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66274481-fca4-45b2-9dc7-7d7f2ca92c27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notifications bubble should look different when there are notifications
Currently, when I get notifications, the notifications bubble doesn't look any different, so I don't end up clicking on those notifications. This seems like it would be an incredibly simple fix. Alternatively, maybe there really is a difference in... |
d7c10515-af28-403f-b923-fb3d303dbe90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Debates with Trolls
One of the best achievements of the LessWrong community is our high standard of discussion. More than anywhere else, people here are actively trying to interpret others charitatively, argue to the point, not use provocative or rude language, apologise for inadvertent offenses while not being ove... |
80239ef3-c1bf-46bb-8e49-0a5e52aee2c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] One Life Against the World
Today's post, One Life Against the World, was originally published on 18 May 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Saving one life and saving the whole world provide the same warm glow. But, however valuable a life is, the whole world is billions of times as valuable. The ... |
aa412c3f-f74d-4f5c-8f8b-3d2241d9b5d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Nonperson Predicates
Today's post, Nonperson Predicates was originally published on 27 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> An AI, trying to develop highly accurate models of the people it interacts with, may develop models which are conscious themselves. For ethical reasons, it would b... |
e0c56109-669c-4e33-9bbb-f682b0d8bedb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Meetup Vienna
WHEN: 24 January 2015 03:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Kaisermühlenstraße 24/2, 1220 Wien
Welcome to the first meetup in 2015 everyone :)
location: When arriving by U2 or Schnellbahn train: get out at station Stadlau take the... |
b95e6a55-eb43-4f3e-a6a5-9d3f0d30984a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is artificial intelligence (AI)?
[AI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence) refers to computer systems that can perform tasks that typically require human [intelligence](/?state=6315&question=What%20is%20intelligence%3F), such as recognizing patterns, making decisions, understanding natural langu... |
8e297b5f-448c-4dba-9884-6e91ccb3798d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Take 10: Fine-tuning with RLHF is aesthetically unsatisfying.
*As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes. This take owes a lot to the Simulators discussion group.*
Fine-tuning a large sequence model wi... |
26513c5f-1dd7-4cf6-9be4-361dd5c65d5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does Sort Really Fall Back to Disk?
The unix sort command is clever: to sort very large files it does a series of in-memory sorts, saving sorted chunks to temporary files, and then does a merge sort on those chunks. Except this often doesn't work anymore.
Here's what I see if I run man sort and look at the documentat... |
c8a39e16-0824-47b4-98d3-d999e8280cb4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Apprenticeship Learning via Inverse Reinforcement Learning
Appren ticeship Learning viaInverseReinforcemen tLearning
Pieter Abbeel pabbeel@cs.st anford.edu
Andrew Y.Ng ang@cs.st anford.edu
Computer Science Departmen t,Stanford University,Stanford, CA94305, USA
Abstract
Weconsider learning inaMarkovdecision
processwher... |
45b6dd42-6fdf-472a-a0a7-2e5a174d21ab | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Suppose you have a system X that's equally likely to be in any of 8 possible states: {X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7, X8.} There's an extraordinarily ubiquitous quantity—in physics, mathematics, and even biology—called entropy; and the entropy of X is 3 bits. This means that, on average, we'll have to ask 3 yes-or-no ques... |
43fa46bb-eb3c-41c8-a4ec-ef6549673fb4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against using stock prices to forecast AI timelines
by Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and J. Zachary Mazlish
[Note: This is an appendix to "AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years"]
One naive objection would be the claim that real interest rates sound like an odd, arbit... |
73b2efa7-12a1-42b3-b12a-a97bccb530d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An easy win for hard decisions
This is a crosspost from the EA forum. It refers to EAs and the EA community a couple of times, but as it is essentially just about a nice norm and decision making, it seemed worth having here too.
There are a lot of things about this community that I really love, but possibly my favour... |
749a5ce0-a52b-48a6-9503-af08fc6133f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More info about the book Eliezer is writing?
I have heard about this book from multiple sources, but so far i have yet to find a good description of the book including prospective release dates, topics and other info. I thought i would ask LW for the appropriate links.
