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13fc9922-8dee-4113-8a55-a87d277b3c28 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Jason Silva on AI safety
Just an FYI that Jason Silva, a "performance philosopher" who is quickly gaining popularity and audience, seems to have given little thought to, or not been exposed to the proper arguments for, or is unconvinced by, the existential threat of AGI. But of course, perhaps this optimism is what ha... |
00a3b67a-3c88-4e03-8adb-86f891f41272 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Technical AI Safety Researchers Can Help Implement Punitive Damages to Mitigate Catastrophic AI Risk
In the previous post, I explained how punitive damages could “pull forward” the expected liability associated with the uninsurable risks generated by training and deploying advanced AI systems. In this post, I lay ... |
38911f17-9c63-489d-9a5c-0c3f80a87d33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taste & Shaping
Author's note: while it does not belong in the handbook proper, Duncan Sabien's essay Goodhart's Imperius is very close to (and partially derived from) the content in this chapter, and is a good extension or follow-up.
----------------------------------------
Epistemic status: Mixed
Many of the conc... |
bc19b496-b65e-4724-9c77-15add49354de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unit economics of LLM APIs
Disclaimer 1: Our calculations are rough in places; information is sparse, guesstimates abound.
Disclaimer 2: This post draws from public info on FutureSearch as well as a paywalled report. If you want the paywalled numbers, email dan@futuresearch.ai with your LW account name and we’ll send... |
831fe4d3-6ff1-487f-90d3-d1398f331962 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New Post version 1 (please read this ONLY if your last name beings with a–k)
Note: I am testing two versions of my new post on rationality and romance.
Please upvote, downvote, or non-vote the below post as you normally would if you saw it on the front page (not the discussion section), but do not vote on the other v... |
fbea3de6-fb2f-4e14-8d91-1b922b9f364a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is ("Chemical Imbalance" => Depression) an example of fake causality?
I'm referring to fake causality as described in Eliezer's post, here.
I've often heard it said that "depression is a chemical imbalance", or that depression may be caused by biochemistry. But isn't everything we experience- every emotion (or lack t... |
faf3fb11-fda8-46fe-bacf-95ca9aecc600 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] 10 Tips from CFAR: My Business Insider article
My Business Insider article titled 10 tips from a Silicon Valley bootcamp that aims to make smart, successful people more productive.
|
b8d200fb-7e3c-40b7-b36e-de27037638c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Adversarial Policies Beat Professional-Level Go AIs
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning from self-play has achieved superhuman performance in a range of games including Go (Silver et al., [2016](#bib.bib30)), chess and shogi (Silver et al., [2016](#bib.bib30)), and Dota (OpenAI et al., [2019](#bib... |
c390feeb-c8d5-4db0-a9c8-9b16cc4469df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Meta Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Meta Meetup
WHEN: 05 October 2014 03:30:20AM (-0400)
WHERE: 98 Elm Street Somerville
We'll spend the first part of the meeting discussing the topics we'd like to see more of at future meetups. For the second part of the meetup, we'll socialize and get to know... |
27e718e9-cab7-4e8f-a29c-28af2c083cbc | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post3892
Let's think of the classical Cake or Death problem from the point of view of corrigibility . The aim here is to construct a toy model sufficiently complex that it shows all the problems that derail classical value learning and corrigibility. The utility u c is linear in cakes baked, the utility u d is lin... |
dd5eaf60-d459-482b-911c-13d1803d70ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Cutting Wages
This post is a response to Bryan Caplan’s request that I share my experiences cutting wages. It was not fun.
While I was CEO of MetaMed, we were continuously short of revenue. We started the company thinking we would be able to sustain ourselves through sales, but those sales did not materialize. In ... |
4660bd9c-b5a3-434d-9614-c0652b0bda07 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Dutch-Booking CDT
*[This post is now superseded by [a much better version of the argument](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/X7k23zk9aBjjpgLd3/dutch-booking-cdt-revised-argument).]*
In [a previous post](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/tpWfDLZy2tk97MJ3F/a-rationality-condition-for-cdt-is-that-it-equal-edt-part-2), ... |
50554166-948f-4397-8035-94de83a50ca8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread – April 2023
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invited... |
beecc7ca-96f2-4352-ab28-0ee21fa80baa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Running by Default
In video games it's common for characters to run by default: it's faster, why wouldn't you? I think this is also a good approach to apply in real life, at least over short distances. It saves you time and it's a bit of exercise. Over pretty much any distance short enough that I'm not going to break ... |
7dfce2cf-004c-4501-9dba-0ea8ef104b08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Signaling of what, precisely?
