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83194f49-ae5a-4b24-93ed-21c209381d5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Non-)Interruptibility of Sarsa(λ) and Q-Learning
|
d9cda4d8-d37d-45b4-95d1-af18b74f86de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Living in an Inadequate World
Follow-up to: Moloch's Toolbox (pt. 1, pt. 2)
----------------------------------------
Be warned: Trying to put together a background model like the one I sketched in the previous chapter is a pretty perilous undertaking, especially if you don’t have a professional economist checking... |
f1d4613b-f9e3-4df3-8e7d-d0ccb13e0e25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open and Welcome Thread – July 2021
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invite... |
870bd813-76cc-4823-8925-82eeea28784d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reasons for Excitement about Impact of Impact Measure Research
Can we get impact measurement *right*? Does there exist One Equation To Rule Them All?
I think there’s a decent chance there *isn’t* a simple airtight way to implement AUP which lines up with AUPconceptual.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0... |
0225cf24-b262-4b7f-a5cf-aafa90d2bfe1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explanatory power of C elegans neural models
Background
@jkaufman wrote a nice post on the progress of C elegans modeling effort in 2011, with a followup post in 2014. Here we are, almost a decade later, and I still have the same question that I would have asked even in 2011 if I had dived into the project.
Question... |
f7ada62e-0594-4703-8703-0143eac5423b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundamental Attribution Error and The Other
I.
The fundamental attribution error is a well known psychological phenomenon wherein people are likely to ascribe external motivations to their own failure and external motivations for the failures of others. This has a variety of factors, and is a well studied concept, ho... |
9986e33f-419d-4ef0-8ba7-a5c595c83ae3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modal Fixpoint Cooperation without Löb's Theorem
Followed By: Payor's Lemma in Natural Language
TL;DR: This post introduces a novel logical approach to achieving group-scale cooperation, based on modal fixpoint theory. This approach is both easier to understand and roughly 3x more efficient than previous approaches ... |
eebaf742-e549-4c84-a888-2d666b18133d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What we can learn from afterlife myths
Overview
The "Modal Rationalist Anti-Death Stance" goes something like this:
> Since time immemorial, people have told comforting stories about the afterlife to avoid confronting the unpleasant truth that death is oblivion. With modern science, we have come to understand that no... |
71400205-f53d-4cba-82d5-8c6721d222f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [paper] [link] Defining human values for value learners
MIRI recently blogged about the workshop paper that I presented at AAAI.
My abstract:
> Hypothetical “value learning” AIs learn human values and then try to act according to those values. The design of such AIs, however, is hampered by the fact that there exist... |
3390a270-9491-410f-babb-4ea4d4758398 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Safety Unconference NeurIPS 2022
The AI Safety Unconference brings together persons interested in aspects of AI safety, from technical AI safety problems to issues of governance of AI. As an unconference, it aims to foster valuable social interactions between participants, through moderated discussion groups, one-... |
e9c1baf0-b24b-4771-91b1-34128f5b5289 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Death of Behavioral Economics
Edit: I recommend reading Scott's response to this essay in addition to the essay itself.
I've been tracking the replication crisis and how it affects a bunch of behavioral economics for a while. I found reading this post useful for a particularly negative take. Some key quotes:
> I... |
e4358739-49c8-40ed-a81f-0f3b893ae42c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How does GPT-3 spend its 175B parameters?
[Target audience: Me from a week ago, and people who have some understanding of ML but want to understand transformers better on a technical level.]
Free advice for people learning new skills: ask yourself random questions. In answering them, you’ll strengthen your understan... |
556c4211-66cd-4941-a5d8-3e95f0b59fc1 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Related to: Privileging the Hypothesis Remember the exercises in critical reading you did in school, where you had to look at a piece of writing and step back and ask whether the author was telling the whole truth? If you really want to be a critical reader, it turns out you have to step back one step further, and ask... |
2d1cc4c6-9c61-4a8a-95eb-1aa4488179af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How does one learn (music) more efficiently?
