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f80dc091-d39f-4e97-94a7-6f0edc6a5f8f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tips for productively using short (<30min) blocks of time
Here's a common situation I find myself in: it's 1:30pm and I have a commitment at 2pm. I'd like to spend the next 30 minutes working, but all of the tasks I need to complete will take much more than 30 minutes to complete. I think to myself: "By the time I get... |
7dd0ffb3-fec3-4d95-afd2-d1e97b7dcbcc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The omnizoid - Heighn FDT Debate #5
*A reaction to omnizoid's* [*latest post*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vZdEoDy6kx3TAqHRj/contra-heighn-contra-me-contra-heighn-contra-me-contra#2_Is_Schwarz_s_procreation_case_unfair_) *in this debate.*
omnizoid proposed a problem in an earlier post, which I steelmanned as foll... |
58f624f5-fbc1-4e98-98de-be05ec61a664 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why do all out attacks actually work?
A surprising amount of rationalists agree that people can often do what seems impossible otherwise if they try really, really hard. It's something on the outset I wouldn't have expected a community of rationalists to believe - on the surface it seems like pure magical thinking - b... |
47ab37ce-d83e-4816-9cd7-680b1a223535 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No really, the Sticker Shortcut fallacy is indeed a fallacy
In a recent post, I outlined some problems I identified with Scott Alexander’s Noncentral Fallacy. He identified a very real problem in the discourse, but I disagreed with him about what made it fallacious. Briefly, Scott believed the problem lay in the use o... |
2edbb3e8-e137-4673-8e40-66450ca4e880 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Reasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics or: AI vs sandwiches
TLDR: I try to find the root causes of why math is useful.
Epistemic status: Marginally confident in veracity, not at all confident in novelty.
Background
I recently had a discussion with Rohin that started from Paul Christiano's concept of "intent al... |
16715792-eae8-4c5c-a9f3-04dab2cbeeb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MIRI’s 2024 End-of-Year Update
MIRI is a nonprofit research organization with a mission of addressing the most serious hazards posed by smarter-than-human artificial intelligence. In our general strategy update and communications strategy update earlier this year, we announced a new strategy that we’re executing on at... |
e8dc51c1-6a52-4c1a-ba29-f60409f89342 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Transitive negotiations with counterfactual agents
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: n... |
823b5854-f5dd-4882-963b-8fd116c78219 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Why would a misaligned superintelligence kill everyone in the world?
The human species as a whole is somewhat robust to global catastrophes: events like nuclear wars and severe pandemics would kill huge numbers of people and cause enormous suffering, but would probably leave many survivors as well. So you might think ... |
a74278db-6831-493f-be6a-02fae6431954 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | An 'AGI Emergency Eject Criteria' consensus could be really useful.
I'd like AI researchers to establish a consensus (>=70%) opinion on this question: What properties would a hypothetical AI system need to demonstrate for you to agree that we should completely halt AI development?
There are at least two ways that an ... |
9e808e8a-fea4-4145-89ef-746d40f2fb9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Female Test Subject - Convince Me To Get Cryo
I heard that women are difficult to convince when it comes to signing up for cryo. In mentioning cryonics to a dying person, there seems to be a consensus that it's not going to happen. I encountered a post: Years saved: Cryonics vs VillageReach, which addressed my main o... |
6bec94ba-cd35-4a7b-aefc-1ee4137f77a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there a standard discussion of vegetarianism/veganism?
I am searching for a concise text that presents and optimally also discusses reasons for a vegetarian/vegan diet, including environmental and climate effects, health, but of course also ethics, and there are some ethical points I would be particularly intereste... |
4e8940aa-0ef2-4c9e-9075-fa147f4b6330 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | 31 Laws of Fun
So this is Utopia, is it? Well
I beg your pardon, I thought it was Hell.
-- Sir Max Beerholm, verse entitled
*In a Copy of More's (or Shaw's or Wells's or Plato's or Anybody's) Utopia*
This is a shorter summary of the [Fun Theory Sequence](/lw/xy/the_fun_theory_sequence/) with al... |
ab5ffd20-b7fc-48f9-af20-91e87e36f071 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do we underuse the genetic heuristic?
