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40ef68f7-9ce2-47fe-a214-2489b4ceddf5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paper claims: "Rationality" flavored words rose since 1850, began declining ~1980
Epistemic status: found the link, thought it was kinda interesting, mostly kicking off discussion.
This article felt somewhat related to "Have Epistemic Conditions Always Been This Bad?", and the question of whether humanity was (brief... |
278497a4-9485-4e6f-a88a-aee901c46ebb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't feed the void. She is fat enough!
My posts. I write them. I post them. And that's it. In my head, I am not writing them to someone. And I don't expect anything back. There are obvious problems with this model. When I am writing an email to someone, I think very carefully about what to write. When I want to expla... |
445ad4ed-09f6-44e2-8435-eaaff06ffdd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Individual profit-sharing?
Here's a sketch of an idea:
* Design an open-source legal agreement that two people sign.
* The contract states that each person agrees to give the other 1% of their annual earnings, each year for X years. (Ideally X = several decades; both duration & percentage could be customized)
* Co... |
0a53dcc6-abd1-4b50-815f-42070726b553 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why does AGI need a utility function?
My intuition says that a narrow AI like DALL-E would not blow up the world, no matter how much smarter it became. It would just get really good at making pictures.
This is clearly a form of superintelligence we would all prefer, and the difference seems to me to be that DALL-E do... |
df52b6ef-8a42-4d6b-925b-e2c91440f72a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two New Newcomb Variants
Two Newcomb variants to add to the list of examples where optimal choice and optimal policy are diammetrically opposed. I don't think problems these exist anywhere else yet.
4 Boxes Problem
In a game show there are 4 transparent boxes in a row, each of which starts off with $1 inside. Bef... |
1910f4bf-8759-4d31-ad00-c7361ec5a36e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epistemology of evilness
Most everyone seems to think that a big reason for bad things happening in the world is that some people are bad. Yet I almost never see advice for telling whether you yourself are a bad person, or for what to do about it if you seem to be one. If there are so many bad people, isn’t there a ve... |
aadd7305-4779-4ae0-aec9-3ca1365b7d3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | One Medical? Expansion of MIRI?
It has been 5.5 days since the MIRI Expansion party. Could someone, anyone who attended please describe briefly what was announced?
(I attempted unsuccessfully to satisfy my curiosity by reading around all occurrences of "expansion" and "one medical" in /r/all/comments and scanning al... |
7ae43e3e-4bea-416f-88ad-baf360ef1292 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Concept of Criticality in AI Safety
1 Introduction
---------------
As AI agents become more intelligent and more potent, questions related to AI safety become more relevant. One of the central problems in the field of AI safety is the value alignment problem. This problem refers to a situation where an AI agent... |
db003f76-bd48-4278-a019-3ca71a6dfb16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The new GiveWell recommendations are out: here's a summary of the charities
GiveWell have just announced their latest charity recommendations! What are everyone’s thoughts on them?
A summary: all of the old charities (GiveDirectly, SCI and Deworm the World) remain on the list. They're rejoined by AMF, as the room for... |
ad148638-163e-4784-833c-13f2ca5daf6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Enriched tab is now the default LW Frontpage experience for logged-in users
In the past few months, the LessWrong team has been making use of the latest AI tools (given that they unfortunately exist[1]) for art, music, and deciding what we should all be reading.
Our experiments with the latter, i.e. the algorithm tha... |
934511cd-84c3-4670-ab58-6784bd1176ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Update on the UK AI Summit and the UK's Plans
On November 1st and 2nd, the UK held an international AI Summit. Speeches were given, institutes founded, roundtables held, and 29 countries signed the Bletchley Declaration. This is a brief overview of events leading up to and at the summit, following up last month’s Upda... |
b65e4812-36c2-46bc-a797-7e3f89d2b7a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sleeping Julia: Empirical support for thirder argument in the Sleeping Beauty Problem
I've created an emulation of the Sleeping Beauty Problem in the Julia programming language which supports the thirder solution.
