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04c262e9-0ac5-406b-be0a-70397656a801 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Broken Links for the Audio Version of 2021 MIRI Conversations
It seems like about half the audio links for https://intelligence.org/late-2021-miri-conversations/ are broken. Anyone know what happened (or an alternative)? |
59a0e101-bda6-41a7-ae0f-6cbdef1c3a63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Catalyst books
One of the most common counterarguments against a lot of alignment research that I hear sounds something like this: “Making current AI do X with Y won’t help, because AGI will RSI to ASI and break everything”. And it.. sounds convincing, but also like an ultimate counterargument? I mean, I agree that al... |
c25e30c7-ec55-4052-8af6-61d50e837b6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The innocent gene
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities. Content warning: violence, spoilers for King Lear)
> “With this and that I tried to keep the bucket together,
> and then the bottom fell out.
> Where water does not collect,
> the moon does not dwell.”
>
> — Chiyono
This post re-imagines Richard Dawkins’s descr... |
7a487ad9-2de4-43eb-aaad-c7cb9e55076e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is the currency of the future? 5 suggestions.
(Disclaimer: I am not an expert, and this article is for entertainment purposes only, it is not financial advice.)
This post describes five types of currencies that I believe we might see in the future: debt based, commodity/service based, bonds based, stock based, b... |
989c1a2d-efe0-422c-9b4f-3e7d4f6a6f69 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Why Would AI Want to do Bad Things? Instrumental Convergence
hi so sometimes people ask how I can
predict what an artificial general
intelligence might do they say something
like you seem to be predicting that AIS
would take these quite specific actions
trying to prevent themselves from being
turned off preventing the... |
68114f42-fd2c-47f3-b392-c741ec3fce49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] "It'll never work": a collection of failed predictions
http://www.lhup.edu/~dsimanek/neverwrk.htm
(cross-posted from Hacker News) |
f7f3edd7-df6b-4858-bbaa-492aa5d8352c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Drawing lines and tigers
There is a problem that catches the light occasionally, and is pushed off into political correctitude, but one day will have to be met. Humans are all as good as one another. If they are stupid or disabled or anything this doesn’t detract from their worth as people. This is fine – I’m not disa... |
bd3eb883-7d08-4c3a-a6bc-10af7745c603 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Paradox in Timeless Decision Theory
I'm putting this in the discussion section because I'm not sure whether something like this has already been thought of, and I don't want to repeat things in a top-level post.
Anyway, consider a Prisoner's-Dilemma-like situation with the following payoff matrix:
You defect, oppon... |
ea78748f-64ba-4062-9355-a4afebc0f7be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is genetics "dark"?
At the excellent Integrating Genetics and the Social Sciences conference on Thursday and Friday, a late discussion raised an awkward issue: when you say you study the genetics of behaviour, eyebrows get raised. People don’t always like what we do. Now, academics are a quite conformist bunch, and th... |
3caeef88-f8f5-488e-bdd5-5209c716720a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI safety: three human problems and one AI issue
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
There have been various attempts to classify the problems in AI safety research. Our old Oracle paper that classified then-theoretical methods of control, to more recent classifications that grow out of modern more concre... |
d9408ab3-f616-40e8-9b6e-b915ed279d6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An appreciation of the Less Wrong Sequences (kajsotala.fi)
|
af426fdb-6493-4278-b68d-c95f0277a46f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Paderborn Meetup, December 19th
Discussion article for the meetup : Paderborn Meetup, December 19th
WHEN: 19 December 2012 07:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Gownsmen's Pub, Uni Paderborn, Warburger Straße 100, Paderborn
Another meetup of this group. We are meeting once every two weeks. The location switches betwe... |
7edab2dc-5c45-467b-b51a-8c1952d90a92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boxxy and Reagan
An interesting article on forgetomori about Boxxy and Reagan and mirror neurons. |
a9d5c4d7-a2c1-407f-a3a9-b1be5819d9b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Communicating rationality to the public: Julia Galef's "The Straw Vulcan"
Julia Galef's Skepticon IV talk, The Straw Vulcan, is the best intro-to-rationality talk for the general public I've ever seen. Share the link with everyone you know!
