enable_order_book bool 2 classes | active bool 2 classes | closed bool 2 classes | archived bool 2 classes | accepting_orders bool 2 classes | accepting_order_timestamp timestamp[s]date 2024-05-07 20:07:46 2025-03-14 17:41:59 ⌀ | minimum_order_size int64 5 5 | minimum_tick_size float64 0 0.01 | condition_id stringlengths 0 66 | question_id stringlengths 0 66 | question stringlengths 11 118 | description stringlengths 159 1.66k | market_slug stringlengths 12 132 | end_date_iso timestamp[s]date 2024-12-31 00:00:00 2026-02-28 00:00:00 ⌀ | game_start_time timestamp[s]date 2024-08-29 17:37:00 2025-06-02 19:36:00 ⌀ | seconds_delay int64 0 3 | fpmm stringlengths 0 42 | maker_base_fee int64 0 0 | taker_base_fee int64 0 0 | notifications_enabled bool 2 classes | neg_risk bool 2 classes | neg_risk_market_id stringclasses 715 values | neg_risk_request_id stringlengths 0 66 | icon stringlengths 0 195 | image stringlengths 0 195 | rewards dict | is_50_50_outcome bool 2 classes | tokens listlengths 2 2 | tags listlengths 1 17 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:05:05 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x031e9daa0029d47c3dc4fb1569279d4b54de45dc36d0ed8b523f7672b7df3f45 | 0xbde49c12fe39b9115196a7f67da1a2c408ea0e8c708c3a83634a66af0f69c902 | Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Everton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Everton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04-eve | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xbde49c12fe39b9115196a7f67da1a2c408ea0e8c708c3a83634a66af0f69c900 | 0x193f8b264fd81f9fff3e660140674394cec7a0eb48d56a08c4b22c2a8a4ec1d0 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "44450577193690794131881540275221454743335955760446408273583909661275721022395",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "15856781215466951887710168788082263702994003316481897885718955738871268920604",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T23:04:04 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xce2c205acd67936e7c6451f9f7984643bd63fdf9414aa6b2505ae22cf0f9e15f | 0xbfc0d28943555a6447c43bffc019a37620c0f7603d6cfd84885ae16df78c7603 | Will Penn State win the Fiesta Bowl? | This market refers to the “Fiesta Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Boise State Broncos scheduled for December 31, 2024, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Penn St” if the Penn State Nittany Lions win their game against the Boise State Broncos, regardless of the margin of victory.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Boise St”.
If this game is postponed after January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-penn-state-win-the-fiesta-bowl | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T00:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95834237155015584882751461184906571417689381351192431411076564016089034742139",
"outcome": "Penn St",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "76399405409716939644797429009675533527308523339266549105418546234756751527767",
"outcome": "Boise St",
"price": 0,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Boise State",
"Penn State",
"Bowl Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T17:47:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x62b970702b17f09dcd79c1ab5dd9c7258cea434b8cb9ea16e5a9b26157dcd290 | 0x8c42db6bce658b53a51aa1e48d527a68492d2765783cb05265a7c4d5e4cd6ade | CFP: Notre Dame vs. Georgia Over 45.5? | This market refers to the “Sugar Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Georgia Bulldogs scheduled for January 2, 2025, at 4:00 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Georgia Bulldogs in their game is 46 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 46, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | cfp-notre-dame-vs-georgia-over-45pt5 | 2025-01-02T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T21:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "53974430901899321940734395970442139518817993819478635754923061790114565263328",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "115527358621035537562197197406246082636391724685317328835789451263990955396662",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"georgia",
"CFB",
"Games",
"totals",
"Notre Dame",
"College Football Playoff"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:47:35 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb6bcb350f70d2e84ea42f8ac269f28845063d80afe0cc057f416c323080a1533 | 0xf28fd77bd9a348ad125ecb955c35a26d71a641f3ffa1f88a62c27f1cb7805d94 | Will Doug Pederson get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Pederson is fired by the Jacksonville Jaguars or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Jacksonville Jaguars, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-doug-pederson-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 70
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "49794705726795694156826471415329939278907725406543439266728775563864020128024",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "114804197006175265056046981798074760562757696581104613659729150250930237545570",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:27:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7b4378cea1511df5c326645a522dd9733ab4863987d8132128ce135088c03e5b | 0xd7521f1f0fb629cac063238513e6af369af947e0cca4a4240acb5523d7387837 | Avail airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Avail launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Avail team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | avail-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "13041112654584873099193926832047137807637016649343877034385146598497548953298",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "56312225371596092049220822235759508036456247864060961386324062427160204735083",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:29:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9c54876dd846054006634f4fc58366f3d14f17ff375f142bd73d077b7a28f9f8 | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1306 | Will it take Jerry 36-42 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 36 hours (inclusive) and 42 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-36-42-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0x2cde3e5545289fbabe66eded959400d65d8cbb0018cbd0a75831894f306669ae | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "92179113259374927075748301434610503658991248213925340745447674023233898153314",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "36419869623317579945639029713293646443933361139769412729293059442710357430431",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T20:33:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa23fde75349cd2ef1d57de351466c3fd15fd197b440c3461963cb9d44f8fde01 | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e02 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 6 at 3:00PM ET,
If Nottingham Forest wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Nottingham Forest loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-06 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-wol-not-2025-01-06-not | 2025-01-06T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T20:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xe245c7b3e93978f51caf66c63b18183da615159a86c204ea913c8c50fd363e00 | 0x29099bcdbacb939d5c3df83e21d882aea4f1f1e81df57d1376d63e8b2dd6cccb | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "13189920946041899995107316394299627363001367766219540994732751972743878961655",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "3158500464513755198373999045447069915298136666171731971024575024264457979962",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fals... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:56:56 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x79196652a758de86969b44b68a7a5dbd043254da0570ff9b7b8207e8c3563833 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30d | Will Company H have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company H has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company H with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-h-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0xcdc1b0eca02b829ae4d8c08067db3f654e9d8d4e56a60db477efcdad865c89dc | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:47:53 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7d3be5cd2f8d69bdb1d3bd751cf5d083872ee6c0308cae04a0cfbf8ad2856016 | 0x0ce6a67a3eb76f8e8b7644979ff3c34924d27e83007014e88063010ad5a33708 | Will Zac Taylor get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zac Taylor is fired by the Cincinnati Bengals or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-zac-taylor-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42722575814184908571372921909318174264026063206686695014148768314429915498014",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "38786711552507512444640099218877794669066694611315083244256968557776694012342",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:55:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xce6569bdaed40481c690cf7911c3845fd0fe842ffa4445ed5f336dade995f94b | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | Will 'Beautiful That Way' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Beautiful That Way' from 'The Last Showgirl' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-beautiful-that-way-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0x85ecaa4c07f817330d17963fedeccc1a56a09ec8abc9daabd830e5cb93e7d001 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "105498930100068332301390035709300982250436032083778041496650309975550628260297",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "59553611202821470835136338501720529825579789044917408666065320308631196474298",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:30:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x11a73cbc8cc5be9aee0a6006ef11e9ee74e94cee0d7ad2401d30a3b98a689b87 | 0xf1e7918479e95d94cc4ee27d2f9b9ad655cb04516ada31def2243054bfcf3c27 | Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America first" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-america-first-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
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}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "114055689862173354260694452690723867913022101831149042269270895124320510352434",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
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{
"token_id": "92770963819140350787129016256823819280402781626983884374289187221141470651226",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:20:18 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa7e61311724e5882cf8906d0232ffefef68a0ab64716344d28d066febdda5c49 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a06 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Alibaba has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xd9fe5851b4c070c13d6abbfd4a2fdb81231e82af05e9a53018ab409982c4afff | {
"rates": null,
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"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "8719418414326709897439966959310868099766860487466920674004552892514480301444",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.0075,
"winner": false
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{
"token_id": "55570329119013707680699904247616921993840095653839343267619453543159930491735",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.9925,
"wi... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:24 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x736ec244a4b5584ed2219977370d27d673d333936201c5901c1f929b3ed288bb | 0xb332137338106a4f0b6abfe71f9de68d4cb13c82be542d8449118c9c99de4579 | Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,250.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-4250-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "85411171547354311321568119239326651792159624750544849754855154739921850267993",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "2815323560456087900180088171627255559068791017907820289442395533553173166543",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:08:45 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x69d6d46a3b258483b31629439a09147bfeba767eed23e6e05f8608400647eab2 | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b01 | Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-cry-che-2025-01-04-draw | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0xaac122cf41dccbc3ba8e3d9f894e62db7ded03693db943e6a389f80ac89b4b00 | 0xfe44cf4638bc724295fc5267469ffd6986f17f195fcabc796e73f63aa7648f44 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "16596872447619549673028602679879265966581410731428867869412254583732548353492",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "89148421324667314748389614642618404307796019164879678011174894393014148735744",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:25:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x342ac13025bc0054bdbc6ee07aabe6f60e523c9b053ac352bf2fd151d7fbd378 | 0xc836eb5c0fbdf44c20f268cc8e1d0df20399e29a01773adfb1ef7252b2a606b6 | Martial law in South Korea before Monday? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if martial law is declared in South Korea between January 2, 2025, 5:00 PM ET, and January 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if martial law is declared regardless of whether the National Assembly later rejects that declaration.
