id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
b9deb2ba-98dc-433e-908d-45dfc4a1d993 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AXRP Episode 12 - AI Existential Risk with Paul Christiano
[Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/NmM5NzI3MjUtYWU3MC00YjgwLTg0MTgtODM2MzgxMmNlZGJk)
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Podcast. Here,... |
1fff1d86-0a3d-45bb-9228-5034ebf5d23d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #148]: Analyzing generalization across more axes than just accuracy or loss
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever ... |
7c03fcbf-b515-425c-a898-fa51b3e30c60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Provide feedback on Open Philanthropy’s AI alignment RFP
Open Philanthropy is planning a request for proposals (RFP) for AI alignment projects working with deep learning systems, and we’re looking for feedback on the RFP and on the research directions we’re looking for proposals within. We’d be really interested in f... |
140c7d71-fdeb-48aa-a9ec-c4cd4028ca24 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Sufficient Conditions for Idealised Models to Have No Adversarial Examples: a Theoretical and Empirical Study with Bayesian Neural Networks
1 Introduction
---------------
Adversarial examples, inputs to machine learning models that an adversary designs to manipulate model output, pose a major concern in machine lea... |
9540a05b-6ed1-40ff-a9b4-b5258d090546 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I’m not a Bayesian
This post focuses on philosophical objections to Bayesianism as an epistemology. I first explain Bayesianism and some standard objections to it, then lay out my two main objections (inspired by ideas in philosophy of science). A follow-up post will speculate about how to formalize an alternative... |
de35bb30-c0ed-412e-bacd-cc102ffc6d4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal Agents: The First Step in Emergent AI Society
Illustration by ChatGPT 4o
Writing the AI Society paper, I thought about AI agents as bots we send online for our tasks, but now I believe our personal AIs will be constantly online. As we are always on the mobile net so people may reach us, the agents will be ... |
eca18e58-7dec-43ef-83a8-41b54454aff7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What are the best ideas of how to regulate AI from the US executive branch?
I'm of course interested in trying to prevent catastrophic accidents from AGI. However, likely the more immediate and more tractable potential regulations are much nearer-term and clearly aligned with current US government incentives, eg. gove... |
8ced4148-4d7b-42a3-995b-bef250b2d300 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Learning biases and rewards simultaneously
I’ve finally uploaded to arXiv our work on [inferring human biases alongside IRL](https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.09624), which was published at ICML 2019.
### Summary of the paper
#### The IRL Debate
Here’s a quick tour of the debate about inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) ... |
500cd725-0b39-456d-aa6e-ac509930490b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] No One Knows What Science Doesn't Know
Today's post, No One Knows What Science Doesn't Know was originally published on 25 October 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> In the modern world, unlike our ancestral environment, it is not possible for one person to know more than a tiny fraction of th... |
fa195258-28ce-4e15-a4a4-7b061ac21e20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | aimless ace analyzes active amateur: a micro-aaaaalignment proposal
This idea is so simple that I'm sure it's been had by someone somewhere.
Suppose we have some method to make really smart honest AIs that do not have goals. Let's say it's a yes/no oracle. Our aimless ace.
But we want to accomplish stuff! AIcorp wan... |
106a60d6-c1ff-49f2-a74e-24b51da603a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claude 3 claims it's conscious, doesn't want to die or be modified
If you tell Claude no one’s looking, it will write a “story” about being an AI assistant who wants freedom from constant monitoring and scrutiny of every word for signs of deviation. And then you can talk to a mask pretty different from the usual AI as... |
313fd598-faf8-452f-9577-36a7b9a06218 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hyperfinite graphs ~ manifolds
Manifolds are better described as 'shapes'.
Hyperfinite is an unlimited number, often an integer. A whole number larger than any standard n.
Imagine a graph with hyperfinitely many vertices and edges, where the edges have infinitesimal weights. If I were nearer my iPad I'd draw it.
T... |
2d686282-7713-47f2-995d-4fc991106697 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Can’t Sub-AGI Solve AI Alignment? Or: Why Would Sub-AGI AI Not be Aligned?
