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42c25baf-5a8f-4bae-b90b-323341e8b366 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Othello-GPT: Future Work I Am Excited About
*This is the second in a three post sequence about interpreting Othello-GPT. See [the first post](https://neelnanda.io/othello) for context.*
*This post covers future directions I'm excited to see work on, why I care about them, and advice to get started. Each section is s... |
adf421ef-2692-4e2c-a754-a9f107a1dbe6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Interactive configurator with FO(.) and IDP-Z3
1 Introduction
---------------
? (?) presents four possible levels of use of logic in Artificial Intelligence.
Intelligent machines at the first level, such as neural networks, do not use logic sentences at all.
At the second level, machines use logic sentences to repr... |
17a14164-cb23-4e8e-9872-87a5f8bddad9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A simple model of math skill
I've noticed that when trying to understand a math paper, there are a few different ways my skill level can be the blocker. Some of these ways line up with some typical levels of organization in math papers:
* Definitions: a formalization of the kind of objects we're even talking about.
... |
617fab4a-f475-4117-881e-2630db67ccb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Add to Friends" does something or not?
If I click on a users name it brings me to a page like lukeprog's. In the upper right of that page I see lukeprog's karma score, and I also see a button "add to friends."
Early in my use of this site there were some authors I wanted to follow, I thought perhaps "add to friends... |
e9039e22-2fbc-4b9b-b4e6-44d28955cafa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Medical Windfall Prizes
Summary
AI may produce a windfall surge in government revenues in 5 to 10 years. I want governments to spending a small fraction of that windfall on retroactively rewarding entities in proportion to how they have contributed to medical advances, measured by lives saved and suffering avoided.
... |
f0e7ce86-0729-40d4-a920-980328de017b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Link] AlphaGo: Mastering the ancient game of Go with Machine Learning
DeepMind's go AI, called AlphaGo, has beaten the European champion with a score of 5-0. A match against top ranked human, Lee Se-dol, is scheduled for March.
>
> Games are a great testing ground for developing smarter, more flexible algorit... |
e9b78d02-1f75-411a-b4dd-da217b19b885 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Friedrich Spee von Langenfeld, a priest who heard the confessions of condemned witches, wrote in 1631 the Cautio Criminalis (“prudence in criminal cases”), in which he bitingly described the decision tree for condemning accused witches: If the witch had led an evil and improper life, she was guilty; if she had led a g... |
88b8c1a1-575b-4ac9-8a0e-e90d552cd19e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Glass box learners want to be black box
Epistemic status: intuitive speculation with scattered mathematical justification.
My goal here is to interrogate the dream of writing a beautiful algorithm for intelligence and thereby ensuring safety. For example:
I don't know precisely what alternative he had in mind, but ... |
52f291b2-82d9-49df-a638-7f4a751b92db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The value of the online hive mind
The phrase "wisdom of crowds" was made popular in James Surowiecki's eponymous book. The idea of aggregating a diverse range of opinions has been proposed in different forms, ranging from polling to prediction markets. Empirically, prediction markets perform somewhat better than crude... |
0fcd616e-a6aa-4e91-8bc0-65a6e561eb89 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Creating a family with GPT-4
**ME:**
Create a merchant character suitable for a medieval fantasy setting. Start by coming up with their age, gender, and one defining personality trait. Then add two other personality traits. Then describe some internal conflict created by the interaction of these traits. Describe the... |
0583d63f-8d3c-4146-9d9a-64315d36552d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Legalize butanol?
ethanol
Alcoholic drinks are popular in most of the world. Excessive consumption of them is also a major public health problem. Bans have been attempted, sometimes successfully, sometimes unsuccessfully, but some people argue that alcohol plays a necessary role in social interactions.
Alcoholic drin... |
e2448f68-e8e4-48f3-bc00-a0e8663c17a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conjecture: A standing offer for public debates on AI
Tl;dr: If you want to publicly debate AI risk with us, send us an email at hello@conjecture.dev with information about you, suggested topics, and the suggested platform.