For those unfamiliar with the problem, I recommend this explanation by Julia Galef: https://www.youtube.... |
2ef21762-9012-45e6-ace9-a5ea38f06400 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Needs lenses
A tag for pages that have a technical/non-intuitive main lens, and which need lenses that can explain the concept less formally. |
a9dba686-67fc-4517-81f5-a6ddb523b5d0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Dreams of Friendliness
**Continuation of**: [Qualitative Strategies of Friendliness](/lw/ti/qualitative_strategies_of_friendliness/)
[Yesterday](/lw/ti/qualitative_strategies_of_friendliness/) I described three classes of deep problem with qualitative-physics-like strategies for building nice AIs - e.g., [the AI is... |
b9279f4a-460e-4c09-85f0-ecaaf813b590 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Techniques for enhancing human feedback
By Ajeya Cotra
Training powerful models to maximize simple metrics (such as quarterly profits) could be risky. Sufficiently intelligent models could discover strategies for maximizing these metrics in perverse and unintended ways. For example, the easiest way to maximize profit... |
bf940962-6444-4c81-b075-86eae3d505bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The other side of the tidal wave
I guess there’s maybe a 10-20% chance of AI causing human extinction in the coming decades, but I feel more distressed about it than even that suggests—I think because in the case where it doesn’t cause human extinction, I find it hard to imagine life not going kind of off the rails. S... |
abbae829-2d73-49f6-86bb-f75cdd688725 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | everything is okay
*(this is a work of fiction)*
everything is okay
------------------
it's been four years since the singularity. someone pressed the button, and their preferences were implemented across the cosmos. i don't think anyone knows *who* pressed the button; that is probly how they'd like things to be. ... |
e690beae-320d-4024-b7d8-19d8791c881b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shall We Throw A Huge Party Before AGI Bids Us Adieu?
I don't think there is much more to this post then what it says in the title, but I'll add more details anyway.
Essentially, it's become increasingly obvious that despite the best efforts, the progress in AI alignment and other safety efforts has been, well... min... |
4f61c30e-2bd1-4892-bbdb-db3967fc300a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lore Sjöberg's Life-Hacking FAQK
Lore Sjöberg's Life-hacking FAQK
Pretty self-explanatory. Also available as a podcast. |
6f317e46-2db9-4d1f-9e12-7f32ecbe13b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark
Today's post, Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark was originally published on 28 August 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Positive bias is the tendency to look for evidence that confirms a hypothesis, rather than disconfirming evidence.
Discuss the post here ... |
4f0d2542-52a4-4dae-acfd-0cb230d1cb3c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Networks of Influence Diagrams: A Formalism for Representing Agents' Beliefs and Decision-Making Processes
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research 33 (2008) 109-147 Submitted 11/07; published 9/08
Networks of Influence Diagrams: A Formalism for
Representing Agents’ Beliefs and Decision-Making Processes
Ya’akov Gal g... |
66df5e0a-f050-4df6-a5a5-9aea9fb70dc3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Cauchy's theorem on subgroup existence
Cauchy's theorem states that if $G$ is a finite [https://arbital.com/p/-3gd](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd) and $p$ is a [prime](https://arbital.com/p/4mf) dividing $|G|$ the [order](https://arbital.com/p/3gg) of $G$, then $G$ has a subgroup of order $p$. Such a subgroup is necessar... |
79d6a16b-2640-467a-a159-d841ea9806ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Monthly Shorts 11/22
Apologies for the delay. It’s been a lot, this month. At the start of it, I had
> Chana Messinger has a good post on emotions about money and how it should be spent, if you’ve been following the latest EA internal debate round on it.
We’ve since had some very different discussions about money, p... |
31e4e176-2be7-46ea-a7e3-1964a7be7fa7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Humans doing Bayes
Tag for examples of human beings applying explicitly Bayesian reasoning in everyday life. Parent for rules, heuristics, and concepts that are specifically about the human, cognitive use of explicit Bayesian reasoning. |
080c6743-ea84-4354-b312-e9599c01ddda | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 2: Everything I Believe is False
#include "stddisclaimer.h"
----------------------------------------
"Of course it was my fault. There's no one else here who could be responsible for anything."
