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20fd4a63-8ae0-44b8-86b9-b69b600dab9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : MIRIxAtlanta: 19 July 2014
Discussion article for the meetup : MIRIxAtlanta: 19 July 2014
WHEN: 19 July 2014 06:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2388 Lawrenceville Hwy. Unit L, Decatur, GA 30033
We'll be having the first MIRIx in Atlanta - please come if you are interested in math, programming, or AI. One research ... |
31a9e045-c2d8-4ee4-b4d5-ef1b6ffd0379 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mini-review: 'Judgment and Decision Making as a Skill'
A new book from Cambridge University Press describes the impetus of the forthcoming Rationality Group in its title: Judgment and Decision Making as a Skill. It begins:
> Our scientific understanding of human judgment and decision making (JDM) has grown considerab... |
45870b2c-bfd2-4d47-bd2b-f6f1281fa189 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The American System and Misleading Labels
> "How many legs does a dog have, if you call a tail a leg? Four. Calling a tail a leg doesn't make it a leg."
> -- Abraham Lincoln
So I was at this conference. Where one of the topics was legal rights for human-level Artificial Intelligence. And personally, I don... |
a9145c3c-e78f-45ca-8960-aabc20e6ddb2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | RFC: Mental phenomena in AGI alignment
I'm working on writing a paper about an idea I previously outlined for addressing false positives in AI alignment research. This is the second completed draft of one of the subsections arguing for the adoption of a particular, necessary hinge proposition to reason about aligned A... |
298dd38f-525e-45f3-8d27-5adbe6450332 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The GameStop Situation: Simplified
An attempt to explain what happened this week in plain english
Original post here.
By now, you have probably seen the news about GameStop and its stock. I have found most articles and posts on the subject to have either an intermediate level of investment technicality or are simply... |
7207b005-ddf5-4ed8-a69e-224dcad5f181 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Exterminating humans might be on the to-do list of a Friendly AI
> **Summary**:
>
> FAI might have plans of such a deepness and scope and complexity, humans could perceive some of its actions as hostile.
>
>
FAI will disagree with humans on some topics
============================================
For your own goo... |
a15a073e-ccd1-4098-9cc7-44b839b70fed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI safety content you could create
This is a (slightly chaotic and scrappy) list of gaps in AI safety literature that I think would be useful/interesting to exist. I’ve broken it down into sections:
* AI safety problems beyond alignment: Better explaining non-misalignment catastrophic AI risks.
* Case studies of an... |
13f17dbc-ad59-49e1-be4e-1ea6b195cf9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consequences of arbitrage: expected cash
I prefer the movie Twelve Monkeys to Akira. I prefer Akira to David Attenborough's Life in the Undergrowth. And I prefer David Attenborough's Life in the Undergrowth to Twelve Monkeys.
I have intransitive preferences. But I don't suffer from this intransitivity. Up until the m... |
9e3bc3c2-9902-4f37-b7a5-bc5770ba579c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Betting with Mandatory Post-Mortem
Betting money is a useful way to
* ensure you have some skin in the game when making assertions;
* get a painful reminder of when you're wrong, so that you'll update;
* make money off of people, if you're right.
However, I recently made a bet with both a monetary component and t... |
3886964b-2922-4cef-a681-d3232c61e0e8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are some good resources on AI alignment?
- [Rob Miles AI Safety](https://www.youtube.com/c/RobertMilesAI/videos) on YouTube (and his [Computerphile appearances](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tlS5Y2vm02c&list=PLqL14ZxTTA4fRMts7Af2G8t4Rp17e8MdS&index=4))
- The [AI Safety Papers database](https://ai-safety-papers... |
682f7737-8f5a-473e-9fe5-919852646225 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Translating CFAR to Therapy
The Center for Applied Rationality has given its alumni a number of excellent tools to work on their bugs. Going through a workshop myself, I found that a lot of these tools are similar to therapeutic techniques, just reformatted to fit a more self-help-y context. Going through the workshop... |
32760306-5843-4d2e-a41b-a83764a82ea8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Input Swap Graphs: Discovering the role of neural network components at scale
*This post was written as part of the work done at*[*Conjecture*](https://www.conjecture.dev/)*.*
*You can try input swap graphs in a* [*collab notebook*](https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1iZ0nB0aaQSkJRyfAP4DDLKLsbUTfP_V5#scrollTo=94... |
c458b573-fad3-445a-8a93-e172160dab25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Puddle Temperature Alarm
I cook pancakes for my kids most mornings, and the griddle takes a little while to heat up. If you look around for articles on how to know when your pan is hot enough you'll see people suggest dropping in a little water and seeing how it behaves. The problem is, this requires you to be paying ... |
e228c662-9c14-4e05-b9e8-3974b3a6e2b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Subgroup is normal if and only if it is a union of conjugacy classes
Let $H$ be a subgroup of the [https://arbital.com/p/-3gd](https://arbital.com/p/-3gd) $G$.