Update: Below is the transcript prepared by daenerys:
Emcee: You may re... |
137b48fd-516d-480c-ae2f-6e35c1d47c72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Distinct Configurations
Today's post, Distinct Configurations was originally published on 12 April 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Since configurations are over the combined state of all the elements in a system, adding a sensor that detects whether a particle went one way or the other, bec... |
1d1f8e24-6610-4d25-ab16-f1817743c418 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Blog plant
I like to have plants in honor of things I’ve done. I’m not consistent or proportionate about it, and admittedly I also have quite a few plants that I intend to be in honor of things I haven’t yet done. But now that this blog has apparently functional comments and images and analytics, as well as words on p... |
e7912644-75f6-47f5-8a8e-b9b922452b89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against willpower as a scientific or otherwise useful concept (Nautilus Magazine)
|
c294c523-7c4f-4cec-a5af-43f40048269b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeking (Paid) Case Studies on Standards
Update: the case studies collected0 via this project that authors have agreed to make publicly available are here (including some that already have public links). We are not currently taking applications for new projects. I will likely post some reflections from reading the cas... |
9539923d-ae6c-4d92-80a1-e9e025377f28 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I expect "slow takeoff," which we could operationalize as the economy doubling over some 4 year interval before it doubles over any 1 year interval. Lots of people in the AI safety community have strongly opposing views, and it seems like a really important and intriguing disagreement. I feel like I don't really under... |
30af837f-d793-44d7-be9b-d65af1b16ce8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney pub meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney pub meetup
WHEN: 09 March 2016 06:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 565 george st, sydney, nsw
Regular pub meetup, lvl 2 city of sydney RSL 6pm.
See you there!
https://web.facebook.com/events/1533629156931141/?action_history=null
Discussion article for ... |
8e171b23-2d44-4866-b11d-2ebc8d21c4ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Human instincts, symbol grounding, and the blank-slate neocortex
Intro: What is Common Cortical Algorithm (CCA) theory, and why does it matter for AGI?
As I discussed at Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years, and was earlier discussed on LessWrong at The brain as a universal learning machine, there is a the... |
48be4918-c996-4d23-b46e-d673d493805f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | There's No Fire Alarm for Artificial General Intelligence
*Shared on the Forum's front page as a* [*classic repost*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/tag/classic-repost)*. We recommend reading it alongside Katja Grace's* [*recent response*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jzWxsrJqcAcHmYM7r/beyond-fire-ala... |
498cead4-fb45-419e-b1d5-6ee4b70f9c60 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Extended Picture Theory or Models inside Models inside Models
This post offers a model of meaning (and hence truth) based on extending Wittgenstein's [Picture Theory](https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Picture_theory_of_language). I believe that this model is valuable enough to be worth presenting on its own. I've left justi... |
eac35af1-070e-49ad-89c0-cf7b40cc12ca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Grantmaking is Funding-Limited Right Now
For the past few years, I've generally mostly heard from alignment grantmakers that they're bottlenecked by projects/people they want to fund, not by amount of money. Grantmakers generally had no trouble funding the projects/people they found object-level promising, w... |
1a0e09b4-d05f-4af8-a926-9f75f9e2245f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Alignment Newsletter #6: 05/14/18
Highlights
Thoughts on AI Safety via Debate (Vaniver): Vaniver has played several debate games on the website and wrote up some of his experiences. He ended up more optimistic about debate, but still worries that the success of the technique relies on the toy examples being toy.
... |
10ca8377-6975-43b1-add3-866733794f48 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discontinuous Linear Functions?!
We know what linear functions are. A function f is linear iff it satisfies additivity f(x+y)=f(x)+f(y) and homogeneity f(ax)=af(x).
We know what continuity is. A function f is continuous iff for all ε there exists a δ such that if |x−x0| < δ, then |f(x)−f(x0)| < ε.