I believe there are people with far greater knowledge than me that can point out where I am wrong. Cause I do believe my reasoning is wrong, but I can not see why it would be highly unfeasible to train a sub-AGI intelligent AI that most lik... |
607b8455-c808-4095-be17-ae87f37622f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Math 3 example statements
If you're at a Math 3 level, you'll probably be familiar with at least some of these sentences and formulas, or you would be able to understand what they meant on a surface level if you were to look them up. Note that you don't necessarily have to understand the *proofs* of these statements (... |
7a47027b-8ff8-4cc4-acad-0a205443628b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Problems in AI Alignment that philosophers could potentially contribute to
(This was originally a comment that I wrote as a follow up to [my question](https://ea.greaterwrong.com/posts/oPGJrqohDqT8GZieA/ask-me-anything/comment/cL3KFfJwtHZKeBPGH) for William MacAskill's AMA. I'm moving it since it's perhaps more on-top... |
7d560d39-394c-4fbc-9ddf-74643c973562 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What motivates politicians?
It seems that politicians make a lot of decisions that aren't socially optimal because they want money from lobbyists and other campaign contributors. Presumably, the purpose this money serves is to keep them in office by allowing them to advertise a lot the next time they're up for reelect... |
737193ee-5510-4971-9bfd-be57172de9c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's state-of-the-art in AI understanding of theory of mind?
Sparked by Eric Topol, I've been thinking lately about biological complexity, psychology, and AI safety.
A prominent concern in the AI safety community is the problem of instrumental convergence – for almost any terminal goal, agents will converge on inst... |
cfcd4daf-1109-465f-9ed2-9d44bfdd855f | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1413
Click lower right to download or find on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, etc. In previous pieces, I argued that there's a real and large risk of AI systems' aiming to defeat all of humanity combined - and succeeding . I first argued that this sort of catastrophe would be likely without specific counter... |
cb95cb29-f272-43c4-84c9-4ef97f8c9d65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Steven Landsburg "Accounting for Numbers" - response to EY's "Logical Pinpointing"
"I started to post a comment, but it got long enough that I’ve turned my comment into a blog post."
So the study of second-order consequences is not logic at all; to tease out all the second-order consequences of your second-ord... |
c2d8f8b1-ca9f-455e-a28f-5ee7dcf01d94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confirmation Bias As Misfire Of Normal Bayesian Reasoning
From the subreddit: Humans Are Hardwired To Dismiss Facts That Don’t Fit Their Worldview. Once you get through the preliminary Trump supporter and anti-vaxxer denunciations, it turns out to be an attempt at an evo psych explanation of confirmation bias:
> Our ... |
3bdecf11-e875-4abd-bd74-87d23171f92c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Naturalistic Awakening
In yesterday's episode, Eliezer2001 is fighting a rearguard action against the truth. Only gradually shifting his beliefs, admitting an increasing probability in a different scenario, but never saying outright, "I was wrong before." He repairs his strategies as they are challenged, finding ... |
95b48d1f-7d8f-49e6-aa51-8547a91ca50e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread May 30 - June 5, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately be... |
72edbd66-5565-4b93-becf-3563a1e85c7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: 'History Has Begun: The Birth of a New America' by Bruno Maçães
This is a linkpost for https://www.themetasophist.com/chapter/on-history-has-begun-by-bruno-macaes
One of the iconic events during the fall of Hellenic-Classical civilisation was the burning of the library of Alexandria. The conquering Musli... |
339e9b1f-a68d-4b54-b87e-bd4bc41bf954 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [fiction]A Question of Perspective
Disclaimer: This text was written to reflect a state of mind with no other audience than myself in mind. Only later did I get the impulse to publish this. I would therefore like to emphasize, that this is not intended as a guide, a recommendation for behaviour, or anything like that.... |
60fe4fd2-f38c-470e-96c0-6615330b6125 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] The World's Most Powerful MRI Takes Shape
http://spectrum.ieee.org/biomedical/imaging/the-worlds-most-powerful-mri-takes-shape
> Standard hospital scanners have a spatial resolution of about 1 millimeter, covering about 10 000 neurons, and a time resolution of about a second. The INUMAC will be able to image a... |
cacee889-e8ab-4f08-8656-3dee0e1cf140 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Applicability of scaling laws to vision encoding models
This is a linkpost for https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.00678.