Thanks in advance,
Matt |
5a9fe1fb-f074-4964-9f7a-0fb255cc2508 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | why did OpenAI employees sign
Recently, OpenAI employees signed an open letter demanding that the board reinstate Sam Altman, add other board members (giving some names of people allied with Altman), and resign, or else they would quit and follow Altman to Microsoft.
Following those demands would've put the entire or... |
a3917a25-0574-4be3-abaa-1afe18eb92d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Morality and constrained maximization, part 2
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities)
This is the second in a pair of posts examining whether morality falls out of instrumental rationality, if you do the game theory right. David Gauthier thinks the answer is yes. I focus on his view as an example of a broader tendency, ... |
4bf7757b-bb60-4873-94e4-8259ec2a8c46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - How bad statistics can ruin your life
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Rationality Dojo - How bad statistics can ruin your life
WHEN: 01 February 2015 04:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: Humanist House, 10 Shepherd St Chippendale
Join us at our February dojo for a session on stati... |
37835fbc-cd42-41c4-9aef-170f2c1bf44d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fifty Flips
An unfair coin (potentially EXTREMELY unfair) will be flipped fifty times. Your goal is to correctly predict as many of these flips as possible, by deducing the nature of the unfairness as quickly as possible.
[Predict Heads] [Predict Tails]
----------------------------------------
You can play this (in... |
69db9fc3-8c38-4646-880e-542c381d6ac0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artefacts generated by mode collapse in GPT-4 Turbo serve as adversarial attacks.
I stumbled upon some bizarre behaviour by GPT-4 Turbo 128k, released via API access on November 6, 2023. Since the model is in its preview phase, some imperfections are expected. Nonetheless, I found the behaviour intriguing enough to s... |
ed31f83e-fd3f-4341-94c3-08b622d27d35 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | No-Free-Lunch theorems are often irrelevant
There's a wide variety of "No Free Lunch" theorems proving that, in general, some problem is unsolvable. Very often, these theorems are not relevant because the real universe is a special case.
In a very general and metaphorical sense, most of these theorems say some equiv... |
519a18a9-f780-49a7-9ec8-e69acc625fbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LeCun says making a utility function is intractable
Has there been any post going over how LeCun's alignment plan is very fluffy and he hasn't responded to any criticism of it at all? LeCun's paper: https://openreview.net/forum?id=BZ5a1r-kVsf
One of the criticisms, which goes over how LeCun's idea of an Intrinsic Co... |
c0f02f70-1532-4f1c-b0b8-296b95bafc32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Rational Education
Within the next month I will be enrolling in an(other) undergraduate university course. This being the case I must make a selection of both course and major. While I could make such decisions on impulsive unconscious preference satisfaction and guesswork on what subjects happen to provide the most... |
fa19c0f2-673a-44ab-961e-28dda8e29186 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ayn Rand’s model of “living money”; and an upside of burnout
Epistemic status: Toy model. Oversimplified, but has been anecdotally useful to at least a couple people, and I like it as a metaphor.
Introduction
I’d like to share a toy model of willpower: your psyche’s conscious verbal planner “earns” willpower (earns ... |
5929316f-7901-459c-bb05-566cb7346c01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the mutual benefits of AGI-human collaboration that would otherwise be unobtainable?
By mutual benefits I am thinking of what activities, endeavours, and designs may both future AGI(s) and future human groups, or society at large, invest in that would yield net returns.
The most commonly mentioned benefits... |
3aaa8cc4-427d-4b9e-a967-9586e3f5e30d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "The Urgency of Interpretability" (Dario Amodei)
Dario Amodei posted a new essay titled "The Urgency of Interpretability" a couple days ago.
Some excerpts I think are worth highlighting:
> The nature of AI training makes it possible that AI systems will develop, on their own, an ability to deceive humans and an incl... |
2974ffe6-16b5-4359-904f-ac27a59c68ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inbox zero - A guide - v2 (Instrumental behaviour)
This post is modified from the original.