An equivalent way ... |
6f69ac2d-20ac-4204-8f52-7ddbbfab458f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Last Chance: Get tickets to Manifest 2023! (Sep 22-24 in Berkeley)
Ticket prices increase Sept 8.
Forecasting Festival — Hosted by Manifold
Manifest 2023 is the first in-person gathering of the forecasting & prediction market community. Chat with the Manifold team, special guests like Nate Silver, Robin Hanson, Dyla... |
33d7e294-ec6b-4473-bf2f-1527eda9eefc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
There are no LW meetups posted for THIS week, but...
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup: 04 January 2012 07:00PM
* Salt Lake City, Late January 2012
* Columbus or Cincinnati Meetup: 21 January 2012 08:34PM
* First Brussels meetup: 18 ... |
6c249e1b-9281-4969-9c38-a0a0ccb30b95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compressed Computation is (probably) not Computation in Superposition
This research was completed during the Mentorship for Alignment Research Students (MARS 2.0) Supervised Program for Alignment Research (SPAR spring 2025) programs. The team was supervised by Stefan (Apollo Research). Jai and Sara were the primary co... |
62cfe61f-a3a6-458d-bad7-296c4ad5845a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Moral Consideration of Nonhumans in the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence | Global Catastrophic Risk Institute
[View the paper “Moral Consideration of Nonhumans in the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence”](https://link.spring... |
c7d77d5e-162e-44ec-b9c8-1a2198b43657 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Take 8: Queer the inner/outer alignment dichotomy.
As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes.
I'm not saying to never say "inner alignment." But you had better be capable of not using that framing if y... |
3e1d5651-d10f-449d-86a3-17e93ac3b33c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Algorithmic Measure of Emergence v2.0
It has occasionally been proposed that we need a new algorithmic definition of 'complexity', different from Kolmogorov complexity, that better captures our intuitive sense of which structures in the world are truly complex. Such definitions are typically designed with the goal of ... |
33bb83e1-1a3c-4599-a926-4b35d38ab340 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sanctuary for Humans
TL;DR: If we succeed at AI safety, humans will probably decide the future of the universe, and we currently have strong self-preservation incentives to choose a future populated by humans. If we committed to provide sanctuary for all currently alive humans, this would make our decision making proc... |
7666b8be-2d7b-47ea-824e-5eb4d5436abe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding SAE Features with the Logit Lens
This work was produced as part of the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Winter 2023-24 Cohort, with support from Neel Nanda and Arthur Conmy. Joseph Bloom is funded by the LTFF, Manifund Regranting Program, donors and LightSpeed Grants. This post makes extensive us... |
27ae5f7f-e1c3-4c1a-afaa-57babc1a6fd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow meetup: phenomenological analysis, methods of creativity, lightning talks
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow meetup: phenomenological analysis, methods of creativity, lightning talks
WHEN: 01 March 2015 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16
This Sunday, at our usu... |
4279432e-3c89-433b-b3f3-d5040fdd95bd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Needs summary
By default, a page's [summary](https://arbital.com/p/1kl) (that shows up in the popover when a user hovers over a [greenlink](https://arbital.com/p/17f)) is the page's first paragraph. Sometimes the first paragraph is not well-suited for a popover summary. Add this tag to pages that need to have a custom... |
1597ae08-6b71-4854-8c66-418a0784644b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introduction to Game Theory: Sequence Guide
This sequence of posts is a primer on game theory intended at an introductory level. Because it is introductory, Less Wrong veterans may find some parts boring, obvious, or simplistic - although hopefully nothing is so simplistic as to be outright wrong.