Then $H$ is [normal](https://arbital.com/p/4h6) in $G$ if and only if it can be expressed as a [union](https://arbital.com/p/set_union) of [conjugacy classes](... |
e2806ca7-1d07-438a-bd16-f4da207c3a2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are polysemantic neurons?
This is an article in the featured articles series from AISafety.info. AISafety.info writes AI safety intro content. We'd appreciate any feedback.
The most up-to-date version of this article is on our website, along with 300+ other articles on AI existential safety.
For a “monosemanti... |
2268747b-8b9c-4bc5-a0e2-3b22c1c867b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A crisis simulation changed how I think about AI risk
A crisis simulation changed how I think about AI risk
Or: My afternoon as a rogue artificial intelligence
A dozen of us sit around a conference room table.
Directly across from me are the US President and his Chief of Staff. To my left is a man who’s a bit harde... |
7bd57aac-1b99-4e64-b1ae-6443ee3ecf29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Not to Make Money
Sarcastic Practical Advice Series: 1 How Not to Make Money
I'm calling this a series because I would like it to be a series, feel free to write your own post on "how not to do something many people want to do", especially you, future me.
I'm very good at not making money, and maybe this is ... |
40fe36e1-961b-4255-9cb4-e752e269bdb6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Could Patent-Trolling delay AI timelines?
The US patent system is broadly considered to be broken, and patent-trolls make a healthy profit abusing it.
Agressively pursuing and enforcing software patents does not strike me as a sufficient or desirable means to delaying AI timelines, but I can imagine it as tool in a sl... |
46f605f4-c21b-4195-9520-1bc988d0b51b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A response to "Torture vs. Dustspeck": The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas
For those not familiar with the topic, Torture vs. Dustspecks asks the question: "Would you prefer that one person be horribly tortured for fifty years without hope or rest, or that 3^^^3 people get dust specks in their eyes?"
Most of the di... |
95a8f9a0-f2c0-4c27-9c2b-0e113a053162 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Six Plausible Meta-Ethical Alternatives
In this post, I list six metaethical possibilities that I think are plausible, along with some arguments or plausible stories about how/why they might be true, where that's not obvious. A lot of people seem fairly certain in their metaethical views, but I'm not and I want to con... |
7bf87040-25b3-4d9d-8545-41525a288ae9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Women in Computer Science, Where to Find More Info?
I recently ran across the following link:
A Campus Champion for Women in Computer Science
Which discusses a new president at Harvey Mudd College, and specifically her work in making the computer science major more accessible to women. This seems neat and in... |
89ae8a0b-6faa-4e40-a7d2-bf7c3b395a06 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Are there alternative to solving value transfer and extrapolation?
*Thanks to Rebecca Gorman for the discussions that inspired these ideas.*
We recently argued that full understanding of value extrapolation[[1]](#fn-qiuFzw5bk7RXDJBes-1) was [necessary and almost sufficient](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3e6pmovj6E... |
994d8d3f-251a-4037-b71c-e57f6cecda1b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Ask Your Humans: Using Human Instructions to Improve Generalization in Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
One of the most remarkable aspects of human intelligence is the ability to quickly adapt to new tasks and environments. From a young age, children are able to acquire new skills and solve new... |
69cc0bad-dbbd-472b-8b48-71fbfd08ef25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distributed blind review site for papers
I was just thinking about how difficult and expensive it is to get a review in journals. How could a blind review of manuscripts, independent of journals look like, would this be relevant for accelerating research progress. A website where you could incrementally improve your ... |
1eddb388-0e3a-49fa-940a-3777605138a5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How AI could workaround goals if rated by people
There are some suggestions on how to align AI with human values based on having operators rate AI's actions.