Someone, say Anna, has uttered a certain proposition P, say "Betty is stupid", and we want to evaluate whether it is true or not. We can do this by investigating P directly - i.e. we disregard the fact that Anna has said that Betty is stupid, but look only at what we know about Be... |
a97eb182-2088-402b-80f0-c4c3bbc9f816 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eliminating Cookie Banners is Hard
Application-monitoring company Sentry recently wrote about their experience removing cookies on their site, which allowed them to drop their cookie banner. I'm glad they wrote this up! But it also illustrates why many sites have cookie banners even when they don't seem to being doing... |
38032645-fe9c-4253-b21a-2f544f3c964e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | So You Think You're a Bayesian? The Natural Mode of Probabilistic Reasoning
Related to: The Conjunction Fallacy, Conjunction Controversy
The heuristics and biases research program in psychology has discovered many different ways that humans fail to reason correctly under uncertainty. In experiment after experiment, ... |
7f7a6363-57a2-4a67-9181-de17365ba7c0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Case studies of self-governance to reduce technology risk
*I worked on this research project during my summer fellowship at the* [*Center on Long-Term Risk*](https://longtermrisk.org/)*. Though the findings aren't particularly insightful, I’m posting this unpolished version to:*
* *Hopefully help other people attempt... |
e1b7982b-895f-4fb1-9c28-01205b2d2004 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Scaling laws for language encoding models in fMRI
*This is a linkpost for* [*https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.11863*](https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.11863)
> Representations from transformer-based unidirectional language models are known to be effective at predicting brain responses to natural language. However, mo... |
72d4c0d0-0088-423f-a3db-2c62a2349e81 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1309
At the end of the second and final round of the Inverse Scaling Prize , we’re awarding 7 more Third Prizes. The Prize aimed to identify important tasks on which language models (LMs) perform worse the larger they are (“inverse scaling”). Inverse scaling may reveal cases where LM training actively encourag... |
0e52c39f-0d21-48d0-a8be-2f8de5db9333 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Foundations of Inference
I've recently been getting into all of this wonderful Information Theory stuff and have come across a paper (thanks to John Salvatier) that was written by Kevin H. Knuth:
Foundations of Inference
The paper sets up some intuitive minimal axioms for quantifying power sets and then (seems to) u... |
4fda84dd-34f1-438c-a1c5-63a9f9ee1e4a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | LLM cognition is probably not human-like
This post is a collection of thought experiments and observations, meant to distill and explain some claims and observations about GPTs and LLMs made by myself and others.
Stated in its most general form, the claim is: the ability of a system or process to predict something we... |
303e6d42-9d99-4a86-a9ab-c20971b6e679 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Are Posts in the Sequences Tagged [Personal Blog] Instead of [Frontpage]?
Many (most?) posts in the Sequences are tagged as [Personal Blog] instead of [Frontpage]; is this deliberate?
Here are a few examples from posts that I recently had reason to consult:
Belief in Intelligence:
Aiming at the Target:
Me... |
5b963c4b-f280-46ca-a8fe-94b951f5992c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Introducing Whisper
Robust Speech Recognition via Large-Scale Weak Supervision
Alec Radford* 1Jong Wook Kim* 1Tao Xu1Greg Brockman1Christine McLeavey1Ilya Sutskever1
Abstract
We study the capabilities of speech processing
systems trained simply to predict large amounts of
transcripts of audio on the internet. When sca... |
2a3bf7a2-0b98-483e-8941-b2b265152634 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Needs splitting by mastery
Readers who come to Arbital pages with different levels of mathematical background require different pages to explain the same concept. Sometimes a page is written in a way that seems to cater for multiple audiences (e.g. having a careful wordy explanation designed for people with little bac... |
fe944f58-463d-414b-a4a0-d107a9715afc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New: use The Nonlinear Library to listen to the top LessWrong posts of all time
Update #1: It’s a rite of passage to binge the top LessWrong posts of all time, and now you can do it on your podcast app.
