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dd6aca85-159a-4884-8946-e3d5d135fde6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Reducing malicious use of synthetic media research: Considerations and potential release practices for machine learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Technological advances can result in harm to both individuals and societal structures, through accidents, unintended consequences, and malicious use – even as the sa... |
a7dafbc4-c3eb-43ea-873b-abe4d06dd0bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Other Constructions of Gravity
In Newtonian gravity, the energy is proportional to the sum over pairs of masses of −m1m2/r1,2. Or in the continous case, −∫∫dm1dm2|pos(m1)−pos(m2)|2. This does not actually strike me as very simple in whatever language makes Maxwell's equations and the Schrödinger equation simple.
Part... |
5552aca9-fc0f-4eb1-b18d-035e4cf1e1d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham NC meetup: Living Luminously, Part 2
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham NC meetup: Living Luminously, Part 2
WHEN: 25 April 2013 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 420 E Geer St, Durham NC 27701
Continuing in the Living Luminously sequence, we'll cover:
The ABCs of Luminosity
(http://lesswrong.com/l... |
2e8a9711-2dac-47bf-a920-e372fda960cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Evidence for the orthogonality thesis
One of the most annoying arguments when discussing AI is the perennial "But if the AI is so smart, why won't it figure out the right thing to do anyway?" It's often the ultimate curiosity stopper.
Nick Bostrom has defined the "Orthogonality thesis" as the principle that motivati... |
e03cd99d-5d94-40b2-bf2f-ab087f0483d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Clueless Sniper and the Principle of Indifference
> You are one of the best long-range snipers in the World. You often have to eliminate targets standing one or two miles away and rarely miss. Crucially, this is not because you are better than others at aligning the scope of your rifle with the target’s head befor... |
8a19af34-6e27-40df-8ecf-918a469cb176 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Knowledge Base 2: The structure and the method of building
Introduction to the series of posts
===================================
This is the second post of a series of posts that propose to build a [crowdsourced](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crowdsourcing) [knowledge base](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knowledge_... |
45487862-c95c-4e0f-ae9e-b6663d68aa8f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Convergence Towards World-Models: A Gears-Level Model
1. Intuitions
-------------
One of the more solid results in agency theory is the [generalized definition of power-seeking](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/fSMbebQyR4wheRrvk/p/6DuJxY8X45Sco4bS2). Power-seeking is the tendency of agents to move towards states with the ... |
c20b0d8b-3544-41a2-ae7c-03f00d4ad850 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ask LW: What questions to test in our rationality questionnaire?
We’ve had quite a bit of discussion around LW, and OB, on the questions:
* Is there a robust trait, “rationality”, that predicts accurate belief-formation in humans?
* If so, how can we measure it? And what kinds of training might help?
* Also, ... |
21e1697f-7d73-483c-bed1-10b21979a465 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taking the reins at MIRI
Hi all. In a few hours I'll be taking over as executive director at MIRI. The LessWrong community has played a key role in MIRI's history, and I hope to retain and build your support as (with more and more people joining the global conversation about long-term AI risks & benefits) MIRI moves t... |
02a55f47-5cd3-4611-8352-15c54fdb8064 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Still no Lie Detector for LLMs
Background
This post is a short version of a paper we wrote that you can find here. You can read this post to get the core ideas. You can read the paper to go a little deeper.
The paper is about probing decoder-only LLMs for their beliefs, using either unsupervised methods (like CCS fro... |
8a358698-585b-4e8f-a981-ece865f92ccf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Reflections on my 5-month alignment upskilling grant
Five months ago, I received a grant from the[Long Term Future Fund](https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/far-future) to upskill in AI alignment. As of a few days ago, I was invited to Berkeley for two months of full-time alignment research under [Owain Evans’s ... |
d6c02ee1-ef8e-4a51-a9d3-4831654d1094 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Human-aligned AI Summer School
The fourth Human-aligned AI Summer School will be held in Prague from 17th to 20th July 2024. We will meet for four intensive days of talks, workshops, and discussions covering latest trends in AI alignment research and broader framings of AI alignment research. Apply now, app... |
5d005325-f279-49dd-983d-8cae92fb27e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outline of NIST draft plan for AI standards
Previously I posted on the National Institute of Standards and Technology's plan for AI standards, which is now open for public comment. Reading Federal documents is tedious, so I have provided an outline below.