The primary resolution source for this market is information from the government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | martial-law-in-south-korea-before-monday | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43308582806841643759036846290624756545407738124069866771597717199276771471379",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "114862874256348133136695533337452153605879895200833973678369525240890413541201",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"South Korea",
"Breaking News",
"Geopolitics",
"Yoon"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:24:34 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xbd5d14cd97a2cb4adff187b466d81801bffbed81980d0917356f1a9a35667018 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a0e | Will Company I have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company I has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company I with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-i-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x32b069c6a2124337f6534d03bbc5230b414736a215fe2f9288b453ca633f8f89 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:28:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe50c70eaa572ae52dad8e106ef59c8c3d8aa1a9b60a8379fcca23462989c3d26 | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | Will the Giants get the first pick? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New York Giants are awarded the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are rewarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-the-first-pick | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xc49c2db6c37be841a8279a244b567740e7534e84d2d7cf7b0aecc172eb9d2239 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "111041472782905945977706793202643102814636280682028029207704509974752061627428",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "103693507856476634069208432164362551200732764502875540872109462953943946626893",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:04:02 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x323d723581998e86d633aad432678eeaa0bcf726b9be73fb99de5f14c5dfa04e | 0x88e51c5eb6e23c6c152e28c139636ff5898ae5b730a399b00b76098971de35a0 | Will Stephen Baldwin attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephen Baldwin attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-stephen-baldwin-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "107784453911300911913035897647049942643586828245952912324015983163376377569845",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "11768974675382195257678340066925209574882658198630942122032680182866273253498",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:04:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcd4bad1eafe59039ae16216a5e38e45d56c66f5911fedfb1363908188362edf5 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolver to “Yes” if the New England Patriots make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-patriots-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0xba6de72ec521ea0daf1c24477f59fafd8a0ac25785ea46630c9432a8cc994d69 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43225867103465695033482397166728499327928071288533363816581833955760168357856",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "67186000444562455847685774068513223698126886933123558684093028860379529643767",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:57:25 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0e26a34cbe4a63508629f7a7d981ccc7041cd2f269325e5e45d11bc96fcf94d4 | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24303 | Will 'Forbidden Road' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Forbidden Road' from 'Better Man' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-forbidden-road-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0xe78e145c1b10d1780a0a593b3452f745c865937dcfaf3b30c958c73c877c21ca | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 20
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "46697668179512648766856026458680824822119161557409279205826469203317527861849",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "14423342189956737021321482014712195333004993224112976884277973617903239566590",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T07:02:07 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd013f7a0609e82cd932d43958fb78cd07245e5549ff4f7d854f3bd3f41e4c54 | 0x2c16886f368c86dcc1225fe673b16fe557640a0ec8cd11e954d20f4800ac6372 | Rangers vs. Blackhawks | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 5 at 3:00PM ET:
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the Chicago Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to “Blackhawks”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-nyr-chi-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T20:00:00 | 3 | 0x1B0cF988167DF00682c050a0B14fb1793A9EE169 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42615645817785781004240019577459643902982892146884832276448936626551559962003",
"outcome": "Rangers",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "65097620041023202193479562659553148669926434951853203965302936735058291175044",
"outcome": "Blackhawks",
"price": 0,
"... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:07:51 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x457448e013a8f7a0d36d029d37f8f6f134adee4a7a3c686c76f85f26d181ce3f | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c001 | Will Manchester City vs. West Ham end in a draw? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”. | epl-mac-wes-2025-01-04-draw | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x9dbb12f1da42059914b64a5ab5ffbc84ffd779900b9eab97781d1105d4f0c000 | 0x668cca0b04b1205b04f777a96f94c48e7b4666980e43af01c289221c1fde50a1 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70923740544919473149532595241086150142826847433454570647184480995415253676713",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "31096143663296409696705094893930397497329464266072931170203298569086025320100",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:30:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x718dce621cda33f87a79100601b426ba47dc9b92f89022d7ec44a4fe9a6877a9 | 0x5b0db88e31a993521732ef0bf52f31f62838c70bac508c53a1841256de2d6bf2 | Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleo launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Aleo team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | aleo-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "78981376249422500198105559341004159574902512030079368296903106734968268857509",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "73730430551736531316141355527415038338509830381824418817985780752932185714730",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:49:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x64ab8d4dedfc027652d827bb40dbddaae740d98b33f7296359786ef31289c066 | 0x017633bd2a97d3f621a8ccfe5bb312a3214fd3a3253d45b05aae8e7f02e22778 | Will Ole Miss beat Duke by 15 or more points? | This market refers to the “Gator Bowl,” the college football bowl game matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Duke Blue Devils scheduled for January 2, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Ole Miss” if the Ole Miss Rebels win their game against the Duke Blue Devils by 15 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Duke”.
If this game is postponed after January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-ole-miss-beat-duke-by-15-or-more-points | 2025-01-02T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "61168727991922853882711015675319743758521480307050436591679447562269437625071",
"outcome": "Ole Miss",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "10726060668608741450703007902718567558833411725995205991065958433088223289571",
"outcome": "Duke",
"price": 0,
"winne... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Duke",
"Ole Miss",
"Bowl Games",
"Gator Bowl"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:47:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4becea47e17b95639cbbdbe31cd968d129823be89249c2b09b911c7333772b57 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f302 | Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by xAI has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x5c188d1ec0427fcd14f0afe4e396d4872eec874fbc0514fac4f57688ebc09cb7 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "97455919271642597369780061767642655858796254532545212588404562386429389691793",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "73718159062539166370740233241132346917858501617247817070415942883412946392655",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.9765,
"w... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:20 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0f3131c874579825ecdbbda8c7aeed071aa908d7c993792c393285900e68906f | 0x44d2e7f4462a77df755f25970c4068ec38d30a69b3e61157101ebdd69ad52d40 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $110,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-110000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "9128895199999412805746501539402383368058380710575752735828347503045541925710",
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{
"token_id": "105283397903239174892871286420572977423306897333577517912926274248241190560378",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:16:22 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x7d98815be880769be11a63b4df815b9bdcbf6ae007a8caaba9a2909816a8d1c6 | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x5c2a6504f713ba90046f3b71d7a75b1d8aec4cf4074833b59102ca79cf7f05d2 | {
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95439201103958291841222373625424698303339849105476314992984252617398188905150",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "56700920570772611352447671072645661081247297678677316893421987058530396786756",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.41,
"winne... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T06:01:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa3ff09b5ebab7398acc7686bc967141b980d6aeb61f15995268002e67be07c33 | 0x5571dc20cfd438e038307a05936e1d7012c677ddd211bde8e4dd19237788c0ec | Bengals vs. Steelers | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Cincinnati Bengals win, the market will resolve to “Bengals”.
If the Pittsburgh Steelers win, the market will resolve to “Steelers”.