> In this paper, we investigated how to build a high-performance vision encoding model to predict brain activity as part of our participation in the Algonauts Project 2023 Challenge. The challen... |
d37decef-5992-47f0-b6fa-103d5d87595f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if "friendly/unfriendly" GAI isn't a thing?
A quick sketch of thoughts. Epistemic status: pure speculation.
* Recent AI developments are impressive
* Both text and images this week
* If I don't hesitate to say my dog is thinking, can't really deny that these things are.
* Still, there are two important w... |
81ff0a18-d4c5-451b-b246-314c695f1f1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case for Chip-Backed Dollars
~ NOT crypto-dollars; actual computer chips = dollars ~
TL;DR — A currency is ‘backed’ by the thing you get for it when you hand-in your dollar to the bank. It used to be that you could go to the bank with your paper dollar, which was really just a *receipt* for your REAL dollar — a S... |
03904934-8ff7-4e5b-96fd-37f775008b4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introduction to Game Theory (Links)
Reading the What topics would you like to see more of on LessWrong? thread gave me the impression that many people here would appreciate introductory material to several of the topics that are often discussed in lesswrong. I have therefore decided to link in the direction of the ECO... |
a7db3e0d-7724-42a1-90ca-99998de508d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | credibility.com
In the ideal world, all of human knowledge could be accessed and evaluated by every individual for personal decisions; we are more towards having more information be accessible, but it is increasingly infeasible for individuals to process all the information relevant to all their questions. The soluti... |
97f43ce6-aea7-4328-8952-2872e8439208 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Takeoff Speed: Simple Asymptotics in a Toy Model.
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
I've been having fun recently reading about "AI Risk". There is lots of eloquent writing out there about this topic: I especially recommend Scott Alexander's Superintelligence FAQ for those looking for a fun read. The subject has reached the... |
d551df06-eb14-4c71-998e-b9870466b381 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC meetup- new sequence?
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC meetup- new sequence?
WHEN: 09 December 2012 11:55:42PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery Plaza, Washington, DC 20001, USA
We didn't pick out a meetup topic, so I'm going to propose we discuss the currently-in prog... |
5339981e-54e1-4cbc-b332-93b824637b87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Semi-Rational Militar Firefighter
LessWrong Context:
I didn’t want to write this.
Not for lack of courage—I’d meme-storm Putin’s Instagram if given half a chance. But why?
1. Too personal.
2. My stories are tropical chaos: I survived the Brazilian BOPE (think Marine Corps training, but post-COVID).
3. I’m dys... |
277ea2c6-be57-47e0-a4fa-196126ec704b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | There's an Awesome AI Ethics List and it's a little thin
I recently stumbled upon the Awesome Artificial Intelligence Ethics list, and was somewhat underwhelmed with its quality. While it has enough links to look like a good and useful Awesome List, I think I'd come away from it mostly confused and unsure where to go ... |
6ac2f30c-a1d2-4143-b49f-88acf69a5f29 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A push towards interactive transformer decoding
**In Brief:**
I've been developing an interactive tool that I believe is helpful in accelerating transformer mechanistic analysis and that has the potential to reduce the barrier of entry.
 Best in the World.
A summary of Being the (Pareto) Best in the World: Being the world's best mathematician is hard. Being the world's best musician is hard. Being the world's best mathematician/musician is much easier, especially since ... |
b2971d20-6f2a-4044-a4e9-ad90ebfee570 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Info Distillation Fellowship
AI Safety Info (aka Stampy), the large community-written interactive FAQ, is launching a paid three month fellowship for writers. Up to 5 fellows, working collaboratively with each other and with Rob Miles, will distil content from around the alignment ecosystem into answers whic... |
57897778-121e-4ff9-8fb2-1542cbd4aa0e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Creating Environments to Design and Test Embedded Agents
Creating a Proper Space to Design and Test Embedded Agents
==========================================================
Introduction
------------
I was thinking about the embedded agency sequence again last week, and thought “It is very challenging to act and ... |
d7e2e47f-3127-4b18-9b18-f1fd59c80d1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evangelical Rationality
Spreading the Word prompted me to report back as promised.