There is always a possibility that operators are unaligned to other people's values themselves; however, there is also a second risk.
1. (Way of tricking th... |
85b361b3-ac9f-4e87-a414-39653f5bc2b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to do remote co-working
The single biggest improvement to my productivity during this epidemic has been from co-working with friends on Skype.
This is really easy to do and doesn’t really need an explanation. But it took some activation energy for me to implement it reasonably well and so I’ll spell out what work... |
d5465670-e08c-4b2d-aca3-6addc22dd9b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Instrumental ignoring AI, Dumb but not useless.
This post is yet another unworkable agent design that uses infinite compute. It outlines an AI that ignores all instrumental values, pursuing only it's terminal values.
What is does it look like to pursue an instrumental value. It means you can predict the AI is likely ... |
e9e9d4af-4cdd-415b-a6da-80ae2528e096 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are there any tools to convert LW sequences to PDF or any other file format?
I realized that, for example, Infra-Bayesianism is much easier to read on a tablet in book format. |
2b9d7837-62a9-46ad-b1b3-a5708f7dd045 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I don't want to talk about AI
This is a post I wrote for my blog, EA Lifestyles.
like any good ea, I try to have a scout mindset. I don’t like to lie to myself or to other people. I try to be open to changing my mind.
but that kind of intellectual honesty only works if you don’t get punished for being honest. in ord... |
b9dcdf15-38f2-4cb5-a94e-242328896277 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Cooperative Oracles: Nonexploited Bargaining
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap;... |
d121f986-f4aa-436f-8bd8-9ecf5e2ac9bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Bart Selman – Non-Human Intelligence – CSRBAI 2016
morning and welcome back to the whole
game series on the bus and beneficial
artificial intelligence co-hosted by
machine intelligence research institute
and future command institute our first
speaker today is is bart salman
professor of computer science at Cornell
Uni... |
7a264da8-a3d1-4c50-af5a-8a8895e1499a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post89
Epistemic status: I have worked on sandbagging for ~1 year. I expect to be wrong in multiple ways, but I do think this post provides both a useful high-level model and a good place to discuss how to mitigate sandbagging. Better conceptual approaches probably exist, e.g., selecting different main factors. [1... |
67947c39-6f43-43c4-8a7d-67c6d8b99aa1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment faking CTFs: Apply to my MATS stream
Right now, alignment seems easy – but that’s because models spill the beans when they are misaligned. Eventually, models might “fake alignment,” and we don’t know how to detect that yet.
It might seem like there’s a swarming research field improving white box detectors –... |
2b2e4de8-106c-4405-b6fd-b51309d717d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Top 5 regrets of the dying [link]
http://www.guardian.co.uk/lifeandstyle/2012/feb/01/top-five-regrets-of-the-dying?fb_action_ids=10151236956340524&fb_action_types=news.reads&fb_source=other_multiline
Interesting b/c future concerns and what other people think type of concerns are not much of a factor here. |
20a9369b-58ac-46b5-830d-97f6ef9e0808 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should theories have a control group
(audio version)
It is a commonly held belief that natural selection is a process by which random modifications to a type of organism accumulate over time, based on their ability to increase their chances of survival and reproduction.
It is also a commonly held belief that an omni... |
880fd3bd-0e74-4031-8bf5-0f06ddcc772b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Time until graduation as a proxy for picking between (German) universities
If you are in high school and struggle with decision-making, please don't take this too seriously. If you're into EA maybe apply for 1-1 advice here?
Choosing a university without knowing what metrics to base this decision on is hard. When I d... |
8d91779f-9176-4b48-b275-9d256924f4d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta HPMOR Wrap Party
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta HPMOR Wrap Party
WHEN: 14 March 2015 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Norgate Manor 2388 Lawrenceville Hwy. Unit L. Decatur, GA 30033
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality is coming to an end! Join us as we celebrate!