----------------------------------------
"Now, just to be clear," Harry said, "if the professor does levitate you... |
dac7f7ac-a80e-438f-83d6-9a9be2bbc806 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW Scotland September Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : LW Scotland September Meetup
WHEN: 13 September 2015 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: 1a Dundas Street, Glasgow G1 2AH
As usual, this note is a mirror of the canonical meetup note, which is here: https://www.facebook.com/events/1694401560778891/
Bu... |
d48d0be0-0cb9-41f6-bce6-eb868d5d57b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Today 4PM: Last minute Houston meetup
Saturday June 18, 4:00PM
TX/RX Labs Hackerspace
2010 Commerce St
Houston, TX 77002
My apologies for the last minute meetup group notice. I am running an experiment this weekend, but I was uncertain until yesterday as to when I could use the equipment. I let the core group k... |
890a0ff0-9fe2-4997-97da-027f9799133f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Challenges with Breaking into MIRI-Style Research
Trying to break into MIRI-style[1] research seems to be much, much harder than trying to break into ML-style safety research. This is worrying if you believe this research to be important[2]. I'll examine two kinds of causes: those which come from MIRI-style research b... |
8a898142-c6b5-458a-b91e-6303c550eb6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If You Want to Find Truth You Need to Step Into Cringe
This is the script of the Rational Animations video linked above, with a few minor edits and additions. I really like how the animations came out in this one, so if you are curious follow the link. If you only care about the arguments you can just read. Most of th... |
b2ad8c2f-c8c9-4ba2-a754-995e16bcb477 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta-conversation shouldn't be taboo
I often find myself in a conversation that feels like it's falling into some sort of failure mode. Some examples:
1. A few years ago in some job as a programmer, I remember being in this meeting. We were trying to figure out the architecture of some feature that was important and... |
8472a818-9f2a-4462-b56b-0943accc5bd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | VNM agents and lotteries involving an infinite number of possible outcomes
Summary: The VNM utility theorem only applies to lotteries that involve a finite number of possible outcomes. If an agent maximizes the expected value of a utility function when considering lotteries that involve a potentially infinite number o... |
336a94d6-bffd-461c-b47d-842135c9d0fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 80% of data in Chinese clinical trials have been fabricated
|
1410e18d-7f76-4540-816e-9917d60668a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EA Infrastructure Fund: June 2023 grant recommendations
Introduction
This payout report covers the Effective Altruism Infrastructure Fund (EAIF)’s grantmaking starting January 2022 (after our December 2021 payout report), until early June 2023 (1 January 2022 - 15 June 2023).
In 2022, the EAIF received 595 applicatio... |
78aa7645-4dd4-490c-a6e2-cf75b709dee7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Bangalore LWers meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore LWers meetup
WHEN: 07 February 2015 11:00:00AM (+0530)
WHERE: Bangalore, Karnataka, India
And here's the meetup link and details for the month of february. Incidentally(we stick to 2nd saturday of the month), it coincides with valentine's... |
e5170252-c11b-4674-aae3-7a98eed7a8d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Geometry of LLM Logits (an analytical outer bound)
The Geometry of LLM Logits (an analytical outer bound)
----------------------------------------
1 Preliminaries
Symbol Meaning d width of the residual stream (e.g. 768 in GPT-2-small) L number of Transformer blocks V vocabulary size, so logits live in RV h(ℓ) ... |
9ce321d0-4a44-4529-9b85-7cfe22635762 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | If we have Human-level chatbots, won't we end up being ruled by possible people?
Let's assume that GPT 5 or 7 is developed, and distributed to all on the basis that the technology is unsuppressable. Everyone creates the smartest characters they can to talk too. This will be akin to mining; because it's not truly gener... |
a8622ad0-31dc-4623-a251-705d1d39e5ae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A tough career decision
In this post, I summarize a tough career decision I have had to take over the last few weeks.
Setting the stage
=================
I am a few months from finishing my Ph.D. in quantum algorithms. During these 4 years, I have become quite involved in Effective Altruism: I attended two EA Glob... |
0512285f-2609-4124-befb-2c01fbb0ab2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Maths writer/cowritter needed: how you can't distinguish early exponential from early sigmoid
It's well known in FHI and similar circles, that it's impossible to distinguish an exponential (growth going up wildly) from a sigmoid/logistic curve (exponential growth until a turning point - an S shape) - until well after ... |
44760080-4e3d-429e-a22c-7ac5bd1ceb2d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Meta-Learning with Hessian-Free Approach in Deep Neural Nets Training
1 Introduction
---------------
The meta-learning in optimizing neural network, usually named as the *learning-to-learn*, has been attracting increasingly interests of the researchers of deep learning in the last few years (Andrychowicz et al., [2... |
fd47702a-a9d7-4513-a9e7-ea6179e46435 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Short story: An AGI's Repugnant Physics Experiment
After lots of dedicated work and a few very close calls, a somewhat aligned AGI is created with a complex utility function based on utilitarian-like values. It immediately amplifies its intelligence and ponders what its first steps should be.