We (Nonlinear) made “top of all time” playlists for LessWrong, the EA Forum, and the Alignment Forum. Each is aroun... |
f7c7bc89-8bfd-4468-83e3-6c12ffab2bd8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The 101 Space You Will Always Have With You
Any community which ever adds new people will need to either routinely teach the new and (to established members) blindingly obvious information to those who genuinely haven’t heard it before, or accept that over time community members will only know the simplest basics by a... |
9237845f-a90b-4442-ae7b-e69855c562e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | New report on the state of AI safety in China
[Concordia Consulting](https://concordia-consulting.com/) has released a new report (Oct 2023) on the state of AI safety in China. It's about 160 pages long, and looks quite informative.
Here's their **Executive Summary** (simply copied-and-pasted from their pages 4-6):
... |
17547d1b-ac80-497e-876d-ecb208ba2136 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Parallels Between AI Safety by Debate and Evidence Law
In this post, I highlight some parallels between [AI Safety by Debate](https://openai.com/blog/debate/) (“Debate”) and [evidence law](https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre).
Evidence law structures high-stakes arguments with human judges.
=======================... |
a1ffbdf2-baf5-40d0-9eea-006109efacfc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Join a LessWrong Team for the Unaging System Challenge
Hey LessWrong,
After sharing early results at Less Online this summer (thanks for the feedback during the strength training demos), I'm recruiting for a LessWrong team in the 2025 Unaging System Challenge. What started as helping one friend who got winded climbin... |
7557239e-04c8-4732-912d-c3c0b59ed2f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Q&A with experts on risks from AI #1
**[[Click here to see a list of all interviews](http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Interview_series_on_risks_from_AI)]**
### **Brandon Rohrer**
Sandia National Laboratories
Cited by 536
**Education**
PhD, Mechanical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2002.
... |
c0601d2c-2bf5-489e-95a6-29f4d4fa830b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-Study Questions Thread
There are a lot of autodidacts on LessWrong and many of us hold scholarship to be a virtue. Learning things on your own can be tricky for a number of reasons, but there is a lot of good material on LessWrong on how to do it efficiently. We know that it's usually best to build small skills... |
1d497e9d-2084-490b-a780-899b9a7cc5f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlled
In this post, we argue that AI labs should ensure that powerful AIs are controlled. That is, labs should make sure that the safety measures they apply to their powerful models prevent unacceptably bad outcomes, even if the AIs are misaligned and intentionally try ... |
e21d9407-1d5d-415d-a1ad-2655b4c12fdb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimal play in human-judged Debate usually won't answer your question
Epistemic status: highly confident (99%+) this is an issue for optimal play with human consequentialist judges. Thoughts on practical implications are more speculative, and involve much hand-waving (70% sure I’m not overlooking a trivial fix, and t... |
772a2d7d-5974-4754-9234-54d740622d81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Buckets & Bayes
Author's note: this essay was originally published pseudonymously in 2017. It's now being permanently rehosted at this link. I'll be rehosting a small number of other upper-quintile essays from that era over the coming weeks.
----------------------------------------
I once had a conversation with a c... |
f9edfc4a-b0f3-4a52-9376-b3ba9188bc12 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How to train your transformer
*In this blogpost I describe a transformer project, how I proceeded, the results, the pitfalls and more. At the end of the post I will repeat all salient points in a TL;DR, so if you are short of time, just skip ahead.*
*I originally published this on a company blog. The blog has been d... |
e2493519-bc1b-4f81-8fee-f2abe085bed2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help out Redwood Research’s interpretability team by finding heuristics implemented by GPT-2 small
Some of Redwood’s current research involves finding specific behaviors that language models exhibit, and then doing interpretability to explain how the model does these behaviors. One example of this is the indirect obje... |
d13afb88-7fdb-4c73-83bc-29f2a1104d02 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #45
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMbN1NYYC02aM/edit?usp=sharing) of al... |
6bbd603f-02ed-43c6-b9e5-38ada3e566e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Spring Meetups Everywhere 2023
Many cities have regular Astral Codex Ten meetup groups. Twice a year, I try to advertise their upcoming meetups and make a bigger deal of it than usual so that irregular attendees can attend. This is one of those times.