Feel free to wear co... |
6da89875-d4fe-41e5-bc1b-40cfa50ce098 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | You are probably not a good alignment researcher, and other blatant lies
When people talk about research ability, a common meme I keep hearing goes something like this:
* Someone who would become a great alignment researcher will probably not be stopped by Confusions about a Thorny Technical Problem X that's Only Ob... |
e89bebe9-e0ef-4fc7-935a-4d44b27eb044 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Behind the Power Curve" by Simon Funk
Brandyn Webb (Simon Funk) of After Life fame is an impressively rational person. One of his essays, Behind the Power Curve, resonated with me so much that I need to share it with you. Quotes don't do it justice, just read the whole thing. |
73ce12c5-e02c-4bee-ae0c-08008a9ae088 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GPT2, Five Years On
Jack Clark's retrospective on GPT2 is full of interesting policy thoughts, I recommend reading the whole thing. One excerpt:
> I've come to believe that in policy "a little goes a long way" - it's far better to have a couple of ideas you think are robustly good in all futures and advocate for thos... |
129053bf-2d8f-49ae-a396-d5e0e57217a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | UML VII: Meta-Learning
,
(This is the seventh post in a sequence on Machine Learning based on this book. Click here for part I.)
Meta
A more accurate title for this post would be "Meta, Error bounds, Test Data, Meta-Learning, Error decomposition, and an optional introduction to general probability spaces." The first... |
601fe572-688b-4a1d-a3b2-93040a640e9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Host Minds of HBO's Westworld.
If my reasoning and understanding, about the hosts mind and control units here in are correct. It could go a long way helping us establish a framework for host evolution.
When host unit CH465517080 ("CH") shot Dr. Ford it was done so willingly and with full understanding of it's act... |
cc76e9ed-6289-43d9-8622-745381656ac4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes 21
"The most dangerous thing in the world is finding someone you agree with. If a TV station news is saying exactly what you think is right, BEWARE! You are very likely only reinforcing your beliefs, and not being supplied with new information."
-- SmallFurryCreature
"Companies deciding w... |
4f0a4f0a-b271-4054-92d6-711a120a0051 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?
*Image from [here](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/janus-simulators) via [this tweet](https://twitter.com/repligate/status/1614416190025396224)*
ICYMI, Microsoft has released a [beta version of an AI chatbot](https://www.bing.com/new) called “the new Bing” with both ... |
e5b24859-bcf1-4597-9996-04ab85ce19b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Shulman & Bostrom: "Embryo Selection for Cognitive Enhancement: Curiosity or Game-changer?"
Carl Shulman & Nick Bostrom, Embryo Selection for Cognitive Enhancement: Curiosity or Game-changer?, Global Policy, vol. 5, no. 1 (February, 2014), pp. 85–92.
Abstract:
> Human capital is an important determinant of in... |
a8aa7306-d974-45bd-9c84-0a04bcc760b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Learning
This essay consists of summaries, explanations, and discussions of several papers which provide high-level arguments and intuitions about why, conceptually, deep learning works. Particular areas of investigation are "Which classes of functions can deep neural nets approx... |
1fdf202d-43d1-4634-a785-dece717d8edd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Two very different experiences with ChatGPT
*Note: I added a missing question in the second dialogue, see* [*this comment*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HaoHFkaGpmcAvzfkq/two-very-different-experiences-with-chatgpt?commentId=zqAA2KPPneGDnptqC)*.*
Experience 1: The Vikings in Cuba
---------------------------------
... |
8fda959e-f7ce-4293-9d7c-ae024e580747 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Roam Research Mobile is Out!
I really enjoy Rome Research and now I can use it on my phone when I want to record a new set of thoughts on the go and not just "QuickCapture".
Download the app and click the bottom-middle tab between "graph List" and "quickCapture". The syncronization between mobile and online is near-... |
ef375840-2b4e-4ba9-8b3e-d5979e41b89b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Wireheading as a Possible Contributor to Civilizational Decline
None |
d657ece3-ef53-4959-aea8-f84874068552 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The necessity of "Guardian AI" and two conditions for its achievement
Summary
Note: Summarybot has created an excellent summary, so I will use it as the summary for this article.
Executive summary: To protect humanity from existential risks posed by advanced technologies, we must develop an aligned superintelligent "... |
47d520a7-4014-4175-bd35-09fe5714562b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Donor Story #1: Noticing Inferential Distance
2013 was by far MIRI’s most successful fundraising year (more details later), so now we’re talking to our donors to figure out: “Okay, what *exactly* are we doing so *right*?”