Upon some thought, it no... |
8cee2e8a-52b5-42ae-9589-f747b0dc31ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking LLMs: General Instruction Following with Thought Generation
Authors: Tianhao Wu, Janice Lan, Weizhe Yuan, Jiantao Jiao, Jason Weston, Sainbayar Sukhbaatar.
Summary thread: https://x.com/jaseweston/status/1846011492245672043.
Abstract:
> LLMs are typically trained to answer user questions or follow instruct... |
ce0afa74-f3c6-41c5-b988-91ef1b6c4c6a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Adversarial Soft Advantage Fitting: Imitation Learning without Policy Optimization
1 Introduction
---------------
Imitation Learning (IL) treats the task of learning a policy from a set of expert demonstrations. IL is effective on control problems that are challenging for traditional Reinforcement Learning (RL) met... |
65531054-b779-4595-98fe-18f0de7d2405 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to set up foot pedals
Let's say you would like to control your computer partly with your feet: how do you go about it? This wasn't something that I was especially interested in before my wrists started hurting, but now I have it set up I like it a lot and I would definitely keep it even if my wrists were completel... |
4443041a-04fc-4fc9-b407-f67d1a8eb77c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yet another Simpson's Paradox Post
Intro
Simpson's paradox is a phenomenon in statistics where a choice or treatment performs better in all sub-populations but worse in the overall population. Since first learning of Simpson's Paradox, I've struggled to develop a gut-level understanding that lets me easily detect case... |
4026a8f0-b32f-4d36-9d4c-05028ce2509b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Preference Utilitarian’s Time Inconsistency Problem
In May of 2007, DanielLC [asked at Felicifa](http://www.felicifia.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=89), an “online utilitarianism community”:
>
> If preference utilitarianism is about making peoples’ preferences and the universe coincide, wouldn't it be much easier t... |
970fa924-63c5-42e4-8f8e-46f2302f8334 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: The Age of Surveillance Capitalism
I recently finished Shoshana Zuboff’s book The Age of Surveillance Capitalism. It’s received glowing reviews, but left me disappointed. Zuboff spends much of the book outraged at the behaviour of big tech corporations, but often neglects to explain what’s actually bad ab... |
de51a18d-fc29-475f-ae19-8abe5ee0096d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | General intelligence
# Definition
Although humans share 95% of their DNA with chimpanzees, and have brains only three times as large as chimpanzee brains, humans appear to be *far* better than chimpanzees at learning an *enormous* variety of cognitive [domains](https://arbital.com/p/7vf). A bee is born with the abil... |
e7398ad9-67d7-45f5-88ed-38741c0c3ea5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Epistemic Therapy for Bias in Automated Decision-Making
diagnose the epistemic and ethical challenges that may arise in AI system design. Since much of the discussion on anthropomorphic biases has been conducted through either anthropomorphizing AI models or relegating all responsibility for bias onto problematic data... |
b103db2d-b6c4-4caf-8ae5-8c2986a4f184 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] New Scientist, on the distant future
The magazine has a bunch of articles dealing with what the world may be like 98,000 years hence. What with the local interest in the distant future, and with prediction itself, I thought I'd bring it to your attention.
http://www.newscientist.com/special/deep-future?cmpid=N... |
f146caa6-70dd-4703-981b-971a79a49cb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Game Night in Tel Aviv
Discussion article for the meetup : Game Night in Tel Aviv
WHEN: 10 November 2015 07:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Yigal Alon St 98, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel
Game night in LessWrong Tel Aviv! Meeting at Electra Tower floor 29 as always. We are going to play board games and socialize. We might ... |
de4f2cd9-0151-4ce0-a1c1-a9371250712f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Manus Marketing Madness
While at core there is ‘not much to see,’ it is, in two ways, a sign of things to come.