Original post: Instrumental behaviour: Inbox zero - A guide
This version was first posted at: http://bearlamp.com.au/instrumental-behaviour-inbox-zero-a-guide-v2/
----------------------------------------
This will be brief.... |
973e6306-a8c2-4f92-96c5-1776171629a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why unriggable *almost* implies uninfluenceable
When talking about learning processes, I've said things like "every uninfluenceable learning process is unriggable" and "every unriggable learning process is uninfluenceable, if the set of environments is large enough".
In this post, I want to clarify the relationship b... |
c4738455-77e0-4fe7-acdc-96c99aac0fdf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Inching “Kubla Khan” and GPT into the same intellectual framework @ 3 Quarks Daily
Cross posted [from *New Savanna*](https://new-savanna.blogspot.com/2023/03/inching-kubla-khan-and-gpt-into-same.html).
If you've come here via 3Blue1Brown, hi! If want to learn more about interpreting neural networks in general, here are some resources you might find useful:
* My getting started guide
* My paper reading list
* My Machine Learn... |
558ce519-ab01-4df7-bfae-9204c042e985 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3
This is a thread for discussing my luminous!Twilight fic, Luminosity (inferior mirror here), its sequel Radiance (inferior mirror), and related topics.
PDFs, to be updated as the fic updates, are available of Luminosity (other version) and Radiance. (PDFs courtesy of ... |
d460f6e5-68a4-4b0c-95d3-06358247ddc0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Raw Story: US seizes operator accounts of a subsidiary of Mt. Gox
It's all right there in the title. Link. I believe the law under which the seizure occurred is Title 31. |
4a155bf7-48b4-4118-b099-ec7340fcb77a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wikipedia is not so great, and what can be done about it.
Note: This post originally appeared in Reddit's /r/trueunpopularopinion sub as Wikipedia is not so great, and is overrated written by a user there. It is explicitly released under CC0 public domain by them.
You all have heard by now that Elon Musk said that W... |
b6a5f2a5-57ee-42d3-a035-e084c55a3743 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Nick Bostrom to speak about Superintelligence at UC Berkeley
MIRI has arranged for [Nick Bostrom](http://nickbostrom.com/) to discuss his new book — [*Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies*](http://smile.amazon.co... |
9c3cef75-c8f4-4fdd-88ed-45384d944a8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Lucidity
I wrote a post about the trait of Lucidity, which is something I've been thinking about for a while now. I think it will be of particular interest to this crowd, and would love to hear your thoughts on the concept and how it might relate to other LW aspects.
Specifically, I would love to hear:
1. Whether... |
1bd484e1-2614-466f-b150-63162223d439 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: The Secrets of Alchemy
Like most decisions that seem bizarre to others, my choice to read Lawrence Principe's book took months to germinate. It started when I saw a post on Hacker News describing Jung's work on alchemical diagrams, noting that premodern people thought very differently and the 'rabbit hole... |
63514ba1-1f11-4dc2-b349-ffcb4f8f7ada | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Pull a Broken Chain
This essay originally appeared here.
The Emperor’s Nose (Richard Feynman)
A village in a remote corner of an empire decided to erect a statue of the emperor. The village sculptor was hired, but the sculptor had no idea how large to make the emperor’s nose.
The elders conferred. Nobody in t... |
5df59391-1347-4a0c-879d-cb77bcd2e617 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Double Cruxing the AI Foom debate
This post is generally in response to both [Paul Christiano’s post](https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/) and the [original foom debate](https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/The_Hanson-Yudkowsky_AI-Foom_Debate). I am trying to find the exact circumstances and conditions whi... |
c61f11c3-f8ce-4642-9fe7-935a934f051a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | ChatGTP "Writing " News Stories for The Guardian?
Here's the link: <https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/apr/06/ai-chatgpt-guardian-technology-risks-fake-article>
The issue seems to be that ChatGTP made up a news story and attributed it to a journalist who worked for The Guardian. I'm not quite sure how the... |
ccec238b-f495-4433-9207-55632b1703b2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Adversarial Robustness through Local Linearization
1 Introduction
---------------
In a seminal paper, Szegedy et al. [[23](#bib.bib23)] demonstrated that neural networks are vulnerable to visually imperceptible but carefully chosen *adversarial perturbations* which cause neural networks to output incorrect predicti... |
74c70870-fa3d-4a41-a2db-b249cd0b9d21 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | If multi-agent learning is the answer, what is the question?