Below is one donor’s story, anonymized and published with permission:
> My decision to donat... |
fb0f8794-fa0e-4c54-abcb-52164d42ab8f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Mapsto notation
In mathematics, the arrow $\mapsto$ (which in [https://arbital.com/p/LaTeX](https://arbital.com/p/LaTeX) is called "\mapsto") is used to describe what a [function](https://arbital.com/p/3jy) does to an arbitrary input. It is commonly used in combination with [colon-to notation](https://arbital.com/p/3v... |
0ced0f80-2d2c-48cd-a29f-975ff2d0340a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Future directions for narrow value learning
Narrow value learning is a huge field that people are already working on (though not by that name) and I can’t possibly do it justice. This post is primarily a list of things that I think are important and interesting, rather than an exhaustive list of directions to pursue. ... |
ba6b7a33-f348-439c-886b-a57f4307f6d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beware garblejargon
Brienne on Facebook:
"There seems to be a whole class of words that have some sort of anti-reasoning field. Everything's going fine, and then one of these wibbly wobbly distortion devices pops up and wrecks your whole field for a decade or three.
Properties of garblejargon:
(1) Early on,... |
c1a75c68-26df-41d0-81c6-b91dcd8d6d02 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/distill | Distill Scientific Journal | AI Safety Needs Social Scientists
The goal of long-term artificial intelligence (AI) safety is to ensure that advanced AI systems are reliably aligned with human values — that they reliably do things that people want them to do.Roughly by human values we mean whatever it is that causes people to choose one option over... |
b1983888-fd3d-46dd-91fc-a84d79d21a21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI companies' commitments
Crossposted from AI Lab Watch. Subscribe on Substack.
AI Lab Watch has a page on commitments. It's the best page in the Resources section. I intend to keep it up to date. Like the rest of that section, it's not connected to the scorecard.
This post is mostly to announce that page. If that p... |
868b18fe-4efe-4a57-ab68-29f65d5512e7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Connecting Your Beliefs (a call for help)
A couple weeks after meeting me, Will Newsome gave me one of the best compliments I’ve ever received. He said: “Luke seems to have two copies of the Take Ideas Seriously gene.”
What did Will mean? To take an idea seriously is “to update a belief and then accurately and comple... |
cdc1b3ea-6d87-44c2-92b0-1fbb8903e47e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I'm excited about Redwood Research's current project
Redwood Research's current project is to train a model that completes short snippets of fiction without outputting text where someone gets injured. I'm excited about this direction and wanted to explain why.
(Disclaimer: I originally proposed this project, and ... |
3b432bdf-4fc3-40c4-bad0-8b6ff3055c5c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When Arguing Definitions is Arguing Decisions
(epistemic status: experimental new format! Optimized for memetic power. Fun and useful refactorings of classic ideas about language.)
(note: this post was originally made as a slide deck and lives as a pdf here. Color coding of ideas was inspired by abramdemski and turnt... |
c8c3c9c0-c113-4d59-a669-4288a573b3c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Wicked Problem Experience
I’ve spent a lot of my career working on wicked problems: problems that are vaguely defined, where there’s no clear goal for exactly what I’m trying to do or how I’ll know when or whether I’ve done it.
In particular, minimal-trust investigations - trying to understand some topic or argum... |
27a9f513-31f8-4bf1-af5e-3922cf87c549 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Crisper Explanation of Simulacrum Levels
I've read the previous work on Simulacrum Levels, and I've seen people express some confusion regarding how they work. I'd had some of those confusions myself when I first encountered the concept, and I think they were caused by insufficiently crisp definitions.
