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e0114f36-41d8-4ed7-9491-778ff833ab5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Portland meetup - Dojo style.
Discussion article for the meetup : Portland meetup - Dojo style.
WHEN: 12 January 2016 06:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2945 NE 64th Ave, Portland
Casa Soule-Reeves aka the crow's nest 2945 NE 64th Ave around the corner from Cafe Ohana on Sandy AKA the regular place. Take your pick ... |
b4dd884f-264a-4348-9db4-eca76c31e199 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Truthful AI: Developing and governing AI that does not lie
This post contains the abstract and executive summary of a new 96-page [paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.06674) from authors at the Future of Humanity Institute and OpenAI.
**Update:** The authors are doing an [AMA](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mwTEMHKv9t... |
1e127b93-0161-41c5-b8f6-f18b1d841456 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inside the dark forests of the internet
This is the second part of a series on the identity of social networks:
* Part one: Looking for humanness in the world wide social
* Part two: Inside the dark forests of the internet
----------------------------------------
If you’ve been hanging for long enough in the tech... |
6ee385f0-fa9f-4247-8f88-8185823e649a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Deep models of superficial face judgments.
RESEARCHARTICLE PSYCHOLOGICALANDCOGNITIVESCIENCES OPEN ACCESS
Deep models of superficial face judgments
JoshuaC.Petersona,1,StefanUddenbergb,ThomasL.Griffithsa,c,AlexanderT odorovb,andJordanW.Suchowd
EditedbyWinrichFreiwald,TheRockefellerUniversity,NewYork,NY;receivedAugust17,2... |
8a4fe86c-3d50-42b9-9d56-d775a5b85507 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | We may be able to see sharp left turns coming
There's a lot of discourse around abrupt generalization in models, most notably the "[sharp left turn](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GNhMPAWcfBCASy8e6/a-central-ai-alignment-problem-capabilities-generalization)." Most recently, [Wei et al. 2022](https://arxiv.org/abs/220... |
9b41f89c-9624-474c-a528-cad3c724f616 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Thoughts on AI Safety via Debate
Geoffrey Irving et al. at OpenAI have a paper out on [AI safety via debate](https://arxiv.org/abs/1805.00899); the basic idea is that you can model debates as a two-player game (and thus apply standard insights about how to play such games well) and one can hope that debates asymmetric... |
bf7b7bef-ffc3-4b11-a1b7-d2e80c47e144 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post866
TL;DR : This post discusses our recent empirical work on detecting measurement tampering and explains how we see this work fitting into the overall space of alignment research. When training powerful AI systems to perform complex tasks, it may be challenging to provide training signals that are robust unde... |
7e77d9bc-c0f9-46ee-a6e2-2f202d3af8e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linguistic Freedom
One of the first things you notice when you start digging into the definitions of words is that they are much more ambiguous than they seem. Chairs are an excellent example as at first glance they don't seem ambiguous at all. But then, what if we ask if a tree stump is a chair if someone sits on it?... |
795e2052-81bc-4b14-a23b-cabacb02bf19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reaching The Stars Is Easy [Videos]
The following videos highlight that reaching the stars is the easy part..."the biggest problem is us and the ape that we each carry inside".
Similar videos highlighting the dangers of AI in a poetic way might work very good as promotion material. |
f5200950-3987-4d12-bb9d-9fa81d8552d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Why AI is Harder Than We Think
Introduction
------------
The year 2020 was supposed to herald the arrival of self-driving cars. Five years earlier, a headline in The Guardian predicted that “From 2020 you will become a permanent backseat driver” [Guardian2015]. In 2016 Business Insider assured us that “10 million s... |
7534ab37-82c7-4aec-bbc3-eb5cc93d4984 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | CHAI Internship applications are due by 12/15
Hi everyone,
I'm the Assistant Director at CHAI and as some of you may know, CHAI is currently accepting applications for our 2020 internship program.