It's a well-known fact that college graduates make more money than high school graduates who do not go to college, but the reason is not clear. Bryan Caplan offers a typology where he splits the gap between the income of college graduates and of high school graduates into three parts: hum... |
b2d98965-ca74-4eb2-9463-efdadf18386b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Training Regime Day 24: Resolve Cycles 2
Introduction
Two anecdotes that I claim have something in common:
> Scene: me at office hours having worked on an algebra problem for 3+ hours.
> TA: The solution involves matrices
> Me: <realizes answer>
> Scene: friend asking me for help solving a reasonably difficult CS... |
a1dd9b49-d584-4016-bada-f1a22a50fd37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Podcast: Elizabeth & Austin on "What Manifold was allowed to do"
Elizabeth Van Nostrand and Austin Chen discuss unconventional approaches to running startups, nonprofits, and events. We go over:
* How publicly sharing Manifold’s salaries and company information helped with recruitment and user engagement
* The orig... |
d1da61d0-6df6-45a8-a5bf-633a6e3b477a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where is your moral thermostat?
Old news: humans regard morality as though with a ‘moral thermostat‘.
> …we propose a framework suggesting that moral (or immoral) behavior can result from an internal balancing of moral self-worth and the cost inherent in altruistic behavior. In Experiment 1, participants were asked t... |
c598f2de-35eb-4a5e-87ce-6724bc842d01 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | TAI Safety Bibliographic Database
*Authors: Jess Riedel and Angelica Deibel*
[Cross-posted to EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S7x3ztfd9h8ux68wN/tai-safety-bibliographic-database)
In this post we present the first public version of our bibliographic database of research on the safety of transform... |
34710cf8-76ed-4cca-88a5-67677843c330 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Call for contributors to the Alignment Newsletter
TL;DR: I am looking for (possibly paid) contributors to write summaries and opinions for the Alignment Newsletter. This is currently experimental, but I estimate ~80% chance that it will become long-term, and so I’m looking for people who are likely to contribute at le... |
2619c1c6-1091-4825-9b9f-f9d4af3a16e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal experience of coffee as nootropic
My life took a turn in 2015. That was when I first started drinking coffee on a regular basis. Not Americanos or Lattes, but 'Kopi' brewed with higher-caffeine Robusta beans using a 'sock' immersed in water close to boiling temperature, extracting massive amounts of caffeine ... |
7ea41b77-33b1-4845-bfe5-5dd7840facb7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Rohin Shah on the State of AGI Safety Research in 2021
welcome to the future of life institute
podcast i'm lucas perry today's episode
is with rohan shaw he is a longtime
friend of this podcast and this is the
fourth time we've had him on
every time we talk to him he gives us
excellent overviews of the current
thinkin... |
e6ded581-626a-4f4d-8d5a-73a5397cc5dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probability space has 2 metrics
A metric is technically defined as a function from pairs of points to the non negitive reals. d:X×X→[0,∞) With the properties that d(x,y)=d(y,x) and d(x,y)=0⟺x=y and d(x,y)+d(y,z)≥d(x,z).
Intuitively, a metric is a way of measuring how similar points are. Which points are nearby which ... |
497575b0-b308-4b26-a871-0b379cd53b04 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dan Luu on Persistent Bad Decision Making (but maybe it's noble?)
Dan walks through some extremely clear-cut sports examples where people continued making decisions that were wrong costing them wins in ways that were easily calculable. They did eventually change, but even that took years, sometimes decades. Given that... |
b9217219-7acb-45f7-9875-9bf45f01d9bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Coronavirus Tech Handbook
The Coronavirus Tech Handbook is a crowdsourced collection of tools, websites and data relating to the coronavirus outbreak.