This year we have spring meetups planned in over eighty cities, fr... |
d79465fd-e71c-4a4d-8d36-bdafb5c1fecd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Episode: Austin vs Linch on OpenAI
Austin (of Manifund) and Linch (of EA Funds) explore our disagreements on OpenAI. Austin is approximately an apologist for OpenAI, and for-profit/tech companies overall; while Linch takes a more hardline stance.
Neither of us are experts on OpenAI or have insider information; we’re ... |
ff6565f7-50b8-4455-bfe6-08fe2b28784c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Have you changed your mind lately? On what?
Admitting to being wrong isn't easy, but it's something we want to encourage.
So ... were you convinced by someone's arguments lately? Did you realize a heated disagreement was actually a misunderstanding? Here's the place to talk about it! |
dd0a1887-cd46-4373-8cef-88ec22fa92f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Strong men are socialist - how to use a study's own data to disprove it
|
83eff577-a3de-4be2-886e-39e5f86e6233 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Truth About Morality and What To Do About It
Joshua Greene has a PhD thesis called The Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Truth About Morality and What To Do About It. What is this terrible truth? The essence of this truth is that many, many people (probably most people) be... |
53d754b2-be58-41be-9206-d217152c3880 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Second-Order Existential Risk
Cross-posted.
[Epistemic status: Low confidence]
[I haven’t seen this discussed elsewhere, though there might be overlap with Bostrom’s “crunches” and “shrieks”]
How important is creating the conditions to fix existential risks versus actually fixing existential risks?
We can somewha... |
195d8eef-4ceb-4fb0-ab34-2c902865a05a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Timeless Physics
Previously in series: Relative Configuration Space
> Warning: The central idea in today's post is taken seriously by serious physicists; but it is not experimentally proven and is not taught as standard physics.
>
> Today's post draws heavily on the work of the physicist Julian Barbour, and conta... |
8587e3ce-b18c-4edf-965f-08883b8a1a1d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Xception: Deep Learning with Depthwise Separable Convolutions
1 Introduction
---------------
Convolutional neural networks have emerged as the master algorithm in computer vision in recent years, and developing recipes for designing them has been a subject of considerable attention. The history of convolutional neu... |
40283518-fa6b-4587-9b63-1debe225e38c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Luna First, But Not To Live There
In certain corners of the astronautics community, there’s a real and substantial debate over whether to prioritize Mars or Luna when planning out the future of human spaceflight. There are good arguments on each side, but I think that neither side makes the correct case.
Luna is attr... |
b63a326f-4271-4232-8b0a-ae1314ade426 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [ELDR Tactics] Consider switching to (mostly) decaf.
Related post: Everyday belief in diminishing returns is subject to diminishing returns
Growing up as a first-generation American, and generally considered the "smart" one of the family, I started drinking instant coffee when I was 12 to keep awake during homeroom. ... |
9632e8d2-912c-4307-8ce6-87c42f1dbcf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] The Unbelievers: Lawrence Krauss and Richard Dawkins Team Up Against Religion
I am looking forward to watching this documentary for entertainment purposes, but I don't expect it to affect people's opinions about religion much.
I have no doubt that both Krauss and Dawkins are very bright and insightful people. ... |
c8f530d9-ec9a-4ca4-bfe9-56f6e61be243 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | LLMs — Pure Reason Without The Critique
**Motivation:** In the world of generative AI, Large Language Models (LLMs) have witnessed remarkable progress [1] that has largely been driven by their use of attention blocks [2]. Attention enables LLMs to adapt their understanding of input information based on contextual cues... |
64efe85b-0598-451f-8881-9c41c115095c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A way to be more open minded (an experimental thought)
(As in actually open minded, not just comfortably sheltered from one’s narrow mindedness)
A technique I noticed while experimenting with being wrong:
1. If you have an opinion on something, find an opposing one
2. Feel like you believe it (emotionally, not necess... |
dd13f9f2-0224-4e95-8e87-c30f5aad6373 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can group identity be a force for good?