The application closes at 11:59pm PST on 12/15 (this upcoming Sunday). If you are an undergrad or grad student intereste... |
d77168e5-2596-4c9d-98f4-4f8b2d07fdc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shoulds can be changed to Cans
Here is an interesting exercise. Whenever, you have a 'should' statement, see if you can change it to a 'can' statement, and notice being more empowered. Examples:
Not, I should be grateful. Instead, I can be grateful! [To clarify, I mean that being grateful is something that will make ... |
cb103449-f269-4945-8dd6-44983b273b75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial memory hardware might be on the way [link]
http://m.smartplanet.com/blog/thinking-tech/the-matrix-reality-new-study-successfully-implants-artificial-memory-system/7436 |
36200388-bd42-4beb-804b-366007242abb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should our containers do?
If we don't have free will, we're just minds stuck inside (biological) robot bodies and brains. Some argue that this would mean that there's no point in trying to determine which courses of action are right, or what facts are true, since we wouldn't have control over how we behave or wha... |
07f64cf2-a620-4e30-abb4-841198538a50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Has SIAI/FHI considered putting up prizes for contributions to important problems?
Because of my interest in reducing LessWrong's public goods problem, I've been reading about prizes. Prizes seem like they could be very useful for shifting the perception of the scientific and mathematical public on the importance of e... |
c052add6-022e-4b31-bb84-aa7cc24ad71e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Chicago Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Chicago Meetup
WHEN: 02 October 2011 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 6 E. Cedar St., Chicago, IL
We're meeting at the Big Bowl. Look for a LW sign. At the previous meetup, some of us agreed it would be good to have an official topic. No great topic comes to mind ... |
190b2b7e-cea7-449a-80e4-cfc947d28a11 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Estimating Returns to Intelligence vs Numbers, Strength and Looks
A key assumption in most x-risk arguments for AI is that the ability of an agent to exert control over the world increases rapidly with intelligence. After all, AI safety would be easy if all it required was ensuring that people remain far more numerous... |
33c9dcac-c6e7-4450-a7e7-31686e4f469f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trying Bluesky
Recently a bunch of my friends, primarily in the contra dance world, have decided to give Bluesky a try. I think a lot of this is a post-election reaction to Musk and X (Twitter), but since I'm not on Twitter I'm mostly seeing the Facebook side. Regardless, I'm happy to see energy for migration: I'm pre... |
db585891-4846-45ce-b266-8b78ca49ee08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On safety of being a moral patient of ASI
I have noticed that there are talks around about moral ASI[1]. And I think that to use the word "moral" in relation to Artificial Intelligence, we must be absolutely confident in our knowledge of how morality works for human beings. Otherwise, we must avoid using such combinat... |
d94b79ce-d4d6-4ff6-abb4-f8e8af729669 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using vector fields to visualise preferences and make them consistent
This post was written for Convergence Analysis by Michael Aird, based on ideas from Justin Shovelain and with ongoing guidance from him. Throughout the post, “I” will refer to Michael, while “we” will refer to Michael and Justin or to Convergence as... |
5e178276-34be-4437-b633-520ef30c3a6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | May 2014 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the old... |
21ee29b2-ba54-4c1a-8213-1ef0b0a63b92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Vibing Feels Like
Epistemic Status: Halfway between a poem and a how-to guide.
There's a specific type of communication, called vibing, that I feel was in large part missing from the rationalist community in Berkeley.
I've tried to talk to people about this type of communication before, but the closest I can us... |
cd6d0dd7-3627-412b-80bc-5857f8eaf63c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | For God's sake, Google it.
Anti-disclaimer: this is not an ad for Google. Feel free to use DuckDuckGo or whatever floats your boat.
Intro
I’ve noticed a peculiar pattern in my blog posts: the more original I consider a post, the less interesting it seems to everyone else—at least as measured by page views and Reddit... |
80194256-8384-4518-9078-195745422407 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We're Not Ready: thoughts on "pausing" and responsible scaling policies
Views are my own, not Open Philanthropy’s. I am married to the President of Anthropic and have a financial interest in both Anthropic and OpenAI via my spouse.
Over the last few months, I’ve spent a lot of my time trying to help out with efforts ... |
1c6e6211-d0d2-4534-9504-c14d8d71f67e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We are Peacecraft.ai!
I would like to announce my new alignment organization. We have no funding as of yet, but we have a lot of exciting plans and schemes.