Parts of this seque... |
a06e1164-263a-42c4-bc72-26262271fd0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Monthly Bay Area meetup: Berkeley
Discussion article for the meetup : Monthly Bay Area meetup: Berkeley
WHEN: 18 February 2012 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 2128 Oxford St., Berkeley, CA
The next monthly Bay Area meetup will be Saturday, 18 February, in Berkeley. We'll gather as usual at 7:00pm at the Starbuck... |
bb78afde-0f07-4fff-bbb2-43367e19924e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Dave Doty on algorithmic self-assembly
 Dave Doty is a Senior Research Fellow at the California Institute of Technology. He proves theorems about molecular computing and conducts experiments implementing algorithmic molecular self-assemb... |
80fec733-b46b-4b60-9e3f-50a2eaf218d1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Supervise Process, not Outcomes
We can think about machine learning systems on a spectrum from process-based to outcome-based:
* Process-based systems are built on human-understandable task decompositions, with direct supervision of reasoning steps.
* Outcome-based systems are built on end-to-end optimization, with s... |
0bb2cfbc-3a1a-4070-b004-dc5fe5d20e63 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | All AGI safety questions welcome (especially basic ones) [Sept 2022]
**tl;dr: Ask questions about AGI Safety as comments on this post, including ones you might otherwise worry seem dumb!**
Asking beginner-level questions can be intimidating, but everyone starts out not knowing anything. If we want more people in the ... |
723e8ce4-e9c0-4ab5-9f45-fcf5c7ab5329 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Much Have I Been Playing?
With Kingfisher I'm starting to need to think about how many gigs I should accept, which is good and bad! I like playing a lot, but since I also work full time, have three kids, etc. I need to be careful not to say yes to too many things. It would be helpful to know how much I've been pla... |
cf29aab9-2af0-44e3-9d03-cd7689a9f1d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PIBBSS Fellowship: Bounty for Referrals & Deadline Extension
Crossposted to EA Forum
TL;DR: 500 USD bounty for successful applicants referrals
Background
The PIBBSS Summer Research Fellowship is seeking applicants studying complex and intelligent behavior in natural and social systems, such as ecology, evolutionary... |
041b39f0-952b-4c3e-8c4d-8acd8803ea38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : HPMOR wrap party cologne / Cologne LW meetup (restart)
Discussion article for the meetup : HPMOR wrap party cologne / Cologne LW meetup (restart)
WHEN: 14 March 2015 04:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Cologne, Germany
I will host a hpmor party either at Cottas (Dürener Str. 87) or at my home in Weiden (if prefered ... |
e4d5b498-3e28-4706-ac60-9f27140f3a8f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Should AI systems have to identify themselves?
A short post to hear what people think of the policy proposal to have any interaction with an AI (eg chatbot) include an overt notification that one is indeed interacting with an AI.
Clearly, one wouldn't want a frequent pop up in video games but in the world of pro... |
cc65cbc4-02ee-4121-9973-9a38b49fd8d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bayesian Punishment
In which it is argued that taking into account the non-binary nature of uncertainty of guilt or innocence could lead to a more just equilibrium with respect to false positives vs. false negatives in the justice system.
There are many arguments to be made for and against the death penalty, but one ... |
7b542824-46af-494e-8267-070796e26315 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The case for becoming a black-box investigator of language models
Interpretability research is sometimes described as neuroscience for ML models. Neuroscience is one approach to understanding how human brains work. But empirical psychology research is another approach. I think more people should engage in the analogou... |
635e9fae-ae33-4129-8325-31f4b7581149 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Misalignment Harms Can Be Caused by Low Intelligence Systems
Most clinical trials are very simple statistical models. There are not trillions of parameters in a complex neural network architecture. Yet they are still the most effective tools we have at validating and optimising health and recovery in human beings. Ver... |
587292d4-ec5b-40d4-8814-14505e28ec2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Domesticating reduced impact AIs
About a year ago, I posted several ideas for "reduced impact AI" (what Nick Bostrom calls "domesticity"). I think the most promising approach was the third one, which I pompously titled "The information in the evidence". In this post, I'll attempt to put together a (non-realistic) exam... |
652315bd-3940-4b62-8f72-e678a28d05f4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Idea: an AI governance group colocated with every AI research group!
I'm a PhD candidate at Mila (https://mila.quebec/en/mila/). I've spoken with a lot of people there (and some people elsewhere) who want to work on AI governance, but don't know where to begin. At the same time, I believe there is significant intere... |
26c134e8-4190-48ec-acb1-25fa76ddfad8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yudkowsky is too optimistic about how AI will treat humans.