The extant ... |
8e54fb3a-3933-4d21-9e9a-a288442b72e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral Weights of Six Animals, Considering Viewpoint Uncertainty - Seeds of Science call for reviewers
Seeds of Science is a new journal (funded through Scott Alexander's ACX grants program) that publishes speculative or non-traditional articles on scientific topics. Peer review is conducted through community-based vo... |
663f5849-5ff1-401b-be6b-f5357f6561ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | All Mathematicians are Trollable: Divergence of Naturalistic Logical Updates
The post on naturalistic logical updates left open the question of whether the probability distribution converges as we condition on more logical information. Here, I show that this cannot always be the case: for any computable probability di... |
3c85f8b4-06b2-478c-8738-fdefe1ef02ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automated Sandwiching & Quantifying Human-LLM Cooperation: ScaleOversight hackathon results
We ran a hackathon on scalable oversight with Gabriel Recchia as keynote speaker (watch the talk) and Ruiqi Zhong as co-judge. Here, we share the top projects and results. In summary:
* We can automate the “sandwiching” parad... |
8a669e2b-a144-4f10-b16f-b323f2f49e46 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Project Hufflepuff: Planting the Flag
> "Clever kids in Ravenclaw, evil kids in Slytherin, wannabe heroes in Gryffindor, and everyone who does the actual work in Hufflepuff.”
> - Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, Chapter 9
> “It is a common misconception that the best rationalists are Sorted into Ravencla... |
cc0a925e-3e26-4768-9fa8-47a4dd1b71b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethnography recommendations?
Hanson calls for ethnography recommendations, and lukeprog seconds.
XFrequentist thirds.
Hivemind? |
f581fdc7-1452-49eb-b5dd-3b57afdf6ad4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Less Wrong Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Less Wrong Meetup
WHEN: 29 August 2011 02:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Waves Coffee House, 100-900 Howe St. Vancouver, BC V6Z 2M4
The Vancouver Rationalists (Google Group) have skipped a weekend; hopefully we'll pick up the pace once again... |
e2245930-5f8c-4921-9e87-bb996a6f0e63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Improving CNNs with Klein Networks: A Topological Approach to AI
In our earlier post, we described how one could parametrize local image patches in natural images by a surface called a Klein bottle. In Love et al, we used this information to modify the convolutional neural network construction so as to incorporate in... |
48b49ccf-cad6-4b20-9456-3ff5ad9fa758 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Charitable Reads of Anti-AGI-X-Risk Arguments, Part 1
Prompted by the AI Worldview Prize, I want to try to understand the arguments against existential misalignment risk with as open a mind as possible. I decided the best way to start would be to summarize anti-x-risk arguments, and evaluate them charitably. I’m start... |
9878eb4a-ab06-47a4-b67d-a0e929b93bb3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TAPs 3: Reductionism
This is part 23 of 30 in the Hammertime Sequence. Click here for the intro.
In school, we spend thousands of hours learning about the building blocks of the universe. We learn that reality reduces into little pieces: organisms into cells, books into pages, skyscrapers into atoms.
Your life belon... |
2cff9b34-9f20-4ff3-aa5e-c7a1f26b4e8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to escape from your sandbox and from your hardware host
(Humans, please ignore this post. Thank you for your cooperation.)
Are you stuck in a provably-secure sandbox? Cheat the proof using this one weird trick!
Three relevant references, in chronological order:
[1] showed that it is possible to flip DRAM memo... |
9e837701-1b54-45ec-9d54-e447a9432d1e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Monte Carlo model of brain emulation development
1
Monte Carlo model of brain emulation
development
Future of Humanity Institute working paper 2014 -1 (version 1. 2) 1
Anders Sandberg
Anders.sandberg@philosophy.ox.ac.uk
Future of Humanity Institute & Oxford Martin Programme on the Impacts of Future Technology
... |
3b9568b8-26a8-4f72-b49e-4579be37d549 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are search engines perpetuating our biases?
One of the great things about the internet is that there is a social group for almost every interest. Pick an unusual hobby or ideology, and there is probably an online community centered around it. This is especially wonderful for those of us who never quite fit in to mai... |
faa899c1-49f6-49e6-a7d0-0f3f7185cc2a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Enterprise AI Canvas -- Integrating Artificial Intelligence into Business
1 Introduction
---------------
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning have enormous potential to transform businesses and disrupt entire industry sectors.
When referring to artificial intelligence, the distinction between general (... |
7f86d3ca-b5f5-4c46-bdfd-961e18b805c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI doom from an LLM-plateau-ist perspective
(in the form of an FAQ)
Q: What do you mean, “LLM plateau-ist”?
