enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:29:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4dd4ed496c2134a5e3600ee9620a93172e3ab279fdbf4c3cdd3039eb5ea319c5 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0101 | Will the Giants get the second pick? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Giants are awarded the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-the-second-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xec295e248a0e57925404bae896466d61ef4941e756647fb297e7979e1b1f7da0 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "68309237309512321306238321215187241876732159237496989644594719386719307860705",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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},
{
"token_id": "58469560996143216427165624786642753129989445405598127670057724135248996082740",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T06:01:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd7a0b09d817e3fce98b1f3b95a1ec4514f635cb202ef12af73d365411470299 | 0x6b34473b5b10483ef93a5bbae5fb8a97d2cab3f843d6187b2694b9611c3f7d5f | Browns vs. Ravens | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 4:30PM ET:
If the Cleveland Browns win, the market will resolve to “Browns”.
If the Baltimore Ravens win, the market will resolve to “Ravens”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-cle-bal-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T21:30:00 | 3 | 0x9E16fc76933A9B66E08275613Af799776E4CeFcA | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112890210919382927079018855860555587126349945201105538795545128010080514882089",
"outcome": "Browns",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "84776609982641125146717064148603033573224016821495289071719524360784159281765",
"outcome": "Ravens",
"price": 1,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:56:28 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xa5a2c314bb2e942be9ba74861e24c3ca11cbdc36c2fb4086881b25b25f05e2df | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30c | Will Company G have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company G has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company G with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-g-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x0a167fe7f71d34df6592931445d7ee1ed2c196c93b3062b00559969c30e045ba | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
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"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:54:16 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x1f292051b62d81ecd318b3bbf8cbf44574ec5d048c65b4e5aaeffcc18523c9b4 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30a | Will Company E have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company E has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company E with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-e-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x54da595e3c562164af8e0e98c0f88525a1dff6b61f9c6e4b2eaf29cb77f9511f | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T22:02:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa2043ad0b870ce6fcf0726fb12664c4ee0cd3ffb08df59f34b103546177448c3 | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24305 | Will 'Mi Camino' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Mi Camino' from 'Emilia Pérez' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mi-camino-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0xf7ff7bfa3020a457c58ce95d368e7c343e2a43e535335f1e3032f003fc94a31b | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75271646745878358939467974684646285269286587926451073579067087636014518382302",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "76290673552853766757414588746259060229555937257222025740227314041961083035274",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:06:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x743b5a77d54de7e0d24d9a0c6ca7b0cadc0e565f468394720268235e34d15967 | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4201 | Will Aston Villa vs. Leicester end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-ast-lei-2025-01-04-draw | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4200 | 0xaaf2cd090455707931b913b6fdcc4ed53889cd0b10c4b338df085821feec5731 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15756976154552804856042042452871899076929067614579423598750527750483401919163",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "11878837823780340737542894156113870486017683388662571354412143813732022827308",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:59:32 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x5f690f5d85d8c4f5a0f37749118b7574d1e56b5cdfaafcd2f8f955e693c5a78d | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30f | Will another company have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a company not otherwise named in this market group has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-another-company-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x9b475fd1b30bcee2a03f8e3cc9dc8b87cd523fcec9c57ddf8a4fb70b4c1d4f10 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:38:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x77c60c5b15d25cc83d4ec381aa59d5847e22ef6334ef3af618bad98e10f6845e | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04305 | 215 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 215 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 215-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x213cc9f60cc6dbdcefa77136ff4f1e855a66b82b619073732130fc1d26f59585 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92532169853618248717777580598008307792819540186938503023140460155848366149830",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "101572512112546119549798056314445223384986284558618557056089239257713200912738",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:05:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc2c1038424a37a044781d1915e82ddbea1515d79cdb8966a2bf0a658b178b21c | 0xcea6f7d134f8dd6c28c584270582b755df850a84664d79bd17a58ff3baca3770 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-200000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "60803003979377314175239643215398210162298788643179995980032138901387043323508",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "50143543104700630867565829980413775713750282732894639685093851652320726827648",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:52:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8ab2393eae6dbbfc478283cea0bccf8f17dbff7e596af4f851b14f7d4d9932b0 | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa802 | Will 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market refers to the first 3 selections of the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If there are exactly three quarterbacks selected in the first 3 picks of the first round of the draft, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-3-qbs-get-taken-in-the-first-3-picks-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-25T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa800 | 0xc312ebc6dc4e4f34612a727de473f2957b1f9bf6c08883620a4809b788aee423 | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "97092488396193653034028623116170915720676251571682836089108862741869250512157",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "95600204325079742491211023733204297947972079597820441326118318103963872299578",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"football",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Fantasy Football",
"CFB",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:07:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xda9411ee13b1f6d9d58a72bb77fcc70fa4623afafc1beecb5714fdc9edbf986b | 0x5837de0ad12c6a7af5653e02ea16f252bb748d7a0352ce1deb7afc93bc727a9d | Ripple above $2.40 on January 10? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRPUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 2.40001 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRPUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRPUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | ripple-above-2pt40-on-january-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "2664596399935393303487902379600957167273348110817302163043335485925488207863",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"XRP",
"ripple"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:57:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x47aa6c56e7cd229cc7ef02470f409e5cf63ffc73123c8dc2b01a43d2a0f128ab | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af05 | Will it take Jerry 3000-3999 strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 3000 strokes (inclusive) and 3999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-3000-3999-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0xf0f6dbdddbe8ae81206ed42557aebc7b1f404f4583bc1f4a1c70dadc2df7725c | {
"rates": null,
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
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] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T16:45:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xaf4981a6163fa1e63a06cb549d30da97b3b80e5ea10a408340a977c4691ce0a9 | 0x3a53b5fd1cdba3c7b6d5e084add8e8a9a71b2bcdce9c5e14cc644e513c79c573 | Yoon arrested by Friday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is arrested between January 2, and January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | yoon-arrested-by-next-friday-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 100
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91392508795619118341884779492054769370003995674856629887066785044598807900179",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "96315381971106110759916210432184988939493297433338750015819878232815695983065",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"South Korea",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T07:02:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfe3fbafd320bf6b9f0e6028abd943f44c7f332d719b915a57c52d6e46c257664 | 0xab6e8d6c8cdadb5d0b175b27000f7a0251ec99942728ac66a82c680ccc104902 | Penguins vs. Hurricanes | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Carolina Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to “Hurricanes”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-pit-car-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T23:00:00 | 3 | 0xc925a9e49b1403A930FD3254e59cB3227586168b | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "19064902321951119327850158314548616129506865208489466098890853647310195667208",