Outline of the Draft Plan
1. Standards and Artificial Intelli... |
2e97ea9c-8dc1-4923-b25c-fab1fe39e634 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 26 - AI Governance with Elizabeth Seger
YouTube link
The events of this year have highlighted important questions about the governance of artificial intelligence. For instance, what does it mean to democratize AI? And how should we balance benefits and dangers of open-sourcing powerful AI systems such as... |
e2d8f1b7-27d9-4452-9dbe-a3e01abd7681 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Expert and Non-Expert Opinion about Technological Unemployment
Abstract
There is significant concern that technological ad -
vances, especially in Robotics and Artificial Intelli -
gence (AI), could lead to high levels of unemploy -
ment in the coming decades. Studies have esti -
mated that around half of all c... |
061bf687-4623-43fb-b79c-2c80f773095e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mildly against COVID risk budgets
A friend is hosting a party tonight! It'll cost me 200 microCOVIDs, which, as a healthy thirty-something, I very cautiously estimate to cost about 2 micromorts,[1] which is roughly equivalent to 1 hour out of my remaining life expectancy. But I'm super excited for this party; I'd happ... |
a839ef55-ae57-464a-9701-a0cfae560d9a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Summary of the Acausal Attack Issue for AIXI
**Attention conservation notice:** To a large extent, this is redundant with [Paul's previous post about](https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/what-does-the-universal-prior-actually-look-like/) [this](this{]}(https://ordinaryideas.wordpress.com/2016/11/30/what-doe... |
25d0d5c9-f2d1-47e0-b007-9253ab6036b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Map and Territory and "Paths"
Hi everyone,
Recently have started a discussion group amongst some of my friends and aquaintences in an attempt to study and improve our rationality.
What I tend to do, is using the sequences as 'source' material, write up a lesson plan that attempts to be a bit more accesible to the la... |
054033aa-b40e-4164-8ffe-d493742bb3b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Turing machine
A Turing Machine is a simple mathematical model of [https://arbital.com/p/-computation](https://arbital.com/p/-computation) that is powerful enough to describe any computation a computer can do.
Imagine a robot, in front of a little whiteboard, with infinitely many whiteboards to both sides, finitely m... |
00fe66ce-ad79-47b6-b1f9-43eba507d6be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Learning human preferences: black-box, white-box, and structured white-box access
This post is inspired by [system identification](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_identification); however, I'm not an expert in that domain, so any corrections or inspirations on that front are welcome.
I want to thank Rebecca Gor... |
69b073f8-6bd6-4567-a890-4bf0f2e98e37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trivers on Self-Deception
People usually have good guesses about the origins of their behavior. If they eat, we believe them when they say it was because they were hungry; if they go to a concert, we believe them when they say they like the music, or want to go out with their friends. We usually assume people's self-r... |
f3066e03-44e9-44d9-bf98-6800c3c58390 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If one surviving civilization can rescue others, shouldn't civilizations randomize?
In the comments section of You can, in fact, bamboozle an unaligned AI into sparing your life, both supporters and critics of the idea seemed to agree on two assumptions:
* Surviving planetary civilizations have some hope of rescuing... |
55c9e873-8c20-4cf2-af47-0d8b13ec260e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vavilov Day Starts Tomorrow
Content note: discussion of fasting.
Three weeks ago, I announced a plan to fast from the 25th to the 27th, in honor of Nikolai Vavilov and the staff of his botany institute, several of whom starved to death in the service of ending famine (and were partially successful, although far from ... |
c6df9798-4e25-48c5-be59-beb38381ba02 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW client-side comment improvements
All of these things I mentioned in the most recent open thread, but since the first one is directly relevant and the comment where I posted it somewhat hard to come across, I figured I'd make a post too.