Yudkowsky merely suggests that once humanity creates superintelligence everyone dies.
I worry that it could be worse than this. A superintelligence trapped in a box has limited options to manipulate the world without help. Human beings could be useful tools ... |
44cb07ad-570c-4aff-8a3d-7cbbbdcbc648 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prodromes and Biomarkers in Chronic Disease
Midjourney
Thanks to Renaissance Philanthropy for their support of my research on this topic.
Why Prodromes?
A lot of chronic diseases, particularly autoimmune and neurodegenerative disorders, develop over the course of years, as the patient transitions from “healthy” to ... |
dbb85b24-1f13-4f73-af84-c4c302730115 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Economic Post-ASI Transition
Who's done high quality work / can tell a convincing story about managing the economic transition to a world where machines can do every job better than humans?
Some common tropes and why I don't think they're good enough:
* "We've always managed in the past. Take the industrial revolut... |
f4e09448-dc23-4b09-9075-5b49c40dd43b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AISN #23: New OpenAI Models, News from Anthropic, and Representation Engineering
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe [here](https://newsletter.safe.ai/subscribe?utm_medium=web&... |
714e2888-1568-442d-aa4a-519bc04549a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Robotics
This summer I am working in the Robotics Locomotion group at CSAIL (MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory). I’ve decided to start a blog to exposit on the ideas involved. This ranges from big theoretical ideas (like general system identification techniques) to problem-specific ideas (s... |
4fee555c-96cd-4806-b7f6-80051610461b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | GPT-2 as step toward general intelligence (Alexander, 2019)
*Linkposting, tagging and excerpting in accord with '*[*Should pretty much all content that's EA-relevant and/or created by EAs be (link)posted to the Forum?*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/kYDT4u8QagZmPFdCL/should-pretty-much-all-content-that-s-e... |
7499d9a5-b411-41f6-8b7b-6c0c0e68ab77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : November Rationality Dojo - Ghetto Research
Discussion article for the meetup : November Rationality Dojo - Ghetto Research
WHEN: 02 November 2014 03:30:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: Ross House Association, 247-251 Flinders Lane, Melbourne
[ATTN: Please remember the new location for the dojos: the Jenny Florence Roo... |
34ae4bff-3143-4f66-a167-0277cb2c0c45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Heartbleed learning experience and alternative to poor quality Heartbleed instructions.
Due to the difficulty of finding high-quality Heartbleed instructions, I have discovered that perfectly good, intelligent rationalists either didn't do all that was needed and ended up with a false sense of security or did thing... |
778579ab-1304-46de-8560-8b02ad500057 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Zendo, Tower of Chaos, Training game
Discussion article for the meetup : Games in Kocherga club: FallacyMania, Zendo, Tower of Chaos, Training game
WHEN: 25 May 2016 07:40:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Moscow, B.Dorogomilovskaya, 5-2
Welcome to Moscow LW community makeshift game... |
1fe5b3b4-e834-4864-8c2d-356559ee81af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boston: Unconference
Discussion article for the meetup : Boston: Unconference
WHEN: 16 August 2015 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 98 Elm Street, Somerville
—Phase 1: Arrival, greetings, unstructured conversation. —Phase 2: Short talks by attendees (you are encouraged but not required to give one). This starts p... |
2806ce9d-b62c-4607-9acc-14c26a8bc15f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [April Fools'] Definitive confirmation of shard theory
I've written [a lot about shard theory](https://www.lesswrong.com/sequences/nyEFg3AuJpdAozmoX) over the last year. I've poured dozens of hours into theorycrafting, communication, and LessWrong comment threads. I pored over theoretical alignment concerns with exqui... |
fb721f3c-b87f-485c-be1d-0a5ab1a6a9c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conspiracy-proof archeology
This is a cross-post from Telescopic Turnip.
Totally legit fossil of a 3m giant, excavated near Cardiff, NY.