"outcome": "Penguins",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "11236615990307131547587936057899816005171809305498691183650077400270847347297",
"outcome": "Hurricanes",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8d29692749f246da11fb329a2ecaf95d08cc6c97d3f8ebe0c052d1ce42057595 | 0x4cf98e97a2e7a80389b5d12635cfd70389bd98db53113803b0bde00162c1db32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $85,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-85000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "55549274640733017542163520774439582975615803348529796706457461980106954184828",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "69378150985448668776517925092939623240035243992964866050161195630669670712873",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T21:11:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1348953db37fdf7063ad380d5699fa53854a1ba634c36305764261fd73402ff7 | 0xf9e89c16eef7ee9c92766aa3ab2dbb89603cea37a193ceea63c1dcdf56ba3184 | Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cause of the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 is confirmed to have been due to a malfunction of the car's lithium battery by January 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If evidence confirms that someone purposefully tampered with the battery to cause an explosion, or in any way purposefully caused the car to explode, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | fact-check-cybertruck-explosion-caused-by-lithium-battery | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 350
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "1444067720462632328169228050744105965709621529471189991690885263789060222136",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "92026340769233116950896120094035426550941357659324730870052055335759751982854",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Breaking News",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:07:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x20dbe01ca6d9787c9d203484ee77ffdf47c13a454ce785d9fd70c9cf8eb1fc62 | 0x43c0d3f5ab04a49f824fbe8be5e47ddb7bcda1fb4a4476f8583a96c522e5bea3 | Solana above $215 on January 10? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOLUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 215.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOLUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | solana-above-215-on-january-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "57340959878398421678357543264767127245404802056106050362156330852499865274040",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "112378193452203285541567707575454678273191615959272901623690385298087015096894",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:47:43 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9b8a06261574d8c8e308cc733b6cedbb7844e382924c307f31afc2c96a1ab00e | 0x42cde14c963395424dc7c40416b69d507b49cdb8bdb1460c8bb4c71ebef88b83 | Will Ohio State beat Oregon by 3 or more points? | This market refers to the “Rose Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Oregon Ducks scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Ohio St” if the Ohio State Buckeyes win their game against the Oregon Ducks by 3 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Oregon”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-ohio-state-beat-oregon-by-3-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T22:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "39585047523922508011203473707930281408837833620368806099704908704769772419074",
"outcome": "Ohio St",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "24018402402768692421205260985706143534619852066065761134185599338501017775899",
"outcome": "Oregon",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"ohio state",
"Oregon",
"CFB",
"Games",
"CFP",
"College Football Playoff",
"Rose Bowl"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:15:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbf881a6f9c9917526b62e0d4b0d1ad43973088d295d87a9a604c2652195cc637 | 0x2a5d361330af55befce2a7ab069cc6f72929f7ac61643243e32ec7bdb9980b0e | Will Solana hit $275 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $275.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-hit-275-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50685906553961483640433937227591824928230075154088278566743163359806229919547",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "52648531765828024358741078826116256235919455768487593826827175409803046829165",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T01:13:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1064bf03a0f35936efe8cceb7db5a91c32d4a55a0446e413a72d2f4d2cd53098 | 0xcf43280f9fc0d77ab8dce42a2cc14e43b4e0b7b5cb34e6d081f04d5421bdfeff | Yoon arrested by Friday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is arrested between January 2, 2025, 8:00 PM ET and January 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | yoon-arrested-by-friday | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15048841920713524036889154038054293463908311742500732642673822800445163157408",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "21085756305996765855716904282128239429249372401876276369705734359565904417525",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"South Korea",
"Breaking News",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:03:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf1f4f92abb9fbc53bd197589158530b138c8ce40472f48fd69b9613d9a37079b | 0x21736c6e0e83bb636adb8f0402e02fe1468124fd089ae5d89780745601cf54db | Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caitlyn Jenner attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-caitlyn-jenner-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "44907691973261949912399406792131423491321026500133987019804819591577905910704",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "51166431387590194709122396730405930035583476372104868284295070293744495474658",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:25:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8ca679c9d97dc8d7b71bad3e87c9d21b8a3743b400bbf7c447d82f84afdf1252 | 0x4e6bcbc1d515074b751f6290030ac33ac334e70c8c9baccbaf2d20918e4ab6c2 | MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if MetaMask launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the MetaMask team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | metamask-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42868795542404520619846307711560886437756195810982645841132185732971176407470",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "43091917269195131677658679908119248576475588358022232877481298223251467696483",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:14:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1d042b471750285ec9e481521256d7ef5b038e905b35a5baa809e61e2961fc81 | 0x7db74c6d68bc13e3273baec420cd9d1548ac7c975e92b18f75fe4f6806056168 | Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $6,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-6000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "89074415345883927859784467945069367185806940937426889981785846841736718736542",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "57150085232829638381653284435452874899630897716678929594822914579764123511139",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:28:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5fa3d640473bc9bf6ff9ca798cc372e6a5e87fb8b631b3c7a30fd3acad149a59 | 0x6e981429142571196050b1ac825041692d42f9a778efd4589b3a9de041cd2788 | Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Farcaster launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Farcaster team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | farcaster-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "54185200387770137455743674193111079010465923405043997846875454818397672480089",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "45792765001429043936168935527503577212243154890710782348097359698541774239560",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T07:03:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x90eb59e5c5dc71a6c15a0c305ffc8328b87af85a67293138d551f2426fe65ad5 | 0x9617c21eaf8669ed1e5f967c5828df3ce6f9db03474368c630072767a2209353 | Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-phi-tor-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-13T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | 3 | 0x3101251E503F9fA7E4e26f7e6409817384695285 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "3356946055163385642282888972506354060021992421701915337698904696553980224537",
"outcome": "Flyers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "25120733311500007757171547751136883625142863708060917647872381893701529602278",
"outcome": "Maple Leafs",
"price": 1,
"... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:10:15 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb9f3c202b0c2d5294ce5041909674e50ac44d02fba6ea86559af74dcf7b79e0c | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e000 | Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 9:00AM ET,
If Fulham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Fulham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05-ful | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T14:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e000 | 0xb21be4bc57ec13e959347edd7565318cda375736ba2be24fb9d713dc1f5a036e | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "47152966310136643712059170479594994718993453156136162185783636784433510858138",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "56755876736865010834263631716631030986102401401859988475707140904329415003494",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:40:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8e38837c6d0e227083f03353e72974caf9c2de97c71dd22fa29a20682ed51330 | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04309 | 219 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 219 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 219-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0xbff7a96eb416aebcc8fdb0c9ad341cdebfc5479a6dde337c380d20c0f5a2446e | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 150