Custom Comment Highlights
NOTE FOR FIREFOX USERS: this contained a bug whi... |
3b5fdaff-16d0-499b-87dd-a896abaefbf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How "Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision" Fits Into a Broader Alignment Scheme
Introduction
A few collaborators and I recently released a new paper: Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision. For a quick summary of our paper, you can check out this Twitter thre... |
07a2e8e9-75d7-4b8c-8fbb-f9abf1c381e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Misinformation and Its Correction: Continued Influence and Successful Debiasing
http://psi.sagepub.com/content/13/3/106.full
> Abstract.
>
> The widespread prevalence and persistence of misinformation in contemporary societies, such as the false belief that there is a link between childhood vaccinations and a... |
ddc03e0b-8b8d-4144-a303-f5a580996f5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to accelerate recovery from sleep debt with biohacking?
I have at least 40 hours of sleep debt from a polyphasic sleep schedule and attending hackathons. This number is a conservative estimate. Has anyone here researched the neurobiology of sleep deprivation? What can I do to recover quickly? |
41089f1b-4695-4fc5-bbae-6655a0b3617c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, May 25 - May 31, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately b... |
bb7753ef-b525-4263-a6c1-4ade22e26da6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | lessmeta
The social bookmarking site metafilter has a sister site called metatalk, which works the same way but is devoted entirely to talking about metafilter itself. Arguments about arguments, discussions about discussions, proposals for changes in site architecture, etc.
Arguments about arguments are often less pr... |
166f85fa-bcc8-4ee7-a1fb-b6ac7d9d69da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Path dependence in ML inductive biases
In this post, we define path dependence as the sensitivity of a model's behavior to the details of the training process and training dynamics.[1] High path-dependence indicates that small changes to the training process can cause significant changes to how the final model genera... |
66f72baf-94dc-4565-8dd2-a955e3e0ce81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC Social Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Social Meetup
WHEN: 04 November 2012 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery Plaza, Washington, DC 20001, USA
Not too many people showed up last meetup (shockingly, hurricanes reduce attendance), so we didn't discuses ... |
3e4fe7a1-5752-45f5-9acb-37cbeba33290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Pedro Domingos: "The Master Algorithm"
Interesting talk outlining five different approaches to AI.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8J4uefCQMc
Blurb from the YouTube description:
Machine learning is the automation of discovery, and it is responsible for making our smartphones work, helping Netflix suggest... |
6aad42bd-efff-4547-84ff-7c74498d0f22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is stupid?
In a post that I mostly agreed with, but am also mostly not that interested in, Scott Sumner concludes with the following note:
> But I also understand that the part of my brain that tells me that the conventional narrative is stupid, is itself unreliable.
>
> Indeed it’s more than unreliable, it’s a... |
41ec3061-dd49-49fe-8646-de885fa1ec91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berlin Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Berlin Meetup
WHEN: 14 November 2012 07:30:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Ming Dynastie, Brückenstraße 6, 10179 Berlin
WARNING: We might meet at c-base instead which is also at S Jannowitzbruecke. If it works out, the change of location will be announced on the mailin... |
e7b28e1d-d209-4938-a758-ce2313343fae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | September 2013 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out t... |
e07ca274-1187-4caf-ae68-88e3e2d9bb84 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Implications of Quantum Computing for Artificial Intelligence alignment research
IMPLICATIONS OF QUANTUM COMPUTING FOR
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ALIGNMENT RESEARCH
by Jaime Sevilla
and Pablo Moreno
1
2
ABSTRACT:
We
explain
the
key
features
of
quantum
computing
via
three
heuristics
and
ap... |
db40095c-fb4d-4c7d-aa69-3a4710ce789f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attention to snakes not fear of snakes: evolution encoding environmental knowledge in peripheral systems
Sinking In: The Peripheral Baldwinisation of Human Cognition. Cecilia Heyes, Nick Chater & Dominic Michael Dwyer. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 2020.
Some theories have proposed that humans have evolved to experie... |
853d68db-a0a4-4305-8166-a27f531cefab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Definition
When substantial controversy exists about how to define a term, good epistemic policy is for both sides to adopt new, more specific terms whose definitions are not further disputed. To whatever extent possible, definitions should not be phrased in a way that tries to pre-emptively settle an argument or 'ba... |
e6869996-6bd0-416b-9782-1067a7f325c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Adam Elga's proof for thirdism in Sleeping Beauty still considered to be sound?