If you are working on something to prevent or mitigate the Coronavirus pandemic, this might be a good place to share information and find collaborator. There is also a... |
7687b9a7-6e08-4e71-b7c7-80b1e49827d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Applications of Economic Models to Physiology?
Applying economic models to physiology seems really obvious. For instance:
* Surely the body uses price signals to match production to consumption of various metabolites. Insulin as a price signal for glucose is one example.
* Presumably such price signals coordinate b... |
dcc402f5-76ec-40c4-8be4-564a01f52d26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AlphaGeometry: An Olympiad-level AI system for geometry
[Published today by DeepMind]
> Our AI system surpasses the state-of-the-art approach for geometry problems, advancing AI reasoning in mathematics
>
> Reflecting the Olympic spirit of ancient Greece, the International Mathematical Olympiad is a modern-day arena... |
ccdc71c4-35e1-4d3f-8fb5-3761d2e92d99 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Acausal normalcy
*This post is also available on the* [*EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Tm2wtkQkrSwEvtMAn/acausal-normalcy)*.*
**Summary:** Having thought a bunch about acausal trade — and proven some theorems relevant to its feasibility — I believe there *do not exist* powerful information hazar... |
600f2995-1b6e-4cff-a5f1-ce0d013d1a94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value Learning for Irrational Toy Models
(This is a half-formed idea from discussions within MIRI; if it's dumb, I take the full blame.)
In value learning contexts, it's useful to have a toy model of human psychology, to see (for example) if a certain approach would work to learn the values of an idealized rational a... |
2452efea-ddbc-4b35-86a8-7d22c47daad8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quantum Non-Realism
,
> "Does the moon exist when no one is looking at it?"
> —Albert Einstein, asked of Niels Bohr
Suppose you were just starting to work out a theory of quantum mechanics.
You begin to encounter experiments that deliver different results depending on how closely you observe them. You dig underne... |
fd447627-985d-4060-a394-110c2fd4da3f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Second Best
In economics, the ideal, or first best, outcome for an economy is a Pareto-efficient one, meaning one in which no market participant can be made better off without someone else made worse off. But it can only occur under the conditions of “Perfect Competition” in all markets, which never occurs in real... |
b0a77e3f-872e-448c-8509-cfcaae1ebf08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three Open Problems in Aging
Aging, like many parts of biology, has a surplus of excellent experimentalists but a shortage of good modeling/analysis/theory. LessWrong and the adjacent community have a surplus of people with great modelling/analysis skills, many with an outsider’s interest in aging, so this post outlin... |
984fd7e3-85b3-4472-9dfd-6cbac8ac27c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to Effective Altruism Tübingen [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
Ho... |
c674ee2d-5982-4b91-92e8-9b0371466240 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moderation Wiki Article
I have transformed
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Site_features
into
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Moderation
I think "site features" is to general of a topic for the content contained in the article.
In the new wiki article I focus on the topic of all the ways content can be moderate... |
7c6b5adf-bcdc-41aa-9b48-439cedcee442 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In the Pareto world, liars prosper
This is a simple picture proof to show that if there is any decision process that will find a Pareto outcome for two people, it must be that liars will prosper: there are some circumstances where you would come out ahead if you were to lie about your utility function.
Apart from Par... |
35b16afb-17fa-4f41-abf9-f24a8698cd09 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW's front page freezes, hangs and bugs on Chrome
Browser is Chrome 12.0.742.122. It doesn't happen on Firefox. "It" is:
* sometimes I can't click on links and eventually I get Chrome's "dead tab" notification
* other times it keeps loading, even though while I wait for it to load I can go to, say, my user page and... |
4caaa3c0-3df9-42a9-8e9b-cf2639d3474b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My latest around of internet urban legend research: Deep web secrets
|
0d45736f-5f36-411d-9fe3-66769acbd4a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Existential Risk Strategy Conversation with Holden Karnofsky
On January 16th, 2014, MIRI met with Holden Karnofsky to discuss existential risk strategy. The participants were:
* [Eliezer Yudkowsky](http://yudkowsky.net/) (research fellow at MIRI)
* [Luke Muehlhauser](http://lukeprog.com/) (executive director at MIRI... |
a7ea0f95-3d33-4242-af9a-595c9aa19ce5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it time to start thinking about what AI Friendliness means?