Over the weekend, there were claims that the Chinese AI agent Manus was now the new state of the art, that this could be another ‘DeepSeek moment,’ that perhaps soon Chinese autonomous AI agents would b... |
38aaf05e-9d2b-4c7c-befd-6689e9dc81f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Trial without Error: Towards Safe Reinforcement Learning via Human Intervention
1 Introduction
---------------
###
1.1 Motivation
AI systems are increasingly applied to complex tasks that involve interaction with humans. During training, such systems are potentially dangerous, as they haven’t yet learned to avo... |
80bcfcf4-fc17-4639-8b19-b5dbb51634b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The raw-experience dogma: Dissolving the “qualia” problem
[Cross-posted.]
1. Defining the problem: The inverted spectrum
Philosophy has been called a preoccupation with the questions entertained by adolescents, and one adolescent favorite concerns our knowledge of other persons’ “private experience” (raw experience ... |
087b4b27-68a0-4306-af11-0c659a2ff09a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Poker Theory of Poker Night
Link to my own article. I removed the explanation of EV since I assume on LW that's not necessary.
A group of friends and I occasionally like to get together to play Poker. Yet something keeps happening that I have observed time and again with these kinds of group gatherings: It is har... |
4068e43f-07db-4297-9112-9851d645f188 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #44: The Trump Circle on AI Safety
Plus, Chinese researchers used Llama to create a military tool for the PLA, a Google AI system discovered a zero-day cybersecurity vulnerability, and Complex Systems
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. N... |
6cfe9134-bd1e-4095-a250-cc08bf253f6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Study 1b: This One Weird Trick does NOT cause incorrectness cascades
*[Edit: The data collected for this study was produced by critically bugged code. Please see bug writeup* [*here*](https://aizi.substack.com/p/i-was-wrong-simulator-theory-is-real) *and the results* [*here*](https://aizi.substack.com/p/research-repor... |
6eb14c24-1a3a-4146-a826-2af59367ed1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fight Akrasia and Decision Fatigue with DIY Productivity Software
Akrasia is the condition of knowing what you should be doing, but being psychologically unable to motivate yourself to do it. Decision fatigue is the condition of being unable to select between competing choices because of mental exhaustion.
There's a... |
d859dcc1-d13e-4b0c-b081-48a534c5cfe3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compounding Resource X
A concept I got from Anna Salamon, and maybe also from my coworker Jacob Lagerros, although I haven't run this by either of them and they may not endorse my phrasing. I think I probably run with it in a different direction than Anna would endorse.
Epistemic effort: thought about it for a few ho... |
89df3392-0bd3-4741-8639-79c8ff1c02cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Learning What To Do by Simulating the Past.
Published as a conference paper at ICLR 2021
LEARNING WHAT TODO BY SIMULATING THE PAST
David Lindner
Department of Computer Science
ETH Zurich
david.lindner@inf.ethz.chRohin Shah, Pieter Abbeel & Anca Dragan
Center for Human-Compatible AI
UC Berkeley
{rohinmshah,pabbeel,anc... |
f25cf831-7023-4925-8189-3cc419d90525 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Can we efficiently distinguish different mechanisms?
(*This post is an elaboration on “tractability of discrimination” as introduced in section III of* [*Can we efficiently explain model behaviors?*](https://ai-alignment.com/can-we-efficiently-explain-model-behaviors-92b83c2acd5a) *For an overview of the general plan ... |
a6e9c942-8c3e-414b-809b-eeb6bfba9a47 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "How We're Predicting AI — or Failing to"
The new paper by Stuart Armstrong (FHI) and Kaj Sotala (SI) has now been published (PDF) as part of the Beyond AI conference proceedings. Some of these results were previously discussed here. The original predictions data are available here.
Abstract:
> This paper will loo... |
597d4d4c-c307-4f69-a022-cba581ec261e | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "There was an awful rainbow once in heaven: We know her woof, her texture; she is given In the dull catalogue of common things. —John Keats, Lamia I am guessing—though it is only a guess—that Keats himself did not know the woof and texture of the rainbow. Not the way that Newton understood rainbows. Perhaps not even at... |
0ab8afa2-fe34-4933-8591-c23cb5346012 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What does it take to ban a thing?