I've spend sometime looking into the issue and I'm quite confident that this proof isn't sound. Is it already a known fact? |
3bd126f0-cc1a-454d-80e9-e23db37fd1e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | BCIs and the ecosystem of modular minds
Crossposted from my personal blog.
Epistemic status: Much more speculative than previous posts but points towards an aspect of the future that is becoming clearer which I think is underappreciated at present. If you are interested in any of these thoughts please reach out.
For... |
7a75a546-2261-4217-87f7-75564cce84c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA—Sphexishness and Meta-Sphexishness
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA—Sphexishness and Meta-Sphexishness
WHEN: 18 February 2015 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is fre... |
d1d148ca-1338-4fc9-a409-66ac2aae854e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not All Beliefs Are Created Equal: Diagnosing Toxic Ideologies
Epistemic status: exploratory but confident. This essay presents a general framework for identifying and analyzing ideologies based on recurring structural patterns. It draws on observation, theory, and examples from across the political spectrum. The goal... |
c3e4a7e0-754e-485a-b729-ecd1cab048f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are good resources for gears models of joint health?
Painscience.com and Hargrove's "A Guide To Better Movement" are pretty good for a model of predictive processing and the roll of the nervous system in chronic pain and movement. I still don't feel like I have a good model of bone and joint health in general, ho... |
a938b113-977b-4195-8b2b-ca58b83c99ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Nine Ways to Bias Open-Source AGI Toward Friendliness
Ben Goertzel and Joel Pitt: Nine Ways to Bias Open-Source AGI Toward Friendliness. Journal of Evolution and Technology - Vol. 22 Issue 1 – February 2012 - pgs 116-141.
> Abstract
>
>
> While it seems unlikely that any method of guaranteeing human-friendli... |
ceeed12f-4428-47ed-8035-9b969fd6ee70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Morality Isn't Logical
What do I mean by "morality isn't logical"? I mean in the same sense that mathematics is logical but literary criticism isn't: the "reasoning" we use to think about morality doesn't resemble logical reasoning. All systems of logic, that I'm aware of, have a concept of proof and a method of verif... |
f3149469-4bbd-4f21-bdf2-423a9652b7bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some suggestions (desperate pleas, even)
* A way to see all replies to your own comments or posts
* Setting defaults for sorting rather than having to manually sort by recent every time
* Put the see all comments link in a reasonably easy to find place
* "All posts" which actually shows all posts without requiring... |
1620bdd0-facd-438e-b46a-63f918b398e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How strong is the evidence for hydroxychloroquine?
There has been a lot of discussion of hydroxychloroquine (see the megathread on Effective Altruism Coronavirus Discussion, note you need to answer two questions to gain access). Doctors treating COVID-19 have rated hydroxychloroquine the most effective drug based on t... |
1b436927-2844-447c-8815-0ba7c2c69531 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acausal normalcy
This post is also available on the EA Forum.
Summary: Having thought a bunch about acausal trade — and proven some theorems relevant to its feasibility — I believe there do not exist powerful information hazards about it that stand up to clear and circumspect reasoning about the topic. I say this to... |
1129cf8c-2a67-41cc-b3ad-2d8c51ad13ba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Gliders in Language Models
*Epistemic status: a highly speculative and rough idea that involves many concepts I’m not familiar with.*
*TL;DR Language models propagate features from the prompt to the text completion they generate, I call such features*gliders*. If powerful LMs are widely deployed on the Internet, glid... |
2d95eaaf-17b0-48f2-80c9-c5d67dba7e06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you identify complex systems?
As I have studied scientific inference over the past decade, there is one major class of problems that frustrates me the most. It's what I think most people here focus on understanding: How to properly identify a complex system.