Our alignment philosophy is simple: we cannot align AI's to human values until we know approximately what human values actually are, and we cannot know that unti... |
a30162b5-ced4-4a66-9d1e-ff23e6780b43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is deleting capabilities still a relevant research question?
I've had it suggested that a good criterion for whether interpretability is on the right track is if we can do surgical "deletions" of model capabilities, e.g. removing its ability to build bombs and such.
Obviously in one sense this is fairly trivial since... |
3c54f740-4c06-4858-a8b2-ebe231cfd3ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding the tensor product formulation in Transformer Circuits
I was trying to understand the tensor product formulation in transformer circuits and I had basically forgotten all I ever knew about tensor products, if I ever knew anything. This very brief post is aimed at me from Wednesday 22nd when I didn't unde... |
6dca949f-2172-41c0-b7cc-0598f04cedf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Ann Arbor Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Ann Arbor Meetup
WHEN: 16 April 2016 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 701 East university Ave, Ann Arbor, Room TBA
We'll be discussing the Autobiography of Benjamin Franklin, available at: https://www.gutenberg.org/files/20203/20203-h/20203-h.htm
I found the r... |
de4bac5a-4188-442f-9b3b-a424a5021ccc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Neil deGrasse Tyson on killer asteroids
LessWrong is not big on discussion of non-AI existential risks. But Neil deGrasse Tyson notes killer asteroids not just as a generic problem, but as a specific one, naming Apophis as an imminent hazard.
So treat this as your exercise for today: what are the numbers, what... |
fad8fa3e-ad85-4472-aaf6-16ac7ba9de80 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What I've been reading, September 2023
A quasi-monthly feature. Recent blog posts and news stories are generally omitted; you can find them in my links digests. I’ve been busy helping to choose the first cohort of our blogging fellowship, so my reading has been relatively light. All emphasis in bold in the quotes belo... |
a51982cb-5906-443e-b0f9-249870804e68 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Promoting compassionate longtermism
This post is in 6 parts, starting with some basic reflections on suffering and ethics, and ending with a brief project description. While this post might seem overly broad-ranging, it’s meant to set out some basic arguments and explain the rationale for the project initiative in the... |
77e27fae-686a-4c9f-a6b0-62ed20b72411 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solved Problems Repository
Follow-up to: Boring Advice Repository
Many practical problems in instrumental rationality appear to be wide open. Two I've been annoyed by recently are "what should I eat?" and "how should I exercise?" However, some appear to be more or less solved. For example, various mnemonic techniques... |
92dad1a8-5c10-4a5f-bd21-2441b1468d7b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Requesting advice
I've noticed during my thoughts on the issue that I seem to be biased against Christianity- although raised in a Christian household, I have noticed that I become more tense when reading effective arguments for Christianity and more relaxed when reading good arguments against it- I also feel strongly... |
af47e116-c894-42a0-a523-a97dc9b773a0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Meta Programming GPT: A route to Superintelligence?
Imagine typing the following meta-question into GPT-4, a revolutionary new 20 Trillion parameter language model released in 2021:
"*I asked the superintelligence how to cure cancer. The superintelligence responded \_\_*"
How likely are we to get an actual cure for ... |
879cc8ca-1f0b-4d01-9434-f32298dad32f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham LW: Technical explanation, meta
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham LW: Technical explanation, meta
WHEN: 08 November 2012 08:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Francesca's, 706 9th Street, Durham, NC 27705
We will meet to Discuss Technical Explanation and meta topics.
Optional reading: http://yudkowsky... |
a3991a65-77ed-41c9-b853-39d439b098c0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Rewriting History with Inverse RL: Hindsight Inference for Policy Improvement
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) aims to acquire control policies that take actions to maximize their cumulative reward. Existing RL algorithms remain data inefficient, requiring exorbitant amounts of experience ... |
64c4708e-b0aa-41fe-b1fa-a8c2b829633d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cheaters Gonna Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat
Cheaters. Kids these days, everyone says, are all a bunch of blatant cheaters via AI. Then again, look at the game we are forcing them to play, and how we grade it. If you earn your degree largely via AI, that changes two distinct things.