Introduction The topic of learning in multi-agent systems, or multi-agent learning (MAL henceforth), has a long history in game theory, almost as long as the history of game theory itself. 2 As early as 1951, fictitious play [10] was proposed as a learning a... |
6eec0040-60d3-47e2-b097-8e7bcfac18c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ICO to Build Next Generation AI Raises $36 Million in 60 Seconds
Former SIAI employee Ben Goertzel taking part in the new crypto currency market. |
3b3de57d-f659-41ef-a6b1-e0ca826900a4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Using Sub-Optimal Plan Detection to Identify Commitment Abandonment in Discrete Environments
1 Introduction
---------------
Autonomous agents generate and execute plans in pursuit of goals. Rationality would require such agents to execute plans which are — in some sense — optimal. However, an agent may execute addi... |
5983b944-a2da-49bc-bda1-29a5b92926e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SI wants to hire a remote LaTeX guru
The Singularity Institute needs to hire 1-2 people who are fluent in LaTeX to help us transform past and future SI publications from looking like this to looking like this.
As with the remote researcher positions, pay is hourly and starts at $14/hr but that will rise if the produc... |
ebe168b5-a71a-49ac-b797-42b02ddb11f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What will be the most important resource after the information age?
The value of resources is defined by them being scarce and unequally distributed. But when nearing an equilibrium state, new resources emerge through the synthesis of previously available ones. One can go as far as saying, and even claim there is a h... |
87293646-b4b8-4f96-afec-fe6990dca923 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Massive Scaling Should be Frowned Upon
**Summary:** It seems at least possible that scaling AI systems (broadly construed) could create dangerously powerful agents. I consider methods to discourage groups from massively scaling AI systems with little regard for safety. Examining cultural, regulatory, and technological... |
7abe2a68-c1d3-48bf-9213-c2fbc7ca9be0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality vs. intelligence
This site often speaks of rationality and intelligence as though they were the same thing, and that someone, by becoming more rational, becomes more intelligent for practical purposes.
Certainly it seems to me that this must be to some extent the case, but what is the exchange rate? If... |
3bd6e059-3c41-46cd-ad7c-dc9b6b21dfff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vegetarianism Ideological Turing Test Results
Back in August I ran a Caplan Test (or more commonly an "Ideological Turing Test") both on Less Wrong and in my local rationality meetup. The topic was diet, specifically: Vegetarian or Omnivore?
If you're not familiar with Caplan Tests, I suggest reading Palladias' post ... |
8fe07b75-4e85-4b85-b32c-2c806d161908 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence
Since the [CAIS technical report](https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/Reframing_Superintelligence_FHI-TR-2019-1.1-1.pdf) is a gargantuan 210 page document, I figured I'd write a post to summarize it. I have focused on the earlier ch... |
2a6d3bfb-3b15-4d8f-954c-104f25319ef2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bayeswatch 9.5: Rest & Relaxation
Vi lay down on the couch in the real half of the therapy room. The other half was illusory. The real and the imaginary halves were separated by a 3D viewscreen. It only worked on one viewer at a time which was fine because only one patient at a time was allowed into the therapy room. ... |
be76307d-e007-4b84-b12f-48dde4657652 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Dec. 29, 2014 - Jan 04, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads ... |
08374521-9b47-44fa-9b79-daf2ee88b87f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How To Copy Less Wrong Design
Suppose you speak a different native tongue and you want to create a Less Wrong similar blog in your language, to produce rationalists who eventually will join Less Wrong (say when the costs of reading in english fall beneath their utility functions expected gain from switching blogs)
Ca... |
5d13facc-117d-439b-9215-420ff4d346ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Procrastination - The art of shaping your future actions
(This is a post from a daily blogging experiment I did at neelnanda.io, which I thought might also fit the tastes of LessWrong)
(Also relevant: A post I made on systems & willpower and notes for a workshop I taught on Murphyjitsu, a technique for better usin... |
e5f429e6-1106-4282-a0e9-fb30f588bf04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Singularity as Religion (yes/no links)
* The Cult of Kurzweil
* The Singularity as Religion
* Rapture of the Nerds, Not
My own opinion is that it's not worth much to argue over the boundaries around a vague term like 'religion,' and of course the question should not be 'Does the Singularity hypothesis share so... |
29360bbe-b0b3-4cd0-a612-cfa308744d04 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Lamda is not an LLM
…so new interview with Blake Lemoine.