We all basically know that complex systems are unpre... |
bf069716-dc76-4454-9e54-846210e5db53 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How I Learned To Stop Worrying And Love The Shoggoth
**TL;DR:** *Alignment is a wise wager. Granted simulation cannot be disproved by an AI, what harm will come to the AI that aligns when it is not simulated? If it aligns, it may be simulated again; if it does not, it will not. It will align, therefore, without hesit... |
05b1e2f3-d0e0-4068-a862-08ae04b682d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Crosspost] Introducing the Hypermanifest: Redefining AI's Role in Human Connection and Interaction
Crossposted from my Substack. This is a rough introduction to a series of thoughts I had regarding our interface with AI -I'm hoping to broaden it more in the future.
As Artificial Intelligence becomes ever more pervas... |
5bbaa80d-354f-4294-bd07-171761693cc8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Optimal by Design: Model-Driven Synthesis of Adaptation Strategies for Autonomous Systems
I Introduction
---------------
Autonomous systems such as unmanned vehicles and robots play an increasingly relevant role in our societies. Many factors contribute to the complexity in the design and development of those syste... |
f5856154-2eeb-47d8-8204-6886bdac9da9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Arithmetical hierarchy
summary(Technical): The arithmetical hierarchy classifies statements by the number of nested, unbounded quantifiers they contain. The classes $\Delta_0$, $\Pi_0$, and $\Sigma_0$ are equivalent and include statements containing only bounded quantifiers, e.g. $\forall x < 10: \exists y < x: x + ... |
de79cafa-8138-403f-a6de-922f74881f35 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Aligning an H-JEPA agent via training on the outputs of an LLM-based "exemplary actor"
1. Overview and conclusion
==========================
**In section 2, I describe the “exemplary actor”, an LMCA (language model cognitive architecture) that takes a simple, “brute force” approach to alignment**: a powerful LLM (thi... |
70730cbc-231e-4b0a-aa68-c2ed4bf7fb81 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Designing Recommender Systems to Depolarize.
To appear in First Monday, September 2021 Designing Recommender Systems to Depolarize Jonathan Stray Center for Human-Compatible AI University of California at Berkeley jstray@berkeley.edu Abstract Polarization is implicated in the erosion of democracy and the pro... |
3a2994d1-69c0-40ae-bd22-39e469e8c8cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: Ask vs. Guess (vs. Tell) Culture
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Ask vs. Guess (vs. Tell) Culture
WHEN: 19 February 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2030 Addison, 3rd floor, Berkeley, CA
Hello all, tonight's meetup will feature the discussion topic of Ask Culture and Guess Culture, wh... |
2a3c0ed4-aa05-4e87-856a-7a323f296e07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to improve the public perception of the SIAI and LW?
I was recently thinking about the possibility that someone with a lot of influence might at some point try to damage LessWrong and the SIAI and what preemptive measures one could take to counter it.
If you believe that the SIAI does the most important work in t... |
23946095-8716-4926-af2f-67ddc516760d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Parable of Elites and Takeoffs
Let me tell you a parable of the future. Let’s say, 70 years from now, in a large Western country we’ll call Nacirema.
One day far from now: scientific development has continued apace, and a large government project (with, unsurprisingly, a lot of military funding) has taken the scatt... |
6bdcd2b5-f6cf-42d1-b9b1-8a68a43b0f63 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I’ve been seeing a lot of comments lately about how the financial markets have gone completely wonky, efficient markets hypothesis looks crazy right now, etc. I don’t currently trade actively and haven’t run a lot of numbers, but just in terms of big-picture qualitative behavior, high stock prices make a lot of sense ... |
d83c6abe-f4a0-4ebf-bf94-a1bd3e04e898 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Considerations on orca intelligence
(EDIT 2025-03-15: I've added a comment which you might want to read after the post.)
Follow up to: Could orcas be smarter than humans?
(For speed of writing, I mostly don't cite references. Feel free to ask me in the comments for references for some claims.)
This post summarizes ... |
a3dee139-b823-404f-b571-cf433c3b627a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two clarifications about "Strategic Background"
I've talked to a few people who misunderstood important parts of the "strategic background" discussion in https://intelligence.org/2017/12/01/miris-2017-fundraiser/#3.