If the game is not completed by January 11, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-cin-pit-2025-01-04 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T01:00:00 | 3 | 0x013d47ea738DbeaD0f0db1DEB2CfF3eDD87f2F52 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "59385127612460146071271480127678763631748181576610704521642633299214897610080",
"outcome": "Bengals",
"price": 1,
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},
{
"token_id": "100422084298870020321285670026189245155672692507374183765264342782488674265373",
"outcome": "Steelers",
"price": 0,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:52:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2a4d629a91fe5f28dd36b17bdc3c0de593466d0bef78bf0c3fe54dce4bbb7b9e | 0x7c772cd666e018871845488e8f7ba2804e024a298e64b2dd31869a71f1dd7d64 | Will Trump attend Jimmy Carter's state funeral? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald attends Jimmy Carter's state funeral, currently scheduled to take place in in Washington, D.C. on January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance at any point during the official state funeral in Washington, D.C.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. | will-trump-attend-jimmy-carters-state-funeral | 2025-01-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "68246657816083446183217486370245007296622898583473252200238484834674660845566",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "93265271479112276432727466684842426376022089392376637131581012058050349184745",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Politics",
"Trump"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:18:14 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x082c611e9d2e294e256c7e6bd40aba498eb6ca2c0d2dc9bf5b8fdce5b5e8af9b | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a03 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Anthropic has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0xfbcfdcfd29b972f370230bff3af317c69de4a8e4e7fe73eb55c1a3c12030c314 | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "36969025040005932681817118833100769474314136025602369280317661994966807870564",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.06,
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{
"token_id": "115488619402747803745077131460111151178611848819833924488238348841948233683716",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.94,
"winn... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T23:14:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xefff0c768bd49f24f595164e2c0fa1dd4fe6a860916609fe28a4e6a9078de8ed | 0x4c1850801bb430fab5465abf28433fa4a74855690a88f6e84796ccfe36a3fc36 | Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the perpetrators responsible for the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 and the terror attack in New Orleans are confirmed to belong to or have otherwise pledged allegiance to the same organization, such as ISIS, or collaborated in any capacity. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution date for this market is January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
A religion does not qualify as an organization in the context of this market.
If evidence confirms that the Cybertruck explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | fact-check-connection-between-new-orleans-and-las-vegas-attacks | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "111043808802730568521124746896257633599678843154238482145851322214363290171562",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "8360308434746845825979560452450134130071222513111503502772592092989799819783",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Elon Musk",
"attack",
"New Orleans",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:04:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4d41e114745e89245ac824bf7efa30093872eae5c892400d7ce9e724c97ba352 | 0xd029f572a3013101d6f0968c52f64fb272ba2df9b7629bfa9083d95da9eb03a6 | Penn State vs. Boise State | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 31 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Penn State win, the market will resolve to “Penn State”.
If the Boise State win, the market will resolve to “Boise State”.
If the game is not completed by January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-psu-boise-2024-12-31 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T00:30:00 | 3 | 0xd0f15Ff7CF9952C240B74D90EB40f022a41A658D | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "111009336164998092922930517539895073462339902401609132639700625648610810378478",
"outcome": "Penn State",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "82593372342832400086827404490212379786031642901487852084198255701087055133163",
"outcome": "Boise State",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:48:29 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9ea0e2701a2cca1fefe95aeeb3fd7cbf8ad8b5df190154e16f27d6a58eef066d | 0x7d21fd5fc2d975ef423a52926bc987760708380e65bd60663bec4df9737278cb | Will Mike McDaniel get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike McDaniel is fired by the Miami Dolphins or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Miami Dolphins, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mike-mcdaniel-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "70359137066937392006639513707627339508512781019036282403081475026645040217319",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "23153136280043869612140953429663850241087009688174090463620674704497629444189",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:56:58 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7eabba295b48b7a3ec8aad1aa5ba6fb775c28028c1f439cf923b87f5adcb1c73 | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af04 | Will it take Jerry 2000-2999 stokes to hit a Hole in One? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 2000 strokes (inclusive) and 2999 strokes (inclusive) to hit a hole in one. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-2000-2999-stokes-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe782698b0a5e603fb1fb9cb6d4fc896cb4e171722575c96c1f12809aebb0af00 | 0x14da38e62fc834130e91eb0414e7e5c6ef250c95aa53d936fd85675c7647fa39 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "18395546563944305348313068284857197820791354224070911223951071894541358291284",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "53588501110781721751987363413637282492349716945252469862708434859291405243046",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Golf",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Hole in One"
] | |||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:25:58 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x980251a1e4d3da42eb87027706ad1663d511428403fa63ca6af747dd55e0302c | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a10 | Will another company have the top AI model on December 31? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a company not otherwise named in this market group has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-another-company-have-the-top-ai-model-on-december-31 | 2025-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x0988e77ed51d8e78f5a210eeb5b18cdb04fe71132ebda6d4217229b0a1742a00 | 0x7f5accad20fbbc139363e505125b8d8eff3443a920860bb12ed8c7d540f7690c | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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},
{
"token_id": "",
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}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:11:09 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x936747e475209a31b4c477072083755859a37bf102d899b823631bd52daea031 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d06 | Will the Jets make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Jets make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-jets-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x4cc38ec308a65c8ff5b2ece11cc1593510a4f73db22305d50b036344928ea81a | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "101215563888409456941471977282449511152933812291549599481723569426767573163633",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:26:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf8829f975e09bdd86d01c0588836a05627cb788d9939d64aaae15db1275761a1 | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1303 | Will it take Jerry 18-24 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 18 hours (inclusive) and 24 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-18-24-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0xb7caa9c9287023dbf92750dd40fc222a8d8400ee7f4185ab5a7483fba605104e | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
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{
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:35:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x856d130aedcbc90ca84a65a4ca98463bf1c99cea8300d1388dc2b7f9fb8683ad | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04302 | 212 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 212 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 212-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x16d5de2edce331fd1ab729cbca0435638908e0beb4844528c3d402dbe7666c5c | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "37865439996243698231638331219558203148346078175730583738444294228404346033492",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x269170ba37ae6f8bc53eeb9e0ec04cb84f940d3ad22620fa5d67aec837bb962e | 0xda457ad32c2e5c53ea3b44f7294112f61753fc1407b30bcff26c5bad16cc9613 | Will Solana dip to $160 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $160.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-dip-to-160-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "33061421575930929761202348643620051527013470523898875164344137921393004521411",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "95569161112130398514493665290632769591421495370999685610230544263103896891891",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T21:19:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xb64d0eb9636ace08b2e15514a729c8e9ed7468148300912324ecb8ce8416f9db | 0x259a0fea8a942cbefc730b450eb5aa09c9c00173970907ca236b25a1ddefefb4 | Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cause of the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 is confirmed to have been intentionally caused by January 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If evidence confirms that the explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | fact-check-cybertruck-explosion-intentional | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "62432905885521475588025552971291336125879590686330337965813352362642888631132",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "105635606581296897295678477934969710230817032396406030639792832253323980941860",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Breaking News",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:29:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf200d42e7cbc07ce807b7acced6fd4ace043e96c38da079e3d7c79b936a8454b | 0x173b70524c2ee19cf9a01e8b00bee509f72c0c6324bea1c807f18d8bccbe71d5 | PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if PartyDAO launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the PartyDAO team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | partydao-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "39966093623835747876114714399268945609718049379260929329786137118325797856007",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "46527393844393443615092111650975895606904040207154099303036642545237954623980",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:39:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5fc42623bb86ea1b8fa82c16f8287087f0f3bec00e2941889200d42d8507febf | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04307 | 217 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 217 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 217-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0x9481e8cc4c09f9ca96e82ace7ed2c2858e9c0f44173f10ca0855543c9b544817 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 150
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "87759180229194624548180726088724465573208065727982502069067169791377811018048",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "18808303423659649141897580421997561545358355268021173500523761388285431343850",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:34 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x44c5b4d851e8c06698c13b54e8ba33e37637e13bdb3f375ce0b6727b2aa06b48 | 0x98d8077502ffc2e7d3d5ace55ab3f6131e80d83dd8897f88d1f0b2722844edcc | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $105,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-105000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "78166787686154413342878841020173988743599281911730520933914808681047623872037",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "30791573814711925097460067355544043937066427649456192337781160058043997623508",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:08:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3e19b3524ab05f4100aca0227f022d3592627fab7d0b652784233510389793b0 | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d04 | Will the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jacksonville Jaguars make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-jaguars-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x257681d09edfe9b5cc2ba71573a98b029e771564c6f76eb97ee51fd8cd010934 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "89403368693790049201231095549081450134987579990089083028892727796313403215414",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "105594820134981225743527345752467362721576407950457605171236913954697414995754",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T21:37:49 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x71664339c00d8d6c098ee0c23b2bf88d2d1f1dae0e03e281b3ab36f9f8a5904d | 0x973d567437a94fa771efb258b27347ac740b43196a4736716a1d85ab4c620579 | Cybertruck explosion perp charged by Wednesday? | On January 1, 2025, a Cybertruck exploded outside of the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada. You can read more about that here: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/one-killed-after-tesla-cybertruck-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-trumps-las-vegas-hotel