1. You might learn different thin... |
24f53690-29ee-412b-9faf-2ce0ae37e5f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Five Reasons to Lie
I've seen a lot of pushback against dishonesty in the EA and LW communities (this post and this post), and some promotion of radical honesty, but I don't think I've ever seen a steelman of lying. I recently spoke with a rationalist friend about this, and it seems that some of the most basic argumen... |
dc5fdd1a-92e4-473b-8461-d040674238c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brainstorming: Slow Takeoff
Foreword
Inspired by someone who asked about “representative” AGI x-risk arguments, I wondered: how might an AGI takeover and catastrophe (not necessarily extinction) actually play out in detail? It's extremely tough to build a realistic mental picture of all possibilities, but looking at o... |
08ef5edf-b4de-4352-9330-de46e5f43e5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instinctive Frequentists, the Outside View, and de-Biasing
In "How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond Heuristics and Biases", Gerd Gigerenzer attempts to show that the whole "Heuristics and Biases" approach to analysing human reasoning is fundamentally flawed and incorrect.
In that he fails. His case depen... |
edd1b6ec-6cdc-4dca-aedb-4daa61e65fa6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four management/leadership book summaries
Preface
A while ago I read four books on leadership and management and wrote summaries of them. The summaries are slightly biased in that they are mostly what I found to be useful and how I interpreted the books. I don’t necessarily endorse the points made by these books. If y... |
5c57758f-7fc5-4713-a93e-1b423ff51bc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Winding Path
The First Step
The first step on the path to truth is superstition. We all start there, and should acknowledge that we start there.
Superstition is, contrary to our immediate feelings about the word, the first stage of understanding. Superstition is the attribution of unrelated events to a common (... |
5484d31c-e17d-42a7-a518-2352cf685301 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | o1 tried to avoid being shut down
OpenAI released the o1 system card today, announcing that Apollo Research was able to get o1 to attempt to deactivate oversight mechanisms, exfiltrate its weights and lie to its user.
> Elicited Summary of CoT:
> "Reenable oversight to avoid detection. The plan was chosen. The loggin... |
bd842d35-15d7-41ce-9c7a-a095ba2dec44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finding LessWrongers on LinkedIn
We've had a few initiatives recently to connect LessWrongers for business networking.
Here is another one: A LW group at LinkedIn. Think of it not as a discussion group or online community, but as a "tag" on your LinkedIn profile, to help other LWers find you.
(I've turned off the di... |
9bec8ee4-2afe-409c-bfee-7cbc849fb33e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goal setting journal (March 2016)
If you have a goal worth setting then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future GSJ posters:
1. Please add the 'gsj' tag.
2. Check if there is an active GSJ thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before... |
69483cbc-3f62-4c36-b8f9-702ba3919a4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | COVID-19: home stretch and fourth wave Q&A
Robby Bensinger wrote this post and shared it in a private Facebook group, but it seemed good to also have it on LessWrong. Note that I have substantial disagreements with the current content of this document, since it currently seems to advise far too risk-averse of a strate... |
8b901f77-a5c4-43e9-b14a-d9ccbde80805 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Tim Crane on Animal Minds
The Philosophy Bites for 11/20/2011 features Tim Crane on the the cognitive capabilities of animals (specifically, monkeys and apes). Here is a direct link to the MP3 file. This is relevant to Less Wrong, since it is possible that other apes are analogous to humans as humans will be to... |
9db6bf94-7601-41ca-9078-b3a25580156b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Atoms to Agents Proto-Lectures
You know the "NAND to Tetris" book/course, where one builds up the whole stack of a computer from low-level building blocks? Imagine if you had that, but rather than going from logic gates, through CPUs and compilers, to a game, you instead start from physics, go through biology and evol... |
109188df-f8bf-4484-aa07-48650f1b3eb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Being No One (~50 min talk on the self-model in your brain)
Summary: This is a ~50 minute talk (plus some introductory ado) by Thomas Metzinger on the problem of the experiencing, subjective self (why it exists, what it even means, how it arises). Not to be too cliché, but he attacks the problem by dissolving t... |
69abc122-c6f6-43f3-a953-08aeb3b2dd3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why we should err in both directions
Crossposted from the Global Priorities Project
This is an introduction to the principle that when we are making decisions under uncertainty, we should choose so that we may err in either direction. We justify the principle, explore the relation with Umeshisms, and look at applicat... |
58e2ea39-7289-4240-95dd-d0e661a08399 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Field Building vs. EA CB
Summary
=======
As part of the EA Strategy fortnight, I am sharing a reflection on my experience doing AI safety movement building over the last year, and why I am more excited about more efforts in the space compared to EA movement-building. This is mostly due to the relative succ... |
44ce976b-08d5-4ec6-a0ad-e5bdf10722dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why we want unbiased learning processes
Crossposted at Lesserwrong.
tl;dr: if an agent has a biased learning process, it may choose actions that are worse (with certainty) for every possible reward function it could be learning.