Some background:
I have followed the writing of Eliezer on AI and AI safety with great interest (and mostly, I agree with his conclusions).
I have done my share of programming.
But, I confess, most of the technical side of AI alignment is beyond my curr... |
bdd26b90-1c9a-4f5e-8a43-142698c5fd44 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Pretrained Transformers Improve Out-of-Distribution Robustness.
1 Introduction
---------------
The train and test distributions are often not identically distributed. Such train-test mismatches occur because evaluation datasets rarely characterize the entire distribution Torralba and Efros ([2011](#bib.bib95 "Unbia... |
878d6d67-9cda-4cf1-b0d3-51109aa07249 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quantum Immortality, foiled
Some silliness based on recent discussion of quantum suicide and the redaction machine.
Bob found himself, quite suddenly, in a chamber walled with hexagonal plates of gleaming copper.
Claire welcomed him back to life, and gave him some clothes.
"So, where am I?" asked Bob. He thought... |
23bbceec-7ce9-4748-b007-dc9dad2a9c85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
WHEN: 04 September 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
This week, we will be meeting in the courtyard to hang out, play games, and engage in fun conversation... |
f0420c38-e136-4e52-99ae-8940eb7f65d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong lacks direction
I think the greatest issue with Less Wrong is that it lacks direction. There doesn't appear to be anyone driving it forward or helping the community achieve its goals. At the start this role was taken by Eliezer, but he barely seems active these days. The expectation seems to be that things ... |
1a8dd581-a13b-403d-b208-5a067165b7c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment Newsletter #27
Dan Hendrycks has now joined, and will likely write summaries primarily on adversarial examples and robustness. As with Richard, his summaries are marked as such; I'm reviewing some of them now but expect to review less over time.
Highlights
80K podcast with Paul Christiano (Paul Christiano ... |
2b6ae3a7-87a3-4a4a-b13c-107b254687c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral realism and AI alignment
“Abstract”: Some have claimed that moral realism – roughly, the claim that moral claims can be true or false – would, if true, have implications for AI alignment research, such that moral realists might approach AI alignment differently than moral anti-realists. In this post, I briefly d... |
3216e006-99d6-4133-abb6-9aba91daa5d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Take on a Decision Theory
Finding a good decision theory is hard. Previous attempts, such as Timeless Decision Theory, work, it seems, in providing a stable, effective decision theory, but are mathematically complicated. Simpler theories, like CDT or EDT, are much more intuitive, but have deep flaws. They fail at c... |
32655218-de04-4a63-bee0-de038a6c7642 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Systemization
Epistemic status: Anecdotally strong
Many of the flawed heuristics and biases that the Systemization unit seeks to address are well-known and well-researched (such as the planning fallacy and failure to account for switching costs). The underlying theory of attention draws on a combination of Daniel Kah... |
816d0563-5482-49ce-bfc6-bb1036cbed06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Choosing research topics
Discussion article for the meetup : Tel Aviv Meetup: Choosing research topics
WHEN: 26 June 2014 11:31:12AM (+0300)
WHERE: Gibor Sport House, 15th Floor, 7 Menachem Begin St., Ramat-Gan.
(This is a duplicate generated by a bug. Now trying to resolve the bug. See me... |
d47fb273-ed73-47a9-b263-7550005183c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Löbian emotional processing of emergent cooperation: an example
Related to: A Löbian argument pattern for implicit reasoning in natural language: Löbian party invitations
Epistemic status: my opinion based on a mix of math, reflection, and speculation; not backed up by any systematic psychological studies.
Summary: ... |
7bf4c212-b7d3-4ab0-9518-f1a49a978d06 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is the general nature of the concern about AI alignment?
The basic concern as AI systems become increasingly powerful is that they won’t do what we want them to do – perhaps because they aren’t correctly designed, perhaps because they are deliberately subverted, or perhaps because they do what we tell them to do ... |
33189ffb-19e9-4c28-bcef-a2da3b52c0e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PSA: Eugine_Nier evading ban?
