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e61dfacf-cbaf-4fd7-9d19-f5a05fabf55b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meme: Valuable Vulnerability
There's an idea i've encountered in a couple essays and posts (not on LW) that being emotionally vulnerable is, counterintuitively, a desirable trait. I think this is usually defined as being in a state where what you observe is liable to create negative emotions in you (or in some definit... |
ff521148-1668-4dce-b214-582e481e10ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bind Yourself to Reality
So perhaps you're reading all this, and asking: "Yes, but what does this have to do with reductionism?"
Partially, it's a matter of leaving a line of retreat. It's not easy to take something important apart into components, when you're convinced that this removes magic from the world, unwea... |
21177626-aee4-4bc2-909d-46b2a40dfabf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Collaboration-by-Design versus Emergent Collaboration
Introduction
This seems to be a non-trivial problem for even current narrow AI, which is much more problematic for strong NAI, which I haven't seen called out or named explicitly. I provide a quick literature review to explain why I think it's ignored in classic mu... |
b54ea6d1-9253-44bd-88c9-90c8f10b52c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Her Internal
In my previous blog post, I explicated my current model for the origin and function of prior clusters, which I associate with Jung’s archetypes and the general idea of cognitive subagents. In this post and the following, I want to examine a specific archetypal dyad in the context of an enchanting Spike Jo... |
8722c5e5-9d00-4ad2-a16c-745f70bf8c44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do you use twitter for intellectual engagement? Do you like it?
By happenstance I never started using social media much, and when I stumbled onto the Deep Work mindset I began intentionally avoiding it.
One thing I'd like in my life is an intellectual community, where I can routinely go to find people's thoughts that... |
aff5fda2-fbf4-4afd-b4c0-8b084a93eeba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Voluntary Behavior, Conscious Thoughts
Skinner proposes a surprisingly easy way to dissolve the problem of what it means for an action to be "voluntary", or "under voluntary control".
We commonly perceive certain actions as under voluntary control: for example, I can control what words I'm typing right now, or whethe... |
bc955d16-15a9-4006-b303-addf791d3366 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Measuring Coding Challenge Competence With APPS.
1 Introduction
---------------
Computer programming can be found in nearly all parts of society. Spanning entertainment, healthcare, education, and more, programming is an extraordinarily general tool with applications that are vast in scope. As computers are becomin... |
7d0bd004-0d87-4449-a35b-c0103c566168 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Former OpenAI Superalignment Researcher: Superintelligence by 2030
> The AGI race has begun. We are building machines that can think and reason. By 2025/26, these machines will outpace many college graduates. By the end of the decade, they will be smarter than you or I; we will have superintelligence, in the true sens... |
d5a5dd5f-a25f-4eec-b9f2-3286a9d14669 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | How bad a future do ML researchers expect?
*Katja Grace, 8 March 2023*
In our [survey last year](https://wiki.aiimpacts.org/doku.php?id=ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:2022_expert_survey_on_progress_in_ai), we asked publishing machine learning researchers how they would divid... |
6d48406a-8bb5-4063-8314-f115459077ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : DC Meetup: Boardgames
Discussion article for the meetup : DC Meetup: Boardgames
WHEN: 07 October 2012 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery Courtyard
We'll be meeting to play boardgames! Please post here or email the list if you can bring games, and hope to see you there!
Discussion article... |
0863bcf3-8d2c-4d51-b461-637cf8eea11a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #101]: Why we should rigorously measure and forecast AI progress
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this sp... |
755a5c44-4c6f-4ef9-8005-dedbfc384459 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Problem With Patternism
Patternism is the belief that the thing that makes 'you' 'you' can be described as a simple pattern. When there is a second being with the same mental pattern as you, that being is also you. This comes up mostly in the debate around mind-upoading, where if you make a digital copy of yourself,... |
9602ac6f-e829-4c61-a818-f0d925381ba8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Might whole brain emulation require quantum-level emulation?