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual stemming from the Cybertruck explosion by January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The charging of an accomplice will count toward a "Yes" resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | cybertruck-explosion-perp-charged-by-wednesday | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "103882436506801136593326948321141328115642786468900372006483558306419734900882",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "108010891827647514263425204445836383499059086325199309451324459465533519552285",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": ... | [
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Cybertruck"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:26:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x94ce639e8814081542278a8d86cebcc97cf23167b57d3632c84b3cf55e1b6082 | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1302 | Will it take Jerry 12-18 hours to hit a hole in one? | Jersey Jerry (@Jerrythekid21) announced that he will be attempting the “Hole in 1 Challenge”, where he will try to hit a hole in one at the TGL golf facility, scheduled for January 2, 7:00 PM ET (https://x.com/JerryAfterDark/status/1873902348172747082).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it takes Jersey Jerry between 12 hours (inclusive) and 18 hours (exclusive) to hit a Hole in One. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If it is officially announced that the challenge has been canceled, delayed past January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, or that Jersey Jerry has quit, this market may resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the live stream of the event (https://rumble.com/c/JerryAfterDark). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-it-take-jerry-12-18-hours-to-hit-a-hole-in-one | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x215188b946195d2977f023c3aa76779501992e30a274d76e9f5b6dab568a1300 | 0xfa78d26bcbb2e7ffa86029cd32eef45fca0cce6dfbfdf2990fc1a10c9f789b87 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "68671347173911632848258335279429394054496655528851849481393612809170548378423",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "78384849689194115244688818804008246285339855742805709676398420244089140409477",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Jerry After Dark",
"Live Streams"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x79531dea85ee91a1db00b823e274b82b9d7aede07434b6ae6283975393dc4709 | 0x4830a881cd62b462263611cfe94bb7a8b0362e5a9236329a8d812528223e6872 | Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $100.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-dip-to-100-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95866109691074594627031516904993416911753693459387650664217186452940156579346",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "65453448903774160250412031668032662743740380801479619922540269810011189379297",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:05:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x2cc1c78d8236d6760eca4285474a01d0824c5b08bebaaec6b60997ca494c0a5f | 0x1e5092758e9d748a61eaf55336f256a8125ed20ba12e8815280003a7ae2a1f11 | Duke vs. Ole Miss | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 2 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Duke win, the market will resolve to “Duke”.
If the Ole Miss win, the market will resolve to “Ole Miss”.
If the game is not completed by January 9, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-duke-miss-2025-01-02 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | 2025-01-03T00:30:00 | 3 | 0xc1742419Bf6C5Aae59FED7395Fbcc91dc7a0acc4 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91711332889919006625217996224277513207740395666286017075274099062518504755994",
"outcome": "Duke",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "76482181673462070432496922336989871065679128714478824089209545082513858678516",
"outcome": "Ole Miss",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:28:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd94a988351508b16f29396a8b9e469f5fd098e80d719d13abfa964b7bc95dd53 | 0x7fd77308967d52c6a3efbf300c75dfce47ecd0b022c4d76f07585c668fd53ae3 | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | The Starmer government has come under criticism for not investigating gangs notorious for committing sexual abuse in the United Kingdom over the last decade. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4xnv02nr0o
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UK government led by Keir Starmer formally announces a new national public inquiry specifically into these "grooming gangs" before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the Starmer government actually begins the investigation within the market timeframe.
If Starmer is out as UK Prime Minister for any length of time before such an announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Starmer and the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | starmer-inquiry-into-grooming-gangs-before-february | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "67810912339161192670716539167449751648949773387558502320024910507093947362226",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "71818251643563827591027513218394302860131282254203167565491423956161335098889",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"uk",
"united kingdom",
"Starmer",
"keir"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:14:52 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd7fa09afd9c184f94edb6f15f5f98640dc3f5418ffbd520a10ef3f4775414c73 | 0x2973c1c1e718414bfea8a4167021f36036f81821e4aee1f45ce2accfafde84a4 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $140,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-bitcoin-reach-140000-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "38476885377229557440305324072246396823392362455910814239095246001075380350490",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "7002787113537719784760765956333119629553891340971604499722840043386696886707",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T23:12:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf775d7788cf87dd1c734f393430139dd3ddba1d6f395964dbf01b7a79bd547bf | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d07 | Will the Raiders make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Las Vegas Raiders make the first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft (first pick of the first round), scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will only resolve to “Yes” if this team makes the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft, regardless if they traded for the pick or held the pick before the selection is made.
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-raiders-make-the-first-pick-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x65164206a2b048434c6d21aa706c4841bd3960d87d6b2ac3ec61df75ae169d00 | 0x295a9f0acdadb7b59d918da78249ca4b8b312ef0fde616e6fb0baf53210ba5db | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "105231470733392023644578136836342586584699570536127695727853854942757538034003",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "89593877463381791057283554447678304514032490383499839474464039839288158867401",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"titans",
"raiders",
"giants",
"patriots",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:49:50 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3642c7a7c9ac737ee35be2ffa14c0f91a928b22544219576a020ba72d4ac8d22 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f306 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Alibaba has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x339cd9945ee380c93f133f643644e79e9a0701ed7af3979fed979bbe4abc788e | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "45825045901773633181717018919659331148894148579921147906694575690706574511406",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.001,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "53324661747399911891393955284529235835116497160717694956121104377387844518751",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.999,
"win... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T20:27:08 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfd77de0aa822710b91adc76bcf04eee11f536f7b70d55ffc6dc60a013fb1b1e7 | 0x47c66685cb95106c25b309a091289b279a55a0a14a62aa3e328af756fd210524 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between January 1, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Base team, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | base-airdrop-in-q1-2025 | 2025-03-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95135244914206530135835993578799704719173513870693940847016485770912784410678",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "47811981331261333442723503452643880562441476929043883841880466724322271816692",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Airdrops",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:17:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x5b2d327b5ee6390593bb907407f1adfcb6cccb13c1b5486bb13e3d5b3476e863 | 0x4191cc827abefe201fa0cca3b6525d256a3fa02093ea957b973ce4e33131b5a7 | Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $3,750.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-3750-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "83965432485806153794279892960753214696250089589122019050886023299398864358709",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:07:00 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x8211aa5dfc7351d918321bff5c7b87427e735b1c234002259809c70c5c9af2cc | 0x97ea469160692bf4e5433bc158141d02f9b4a6a5dead847e825cd0ef28232ef7 | Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGEUSDT 10 Jan '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 0.36001 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGEUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. | dogecoin-above-0pt36-on-january-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
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{
"token_id": "55209301847409509786462107076997055675052406841707158589507997479375909513835",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"Dogecoin"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T17:55:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0f43f30e1f111546989c1c557130de87022b230b91dbb0c4628e74af41023a32 | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1308 | Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 3-Jan 10? | If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 425 (inclusive) and 449 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source. | will-elon-tweet-425-449-times-jan-3-jan-10 | 2025-01-10T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xd2b2756394734d9bc0fafdc2479e9f10e41772f96801d5d333c92589293e1300 | 0x837d0fa77313e1c257cee741957813bbe33c8db7d111fa96af3fd5876ccd1f3e | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:30:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xeb21bb50beb84ad087d1b7694d32dd423f77a6588b6c31c0b10a0322785b8759 | 0x6946d2f71820927d3bbf07f0322ad67515b3d82c25a76f99c6ba7556bd1ecc81 | Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "middle class" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-middle-class-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 50
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "22899405212937669210786996855764882161901390377045917609890420749997799616117",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T18:55:11 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x3e5e30227c9a9931ca9e77edfb03a7011d8d414d71ef167e7ad4d253c7d58109 | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82303 | Will ECB lower interest rates by 50bps in January 2025? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) January 2025 meeting the deposit facility rate is reduced by between 26 (inclusive) and 50 (inclusive) basis points beneath the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for January 30, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket. | will-ecb-lower-interest-rates-by-50bps-in-january-2025 | 2025-01-30T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf81a47fcf8a6a79908d52b9e881393039661800ca368b227df9d5100ffa82300 | 0xddbda1e0ab3550c72eb451b784a3897f15ec1d4439802009e3db16193fe7f309 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
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],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "36695326811897860849744919981693368774129604723750028038658984019795625658581",
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{
"token_id": "18516518698399687080385559473238652998084817175059277528898604823277120307605",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Business",
"finance",
"interest rates",
"Economy",
"ECB",
"European Central Bank"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T05:04:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x7ba3a350185e925caf4287283648cbb0f310be494389484b08beb59926229248 | 0x900be9a5bd656f26e014a6258ca473691efc33ec0d1ee16351485e994823df9d | Texas vs. Arizona State | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 1 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Texas win, the market will resolve to “Texas”.