Epistemic status: I am not an expert. I just took several things which people banned (child labor, chemical weapons, ozone-depleting substances) and for each just searched for the first article which seriously engages with the question "how did we succeed to ban it?", read it once, an... |
3fa3bfc4-af79-4c3f-81cc-5b6ec1a1ebbc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Michael Dickens' Caffeine Tolerance Research
Michael Dickens has read the research and performed two self-experiments on whether consuming caffeine builds up tolerance, and if yes, how quickly.
First literature review:
> What if instead of taking caffeine every day, you only take it intermittently—say, once every 3 ... |
bc4edd75-0926-4c85-a9c3-2451d225c1c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Desires as film posters
Sometimes I like to think of desires as like film posters. You come across them, and they urge you to do something, and present it in a certain way, and induce some inclination to do it. But film posters are totally different from films. If you like a film poster, you don’t have to try to see t... |
3f0e03ce-eeab-43f2-8d67-4a53d988a060 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
This is a transcription of Eliezer Yudkowsky responding to Paul Christiano's [Takeoff Speeds](https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/) live on Sep. 14, followed by a conversation between Eliezer and Paul. This discussion took place after Eliezer's [convers... |
f60a91d7-7e2f-4b79-8700-abe509bb60d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: How Robot Cars Are Near
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: How Robot Cars Are Near
WHEN: 19 December 2012 07:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Berkeley, CA
Location and time for this Wednesday's meetup are confirmed! It will be at 7:30pm (not 7pm) at Zendo. I will not be there, but Michael Keenan... |
aca0673a-9180-4a49-8e65-e3e9a088eb20 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How to Upload a Mind (In Three Not-So-Easy Steps)
[Cross-posted to the EA forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BLPaNx6LhPBZxDsSM/how-to-upload-a-mind-in-three-not-so-easy-steps)
*This Rational Animations video is about the research and practical challenges of "whole brain emulation" or "mind uploading", p... |
09182e72-ef10-420d-8222-322b18652d46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [retracted] A really simplistic experiment for LessWrong and /r/SneerClub
In this thread: What's a key thing you would tell /r/SneerClub users, to try and bridge the "worldview gap"?
I am talking about extremely-basic background / shared assumptions, that you really wish the other people had. What would you say to th... |
22addccc-81fd-4f4e-9a3c-ea10d9f01cd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claims about markets and optimization
(This is a stylized version of a real conversation, where the first part happened as part of a public debate between John Wentworth and Eliezer Yudkowsky, and the second part happened between John and me over the following morning. The below... |
84182195-403a-466b-9f82-a3f915f0721d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case for Privacy Optimism
(Cross-posted from my personal blog.)
This post is an edited transcript of a talk I recently gave on the past and future of privacy. I argue that the story may be a more positive and hopeful one than people often realize.
The talk stemmed from work I’ve done at the Centre for the Gover... |
bb521c63-5d57-40fe-a5d4-9c601177c870 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Rationality Click Moment
In an interview, Angel Harris, author of Kids Don't Want to Fail: Oppositional Culture and the Black-White Achievement Gap, who'd been in the bottom tenth of the students in high school, describes the moment in college when a professor talked about listing a child's behaviors and letting a l... |
cc77371a-b985-41a9-aa27-70d523b94846 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Symmetric Decomposition of Asymmetric Games
[Download PDF](/articles/s41598-018-19194-4.pdf)
### Subjects
\* [Behavioural methods](/subjects/behavioural-methods)
\* [Computer science](/subjects/computer-science)
\* [Social evolution](/subjects/social-evolution)
Abstract
--------
We introduce new theoreti... |
0f0053f6-a029-4ded-b652-68acc1f4fdeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In the Pareto-optimised crowd, be sure to know your place
tldr: In a population playing independent two-player games, Pareto-optimal outcomes are only possible if there is an agreed universal scale of value relating each players' utility, and the players then acts to maximise the scaled sum of all utilities.
In a pre... |
d82534d4-19f3-4cea-8d32-3bcbb7c55986 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Car Seats as Contraception
(Note: This post takes the perspective of strongly preferring higher American fertility to lower American fertility on anything close to current margins. I endorse this view and consider it very overdetermined, but this post does not defend or justify it.)