Crossposted (with some audience-based edits) from my Substack.
The best way to share this is by showing it.
Very interested in your thoughts, especially from people who have experience with Ericsson/Pool deliberate practice either from a memory-precision perspective (str... |
b1de5354-ad08-44d6-a4de-a4d7e438e462 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My tentative best guess on how EAs and Rationalists sometimes turn crazy
Epistemic status: This is a pretty detailed hypothesis that I think overall doesn’t add up to more than 50% of my probability mass on explaining datapoints like FTX, Leverage Research, the LaSota crew etc., but is still my leading guess for what ... |
99689804-a2e9-4271-8147-73e87f6b9659 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | story idea...
I have an idea for a setting for a writing project (or, possibly a comic) and was wondering what people thought of it.
The setting is in the far future, but the rise of superintelligent ai, friendliness uncertain, has resulted in everyone living within a gameified version of the world, with technology s... |
d15e52cf-7436-4192-b0dc-c5a24539d94b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do We Believe Everything We're Told?
Some early experiments on anchoring and adjustment tested whether distracting the subjects—rendering subjects cognitively “busy” by asking them to keep a lookout for “5” in strings of numbers, or some such—would decrease adjustment, and hence increase the influence of anchors. Most... |
82dba294-7ed3-4a3f-a197-65e15c4ba4c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Sally-Anne fallacy
Cross-posted from my blog
I'd like to coin a term. The Sally-Anne fallacy is the mistake of assuming that somone believes something, simply because that thing is true.1
The name comes from the Sally-Anne test, used in developmental psychology to detect theory of mind. Someone who lacks theory ... |
b104694e-68f0-4a6c-b622-a13ed4ff3868 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sleepwalk bias, self-defeating predictions and existential risk
Connected to: The Argument from Crisis and Pessimism Bias
When we predict the future, we often seem to underestimate the degree to which people will act to avoid adverse outcomes. Examples include Marx's prediction that the ruling classes would fail to a... |
e8601f29-4e3f-4f45-9dde-c7bec3a45def | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should we do once infected with COVID-19?
We’ve talked a lot about preparations and prevention, but statistically some of us, or people we care about, are going to actually get sick. What do we do once that happens? |
e9217a57-9897-466b-bf73-384bc76a00e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Considerations on interaction between AI and expected value of the future
Some thoughts about the ‘default’ trajectory of civilisation and how AI will affect the likelihood of different outcomes.
Is the default non-extinction outcome utopic or dystopic?
Arguments for dystopia:
1. The world seems dystopic in many ... |
9136a1dd-94e6-4a45-a66c-0d05699c663f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does 3-2-1 Voting work using a six point scale?
Jameson Quinn, wrote, “In 3-2-1 voting, voters rate each candidate “Good”, “OK”, or “Bad”. To find the winner, you first narrow it down to three semifinalists, the candidates with the most “good” ratings. Then, narrow it further to two finalists, the candidates with the ... |
20eb13cc-cb24-4064-95d1-a05812bf5c15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Boycott OpenAI
I have canceled my OpenAI subscription in protest over OpenAI's lack of ethics.
In particular, I object to:
* threats to confiscate departing employees' equity unless those employees signed a life-long non-disparagement contract
* Sam Altman's pattern of lying about important topics
I'm trying to h... |
7bbabde0-2de8-4c5e-a9a0-779890f4f3a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recommendation request: Budgeting/accounting software for a non-profit
I'm currently working for a non-profit, and a colleague recently stated that there isn't a good software solution for non-profit accounting.
This seems unlikely. Any recommendations?