If the Arizona State win, the market will resolve to “Arizona State”.
If the game is not completed by January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-tex-azst-2025-01-01 | 2025-01-08T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T18:00:00 | 3 | 0xBd88b5e8F5b3336535Be193e950304Feb0A76cDE | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 300
}
],
"min_size": 200,
"max_spread": 2.5
} | false | [
{
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"outcome": "Texas",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "103077334899930023439744371619743477512065673255873738390722980692963508476460",
"outcome": "Arizona State",
"price": 0,
... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"College Football Playoff"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:04:16 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x223433f5748810af91f2548aa48407a904e249cc2f8bf9622f802fd5760ab0bb | 0x5b4c79c5446e4160bfc510e3467120e912a90b0251e049924161494d7bc34c89 | Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Christie attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-chris-christie-attend-presidential-inauguration | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | 2025-01-17T22:57:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "69701129899471307243542771932769589942827142131702690725739067643599030284538",
"outcome": "Yes",
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},
{
"token_id": "56030214170695333419635286791524664241051261307169598165958169991230798383869",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"US Election",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T19:30:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x039b490964fb1224c7bccc8d62cad1e0a9dbd676973bf4f110b7fe8f9f2742e5 | 0x1637f6408beacc05f9ca3c2908c122004d6d54964e35d80c3d181e0c2717c7df | Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech? | Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "carnage" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "carnage" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to great and usually bloody slaughter or injury.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | will-trump-say-carnage-during-his-inauguration-speech | 2025-02-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 50
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "66517230944907588816907944759004087473108382705350933877965581297375503657036",
"outcome": "Yes",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "811804822415923493738961454129689819286744137166197586124381832980939586173",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": true... | [
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:59:06 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x05f051ba496555de4a69368b4fb357ad27a7155ab9aa53a85dc241311df75f4b | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f30e | Will Company I have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company I has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company I with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-i-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0xed13c934f1ade9189354649867da4cae4d69b9948f1c50b677161a86a5fa20ca | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:38:42 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe8fd37c10ca98063963c21ae12ceda32f01a86c41e5a160d5d666942c0eedc3b | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4104 | Will the next US Speaker be elected in five or more ballots? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the fifth or later ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-next-us-speaker-be-elected-in-five-or-more-ballots | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xfe5841dfbe2fec5348a0503f84a85d1bf67f540e7b7063b356a40f2c0e4b4100 | 0x29ac80bc20fd83b9127682d0a2b3bca8123df664bf863b3ff332a691610b0b12 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
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{
"token_id": "113703285440466679287684013095965864007111557588555677085211463191815459718850",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:47:54 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xd40a952afb5e78600bc4e41a1587a1f18fe40c803edc5d4a7d5de76ff8660ec2 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f303 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Anthropic has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x8d2b546020c9e0499b454813ce6530ed4e31b8e84def5b177f63297cbd306c12 | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "20040122365847140116124477951718193297678488522957626344873897005073448605881",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0.0005,
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{
"token_id": "92627031550975274869309754589869880437068637868977313977099270495212243397490",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.9995,
"w... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T21:32:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfc6ca5aa7f9627a4def6eee275f501a62b9fed52d8fd2b4a8914f65fc376155a | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 210 or fewer votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot? | The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 210 or fewer votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | 211-votes-for-mike-johnson-to-be-speaker-on-first-ballot | 2025-01-03T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x189847b9a633fdcc14186d822aa9ac593c69adfebec0a69501e9e8eca5b04300 | 0xbb23390bd7703a01d50e109b862e7fe0cf1d6cd6338138a08b75aa4207ef5fe4 | {
"rates": [
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "80113793576488594446080193708120348666843448960015611844177238740837595031617",
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{
"token_id": "110235164399795647657637675352944883900264742561778001248620747766156751729817",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"us government",
"house",
"Speaker",
"Speaker Election"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:45:23 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xdd1a1b7e7188767d609c6a472674ea78891a873ca6a2d79b2f35668c52d1ff33 | 0xf073b197c66d1558cfe46281d5cfc4a4e35667b1be5c53add9f24a7909899840 | Will Dave Canales get fired? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dave Canales is fired by the Carolina Panthers or resigns from his Head Coaching position by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official information from the Carolina Panthers, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-dave-canales-get-fired | 2025-02-09T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "62275102980281761080313487812140839926314204603786982536716518311644388240037",
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"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "55305055687242768131564858817753583207340308211166237969366343637965040300636",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"coaches",
"NFL Draft",
"Games"
] | |||||
true | true | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:47:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x54ae26e70d2ace6369d22d3ea51610a780de3ad0f251fc9f3f1b640520ec69ea | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | Will Google have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x0bcc285c8422ba5ea404cead937696ff191f560aa3872822c13dbe53741b2583 | {
"rates": [
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"rewards_daily_rate": 10
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],
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{
"token_id": "299308662532935169707062237766831416110519883933562493269234219492234267050",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "44117684636425279459958745017097274647964969162028189796733388325571086534361",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0.034,
"winne... | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x49390379c99ddc1aca765352d219e7bc315b07e4cddd792bb6906c2f524b8d06 | 0xec071dc7405ffe47fb49e1133c72472b64fd62ecd20a809c672b04498cbaaeab | Will Solana hit $225 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $225.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-solana-hit-225-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "73553564072365105236679115932813156032408687722118574839414276699467706939825",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "78335233065068252264156904672272627634862244608104966935227227437976115674063",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:18:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x003d1717e397c6de64a4a7c62fcbb43fd52c3bb3140ef502181274461e72bdd4 | 0x425adb6bfac087910f69d71cbb8c01cab68aecab9bced79b6a4f212de321fe7a | Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,750.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-dip-to-2750-by-january-31 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "31789132267693874120956358313865903472552295978255787025229265863481619524980",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "81332916307945196148821690446250696980766167523211930223060016492449034846680",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:10:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xa09a74d8a172b8dbc90722aca024c89a954743b063a7ab75ccab589a32d23602 | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e002 | Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 5 at 9:00AM ET,
If Ipswich wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Ipswich loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-05 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05-ips | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T14:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x1c44a942b457f94330fb10364d5b07804d074bcf97fa0942a0a5bb8acb61e000 | 0x1be8baf18327406c1d7bac0dd0a177870e7a67de5d911372fd576430325a5757 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "40479459601531459490174202401232398184242208243922179324824949670955251115906",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "109790714329338565346438025280392685307585794104054437039500230983934200692048",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T17:59:36 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xfea20c1049a866219f5c1100e787873fe92b49562de91757654d28b6d69730b9 | 0x766af2c47ead72f0237b4a448414ea14b5455cad6ace6fc6ed515e11e19b4f46 | Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk? | During an X space discussing H-1B visas, it was pointed out that Adrian Dittman's voice (@AdrianDittman) sounded much like Elon Musk's put through a filter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" Adrian Dittman (https://x.com/AdrianDittmann) proves he is not Elon Musk by 11:59 PM ET, January 31, 2025. If he does not offer conclusive proof by then, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a preponderance of credible evidence from Adrian Dittman. | will-adrian-dittman-prove-hes-not-elon-musk | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "93283645355199954197148659080971234758936472021425000728844086082624942938031",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "8871535259692158708769468229136963197828043180418982553383093874812690754081",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tru... | [
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tech",