(Note: This post has been edite... |
0308ab4b-d799-45d8-9db4-2695a854500f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Collaborating with Humans Requires Understanding Them
AI agents have learned to play Dota, StarCraft, and Go, by training to beat an
automated system that increases in difficulty as the agent gains skill at the
game: in vanilla self-play, the AI agent plays games against itself, while in
population-based training, eac... |
e29c24a7-8fa5-4255-96fe-ff5f46b88aaf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Help request: What is the Kolmogorov complexity of computable approximations to AIXI?
Does anyone happen to know the Komogorov complexity (in some suitable, standard UTM -- or, failing that, in lines of Python or something) of computable approximations of AIXI?
I'm writing a paper on how simple or complicated intell... |
4d505428-fc60-49f9-ad93-5b1d529e5c73 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Off-switch for CRISPR-Cas9 gene editing system discovered
|
905c7a78-8d83-47c4-9415-d9eeee443f5f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AGI safety career advice
People often ask me for career advice related to AGI safety. This post ([now also translated into Spanish](https://docs.google.com/document/d/12X5U-vYsiZkpSxTNAFTpcirX9p_UBR2Y_3DdglARtwU/edit?usp=sharing)) summarizes the advice I most commonly give. I’ve split it into three sections: general m... |
fe76b4a8-1881-440f-bbfa-9d287582f4bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-Predicting Markets
[Confident but not novel. Cross-posted from Grand, Unified, Crazy.]
The story of Hertz has fundamentally changed how I view the stock market. This isn’t a novel revelation – now that I understand it, I’ve seen the core insight mentioned elsewhere – but it took a concrete example to really driv... |
97859117-1a4b-42ba-8124-8f5a4198b58d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eponymous Laws Part 3: Miscellaneous
Part 1: Laws of the Internet and Part 2: Laws of Programming
Ringwald’s Law of Household Geometry – “Any horizontal surface is soon piled up on.”
Stigler’s Law of Eponymy – “No scientific discovery is named after its original discoverer.”
Matthew Effect – “Eminent scientists wi... |
b1376323-43cd-49a6-ab04-18ae33cb5820 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Largest AI model in 2 years from $10B
I created this short report as a work test for an ML Hardware researcher role and sharing it with the organization's approval in case someone might find it useful or happy to give me feedback on this. The full title is: **Largest AI model (in terms of compute) in 2 years from a $1... |
20351a00-0a78-48ed-a2b7-4b3c737ecef1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A full explanation to Newcomb's paradox.
Since I’ve read of Newcomb’s paradox on the sequences on less wrong, I’ve always thought there is something fundamentally wrong about timeless decision theory. I would end up coming up with an alternate explanation that seemed correct to me. I then searched it on Wikipedia and ... |
7ab9b7ab-3149-41c3-8089-5db2c9c13745 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Charles Stross: Three arguments against the singularity
I periodically get email from folks who, having read "Accelerando", assume I am some kind of fire-breathing extropian zealot who believes in the imminence of the singularity, the uploading of the libertarians, and the rapture of the nerds. I find this mildly dist... |
4533d43e-eedf-411b-a694-22030e6e0ff0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Clothing as status signalling, logos and co-operation
http://www.economist.com/node/18483423?story_id=18483423&CFID=160796263&CFTOKEN=71303356
After reading this, I'm seriously considering finding someplace online that sells those little Lacoste crocodiles and sewing them onto all my shirts. The power of logos... |
65c66530-8d9a-4e1b-94c8-375270516962 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ghiblification is good, actually
Epistemic status: sure in fundamentals, informal tone is a choice to publish this take faster. Title is a bit of a clickbait, but in good faith. I don't think much context is needed here, ghiblification and native image generation was (and still is) a very much all-encompassing phenome... |
c061e1f7-9b13-434f-be58-d5ad53188555 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Idea: Network modularity and interpretability by sexual reproduction
Here's the idea: what if we treat each layer of GPT as a chromosome, and trained multiple (randomly initialized) networks in parallel, from time to time randomly exchanging n-th level between some two of them?