I know that's a pretty generic description, but it seems like r... |
312116ed-55ce-4f47-a213-5015c0e0f578 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How webs of meaning grow and change
The Place of Purpose
The world of design has this word "affordance" which I really like. To oversimplify, the affordances of an object are the potential uses that it is particularly apt for. A glass jar doesn't really afford being able to write, but a pencil does. Affordance is a re... |
a4150e65-7b49-47a5-8100-8bb4be9a9f64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial Intelligence and Eternal Torture and Suffering
Abstract
The development of artificial intelligence brings with it extremely important ethical questions, one of the most alarming being the possibility of eternal torture and suffering inflicted by AI on humans. This paper considers theoretical implications a... |
2380aa9f-7ab9-41d0-810c-49306225216e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Research Notes: What are we aligning for?
As part of learning the field and maximizing on new ideas, I've been trying to figure out what the goal of AI alignment is. So far I've found out what outer alignment is as a [concept](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/outer-alignment), but not what it should be as an instantiatio... |
1c2fe9ac-531c-4540-8338-8d32ebabe603 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Public Explainer on AI as an Existential Risk
*This is a submission to the AI Safety Public Materials* [*bounty*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gWM8cgZgZ9GQAYTqF/usd20k-in-bounties-for-ai-safety-public-materials#How_to_submit)*. It aims to help an intelligent but non-technical audience grasp and visualize the basic ... |
4bb83052-c560-451c-b93d-0f1b1041a8b8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | When Does Bounded-Optimal Metareasoning Favor Few Cognitive Systems?.
When Does Bounded-Optimal Metareasoning Favor Few Cognitive Systems?
Smitha Milli
EECS Department
University of California
Berkeley, CA 94720
smilli@berkeley.eduFalk Lieder
Helen Wills Neuroscience Institute
University of California
Berkeley, CA 947... |
f0b7afd1-a92e-42e9-8856-1bf3ab7e6a20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Resources that (I think) new alignment researchers should know about
EDIT: This post was last updated in February 2023. It may no longer be fully up to date.
Here are some resources that I think new alignment researchers should know about.
Starting off
AGI Safety Fundamentals is the most common starting point. Ther... |
9614f93d-71ef-4fdd-bcbc-e987816e2b54 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | January 2020 Newsletter
#### Updates
* Our [2019 fundraiser](https://intelligence.org/2019/12/02/miris-2019-fundraiser/) ended Dec. 31. We'll have more to say in a few weeks in our fundraiser retrospective, but for now, a big thank you to the ~240 donors who together donated more than $526,000, including $67,484 in ... |
8f4a6d17-56b1-48f9-859d-6d36f8b3b47a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reinforcement Via Giving People Cookies
I.
Thinking By The Clock is now the most popular thing I've written on LessWrong, so here's another entry in the list of things which had a significant change in how I think and operate that I learned from a few stray lines of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. It's qu... |
0c5757b6-0795-47ed-8706-eb10b326fcac | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Analogy of AI Alignment as Raising a Child?
I've been recently considering thinking about AI Alignment as analogous to raising a child, and I want to get feedback on this idea.
Specifically, aligning AI to human values feels like what happens when (for example, no offense intended) a mormon family raises their child... |
5eaf1c3d-b0c0-49b6-afc5-85459feafab5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AGI deployment as an act of aggression
I started a draft of this post some days ago, but then a lot of things happened and so I'm rewriting it from scratch. Most importantly, [a TIME editorial in which Eliezer Yudkowski talks of bombing AI training data centres happened](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Aq5X9tapacnk2QG... |
8d8577bb-9aeb-4c90-b6c0-f7a53543246f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] A Fable of Science and Politics
Today's post, A Fable of Science and Politics was originally published on 23 December 2006. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> People respond in different ways to clear evidence they're wrong, not always by updating and moving on.
Discuss the post here (rather than in ... |
333ab8e6-6584-4b0b-8865-aba582b87604 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The ethics of AI for the Routledge Encyclopedia of Philosophy
I've been tasked by the Routledge Encyclopedia of Philosophy to write their entry on the ethics of AI.