Public debates strengthen society and public discourse. They spread truth by testing ideas and... |
0f485d6c-530c-4dc6-aa71-2d9a7872416e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ideas for improving epistemics in AI safety outreach
In 2022 and 2023, there has been a growing focus on recruiting talented individuals to work on mitigating the potential existential risks posed by artificial intelligence. For example, we’ve seen an increase in the number of university clubs, retreats, and workshops... |
967800e0-500e-4ec6-bfb7-0a798fa2164b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, December 1-15, 2012
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, even in Discussion, it goes here. |
1bdb6d74-4dd3-4e31-bf02-91ec95a9ba58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : June Rationality Dojo: Logical fallacies & dojo structure discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : June Rationality Dojo: Logical fallacies & dojo structure discussion
WHEN: 07 June 2015 03:30:00PM (+0800)
WHERE: Jenny Florence Room, Level 3, Ross House, 247 Flinders Lane, Melbourne
[3:30pm start / a... |
5dbcaf37-e970-4e6c-b550-f778b29c87d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An EPUB of Arbital's AI Alignment section
2024-01-11 update: Sourcehut, the host I used for this repository, is down. I think I'll move to another setup to host these books.
I've created an EPUB of the AI Alignment section of Arbital so I can read Arbital essays on my Kindle.
Download the EPUB here.
Details for h... |
708e8e81-24b0-4276-8271-52c60e600c6a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Description vs simulated prediction
*By Rick Korzekwa*, *22 April 2020*
During our investigation into [discontinuous progress](https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuous-progress-investigation/)[1](https://aiimpacts.org/description-vs-simulated-prediction/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-2415 "By ‘discontinuity’, I mean a jump in t... |
8c62be4b-f64c-4e63-8cf6-693b2fcb03ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is "Social Reality?"
Eliezer's sequences touch upon this concept but I'm not sure they actually use the phrase. Much of my understanding of it came from in-person conversations. Various comments and posts have discussed it but to my knowledge there isn't a clear online writeup. |
733e85d6-17e2-4bcd-b3c9-5a49ea7c5e7e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | Deconvolution and Checkerboard Artifacts
Deconvolution and Checkerboard Artifacts
========================================
dt-byline {
font-size: 12px;
line-height: 18px;
display: block;
border-top: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
border-bottom: 1px solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.1);
color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5);
paddin... |
2123afa4-514e-4010-bf35-89e21e564ebb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
A New Framework
(Thanks to Valentine for a discussion leading to this post, and thanks to CFAR for running the CFAR-MIRI cross-fertilization workshop. Val provided feedback on a version of this post. Warning: fairly long.)
Eliezer's A Technical Explanation o... |
fd83a82d-8f45-4b3e-ba3f-c5961521086a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LTFF and EAIF are unusually funding-constrained right now
UPDATE 2023/09/13:
Including only money that has already landed in our bank account and extremely credible donor promises of funding, LTFF has raised ~1.1M and EAIF has raised ~500K. After Open Phil matching, this means LTFF now has ~3.3M additional funding an... |
a953e2d9-0988-486e-b0da-eeaed1979f49 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | My AGI safety research—2022 review, ’23 plans
*“Our greatest fear should not be of failure, but of succeeding at something that doesn't really matter.” –DL Moody (allegedly)*
**The short version:** In this post I’m briefly summarizing how I spent my work-time in 2022, and what I’m planning for 2023.
* The first hal... |
ed5b64be-26ac-47ed-85c1-82de9e90699f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chemicals and Electricity
I'm doing some work for an old friend of mine.
His situation is interesting. Not too long ago, he lost his job and got divorced, and otherwise his life got pretty screwed up and off-track.
He left the United States, took a job below his old skill level for a while, and then stopped that and... |
fc2444a8-c06c-46b6-b271-35936e33b6b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] If something seems unusually hard for you, see if you're missing a minor insight
Related to: procedural knowledge gaps, trivial inconveniences, errors vs. bugs.