Most experts seem to think that [whole brain emulation](http://www.philosophy.ox.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0019/3853/brain-emulation-roadmap-report.pdf) will not require emulation down to the quantum level, but perhaps at the level of atoms or even molecu... |
3e8eef2a-736f-4ad6-8062-8194473d0478 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London Practical - Sunday 7th July
Discussion article for the meetup : London Practical - Sunday 7th July
WHEN: 07 July 2013 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, London WC2B 6BG
One of our fortnightly meetups. This is going to be a practical session (we are alternating practical/social), which mean... |
5343cf8d-c63c-42ee-828a-fe366927e846 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Simplest Good
Common Law AI worked better than anyone expected.
Dr. Sarah Chen was skeptical from the start. "You're essentially training them to be moral judges," she warned during the initial architecture review. "What if they overfit on ethics?" The room laughed. "Better than the alternative," someone quipped.... |
deddce78-48b0-4734-8da2-3261e75b0137 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You don't know how bad most things are nor precisely how they're bad.
TL;DR: Your discernment in a subject often improves as you dedicate time and attention to that subject. The space of possible subjects is huge, so on average your discernment is terrible, relative to what it could be. This is a serious problem if yo... |
fb18b2e4-31db-41b6-88c6-8989084c9db2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality for Other People
I'm putting this through discussion because I’ve never written a main section post before… If you have helpful criticism please comment with it, and if it does well I’ll post it in the main section when I get back from school tomorrow.
Things between the bars are intended to be in the fin... |
abe1d563-a8c8-4f09-9672-a6b5059d6597 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, June 27 - July 3, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately ... |
c19cd6d9-e3b1-4bff-a206-ef9aeb38888f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SIAI May report
http://singinst.org/blog/2012/06/16/singularity-institute-progress-report-may-2012/
I'm posting it in an unofficial capacity as a reminder to Luke to post it here also :) |
a5d3cb68-bb9c-458b-9064-32b89358bacd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Demis Hassabis "Systems neuroscience and AGI"
I'm going to be speaking about systems
neuroscience and how it might be used to
help us build AGI and really my talk
split into sort of two parts so firstly
I'm going to make the case for why I
think that systems neuroscience might
have an important role to play and then
I... |
8ef844cd-680f-472d-8fed-e917ddd173f4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | It Can't Be Mesa-Optimizers All The Way Down (Or Else It Can't Be Long-Term Supercoherence?)
*Epistemic status: After a couple hours of arguing with myself, this still feels potentially important, but my thoughts are pretty raw here.*
Hello LessWrong! I’m an undergraduate student studying at the University of Wiscons... |
de154fd7-4ed8-40d7-81b1-5177244d7343 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | November 2016 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out th... |
32f56b0e-68b7-4c7f-b9fb-bf763bcdd755 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mapping ChatGPT’s ontological landscape, gradients and choices [interpretability]
Cross-posted from New Savanna.
By ontological landscape I mean the repertoire of different things it knows about. The parlor game, Twenty questions, was invented in the United States in the 19th century as a way of playing around on th... |
e789db9f-1deb-4296-ac44-cb85788f1521 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The "Backchaining to Local Search" Technique in AI Alignment
In the spirit of this [post](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/7CJBiHYxebTmMfGs3/infinite-data-compute-arguments-in-alignment) by John S. Wentworth, this is a reference for a technique I learned from Evan Hubinger. He's probably not the first to use it, b... |
15ea7d0e-dff2-4c65-a83b-b7da8fcc00e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Future of Go" summit with AlphaGo
|
4e74d0bb-fd83-4f52-9b6d-dc82d74f31ae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why I'm joining Anthropic
*Personal blogpost. Previously: “[What I'll be doing at MIRI](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/ptmmK9PWgYTuWToaZ/what-i-ll-be-doing-at-miri)”*
For the last three years (since I left OpenAI), I've been a Research Fellow at MIRI. Starting next week, however, I'm going to be stepping down ... |
0982cb5c-a49a-4518-9a78-23291a99fe38 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Full toy model for preference learning
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float... |
12edb939-2ee5-4d1f-8b80-cc83e8003ab9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formalizing Value Extrapolation
A recent post at my blog may be interesting to LW. It is a high-level discussion of what precisely defined value extrapolation might look like. I mostly wrote the essay while a visitor at FHI.