There is a lot you can learn about history by asking random Frenchmen about World War Two. Which army contributed the most to the pwnage of Germany? According to Ifop who conducted ... |
8365115b-e322-4a54-ba35-4a9a9f6d5b7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is wrong with "Traditional Rationality"?
In several places in the sequences, Eliezer writes condescendingly about "Traditional Rationality". The impression given is that Traditional Rationality was OK in its day, but that today we have better varieties of rationality available.
That is fine, except that it is u... |
fe822bb2-f134-4efa-971b-6c76b3ed8e84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An implementation of modal UDT
One of the great advantages of working with Gödel-Löb provability logic is that it's possible to implement an evaluator which efficiently checks whether a sentence in the language of GL is true. Mihaly and Marcello used this to write a program that checks whether two modal agents coopera... |
2eca006f-321c-48d8-98c8-5e3011d4765a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability is fake, frequency is real
Consider the Sleeping Beauty problem. What do we mean by fair coin? It is meant that the coin will have 50-50 probability of heads or tails. But that is fake. It will ether come up heads or tail, because the real world is deterministic. It is true that I don't know the outcome. I... |
0d41d7f2-f09d-4509-8fab-031a0def7806 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Better Disagreement
> Honest disagreement is often a good sign of progress.
- Gandhi
Now that most communication is remote rather than face-to-face, people are comfortable disagreeing more often. How, then, can we disagree well? If the goal is intellectual progress, those who disagree should aim not for name-call... |
bbf3d996-4618-4453-b109-59b88b3e363d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A few Alignment questions: utility optimizers, SLT, sharp left turn and identifiability
I am trying to find some Alignment direction that could be interesting for me to learn and work on, I've already received a couple of answers but I want more opinions and I just get more motivation from the discussions/cooperation.... |
e9c1c73c-c8a5-4b78-b457-6253d84af089 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | rattumb debate: Are cognitive biases a good thing ?
None |
d7d01b7a-30f6-4994-ac99-bd820e7550c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Want to understand the research? Dive deeper.
AI safety is a sizable field, with a lot to dig into. This site will help you get oriented. Alternatively, there are many more structured [introductions to the field](/?state=86J8&question=What%20are%20some%20introductions%20to%20AI%20safety%3F) you can follow.
To underst... |
59a5b5d6-4fc2-4f02-a6cc-464273de9ce1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | mind viruses about body viruses
I was going to write this as a Slate Star Codex comment, but I’m going to make it a tumblr post tagging @slatestarscratchpad instead, since experience suggests it’s likely to be more widely and carefully read in this form. (Crossposting to LW too, so you may be reading this there, poss... |
e7fce0ab-c859-4aa8-943e-e566021680c7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | When wishful thinking works
This idea is due to Scott Garrabrant.
Suppose you have propositions .mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap... |
1a7ae0d2-e539-491a-88b3-39ac44674c64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The function of belief - advice appreciated.
Hi Less Wrongers and Less Wrongerettes,
Doing a fortnightly Less Wrong group with some friends, and next session we're planning to scrutinize belief, hoping to touch on belief in belief, belief as attire etc. but I wanted to start by examining what belief is and the functi... |
927acc94-4557-4a79-a119-efa7469ca7e2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding
1 Introduction
---------------
Language model pre-training has been shown to be effective for improving many natural language processing tasks Dai and Le ([2015](#bib.bib15)); Peters et al. ([2018a](#bib.bib36)); Radford et al. ([2018]... |
f0dab735-c5e1-4ca8-af4d-d7135275b090 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is full self-driving an AGI-complete problem?