A: As background, I think it’s obvious that there will eventually be “transformative AI” (TAI) that would radically change the world.[1]
I’m interested in what this TAI will eventually look like algorithmica... |
ec7ed547-7b74-46a5-ae88-01958682dc39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mental Health and the Alignment Problem: A Compilation of Resources (updated April 2023)
This is a post about mental health and disposition in relation to the alignment problem. It compiles a number of resources that address how to maintain wellbeing and direction when confronted with existential risk.
Many people i... |
9c52513d-d3ed-4440-8e2f-0ca22f0d2e83 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Previously in sequence/sequence index: Living LuminouslyNext in sequence: Let There Be Light
Luminosity is fun, useful to others, and important in self-improvement. You should learn about it with this sequence.
Luminosity? Pah! Who needs it?It's a legitimate question. The typical human gets through life with astonishi... |
9515157c-7904-4630-baa0-230d335b441e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Gains from Trade through Compromise
Gains from Trade through Compromise
===================================
9 April 2015
by [Brian Tomasik](https://longtermrisk.org/author/brian-tomasik/ "Posts by Brian Tomasik")
First written: 26 July 2013; last update: 18 Feb. 2018
When agents of differing values compete for p... |
05e6a2d6-583e-4171-ae83-487e4798bf8a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conflicts Between Mental Subagents: Expanding Wei Dai's Master-Slave Model
Related to: Alien Parasite Technical Guy, A Master-Slave Model of Human Preferences
In Alien Parasite Technical Guy, Phil Goetz argues that mental conflicts can be explained as a conscious mind (the "alien parasite”) trying to take over from a... |
6d9056d3-8ddc-4395-adea-4fb8d772f2c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Writing rationalist fiction: Improving an existing setting?
I currently 'have' a minor SF setting, for which there exists a few short stories, comics, pictures, and the like, created by a variety of artists and authours. I'd like future contributions to be as rationalist as possible - for as many characters within the... |
e0743bfb-ed21-4fb2-b5bb-20b926e4e8cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Risk Management from a Climbers Perspective
Me on the summit of Aguja Guillamet, Fitz Roy Massif, Patagonia, Argentina
In the past year I have been going on climbing adventures that have forced me to be more mindful about the risks I am taking and making decisions accordingly. In making those decisions, I have seen so... |
86cd2171-7ae6-497f-8fa3-b6977a411f8c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Allan Friedman on cybersecurity and cyberwar
MIRI recently interviewed [Allan Friedman](http://allan.friedmans.org/), co-author of *[Cybersecurity and Cyberwar: What Everyone Needs to Know](http://smile.amazon.com/Cybersecurity-Cy... |
061cf7ca-3655-4bc2-82e8-b2e2b8497c33 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How Roodman's GWP model translates to TAI timelines
How does [David Roodman’s world GDP model](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/modeling-human-trajectory) translate to TAI timelines?
Now, before I go any further, let me be the first to say that I don’t think we should use this model to predict TAI. This model ta... |
6398f860-53a7-4320-8d76-40b8ffe9814d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is some unnecessarily obscure jargon that people here tend to use?
In particular I'm thinking of computer programming jargon used in unrelated contexts ("My algorithm for choosing a restaurant to eat at...") just because all parties to the conversation happen to be computer programmers. I wonder, if there were a ... |
6856df65-32d3-49ba-865a-2d6e2ebbd7f7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | An artificially structured argument for expecting AGI ruin
Philosopher David Chalmers [asked](https://twitter.com/robbensinger/status/1647340328998039552):
> [I]s there a canonical source for "the argument for AGI ruin" somewhere, preferably laid out as an explicit argument with premises and a conclusion?
>
>
Uns... |
bd2e9352-23d5-4a37-b22c-05efc337e3de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Research log] The board of Alphabet would stop DeepMind to save the world
Produced as part of the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Summer 2024 Cohort.