"X"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T05:05:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4de75fae6de432cf807ca5003e712e397ef3f406b03ab9e44ba796a781a854a1 | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4200 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04? | In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 4 at 10:00AM ET,
If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Aston Villa loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-04 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”. | epl-ast-lei-2025-01-04-ast | 2025-01-04T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T15:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | false | true | 0x75b165964fb6247cbca557a44970792814796bcb23e8792bfe9e8e41599d4200 | 0xc04711609c4574b838bd8123d13fbde282dfece35811abe6f49a938f9d09d7db | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "12457442176701085180772980737356479137184605963360415839514078454387007412268",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "83913899121033762240089131340116759376492410389433768644514569009935388319268",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:16:14 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x16100cf7b19e6ee904664c1fbde38e86773c5ea409b39709d5795211ff40fdd7 | 0x634f5d00a00e6e8af3dc38079bb6bfb7fe06cfef0bb87de50a4db9dc03e3c365 | Will Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025? | This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 12:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $4,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market. | will-ethereum-hit-4500-by-january-31-2025 | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "112208925304058028260608272749005993326698436197089727596474998984676495720303",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "10883329869470313858727905891892016909050184276912046334811849183970534211715",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:52:26 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x1c9325e71b30e9c62b77dd7e30a1bac60482d180626dd86e3981a699eaf10bd6 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f308 | Will Company C have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company C has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company C with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-c-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x3d717a88c138a0fe8c4b87edad755467f60fa8723f41bbad1a1af2d2420af910 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
"outcome": "",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-01T15:48:32 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x46f6e9416701a14027d634794137ce01738c473a8aa84c0849cd0bdb998b61ad | 0x958157fa215e1522ccfbccaa8bdcf4d600f7a94cda1d02d676ac61f8f7a1d477 | Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? | On January 1, 2025, Ukraine halted the flow of Russian natural gas through the Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline by declining to renew its transit agreement (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/01/world/europe/russia-ukraine-natural-gas-europe.html)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian government officially announces that it will allow the transit of Russian natural gas through its territory via any pipeline by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Announcements indicating approval or agreements for resumption, even if the physical flow of gas has not yet commenced.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Ukrainian government, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Ukraine is allowing the transit of Russian natural gas via pipeline through its territory will also qualify. | ukraine-agrees-to-resume-russian-natural-gas-transit-in-january | 2025-01-31T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 10
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],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "31241368041354333197142236621445035834960668770033954411470693362566090621423",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
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{
"token_id": "42483888619364549730880974474643700885285095104121061412043408376723503636757",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Ukraine",
"Geopolitics",
"gas",
"Commodities",
"pipe line",
"ppeline",
"Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod"
] | |||||
false | false | false | false | true | 2024-12-31T20:50:54 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x34a251849ea338eb9202a981bdf02f3fa99f73a818ec327673513340929345a2 | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f307 | Will Company B have the top AI model on June 30? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Company B has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may be updated in the future to replace Company B with the name of another company.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source. | will-company-b-have-the-top-ai-model-on-june-30 | 2025-06-30T00:00:00 | 2025-06-02T19:36:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8cd9827de9082148bf3e8c42949a614fc2853373310049cd32b2ffe41402f300 | 0x3ffcef1cbb5b94380706a0dae0d7fa0591cc15faa60d8cfca9e85553fbb6343d | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "",
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"price": 0,
"winner": false
}
] | [
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"Economy",
"DeepSeek"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-31T21:48:33 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf643b8a1a6f851faa8a16ec025874149cf27f9c6a2b81130050a70773c339aa4 | 0xc699d5e7bbe3312eb7da5baee99146d79b86c91cab9f947503dce4232c013c72 | Will Georgia beat Notre Dame by 2 or more points? | This market refers to the “Sugar Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish scheduled for January 1, 2025, at 8:45 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Georgia” if the Georgia Bulldogs win their game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish by 2 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Irish”.
If this game is postponed after January 8, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-georgia-beat-notre-dame-by-2-or-more-points | 2025-01-01T00:00:00 | 2025-01-02T01:45:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "34422718764764704161991279937474040667234944328625583507168216656371480335993",
"outcome": "Georgia",
"price": 0,
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"token_id": "79321905678138578510368825128188303588099814489469386106379262658241017359503",
"outcome": "Irish",
"price": 1,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"georgia",
"Games",
"Notre Dame",
"CFP",
"Bowl Games",
"Sugar Bowl"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T21:56:57 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x16838fff6d46ce8dc1267a6ef195f6032b2cca20e30cd3f98f8d81b184a19d6e | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24302 | Will 'El Mal' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Song? | The 82nd Golden Globe Awards is scheduled for January 5, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'El Mal' from 'Emilia Pérez' wins the Golden Globe for Best Original Song - Motion Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If two people are listed under one title, the last name of the first person listed will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Golden Globes, including data from their website (e.g. https://goldenglobes.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-el-mal-win-the-golden-globe-for-best-original-song | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x9ab842079b33d97a55c181b17addf0b7895f0ea696b842382981f9a4d6c24300 | 0x831391f9edb45dfea7dac91f80a5e0803412721bdbb4660667384fc9a25b2690 | {
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "111514050363042422262509612082922557142560536109627247983440461735932028894703",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "96910791452130463722022023885998122196604180823662948324016148405161855261375",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fa... | [
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Golden Globes"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-02T19:52:12 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe975f33a776ba1642efe33d70d38d2cbd7055ac2698165900b855b05002f13f8 | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa801 | Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market refers to the first 3 selections of the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
If there are exactly two quarterbacks selected in the first 3 picks of the first round of the draft, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: If there are 3 QBs selected in the first 3 picks, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-2-qbs-get-taken-in-the-first-3-picks-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xf246d7d985d4c1b26ef0dde79e0c66f54e61a66a8559e08b37d40c607e3fa800 | 0x4be16d8923d5156a08b7a682030c2c2d56dd5277effee52bb29b27c55aed9daf | {
"rates": [
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],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "115769178829268720061454850341938019724777509801185264263349542255099554683401",
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{
"token_id": "23344212149319697575925680931408839926915226402336623025182145344069419031626",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"football",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Fantasy Football",
"CFB",
"2025 Predictions"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2024-12-30T23:04:50 | 5 | 0.01 | 0x5eb090f166b1bdae766c599e7b67dec2d13a63d9a0272cce25f86e2c42c0e148 | 0x7b3dbb882cb88e9cd2e395f0360a5ff9586dbbf6fd6740e90fda80c55f5a1b5b | Will Penn State and Boise State combine for 54 or more points? | This market refers to the “Fiesta Bowl,” the college football playoff game matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Boise State Broncos scheduled for December 31, 2024, at 7:30 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Boise State Broncos in their game is 54 or more, this market will resolve to “Over”. If it is less than 54, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after January 7, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. | will-penn-state-and-boise-state-combine-for-54-or-more-points | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2025-01-01T00:30:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "69576809663625960896478530480363848740187791650327564135812822210283996327314",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "64707658832540844880303614409932778136981178580308580980241420085933928884074",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1,
"winner"... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Boise State",
"Penn State",
"Bowl Games"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T03:34:38 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1b7e15068c91251138f4d0b1b847c2852e1de1396ad3508b5b895e94c4cf555c | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0108 | Will the Giants get the ninth pick or later? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Giants are awarded the ninth pick or any pick later in the 2025 NFL Draft, as determined by the 2024-25 NFL regular season standings.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: this market refers to the pick the Giants are awarded regardless of if they trade this pick at any point.