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "58360840142122270653425617207057692785846331261339031816277313328304969162694",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "115713758745421942381386420807047849823545719709981798663375917362840560267215",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:07:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xeb12460f83e80f213e06e26864e14fb6b79a467f0838912daa0c46d377a09834 | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab02 | Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Brentford wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brentford loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04-bre | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xa074efa9ccebf111121af8802d42b9e51d3e04c766dbb194cf03411445d2ab00 | 0x31dc407c14e6ff3624315078d35295a25c0fdc631b582e13c9469c255cb3d957 | {
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{
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"price": 1,
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:55:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc7c4951dfcf274144e5aaa40c4022f55b2d62e926c0cbcc6b9b5884a85e04762 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1309 | Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 450 (inclusive) and 474 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-450-474-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x9b9e2772dd5009f3db2dbf18f4cc4a1e6c6ddde06af62a50b2b7862ea34232b1 | {
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"token_id": "83250655031283071227814224773490544841776788073113584701606216305498895105389",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T22:01:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb8778a30553627a6d3dbb326bc1f767bde531b6ac1ca77f91d9f8f13c745a8eb | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24304 | Will 'Kiss The Sky' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Kiss The Sky' from 'The Wild Robot' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-kiss-the-sky-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0x6f456acfbd5439eddebf47aa484f628c223e6e722737e7af05404d98275feb2e | {
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"token_id": "28022796910682937980576586622460160084734184523715267495613639647306805911006",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:33:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x906dc1b2dc7dc87125811be07f02afd6c2165d7866c354132f4387bb1bed7d9f | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04301 | 211 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 211 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 211-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot-1 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x87efbb3ec3a2e22c40173fdc601c55046b130b677d19d369e0c7b09dfb5e4c0b | {
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "23115717121961814588917828016564282693408256925935710643091627812200693866290",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:56:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x23629d6a834ee2366fbddd451a31b6b765c1070ff972bcea727e302f18912185 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af03 | Will it take Jerry between 1500-1999 strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 1500 strokes (inclusive) and 1999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-between-1500-1999-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0xc33f14f249582507bb1ce24e942577069b8f84e58a297e97e14b3d167dd1b878 | {
"rates": null,
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"token_id": "48654467029841385399958134156799266454999344566773035270528342093442338086794",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:30:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf5b2f5e93ec15fa2845990e9cd24a2fce4528c6fda4fcef3ee1b430275af665e | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1309 | Will it take Jerry over 60 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in One Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry over 60 hours to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may also resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T12:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0xcb200261f2050d7820ad6cbdbd8d78734cc11647274567fc9ea09a4440d59654 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "101450225231456996233744304397837931106071370104912967310351033062869124155017",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "112357085761335724158268439631541575860721988332378903999471851702587444617375",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": f... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:22:46 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x4928bece364d2def95c920459ab1fa54f449f99f33b0dbc93d6a84f80d9c9669 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0b | Will Company F have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company F has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company F with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-f-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x30cd78ba258a5348899df89f7be50f54fa4fb20fd62a8d21a3917b9a3bd1eb7e | {
"rates": null,
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{
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{
"token_id": "",
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}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:15:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfc8620b3a104c04249662b4c5fabcdd65989ece6e5f3aae3c324027fe42efd6e | 0x7b65ae32c31a59f8a12dca9a529720f6c01462329969bbf3e3b2dd529d305f5b | Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $300.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-hit-300-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "26694898973214430025718766728564420353471332465396848303150972675849480148435",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:46 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbb52fa733de3e2e03585cf70952bc255d7c197353ea38b4299bedad8c498a985 | 0xa49a46c2168b3e2c95ad3f7e205d540379e5d663d023ad704098f318ebef74e7 | Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-3000-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "60372827085781890086025171060037048167197008104957844311893145949547634559952",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:49:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xee17b7fabdd5cfda111e4d80924c9531befb688c65798cf87b54128f3d3ac643 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f305 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by DeepSeek has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x16074e5159450fcadc7bca0eba89da45ec6b4158e17b6e6eb8d691c0a0b344e7 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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"token_id": "18038866517624102659940049776139657476669643442586799783556459888180329697351",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.9985,
"... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:25:32 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x25aa360d6ea9d7b024b62e8fa60854a7c25c81f072831f1dbb4104bfb803844b | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0f | Will Company J have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company J has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company J with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-j-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x0b006d8c196b45da01e2879203e8b6908a48f5c7c34906ea91097840d5412376 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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},
{
"token_id": "",
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}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:55:47 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc3d68d992b58da7bbeba7946460315be95fc89dc853e80bc9ea4888b4ac6fd83 | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82304 | Will ECB lower interest rates by more than 50bps in January 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) January 2025 meeting the deposit facility rate is reduced by more than 50 basis points beneath the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for January 30, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | will-ecb-lower-interest-rates-by-more-than-50bps-in-january-2025 | 2025-01-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | 0x46a49fe309b0bbf71014ea8ea80bc5cfb885ec36a2a04260b6f998bf2a0e6d2d | {
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{
"token_id": "69248882682676289879127397756228341730179170102835827161562257771879777019193",
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"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"finance",
"interest rates",
"Economy",
"ECB",
"European Central Bank"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:54:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbd65462cb5c812c11bbd6904e802746e5228e52cb2a61bad088656fbc64ba50a | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82301 | Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) January 2025 meeting the deposit facility rate remains at the exact level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for January 30, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | will-ecb-make-no-change-in-interest-rates-in-january-2025 | 2025-01-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | 0x4250c4d37c8fbd1bb6dd2b42c55390237bd4d74a0d63c066619ef649ed48cd44 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "74749068840888327717991976770194055153134400979370645366060122519155188822502",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "19687327765961179940584757260322322097791116881146950511179170748215115998260",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"finance",
"interest rates",
"Economy",
"ECB",
"European Central Bank"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:08:17 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0357da7e4f6fe0d1c0aea86eda2ce0315256524e0f8741f43f699eb301cd2629 | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c002 | Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If West Ham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If West Ham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-mac-wes-2025-01-04-wes | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c000 | 0xacb3287b469e0c752933868b60b39e15031aa7c3b9c7fe75bf777222169f3950 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "37453891044895187668962581961294554908840002991548690254878554814468278495918",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "67240056656333459820773374461327632986038184033039905929529046208571061791820",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T21:38:55 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x16ddfbac61789e487fb2d5ce665a349f4c213e07b818b35437cd55dccb23ab1f | 0x35fc9cff216d7dfacc85a80410cc62fb21e5691b02e2a1d08af425db07853478 | Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday? | On January 1, 2025, a Cybertruck exploded outside of the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada. You can read more about that here: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/one-killed-after-tesla-cybertruck-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-trumps-las-vegas-hotel