I'll be starting the literature reviews and similar in the coming weeks. Could you draw my attention to any aspect of AI ethics (including the history o... |
f7acd707-c839-4484-9c70-cff1c905fc4c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help MIRI run its Oxford UK workshop in November
This November 23-29, MIRI is running its first European research workshop, at Oxford University.
We need somebody familiar with Oxford UK to (1) help us locate and secure lodging for the workshop participants ahead of time, (2) order food for delivery during the worksh... |
a89a85c7-2279-46d1-8c54-267e1ddb2380 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | An Ethical Framework for Guiding the Development of Affectively-Aware Artificial Intelligence
I Introduction
---------------
At the February 2020 meeting of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), the premier society for AI research, two invited plenary speakers mentioned Affective Co... |
a2144e10-6110-45b4-bcae-a1f70e731f2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | shouldn't we try to get media attention?
Using everything we know about human behavior, we could probably manage to get the media to pick up on us and our fears about AI, similarly to the successful efforts of early environmental activists? Have we tried getting people to understand that this is a problem? Have we tri... |
76bf76d1-def1-4cc3-94ef-22497cf64486 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #38
Merry Christmas!
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMbN1NYYC02aM/edit?... |
22cd48ef-df08-469b-b0f5-609dd9cc0f63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Empirical Insights into Feature Geometry in Sparse Autoencoders
Key Findings:
1. We demonstrate that subspaces with semantically opposite meanings within the GemmaScope series of Sparse Autoencoders are not pointing towards opposite directions.
2. Furthermore, subspaces that are pointing towards opposite directions ... |
fef2ac90-5ec6-4f16-959d-dc77af7afa5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Killing the ants
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities)
I. The ants
Recently, my housemates and I started seeing a lot of ants in the house. They marched in long lines along the edges of the basement and the bathrooms. A few showed up in the drawers. My girlfriend put out some red pepper, which was supposed to deter t... |
fc42d72e-fdff-48fc-9bf5-0904782f53a7 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "One of the most common difficulties faced in discussions is when the parties involved have different beliefs as to what the scope of the discussion should be. In particular, John Nerst identifies two styles of conversation as follows :Decoupling norms: It is considered eminently reasonable to require your claims to be... |
40a24a5a-a8d1-430a-be9f-ea35127af946 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment as Game Design
This essay is a continuation of the Naive Hypothesis approach wherein I attempt to write up and share thoughts on AI alignment before having absorbed much of the existing literature. The goal is to preserve a higher level of novelty of ideas by generating my own models a priori of having read ... |
bb7cbbb8-bebc-457c-bc6a-06dc289c4653 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Theory Of Change As A Hypothesis: Choosing A High-Impact Path When You’re Uncertain
This post appeared first on the EA Coaching blog.
Some life paths are well mapped out. If you want to be a doctor, there is a straightforward path through undergrad, med school, and residency (at least in the US). These goals may requ... |
447bbfa6-a5a9-48e3-a5e0-34e43e25a665 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Significance of the Language of Thought Hypothesis?
I've recently read a few books on cognition and psycholinguistics which has put a name to a concept I've become increasing the familiar with, the Language of Thought Hypothesis; wherein researchers theorize that mentalese, and subsequently most of human thought, foll... |
d56525c0-0c06-4bfe-aa40-c3ead302dc60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slides online from "The Future of AI: Opportunities and Challenges"
In the first weekend of this year, the Future of Life institute hosted a landmark conference in Puerto Rico: "The Future of AI: Opportunities and Challenges". The conference was unusual in that it was not made public until it was over, and the discuss... |
04979c76-29a7-4133-adff-4dd35cdb28f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mechanism for feature learning in neural networks and backpropagation-free machine learning models
Understanding how neural networks learn features, or relevant patterns in data, for prediction is necessary for their reliable use in technological and scientific applications. In this work, we presented a unifying mathe... |
592d92cc-3dea-43a8-afc9-ac1d8efe81b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How might we solve the alignment problem? (Part 1: Intro, summary, ontology)
Introduction/summary
In my last post, I laid out my picture of what it would even be to solve the alignment problem. In this series of posts, I want to talk about how we might solve it.