Many in the rationalist sphere look down on tribalism and group identity. Paul Graham writes that identity interferes with people’s ability to have a productive discussion. Julia Galef seconds this view (though with exceptions), devoting a chapter of Scout Mindset to the ways th... |
489bc48f-a463-4e84-941a-5decc90ff09d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moderation notes re: recent Said/Duncan threads
Update: Ruby and I have posted moderator notices for Duncan and Said in this thread. This was a set of fairly difficult moderation calls on established users and it seems good for the LessWrong userbase to have the opportunity to evaluate it and respond. I'm stickying th... |
77fe648b-f6e1-47ac-bcd1-e91272f75a3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should AutoGPT update us towards researching IDA?
Given the rate of progress in AutoGPT-like approaches, should we reconsider Paul Christiano's Iterated Distillation and Amplitication (IDA) agenda as potentially central to the alignment of transformative ML systems?
For contex on IDA and AutoGPT:
* https://www.less... |
945ae64f-1bbe-4446-b0b9-441412b46344 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being nicer than Clippy
(Cross-posted from my website. Podcast version here, or search "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app.
This essay is part of a series I'm calling "Otherness and control in the age of AGI." I'm hoping that the individual essays can be read fairly well on their own, but see here for a summary... |
3923fae3-9253-4dc6-98ba-ff27de42085c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Confused about AI research as a means of addressing AI risk
I was listening to [https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/paul-christiano-ai-alignment-solutions](https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/paul-christiano-ai-alignment-solutions/) recently, and found it very helpful. However, I still have a question at the e... |
aae604c5-e52f-42d4-8c51-22c3649ef77b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Universal property of the disjoint union
summary(Technical): The [https://arbital.com/p/-5z9](https://arbital.com/p/-5z9) may be described as the [https://arbital.com/p/-coproduct](https://arbital.com/p/-coproduct) in the [category](https://arbital.com/p/4c7) of [sets](https://arbital.com/p/3jz). Specifically, the dis... |
ade6a719-5429-4825-9a7d-ca00992d4659 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Stories
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Stories
WHEN: 28 March 2016 06:15:13PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1597 Howard St. San Francisco, CA
We'll be meeting to tell each other stories! Ideally, come with a story from your life (doesn't have to be about anything in partic... |
8b50ba9d-4725-4ccd-9d28-d15676dbc44b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What is Wei Dai's Updateless Decision Theory?
As a newcomer to LessWrong, I quite often see references to 'UDT' or 'updateless decision theory'. The very name is like crack - I'm irresistably compelled to find out what the fuss is about.
[Wei Dai's post](/lw/15m/towards_a_new_decision_theory/) is certainly interestin... |
1cb5d373-3f90-47af-90dd-75c73877d27b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Some post- words for the future
Some post- words for the future
-------------------------------
### Post-geometry
I would like to coin the world *post-geometry* to mean any setting which isn't mainly a euclidean or mostly-euclidean, typically three-dimensional space.
For example, any place IRL is geometric, but ... |
42e6b36f-b144-4eb1-9e94-b7b308133449 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: Architects of Intelligence by Martin Ford (2018)
Cross-posted from the EA Forum.