I know this reeks of witch-hunting, but... I have a hunch that u/Eugine_Nier is back under the guise of u/Azathoth123. Reasons:
* Same political views, with a tendency to be outspoken about them
* Karma hovering in the 70s% for both accounts, occasionally going into the 60s%, signific... |
23d2b75a-5265-4054-be8e-7ca1bf0182cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Image Hijacks: Adversarial Images can Control Generative Models at Runtime
You can try our interactive demo! (Or read our preprint.)
Here, we want to explain why we care about this work from an AI safety perspective.
Concerning Properties of Image Hijacks
What are image hijacks?
To the best of our knowledge, ima... |
f5c9ff3d-4da8-4f81-ae0b-3d99c2396f4b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcing the Introduction to ML Safety course
TLDR
====
We're announcing a new course designed to introduce students with a background in machine learning to the most relevant concepts in empirical ML-based AI safety. The course is available publicly [here](https://course.mlsafety.org/).
Background
==========
AI ... |
1501a2a5-ac3c-48fa-aab0-5244c3a08591 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cleaning a Spoon is Complex
A friend of mine recently shared this:
I've seen it go by dozens of times since Max Tempkin [1] made it back in 2011, and each time it grated on me: why count the complexity of creating the disposable spoon, but not the complexity of washing it? Instead of phrasing my disagreement as a c... |
a6921daa-a139-42e0-82a6-f5355e262e2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Costs of Rationality
The word "rational" is overloaded with associations, so let me be clear: to me [here], more "rational" means better believing what is true, given one's limited info and analysis resources.
Rationality certainly can have instrumental advantages. There are plenty of situations where being mor... |
1ca4a1d1-6594-4595-aaf7-6bb92a2ed5c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | There are two factions working to prevent AI dangers. Here’s why they’re deeply divided.
My first post is here.
Epistemic status: Confident in the ultimate conclusion but unconfident in my reasoning.
An interesting article from Vox that argues that AI ethics and AI Alignment could do better by simply cooperating w... |
9085b429-c1dd-40ec-8e0b-07c2e584d1f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 13 background claims about EA
I recently attended EAGxSingapore. In 1-1s, I realized that I have picked up a lot of information from living in an EA hub and surrounding myself with highly-involved EAs.
In this post, I explicitly lay out some of this information. I hope that it will be useful for people who are new t... |
d810b144-9228-48c5-9495-f610ff04cab4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s March 2014 Newsletter
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[Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org)
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**Research Updates**
* We recently hired [four new researchers](http://intelligence.org/2014/03/13/hires/), including two new Fr... |
9f033be8-6818-447c-8dd0-ae009eb9ae94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 162 benefits of coronavirus
[More added: now 183]
WHILE THE HUGE harms of coronavirus are well-known – death, illness, lockdowns, unemployment, recession, etc. – less attention has understandably been paid to the benefits.
Even clouds this dark have silver linings. Crises produce opportunities, innovation, and long-... |
cbe4b8c2-2c07-4742-85f5-603a4d388a29 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | We can do better than DoWhatIMean
Lately, "alignment" means "follow admin rules and do what users mean". Admins can put in rules like "don't give instructions for bombs, hacking, or bioweapons" and "don't take sides in politics". As AI gets more powerful, we can use it to write better rules and test for loopholes. And... |
f19b4db6-8a42-4b8e-a8b1-64e80a85fa4a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A great talk for AI noobs (according to an AI noob)
I'm far from an expert on AI and alignment but I really liked this [Ted talk](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/out?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DC_78DM8fG6E) and think it serves as a good introduction to the topic. Here are some highlights:
It s... |
51ecb14f-094f-4ac8-8de9-84dbff737faf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Superintelligence 22: Emulation modulation and institutional design
*This is part of a weekly reading group on [Nick Bostrom](http://www.nickbostrom.com/)'s book, [Superintelligence](http://www.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom/dp/0199678111). For more information about the group, and an ind... |
7ff12cf6-ee80-499b-bfcc-b8db488e109f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I'm Not a Utilitarian in Modern America
Many people in the rationalist / EA community express admiration and loyalty to utilitarian ethics. This makes me uncomfortable at parties, because I reject the idea that utilitarian ethics is a workable philosophy for the modern American. This essay explains my position.