To be clear: I don’t think that humans necessarily need... |
6047a7cf-bc17-4240-b39c-45cb80298999 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sex is Good, Actually
Okay, it's a series now. This is another casual post in the spirit of what I wish someone had told me when I was younger.
When I was growing up, the general message I got was that having sex was bad and would ruin my life.
There's a bunch of reasons for this:
* My sex education came just as w... |
bf16c9d3-b489-4851-8b7a-e5978dd2e746 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | EIS II: What is “Interpretability”?
Part 2 of 12 in the [Engineer’s Interpretability Sequence](https://www.alignmentforum.org/s/a6ne2ve5uturEEQK7).
A parable based on a true story
===============================
WHERE: 11066 santa monica la ca
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out front or on ... |
18b385c5-def9-4c70-bc02-b6fa1d91a1f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Clusters in creationspace
Why does each genre of communication have so many characteristics? Like, there are lots of books that are all roughly the same length and have a similar style. But if you wrote a 20-page textbook in verse, I think it would be considered an improper contribution and not taken very seriously.
|
c65a22db-2418-42cd-ae2a-f8266cf4be06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Nature of Self
In this post I try to fathom an informal definition of Self, the "essential qualities that constitute a person's uniqueness". I assume that the most important requirement for a definition of self is time-consistency. A reliable definition of identity needs to allow for time-consistent self-referenci... |
18035fad-fe39-4148-b8b9-53ccfc6e121a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Curious Prisoner Puzzle
Here's an interesting riddle that is more complicated than it looks:
You wake up locked inside a room with no window. You know your captors have four facilities in the following locations: a Vulcan Mountain, a Vulcan Desert, an Earth Mountain, an Earth Desert. They flip a coin to decide wh... |
8682603f-8c32-47e7-bc73-bdea234dc389 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sensor Exposure can Compromise the Human Brain in the 2020s
Overview
The 20th century was radically altered by the discovery of psychology, a science of the human mind, and its exploitation (e.g. large-scale warfare, propaganda, advertising, information/hybrid warfare, decision theory/mutually assured destruction).
... |
4167fb43-6209-44f4-a2cf-d6b7373343d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Generalizing POWER to multi-agent games
Acknowledgements:
This article is a writeup of a research project conducted through the SERI program under the mentorship of Alex Turner. I (Jacob Stavrianos) would like to thank Alex for turning a messy collection of ideas into legitimate research, as well as the wonderful rese... |
89f17903-2747-4c05-b91e-374f387a9731 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should I get genotyped?
I've heard several people here mention getting genotyped by 23andme (I assume there are other companies as well). Does genotyping have significant practical benefits or is it mostly for curiosity's sake? If there are significant benefits, what are they? |
fe17f329-6357-4a6a-a280-88cde388ac3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Get Social Sector Leaders to Use Evidence With This 1 Weird Trick
Okay, it’s more like a dozen not-that-weird tricks, but the point is…
For a while now, I’ve been sounding the alarm about the social sector’s crisis of evidence use. To put it bluntly, the human race expends mind-boggling resources bringing studies, re... |
9513528e-7a48-4e92-bd98-81e5dda360a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is principled mass-outreach possible, for AGI X-risk?