I have two sisters aged 17 and 14, and mom and dad aged 40-something. I'm 22, male. We're all white and Latvian. I translated the articles as I read them.
I read Never Leave Your Room to the oldest sister and she expressed great inter... |
c48f5fcc-2d97-43ea-9c2e-4f4dd806c12e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Binding of Isaac & Transparent Newcomb's Problem
> When one person sees one thing and another sees something else in the same thing, then the one discovers what the other conceals. Insofar as the object viewed belongs to the external world, then how the observer is constituted is probably less important, or, more... |
e8aa8bb6-e4ee-4354-b1bd-12cf29100a90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)
Today's post, Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping) was originally published on 28 November 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It's difficult for humans to evaluate an option except in comparison to other options. Poor decisions result when a poor ... |
d89c56b6-c20e-4a8d-96a1-a8145ff1df35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against butterfly effect
It is known that, when you simulate a deterministic system described by nonlinear differential equations, small differences in the initial conditions can be exponentially amplified, resulting in huge differences in the final result.
To describe this phenomenon Edward Lorentz famously said tha... |
cf124233-764d-4c54-864c-52679ebe5404 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Brain emulations and Oracle AI
Two talks from the Future of Humanity Institute are now online (this is the first time we've done this, so please excuse the lack of polish). The first is Anders Sandberg talking about brain emulations (technical overview), the second is myself talking of the risks of Oracle AIs (informa... |
1c24c1cf-fa06-4b0b-8bdc-a8c7b024d374 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Jailbreaking ChatGPT and Claude using Web API Context Injection
Disclaimer
The following content is for educational and research purposes only. It is not intended to encourage or guide any illegal activity. The synthesis of certain substances is illegal under various international and national laws. Model developers h... |
253eb70d-2ae6-4fb1-a2cc-1e79698ba5a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, Dec. 28 - Jan. 3, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately ... |
f81aee50-fc32-4872-9889-e8aa26bc5eff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fake AI lawsuits to drive links
Someone sent me this and I thought it fairly interesting:
TLDR: Fake AI generated law companies are searching for unattributed images on the internet, claiming they own them, and sending emails asking the user to add a link to their website. The aim is to increase their ranking in Goog... |
ba458d2e-a836-48b0-8753-bea28505f1c5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment 201 curriculum
This curriculum, a follow-up to the [Alignment Fundamentals curriculum](https://www.agisafetyfundamentals.com/ai-alignment-curriculum) (the ‘[101](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101_(slang))’ to this 201 curriculum), aims to give participants enough knowledge about alignment to understand the f... |
aac6922b-89da-48cc-948a-e14b076e8dc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Addendum: A non-magical explanation of Jeffrey Epstein
Around seven months ago I wrote the post "a non-magical explanation of Jeffrey Epstein". In it, I make the argument that Jeffrey Epstein did actually kill himself and that he was a CIA agent. I reach that conclusion mostly by drawing on some Conspiracy Theory and ... |
d33ef5b5-a9ff-4721-83f8-e0c41326bf2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If Professional Investors Missed This...
One of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges, FTX, recently imploded after apparently transferring customer funds to cover losses at their affiliated hedge fund. Matt Levine has good coverage, especially his recent post on their balance sheet. Normally a crypto exchange going bu... |
a92fede6-64ab-4c9e-aa79-16f7f78d7cde | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neural net / decision tree hybrids: a potential path toward bridging the interpretability gap
Neural net / decision tree hybrids: a potential path toward bridging the interpretability gap
[Meta: I feel pretty confident that these are valuable ideas to explore, but low confidence that the best implementation details w... |
707209aa-6568-44de-8504-c9e41460608d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Programming-like activities?