The basic idea is that we can define extrapolated values by just taking an emulation of a hu... |
9ca1eced-f210-47c8-868b-503f3ed10a24 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimizing Feedback to Learn Faster
(This post is to a significant extent just a rewrite of this excellent comment from niplav. It is one of the highest-leverage insights I know for learning faster.)
Theory
To a large extent we learn by updating on feedback. You might e.g. get positive feedback from having an insigh... |
1a85834a-5e9e-4f65-953e-d123a9bd57dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scott Alexander's "Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know"
This is a linkpost, created for the 2021 Review.
> I know I’m two months late here. Everyone’s already made up their mind and moved on to other things.
>
> But here’s my pitch: this is one of the most carefully-pored-over scientific issues of our time... |
170304ee-e035-4c13-a25d-58b43b66e7dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent progress on the science of evaluations
Summary: This post presents new methodological innovations presented in the paper General Scales Unlock AI Evaluation with Explanatory and Predictive Power. The paper introduces a set of general (universal) cognitive abilities that allow us to predict and explain AI system... |
4f495dea-03ab-4e77-b9ee-0866405bbc1f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI safety milestones?
Optimal governance interventions depend on progress in technical AI safety. For example, two rough technical safety milestones are *have metrics to determine how scary a model's capabilities are* and *have a tool to determine whether a model is trying to deceive you*. Our governance plans should ... |
082b2584-190c-49d6-aad7-9295f858767a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LINK: Diseases not sufficiently researched
This Chart Shows The Worst Diseases That Don't Get Enough Research Money
We have already covered this topic several times on LW, but what prompted me to link this was this remark:
> Of course, where research dollars flow isn't —and shouldn't be— dictated simply in terms of ... |
be0948fb-988e-4a96-b0e0-9146dc4bf495 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meditation retreat highlights
None |
b92c9123-d31e-44d0-ad9f-960081da27fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Petrov Day Reminder
9/26 is Petrov Day. It is the time of year where we celebrate the world not being destroyed. Let your friends and family know.
|
5b9efd77-0679-4775-a450-f4f4d59b7148 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TED Talks for Less Wrong
Dan Ariely talks about pain and cheating. In a nutshell: people report less pain when (i) they experience the strongest pain first; (ii) they experience less pain for a longer interval rather than more pain for a shorter interval; (iii) they can take breaks. The data falsifies the common intui... |
ef9f0e3b-9944-493b-ab49-bf7a235688b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 1h-volunteers needed for a small AI Safety-related research project
Hi everyone!
I'm currently doing an AI Safety internship where we're carrying out a research study about "multimodal models: usefulness and safety". In this project, we want to analyse how people can directly use language models (and multimodal mode... |
9d4bdc86-4871-4fa6-87bb-f7f8d38d9935 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Middle Child Phenomenon
Since I've seen no one talk about this, I'm coining the phrase 'Middle Child Phenomenon'.
A law student who entered university four (4) years ago is faced with a curriculum that became completely outdated two (2) years in. Let's take a cohort of 1000 law students from 2020, and explain from th... |
e129f123-dd30-495f-9b6e-264622399ce2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I'm resigning as Meetup Czar. What's next?
After ~3 years as the ACX Meetup Czar, I've decided to resign from my position, and I intend to scale back my work with the LessWrong community as well. While this transition is not without some sadness, I'm excited for my next project.