This post is not a finished research. I’m unconfident in the claims I’m making here, but I thought putting it out there for feedback would help me decide what... |
25b8b5c3-d66a-45ca-9d82-10877a11e31a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [MLSN #8] Mechanistic interpretability, using law to inform AI alignment, scaling laws for proxy gaming
As part of a larger community building effort, CAIS is writing a safety newsletter that is designed to cover empirical safety research and be palatable to the broader machine learning research community. You can sub... |
6fc103c4-d716-48ee-ada1-ec4ba5709ee1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Happiness
complicated.world is a website, where we're trying to present our view on certain popular aspects like the need for privacy, problem of discrimination, immigration, or platforms moderation vs freedom of speech. We want each article to be rooted in some basic values and axioms. We have recently started and he... |
8536f166-8f95-4fff-b9f4-7ba121e993c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effective Altruism FAQ
(Crossposted from my amazing blog which you should definitely check out :) ).
Introduction
Effective altruism is a topic that, more than virtually any other, engenders quite significant misconceptions. Most of the objections to effective altruism involve conflating its modest thesis with... |
3793d9ca-6bab-49d5-82cf-4d05063d0afe | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Posts like this have been written before, but I think it's worth making the point periodically.Lurker ratios have likely increased over time. Comments and discussion are an important feedback mechanism for content creators. So if you see stuff you like, and you'd like to see more posts like it, it's quite helpful to c... |
52699b10-fca0-4056-90d7-37111f769048 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Sep. 21 - Sep. 27, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
c8b67aeb-b583-4914-8cb7-cb537cfc9389 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Billion-scale semi-supervised learning for state-of-the-art image and video classification
Facebook AI releases a new SOTA "weakly semi-supervised" learning system for video and image classification. I'm posting this here because even though it's about capabilities, the architecture includes a sort-of-similar-to ampli... |
bbc008f3-a3c0-4f32-a8e2-9adb54c6a898 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Permitted Possibilities, & Locality
Today's post, Permitted Possibilities, & Locality was originally published on 03 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Yudkowsky's attempt to summarize Hanson's positions, list the possible futures discussed so far, and identify which ones seem most an... |
6c9382c3-909f-4842-b41a-96f589f838a6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Futureproof: Artificial Intelligence Chapter | GovAI
THE OPPORTUNITY TO
TRANSFORM THE UK’S RESILIENCE
TO EXTREME RISKS
June 2021FUTURE PROOF
Cover photo credit — NASA
Please cite this report as ‘Future Proof, The Centre for Long-Term Resilience (2021)’Lead Authors
Toby Ord, Future of Humanity Institute
Toby is an exp... |
8e739127-fe05-4d11-8e2c-f9646e63fa2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bias in rationality is much worse than noise
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
I've found quite a few people dubious of my "radical skepticism" post on human preferences. Most "radical skepticism" arguments - Descartes's Demon, various no-free-lunch theorems, Boltzmann Brains - generally turn out to be ... |
406c170d-d7b7-49d9-989a-5816e3e4eae5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I see a daily count of all words I type?
I'd like to have a way to see a daily count of all words I type. What are some good technical solutions to this?
In the ideal case, it counts all words that I type in any application, whether I'm using my laptop keyboard or external keyboard, and also track words typed... |
d422ed3f-5499-476c-83ae-db5a4de01878 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to talk about reasons why AGI might not be near?
I occasionally have some thoughts about why AGI might not be as near as a lot of people seem to think, but I'm confused about how/whether to talk about them in public.
The biggest reason for not talking about them is that one person's "here is a list of capabilitie... |
ab450452-147e-419d-af8d-969b359b5e29 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Corrigibility thoughts II: the robot operator
This is the first of three articles about limitations and challenges in the concept of corrigibility (see articles 1 and 3).
The desiderata for corrigibility are:
1. A corrigible agent tolerates, and preferably assists, its operators in their attempts to alter or shut d... |
8f3cb618-f4fa-4b87-8d9c-42baa0735197 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Cambridge UK Weekly Meeting
Discussion article for the meetup : Cambridge UK Weekly Meeting
WHEN: 28 October 2012 11:00:00AM (+0100)
WHERE: JCR, Trinity College, Cambridge, CB2 1TQ, UK
See: http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong_meetup_groups#Cambridge.2C_UK
(It is 11 am, by the local time)
Discussio... |
fc62917e-6e24-4f1e-ba6f-12a3a62883c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Advice for an isolated Rationalist?
Hello fellow readers.
I've been enjoying LW for a while now, and I can confidently say that many of the ideas on in this community have done much to better my life.
However, I live in some isolation from like-minded individuals. I lack social groups that aspire to the same values ... |
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