Over a year ago, Rohin Shah wrote this, about people trying to slow or stop AGI development through mass public outreach about the dangers of AGI:
> But it really doesn't seem great that my case for wide-scale outreach being good is "maybe if we create a mass delu... |
4be62481-729b-48aa-9e96-3911d55486a5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Exponential notation for function spaces
If $X$ and $Y$ are sets, the set of functions from $X$ to $Y$ (often written $X \to Y$) is sometimes also written $Y^X$. This latter notation, which we'll call *exponential notation*, is related to the notation for finite powers of sets (e.g., $Y^3$ for the set of triples of el... |
479afd8d-115f-47ef-95dc-48bed79f167a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | ToLeRating UR-STD
ToLeRating UR-STD
Jan Feyereisl and Uwe Aickelin
School of Computer Science
The University of Nottingham
Nottingham, UK
jqf@cs.nott.ac.uk, uxa@cs.nott.ac.uk
Abstract
A new emerging paradigm of Uncertain Risk of Suspi-
cion, Threat and Danger, observed across the field of ... |
7f7b2153-32bd-48a2-8a27-45d003b82d77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimising Scientific Research
Traditional science is too slow Yudkowsky says. Traditional science finds it acceptable for you to waste 30 years on a false theory as long as you disconfirm it at the end. Traditional science allows you to privilege hypothesis as long as you duly test them. Traditional science does not ... |
60911235-a643-472d-8b37-7992a15df3c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do biological or spiking neural networks learn?
I have read several papers on this and covered the standard stuff about STDP, BCM, other forms of Hebbian learning, and recently a paper about how local rules are equivalent to minimizing error between vectors encoded in populations. I have tried to implement these i... |
8fd11315-256a-4c1a-a3a1-a1f53d8dc41f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Disagreements over the prioritization of existential risk from AI
Earlier this year, the Future of Life Institute and the Center for AI Safety published open letters that promoted existential risks (x-risks) from AI as a global priority. In July, Google Research fellow Blaise Aguera y Arcas and MILA-affiliated AI rese... |
c5771891-c665-4738-b0e0-40262f0da601 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You have a set amount of "weirdness points". Spend them wisely.
I've heard of the concept of "weirdness points" many times before, but after a bit of searching I can't find a definitive post describing the concept, so I've decided to make one. As a disclaimer, I don't think the evidence backing this post is all that ... |
c57e1896-54ff-4ecb-8134-9ca7f0cf594b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A summary of aligning narrowly superhuman models
*This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship, as a part of the*[*Stanford Existential Risks Institute ML Alignment Theory Scholars (MATS) program*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FpokmCnbP3CEZ5h4t/ml-alignment-theory-program-under-evan-hu... |
f6932e80-9fcc-4082-804e-24df3e867d67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How David Beats Goliath
From the New Yorker:
> It was as if there were a kind of conspiracy in the basketball world about the way the game ought to be played, and Ranadivé thought that that conspiracy had the effect of widening the gap between good teams and weak teams. Good teams, after all, had players who were tal... |
3cd112fb-1641-46bb-ac6f-3cf7255953fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission pushes Manhattan Project-style AI initiative
https://x.com/hamandcheese/status/1858897287268725080
> "The annual report of the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission is now live. 🚨
>
> Its top recommendation is for Congress and the DoD to fund a Manhattan... |
33a763b8-7811-468d-bd5c-dde40b1333ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ultimate List of Irrational Nonsense
A couple of years back I stumbled across this diagram on reddit. Since then I've kept a list of all illogical arguments, quackery, irrational ideas and similar nonsense, to pass the time. The count as of today stands at 1229 irrational ideas (a few could be debated perhaps). Hopefu... |
421f3b70-3675-4492-8cf1-64d63a1159e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the computational feasibility of forecasting using gamblers
This is an informal note about an idea which I consider important, but which I'm not planning to start working on immediately (first I want to develop the theory of delegation some more in the realizable setting). Putting it up here as a reminder, a point ... |
019aab84-eeb6-4a35-8782-e0dd336c8ef2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experimenting with Android Digital Wellbeing
inspired by this post
Introduction: Small Deaths
I'm a morning person.
I usually wake up at about 6 AM. I read on my phone in bed until the toddler wakes up at 6:30, at which point I look after him till I take him to daycare at about 7:15. I then have till 9 AM free, dur... |
7cdf81d3-f7e8-4100-98f3-e3f1f870ae9a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Talk: a brief explanation of sexual dimorphism
Cross-posted from substack.