I'm the Meetup Czar of the new Fewerst... |
56570eac-f047-44ab-ad4d-6692d0a764b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knowledge and Provability Inclusion
Introduction: The Vanishing Sky Analogy
Consider the following analogy:
In a universe undergoing accelerating expansion, distant galaxies gradually slip beyond our horizon, until the point at which their light can no longer reach us. They become causally disconnected from us: their... |
34a6b383-2249-421f-8acc-fb3b609a5875 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "This website is devoted to the art of rationality, and as such, is a wonderful corrective to wrong facts and, more importantly, wrong procedures for finding out facts.There is, however, another type of cognitive phenomenon that I’ve come to consider particularly troublesome, because it militates against rationality in... |
3aaf3926-35ac-49b3-9960-da58c50c2696 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reminder: Blog Post Day (Unofficial)
In case you missed the earlier post, or saw it and forgot: You are invited to join us online today to write that blog post you've been thinking about writing but never got around to. Anyone and everyone is invited; you are especially encouraged to join if you have never written a b... |
10d94187-bf22-420a-ab75-f46b877ef7c6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | unviable moral patients
unviable moral patients
-----------------------
in [∀V](%E2%88%80V.html) i talk about the plausible ethical unviability of human children.
but, there is a broader category of moral patient whose existence i believe must be prevented due to their ethical unviability. for example, a moral pat... |
b642a453-0119-47ef-acc5-1f0bb61097bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Political Lottery in Switzerland
Sortition, that is selection of political officials by lottery, was famously used in ancient Athenian democracy. It was also used, since XIV. century, in couple of city states in northern Italy.
A less well known fact is that it was also used in the Old Swiss Confederacy.
In canton G... |
852ee8b7-5874-4ea5-a463-5e1058630067 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Instrumental Convergence to Complexity Preservation
*Epistemic status: Speculative, seeking serious critique*
*TL;DR: Increase in intelligence is a convergent instrumental value. Increase in intelligence is equivalent to increase in the quality of compression of complexity. Non-simulated complexity is a scarce resour... |
b56acb2d-1665-4abf-a44b-60bc3803875f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Frustration and Regret
I've always been drawn to the palpable aspects of life – theories, behaviors, and ideas that shape our reality and our place within it. However, this post marks a departure towards something more introspective and, perhaps, a tad spiritual. It's an exploration of personal philosophies that I ... |
a18f056f-0002-4fe8-b52c-71e931485d1c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What cognitive trigger-action plans did you implement?
Trigger-Action Plan, as opposed to Trigger-Action Pattern means the mental algorithm was voluntarily implemented.
Cognitive TAP means the trigger originates in the brain. For example "confusion" is a cognitive trigger, whereas "opening a door" is a physical one a... |
7b0b5098-a040-4624-89b8-2f8ff0efd288 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I Moved from AI to Neuroscience, or: Uploading Worms
This post is shameless self-promotion, but I'm told that's probably okay in the Discussion section. For context, as some of you are aware, I'm aiming to model C. elegans based on systematic high-throughput experiments - that is, to upload a worm. I'm still worki... |
c79a7b2c-8fc3-4375-bcc0-4addbb559288 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Metamathematics and Probability
|
7bb06adb-ee72-4246-9e5e-14e3b92babb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Penalize Model Complexity Via Self-Distillation
When you self-distill a model (e.g. train a new model using predictions from your old model), the resulting model represents a less complex function. After many rounds of self-distillation, you essentially end up with a constant function. This paper makes the above more ... |
81f2b8e5-6a8c-4ff7-8396-1b5d5ca3c2fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nobody Is Perfect, Everything Is Commensurable
I.
Recently spotted on Tumblr:
> “This is going to be an unpopular opinion but I see stuff about ppl not wanting to reblog ferguson things and awareness around the world because they do not want negativity in their life plus it will cause them to have anxiety. They come... |
9d8fa44f-889b-4349-bff1-2017c521a48b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Provably Safe AI: Worldview and Projects
In September 2023, Max Tegmark and Steve Omohundro proposed "Provably Safe AI" as a strategy for AI Safety. In May 2024, a larger group delineated the broader concept of "Guaranteed Safe AI" which includes Provably Safe AI and other related strategies. In July, 2024, Ben Goldha... |
ddae05ef-43ed-40ae-9760-08ee2d13ad36 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment allows "nonrobust" decision-influences and doesn't require robust grading
*Definition.* On how I use words, values are decision-influences (also known as [*shards*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iCfdcxiyr2Kj8m8mT)). “I value doing well at school” is a short sentence for “in a range of contexts, there exist... |
4eddea6f-f7f8-467f-b8aa-a646bcaad633 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The End (of Sequences)
This concludes the final sequence on Overcoming Bias / Less Wrong. I have not said everything I wanted to say, but I hope I have said (almost) everything I needed to say. (Such that I actually could say it in these twenty-one months of daily posting, August 2007 through April 2009.)