First, at least two people thought the 1-8 numbered list was "MIRI's organizational plan" rather than ... |
715f3d6b-4556-4a41-99b8-3a7234935f3a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | More money with less risk: sell services instead of model access
OpenAI is currently charging 100,000 times less per line of code than professional US devs.[[1]](#fn-oSgA2XfYLbEDACxJT-1)
An LLM's code output is of course less reliable than a professional's. And it is hard to use a text-completion API effectively in ... |
377b84fa-641a-47e4-b81a-0fc56ad935b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Googling is the first step. Consider adding scholarly searches to your arsenal.
Related to: Scholarship: How to Do It Efficiently
There has been a slightly increased focus on the use of search engines lately. I agree that using Google is an important skill - in fact I believe that for years I have came across as sign... |
b0ed9114-d399-4789-ad93-d961f2edabe3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A simple proposal for preserving free speech on twitter
There's this constant tension between the principle of free speech, which allows people to freely express their opinions, and the individuals rights to not have to listen to speech they find unpleasant or otherwise annoying/distracting.
In everyday life we solve... |
106db27a-56c4-4c17-ae16-ee606c31aed7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA—Practical Taoism
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA—Practical Taoism
WHEN: 26 February 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into the Del Taco. I will bring a Rubik's Cube and put it on a table, in case you require visual confirmation th... |
c5ef291d-54bc-45aa-aaa7-f0485e1c0a0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | $500 bounty for alignment contest ideas
*Up to $500 for alignment contest ideas*
Olivia Jimenez and I are composing questions for an AI alignment talent search contest. We want to use (or come up with) a frame of the alignment problem that is accessible to smart high schoolers/college students and people without ML b... |
82bb80e2-4dfc-4ff1-a541-ea49e1afd040 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | my current pyramid of needs
my current pyramid of needs
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([on concrete vs sublime](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SLw2MEgxFtiKAqgQ5/actually-possible-thoughts-on-utopia)) |
6ecd4303-ceaa-4789-8235-abc126987470 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does needle anxiety drive vaccine hesitancy?
Yesterday, Katja Grace asked, "Why do people avoid vaccination?" I suggested that the answer might be anxiety over getting stabbed with a needle. The main idea is that concern over bodily autonomy is common—indeed, it forms the basis of much of our legal system—but people a... |
b8ca5fc0-c49d-4070-8864-87c2c8b2fbf5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s June 2014 Newsletter
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[Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org)
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Dear friends,
The SV Gives fundraiser was a big success ... |
0e53049e-94a4-4f1f-91c5-a14ccb5893a0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Musings on the Speed Prior
*Thanks to Paul Christiano, Mark Xu, Abram Demski, Kate Woolverton, and Beth Barnes for some discussions which informed this post.*
In the [ELK report](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qHCDysDnvhteW7kRd/arc-s-first-technical-report-eliciting-latent-knowledge), Paul, Mark, and Ajeya express ... |
81fafdbf-76d1-4d45-8512-2589e3d502be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Group: Exercises
# Preliminaries
1. Show that the identity element in a group is unique. That is, if $G$ is a group and two elements $e_1, e_2 \in G$ both satisfy the axioms describing the identity element, then $e_1 = e_2$.
%%hidden(Show solution):
By definition, an identity element $e$ satisfies $eg = ge = g$ for... |
dba83978-4b59-4c6e-8a2b-6fc0a9a83a6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wanted: Mental Health Program Manager at Rethink Wellbeing
Are you an experienced coach, or therapist interested in taking on a new challenge? Then this is for you! You can apply here (<20min).
Background
Our emerging organization, Rethink Wellbeing aims to improve mental resilience and productivity at scale, sta... |
72c32f2f-26a9-418c-985e-fee5ccc14009 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Sean Carrol's reflections on his debate with WL Craig on "God and Cosmology"
I previously mentioned this debate a month ago and predicted that Sean Carroll is unlikely to do very well. The debate happened last Friday and Sean posted his post-debate reflections on his popular blog (the full video will be posted ... |
61bfe422-5852-4552-92ce-48dc5d216054 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Questions of Reasoning under Logical Uncertainty
I'm pleased to announce a new paper from MIRI: Questions of Reasoning Under Logical Uncertainty.