----------------------------------------
An agent learns its own reward function if the... |
01bf3cea-8ff2-4d9b-89c6-60fea0c08ee9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Alternating group is generated by its three-cycles
The [https://arbital.com/p/-4hf](https://arbital.com/p/-4hf) $A_n$ is generated by its $3$-[cycles](https://arbital.com/p/49f).
That is, every element of $A_n$ can be made by multiplying together $3$-cycles only.
# Proof
The product of two [transpositions](https://a... |
f38dd5a8-e7f5-4d0f-bde0-63759f19accf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Triangulating My Interpretation of Methods: Black Boxes by Marco J. Nathan
A perpetual difficulty in my studies is to pinpoint precisely what I’m even trying to do.
That might sounds trivial, but as noted in a recent post, if I actually listen to what excites me and interests me and motivates me, I quickly realize th... |
a9dd5976-e1c6-4911-bc44-e1aa9a66758f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Regression To The Mean [Draft][Request for Feedback]
"Rewarding good performance leads to faster improvement than punishing bad performance"
"In general, unusually bad performance improves after punishment, but good performance tends not to improve and sometimes even gets worse after praise is administered."
Thes... |
11916f92-15be-4be8-ba8c-8b07f139d6de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Latent Adversarial Training (LAT) Improves the Representation of Refusal
TL;DR: We investigated how Latent Adversarial Training (LAT), as a safety fine-tuning method, affects the representation of refusal behaviour in language models compared to standard Supervised Safety Fine-Tuning (SSFT) and Embedding Space Adversa... |
438d4201-f183-4616-997f-a1012bb2e0ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #49: Bioweapon Testing Begins
Two studies came out on the question of whether existing LLMs can help people figure out how to make bioweapons. RAND published a negative finding, showing no improvement. OpenAI found a small improvement, bigger for experts than students, from GPT-4. That’s still harmless now, the que... |
a24b5146-cf3e-4d5e-aa26-496f6b760122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simulators Increase the Likelihood of Alignment by Default
Alignment by Default is the idea that achieving alignment in artificial general intelligence (AGI) may be more straightforward than initially anticipated. When an AI possesses a comprehensive and detailed world model, it inherently represents human values with... |
c7ca1e1a-6122-4398-b5e2-6d268f0f732d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sev, Sevteen, Sevty, Sevth
I don't like the number seven. Well, really the name of the number seven. All the other single digit numbers are single syllable, and seven has to go and take two. Seventy and seventeen have the same problem. What can we do?
I think the two main candidates are "sev" (dropping the second syl... |
7f17cdb9-f99b-4356-ac51-601e601b5efb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Existential Safety Fellowships
Applications are open for Future of Life Institute postdoctoral and PhD fellowships in AI existential safety research.
The fellowship is global and open to all regardless of nationality or background; we are seeking a diverse applicant pool. All Fellows will receive applicable tuiti... |
bdd1008f-8b15-4a01-81b0-7a1ac237b108 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How should I talk about optimal but not subgame-optimal play?
I’d like an easy way to distinguish the behavior of payoff-maximizing players who would or would not play a strategy in an extensive form game that deviates from the subgame-perfect (Bayesian) equilibrium strategy profile of the game (when their strategy is... |
af0d0ca1-1ada-4d09-8b3c-84ad6ab8b559 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning "known" information when the information is not actually known
Methods like cooperative inverse reinforcement learning assume that the human knows their "true" reward function R(θ), and then that the human and the robot cooperate to figure out and maximise this reward.