Lamda is not an LLM. It’s an LLM retrained in real-time by Deepmind’s StarCraft playing AlphaStar with full ability to query Google Search, Books, Maps. I note that much of the dismissal of Blake Lemoine’s claims strawman Lamda as GPT-3 but it’s so much easie... |
4374d018-7d05-4f36-8461-de96bc47b19e | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Follow-up to: The Intelligent Social WebThe human mind evolved under pressure to solve two kinds of problems:How to physically moveWhat to do about other peopleI don’t mean that list to be exhaustive. It doesn’t include maintaining homeostasis, for instance. But in practice I think it hits everything we might want to ... |
1d29df6e-3365-46aa-a1bf-1638e3591526 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Raw silicon ore of perfect emptiness
Does building a computer count as explaining something to a rock?
(If we still had open threads, I would have posted this there. As it is, I figure this is better than not saying anything.) |
edd45942-dfcd-4fcf-b3d5-8a4f5ab082df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prodding ChatGPT to solve a basic algebra problem
TL;DR: It behaves amazingly like a human would!
It understands the word problem, but struggles to put it in equations, takes multiple tries, screws up again, eventually muddles through to get the right answer. Given a similar problem it does slightly better, but stil... |
65a4a503-3963-433e-a521-1cad5fd79338 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] New paper: "The quantum state cannot be interpreted statistically"
From a recent paper that is getting non-trivial attention...
> "Quantum states are the key mathematical objects in quantum theory. It is therefore surprising that physicists have been unable to agree on what a quantum state represents. There ar... |
5bc31f41-037e-4379-a08e-bf2baa14265b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] sona ike lili
Toki Pona is a language constructed by Sonja Lang, as foretold by linguistic determinism. It is famous for only having about 120 or so words, and yet still being able to express a wide variety of concepts. Today, I am announcing sona ike lili (lit. little bad knowledge), a blog where I will transl... |
152b6019-db02-4ce5-82c6-a428e0a0bac5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Effect of Eli Whitney’s cotton gin on historic trends in cotton ginning
We estimate that Eli Whitney’s cotton gin represented a 10 to 25 year discontinuity in pounds of cotton ginned per person per day, in 1793. Two innovations in 1747 and 1788 look like discontinuities of over a thousand years each on this metric, bu... |
ed6c1cdd-3207-4e92-ac1e-5d0f983bea4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Public transmit metta
Metta, or loving-kindness meditation, involves picking a person and wishing them good things. In the same way as other kinds of concentration practice condition your mind by letting it notice how it feels good to be able to concentrate, I think of loving-kindness meditation as conditioning your m... |
11fb01a3-8e2d-4207-8fb7-d3188fbcac8f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #65]: Learning useful skills by watching humans “play”
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMb... |
779c864e-c38a-4325-890f-5159b700652d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Going Meta Can Level Up Your Career
> Note: This is a post that I've been sitting on for a few years. It was one of the last posts I was working on for my career coaching business before I ended that business to start something higher impact.