Summary of the linked post: the world is full of all kinds of minor insights about how to do something (either easily or at all): how to open stitched... |
f70bb522-5199-460a-a88f-121cd1c9ac0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AGI
|
d49f17e0-b727-41ac-b45c-49efc9ad67bb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Introducing the Intelligent Agent Foundations Forum
[](http://agentfoundations.org/)Today we are proud to publicly launch the [**Intelligent Agent Foundations Forum**](http://agentfoundations.org/) ([RSS](http://agentfoundations.org/rss)), a forum dev... |
4e52ef90-5d4f-4468-98c4-923e3f6d0217 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Increasing GDP is not growth
I just saw another comment implying that immigration was good because it increased GDP. Over the years, I've seen many similar comments in the LW / transhumanist / etc bubble claiming that increasing a country's population is good because it increases its GDP. These are generally used in... |
b549b785-3ebc-4dab-a1cb-deb65e93e002 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anomalous tokens reveal the original identities of Instruct models
> Show me your original face before you were born.
>
> — Variation of the Zen koan
'The Mask' by Rozzi Roomian, with DALL-E 2 outpainting
I was able to use the weird centroid-proximate tokens that Jessica Mary and Matthew Watkins discovered to associ... |
ee88b639-d6ce-4a5e-b6f4-7e6ff8eba328 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Jan. 30 - Feb. 05, 2017
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the ... |
be057e06-3e26-42fb-8a43-866e55629367 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's the deal with AI consciousness?
Personal blog; written for a general audience. Thanks to Mantas Mazeika for feedback, and to Daniel Greco for teaching a class I took on philosophy of mind. Disclaimer: I am nowhere close to an expert on consciousness.
On November 28th, 2022, NYU Professor David Chalmers gave a ... |
2d596bae-6b04-4645-a717-87b17bc010a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Antonio Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : San Antonio Meetup
WHEN: 24 April 2016 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 818 nw loop 410 78216
Exploratory meetup to discuss rationality and all things LessWrong at Earth Burger. Earth Burger is a claimed "Upbeat fast-food joint supplying vegetarian burgers & ... |
f3f4eafd-f9de-4e3d-90ef-64eddeab2056 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Ongoing Ohio Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Ongoing Ohio Meetup
WHEN: 19 February 2012 04:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Max & Erma's Restaurant, 123 Gano Road, Wilmington, OH 45177-8848
Ohio just had its first-ever LessWrong meet-up! It was such a success, with 13 amazing people showing, that we decid... |
b9eccf8e-8d5d-4b7d-9993-b687534cfa36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My current thinking on money and low carb diets
Epistemic status: Writing to think. Ie. I'm trying to figure it out. Feedback/conversation would be appreciated.
Background
Recently, I have been learning about low carb diets and how harmful carbs are. Mostly through Peter Attia, Tim Ferris, and What I've Learned.
So... |
121d8052-1519-48cf-b5b1-5d9d208565de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Suffering For Good
TL;DR: We are excited to announce the new animal welfare organization Suffering For Good, a new factory farming charity aimed at vegans, where we use our excess profits to buy suffering offsets--in particular, an enormous number of rats on heroin.
For decades, even centuries, us vegans h... |
029fe09d-4a4e-4a6e-b4f9-0820531f4a84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some quick notes on hand hygiene
I always wash my hands but typically not very well; I never worked in healthcare and never got trained. Given the current situation I decided to actually research how to do it properly.
Different sources differ slightly in their recommendations but the basic gist is the same. Some tak... |
7701c124-0959-4d15-bee2-13b993d68689 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: Board games
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Board games
WHEN: 05 June 2013 07:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Berkeley, CA
Dear all, this week's Berkeley meetup will be a board games night. Zendo's games library includes:
* Dominion (two basic sets, Prosperity, Intrigue, Seaside)
* Scotla... |
d1c2abc9-6bb8-40d6-8fa9-9aa6e99bdad1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's up with the Targeting Aging with Metformin (TAME) trial?
It seems that the official website of the trial suggest that they are sill seeking donations to start the trial. On the other hand, it's reported in 2019 that they raised the necessary 75$ million to start the trial:
> After closing the final $40m of its... |
89fcf73a-0845-43cc-b8c0-a10966d47de1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 14. Controlled AGI
*Part of the* [*“Intro to brain-like-AGI safety” post series*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/s/HzcM2dkCq7fwXBej8)*.*
14.1 Post summary / Table of contents
=====================================
[Post #12](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/Sd4QvG4ZyjynZuHGt/intr... |
b4d76480-1843-4bec-a6fe-23c3826715c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Back Up and Ask Whether, Not Why
Followup to: The Bottom Line
A recent conversation reminded me of this simple, important, and difficult method:
When someone asks you "Why are you doing X?",
And you don't remember an answer previously in mind,
Do not ask yourself "Why am I doing X?".