The 2018 book Architects of Intelligence by Martin Ford is a collection of 23 interviews about progress in AI and future impacts thereof, including the prospect of developing AGI and existential risks. The interviewees inclu... |
928c9527-7fc7-4772-859d-cc20b1950032 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Clickbait might not be destroying our general Intelligence
Epistemic status This post is a "plausible conjecture" alternative to Eliezer's take on clickbait. My arrogant epistimology thinks it's substantially closer to the truth than Eliezer's version.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YicoiQurNBxSp7a65/is-clickbait-de... |
fb2603fe-79d3-49e9-a4d3-d33a5e5a7bdb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against Premature Abstraction of Political Issues
A few days ago romeostevensit wrote in response to me asking about downvotes on a post:
> I didn’t downvote, but I do think that conversations like this attract people who aren’t interested in arguing in good faith. I prefer that such discussions occur a... |
8be17296-83d6-413c-96d7-06d5619ad63d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ganesalingam and Gowers on automated theorem-proving
Ganesalingam and Gowers recently released an ArXiV preprint of their article "A fully automatic problem solver with human-style output" about a theorem-proving program they have written that generates human-readable output. Gowers had blogged about the program in Ap... |
377122c0-de17-4d9c-a928-8b48d891a38e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, June. 19 - June. 25, 2017
IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh th... |
a8cac11f-0a9b-4d68-9d2a-9735e39ac275 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday June 29
Discussion article for the meetup : Irvine Meetup Wednesday June 29
WHEN: 29 June 2011 06:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 4187 Campus Dr, University Center, Irvine, CA 92612
The weekly meetups in Irvine, California are returning to their normal schedule on Wednesday June 29. As alway... |
60dc179a-b65f-4862-a59c-081357b5d625 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the study and design of algorithms that perform tasks or behaviors that a person could reasonably deem to require intelligence if a human were to do it.
Broadly construed, an intelligent system... |
69144bd7-c604-4009-86f7-102e426567df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Pixar works to make the future better
An analysis of how Pixar is promoting transhumanist ideals.
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/sciencenotfiction/2011/05/14/the-hidden-message-in-pixars-films/
>Pixar films contain a complex, nuanced, philosophical and political essence that, when viewed across the company... |
6e7a40e6-ec35-46d3-b369-4b6c142f68f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three useful types of akrasia
What I will attempt in this post is to define 3 common types of akrasia as I experience them, in the hope to generate more useful vocabulary for this very important subject.
This post is greatly inspired by: Do a cost-benefit analysis of your technology usage, and other posts linked from... |
04565436-21dd-4e56-81a0-086e501a2b1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 34 - AI Evaluations with Beth Barnes
YouTube link
How can we figure out if AIs are capable enough to pose a threat to humans? When should we make a big effort to mitigate risks of catastrophic AI misbehaviour? In this episode, I chat with Beth Barnes, founder of and head of research at METR, about these ... |
a3360f9b-cf2f-4417-adc6-7aae039894b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Abstraction = Information at a Distance
Why is abstraction useful? Why use a high-level model rather than a low-level model?
An example: when I type “4+3” in a python shell, I think of that as adding two numbers, not as a bunch of continuous voltages driving electric fields and current flows in little patches of meta... |
f033d1f1-9ab7-40c3-bbdd-d0ae96f5e748 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | AI Gridworlds - Computerphile
So today I thought we could talk about this paper that recently came out called AI safety grid world's which is an indeed mind
It's an example of something that you see quite often in science
A sort of a shared data set or a shared environment or a shared problem if you imagine. I don't k... |
ba594b15-5782-410c-8a9b-553d0fe5b809 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread Spring 2024
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invited. This is ... |
889981f2-15cf-444f-a502-8d505e5d3b7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Silly Online Rules
Silly Rules (found in the Alignment Newsletter) are rules that do not have functional value in themselves.
Silly rules help groups adapt to uncertainty about the stability of social order by enriching the information environment. They help participants in these groups track their beliefs about the ... |
4730b136-0c40-42a8-869e-cea06e8d6c5c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Oct. 20 - Oct. 26, 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page ... |
68870ae9-42d6-44ec-aa81-8c056a4ece6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fake Blog Posts as a Problem Solving Device
This is a very brief post about a simple problem solving strategy I sometimes find useful, that may be worth trying for people who have never done it.
This is the strategy:
When struggling with some difficult problem X, I often find it helpful to write a blog post titled “... |
3d8abf22-6fb8-4443-b650-fe83c65d3668 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I made an AI safety fellowship. What I wish I knew.
TLDR
If you make an AI safety course: Leverage other people. Make sure to cover why AI safety is important. Build a community and just start. Use the below resources and slides.