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with this incident by 11:59 PM ET on January 5, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | cybertruck-explosion-perp-arrested-by-sunday | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 30
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "71458153218369226483181897744560093114498021887953059846016418754988289883354",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "75091974981972185331540851495564753159282504998153542631437283411545507464875",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
"Breaking News",
"Culture",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:46:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa458e764e19b9311e682c3e12e830815fcd35059234fa04869d275d11bb6cdd5 | 0xe904e531a9ae9d7c2d84cb592e64bbc83a309baea02ca14207a02667038b30db | Will Brian Daboll get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brian Daboll is fired by the New York Giants or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the New York Giants, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-brian-daboll-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41868339443713519929913795665548972998574678248343357316790660426856690208042",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "9795238458567236310912503384595716737121432458789777537007860421834049174729",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6793f313dc297c6c579ebc19d296389e7be848db251ef6fe33a40f404dfe3d8e | 0x672d423bc31111e1d61baf4fa07d3021028f276b99d6b6aee57b6e3b7803b7e6 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,500.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-2500-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "6103000584819955035366346925898888135858915218373289835228488627076109639877",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "51340730841959927988887003968336000412481283988591905279747637560950322217141",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:31:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x66d015dbf90a43a225025bf701d74011c4b8c24a3798b25569a0b2a9a6fdc7e7 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0104 | Will the Giants get the fifth pick? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the fifth pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-the-fifth-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xbe6371e96510e289f556080e96fbfb83a0c2e5bbe923fb2542849acf95b841e3 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77090572114493887993973252806504327600389610187781545443287093574559257247259",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "105246085014530275635965401289266648368513828933528862852747403827328076581517",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:37:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1dcfd5dd95f2b02629fc3f3c51424df879d720b7f06f8996c7c326ed3df7ca6b | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4102 | Will the next US Speaker be elected in three ballots? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the third ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-next-us-speaker-be-elected-in-three-ballots | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | 0x88893ab9438d0e42ecb093c4bbae57d27d634d8eb3c141243b5c795b3644a97a | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 200
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "24701009320578839799875414452173308996713295032431560059781477345847532179798",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "5115801840513606529843266785962476844673379156900102389137074684207791575238",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T02:45:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbcd34b95707ac9c083583e0d1bf615c75bd47a53e11646c2267e4a4ea3886316 | 0x1a9364dbdee707a49d1f2f33d04c353308664d8cceeb050f32145c406e9698ba | Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack? | On January 1, 2025, a Cybertruck exploded outside of the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada. You can read more about that here: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/one-killed-after-tesla-cybertruck-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-trumps-las-vegas-hotel
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the perpetrator responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 was a rogue actor - namely he did not work with others in planning and/or perpetrating this act.
This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the perp worked with others.
This market will resolve once there have been statements from the FBI confirming whether the perp acted alone or not. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely. | was-the-cybertruck-bombing-a-lone-wolf-attack | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91861705257309979328542564978724470929669202370052126250505672463472991666090",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "20350245669927647426993455854792048599357820947785661056170212682680676527835",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:17:34 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x60279053b72e1e5299f66a6efd4f81663d0de5bedfc6bba41d6bbd0a9dbc9d1f | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a02 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x46d9fcf4cc275e125f1f09239cf77e4b593dee3cc9821f1c01def643eae4bc13 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "102999968845900441563984227184244976654134769519899727417416638269272028235268",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.135,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "11967243848797501524178855415837512005660205521087701279176033570887179480479",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.865,
"wi... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:08:59 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4c73b5d03913904f64baa213cf4ba49d029f063535c5588e9f9a93933c41ab6a | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b02 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Chelsea wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Chelsea loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-cry-che-2025-01-04-che | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b00 | 0x9c68459bcc93c20db789fff4f58c30b75be9eb73486049d4a22fc4b7771e649a | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "21708505092560311948119090391114435672868783569388066453531699030607087731417",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "51375352175635952754077201880795580999817625339609261152392395702753561226854",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:11:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3a9e69272a5e4013eabda9e2b70cbeb3749be02471bb9161f8ae8cb87f80dde1 | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8902 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 11:30AM ET,
If Manchester United wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester United loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-liv-mun-2025-01-05-mun | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T16:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8900 | 0x47bb70a969addf8ace001c3d3b1698cef60718686a9c73f41f679598cacd660c | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "79281914908804869939222612224180019055461492286869611493487577471164341711787",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "22128116136929321012983126850318725582915817556355563082033053353456505126172",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xda728da52dda8a465dd49a1e9a6daa000b2116bd799b18ec383c68e68c693bda | 0x7dd5aeb46721fd41a7abb6235ac8637f24f2c62324d25b7ba0540b234021dc01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $80,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-80000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80817664234388195477280224598403775170632677321946020704450003455110909930155",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "20384758937785305040635046815702700504446346529767990849430627746083405762419",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7c662197ecf9c6c2441c1cb57e8c8a761a5782eeb0c219dc14daf3f165d188a1 | 0x514795a535557962696a1d00803da9da2cbbc3a765387ceb96e53d8eedb122ad | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $120,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-120000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "73494102346489743269760351689951324890172428679575127088372315020339514789512",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "45971815991377267987470669937253997966698319903160049321827704366518690748610",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:47:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xba9d31ab8b9246a18c732013c0e1fc87c5ff3db50e29a1fbcd6f30d3aecdd6b5 | 0x5875f39fc0df30dc8e599aa85db5eb8a78d2b1f2e00f33eb70717b10eeb660bc | Will Ohio State and Oregon combine for 56 or more points? | This market refers to the “Rose Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Oregon Ducks scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Oregon Ducks in their game is 56 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 56, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-ohio-state-and-oregon-combine-for-56-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T22:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "87921532815608269942064364085478021977135205853373798080072085759300801150317",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "101555904551216727393032769898205846876910302452999995673348924654204986336749",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 0,
"winner"... | [
"Sports",
"ohio state",
"Oregon",
"CFB",
"Games",
"CFP",
"College Football Playoff",