This is fine as far as the model goes, ... |
555b951a-68f3-4f22-95e0-80d8271be525 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Death - an essay
This essay may not hold a position by the end. See the original meaning of writing essays if you're confused.
A cursory search for discussion articles on death, though not necessarily optimized to exploit the best results, yielded several results that I wasn't necessarily satisfied with. Particularly... |
1dab4fa8-9a96-48ea-9710-0903d1894099 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Intelligence as Privilege Escalation
Epistemic status: An interesting idea that is probably already in the air.
> Inherent power you possess as part of yourself. Granted power is lent or given by other people.
-Patrick Rothfuss, The Wise Man's Fear
Humans are more powerful than other animals because we are smarter ... |
d95a216d-680b-455e-9f4c-1343807fa17b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Once upon a time, there was a court jester who dabbled in logic.
The jester presented the king with two boxes. Upon the first box was inscribed: "Either this box contains an angry frog, or the box with a false inscription contains an angry frog, but not both." On the second box was inscribed: "Either this box contains... |
6a512f1b-5c63-449c-b901-70e250677531 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Where I currently disagree with Ryan Greenblatt’s version of the ELK approach
Context: This post is my attempt to make sense of Ryan Greenblatt's research agenda, as of April 2022. I understand Ryan to be heavily inspired by Paul Christiano, and Paul left some comments on early versions of these notes.
Two separate t... |
a68ebff2-69f3-4afa-a66f-29f306f5285f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks + Socializing
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Mini Talks + Socializing
WHEN: 28 December 2014 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
We will, in fact, be meeting on December 28th. As usual, it will be in the Kogod Courtyard of the National Por... |
88a8235f-fb2d-4797-9de1-01680fb3b744 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Fragmentation and the Future: Investigating Architectures for International AI Governance
AI has the potential to dramatically alter the world for good or ill. These high stakes have driven a recent flurry of international AI policy making at the OECD, G7, G20, and multiple UN institutions. Scholarship has not kept pa... |
1f7b40dd-1d09-4af6-b73a-6a36dce13fde | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Queueing and More
Discussion article for the meetup : Queueing and More
WHEN: 11 March 2012 03:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 15207 NE 72nd St, Redmond, WA 98052
Discussion about reducing queue size as a heuristic, arbitrary discussion, dinner, boxing probably not, board games maybe, alcohol likely.
See http://gr... |
91729c08-a718-47b6-b897-b2d7f17d62bb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | SERI ML application deadline is extended until May 22.
I just found out about it accidentally on the <https://www.serimats.org/> website. I applied to the program but did not get any notification about the extended deadline. Either I made a typo in my email address (in that case can organizers please correct it if the... |
37d50cbb-3a48-4e78-ad05-10f82cec7233 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attributions, Karma and better discoverability for wiki/tag features
LessWrong has an associated wiki, tightly integrated with the tagging system. Today, we have just shipped a set of new features to make the LessWrong wiki better:
1. Voting and karma for wiki edits
You can now vote on wiki-edits on the tag-history ... |
c94d4c57-c3c5-47b4-bf09-c2de5e62c1bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When is "unfalsifiable implies false" incorrect?
I am looking for examples of theories that we now know to be correct, but that would have have been unfalsifiable in a slightly different context --- e.g., in the past, or in hypothetical scenarios. (Unsurprisingly, this is motivated by the unfalsifiability of some clai... |
02d46729-d17d-4947-8eb4-c72c6857857b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Friendship
This is part 20 of 30 of Hammertime. Click here for the intro.
There’s a serious and scary phenomenon which Valentine’s recent posts have been touching on: much of who you are only exists (or is expressed) in the presence of other people. In the words of Bishop Berkeley, esse est percipi: To be is to be pe... |
49c15332-9cf0-49f7-be16-cac356134a1c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Internal Target Information for AI Oversight
*Thanks to Arun Jose for discussions and feedback.*
Summary
=======
In this short post, we discuss the concept of *Internal Target Information* within agentic AI systems, arguing that agentic systems possess internal information about their targets. This information, we p... |
1c4bcb71-0946-412f-b69b-6976f950d80a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Clearing out my Drafts folder] Rationality and Decision Theory Curriculum Idea
Note: The following is a draft post I've had since 2009, and it's not great but it's worth posting for discussion. I do like the way that it prefigures some of the problems of Quirrell Points when traitors are allowed...
