df7dccc455961630a | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "29370433468126418379827896143797575739436853610287532509760876690489490660887",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "95286602888911342401050506870419045522584469981654993778586844315860386218126",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.83,
"winne... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:44:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9ca23efdd923c361fa06deae4eebacd5a6f399a633610f2c45426f643a128454 | 0x62e226d51eecd30ee8f25755d0e75de049cde0d3b8a6b49d8206cd83341fd9a9 | Will Brian Callahan get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brian Callahan is fired by the Tennessee Titans or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Tennessee Titans, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-brian-callahan-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "74659906775271736245994305905609596566246430223406698656246879628105329502879",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "23253250009528690864298750865018598954565824145570093052354143446618655277206",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:58:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc4017c3efc414e667ebed0389548a6e21c9eccc856d70a032a25e85986f85c15 | 0xa01d34b3e442b41abcd7d59cbb29e35e0d8ab934a18eb2ec89e9e25fdececc8a | South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the First Lady of South Korea Kim Keon-hee is arrested between December 31, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| south-korea-first-lady-kim-keon-hee-arrested-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "11734196738608264029319718572168016036251886744290787310402884951996624916805",
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},
{
"token_id": "13248905514956470422127525389280511276225068385664257698658643301096249496778",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"South Korea",
"Global Elections",
"Yoon",
"World"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:19:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1d049b3007c2fba54a80702398d62e2b36d8b88ca1ef2ed587daffe99b229425 | 0xca1a4bbd780dc6a0b340c7700a77a3444d5a92763e3cd825cf0f067e4f47152b | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 15, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-hit-100k-again-by-january-15 | 2025-01-15T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 30
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "62220029515561094116382828584439369720384110505878475162000664626285246839856",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "55133069063248553181117384030891406833655765210665990081432708625123359965782",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:22:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x06a6a5e5d706aa6f83cd8257c00f7f35d342d60811ad5a4ceb503d6bcd29b3a9 | 0x6ef8b1ef39cc92bc2f4a6fe0912d4d3a99f4dcf5ef758a0eed3819c3fbf38e53 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Berachain launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Berachain team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | berachain-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 40
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25017901303762480279664984073262510288415460095697975895164489629816102072637",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "33432424512559796183612308070503693484151751059026238941396264817967604471383",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcee5cd30d29d289b911c3e67a7b419db7b4757ea90780cb0e188dcdc4078726e | 0xf609125d169fe35a466dfe5fb153deae7298c69b7ecd991592ba0c44d7309fb4 | Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $120.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-dip-to-120-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "115318328575368222430084047455273043491611493108834422037651787297303740630976",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "101319484972676577136220158356882716168563618796645946732911084040897195969704",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x906a2b90f30c62e09dce56fababafafbc4338cb8dac94ac6c3038327d0447180 | 0x7343a521da37c404c07fe934c43db09b7b761c475f608233d2c2a4f82b2bd690 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $50,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80164953650010144148698886169109405470335795048037055067988523874664976610670",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "13656983397559694767946656560808582394323859457110846680235356828787102009934",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:33:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xedc6177f0eff27807481f2a4e56646ca7e67e4efa72eb24316db5ad1f1b75c34 | 0x829ba2b9ab2c3012c8b4fbc7f83938f65148f178a5d684316a91bba11657921b | Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-benjamin-netanyahu-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92202496577879634599006853555037078862974777174592833759771193756389427430268",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "36265898638831264408026349442234283358201910630937557997534270387038229082811",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T23:04:34 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x86e747b05efc09e0d990b98491b163713c960f26e32ee761c9b4a4ca41ceee66 | 0x7fbc328462580783a5cf7888305e8b7411518915738b9495106a56122234bc05 | Will Penn State beat Boise State by 12 or more points? | This market refers to the “Fiesta Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Boise State Broncos scheduled for December 31, 2024, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Penn State Nittany Lions win their game against the Boise State Broncos by 12 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is postponed after January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-penn-state-beat-boise-state-by-12-or-more-points | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T00:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77514367115471780823709383055407245037786793920196461124380681044413584698834",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "98176709117829512401540485390399035740162656136663484816583506667913541738441",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Boise State",
"Penn State",
"Bowl Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x798e3f23e1e077f3aa609933bbd9da3103aed101a7f259199565c3f937a24565 | 0x7ad2fe37748a48b6b362e53a2ce1dc0ff0a780bb90e90de1553c877ba80c70a8 | Will Ethereum dip to $3,250 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,250.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-3250-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "82258084407583620915479900924785119576123464466067054941416708090745056865524",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "66227200986847201856317200191277609070425591735446037845015898064613284863292",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] |
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