The resolution source will be the official 2024-25 NFL draft order. | will-the-giants-get-the-ninth-pick-or-later | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x4d4a4779f2c8124abd6b8006887b966651b5556239980f0f2f34ee20955b0100 | 0xea511a6ed378d07f1a85480a8c8ba8abb01868be0e5909e2fe494b7472ee5989 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "21593672840640131584442820575549659393261439345079674420146013650288648503296",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "58218956452878890701054734318474907822277067300640641885998549273833751756295",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"giants",
"NFL Draft",
"New York"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T20:14:13 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xbebbd85ee6ac9d2069fe8cb43c554267851c383bf2140896d4df961ab83fcffb | 0xe4ec884ad09f48282c522a4dec8b8f425c11b9795ecedc8a86bf150085e1c907 | Will the Patriots hire Bobby Slowik as their next head coach? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bobby Slowik is announced as the next head coach of the New England Patriots for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Patriots announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the New England Patriots, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-patriots-hire-bobby-slowik-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe4ec884ad09f48282c522a4dec8b8f425c11b9795ecedc8a86bf150085e1c900 | 0x907ff0f29254f94ddd10f3e7d22beada332cbc03b828abb1e2d7bcb25c67630d | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "1253545451755804601563481827892475177359469512867448412377431390912137907120",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "109663205619142909606250894910869418321325050582610086184894869828589983853650",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"coaches"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T19:58:03 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x1b9379abfc0d3379b2fd93c404dd24383d79c252fb7661d2d5b8239927bc3064 | 0x1888f222226082c7cfeda416a94e30c410612a08723bdcbb580e50ddfeca97d1 | Will the Lions draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Detroit Lions select a quarterback in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-lions-draft-a-qb-in-the-first-round-of-the-2025-nfl-draft | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 2
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],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "57180824203595016131858385451575298471143663116947628981622414862108200537327",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "29805953105005111709575356130917477464587319265700998881434536714539247018603",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-05T07:15:04 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x619f4428808f95333073a56e0da70c76a34da795c34e5e1deb73087e4505b458 | 0x740c655f1f51d5550eee15733a7e5a316ed6c295fdd9a60e0f9c55b5dfd4909a | Lightning vs. Devils | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 11 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the game is not completed by January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-tb-nj-2025-01-11 | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 3 | 0xa01976f137ca1A42aAABebb4240B9B1ff4c35f34 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "60771360801173032363727707379080706546482614267807007143643100269271742732680",
"outcome": "Lightning",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "58409260244066067535726838215000288919059273843240068521730515785349141576006",
"outcome": "Devils",
"price": 1,
"w... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T22:31:06 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xeba66cbb3665eb0ba5ccb54bdc54c3e03bc256997c7835fa109e3fafb415cb5d | 0x8a8229d8a1d7685d98a81add4497f5e30e9b423b9aa36af34d2b88ae9a108d06 | Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1,500 or more people receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 20, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, for crimes related to the January 6 Capitol attack. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that Trump will pardon individuals will not count. Only pardons, commutations, or reprieves actually issued on that date will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for whether any protestor is pardoned will be official information from the US government (e.g. https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-trump-pardon-1000-or-more-jan-6-protestors-in-his-first-100-days | 2025-04-29T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x8a8229d8a1d7685d98a81add4497f5e30e9b423b9aa36af34d2b88ae9a108d00 | 0x960b718eed622f4dc142545d16f275e4dce4ca70751ba127a491e2c49dfab611 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 5
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "28663955045324411362611737902810265155590254650031541321640175810824757813342",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "109028647883987454098457686446605527236461701643332966560667364377708481605418",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"MAGA",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"riot",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Social Policy",
"First 100 days"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T23:42:01 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x9462f529d89f7b9b8599e6a571bfe86d37a4af317c3cce1d14d1a171d2857e77 | 0x47658af5e4557aef641116ca47c635a8a2da2fecee1af361ea15e277816a7c2b | Will the Lions and Vikings combine for 57 or more points? | This market refers to the NFL matchup between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings scheduled for January 5, 2025, at 8:20 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings in their game is 57 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 57, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-the-lions-and-vikings-combine-for-57-or-more-points | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-06T01:20:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "81213766343791988659854723593138053642979020039425475106466980949936603687772",
"outcome": "Over",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "77167933751185247252027916505797908233096405698008934094615103959427125583525",
"outcome": "Under",
"price": 1,
"winner"... | [
"Sports",
"vikings",
"NFL",
"Games",
"Lions"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-05T07:12:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x46ac10a67abf2f643006b7b5fbab5e0d82a00b00c9c90232716129a319c305d4 | 0x9d5e9c3885388dcda7a68e283785f7082bfd9315b5f1c387a91a98b4419dca85 | Sharks vs. Utah | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 10 at 9:00PM ET:
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is not completed by January 17, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-sj-utah-2025-01-10 | 2025-01-18T00:00:00 | 2025-01-11T02:00:00 | 3 | 0xAE7160006E094Cc046184b8FB1D3a1295726FF10 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "12322485967944946088665178396849353581990618348915086965131165342475422745237",
"outcome": "Sharks",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "76145569369469658055224772900592243949232070087225750531815524820201604975085",
"outcome": "Utah",
"price": 1,
"winner... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T22:34:40 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xe038bc6c158d1d353b3d07dc9deb4b4ae07a43d14cf199a23df12511c6dc0ffa | 0x63c8fdb1b283a57f31f65de9ccb3a8e45214406f042011f20688cfbf4fb7af08 | Will the Jets hire Aaron Glenn as their next head coach? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Glenn is announced as the next head coach of the New York Jets for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Jets announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the New York Jets, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-jets-hire-aaron-glenn-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x63c8fdb1b283a57f31f65de9ccb3a8e45214406f042011f20688cfbf4fb7af00 | 0x67628173ff95a985114d2f4a5495d409fbfdc7c5324c6f31e9f54f36857c1282 | {
"rates": [
{
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"rewards_daily_rate": 15
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],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "24236109294102250301816159515994753015225459694963612370086036051382491040395",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
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{
"token_id": "11309172417858735077643069666072230420254645269406459477963630875526135143135",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"coaches",
"New York Jets"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T23:40:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x352a231beee5ede9dff08547cc8016653d0aca09bf2bf3f1bdc46e19c3cc2654 | 0xbb766434424d17b231da43587a1e5d1dedf6bc9bce3c561036249a5927195e74 | Scorigami in NFL Week 18? | In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport or league's history.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one NFL Scorigami occurs during Week 18 of the 2024-25 NFL Season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" once all scheduled games for Week 18 have been completed and none resulted in a new Scorigami.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL ([https://www.nfl.com/scores/](https://www.nfl.com/scores/)), however other sites tracking Scorigami may be used ([nflscorigami.com](https://nflscorigami.com/), [twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami](https://twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami)).
Resolver | scorigami-in-nfl-week-18 | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-04T09:30:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 20
}
],
"min_size": 20,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "23948914923478966480274344288596948693692548342192027872330694933486015191116",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "27528038522854010193666124532904941946897980343105039807395809201000470417228",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": tr... | [
"Sports",
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"scorigami",
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] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T19:57:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xf36861a357ab5a6bf3be9f8f28145650e603fb48f09f329f05f000ed0d11c41f | 0xe4ec884ad09f48282c522a4dec8b8f425c11b9795ecedc8a86bf150085e1c901 | Will the Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel is announced as the next head coach of the New England Patriots for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Patriots announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the New England Patriots, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-patriots-hire-mike-vrabel-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0xe4ec884ad09f48282c522a4dec8b8f425c11b9795ecedc8a86bf150085e1c900 | 0xc2223a814ee0bb10faced3017dfb8fe61d01953d14dc53657450bf749f5828db | {
"rates": [
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"rewards_daily_rate": 30
}
],
"min_size": 50,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "28013800597469337578298020410105851375488258576409736616581870827763184806949",
"outcome": "Yes",
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{
"token_id": "73537524296334477315873780686868741277654199292652176207999198946645395699130",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"coaches"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T22:23:48 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x292693c1a833ecc8024b95bdcd6dcc5dd90eea297c8413bb011cf65cf220f601 | 0xedde590b9a949cc3d5a65d96e8d7099e2d03b3e84206bad680d2dc8a35fe4483 | MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? | On January 6, MicroStrategy announced that, during the period between December 30, 2024 and December 31, 2024, the Company acquired
approximately 1,070 bitcoins (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt0472bf214994ac85/677bcf2226c6b4732e3ec3b8/form-8-k_01-06-2025.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. | microstrategy-purchases-more-bitcoin-before-inauguration-jan-20 | 2025-01-20T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
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],
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "42888392677763956499525991228924179727817282098824327701667202506461881859455",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
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},
{
"token_id": "86132361722712419886944343820419063160518245225114600661690139734210385620999",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"btc",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-05T05:02:39 | 5 | 0.001 | 0xcc1b36e6d242ae34fa16b5f1a3663c5c626a817c33eaf34b7a826cd324110a1f | 0x587092067704d85d1eaf07dbbce1a55070b4b237660d51b376b771a8e77ed144 | Pelicans vs. Wizards | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 6:00PM ET:
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the game is not completed by January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-nop-was-2025-01-05 | 2025-01-12T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T23:00:00 | 3 | 0x203151629060db012C94D1834C86429FfA17EeAC | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "81771523062158123663905938099168422820293531063542531023131793727164943890002",
"outcome": "Pelicans",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "13391276823298342918461991406224155667926950141991753363787816153223598502105",
"outcome": "Wizards",
"price": 0,
"wi... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-05T05:14:37 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x0a3dcc930cefab7e1cf81278faa834b21a59bab3d2b35946b9603c3430ba7552 | 0xc3c88f32914126f58331e1f97142df9b46ebebab85b5f88f890644a78c03a518 | Heat vs. Trail Blazers | In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 11 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the game is not completed by January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nba-mia-por-2025-01-11 | 2025-01-19T00:00:00 | 2025-01-12T03:00:00 | 3 | 0x601ccDbD34B76bC3b87c32825f7175dA3A271249 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
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} | false | [
{
"token_id": "37747305836292308993450348765892043317899988909412393833117988412901889531138",
"outcome": "Heat",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "23628822856305838771206360869130797835205087097391814935871262153207709034227",
"outcome": "Trail Blazers",
"price": 0,
"... | [
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-03T23:49:13 | 5 | 0.01 | 0xbde5b83764ca2ebdb4d532b955b3058280410a38a3d4c775f42cc7ebd64fdc79 | 0x19d7fcad56c1a7ae74f3cefd5f54bbf0dd3f2cc28bc449199750e41972e0d78c | Will the Commanders beat the Cowboys by 7 or more points? | This market refers to the NFL matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys scheduled for January 5, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Commanders” if the Washington Commanders win their game against the Dallas Cowboys by 7 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Cowboys.”