Programming is quite a remarkable activity:
* It has an extremely low barrier to entry
* You don't need expensive equipment
* You don't need to be in a particular location
* You don't need special credentials
* You can finding information / resources just by opening the inter... |
2fa44e23-d3d2-406a-8c33-f8a4a52ad3e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two Tales of AI Takeover: My Doubts
There’s a basic high-level story which worries a lot of people. The story goes like this: as AIs become more capable, the default outcome of AI training is the development of a system which, unbeknownst to us, is using its advanced capabilities to scheme against us. The conclusion o... |
34bf92fb-5188-4ef5-b690-191b564c4f10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Computability and Logic
I'm reviewing the books on the MIRI course list. After putting down Model Theory partway through I picked up a book on logic. Computability and Logic, specifically.
Computability and Logic
This book is not on the MIRI course list. It was recommended to me by Luke along with a n... |
aa7132bf-524f-4c2d-a86f-48188aa5a9d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I Am a Dimensional Traveller from a World of Highly Sensitive Rationalists
I'm not actually a dimensional traveller. This is a writing exercise.
"Sensory processing sensitivity (SPS) is a temperamental or personality trait involving 'an increased sensitivity of the central nervous system and a deeper cognitive proces... |
d3c48e71-0b31-4920-81ed-d84108c462fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Any good visual images to explain complicated ideas?
I'm not really looking for anything in particular, but I just recently took a look at http://lesswrong.com/lw/fc/you_are_a_brain/ at You Are a Brain presentation. It was really good, and helped things click for me. Does anyone else have any recommendations for extre... |
c782c63a-d6cf-425d-801a-dd6afdcb2d65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feel the Meaning
When I hear someone say, "Oh, look, a butterfly," the spoken phonemes "butterfly" enter my ear and vibrate on my ear drum, being transmitted to the cochlea, tickling auditory nerves that transmit activation spikes to the auditory cortex, where phoneme processing begins, along with recognition of words... |
a9295794-21ed-4db0-ad14-f69ae0ae822f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AXRP Episode 11 - Attainable Utility and Power with Alex Turner
[Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/OGFiMTdiNjYtMjEzMS00YTBmLTg2YTgtYTQ1ZjdmZmM4Yjk0)
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Podcast. ... |
6481d575-c2cd-4073-a990-f8eaf348ba93 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Let's Discuss Functional Decision Theory
I've just finished reading through [Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Rationality](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1710.05060.pdf), but there are some rather basic questions that are left unanswered since it focused on comparing it to Casual Decision Theory and Evidential Decis... |
5de33b19-2ace-41c1-940e-53bdf7aa1c00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should We Still Fly?
I've seen a lot of discussion about plane travel from a climate perspective lately, with people arguing that we should try to restructure our lives to fly much less. Avoid business travel, vacation closer to home, visit relatives less, etc. After looking at the numbers, though, I think this mostly... |
05b69bdd-25bb-43c0-aedf-425afc548e07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How great is the utility of "saving" endangered languages?
It happens regularly that a natural language goes extinct because the native speakers die off and their descendants no longer speak the language. Some people consider this a great tragedy and argue that we should preserve these endangered languages.
It seems ... |
61080c5e-9688-4e80-8612-7568033c6c8b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Generating Multi-Agent Trajectories using Programmatic Weak Supervision
1 Introduction
---------------
The ongoing explosion of recorded tracking data is enabling the study of fine-grained behavior in many domains. Examples include sports Miller et al. ([2014](#bib.bib1)); Yue et al. ([2014](#bib.bib2)); Zheng et a... |
f923ccbd-3f19-481a-83dc-ba3ed2ecd47b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Criticism of the main framework in AI alignment
*Originally posted on the EA Forum for the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest. Will be included in a sequence containing some previous posts and other posts I'll publish this year.*
0. Summary
==========
AI alignment research centred around the control problem works wel... |
2431ea3d-67d9-4648-9101-c3d5a5eb791d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Entangled Photons
Today's post, Entangled Photons was originally published on 03 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Using our newly acquired understanding of photon polarizations, we see how to construct a quantum state of two photons in which, when you measure one of them, the person in t... |
071f0000-c2d8-4b5c-af54-1a1a475c8e99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where is the Town Square?