I've felt for quite a while that full self-driving (automated driving without human supervision through arbitrary road systems) is a problem that is deceptively hard. Yes, it is possible to map a route and navigate on a road mesh, do lane following, and even obstacle avoid... |
4fc36ced-a0f3-4ec0-8f1e-072165080508 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing Effective Self-Help
An adapted, somewhat updated version of this article posted to the EA Forum a few months ago: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/i2Q3DTsQq9THhFEgR/introducing-effective-self-help
Effective Self-Help (ESH) is a pilot initiative researching the most effective ways people can impr... |
cf911071-7739-4155-92d3-f71d7fbcb689 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Much to Give is a Pragmatic Question
I was recently talking to someone who had recently started thinking about effective altruism, and was trying to figure out how to work it into their life. They were established in their career, it paid well, and their background wasn't obviously a good fit for direct work, so t... |
97179b71-297d-497a-8363-2c76d930e99e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Pearly Gates
St. Peter stood at a podium before the Gates of Heaven. The gates were gold, built on a foundation of clouds. A line of people curved and winded across the clouds, beyond what would be a horizon if this plane of existence was positively-curved. Instead, they just trailed away toward Infinity, away fro... |
b6619bb0-ad52-486c-b543-b60822230f6d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Two major announcements in AI governance today
Two important announcements in AI policy were made today.
First one: [**FACT SHEET: President Biden Issues Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence**](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/10/30/fact-... |
fcfedd66-add6-4ca9-adf3-48546b00b58b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Raised in Technophilia
My father used to say that if the present system had been in place a hundred years ago, automobiles would have been outlawed to protect the saddle industry.
One of my major childhood influences was reading Jerry Pournelle's A Step Farther Out, at the age of nine. It was Pournelle's reply to Pa... |
57d7286c-0746-4ec8-9609-a568eef526b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fixed point theory (locally (α,β,ψ) dominated contractive condition)
locally (α,β,ψ) dominated contractive condition
Theorem 2.1 Let α,β:X×X→[0,+∞), r>0, x₀∈X, ψ∈Ψ, (X,d) be an (α,β)-complete metric space and S,T:X→X. If the following conditions hold:
1) S and T are (α,β)-continuous,
2) The pair (S,T) satisf... |
0a3f7d7d-4743-4344-89a2-6f377adfe9f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secular Solstice Songbook Update
I hosted another post- EAG music party, and we ended up singing a lot of things out of my secular solstice songbook ( making of).
This prompted me to make a few fixes: ~~break
* Previously I only showed the chords for each section the first time they appeared, which meant that (a)... |
cb823885-4d14-49cd-8ef1-14434a6cfd50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dead Child Currency
From Yvain's 'proposal' to measure money in dead children:
> According to Population Services International, a respected charity research group, it costs between $650 and $1000 [1] to save one child's life through charity. You've probably heard lower numbers like twenty cents somewhere. The lower ... |
e1d513db-618e-427d-90ba-1ddfbfc88907 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #123]: Inferring what is valuable in order to align recommender systems
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[... |
a83e59a0-de98-4a70-8d38-17a606f3dd80 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | September 2015 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out t... |
9abf0cca-9e5f-4a2f-8a14-4dd88079d58f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Retracted] More silent deletion; LessWrong's moderation needs to change
Edit: Fuck it, Rain is right. Eliezer totally unjustifiably deleted some of my upvoted comments earlier today and this post was about that, but really this is some petty drama and even the troll in me is bored of it. I won't delete this because t... |
599dade0-79ae-4345-b1cf-dacb770a7198 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to pick your categories
Note: this is intended to be a friendly math post, so apologies to anyone for whom this is all old hat. I'm deliberately staying elementary for the benefit of people who are new to the ideas. There are no proofs: this is long enough as it is.
Related: Where to Draw the Boundary, The Clus... |
6ce584fd-e2cf-4464-b10f-77101cd10c3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Request for small textbook recommendations
I'd love recommendations for good textbooks that are short.