Why Bother
Making an AI safety fellowship is highly worth doing. It has likely been a ... |
ddeba1da-0a4b-4a10-9964-b7de1c5b56b8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | New Intelligence Explosion Website
We’ve put together a new website focused on the intelligence explosion concept: [IntelligenceExplosion.com](http://intelligenceexplosion.com/). The site is a “landing page” that provides an easy introduction to the topic for laymen and researchers alike.
Also see Nick Bostrom’s lan... |
df42dbc8-68e4-4b9a-ae6b-f51c46bd0149 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Archive of all LW essay contests
I've compiled all the LW writing contests I could find to date. There are 15 in all, plus a few more from other websites. Quite a few of the articles have disappeared from the web, and a couple contests are either still running or were never completed. To help future contest-runners, I... |
ac45aa4c-3f32-4cbe-932c-890d1f9afb81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cooperative Inverse Reinforcement Learning vs. Irrational Human Preferences
At the MIRI colloquium series, we've been discussing at length the new proposal of cooperative inverse reinforcement learning (henceforth CIRL) as an approach to value learning. Essentially, this approach treats human-AI interaction as a coope... |
59d16f1f-8753-4b4e-8627-09b68c7b58e3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Benign model-free RL
In my [last post](https://medium.com/ai-control/directions-and-desiderata-for-ai-control-b60fca0da8f4), I described three research areas in AI control that I see as central: reward learning, robustness, and deliberation.
In this post I argue that these three pieces may be \*sufficient\* to get a ... |
56273edd-bebd-41b2-9927-65a1bc499ab3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Support That Sounds Like Dissent
Related to: Why Our Kind Can't Cooperate
Eliezer described a scene that's familiar to all of us:
> Imagine that you're at a conference, and the speaker gives a 30-minute talk. Afterward, people line up at the microphones for questions. The first questioner objects to the graph used... |
18a8f80c-02bf-4a64-9dd3-26dddf04b771 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Worth checking your stock trading skills
I started trading equities (and equity derivatives) full time last year, without any prior training or experience, beyond some basic economics and finance courses that I took in college many years ago. I figured things out as I went by making a lot of mistakes, and listening to... |
ea01831c-e2ba-4963-9b65-0f78ec7e75c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Write
This post is Part 5 of the sequence on Babble. After writing Hammers and Nails, I figured out that my favorite Hammer is writing.
Write about everything. Write it immediately. Edit afterwards.
In this post, I tell two stories about the magic of putting words on paper. Make your own conclusions about the brain-... |
1cbe1fb2-86eb-4c12-9eeb-8a00eb699ba1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Restaurant Guide 2: Pizza
Continuation From: Restaurant Guide 1
Epistemic Status: Hungry
Pizza is a special case that is worthy of its own attention, so this section will do that. There isn’t as much of a boarder thesis here, and the judgments are more subjective. Part 1 was about more than just restaurants, but Par... |
6024a80e-ecbc-41fa-99b2-dddc42f6cc6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Games in Kocherga club: Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos, Scientific Discovery
Discussion article for the meetup : Games in Kocherga club: Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos, Scientific Discovery
WHEN: 31 May 2017 07:40:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Moscow, B.Dorogomilovskaya, 5-2
Welcome to Moscow LW community makeshift game... |
28ad190f-4642-44ab-af5f-8d2c552e7e2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reward splintering as reverse of interpretability
There is a sense in which reward splintering is the reverse of interpretability.
Interpretability is basically:
* "This algorithm is doing something really complicated; nevertheless, I want a simple model that explains essentially what it is doing. If there is no ob... |
4150964a-f59e-458f-b1bf-2b21031e1e57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New evidence on popular perception of "AI" risk
The Mozilla Foundation recently conducted a survey about AI perception. I participated after receiving an email invitation; I don't know if they recruited elsewhere. They just released a writeup of the results today, which can be found here.