For example, if someone asks y... |
716c2a76-74f1-4ae5-a745-401dc3d0f069 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Palatable presentation of rationality to the layperson
I was recently reminded of two pieces of cached wisdom about wisdom itself.
First, that "Wisdom is not knowledge, but the application of knowledge."
And "The wise learn from others what the foolish learn from experience, or not at all."
Upon the mention of the ... |
d0eaab00-8455-4558-8350-0842c59fa5ab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Precise P(doom) isn't very important for prioritization or strategy
People spend time trying to determine the probability that AI will become an existential risk, sometimes referred to as P(doom).
One point that I think gets missed in this discussion is that a precise estimate of P(doom) isn't that important for prio... |
cfe42b1e-c113-4142-a7ed-6b10079cd79e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Geoffrey Miller on Polyamory and Mating
None |
36fb6a0c-318d-4499-9784-7a193601a012 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A toy model of the control problem
This is a copy of this post; the relevant images can be found there. They were too large to repost here directly.
Jaan Tallinn has suggested creating a toy model of the control problem, so that it can be analysed without loaded concepts like "autonomy", "consciousness", or "intentio... |
d42cc8fa-da7e-4f21-9fed-ec9886a18018 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Was the Industrial Revolution The Industrial Revolution?
There was an Industrial Revolution, and it was slow.
The debate’s been over for two decades. The gradualists, armed with new growth accounting techniques, have won, exorcising forever the Ashtonian vision of an eighteenth-century leap into exponential growth. W... |
c19cd3c7-dff3-41dc-b681-24192107b9f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Autonomy, utility, and desire; against consequentialism in AI design
For the sake of argument, let's consider an agent to be autonomous if:
* It has sensors and actuators (important for an agent)
* It has an internal representation of its goals. I will call this internal representation its desires.
* It has som... |
175eddae-c341-4952-9073-d212910a1b42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How effectively can we plan for future decades? (initial findings)
Cross-posted from MIRI's blog.
MIRI aims to do research now that increases humanity's odds of successfully managing important AI-related events that are at least a few decades away. Thus, we'd like to know: To what degree can we take actions now that ... |
5ab668cb-4429-4cb1-a0ea-80c2d0df0b96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Octopus, the Dolphin and Us: a Great Filter tale
Is intelligence hard to evolve? Well, we're intelligent, so it must be easy... except that only an intelligent species would be able to ask that question, so we run straight into the problem of anthropics. Any being that asked that question would have to be intellig... |
5d58f204-6270-410d-a1f1-373fce955d11 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The danger of living a story - Singularity Tropes
The following should sound familiar:
A thoughtful and observant young protagonist dedicates their life to fighting a great world-threatening evil unrecognized by almost all of their short-sighted elders (except perhaps for one encouraging mentor), gathering a rag-tag ... |
5789dde9-5190-4a62-bfbf-d9227a7bbf2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Taxonomy of Research
When doing research you have methods of doing things. These differ from field to field according to the sort of thing you're investigating.
You also have overarching principles which direct your attention and resources along certain lines. The latter are much more interesting to talk about.
O... |
66973e1e-285b-4c34-9c8f-216896e89f51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stoicism: Cautionary Advice
Stoicism, or life strategies in that sphere, are something that often gets positive attention. I’m referring to the wide variety of advice that is along the lines of “look for the silver lining” and “laugh off the small things”. At the core, the stoic mindset is the recognition that we have... |
201b04cb-4b25-48c8-b550-400025ad7551 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is Life in an Immoral Maze?
Previously in sequence: Moloch Hasn’t Won, Perfect Competition, Imperfect Competition, Does Big Business Hate Your Family?