If this game is postponed after January 12, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. | will-the-commanders-beat-the-cowboys-by-7-or-more-points | 2025-01-05T00:00:00 | 2025-01-05T18:00:00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "101629547510279032412439378182230489556756571999379909349763986022429800132425",
"outcome": "Commanders",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "67466911210641502845752956720300823903215492527200381059707704728991640081903",
"outcome": "Cowboys",
"price": 1,
... | [
"Sports",
"NFL"
] | |||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T22:55:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x98e60dc0067d03b8dcd2b77522a70aa2c527353b67826e262bc02b58049d06c3 | 0x64f65857885119aceda66686dcca14cabdbdb871760d82c995b11bc5bd509804 | Will the Browns draft Mason Graham? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mason Graham is taken by the Cleveland Browns with their first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-browns-draft-mason-graham | 2025-04-24T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x64f65857885119aceda66686dcca14cabdbdb871760d82c995b11bc5bd509800 | 0xd6ab35bd2f1971a6d3f30e6c52238c7fd03d0140c36db41d7d559c2a946dc4c3 | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 2
}
],
"min_size": 50,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "28615963505193307957587884421288259234128458183959926015627427769647157500301",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "96251280388151548539794921097763791761958242291068507573201510984663714190319",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 0,
"winner": fal... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"cleveland browns",
"NFL Draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T06:01:30 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x145ed5c15e030117f5ea8053a9c5dd0731f889c87284f710b53ab1660a9dd473 | 0x1b452d673b0223bd8980d29c935422198abd54010069fef6f0e0cd76a3a64d5b | Chargers vs. Texans | In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 11 at 4:30PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Chargers win, the market will resolve to “Chargers”.
If the Houston Texans win, the market will resolve to “Texans”.
If the game is not completed by January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nfl-lac-hou-2025-01-11 | 2025-01-18T00:00:00 | 2025-01-11T21:30:00 | 3 | 0x197DFaF24C7dCD580aF9839f2c10cCfaff3333a8 | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "9512366616502553113701155174432964511959850750494081586013482626707746716194",
"outcome": "Chargers",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "29790833896900511972578115676292802215090102551949039910058298569782639493200",
"outcome": "Texans",
"price": 1,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T05:02:26 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x4b6da9f3a73715840e2027ab991f27460a23784b63f3a7753b0157912e4c8aa0 | 0xa7287ebc0be5f402c320eabc95f538480183c6b8e8adc96614db8078f275183a | Ohio State vs. Texas | In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 10 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Ohio State win, the market will resolve to “Ohio State”.
If the Texas win, the market will resolve to “Texas”.
If the game is not completed by January 17, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | cfb-ohst-tex-2025-01-10 | 2025-01-18T00:00:00 | 2025-01-11T00:30:00 | 3 | 0x0416825279608Bd1976a5374ce25A020944B280e | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 70
}
],
"min_size": 100,
"max_spread": 1.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "2484892066314299027617405814840423896380891890638707750836346152055358092355",
"outcome": "Ohio State",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "6527579849938909045805343069354794801262500503194667386242073089063373279250",
"outcome": "Texas",
"price": 0,
"winn... | [
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-05T07:12:44 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x57e03237f61488a2d580d488e69cbda52b86e4ce42dd6d748fd1ebae9c31728e | 0x1804b4041093554de044cec37369aab219034a7b6a27db6d3ff95d1fe16b6eb1 | Bruins vs. Panthers | In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 11 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is not completed by January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50. | nhl-bos-fla-2025-01-11 | 2025-01-18T00:00:00 | 2025-01-11T18:00:00 | 3 | 0x695A45ad316F506BCB6236e035963bF0996970bE | 0 | 0 | false | false | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "43796529334437615120429666185057457394991092581620671221016488133653609492421",
"outcome": "Bruins",
"price": 1,
"winner": true
},
{
"token_id": "29598370287795121609121029454735015897927045179150700733959331503031602501350",
"outcome": "Panthers",
"price": 0,
"win... | [
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | ||||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T22:30:10 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x670c0312eadfede675cf6fcdbebc154b35e41751408ad7abfb4763506f3d51ee | 0x7a419d5ba6e4b4b3dec77b0d2a40d6454981133638793ec11a18e442dbd9ed03 | Will the Jaguars hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel is announced as the next head coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Jaguars announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Jacksonville Jaguars, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-the-jaguars-hire-mike-vrabel-as-their-next-head-coach | 2025-03-12T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x7a419d5ba6e4b4b3dec77b0d2a40d6454981133638793ec11a18e442dbd9ed00 | 0x9fc637865bffae5990986700c262c9624ff7042719796e952b4342f87e5c0ccb | {
"rates": [
{
"asset_address": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewards_daily_rate": 3
}
],
"min_size": 20,
"max_spread": 3.5
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "91143081525104304595691305299872385437152151239883539034524628674262368867569",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "101237450041630630013506268147392558846015590865229729756671277244675758960290",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | |||
false | true | true | false | false | 2025-01-06T20:13:27 | 5 | 0.001 | 0x622722e31360e9094490b305ca148ed5548b952150ac5e0d69b2f4ed772fe3d6 | 0x1bbaa75e63e83268b5c14bb4f3264e8c904c3b18da7713e620cbb3e2e96f4a08 | Will Mike Vrabel be the head coach of the Raiders in the 2025-26 NFL season? | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Vrabel is announced as head coach for the Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Mike Vrabel is announced as head coach for any other NFL team, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the signing NFL team, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. | will-mike-vrabel-be-the-head-coach-of-the-raiders-in-the-2025-26-nfl-season | 2025-03-12T00:00:00 | null | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true | 0x1bbaa75e63e83268b5c14bb4f3264e8c904c3b18da7713e620cbb3e2e96f4a00 | 0xba19c64cd01db959d0ad8dc19cd68fd65b6219a20ad6df34a628d7475b3d3105 | {
"rates": null,
"min_size": 0,
"max_spread": 0
} | false | [
{
"token_id": "95351972169502367654875098410621974687384968623139701958394928762550022826349",
"outcome": "Yes",
"price": 0,
"winner": false
},
{
"token_id": "113310472279251274849403523054357773962790787257772223397487673325077493942736",
"outcome": "No",
"price": 1,
"winner": t... | [
"Sports",
"NFL"
] |
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