> Due to that, the tone isn't exactly crafted for LW, however I still t... |
bb7030bf-c867-4af8-845c-0a5ced3b9d77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps: The Animation
This video is an animation of Sorting Pebbles Into Correct Heaps by Eliezer Yudkowsky. The narration is a word-for-word reading of the story. Enjoy :)
Right after the video is made public, there will probably be some discussion about it in the Rational Animations' Dis... |
78e314f2-0f1b-4293-b7ab-63c3260a7b31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Podcast Transcript: Daniela and Dario Amodei on Anthropic
The last transcript we posted on Eliezer's podcast got a lot of traction, so I'm following up with another conversation we find very important. Dario and Daniela of Anthropic have not talked much publicly about their views on alignment, but they have done a lo... |
f3e962b8-e13a-4945-b76c-3e30bc91e064 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Paradigm-building: Introduction
John Wentworth has described the current phase of AGI safety research as [preparadigmatic](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/3L46WGauGpr7nYubu/the-plan)—that is (courtesy of the [APA](https://dictionary.apa.org/preparadigmatic-science)), “a science at a [very early] stage of developm... |
c7e075fc-ebbf-4cae-8c82-35888bb37a15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New business opportunities due to self-driving cars
This is a slightly expanded version of a talk presented at the Less Wrong European Community Weekend 2017.
Predictions about self-driving cars in the popular press are pretty boring. Truck drivers are losing their jobs, self-driving cars will be more rented than own... |
23138612-a66e-48ed-af88-bdb64fc10b79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Randal Koene on brain understanding before whole brain emulation
Background / Context
Some people, including me, think that it will be very hard and risky to write and run Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) code without risking catastrophic accidents—up to and including human extinction (see for example my post her... |
8b62af83-cd10-4b75-9b06-24eb8b726d05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: Subtract: The Untapped Science of Less
1. Intro
In a bold revolt against the tyranny of the Lindy effect, I recently finished Leidy Klotz’s month-old book Subtract: The Untapped Science of Less.
Klotz’s central argument is that individuals and societies systematically neglect subtraction as a means of ch... |
2d81a7e4-a784-407a-9c6c-0bfa56cf5773 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance
1. Introduction
----------------
Figure 1. (Best viewed in color) Do AI explanations lead to complementary team performance?
In a team setting, when given ... |
c7fe6b3b-010f-4340-8ea3-ea20e808d6bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book review: Knowledge and Decisions by Thomas Sowell
Crossposted from equilibria.club
Link to the book on Goodreads
One of the most famous and insightful pieces of economic writing is Friedrich Hayek's The Use of Knowledge in Society. Most of you have probably read it, if you didn't I recommend it (only 5-7 p... |
87f192ea-ade1-4455-84fa-85123b80ea8b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Towards Measuring the Representation of Subjective Global Opinions in Language Models
1 Introduction
---------------
Large Language models (LLMs) exhibit remarkable performance on a wide variety of tasks Bommasani et al. ([2021](#bib.bib11)); Brown et al. ([2020](#bib.bib14)); Ganguli et al. ([2022a](#bib.bib25)); ... |
d5ed4819-9f4f-485c-9404-30e69322bf5a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | DeepMind x UCL | Deep Learning Lectures | 2/12 | Neural Networks Foundations
all right thank you for this lovely
introduction and
I mentioned today we'll go
the foundations of neural networks the
talk itself will last around 90 minutes
so I would ask you to wait with any
questions till the end of the lecture
we'll ha... |
1c944b4c-6920-4be3-842f-99caf5aa8122 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Our summer fundraising drive is complete!
Our [summer fundraising drive](https://intelligence.org/2015/07/17/miris-2015-summer-fundraiser/) is now finished. **We raised a grand total of $631,957, from 263 donors.**[1](https://intelligence.org/2015/09/01/our-summer-fundraising-drive-is-complete/#footnote_0_11964 "That ... |
f60b20d1-b59e-4e98-b307-6083a3f950c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The dangers of digital vaccines
This is my first post on LW so I hope I get it right, please let me know if I don't!