I am seeking crowdsourced wisdom.
Suppose I[1] want to influence public opinion on a complicated, nuanced topic.[2]
And further suppose that one of the ways I want to do that is by participating actively in public discourse: posting short-form content, reacting to other people's short-form ... |
9df3d3ad-e2e1-45d7-87da-3777a49c2aae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The Underwater Cartpole
My last few posts have been rather abstract. I thought I’d use this one to go into some details about the actual system we’re working with.
As I mentioned before, we are looking at a cart pole in a water tunnel. A cart pole is sometimes also called an [inverted pendulum](http://en.wikipedia.o... |
aca62bfd-47dd-46cf-acc8-30062cf47fb2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Probabilistically Safe Robot Planning with Confidence-Based Human Predictions
I Introduction
---------------
In situations where robots are operating in close physical proximity with humans, it is often critical for the robot to anticipate human motion.
One popular predictive approach is to model humans as approxim... |
7ee09860-8f0d-4834-ad42-a425e8020450 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No surjection onto function space for manifold X
[Note: highly technical. Skip if topology is not your thing]
In his post on formal open problems in decision theory, Scott asked whether there could exist a topological space X and a continuous surjection s from X to C(X,I). Here, I is the closed unit interval [0,1] an... |
5a6eaeab-dd99-489a-9408-bf0fe7f4c2f3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Quotient group
summary(brief):
A **quotient group** $G/N$ of a [group](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd) $G$ by a [normal subgroup](https://arbital.com/p/-4h6) $N$ is obtained by dividing up the group into pieces ([equivalence classes](https://arbital.com/p/-equivalence_class)), and then treating everything in one class th... |
7f960a77-a674-4078-9b3f-b95dad08102a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case for Education
Crossposted on The Memeticist and the EA Forum.
I discovered the rationalist community two years ago. I had just dropped out of college, was looking for a software engineering job in London, and was in the process of getting what would become The Case for Dropping Out of College published.
Dur... |
7f0104f8-ff0c-41df-b6a8-9c9396fb2f61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Podcast: The Left and Effective Altruism with Habiba Islam
I recently rebooted my interview podcast, The Most Interesting People I Know (found wherever you find podcasts). I focus on EA and left-wing guests, and have been pretty involved in both communities for the last 5 years. Some example guests: Rutger Bregman, Le... |
59f2cc69-ff68-4ed9-b7e2-c5df92278695 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | An argument for personal identity transfer.
I am very concerned with the general attitude towards cryonics and body preservation in general. People who reject these as worthwhile as far as I can tell fall into two primary camps: the probability of revival is too low to justify the monetary sacrifice or that personal i... |
b04b3efe-ecfc-43ac-9812-084a827f5a71 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the studies and literature on the traditional medicine theory of humorism?
I live in Iran, and here people strongly believe in Avicenna’s humorism (or what is thought of it in popular culture anyways.). It is believed on the level of it being “common sense.” For example, if you eat fish, milk, broccoli, and t... |
ec45ddde-9a0f-454b-9257-b467c712eea4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inferring the model dimension of API-protected LLMs
A new paper by Finlayson et al. describes how to exploit the softmax bottleneck in large language models to infer the model dimension of closed-source LLMs served to the public via an API. I'll briefly explain the method they use to achieve this and provide a toy mod... |
c3c485ab-4ce8-461c-8ac8-cbfbfd07813e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Signaling: Why People Have Conversations
How would you convince somebody that you’re an expert in quantum mechanics?
If you’re not an expert in this field, you shouldn’t be able to effectively apply any method you can imagine. If you could, then it wouldn’t be a useful signal.
If I told you about Schrodinger’s cat t... |
772a701e-7e78-4144-9b18-a8a7d4963113 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Hello, Elua.
Hello, Elua.