Mozilla seems to take a broa... |
9de63e77-6e7f-4b19-b1cd-cc1f815edede | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Summary of the AI Bill of Rights and Policy Implications
**TLDR:** In the High Level Overview, I attempt to glean the upshots from what is said in the document for the purposes of AI Governance work. Following, Policy Proposals Implications is an attempt to see how this might relate to various current AI Governance po... |
c247acd9-cffa-497e-8b6f-e83a3b0b22ca | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Retrospective Analysis of the 2019 MineRL Competition on Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Many of the recent, celebrated successes of artificial intelligence (AI), such as AlphaStar (Vinyals et al., [2019](#bib.bib31 "Grandmaster level in StarCraft II using multi-agent reinforc... |
3bb1874f-df2a-4772-9d52-1b68899f0ce5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is Akaike statistics?
I have been exploring alternative approaches to statistics ever since I read about Halpern’s counter-example to Cox’s theorem and I came across this:
Could you please give a brief summary of Akaike statistics, references, and why you think is (not) a good foundation for statistics? Thanks! |
04e754b5-614c-419b-9d67-5323d3befbc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW October WebDiplomacy
A month ago we tried to start up two WebDiplomacy games with LW users; only one of them got off the ground, and just finished the 1905 turn. This month, we're trying again, and since the method I used to try and extract time preferences didn't work as well as I hoped last time, I'll try somethi... |
11dae6d1-5808-483d-aef5-07afc65cef1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: solving anthropic puzzles using UDT
Discussion article for the meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: solving anthropic puzzles using UDT
WHEN: 21 July 2015 07:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Google, Electra Tower 29th Floor, Yigal Alon Street 98, Tel Aviv.
Vadim Kosoy will give a talk about solving anthropic p... |
cae8a83a-7e31-4963-84af-540d86ccd93d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are accident and misuse risks?
**Misuse risk** includes things like [autonomous weapons](/?state=6411&question=Isn't%20the%20real%20concern%20autonomous%20weapons%3F) and [invasive surveillance](/?state=6409&question=Isn't%20the%20real%20concern%20AI-enabled%20authoritarianism%3F). These [are real problems,](/?st... |
631f011a-fc33-4212-a3bd-ade460ab88b0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Discontinuous progress in history: an update
I. The search for discontinuities
---------------------------------
We’ve been looking for historic cases of discontinuously fast technological progress, to help with reasoning about the [likelihood](https://aiimpacts.org/likelihood-of-discontinuous-progress-around-the-de... |
85c02dfe-7858-4559-9628-cb3e4c58f57b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Acquisition of Chess Knowledge in AlphaZero": probing AZ over time
None |
a18afc12-678f-4747-b264-8a233b3c1ea3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Google may be trying to take over the world
So I know we've already seen them buying a bunch of ML and robotics companies, but now they're purchasing Shane Legg's AGI startup. This is after they've acquired Boston Dynamics, several smaller robotics and ML firms, and started their own life-extension firm.
Is it ju... |
c42b3d16-aea1-4dcf-bfff-28452b745eaf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta January Meetup: Boring Advice & Stupid Questions
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta January Meetup: Boring Advice & Stupid Questions
WHEN: 17 January 2015 07:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Norgate Manor, 2388 Lawrenceville Highway Unit L, Decatur, GA 30033
This meetup we'll be talking about the Bo... |
540bab8e-3bc4-4668-82d7-bb56cd63610e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on gradient hacking
Gradient hacking is the hypothesised phenomenon of a machine learning model, during training, deliberately thinking in ways which guide gradient descent to update its parameters in the directions it desires. The key intuition here is that because the loss landscape of a model is based on t... |
56f44726-5543-4077-8f85-de828edc501f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #131]: Formalizing the argument of ignored attributes in a utility function
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever ... |
40bed004-c5ad-44ca-bc22-bad76292eb1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactual trade
Counterfactual trade is a form of acausal trade, between counterfactual agents. Compared to a lot of acausal trade this makes it more practical to engage in with limited computational and predictive powers. In Section 1 I’ll argue that some human behaviour is at least interpretable as counterfactu... |
5c01b2d1-5964-41a4-9623-5b7b66178cf1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not Technically Lying
I'm sorry I took so long to post this. My computer broke a little while ago. I promise this will be relevant later.
A surgeon has to perform emergency surgery on a patient. No painkillers of any kind are available. The surgeon takes an inert saline IV and hooks it up to the patient, hoping that ... |
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