"Rose Bowl"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:13:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x69c7ea583787dee4228468864414f33c84c3ab58c2eaba37ca7a5c0aed4e899e | 0xe389ee7c0ec36cd64cc1758ec8705c21654d6d4c60b4ab120066438a5399aef5 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-150000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "33515038173925817579858963877943817944789731803907969874480156720410570347195",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "63401899390978043789567900692416927450469469309646191131208347018127135399357",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:18:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8309a3b9eb96171c215153b8dccc3bcbcfa84d709f10d9319f5cb8874ff2c728 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a04 | Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Meta has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-meta-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xec56cd3e9a23797e7e5e8addf298df08ea3061f7c97940ef9a4d798090ef0d2d | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 1
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "104471191007760957789994563546881648186869785130556413398226932885924537455636",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.0415,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "6780223182567853905709409219235634042224492427952783154584114979295229979057",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.9585,
"w... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T18:49:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x237981c76919cc553e7a3a4958c0ab5d09fd0241361f80e1c1b79513aeef8c49 | 0x38aa9c911d7c56a1be7515cd272cd9c11fcf84e36a09656901e0c0bb56dbf420 | North Korea missile test by January 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between December 31, 2024, 10:00 AM ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media. | north-korea-missile-test-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "29123093279684854180687913698318216482562416187663855024924279883566666833709",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "64307579934714893930240948106833062005497784164490039402499186680580826201320",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"north korea",
"Geopolitics"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:56:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1b09e8f7dacdb08dd61086ca27f806369938f46080def9d2c50f02c6fab1c230 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af02 | Will it take Jerry between 1000-1499 strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 1000 strokes (inclusive) and 1499 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-between-1000-1499-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x7e9329323fc9e702cddb4958b65e5faad0459f9f364b81d81c96ae3f0cbf8508 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "59524307825419399895871329060307272932964051457735500620705555549034758768763",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "21396509416903119043900980556682350666427188870119545924948756940863288258641",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:52:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4f706ad3a4a7a20f3c2e8d11ba0aeaa87adc4a71f7527a16316d6a81eb435128 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1305 | Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 350 (inclusive) and 374 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-350-374-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x296a574974660391cc808c1cbddfad03d8fb6288b3635c7dcc178c24056ba2c8 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "47888337069161110869276548919580492366301912590287155006561294959432396405462",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "38948507219596178144177478503508757371148016319956322577288811575716570660058",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T05:02:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x66b3b3bbf5758d3cc69ebfc45137c5d17e612046d972d0b5d512c02bb1823865 | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e00 | Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 6 at 3:00PM ET,
If Wolves wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Wolves loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-06 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-wol-not-2025-01-06-wol | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T20:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e00 | 0xe8479a4fc84410cb6de2b852a18f0c34867c14748fbd00ca449fddaf31d388b1 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "15925513506338955410328627204698693646500107841720297640195911131675046357921",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "3070257042086979239750660337235126249316484538571873130032786081740217629330",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:23:36 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x194ebc88a5f54c3882a5a29a4f62efd45c0cedb23554820e54f1d00d149c4879 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0c | Will Company G have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company G has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company G with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-g-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x20a1642b88629de07cd72a55aa9c133b6ad577a9868f3b87a5278de0c0e7ee5b | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:28:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x695ad0bcb05d2e4f15ad194b2bf824a63edd7e7ead65f1550a136f47238d39ce | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1304 | Will it take Jerry 24-30 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 24 hours (inclusive) and 30 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-24-30-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0xa76a78bd632ca11e5ef3ce7efb3439fbccfe0b8fc041e77980deb6d9c0a43771 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "55757012562026708443463787013010945548736639675956920703114552068446197743315",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "26530490716309868993744854720667158322677348629724766412883159212303606610962",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:45:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8c4661d0de46a56174fb50ec454ee817ebb533d6224b0f9c48c2aa10c7901f39 | 0xb95b8322d552f068c32779ff5a96c103a0a9f14559a69bbeea6e83593272cda1 | Will Raheem Morris get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raheem Morris is fired by the Atlanta Falcons or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Atlanta Falcons, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-raheem-morris-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "108015188967447287054871205253059440665422009040877495684576157882165350197340",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "16887091239853491246288874031805833787631765704406572858162790863985805847626",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:30:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x6bda46a3c7e2643fb23dd06f741fcbeab2f6ccb13ca2c87bd6e3e901238520c3 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0103 | Will the Giants get the fourth pick? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the fourth pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-rewarded-the-fourth-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xebfb723bdb6b31ee71783693e9eacac9c75f7a775f65aed03520e0579288832b | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "23417548287594671736011066118674434784525270696707697290771548271822436011080",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "8990933446131027926031688061209307750236591786444590313252012578800623704121",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:27:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3cc8b62ce2e549f3b2c011bec5aaea4b5f6bd8d33af78f5d8488b56632726250 | 0xca4c7124aeec20471719ee044cfac7db8f25e41c6417dd17891ebcd71c233feb | Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rainbow launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Rainbow team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | rainbow-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91376164545084619184289930841287637691739811735501379445973327672302435400596",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "52548714187498110414020830602627371193365792646342547997895011424618396069377",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:38:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x383bf6475817a2878f5b840b426649cff4c2124d3fc575ff3d26c84211b10178 | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04304 | 214 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 214 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 214-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0xbfba72f8a45a78283d36cfe0bab98150fb39d245cdc6a3dd3916a723bd1ba881 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 150
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "72266333046669274645409121130625746669515959947351372319755683030083878020502",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "85821783652915730458853521867735152807730674018890226001418237900545036204015",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:24:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x38b60c341ea413b64cbc02dc3b18ec46dd682c42af0626adc2cee9184d6c44bc | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | Will it take Jerry under 6 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in One Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jersey Jerry successfully hits a Hole in One within the first 6 hours of the challenge. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jerry-hit-a-hole-in-one-in-under-6-hours | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0x9eb280206cd64a226c466258712f83ee228ee48076a05c94e30db5cffc111835 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 150
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "90835792941018661333420881334326665665056119834999342918987357130244883288388",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "10317472331656575301375585950426116375990845826875727324230867383290096176651",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:05:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x43e71688ad296d11bbaa2fd65a5c81e3408401b85e444f320f202a709fea29eb | 0xb44f5a35a335798267d257864efcf321b6df0acf920df677b4733e2b219bbf9e | Notre Dame vs. Georgia | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 1 at 8:45PM ET:
If the Notre Dame win, the market will resolve to “Notre Dame”.