The goal here is to achieve a network w... |
21c792b1-abe1-42a1-a1a6-ecd6c4320b2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experiments with an alternative method to promote sparsity in sparse autoencoders
Summary
I experimented with alternatives to the standard L1 penalty used to promote sparsity in sparse autoencoders (SAEs). I found that including terms based on an alternative differentiable approximation of the feature sparsity in the ... |
6f071f9f-0a52-4f5c-9720-df1aaad026a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Working through D&D.Sci, problem 1 (solution)
Retrospective thoughts after seeing the solution to problem one. |
86d8fec7-f699-4cbc-bfe8-5657b7931489 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is it time to start thinking about what AI Friendliness means?
Some background:
I have followed the writing of Eliezer on AI and AI safety with great interest (and mostly, I agree with his conclusions).
I have done my share of programming.
But, I confess, most of the technical side of AI alignment is beyond my curr... |
2886fbff-33b3-46ab-9134-41e47c334a01 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Human's Hidden Utility Function (Maybe)
Suppose it turned out that humans violate the axioms of [VNM rationality](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann%E2%80%93Morgenstern_utility_theorem) (and therefore [don't act like they have utility functions](/lw/6da/do_humans_want_things/)) because there are *three* valu... |
e1c260fd-4679-449e-8c66-69704c9f0284 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humans aren't fleeb.
In the oceans of the planet Water, a species of intelligent squid-like aliens - we'll just call them the People - debate about what it means to be fleeb.
Fleeb is a property of great interest to the People, or at least they think so, but they also have a lot of trouble defining it. They're fleeb ... |
4c9f7dce-51ac-4517-8ffe-9f5ad588914c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasts are not enough
I'll start the post with an example because it's the best way I know to explain what I want to talk about.
If you had to evaluate how well someone understands macroeconomics but you yourself didn't have the mental tools to do so on the basis of their arguments, how would you go about doing it... |
bdbff9f4-ef49-4eee-b54b-4cdfab836787 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Imitating Interactive Intelligence
1 Introduction
---------------
Humans are an interactive species. We interact with the physical world and with one another. We often attribute our evolved social and linguistic complexity to our intelligence, but this inverts the story: the shaping forces of large-group interactio... |
69c6ea90-cf69-467c-a80f-8f44f3ed37e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discussion on Thomas Philippon's paper on TFP growth being linear
Note: This post was written quite quickly and I'm not well versed in this subject matter.
Thomas' paper here and Dylan Matthews' excellent write-up on it here.
I would love to spark some discussion on this: total factor productivity growth being line... |
1098b271-9779-46cb-9119-9492850b58ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I clearly don't understand karma
Someone take a look at my score and my history and explain my zero karma.
My understanding was that karma never dropped below zero.
Apparently, it never *displays* below zero but if it is deep-sixed, it might be a long, long time coming back. |
e583adac-100e-47fb-90c1-d40d800e2fac | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | How Useful Is Quantilization For Mitigating Specification-Gaming?
Published as a conference paper at ICLR 2019
HOW USEFUL IS QUANTILIZATION FOR MITIGATING
SPECIFICATION -GAMING ?
Ryan Carey
Oxford University
ryan.carey@philosophy.ox.ac.uk
ABSTRACT
For some tasks, there exists a goal that perfectly describes what the d... |
f1d34fcb-6102-49d7-be33-8c34aaed8d66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conditional meta-preferences
I'd just want to make the brief point that many human meta-preferences are conditional.
Sure, we have "I'd want to be more generous", or "I'd want my preferences to be more consistent". But there are many variations of "I'd want to believe in a philosophical position if someone brings me ... |
d1c222d2-2311-43f8-8e2e-aff588ae4384 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The great downside dilemma for risky emerging technologies
Introduction Would you play a game of Russian roulette? Would you take a six chamber revolver, put one bullet in, give it a spin, point it at your head, and pull the trigger? How about for a million dollars? Would you play? I would guess that most readers of t... |
1426da45-cec7-43ca-84a9-3ddf9d625cf5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Galaxy Trucker Needs a New Second Half
I like Galaxy Trucker quite a bit. It has two very different halves:
1. Everyone grabs tiles and builds a spaceship. Not turn-based, just taking tiles and placing them as fast as you can.
2. We fly our ships through space, with cards telling us what happens. Things like, a ... |
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