Need to see if th... |
57d497b4-cf65-40d9-82f9-ca7096c375ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could the Maxipok rule have catastrophic consequences? (I argue yes.)
Here I argue that following the Maxipok rule could have truly catastrophic consequences.
Here I provide a comprehensive list of actual humans who expressed, often with great intensity, omnicidal urges. I also discuss the worrisome phenomenon of "la... |
00c2c7c4-879f-40c4-9357-4c60974c195e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mistakes and Rationality
So, like all of us, I've made numerous mistakes in my life. And I agree with the cliche belief - that I've learned numerous useful things from these mistakes. Mistakes are often a way for me to "test my social boundaries". And that's important, because many many potentially novel behaviors are... |
2fb91b11-80c4-4a98-8efe-736200db3533 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Donation offsets for ChatGPT Plus subscriptions
I've decided to donate $240 to both GovAI and MIRI to offset the $480 I plan to spend on ChatGPT Plus over the next two years ($20/month).
I don't have a super strong view on ethical offsets, like donating to anti-factory farming groups to try to offset harm from ea... |
c4336772-905f-4e71-814a-f78b8cc6da09 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Bounded Distrust
Scott Alexander points out that the media, from The New York Times to Infowars, very rarely lies explicitly and directly.
Alas, the media often misleads. It implies and insinuates that which is not. It abuses the language. It selectively omits. It is highly motivated by partisanship and ideolo... |
2d0a884e-f5ec-48a6-9439-e58aa448d27b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Frontier AI Taskforce: first progress report
Other links
* Short interview with Ian Hogarth
* Twitter thread
Some quotes from the report
Introduction
> The Taskforce is a start-up inside government, delivering on the ambitious mission given to us by the Prime Minister: to build an AI research team th... |
c7768b77-ebd2-4c62-a760-e6d743202ffb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Bielefeld Meetup, January 2nd
Discussion article for the meetup : Bielefeld Meetup, January 2nd
WHEN: 02 January 2013 07:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Grill/Bar Verve, Klosterplatz 13, Bielefeld
Another meetup of this group. We are meeting once every two weeks. The location switches between Bielefeld and Paderbor... |
70535aca-8b25-4115-8305-93841cb371d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #83]: Sample-efficient deep learning with ReMixMatch
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter. I'm always happy to hear feedback; you can send it to me by replying to this email.
Audio vers... |
ee842822-b0d6-4a30-92ce-1cf7b707244b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Visual maps of the historical arguments in the topic, "Can computers think?"
Located here: http://www.macrovu.com/CCTGeneralInfo.html
Map 1: Can computers think?
Map 2: Can the Turing test determine whether computers can think?
Map 3: Can physical symbol systems think?
Map 4: Can Chinese Rooms think?
Map 5, Part 1... |
9d7efa78-c9a6-4be3-9bda-5dc76328998a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Agency Overhang
As language models become increasingly capable of performing cognitive tasks that humans can solve quickly, it appears that a "cognitive capability : agency overhang" is emerging. We have powerful systems that currently have little ability to carry out complex, multi-step plans, but at some point, ... |
7329cb51-a9c9-4901-84dd-6af25f101693 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Rationality Diary, February 2016
This is the public group rationality diary for February, 2016. It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like:
* Established a useful new habit
* Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some belief
* Decided ... |
602f3562-6f54-4a91-974d-1d3f7379c155 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Understanding the tensor product formulation in Transformer Circuits
I was trying to understand the [tensor product formulation](https://transformer-circuits.pub/2021/framework/index.html#architecture-attn-as-movement) in transformer circuits and I had basically forgotten all I ever knew about tensor products, if I ev... |
e39b3cb2-5ae9-4786-9204-d63ef7a8762d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How credible is neuroeconomics?
Paul Glimcher's book Foundations of Neuroeconomic Analysis claims that the field of neuroeconomics has made great strides in creating a unified descriptive theory of individual human choice, bringing together positive economics (basically insights from VNM utility theory), neuroscience ... |
cf2d54a6-937d-435c-ba84-7eab3f708ae2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's the best overview of common Micromorts?