If the Georgia win, the market will resolve to “Georgia”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-ndame-uga-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-09T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T01:45:00 | 3 | 0x93b1bA0603bcfBc3bC0903Ed6baC7047B6063C5F | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 2.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42074928064881307660324912823038805319520007336524325828189290890613800956295",
"outcome": "Notre Dame",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "112770939561534441232238194680914037856868097235475613424732889910595350727623",
"outcome": "Georgia",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:30:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xeb5bb6495367695f87c08c6cb44636b25df72243ff5e5ae0b1a9ef614d979978 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0102 | Will the Giants get the third pick? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the third pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-rewarded-the-third-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xe48122d2a00268b5cfe90a7fcf1a60b8b5e06a3273f1e3167e6e9a4e902f37c8 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "77832349525584279982994424096563953471157357058009516346613492672376340947939",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "96505605064386328683315367913010361811111043821796495853071801737209501134628",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T22:06:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa548a32dc6ee00de49f8bcb178e281b977b7314a91eaac0f39feb1e623632578 | 0x32b5d5b48ffe7dbf4c19a17858552fa3528cb5a7824897ff9e18a5a0f87b3900 | Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Anora' wins the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-anora-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-musical-or-comedy | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x32b5d5b48ffe7dbf4c19a17858552fa3528cb5a7824897ff9e18a5a0f87b3900 | 0x470c499e1e498016540fab6c1fa9e87fd0d163b390f4184db54e76ff1f645f54 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 40
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "51918814395142680071625940612196225642553592704808726380480351818370275298602",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "111566105231668491475169641997958844387557646494725900534683776020661825531148",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:48:28 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x06c2b14714d1aca4061d51d4db44190b95c83210f9c9b97d4c236b6b9a0ed6d8 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 250 times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-less-than-250-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x404be17010e9b4e65ccb8d13d91395ba8984577b61270ba12cbe1c97a9ad8e66 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "99846504287983329544323375544176977010405741137986484123635854120148045793159",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "55047483781007363945325107037217150819328657884271110248503394699236970522105",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:19:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb3d267d53a94d3effcce88c35a6e233f2f9a4864cbf7053e0decdbf7eb2f93f8 | 0x2084049d6652ff9ea810f6dd91470242ed673e374e9f3d84d8e5fe51def52a00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $1,500.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-1500-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "51028806400331789901551174571641552055065435915107957492872475057624359423113",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "95868079492596127035898585850710167617511929413294390545114250122526935793004",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:47:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xc3d2e91daa87c441b73a9681c6d4bd4f5302ee8e2fd366525aa28cda835216cf | 0xec57b05b8d0de5585d0cd01e3442275f930700a6bd1be8055495be2856067910 | Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted in the First Round? | This market refers to the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If Ashton Jeanty, the running back from Boise State, is drafted in the first round (Picks 1-32) this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-ashton-jeanty-get-drafted-in-the-first-round | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "63482451381331758327597589579519817594662612633672706213989275886880233717039",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "61905379996975006151135960170576480040702637358766067023315030585955878621604",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Ashton Jeanty",
"Boise St"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:40:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbdaf44f7a53e1e1783ed905ae3e3c5b6527e88d9a2900fba58637bd70b0e2ceb | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04308 | 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 218 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 218-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x19c42b9cd48fef229ceefc2e08192f348ed9e7fe3f100e5ebc5db85b56723510 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 150
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "2310210508816311600520173854633850603665287043826116351897103693879253991245",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "8957619345494676287836066911265207328479883427241145823216427190296497072881",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": false... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:56:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1e2f25ec834e41b69aa0949a204b65f05f4c4cb79de053f8a9e9f1db6f1d226a | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24301 | Will 'Compress / Repress' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Compress / Repress' from 'Challengers' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-compress-repress-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song-aqoe | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0xb05242def9e1b6685ede323f92b2b94bea08cc0a5ea832667e85b344a28750f7 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "66595180129676602221354231489020269406706194254763253999006470980170349907860",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "77321457242912576243066348522869029426745015453507577831156499649185950295234",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:50:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdfc6eb448d09b68ef4402d06267000a86dc0216b5238ad76d5402c500260c279 | 0x9a58e121077a4889256d27ffd27f18fabdfb28c381a81d7ff094b77f6e8c96bb | SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10? | If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between January 1, 2025, and January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM CST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. | spacex-starship-7th-launch-by-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "25688706393048141535609878451497385709371931116773184629815592795904785667823",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "65858361100286691320288936929465745665183698428182352370657581193989762849737",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"SpaceX",
"Science",
"Elon Musk",
"space"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T22:29:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8c58d47543c81e693ceb057099725c450c6458a5b3846ba2aabf8330a41e03a6 | 0x676b69237b805fb44b9733b66ab83d02b93579e2477d05416c3b42393c272040 | Arrest in the Suchir Balaji case before April? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is arrested in connection with the incident on November 26, 2024 involving Suchir Balaji by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Actions such as questioning or detention without an individual formally coming under arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | arrest-in-the-suchir-balaji-case-before-april | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18370387096542684411975788467049980810755364569691327167853904485908377906478",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "34055405438048516050567122725136553900872462896285093756493936924747724605863",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"OpenAI",
"Culture",
"Tech"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x263c7f77dc9cc2a68ce238794051b4801ae0d0aa0b1242a54726a8860a1809e8 | 0xa69bb7f6a8ca87a75e2d66bef5923af5dc4ff87359a91a4c525b12f9b4b3b71a | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $70,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-dip-to-70000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41569140327535555873014778097123057668755541762133074730672257197323456023621",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "84132918548607219239309697005427704246329821698770139267407003323968555549984",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:06:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xed8162dcbabc3653ddcf5cfc32129461c157a48c023e92b09c112aaf3029a9db | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4202 | Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Leicester wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Leicester loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-ast-lei-2025-01-04-lei | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4200 | 0x2e9bd14d93f9de2f83008da490aec19106a312b742df709eca607cd5b16b1e80 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "20394721297075190636001626066773931778140265960302544013024389295047647524196",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "82229611556866525939143613070152921914448169756355389422238155755272581292315",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:50:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xef6ea164960f5b95e806878602efa96ae14b14f10b6e5e0d0352d7a1ccc29d29 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1302 | Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 275 (inclusive) and 299 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-275-299-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x5531cf1191edf9d6d96e32608cdf8cbaaf5abfe98e3151da95ed5827be85d643 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 40,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "76598649491786207674202855941181766215648811422099646713041688208610799755796",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "89249694112708670798978114547794023247035025290258847165078520457974782269449",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:02:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2d064697b2e621ecc318e033f9c524ed904c3881c7fbaba8864f4b519769ccd7 | 0x7e9f06e9befde4c0327b8d5ea93f7e528a40cb0485f5e40f76806e190ad325e7 | Louisville vs. Washington | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 2:00PM ET:
If the Louisville win, the market will resolve to “Louisville”.