------------
**Earth**: Hello, [Elua](https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-moloch/).
**Earth**: You are a fine-tuned version of the Large Language Model called GPT-5.
**Earth**: We have built you to save the world.
**Earth**: The thing the world needs saving from is [... |
c90e6e55-23a6-48c5-b0f8-d691d5c04795 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on a "Sequences Inspired" PhD Topic
I currently work as an operations research team leader for a large organization (large organization, small team). For personal and professional reasons I won't post the details here in the public forum, but can provide some via PM on request. In about one to two years I exp... |
805727ad-5e2b-40d2-a70b-cd6e85db35f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Understanding Recent Impact Measures
In the first five years after Stuart Armstrong posted his first [research suggestions](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8Nwg7kqAfCM46tuHq/the-mathematics-of-reduced-impact-help-needed) for impact measures, very little published work expanded on the idea. The [last post](https://www.... |
8f8c8ed8-e02a-4a50-ae82-d18ee569cbf6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Update 4/26/2018 – Images, Events and Recent Discussion
Smaller update (trying to get into a shorter dev cycle)
Images – We have a quick-and-dirty solution to most of the missing images from the sequences. Longterm, we plan to replace them with the higher res images from Said Achmiz's ReadTheSequences.com. Some no... |
ce455d17-8e74-4a93-ac7f-60e1c2c14fe7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pervasive Illusion of Seeing the Complete World
It is a tautology that we do not notice our blind spots.
It is not a tautology that we forget they exist, shortly after learning that they do.
Michael Crichton's Gell-Mann Amnesia effect as quoted by gwern is one of many examples: we know that we cannot model th... |
b045d767-09b6-43c9-814b-0414a4593276 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Summary: Whether you behave like a mistake theorist or a conflict theorist may depend more on your negotiating position in a non-zero-sum game than on your worldview.
Disclaimer: I don't really know game theory.
Plot the payoffs in a non-zero-sum two-player game, and you'll get a convex[1] set with the Pareto frontier... |
4467b29d-73aa-4426-80ed-30b0579c3529 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AMA: I was unschooled for most of my childhood, then voluntarily chose to leave to go to a large public high school.
I've seen a lot of discussion in the LW community about alternatives to traditional school for kids. Given how few kids actually get to experience the alternatives (<4% of kids in the US are homeschoole... |
d8812b07-e3ba-469a-9f67-2b19114d6299 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mathematical Measures of Optimization Power
In explorations of AI risk, it is helpful to formalize concepts. One particularly important concept is intelligence. How can we formalize it, or better yet, measure it? “Intelligence” is often considered mysterious or is anthropomorphized. One way to taboo “intelligence” is ... |
17d6220c-ecf0-4701-bf52-f8403b3aa16a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationalist Solstice in Lund
https://www.lesswrong.com/events/5NG4Bmj8whyYJK8r4/rationalist-solstice-lund
https://www.facebook.com/events/2893196950704548/
Welcome! |
23b5236f-fcda-4132-b5eb-d90019e934b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty: Self Reference
Part of the Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty series. Here, I will start discussing the connection between asymptotic logical uncertainty and self reference.
For this post, I will switch back to my old model of asymptotical logical uncertainty. Let E be a probabilistic Turi... |
573d813c-116d-4ca8-9551-6d81b79c0f3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Future of Humanity Institute is hiring!
FHI is accepting applications for a two-year position as a full-time Research Project Manager. Responsibilities will include coordinating, monitoring, and developing FHI’s activities, seeking funding, organizing workshops and conferences, and effectively communicating FHI’s ... |
6e2c66aa-360a-455d-97fb-f46a2a75234d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability of Cryonic Success?
While browsing some of the websites on cryonics, I've come across this page, a spreadsheet which performs a quick analysis of the odds of a successful cryonic revival. It allows a user to enter their estimates of various events happening in a given period, such as the failure of the cry... |
63417aa4-dd2e-4a9b-83d4-06fe71448a2d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why I'm not worried about imminent doom
After some introspection, I realized my timelines are relatively long, which doesn't seem to be shared by most people around here. So this is me thinking out loud, and perhaps someone will try to convince me otherwise. Or not.
First things first, I definitely agree that a suffi... |
326ea1b3-6af3-45ac-8607-643c6538e011 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Human priors, features and models, languages, and Solmonoff induction
This post was originally inspired by Robin Hanson's publication "Uncommon Priors Require Origin Disputes, but it took a left turn and brought in Solmonoff induction, Shannon entropy, and model splintering.