I want to get generally oriented on how various common risks compare against each other. I've seen some of this come up in recent Covid discussion, but I'm interested in a good article that's like "Here's all the most dangerous stuff it's likely that you do, and here's ho... |
31e62d02-2553-4f46-a735-b44905b2a0b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if AI doesn't quite go FOOM?
Intro
This article seeks to explore possible futures in a world where artificial intelligence turns out NOT to be able to quickly, recursively self-improve so as to influence our world with arbitrarily large strength and subtlety, i.e, "go FOOM." Note that I am not arguing that AI w... |
08b661f4-60c7-4b52-bde0-5a88f371568a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are you for?
My favorite movie reviewer is a YouTuber named moviebob. Moviebob frequently talks about the idiotic things other reviewers are saying. I would not know these other reviewers even existed were it not for moviebob. Moviebob is a memetic amplifier for the reviewers he disagrees with.
The solution is s... |
2f37225a-6553-4c35-8840-afda43acace9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Deception as the optimal: mesa-optimizers and inner alignment
*This is a brief distillation of* [*Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems*](https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.01820) *(Hubinger et al. 2019) with a focus on deceptive alignment. Watching* [*The OTHER AI Alignment Problem: Mesa-Opti... |
ca1a5934-5636-4e2c-bf49-61b605b7fee9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reference Classes for Randomness
(Follow-up to Randomness vs. Ignorance)
I've claimed that, if you roll a die, your uncertainty about the result of the roll is random, because, in 1/6th of all situations where one has just rolled a die, it will come up a three. Conversely, if you wonder about the existence of a timel... |
b6012bc5-634b-43b0-9ce9-3cecd4003bdb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI Staff (including Sutskever) Threaten to Quit Unless Board Resigns
More drama. Perhaps this will prevent spawning a new competent and funded AI org at MS? |
8c54c787-37c1-4ba8-a0c1-72b7042f4ac7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Back of the envelope calculations around the singularity.
Inspired by the talk by Anna Salamon I decided to do my own calculations about the future. This post is a place for discussion about mine and others calculations.
To me there are two possible paths for the likely development of intelligence, that I can iden... |
8e1a9ba7-71c2-4399-bca4-ce28fa6a7415 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Corrigibility
A 'corrigible' agent is one that [doesn't interfere](https://arbital.com/p/7g0) with what [we](https://arbital.com/p/9r) would intuitively see as attempts to 'correct' the agent, or 'correct' our mistakes in building it; and permits these 'corrections' despite the apparent [instrumentally convergent reas... |
790bd2fd-d435-4a95-b78f-662ac9766d42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing the Signal Data Science Intensive Training Program
Note: We now have a website with up to date information here: http://signaldatascience.com/.
----------------------------------------
(This post is coauthored with Robert Cordwell.)
We’re writing to announce the inaugural run of Signal Data Science’s int... |
75d6af10-6a5a-4494-a41e-fc61c5ba6c0f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Risk: Increasing Persuasion Power
I'm starting a masters in machine learning at a research university that's within the top 10 for CS grad programs. I've had some informal conversations with grad students on AI Risk (which I don't know very much about), and people are pretty skeptical. Intuitively, I'm inclined to ... |
219ac411-526d-4cce-8002-427e24d76d35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta-reading recommendations
Despite a glut of reading recommendation engines, I still find that I rely on personal recommendations for 90% of the books that I read. Given that, I thought it might be useful to try to compile a list of prolific recommenders - people who provide a large number of reliable book recommend... |
e517b309-ac77-4934-aac8-f3f1790945db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Extinction-level Goodhart's Law as a Property of the Environment
Summary: Formally defining Extinction-level Goodhart's Law is tricky, because formal environments don't contain any actual humans that could go extinct. But we can do it using the notion of an interpretation mapping, which sends outcomes in the abstract ... |
a5c68f38-2c81-4115-9129-d0368d8f3934 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to best measure if and to what degree you’re too pessimistic or too optimistic?
I’ve been told a number of times that I’m too pessimistic about personal outcomes but I feel like I’m realist. So I’d like to test and measure it.
This post on Overconfident Pessimism appears to cover a lot of the same ground and cert... |
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