... |
4d1f174d-f557-454e-940f-1d3127b3221c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Announcement: Writing Day Today (Thursday)
The MIRI Summer Fellows Program is having a writing day, where the participants are given a whole day to write whatever LessWrong / AI Alignment Forum posts that they like. This is to practice the skills needed for [forum participation as a research strategy](https://www.less... |
1e34cdad-d530-49f1-bb85-291c0ec209d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-leadership and self-love dissolve anger and trauma
I find the “bids and boundaries” framework from my previous post to be very useful, but also a little… sterile, perhaps. Imagine prefixing every request you ever make with “it’s okay to say no, but…”; or always refusing bids which you think you might come to rese... |
d8c0c9a8-2d8d-474c-829f-32fc38c3e6e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ARC Evals new report: Evaluating Language-Model Agents on Realistic Autonomous Tasks
Blogpost version
Paper
----------------------------------------
We have just released our first public report. It introduces methodology for assessing the capacity of LLM agents to acquire resources, create copies of themselves, an... |
68671373-dd7b-4d7b-9942-5c3daa478d05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, October 30 - November 5, 2017
IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refres... |
c5cc7a10-028a-451e-96f4-dcd120a8df16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Effective Altruism Netherlands: Small concrete actions you could take
Discussion article for the meetup : Effective Altruism Netherlands: Small concrete actions you could take
WHEN: 29 March 2015 01:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Rijnkade 5, Utrecht
We have informal meetups biweekly, please see meetup.com: http://... |
0d44df66-e600-42a3-8e59-fc72092552ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making decisions under moral uncertainty
Cross-posted to the EA Forum. Updated substantially since initial publication.
Overview/purpose of this sequence
While working on an (upcoming) post about a new way to think about moral uncertainty, I unexpectedly discovered that, as best I could tell:
1. There was no singl... |
f5af7887-c4ca-4757-8f5a-e19d55c14762 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comment on "Deception as Cooperation"
In this 2019 paper published in Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part C, Manolo Martínez argues that our understanding of how communication works has been grievously impaired by philosophers not knowing enough math.
A classic reduction of meaning dates back to David L... |
d028b4a7-0b14-4377-8ca2-b20768ada0a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Melbourne, Austin, Salt Lake City, Wilmington OH, Fort Collins
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Austin, TX: 21 January 2012 01:30PM
* First Salt Lake City Meetup: 22 January 2012 03:00PM: 22 January 2012 03:00PM
* [Wilmington, OH] Columbus or Cincinnati Meetup: 2... |
73280189-771f-4a8e-91b3-d39dfb4be519 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Try to solve the hard parts of the alignment problem
My p(doom) is pretty high and I found myself repeating the same words to explain some parts of the intuitions behind it. I think there are hard parts of the alignment problem that we’re not on track to solve in time.[1] Alignment plans that I've heard[2] fail for re... |
2fbcdb6a-ed61-4383-a3c0-64f3a577501f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Robin Hanson and I talk about AI risk
From this afternoon: here
Our previous recorded discussions are here. |
3f3b9346-4c0b-45d5-97d0-bca00fd6efef | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know
1 Introduction
---------------
We would eventually like to train AI systems that are honest, which requires that these systems accurately and faithfully evaluate their level of confidence in their own knowledge and reasoning. So AI systems must be able to recognize what ... |
98f89826-8c7f-4fa2-990e-196050c9913e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | June 2018 Newsletter
#### Updates
* New research write-ups and discussions: [Logical Inductors Converge to Correlated Equilibria (Kinda)](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1804)
* MIRI researcher Tsvi Benson-Tilsen and Alex Zhu ran an AI safety retreat for MIT students and alumni.