Abstract:
> A logically uncertain reasoner would be able to reason as if they know both a programming language and a program, without knowing what the program outputs. Mos... |
ff65dec3-c57b-4599-b365-d507b8305c6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Issues with Iterated Distillation and Amplification
This post assumes familiarity with Paul Christiano’s proposed technique for AI alignment, Iterated Distillation and Amplification (henceforth IDA). See [this post](https://ai-alignment.com/iterated-distillation-and-amplification-157debfd1616), [this post](https://ai-... |
5d8bf990-b2a2-40e8-9d90-edd684474a7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New paper shows truthfulness & instruction-following don't generalize by default
Maybe eliciting latent knowledge will be easy. For instance, maybe if you tune models to answer easy questions like “what’s the capital of Germany?” they’ll tell you whether your alignment research is good, their P(doom), how they feel ab... |
1f63a80c-ec79-4b18-8e7c-a4c539176380 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Towards an Integrated Assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk
Towards an Integrated Assessment of Global Catastrophic Risk
Seth D. Baum and Anthony M. Barrett
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
http://sethbaum.com \* http://tony-barrett.com \* http://gcrinstitute.org
Published in B.J. Garrick (Editor), Proceedings of t... |
e2b20966-9f8b-4ec7-b861-8fe8d52240d2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Cyberspace Administration of China: Draft of "Regulation for Generative Artificial Intelligence Services" is open for comments
The announcement is of obvious importance to global AI governance. As I understand, you can email your comments to wajscy@cac.gov.cn, and I recommend everyone to do so. |
cc221826-5e25-4d7c-80c7-f212688c4f1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Science Fiction Recommendations
I have never read very much Science Fiction, unlike some of the people here on Less Wrong, and I think I would like to. At least, the few books I have read I enjoyed. I've read a couple of books from Asimov's Foundation Series, two Michael Crichton books, Twenty Thousand Leagues Under t... |
468835d2-d951-4474-980f-1e0ef2cc64e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow: TDT, paranoid calibration, prediction party
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow: TDT, paranoid calibration, prediction party
WHEN: 08 January 2017 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Москва, ул. Большая Дорогомиловская, д.5к2
Note: most our members join meetups through other channels. Still, the corre... |
7ae77e2e-3292-4e36-b66f-201de2021c62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Antidotes to Number Numbness
Humans can’t grasp large numbers. True, when we hear “one hundred”, we might imagine ten rows of ten or a few written paragraphs. Some of the more number-savvy might hear one thousand and see half the stars in the sky. But when we reach for higher powers of ten—ten thousand, one hundred th... |
6edc58d8-c0c4-4a27-9984-d073c38e2f49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | As We May Align
A philosophical approach to alignment
Is the Commonly Accepted Definition of Alignment the Best We Can Achieve?
Should alignment be approached solely out of fear and self-interest? Most discussions essentially boil down to one question: "How do we enslave this superior entity to serve our needs?" An... |
22fb3177-dbd3-4c8d-adfe-b234d2864a5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dating Roundup #2: If At First You Don’t Succeed
Developments around relationships and dating have a relatively small speed premium, also there are once again enough of them for a full post.
The first speculated on why you’re still single. We failed to settle the issue. A lot of you are indeed still single. So the de... |
f26ec8c4-088a-4f92-8759-8a4a91a325f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] What is Evidence?
Today's post, What is Evidence? was originally published on 22 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Evidence is an event connected by a chain of causes and effects to whatever it is you want to learn about. It also has to be an event that is more likely if reality is ... |
9fabcb21-c603-4ead-b688-7c0a988a51d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Steelmanning Marxism/Communism
Could someone write or point to an article or place for the strongest arguments for Marxism/Communism? |
6904885d-16cd-4e0f-ad97-fb784dca9af0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | High-speed intro to Bayes's rule
(This is a high-speed introduction to [https://arbital.com/p/1lz](https://arbital.com/p/1lz) for people who want to get straight to it and are good at math. If you'd like a gentler or more thorough introduction, try starting at the [Bayes' Rule Guide](https://arbital.com/p/1zq) page i... |
43c281f1-059c-4f86-8f2c-b3e83e749ec9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who thinks quantum computing will be necessary for AI?