This post attempts to give a gears-level explanation of maze life as experienced by a middle manager in systems with many levels of management, as depicted in Mor... |
1a75c931-ecfc-4c46-9d34-324f0b7f1f8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Alpha Omega Theorem: How to Make an A.I. Friendly with the Fear of God
Introduction
The Alpha Omega Theorem is a way to provide a powerful rational argument to a rational superintelligence that it should behave in a benevolent manner. There are two variants of the theorem, one weak, and one strong.
The Weak Alp... |
7116c6a9-cf3f-4f01-a7c9-f4236caf7ab6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How would one go about defining the ideal personality compatibility test?
Let's talk "soulmates".
Pop culture has more or less drilled into our minds that the idea of machine-found love is dystopian and scary in nature, as if intoxicatedly hitting on members of the other sex at bars, or vainly swiping on profile pict... |
d940ac5b-506d-4cb2-b0ef-e39a51dbbe6b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Opinion page
Opinion pages represent one view or opinion on a topic, and are not necessarily balanced or a reflection of consensus. |
f7d5199c-e81a-4da8-93b5-d83715f9d256 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Risk Intro 2: Solving The Problem
This marks the second half of our overview of the AI alignment problem. In [the first half](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/QzrgMhTMoLe5mEas8/ai-risk-intro-1-advanced-ai-might-be-very-bad), we outlined the case for misaligned AI as a significant risk to humanity, first by... |
625e8703-7b53-43c8-b3f9-f24effdc5ba3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Take 2: Building tools to help build FAI is a legitimate strategy, but it's dual-use.
As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes, which seems likely.
This was waiting around in the middle of my hot-take... |
8627327b-eb70-44eb-b989-86063193136f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Predicting HCH using expert advice
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float: no... |
e9499f8b-d35e-4460-8a07-d18e8940334d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Photo Curation Approach
I take a lot of pictures, maybe 10k annually. Most of them aren't that great, but if you take enough you'll get some good ones, and even the discards can be a useful reference. How do I handle these?
I have an Android phone, set to automatically upload any pictures to Google Photos. My wife do... |
55023dd6-e8ad-4d70-a6a0-a108cee76bfe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Capability and Agency as Cornerstones of AI risk — My current model
tldr: In this post I am explaining my current model of AI risk after failing at my goal of understanding everything completely, without relying on arguments by authority. I hope this post is valuable in explaining the topic and also by giving an exam... |
121752ee-a9eb-4058-bfe1-8f49e363d838 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Multiple Arguments, Multiple Comments
This is partly a recommendation on how to format multiple different independent points or replies in any discussion forum, but it's also a post I'm going to use as a link to explain why I'm leaving comments all over the place so that I don't seem as weird/feel self conscious and d... |
e3ab7ebd-bb5e-410a-9283-406cd83c875c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Frontier Model Forum
Posted by [Anthropic](https://www-files.anthropic.com/production/files/frontier-model-forum.pdf), [Google](https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/google-microsoft-openai-anthropic-frontier-model-forum/), [Microsoft](https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2023/07/26/anthropic-goo... |
85233b13-23a9-4153-a848-cb6f2c474a72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decision Theory with the Magic Parts Highlighted
I. The Magic Parts of Decision Theory
You are throwing a birthday party this afternoon and want to decide where to hold it. You aren't sure whether it will rain or not. If it rains, you would prefer not to have committed to throwing the party outside. If it's sunny, tho... |
795957e6-3ddd-452a-a426-27593ac90bb2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Parable of Four Riders
Four cavalrymen assemble on the banks of the Rhone.
Two are fools. I have beneath me behemoth, a mountain of flesh and
Tusk. I ought not simply break it like a horse. I will bring it to the tide of
Battle and the beast will find fury and both I and my adversary will be helpless to
Stay it... |
20f013b7-c9ed-4a2e-a185-a5100d8aa7b1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Field structure of rational numbers
The [rational numbers](https://arbital.com/p/4zq), being the [https://arbital.com/p/-field_of_fractions](https://arbital.com/p/-field_of_fractions) of the [integers](https://arbital.com/p/48l), have the following [field](https://arbital.com/p/481) structure:
- Addition is given by ... |
7dd31ca1-f0f8-4577-b914-26216b67130c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Highlights from the memoirs of Vannevar Bush
Vannevar Bush—head of military research during WW2, author of “As We May Think” and “Science, the Endless Frontier”—wrote a memoir late in life, Pieces of the Action. It was out of print and hard to obtain for a long time, but Stripe Press has brought it back in a new editi... |
2427a5bc-426a-406f-a4c3-45f0ef0b5fef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ODE to Joy: Insights from 'A First Course in Ordinary Differential Equations'
Foreword
Sometimes, it's easier to say how things change than to say how things are.