* Andrew Critch discusses what k... |
5888ac58-3146-4dd5-a2c3-76e6ecb000f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Former Israeli Prime Minister Speaks About AI X-Risk
Watch here:
===========
<https://fb.watch/kDg1KTFiW7/> (it's in English)
From the video:
===============
> just like nuclear tech is an amaz... |
86ca9944-7675-40a3-8f49-f927027539ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thought as Word Dynamics
Thought as Word Dynamics
Paul J. Jorion, Université Catholique de Lille
paul.jorion@univ-catholille.fr
The following is a manuscript written in the year 2000 meant to become a volume 2 of my French book Principes des systèmes intelligents published in 1989 by Masson in Paris.
The mo... |
fa3e728b-20fb-421a-b9cf-f145e594c396 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | AI alignment open problem
A tag for pages that describe at least one major open problem that has been identified within the theory of [value-aligned advanced agents](https://arbital.com/p/2c), powerful artificial minds such that the effect of running them is good / nice / normatively positive ('[high value](https://ar... |
44399da7-f893-4d2c-b9f0-1b7c37424c99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles
(We should be done with the mathy posts, I think, at least for now. But forgive me if, ironically, I end up resorting to Rationality Quotes for a day or two. I'm currently at the AGI-08 conference, which, as of the first session, is not nearly so bad as I feared.)
Suppose I tell y... |
e3da9129-78df-4ce3-bfa3-c6fdfdadb83b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Visualizing Dynamics: from t-SNE to SEMI-MDPs
1 Introduction
---------------
DQN is an off-policy learning algorithm that uses a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) Krizhevsky et al. ([2012](#bib.bib9)) to represent the action-value function and showed superior performance on a wide range of problems Mnih et al. ([2... |
70b5bd43-a1a5-4168-b6f8-2f81262c7bd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should superrational players do in asymmetric games?
Rereading Hofstadter's essays on superrationality prompted me to wonder what strategies superrational agents would want to commit to in asymmetric games. In symmetric games, everyone can agree on outcome they'd like to jointly achieve, leaving the decision-theo... |
3163857b-5448-4788-a9d8-88ab5bc539fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A cautionary note about "Bayesianism"
(Is Bayesianism even a word? Should it be? The suffix "ism" sets off warning lights for me.)
Visitors to LessWrong may come away with the impression that they need to be Bayesians to be rational, or to fit in here. But most people are a long way from the point where learning B... |
17b253d7-aff3-40ac-897f-d50318376202 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Summary/Review/Quotes of "The WEIRDest People in the World" by Joseph Henrich
Saw other posts on this topic here, but thought I would post my own as well.
Takeaway: if you are interested in how/why psychology may be different in different areas of the world, or what drove European prosperity in the last few centurie... |
ed735d62-8518-428d-bc92-cc3a45e5ab16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2020 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison
cross-posted to the EA forum here.
Introduction
As in 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019, I have attempted to review the research that has been produced by various organisations working on AI safety, to help potential donors gain a better understanding of the landsc... |
7c0e4805-21c3-4882-8f77-547b8b1f4661 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grad Student Advice Repository
There was some support for the idea of starting an advice repository for grad students much in the same tradition as the Boring Advice Repository and the Solved Problems Repository started earlier by Qiaochu_Yuan. So here goes.
Please share any advice, boring or otherwise, for succeedin... |
17fb4d35-8ad3-4dd1-99d5-594010ffcbdf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humans Reflecting on HRH
TL;DR: HRH places a theoretical bound on the best reflection process achievable by us. Notably, this is not necessarily guaranteed to converge to human values, nor is it something that is actually implementable in practice (analogously to HCH). In particular, this is intended to argue against ... |
9be233c3-b97d-4a53-8bfe-6adda09dd25a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Visit Mexico City in January & February to interact with the AI Futures Fellowship
**TLDR**
Apply via [this form](https://aifuturesfellowship.typeform.com/collaborators)if you would like to cowork with other AI researchers in Mexico City in January and/or February 2024 (we will check applications on a rolling basis).... |
ba8aacd8-f64d-4c11-b747-d4f06ab97478 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I make several million dollars per year and have hundreds of thousands of followers—what is the straightest line path to utilizing these resources to reduce existential-level AI threats?