The proje... |
175669d8-2032-4f28-8536-eefaaff49575 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s September 2013 Workshop
From September 7-13, MIRI will host its **4th Workshop on Logic, Probability, and Reflection**. The focus of this workshop will be the foundations of [decision theory](http://lesswron... |
89ad60e5-adca-4334-9c3c-0fec8fb7e2a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decision theory and zero-sum game theory, NP and PSPACE
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
(Cross-posted from my blog)
At a rough level:
* Decision theory is about making decisions to maximize some objective function.
* Zero-sum game theory is about making decisions to optimize some objective function while someone else is making ... |
1af4bc24-dec1-48a5-9718-95d7035468f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Problem About Bargaining and Logical Uncertainty
Suppose you wake up as a paperclip maximizer. Omega says "I calculated the millionth digit of pi, and it's odd. If it had been even, I would have made the universe capable of producing either 1020 paperclips or 1010 staples, and given control of it to a staples maximi... |
5148da80-9259-499a-ba52-19101356c847 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Resource Request] What's the sequence post which explains you should continue to believe things about a particle moving that's moving beyond your ability to observe it?
I think it's a good and legitimate use of the question system to ask people to help you locate posts you can't quite remember where it is, or request... |
a765dd36-1ad1-412e-8af3-c57fb036e620 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On being in a bad place and too stubborn to leave.
I know, it’s probably a good deal too personal a topic for LW. Don’t hesitate to downvote it into oblivion.
In high school, I had to choose what to study at uni. I was, then, a bright enough student, autistic but just enough to be a little nerdy and dorky. I had been... |
3cc5a2d7-add4-4685-8d6a-19608e487a6c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How teams went about their research at AI Safety Camp edition 8
AI Safety Camp connects new collaborators worldwide to discuss and decide on a concrete research proposal, gear up online as a team, and try their hand at AI safety research during intensive coworking sprints.
Fourteen teams formed at this year's virtual... |
f4c3c72b-6bc5-44b5-ae00-ca7490797ed5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Precisely Bound Demons and their Behavior
EY posted this on reddit, I'd like to know what you'd do with it:
https://www.reddit.com/r/HPMOR/comments/2y56qg/precisely_bound_demons_and_their_behavior/
I can't promise this will turn into a sufficiently good environment for storytelling or that I'll write in it, but you ... |
a8f73fcc-b682-4e31-8fa4-b93312a1feb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality and Positive Psychology
Robin recently had us consider the costs of rationality, but I have been thinking about the benefits. I typically think of rationality as having instrumental value, but after reading Mihály Csíkszentmihályi's work on flow, I began pondering its status as an intrinsically fulfill... |
1433bc83-08ec-46b8-8c88-9f166e50dbf0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | NeurIPSorICML_a0nfw-by Vael Gates-date 20220318
# Interview with AI Researchers NeurIPSorICML\_a0nfw by Vael Gates
\*\*Interview with a0nfw, on 3/18/22\*\*
\*\*0:00:02.3 Vael:\*\* Alright. So my first question is, can you tell me about what area of AI you work on in a few sentences?