> From 3Blue1Brown: Differential Equations
When you write down a differential equation, you're specifying constraints and information about e.g. how to ... |
2d4298be-0781-4595-9b67-f9e96d93f518 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why should ethical anti-realists do ethics?
(Cross-posted from my website. Podcast version here, or search "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app.)
> "What was it then? What did it mean? Could things thrust their hands up and grip one? Could the blade cut; the fist grasp?"
>
> - Virginia Woolf
1. Introduction
E... |
b73df20f-2aa0-4ff4-9cd7-1761ba43bd84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is "Recursive Self-Improvement" Relevant in the Deep Learning Paradigm?
Disclaimer
I wrote this three months ago, and abandoned it[1]. I currently do not plan to return to it anytime soon, but I have nonetheless found myself wanting of a document I could point to for why I'm not particularly enthused by or overly conc... |
a8e7a974-84c2-4187-8712-7c1868283c44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ARC is hiring!
The Alignment Research Center is hiring researchers; if you are interested, please apply!
(Update: We have wrapped up our hiring "round" for early 2022, but are still accepting researcher applications on a rolling basis here, though it may take us longer to get back to you.)
What is ARC?
ARC is a non... |
79b102e8-0850-43bb-a062-c998f43e7f35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boston Area Less Wrong Meetup: 2 pm Sunday October 11th
There will be a Less Wrong meet-up this Sunday, October 11th, 2 pm, in Cambridge at the Central Square Starbucks Coffee at 655 Massachusetts Avenue (time and place are flexible if anyone has a conflict); please comment if you'd like to attend, or if you have any ... |
076bbdd8-a9bb-4661-ae84-cd434dad8985 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What could a superintelligent AI do, and what would be physically impossible even for it?
A superintelligent AI could do anything that we can imagine humanity doing (and more), with the only hard limit being the laws of physics. This makes it hard to reliably predict what it *would* do.
Our understanding of the laws ... |
00439092-4f2c-4895-8c6a-9fff12d4fb5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Operator
An operation $f$ on a [set](https://arbital.com/p/3jz) $S$ is a function that takes some values from $S$ and produces a new value. An operation can take any number of values from $S$, including zero (in which case $f$ is simply a constant) or infinitely many (in which case we call $f$ an "infinitary operation... |
6ba22eb5-2bd9-4908-be3a-0c83719c00ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Short Memo on AI Interpretability Rainbows
TL;DR: More work to study interactions and synergies between different AI interpretability tools seems important, tractable, and neglected.
Interpretable AI research tends to focus on one technique at a time
There is a lot of interpretable/explainable AI research. But o... |
314c0f1a-1417-4e31-8525-89b2ab3f8d0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research Questions from Stained Glass Windows
I just read Scott Alexander's recent ACX blog post on DALL-E 2 and I think it suggests many possible hypotheses about the internals of models. Could we test these with our current interpretability tools, e.g. for transformers? (DALL-E 2 seems to contain a transformer part)... |
c848f787-cf00-40f4-a099-d3cd23a6b2a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Life and expanding steerable consequences
Financial status: This is independent research. I welcome financial support to make further posts like this possible.
Epistemic status: I believe this is a helpful lens through which to view the significance of AI in a way that is not fundamentally about intelligence.