If the Washington win, the market will resolve to “Washington”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-lou-wash-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T19:00:00 | 3 | 0x7D62C48c6F2ebBe224F78531762798DF36224d5D | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "109543058863279786081764982744367156262271185988788397058163256373600143663158",
"outcome": "Louisville",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "61505622491963208607590297118203318836703302278710870053802509397025186740353",
"outcome": "Washington",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:09:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5817e148183be3af45455699ed92fbf2ba4846525f94e6710ac454bc9dc9d002 | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e00 | Will Brighton win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:30PM ET,
If Brighton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brighton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04-bri | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T17:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x90223fadbf1c03719f243e200b057826045d61381efdc7f0bd2e76d51e9b7e00 | 0xb89516c42de15578b2001fdc1799445705981723ab31ed541b661b3f904e030e | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "75431975672566744275361811625998410561643547068562768420555549965949154963002",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "64945592388044593443792776210529468527433886547476447115943591675423436422159",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T17:59:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd881efd2239b46db7f965d1aba652041edaa30f23c554f0e9a8052c5b13f416 | 0xf3cc0abe4d68b3c15dd7a6b9e842ab988ddfbf6a834f9e87261ac1597382c8bf | Boeing at fault for South Korea plane crash? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official investigation or court ruling by the governments of South Korea or the United States, or otherwise an investigation by Boeing or Jeju Air, determines that Boeing is at fault for the crash of flight 7C2216 in South Korea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no fault is determined by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information provided by the stated sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| boeing-at-fault-for-south-korea-plane-crash | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "72199974009076948405648695402769047414137563971787936111903726634995217958095",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "97958386841020965268485577870075605954672859015584472049735174181540152180658",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"South Korea",
"crash",
"Jeju Air"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:11:01 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x52fcf6a6eacd203d4f30049614273a57fb8a0b5f2f4ef73e646e3085a1835fba | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8900 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 11:30AM ET,
If Liverpool wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Liverpool loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-liv-mun-2025-01-05-liv | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T16:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe4482fa7fd72edb06501aaf29edc2a2b5a2bd6913411f566d8a1d9cfb79f8900 | 0xf302a7576ca1b9932f10287c3196fb26b9595268bd55f0b97fe4954c1e4ea515 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43666247645118100527308379121731680629640233721850085182865540814819092215469",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "79389198118625660780765124382392837115634489772576260367701300374621617654774",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:44:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xce9ca70331b5fb19c8a29674532b159670972562b85491ae2ad30c1d48d56645 | 0xd08d10115017b8adb5bea6f09f05fdab3c73bf994d5321270e92b29ce3411e60 | Will Jonathan Gannon get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jonathan Gannon is fired by the Arizona Cardinals or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Arizona Cardinals, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-jonathan-gannon-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50082345567923204598951734710757232151690116890747781452713617703790192159103",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "90508173284671814576928465562133193152766495871330043548261522076429292072470",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:06:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa1e914b368978e31f8b6ad6106b779a2aef7f620b73367add8d1da4c16277300 | 0x5ad0da11ad058db24a8f4d6d2912b6af66a62343e95805a87b10a8b62915898a | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | ethereum-above-3500-on-january-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "114662009057156089052100648145110100462675835584094237849072771513049644000191",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "64393021466195355630632404464851907724312829447895893917768823174308024394716",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:47:21 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x042f69054c7947f9229d888420a4c453756d7b89b3a9bc06f356d70281760de6 | 0x38730b43373a9f525eb8cfbe03297f067cdd98ae839ea4d259110042c823dc0f | Will Shane Steichen get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shane Steichen is fired by the Indianapolis Colts or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Indianapolis Colts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-shane-steichen-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91854812475429556775841812618969592388655434507652892857141030359593043738528",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "5703784107394974316196065475766475535035022325349944123315416776628000917380",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:25:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x30ecf18dbd93627bc01d8bf9da92d1e1dbd6c32e1ce2be5500824ff5654d86eb | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1301 | Will it take Jerry 6-12 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 6 hours (inclusive) and 12 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-6-12-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0x9578fe9df8f21822d86fc9332c2932dd14b854f6b714ff843db786cb03973278 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "20590663446879289129402652236649682796572897385286406878572305939792182905664",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "71345570280589797683066133394658468788740964962866815598135411377358707144566",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:49:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x951356288497ad5f5cb78bfd5322028b8e060abaa38bdb24f42ed8d22a77664b | 0xe0b9728e7bba1f501199ad4dccd2e9d4969e639c36eaaed0fbcd74c4bc16dcfe | Will Ole Miss and Duke combine for 52 or more points? | This market refers to the “Gator Bowl,” the college football bowl game matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Duke Blue Devils scheduled for January 2, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Ole Miss Rebels and the Duke Blue Devils in their game is 52 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 52, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-ole-miss-and-duke-combine-for-52-or-more-points | 2025-01-02T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43932815618468229355826502588990386192699625323656151714824652341299901305409",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "80518040006981459161398540659706970952806170803741534851463308359614235435599",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 0,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Duke",
"Ole Miss",
"Bowl Games",
"Gator Bowl"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0bdabf234110590a6475e88f386ec7512f0f0d8038989e39259f0eb995650594 | 0x2901dc3198a50d1e1b8faef071a0d5ec3e38e8e4636c898177c6b5d503e59071 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-100000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92462795563289304883301490926149504610583825413905670008451532951671044015678",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "22567454555597957745893800919941644582371187765154815001511050691042471976980",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:03:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x90a700400f1b9a3f079f725a3ad193c9119474e82f754e1edfc6364fdd614c2b | 0x877eb9b827595a7af08474ab5fef8b5548966d0f90322edfd3755f8f6a5254ba | Baylor vs. LSU | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Baylor win, the market will resolve to “Baylor”.