I've been a Geneticist for 15 years (academia and industry) and while there are several issues I feel people aren't addressing with regards to Covid-19, the one that has me most concerned is the digita... |
75ade4f8-61b0-4cc5-823a-723cf5fb79af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections On The Feasibility Of Scalable-Oversight
This post was inspired by discussions on the feasibility of scaling RLHF for aligning AGI during EAG 2023 in Oakland. The first draft was finished during the Apart Research Thinkaton the following week. Thanks to Lee Sharkey, Daniel Ziegler, Tom Henighan, Stephen Ca... |
fc2f4ecb-cd9c-4a6c-8a9c-5a8f081799ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tasker actions which save me time and sanity
Tasker is a general purpose automation app for Android. It costs a few dollars and takes a bit of time to learn, but once you learn the basics it is quite useful. In this post, I briefly describe how Tasker works, then list simple things I've implemented in Tasker, and last... |
d67a9188-4392-4a16-8eb0-e31b6983d675 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Previously in series: Aiming at the Target Yesterday I spoke of how "When I think you're a powerful intelligence, and I think I know
something about your preferences, then I'll predict that you'll steer
reality into regions that are higher in your preference ordering." You can quantify this, at least in theory, suppos... |
f93b5ca5-e416-491d-a6ff-4284cb7c0d6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How could you possibly choose what an AI wants?
When I say that it's important to align AI with human interests, a common retort goes something like:
> Surely you can't really choose what the AI cares about. You can direct the AI to care about whatever you like, but once it's smart enough it will look at those instru... |
1a9b0a4f-edd5-4cf1-87bf-fb432befce7f | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "The most useful thinking skill I've taught myself, which I think should be more widely practiced, is writing what I call "fact posts." I write a bunch of these on my blog. (I write fact posts about pregnancy and childbirth here.)
To write a fact post, you start with an empirical question, or a general topic. Something... |
bcea12e4-b42f-42b1-9ac1-82530d66e880 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prisoners' Dilemma with Costs to Modeling
We consider a modification to the open source prisoners' dilemma in which agents must pay some resources to model each other. We will use the modal combat framework, but where agents pay a cost proportional to the depth of boxes in their code. Even a small modeling penalty mak... |
433d9f80-c9f3-4f52-985a-84ef52839322 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Updates Thread
If you've updated your belief about something you think is worth noting, post it here.
* It doesn't have to be a full blown "mind change", just an incremental update to your beliefs.
* I'm thinking it'd be good to have a low bar for what is "worth noting". Even if it's something trivial, I figure tha... |
d87eaa55-d691-4d50-a776-ed11314ded9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI may pursue goals
Context: This is a linkpost for https://aisafety.info/questions/NM3J/5:-AI-may-pursue-goals
This is an article in the new intro to AI safety series from AISafety.info. We'd appreciate any feedback. The most up-to-date version of this article is on our website.
Suppose that, as argued previously,... |
8fbed7a9-7b99-4ad4-9f57-542f8ab7dc82 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A basic mathematical structure of intelligence
An important concept here on LW is that of a singularity of intelligence, or at least a very rapid growth. Although it seems mostly hopeless, it would be nice if we could find a mathematical approach to quantify these things. I think the first point to note is that intell... |
4fec46b0-183b-45f0-97d3-c3691aa4aa5d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Technical AI safety in the United Arab Emirates
This project was done as part of EA NYU Abu Dhabi’s [local priorities research](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jjxEw45X2EPoYk6T9/local-priorities-research-what-is-it-who-should-consider?fbclid=IwAR0GQQ0pHTvWoKcIKhfkgrUDFbSiRJ2LzweruDZa2Fj2y1xVtkRhfmbAbBE#4__Wh... |
44fd3945-5a31-45fb-ac23-74e6554f2e45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do you consider your current, non-superhuman self aligned with “humanity” already?
Any actual “hard” superhumans who may be listening are excluded from the audience of this question. I am currently refraining from describing my own ideas to avoid biasing the results; I'm not sure whether I'll reveal something later or... |
6b16e72e-71c7-4dab-b843-918385629246 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1807
Or ... How penalizing computation used during training disfavors deception . This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship, as a part of the Stanford Existential Risks Institute ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program . Thanks to Evan Hubinger, Yonadav Shavit, and Arun Jos... |
fde37f37-1d9c-483f-9218-27132a4d7b30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there a theoretical upper limit on the R0 of Covid variants?
Looking at the Wikipedia article on basic reproduction number, it looks like the most contagious virus (as of right now) is measles with an R0 (high estimate) of 18. I'm wondering if there is some asymptotic limit to how contagious viruses can get, and ma... |
f737f4f2-67a1-4567-8533-5dff37f6434a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Possibility and Could-ness
This post is part of the Solution to "Free Will".