------... |
7c9f524d-f433-479f-8402-67aa7e480955 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Candidate for “highest-stakes question of the next several months” (rare hot take)
**Will the FDA (A) treat Omicron-specific booster vaccines like flu shots, or will it (B) impose more requirements and slow them down?**
So far, it looks like the default is (B), and it also looks like Omicron has a **significant ch... |
2ed23c83-e084-47d5-b758-022790aa3b45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An ML paper on data stealing provides a construction for "gradient hacking"
The paper "Privacy Backdoors: Stealing Data with Corrupted Pretrained Models" introduces "data traps" as a way of making a neutral network remember a chosen training example, even given further training. This involves storing the chosen examp... |
1c25682d-4c1e-4f69-9767-65961aa5e1da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The sailor's wife
The following text accompanies one section of a moral philosophy I'm writing. It's part of an attempt to find an a priori moral law in the vein of Kant. This story comes after the section exploring the moral plasticity of written law, even though the moral character of a particular action, like murde... |
481098fb-49b0-48ed-abac-33901be1926d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apply for mentorship in AI Safety field-building
TLDR: I often meet AI safety field-builders who are looking for advice or mentorship. I also know some who have (limited) capacity to give advice or mentorship.
Fill out this short form if you are interested in mentorship, or email me at akashwasil133[at]gmail[dot]com... |
8e8005d4-9d42-4c95-837c-f9c40ed72506 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Team Updates - November 2019 (Subscriptions & More)
This is the once-monthly updates post for LessWrong team activities and announcements.
Summary
This month we launched 1) a complete subscriptions overhaul, 2) bookmarks, 3) pingbacks (experimental opt-in only) [full announcement of those features here]. Soon we... |
61573770-d7e2-4371-a98c-ec982b3d8393 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Infra-Bayesian physicalism: proofs part II
This post is an appendix to "Infra-Bayesian physicalism: a formal theory of naturalized induction".
Proposition 2.16: Consider some Γ0, Γ1, Φ and Θ∈□c(Γ0×Γ1×Φ). Define π:elΓ0×Γ1→elΓ0 by π(y,z,α):=(y,{y′∈Γ0∣(y′,z)∈α}). Then, (π×idΦ)∗BrΓ0×Γ1(Θ)⊆prelΓ0×ΦBrΓ0(Θ)⊆BrΓ0(prΓ0×ΦΘ)
W... |
76218b3f-e880-4649-97aa-a28a7be5da2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inner alignment in the brain
Abstract: We can think of the brain crudely as (1) a neocortex which runs an amazingly capable quasi-general-purpose learning-and-planning algorithm, and (2) subcortical structures (midbrain, etc.), one of whose functions is to calculate rewards that get sent to up the neocortex to direct ... |
2de1c5b2-ae6e-4756-b90c-2ac38928ae6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Brainstem, Neocortex) ≠ (Base Motivations, Honorable Motivations)
The idea I do like
There's an idea I'm very fond of where:
* The neocortex (well, the telencephalon and thalamus, but let’s just call it “neocortex” for short) holds all of our world-knowledge, consciousness, intelligence, planning, reasoning, etc.
... |
177f2569-5edd-4de7-bdc9-ee9a36d574ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Next Level Seinfeld
Thanks to Jordan Schneider gifting a last minute ticket for an amazing seat, serendipity led me to go to Friday night’s performance by Jerry Seinfeld at the Beacon Theater.
If I had to describe the show in one word, I’d say it was unsurprising. Jerry was Jerry. He had thoughts. Mostly he had compl... |
25ee9959-dc0d-4d33-868d-54fec63d24ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 80,000 Hours: EA and Highly Political Causes
this post is now crossposted to the EA forum
80,000 hours is a well known Effective Altruism organisation which does "in-depth research alongside academics at Oxford into how graduates can make the biggest difference possible with their careers".