I like books to be physically smaller so that they're easier to hold and carry around, and I'd also like to be able to at least plausibly believe that I might read the whole thing. I was a math and physics major, so... |
f1d22171-f450-4aca-9401-ea30eed1e30e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Rationality and Cooking
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Champaign: Rationality and Cooking
WHEN: 06 April 2014 12:01:01PM (-0500)
WHERE: 412 W. Elm St, Urbana, IL
There are a lot of rationality skills applicable to cooking. On the one hand, this is nice for cooking. On the othe... |
3d7ea629-bd1e-438d-8809-631f502bd954 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment Podcast: An Overview of Technical AI Alignment in 2018 and 2019 with Buck Shlegeris and Rohin Shah
Just a year ago we released a two part episode titled An Overview of Technical AI Alignment with Rohin Shah. That conversation provided details on the views of central AI alignment research organizations and... |
48d7d237-0b5b-4c94-ba9b-5ca5afb99769 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AGI Safety Literature Review (Everitt, Lea & Hutter 2018)
*Abstract.* The development of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) promises to be a major event. Along with its many potential benefits, it also raises serious safety concerns (Bostrom, 2014). The intention of this paper is to provide an easily accessible and... |
a2cbf0e1-64d1-42ee-b12a-ae3c3f1a74c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Case against Killer Robots (link)
This rather serious report should be of interest to LW. It argues that autonomous robotic weapons which can kill a human without an explicit command from a human operator ("Human-Out-Of-The-Loop" weapons) should be banned, at an international level.
(http://www.hrw.org/reports... |
e0ec851a-3d3c-4394-83b9-ab71749eac04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wondering what to do with my ability for empathy and understanding people. Have some experience and perhaps opportunity to work with this professionally - advice?
(I've intentionally tried to keep this post concise. Please ask if you want more details about something)
I've done some free NVC-based empathy work st... |
3cf9413c-992d-486b-8e65-a0cf3b457103 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the resolution limits of medical imaging?
To all my physicists in the house, will it ever be possible for a device to scan the contents of a human head at the molecular level (say, 5 x 5 x 5nm) while the subject is still alive? I don't have a physics background, so if you could also just point me to the mater... |
054cb9fc-09e8-4006-ae05-be8c9ea57521 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | a narrative explanation of the QACI alignment plan
a bunch of people are having a hard time understanding my [question-answer counterfactual interval](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4RrLiboiGGKfsanMF/the-qaci-alignment-plan-table-of-contents) (QACI) alignment proposal, so i'm writing out this post which hopefully exp... |
67eced12-8b2a-4adf-ba3b-61dfd6dbd042 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Link: Exotic disasters are serious
Several prominent LW names get mentioned in this piece.
http://www.alternet.org/print/visions/how-exotic-and-unlikely-sounding-disasters-could-kill-humans |
9e5ea6ac-0fc2-458e-a894-50d2473a725b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How should I optimize my decision making model for 'ideas'?
I’m an ideas man, an ideas man I am. Following on from my past question here about idea capture, the next step is obviously what you do with those captured ideas. As I said, I have a huge backlog of ideas, hundreds of them are rather fleshed out film ideas th... |
bdfd4ccc-c1dc-4c56-b3d2-fd96f10562e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Power of High Speed Stupidity
The launch of GPT-4 got me thinking about how humans create valuable things that are too complex to understand. GPT-4 is an example of a broader class of valuable-but-incomprehensible things that includes the world economy, the source code for large products like Google Search, and li... |
721f525c-1984-4d34-87b0-b5e7185eb8ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Here's the exit.
There's a kind of game here on Less Wrong.
It's the kind of game that's a little rude to point out. Part of how it works is by not being named.
Or rather, attempts to name it get dissected so everyone can agree to continue ignoring the fact that it's a game.
So I'm going to do the rude thing. But I... |
3033391d-7bc0-4aeb-88a3-c05b9944dc4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A different angle on UDT
Instead of directly asking "what decision theory should an agent run," consider the question, "given a description of an environment and a description of an agent, identify the best action available to that agent, regardless of its algorithm."
These are pretty much the same question, with sli... |
c04d751a-5b68-413c-b493-8f7b97444add | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book notes: "The Origins of You: How Childhood Shapes Later Life"
Cross-posted from Otherwise, where I'm writing these days.
Other book note posts on books about children: The Anthropology of Childhood, Don't Shoot the Dog
The book: The Origins of You: How Childhood Shapes Later Life by Jay Belsky, Avshalom Caspi, T... |
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