\*\*0:00:08.7 Interviewee:\*\* Y... |
b5d14aca-3993-429d-bba7-7d72020526c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sunday, 20/8/30, 12pm PDT – Tagging Celebration: Habryka/Crawford + Party
FB Event
Woop! Woop! This past Saturday, gallant taggers brought our immense first tagging campaign to a close. The archives have been swept and every post with over 25 karma has been given at least one tag. To date, 15,440 tags have been appli... |
bf8ee7b5-cc2c-426b-81ac-3273c47c0167 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Quantum Non-Realism
Today's post, Quantum Non-Realism was originally published on 08 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> "Shut up and calculate" is the best approach you can take when none of your theories are very good. But that is not the same as claiming that "Shut up!" actually is a the... |
0cebb811-ca72-4195-b96f-c01191e5d3f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | UK AI Policy Report: Content, Summary, and its Impact on EA Cause Areas
**Foreword**
Two days ago the UK Government released their [Policy Report (Command Paper 728](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/establishing-a-pro-innovation-approach-to-regulating-ai/establishing-a-pro-innovation-approach-to-regulating... |
d1fc0862-ad19-424f-b3a3-40d74d1a9ddb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 7/7/22: Paxlovid at the Pharmacy
Pharmacists are going to be allowed to prescribe Paxlovid, while doctors continue to be confused by the guideline of ‘you can give this life-saving medicine that cures disease to the people who are sick with that disease.’ The news on the vaccine update front is good. Cases and d... |
0b54deca-3e74-4ff9-aa96-89c1727252d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anything you can do with n AIs, you can do with two (with directly opposed objectives)
Summary: For any normal-form game, it's possible to cast the problem of finding a correlated equilibrium in this game as a 2-player zero-sum game. This seems useful because zero-sum games are easy to analyze and more resistant to co... |
574ca4ee-a65b-42a8-ad3a-cbe02b9bcad0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Value is Fragile
If I had to pick a single statement that *relies* on more Overcoming Bias content I've written than any other, that statement would be:
*Any Future **not** shaped by a goal system with detailed reliable inheritance from human morals and metamorals, will contain almost nothing of worth.*
"Well," sa... |
db5f7a3e-33dd-4ddb-af6c-55b2982f9ead | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs
> As AIs rapidly advance and become more agentic, the risk they pose is governed not only by their capabilities but increasingly by their propensities, including goals and values. Tracking the emergence of goals and values has proven a longst... |
7eaccb12-2ce9-4d4a-a245-c39b48ac880d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Rationalist Haggadot Collection
Passover is coming, which means some of us will be celebrating Secular Seders. For those wanting to celebrate but looking for resources, I present: the Rationalist Haggadot Collection, an archive of all rationalist Seder ritual books known to me. Pick and choose whatever parts you l... |
b3f40e75-90f1-48e4-8455-401891369663 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (ACT) 101
I'm interested in (1) hearing from anyone with experience of ACT, (2) if anyone has tried both ACT and other types of CBT and a comparison (especially if you prefer other types of CBT), and (3) evidence for/against ACT.
ACT = Acceptance and Commitment Therapy (pronounced as... |
39654d60-d150-4118-8991-ea8978de1703 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Lies and Liars
Note: I am a bad writer. If you want to help me by ghostwriting, reviewing or coaching, please reach out! I have a full stack of things to share, and I can pay well.
I’ve gotten quite a bit of feedback on my last post: “Lying is Cowardice, not Strategy”. Nice! I’ve been happy to see people discussin... |
6e25d518-8a28-49ca-9649-373c56b88cb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ward 5: Jack Perenick and Naima Sait
I live in Ward 5 in Somerville, where there are two candidates running for city council this fall: Jack Perenick and Naima Sait. On Sunday both of them stopped by our neighborhood block party, and we got a chance to talk. As in 2021, the high cost of housing continues to be my prim... |
2e0fdcb6-c828-48ec-830c-522aa5ec8677 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whence the sexes?
There are many explanations of the evolutionary value of sex in terms of gene exchange (I particularly like this one). But these don’t explain the evolutionary value of having sexes: of the differentiation between males and females. A species of hermaphrodites would get all the genetic benefits of se... |
f7880b70-5ab2-4ea6-a9c0-1d10fe600c83 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Robust Learning via Robust Optimization (Stefanie Jegelka, Foundations of Safe Learning Workshop)
all right let's let's continue welcome
back our next speaker is Stephanie
yogyakarta Stephanie is a X Windows
concert team career weapon professor at
MIT she got her PhD from ETH Zurich and
the Max Planck Institute for
in... |
a4c515d3-656b-45da-a78d-3910265438d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gradient Hacking via Schelling Goals
Thanks to several people for useful discussion, including Evan Hubinger, Leo Gao, Beth Barnes, Richard Ngo, William Saunders, Daniel Ziegler, and probably others -- let me know if I'm leaving you out.