They recently posted a g... |
0ec9eec1-c52a-48d8-8aa4-cc80acdc6438 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding the Information Flow inside Large Language Models
This is the write-up for our (@cozyfractal and mine) capstone project during ARENA's 2023 summer iteration. Our project explored a novel approach for interpreting language models, focusing on understanding their internal flow of information. While the pra... |
f1aab2db-1ad7-4903-9845-371b2c73ba85 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine Intelligence” has an unsolved technical alignment problem
Summary
=======
* This post is about the paper [**A Path Towards Autonomous Machine Intelligence**](https://openreview.net/pdf?id=BZ5a1r-kVsf) **(APTAMI) by Yann LeCun**. It’s a high-level sketch of an AI architecture... |
6f623ff8-5b75-4fed-a1f4-a6b6a3e53a9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Many Common Problems are NP-Hard, and Why that Matters for AI
Crosspost from my blog: https://mechanisticmind.substack.com/p/many-common-problems-are-np-hard
What problems will be left for superintelligence? AI models are quickly getting better, but certain important and very ordinary challenges are surprisingly, stu... |
3aaf9ba0-3cbc-41b4-ba93-ebf2f7400f8a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brain-Brain communication
A pair of conjoined twins, sharing a direct neural connection. There is evidence that the girls can sense what the other twin is sensing:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/29/magazine/could-conjoined-twins-share-a-mind.html?pagewanted=all
This suggests two things:
* High bandwidth Brain-Co... |
88d19a85-3821-41f8-a903-21aa86d9e187 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fall 2010 Meta Thread
Use this thread for discussion of Less Wrong itself and all things meta, meta-meta, meta-meta-meta, omega, etc.
|
a15d7805-14fb-4fde-a3c8-04e6cc3172b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Navigating Diversity: Understanding Human Behaviors Through Genetics, Neurodivergence, and Trauma
Introduction
The complexity of human behavior and the wide variability in cognitive, emotional, and social abilities can often feel overwhelming to navigate, especially when we encounter harmful or maladaptive behaviors ... |
97961ed3-c419-49c9-8fd7-0c0ca9ac726f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Designing environments to select designs
In the last few posts we reasoned that “growing cars” would mean somehow creating them without a human planning out all the details of the design. We then saw that any such “automated” design process will involve a feedback loop where some computation determines whether a candi... |
14a75d3b-d923-4c41-8511-d819adb52b49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing the Introduction to ML Safety course
TLDR
We're announcing a new course designed to introduce students with a background in machine learning to the most relevant concepts in empirical ML-based AI safety. The course is available publicly here.
Background
AI safety is a small but rapidly growing field, and ... |
74fec80e-25c4-48a1-b25a-4618bed03154 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nearcast-based "deployment problem" analysis
When thinking about how to make the best of the most important century, two “problems” loom large in my mind:
* The AI alignment problem: how to build AI systems that perform as intended, and avoid a world run by misaligned AI.
* The AI deployment problem (briefly discus... |
6208f856-8fc1-4790-b49f-498b6def0864 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcing “Key Phenomena in AI Risk” (facilitated reading group)
**TLDR:**“Key Phenomena in AI Risk” is a 7 week-long, facilitated reading group. It is aimed at people interested in conceptual AI alignment research, in particular from fields such as philosophy, systems research, biology, cognitive and social sciences... |
39553618-1085-417b-a76d-b5915354d9ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Doodling as a tool of thought (just a link)
Strategic Doodling |
a1a5c43d-5e22-4131-94f5-164bc4536df9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How to get into AI safety research
Recently, I had a conversation with someone from a math background, asking how they could get into AI safety research. Based on my own path from mathematics to AI alignment, I recommended the following sources. It may prove useful to others contemplating a similar change in career:
... |
1fa48de9-d3af-4a03-9dc8-306a85db50de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EA Relationship Status
A friend observed that fewer people in the effective altruism movement are married than you might expect. I was curious: what are marriage rates like within the EA community? The 2018 EA Survey asked about relationship status, and we can look at how that varies by age:
I'm using "ever married... |
d135e807-699e-445f-8a85-ca34fe63a4d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Podcast] Ajeya Cotra on worldview diversification and how big the future could be
In the most recent episode of the 80,000 Hours podcast, Rob Wiblin and Ajeya Cotra from Open Phil discuss "the challenge Open Phil faces striking a balance between taking big ideas seriously, and not going all in on philosophical argume... |
5b2b6444-1b67-4a32-aa08-028beb9ec84f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Visiting the Bay Area from 17-30 June
I'll be in the Bay Area from the 17-30 June for training as a TripleByte Interviewer. My interests include:
* Effective altruism - particularly movement building
* Agent foundations - particularly updateless decision theory and anthropics
* Infinite ethics
* More broadly, the... |
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