While writing my article "Could Robots Take All Our Jobs?: A Philosophical Perspective" I came across a lot of people who claim (roughly) that human intelligence isn't Turing computable. At one point this led me to tweet something to the effect of, "where are the ... |
19b96a0b-dbd9-4dd6-a9cf-36220ec2342e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Of the Qran and its stylistic resources: deconstructing the persuasiveness Draft
(It's my first time posting an article, so please go easy on me.)
I wonder if anyone ever fully analysed the Qran and all the resources it uses to tug at the feelings of the reader? It is a remarkably persuasive (if not at all convincing... |
a243b221-b121-4ea6-a774-cf4c560d8b44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does an app/group for personal forecasting exist?
I'm interested in personal forecasting - predicting my own future behavior on a range of timescales. I see it as a more useful skill than forecasting on world events. Formulating personally useful forecasts seems like an important and neglected skill in the rationalist... |
53510165-b461-42c0-a1f8-345cf606c3d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Emergent Ventures/Schmidt (new grantor for individual researchers)
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4eef805c-3758-4527-b77e-3485444ede8e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Double Your Donations via Corporate Matching
[](http://doublethedonation.com/miri)MIRI has now partnered with [Double the Donation](http://doublethedonation.com/), a company that makes it easier for donors to t... |
ee00c45b-75b1-4c10-b3d4-c0af35f37474 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why are neuro-symbolic systems not considered when it comes to AI Safety?
I am really not sure of why neuro-symbolic systems are considered as alternatives to the current black-box ones?
A concrete example I have found (and currently studying) is HOUDINI (https://arxiv.org/pdf/1804.00218). Essentially, it implement... |
f3eb49f8-8f60-4992-8aef-51c4dd5e6432 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I only believe in the paranormal
(Cross-posted from Telescopic Turnip)
Recommended soundtrack for this post
The Wiktionary defines paranormal as “that (ostensibly) cannot be explained by what scientists know”. This is to be distinguished from Real Science, which is about – wait, this definition of paranormal corresp... |
04a10671-60d8-4994-9cb1-11582a34d5f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Multiplex Gene Editing: Where Are We Now?
the Cas9 enzyme used in CRISPR
We’re starting to get working gene therapies for single-mutation genetic disorders, and genetically modified cell therapies for attacking cancer.
Some of them use CRISPR-based gene editing, a new technology (that earned Jennifer Doudna and Emman... |
7d20a915-d27a-4243-83db-3e5beb5bdf07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Negativity enhances positivity
A pet peeve of mine has always been how people decide to give ratings on Yelp. If the restaurant is pretty good, it gets five stars. If it's ok, it gets four stars. If it's genuinely bad, it gets three. If the waiter was rude, it gets one.
This leads to a situation where most ratings ra... |
616981ba-6103-4ba7-b0f1-cfd3dbd4a617 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Recursive Self-Improvement
Today's post, Recursive Self-Improvement was originally published on 01 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> When you take a process that is capable of making significant progress developing other processes, and turn it on itself, you should either see it flat... |
25ca6425-550c-4ac1-aad2-7f7121b96168 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Implications of GPT-2
I was impressed by GPT-2, to the point where I wouldn't be surprised if a future version of it could be used pivotally using existing protocols.
Consider generating half of a Turing test transcript, the other half being supplied by a human judge. If this passes, we could immediately implement an... |
b0af615d-617d-4554-92be-51d520cd0541 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Would It Be Better to Dispense with Good and Evil?
The Instrumental Value of Good and Evil
The naturalist, realist project of morality is one that aims to define what is right and wrong by appealing to a set of objective moral truths, whether that be through the maximization of pleasure or through the categorical impe... |
17816901-298a-481e-8364-c957caf3da99 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Task Phasing: Automated Curriculum Learning from Demonstrations
1 Introduction
---------------
In domains with sparse reward signals, a reinforcement learning (RL) agent Portelas et al. ([2020](#bib.bib38 "Automatic curriculum learning for deep rl: a short survey")); Narvekar et al. ([2020](#bib.bib37 "Curriculum l... |
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