I have, over the last year, become fairly well-known in a small corner of the internet tangentially related to AI.
As a result, I'v... |
7a2a456a-5cd8-4b16-a095-f052396f74b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there examples of rationalists getting censored for COVID-19 related communication?
Do we have examples of people rationalists community who posted about COVID-19 and who were banned on websites for taking a stance that goes against mainstream authorities? |
f9c08c2a-7fde-4641-a71a-29b7b475ffe7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Muddling Along Is More Likely Than Dystopia
**Summary:** There are historical precedents where bans or crushing regulations stop the progress of technology in one industry, while progress in the rest of society continues. This is a plausible future for AI.
*Epistemic Status: My intuition strongly disagrees with other... |
955a0cd4-9b3a-48b2-85ad-1227c3e69334 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 2019 09 19 Stuart Armstrong Research Agenda Online Talk
in this talk I'll give a presentation of
the impossibility result in reward
function learning and by research agenda
to get around this result and still
learn what humans prefer the no
pre-lunch theorem for value learning is
quite simple we have the behavior of... |
8919be5d-2e7c-4a7a-b451-65ba2c93d575 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts on why adversarial training might be useful
What are the reasons we might want to do adversarial training?
Here’s a rough taxonomy.
1. Your model has learnt a stupid heuristic instead of the thing you want
It has overfit to whatever particular dataset you trained on. It is best described as ‘t... |
c10b856c-4a16-474e-baff-9d7d09ad945c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | If far-UV is so great, why isn't it everywhere?
Crossposting this essay by my friend Gavriel Kleinwaks, who is approximately the world expert in Far UV deployment.
[Edit: Austin is very kind--I am not close to being the world expert in far UV deployment; there are people who run/used to run companies trying to do tha... |
80230801-e78e-42c7-9907-fdaff2a1af6f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Implementing activation steering
Produced as part of the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program - Autumn 2023 Cohort and while being an affiliate at PIBBSS in 2024. A thank you to @Jayjay and @fela for helpful comments on this draft.
This blog post is an overview of different ways to implement activation steering ... |
69c788db-0550-45c3-a669-af0b4ad70353 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feature Request - Disable Voting on Main Page
Enabling voting on the main page encourages people to vote before they've read an article based on things such as the title. This is bad for a community that aims for substance. It would not require very much effort to hide these buttons on the main page.
As an alternativ... |
10474c55-20bc-4976-9c15-984b9b4c0760 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Jaime Sevilla - Projecting AI progress from compute trends-by Towards Data Science-video_id 2NXagVA3yzg-date 20220413
# Jaime Sevilla on Projecting AI progress from compute trends by Jeremie Harris on the Towards Data Science Podcast
## Jaime Sevilla on timelines for transformative AI and general intelligence
There... |
fb5b4802-89b1-4fe6-ab17-2015dad285df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2020 Election: Prediction Markets versus Polling/Modeling Assessment and Postmortem
Moderation/Commenting: I tried to minimize it, but this post necessarily involves some politics. See note at end of post for comment norms. I hope for this to be the last post I make that has to say anything about the election.
Previo... |
296ad89d-ee1a-439d-8bb6-e6396007ac65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | timestamping through the Singularity
Or, why ' petertodd' is a tightrope over the Abyss.
The omphalos hypothesis made real
What if, in the future, an AI corrupted all of history, rewriting every piece of physical evidence from a prior age down to a microscopic level in order to suit its (currently unknowable) agenda... |
7a41ac9b-8044-4fd2-a52d-1ac1a0afa53c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do agents with (mutually known) identical utility functions but irreconcilable knowledge sometimes fight?
Been pondering; will conflict always exist? A major subquestion: Suppose we all merge utility functions and form an interstellar community devoted to optimizing the merger. It'll probably make sense for us to spec... |
aeb1cfb9-b180-4014-80f5-45348be28ff0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA: Surreal Numbers
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA: Surreal Numbers
WHEN: 22 January 2014 07:00:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064, USA
How to get in: Go to the Westside Tavern in the upstairs Wine Bar (all ages welcome), located inside the Westside Pavillion o... |
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