"Everything in the world is about sex, except sex. Sex is about clonal interference."
– Oscar Wilde (kind of)
As we all know, sexual reproduction is not about reproduction.
Reproduction is easy. If your goal is to fill the world with co... |
aea78321-bd1b-49fa-88c9-d165715404e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Runner's High On Demand: A Story of Luck & Persistence
I can get runner’s high on demand. It takes about 15 minutes of jogging at a pace of 6-7 kph and a heart rate of around 140 bpm. I need to be hungry but not starving. And my body has to otherwise be doing fine.
The ability unlocked rather suddenly for me and I’m ... |
eb46ecdc-f451-4ab8-8513-6f71136fe693 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | book recommendation: Greg Egan's
book recommendation: Greg Egan's *Axiomatic*
--------------------------------------------
i've finally gotten around to finish *[Axiomatic](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Axiomatic_%28book%29)*, a 1995 book consisting of short stories by my favorite author, [Greg Egan](https://en.wiki... |
07821e52-7bbe-4b74-bc79-a05fc67b09de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing MASK: A Benchmark for Measuring Honesty in AI Systems
In collaboration with Scale AI, we are releasing MASK (Model Alignment between Statements and Knowledge), a benchmark with over 1000 scenarios specifically designed to measure AI honesty. As AI systems grow increasingly capable and autonomous, measuring... |
0c84d81b-cd83-4270-b05b-f6a9adba05b8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Existential risks: a philosophical analysis
Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at
https://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=sinq20
Inquiry
An Interdisciplinary Journal of Philosophy
ISSN: 0020-174X (Print) 1502-3923 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/... |
5c63647f-f1aa-4945-9ac8-9452a0abb7f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on the good regulator theorem
I just became aware of the good regulator theorem through John Wentworth's post. Then I tried to read the paper he talked about, Every Good Regulator Of A System Must Be A Model Of That System. This is among the worst papers I've ever skimmed. It's barely comprehensible. Reading ... |
71e81826-bdfe-4aae-834d-857f769594b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Printable book of some rationalist creative writing (from Scott A. & Eliezer)
As a holiday gift to myself, I put together a printable book of some creative writing by Scott Alexander & Eliezer. I'm sharing it here in case anyone else is interested :).
It contains most of Scott's published fiction since he switched to... |
7d75257a-e7d9-4bb4-adc5-a8c4156a851b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Robert Wiblin on the Copenhagen Consensus Center
This post summarizes a conversation which was part of the Cause Prioritization Shallow, all parts of which are available here. Previously in this series, conversations with Owen Cotton-Barratt, Paul Christiano, Paul Penley, Gordon Irlam, and Alexander Berger.
Partic... |
111b83b1-b366-469c-b442-ac91a8627895 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #88]: How the principal-agent literature relates to AI risk
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCux... |
594cda49-67ea-46fc-a319-ee82d332dfe7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Aiming at the Target
**Previously in series**: [Belief in Intelligence](/lw/v8/belief_in_intelligence/)
Previously, I spoke of that very strange epistemic position one can occupy, wherein you don't know exactly where Kasparov will move on the chessboard, and yet your state of knowledge about the game is very diffe... |
c82f9b63-2d46-4751-bc16-1b639c63c943 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Cleveland, Moscow
This summary was posted to LW main on Dec 21st. The following week's summary is here.
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Moscow: Applied Rationality: 22 December 2012 04:00PM
* Montpellier: Tentative first meetup: 03 January 2013 03:00PM
* Brusse... |
3f0e2dba-4937-4f8d-8bc6-0263b27a6e58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cruxes on US lead for some domestic AI regulation
Written quickly. Suggestions welcome.