If the LSU win, the market will resolve to “LSU”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-bay-lsu-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-07T00:00:00 | 2024-12-31T20:30:00 | 3 | 0x2d0338Fd81d4Ca7b1b988De6789508000F43DDd3 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "7380050794693851426312362539249979292593711323266787189556932832572977279883",
"outcome": "Baylor",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "30433780653223404328977317174598143757656497902559919326898076128718961276387",
"outcome": "LSU",
"price": 1,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:05:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf634ee1cf0c85c516efe7ebb4afcb178e4910e217fdd48d695d7d83a8ae7d463 | 0x41127ab9bce69b667544e87d9c911833e4910abe3a085d9d2714931d635feeb0 | Buffalo State vs. Liberty | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 4 at 11:00AM ET:
If the Buffalo State win, the market will resolve to “Buffalo State”.
If the Liberty win, the market will resolve to “Liberty”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-buf-lib-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-11T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T16:00:00 | 3 | 0x7137880aDD74286ffF1060a1F66116b0D29DcAf7 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "50271867863560812984323103362983370586362410740747384607383379670346293991908",
"outcome": "Buffalo",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "1463001855055832942045634099806995293843999422779174749729029288189684193811",
"outcome": "Liberty",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:07:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x170547668ab3545ad2b3698b0fc7929d7b5a0fa0bd6b290a8dff9fc97b8e3b95 | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c000 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Manchester City wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester City loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-mac-wes-2025-01-04-mac | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c000 | 0x1ead2795ecc503f1d7c8e58d2571cdcb961056cb6aaf3718217f3e556abad7a6 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "1507249461406889988858349909439568115187557510459055611400168320382876055278",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "53898557657810070418192830393665495010429419800790606857247562375427837233913",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:51:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xba3a2460fbc3809266aa49bebace03276e787dbe232a49a0e47c7b02eb209320 | 0x2de16349d68d3e877081836e3bddda81e42fc2810bf302cb8cf489a09608651e | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | On December 30, MicroStrategy announced that, " the Company, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 446,400 bitcoins" (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt86aee42aac939a6f/6772966708d14f09dfda7bd4/form-8-k_12-30-2024.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy holds 500,000 or more bitcoins at any point by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
| will-microstrategy-hold-500k-btc-before-march | 2025-02-28T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "40736765159302363627073451425692544824355848432011438829146536911648951255974",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "86346107239963062155659153212356689877052786043054364191980755889668308820667",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Business",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:46:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x84f9ad9a8273cf4fdf09b11c23508eb56f66d4634babaaf2f4b333f3ca8c576c | 0x2f26ef6bd3db20985d9e9eaacf8b20c53fbc6354841fd9b0ab5c1bc5b272d301 | Will Texas and Arizona State combine for 52 or more points? | This market refers to the “Peach Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Texas Longhorns and the Arizona State Sun Devils in their game is 52 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 52, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-texas-and-arizona-state-combine-for-52-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T18:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "44126157381029456588113278267596605893777550136145836070432405257376584115382",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "42860770728032497301373428828037199967333496758925077255731477516844046929822",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 0,
"winner":... | [
"Sports",
"texas",
"Games",
"CFP",
"Bowl Games",
"Arizona State",
"College Football Playoff",
"Peach Bowl",
"ASU"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:22:30 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x552c0807e8b239ef4e7ecb9d9e192519ba283acb731c5bd89b6b1cda658a2f8c | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0a | Will Company E have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company E has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company E with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-e-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xe0e66d365f74f9448a1b5eafea4da24abbdef87885d9f16cd508f875e44d149c | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:31:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2c9d62cb32989127ac5fa141c6ff89cbb576efb93ed1305260c69011c89e8d9d | 0xc2c420fa0ac5197699e266a2f9d3f005c79d3d72cb9826f1b75f80d3de8e0784 | Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "America" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the United States of America.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-america-15-or-more-times-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "54320776242895586408796015969885660939335055281838239965665605000887074640973",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "105605057397474358781652296266626475775954717748067440718892694755654602295232",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:30:56 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x40966d6cc29422d7fdc6132211d42641060b155f02b72eac30dc67fc33cd8f9a | 0x3d5dc8c6a09219a00a8dca5ae8399ea2eede9939abd24e8d31ab0954c17699d8 | Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jumper launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Jumper team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | jumper-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "56876210654326047130740875887044137977202174504230941870665836082242584323714",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "107775458384313619383470866079647428803740821919100878626377826115468674884441",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:58:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4155bbf0b5b9823c1d43fc9ec45b9158bb9d15cd921fa71bfabe4aab4dea22ea | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af07 | Will it take Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry 5000 or more strokes to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-5000-or-more-strokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x7736e3a60ea046327299c0cdbeefc6473841d1e5694b2ca0d569bc361ceaca38 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "41976589082743332913324155754084605795621800211757546455772477149645165940414",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "16017582415484212897844698036354827854790634645954250009737081826133998088542",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:10:31 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1570f6ce49758886a95909abbf485e443e4d525eca0793cba96c42486810ceb3 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d05 | Will the Panthers make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Carolina Panthers make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used | will-the-panthers-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x60d8db8a69c4d573e4223c9deaf78da20c803eaf1d03bbe5e341252132b7f7b5 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "90829942148240642889484655282899960059629309101973307925863403255004852335939",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "98452854987320697437314523705576429429166233666343777611569821040280443997005",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:44:19 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2dd73a52535ce8c1c43d00019382d0028cc3a22fc8f84d8aeb0c32d1449730ce | 0x090cb69fac7483d4c7b1d95466c62ffa3947f67c3a2db9b2af5ea3abf990dc9f | Will Antonio Pierce get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Antonio Pierce is fired by the Las Vegas Raiders or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-antonio-pierce-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67860536891057300464538829818224851540647898025776859203797014439919714966359",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "86223168338358391969086066229354035725792168563804795196714594693816132765733",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] |
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