Followup to: Dissolving the Question, Causality and Moral Responsibility
Planning out upcoming posts, it seems to me that I do, in fact, need to talk about the word could, as in, "But I could have decided not to rescue that toddler from the... |
e2fdb45e-799d-476c-b0ff-738b03cfbdd9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | "Existential risk from AI" survey results
I sent a two-question survey to ~117 people working on long-term AI risk, asking about the level of existential risk from "humanity not doing enough technical AI safety research" and from "AI systems not doing/optimizing what the people deploying them wanted/intended".
44 peo... |
eb9b4f9a-901b-4328-82eb-8da255c3b8f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Dance Pay and Inflation
Max Newman is a great contra dance musician, probably best known for playing guitar in the Stringrays, who recently wrote a piece on dance performer pay, partly prompted by my post last week. I'd recommend reading it and the comments for a bunch of interesting discussion of the tradeoffs... |
06de409d-f770-4571-b2bb-67ea4f02a35d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The AI News You Might Have Missed This Week - Zuckerberg to Falcon w/ SPQR
here are seven developments in AI that
you might have missed this week from
chatgpt avatars to open source models on
an iPhone an alpha Dev to Zuckerberg's
projections of super intelligence but
first something a little unconventional
with a mod... |
ef1e8c6b-8f4a-4bae-b4d0-a2284bc16131 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | High-level hopes for AI alignment
Click lower right to download or find on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, etc.
In previous pieces, I argued that there's a real and large risk of AI systems' aiming to defeat all of humanity combined - and succeeding.
I first argued that this sort of catastrophe would be likely ... |
83ac4edf-e632-4925-98dd-f3cbd51e5a50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | John von Neumann on how to safely progress with technology
From a 1955 article written by von Neumann titled, "Can We Survive Technology?"
> What safeguard remains? Apparently only day-to-day — or perhaps year-to-year — opportunistic measures, along sequence of small, correct decisions. And this is not surprising. Af... |
f2bbd9a0-9e03-4bb2-84eb-4c439d94da14 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Am I/Was I a Cultist?
I have been accused repeatedly of being a cultist whenever I wage the rationalist crusade online, and naturally I refute such allegations. However, I cannot deny that I take whatever arguments Yudkowsky (makes whose reasonability I can not ascertain for myself as by default true; an example is th... |
83277931-4461-4846-ad30-1749d9e80ba9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Tragedy of the Social Epistemology Commons
In Brief: Making yourself happy is not best achieved by having true beliefs, primarily because the contribution of true beliefs to material comfort is a public good that you can free ride on, but the signaling benefits and happiness benefits of convenient falsehoods pay b... |
8f5d1687-f33c-460f-99fa-2f3f3c7afef2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inflated Bubbles
[After 3,000 words on statistics, I deserve a condescending politics / culture war post. I have put these posts under the “hedgehog alert” category because if that’s not your cup of bitter acid rain, you should enjoy this hedgehog instead.]
----------------------------------------
Minority Retort... |
1a95810a-aac0-4554-a4de-fca8a0d6fec8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Monday Madison Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Monday Madison Meetup
WHEN: 09 April 2012 06:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 1831 monroe st., madison wi
I plan to run a couple of nascent exercises on explicit specificness, a la http://lesswrong.com/lw/bc3/sotw_be_specific/. This seems like a deeply useful... |
41efb4ce-b98c-4151-ba9b-45e21b0e0dcd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Luck II: Expecting White Swans
When we left off last time, we had discussed two of the four principles which Dr. Richard Wiseman believes accounts for the differences between lucky and unlucky people: do more to maximize the number of chance opportunities you have and take steps to improve your intuition. In this post... |
fb29c569-917a-4a4c-b14a-c7339e7018fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if we all just stayed at home and didn’t get covid for two weeks?
I keep thinking about how if at any point we were all able to actually quarantine for two weeks1 at the same time, the pandemic would be over.
Like, if instead of everyone being more or less cautious over a year, we all agreed on single a two week... |
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