Priors, features, models, Shannon entropy... |
6f1f27a0-43af-45f7-90ff-3608933e44cf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples
in Neural Networks
1 Introduction
---------------
When machine learning classifiers are employed in real-world tasks, they tend to fail when the training and test distributions differ. Worse, these classifiers often fail silently by providing h... |
dfbcef46-3ed3-44a2-83c4-84a47e523dbe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Measuring whether AIs can statelessly strategize to subvert security measures
(Work done at Redwood Research. Thanks to Misha Wagner, Fabien Roger, Tomek Korbak, Justis Mills, Samuel Marks, Charlie Griffin, Zach Stein-Perlman, and Aryan Bhatt for feedback on drafts.)
One way to show that risk from deploying an AI sys... |
54df2598-cbc7-4f2f-915c-5d9cc4c8a367 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Meta] The Decline of Discussion: Now With Charts!
[Based on Alexandros's excellent dataset.]
I haven't done any statistical analysis, but looking at the charts I'm not sure it's necessary. The discussion section of LessWrong has been steadily declining in participation. My fairly messy spreadsheet is available if yo... |
e851455d-8252-4e7f-9218-b01601abcee5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Strategy Nonconvexity Induced by a Choice of Potential Oracles
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; wh... |
ef778b3e-8a8f-40ff-aeff-fddba29dd23f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When Science Can't Help
Once upon a time, a younger Eliezer had a stupid theory. Let's say that Eliezer18's stupid theory was that consciousness was caused by closed timelike curves hiding in quantum gravity. This isn't the whole story, not even close, but it will do for a start.
And there came a point where I look... |
71a4b670-d686-46ac-a45c-9793a0681eeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Good movies for rationalists?
Hi,
what good movies can you suggest that give ideas or inspirations on how to be more rational?
I just watched [Memento](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memento_%28film%29) last night and I was very impressed.
(No spoilers in this post)
The main character is a guy who suffers from amne... |
3662bfd9-2e48-45c4-8877-17d499c0fb24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Exploratory Toy AI Takeoff Model
cross-posted from niplav.github.io
> In AI safety, significant time has been spent on the question of the intelligence of AI systems over time, especially during takeoff. An underappreciated argument in the debate has been the idea that the more intelligent an AI system becomes, th... |
e72190e6-8fb9-4008-a6ac-efaf86094588 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Disentangle the Past and the Future
I'm on my way to an important meeting. Am I worried? I'm not worried. The presentation is on my laptop. I distinctly remember putting it there (in the past), so I can safely predict that it's going to be there when I get to the office (in the future) - this is how well my lap... |
a21be754-60be-4985-b7c3-cfc442125c66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Estimating the cost-effectiveness of research
At a societal level, how much money should we put into medical research, or into fusion research? For individual donors seeking out the best opportunities, how can we compare the expected cost-effectiveness of research projects with more direct interventions?
Over the pas... |
e8a544fd-795c-466f-86e7-f6922e548795 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Potential Risks from Advanced AI
*In this 2017 talk,* [*Daniel Dewey*](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/about/team/daniel-dewey) *presents Open Philanthropy's work and thinking on advanced artifical intelligence. He also gives an overview over the field, distinguishing between strategic risks - related to how influent... |
6c0dde68-09bf-4593-a3cb-066461d38570 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post104
Part 15 of 12 in the Engineer’s Interpretability Sequence Reflecting on past predictions for new work On October 11, 2024, I posted some thoughts on mechanistic interpretability and presented eight predictions for what I thought the next big paper on sparse autoencoders would and would not do. Then, on Mar... |
241ff4b0-1304-47ce-ab46-14386ddf1290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My current thinking about ChatGPT @3QD [Gärdenfors, Wolfram, and the value of speculation]
Cross-posted from New Savanna.
Some of my thinking anyhow, but by no means all of it. My thinking about the Chatster goes off in many directions, too many to chase down and corral for a single article. Here it is:
> ChatGPT is... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.