See also: Obstacles to Gradient Hacking by Leo Gao.
I want to argue that gradie... |
73c41808-2469-4ccf-ad93-f84e553bb407 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)
> An oblong slip of newspaper had appeared between O'Brien's fingers. For perhaps five seconds it was within the angle of Winston's vision. It was a photograph, and there was no question of its identity. It was the photograph. It was another copy of the photograph of Jones, Aaronson... |
017e9a50-dc83-4b4a-acce-e09882d72793 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Serendipity of Density
One thing I really appreciate about living in Somerville is how density facilitates serendipity. Higher density means more of the places we might want to go are within walking distance, and then walking (and high density again) means we're more likely to run into friends.
This afternoon we ... |
1a13a0fb-4095-4480-b138-a74295040c10 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post21
Misaligned AIs might engage in research sabotage: making safety research go poorly by doing things like withholding their best ideas or putting subtle bugs in experiments. To mitigate this risk with AI control, we need very different techniques than those in the original control paper or Ctrl-Z , because re... |
310ec705-c20e-454a-8232-106a9b7e0e8f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Adversarial training, importance sampling, and anti-adversarial training for AI whistleblowing
(Thanks to Ajeya Cotra and Ryan Greenblatt for comments.)
I’m pretty interested in adversarial training as an ingredient in alignment schemes. The basic setup for adversarial training is that instead of your AI being traine... |
54a8f21f-eb63-4339-8e67-c482ce21f1a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aging and the geroscience hypothesis
Cautionary introduction
I am a biomedical engineer with an interest in the science of aging. The Handbook of the Biology of Aging, 9th ed, is a great 400-page introductory resource, looking at aging on every level from evolutionary and conceptual, to public health, to specific mole... |
8fd63b7c-b2f9-403a-9cd2-9bc9b0fb553b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Galatea and the windup toy
In previous posts on AI I have given some critiques regarding the orthogonality thesis and rationalist notions of optimizing towards rational, coherent goals. The purpose of this blog is to correct mistakes and carry the conclusions of those blogs forward. To summarize, these previous blogs ... |
541e9738-292d-4bbf-b682-beb281b29bb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Meetup #8 - Reversed stupidity is not intelligence
Discussion article for the meetup : Meetup #8 - Reversed stupidity is not intelligence
WHEN: 11 December 2016 03:11:11PM (+0100)
WHERE: Meester Treublaan 18, 1097 DP Amsterdam, Netherlands
Part relaxed socializing, part rationalist dojo. Hang around at the... |
6e214565-dc95-4b11-b1c0-4c66f558b69f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Simple theory of IMDB bias
IMDB top 250 list is dominated by old movies, which conflicts with my perception (shared by majority of people as far as I can tell) that new movies are far better than old movies (comparing either top with top or average with average).
I have a simple theory why IMDB is wrong:
* For ne... |
83c9ff6a-56d4-45f7-b113-6e974e846361 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where did my comments go?
I was googling to see if I'd already posted some stuff on LessWrong, and I found it in a web cache, but not on the site. Compare Google's Sept. 8 2010 cache of a LessWrong post to the version now on LessWrong. Everything between the comment made by MBlume on 20 April 2009 02:58:50AM, and th... |
26b86764-59ae-4a9c-b96d-fd68ae0bc7db | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Risk in Africa
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a collection of technologies that enable computer programs to act with higher levels of intelligence. From the recommender algorithm on YouTube to self-driving cars, AI can encompass any computer program which exhibits intelligent behavior.
The AI technologies we are ... |
9d572477-fe04-44ac-bd4c-9d04b89b0f17 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Carl Shulman Could we use untrustworthy human brain emulations to make trustworthy ones
so i need to take advantage of anders
and robin
and i'm just saying absolutely nothing
about what foreign innovation is
uh we'll say a bit
about
why it's worth talking about
so there are arguments that full brain
emulation is sort ... |
7945562a-ac19-45f8-a8c5-0aa41a1077f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | List #2: Why coordinating to align as humans to not develop AGI is a lot easier than, well... coordinating as humans with AGI coordinating to be aligned with humans
A friend in technical AI Safety shared a list of cruxes for their next career step.
A sub-crux for [non-stoppable AI progress](https://www.lesswron... |
c8d5fd67-f7be-4f20-b75a-ad371d92c759 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to evaluate (50%) predictions
I commonly hear (sometimes from very smart people) that 50% predictions are meaningless. I think that this is wrong, and also that saying it hints at the lack of a coherent principle by which to evaluate whether or not a set of predictions is meaningful or impressive. Here is my attem... |
e8e9f0a3-5774-4248-9e7d-27e65e295968 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is neural network modularity?
If a neural network is *modular*, that means it consists of clusters (modules) of neurons, such that the neurons within the cluster are strongly connected to each other, but only weakly connected to the rest of the network.
Making networks more modular is useful to us if the modules... |
7f443385-62ae-4c98-bffc-fc19bebc66f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on "Can you control the past"
The following is a (lightly edited version of a) series of notes I sent Joe Carlsmith about his essay, Can you control the past?. It's addressed to Joe, but it seems worth publishing here while I'm on the topic of decision theory. I’ve included some of his comments, and my replies, ... |
5d4e2e3c-b006-42d8-b228-4b8cc944b631 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | on bacteria, on teeth
You may have heard that tooth decay is caused by bacteria producing lactic acid. Let's consider that a little more deeply.
criteria for decay
To effectively cause cavities, bacteria must meet 4 criteria:
* Anchoring (with special proteins) to either the tooth surface or something connected to... |
0faccc22-0bc4-43ca-9aed-6fef6d05ba95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | What if you turned the world’s hardware into AI minds?
*By Katja Grace, 4 September 2016*
In a classic ‘AI takes over the world’ scenario, one of the first things an emerging superintelligence wants to do is steal most of the world’s computing hardware and repurpose it to running the AI’s own software. This step tak... |
7fe391ac-948d-4864-96ee-e437c269f647 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fractional Sweets
We have a rule with the kids that they can have two sweets a day: one before dinner and one after. They don't roll over, so you can't skip your morning sweet to have two evening ones. You can eat just part of a sweet, though, and Lily (5y) has gotten really into fractional sweets.
It started with tr... |
aff904f5-7edb-4a34-9517-02b76014440d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny
*Click lower right to download or find on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, etc.*
This post interrupts the [Has Life Gotten Better? series](https://www.cold-takes.com/has-life-gotten-better/) to talk a bit about why it matters what long-run trends in quality of life look... |
d3155949-db5c-4fe2-8fad-974fe21138b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PredictionBook.com - Track your calibration
Our hosts at Tricycle Developments have created PredictionBook.com, which lets you make predictions and then track your calibration - see whether things you assigned a 70% probability happen 7 times out of 10.
The major challenge with a tool like this is (a) coming up with ... |
44f1d587-f7c5-456a-b066-66e07662137f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - March 2017
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - March 2017
WHEN: 05 March 2017 04:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 10 Shepherd Street, Chippendale
Join us from 4 - 6 to sharpen your planning, motivation and other rationality skills. Afterwards there'll be a social d... |
bada8a35-e4b4-41cc-869a-b9c1f6413192 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : test meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : test meetup
WHEN: 13 May 2014 09:35:10AM (-0700)
WHERE: Minneapolis, MN
testing. using past date should prevent this from cluttering LW. I hope.
test complete but I'm not sure how to delete meetups. it doesn't look like this shows up though so I'll let it be... |
7f4f6f3f-7d7b-4bab-b5b1-d8b18e2689a5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Applying the Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma to Logical Uncertainty
The [Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sY2rHNcWdg94RiSSR/the-counterfactual-prisoner-s-dilemma) is a symmetric version of [Counterfactual Mugging](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/counterfactual-mugging?) where regardle... |
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