A possible risk of some US AI regulation is that US regulation would differentially slow US AI progress and that would be bad. This post explores the factors that determine how much US regulation would differentially slow US AI pr... |
4b41e1eb-8b6f-4c12-820d-5b4c860bbfa4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing Goalclaw, personal goal tracker
Quite a while ago, I wrote that there should be more software tools to assist with instrumental rationality. My recent attempt to create such a tool, GOALCLAW, is now available. GOALCLAW is a general goal tracking webapp which currently provides an average of how the tags en... |
9ac0b986-a07a-401c-8429-8cf4dd3c5cd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Freely Complying With the Ideal: A Theory of Happiness
Epistemic status: somewhat empirical, having gone from badly depressed to astoundingly happy within a year through a lot of different experiences (and no drugs). I don’t know whether what I do that makes me happy is idiosyncratic to me and a subgroup of people li... |
b5591f3c-5924-451b-a12c-2e4acf2bd235 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Continuous Improvement: Insights from 'Topology'
Foreword
Sometimes you really like someone, but you can't for the life of you understand why. By all means, you should have tired of them long ago, but you keep coming back for more. Welcome, my friend, to Topology.
This book is a good one, but boy was it slow (349 pag... |
756ec5f2-56fc-49b9-a0a3-59942429c65c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on handling non-concentrated failures with AI control: high level methods and different regimes
In this post, I'll try to explain my current understanding of the high level methods for handling non-concentrated failures with control. I'll discuss the regimes produced by different methods and the failure modes of... |
bde271fc-d157-4697-9008-ebff2f222875 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does utilitarianism "require" extreme self sacrifice? If not why do people commonly say it does?
Chist Hallquist wrote the following in an article (if you know the article please, please don't bring it up, I don't want to discuss the article in general):
"For example, utilitarianism apparently endorses killing ... |
bd9858c8-eec4-48e1-b890-609d39567e9c | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "We are giving away a $5000 prize for well-researched, well-reasoned presentations that answer the following question:
What are the best recommendations for what quantities adults (ages 20-60) should take the important dietary minerals in, and what are the costs and benefits of various amounts? Part of the question is ... |
de3bd215-3bc6-48d9-8bf7-fef866db27e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My Functor is Rich!
This is the first post in a sequence of write-up about my study of advanced Haskell concepts. As mentioned in the intro to this sequence, this post does not pretend to be a tutorial, merely an exploration of the subject with many explanations.
Intro
My first couple of stops on the road to Haskell... |
0299db07-6286-4598-9ceb-7b5ef7e2015f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Generalized Anti-Pascal Principle: Utility Convergence of Infinitesimal Probabilities
Edit: Added clarification of the limit in response to gwern's comment.
Recently I've found several instances of this Pascal Mugging/Wager problem come up, and I'm somewhat surprised that 1.) a number of people apparently still ... |
01885fae-c608-4d09-b503-9d2011b8c9fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The "Intuitions" Behind "Utilitarianism"
Today's post, The "Intuitions" Behind "Utilitarianism" was originally published on 28 January 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Our intuitions, the underlying cognitive tricks that we use to build our thoughts, are an indespensible part of our cognitio... |
477a3df7-c716-4410-a10c-cd420bbb4915 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | London meetup, Sunday 2011-05-15 14:00, near London Bridge
The meetup on 1 May was another great success, and participants felt we could definitely benefit from meeting up more frequently, so we've schedule another one for next Sunday, 15 May, at 2pm in The George near London Bridge station. This is a change of venue,... |
5042e6c9-1639-4223-9892-faf842a37782 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What if AI doesn't quite go FOOM?
***Intro***
This article seeks to explore possible futures in a world where artificial intelligence turns out NOT to be able to quickly, recursively self-improve so as to influence our world with arbitrarily large strength and subtlety, i.e, "go FOOM." Note that I am not arguing th... |
618795b6-ffca-4ae4-aa4e-48568d9ce84e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Firefox does not block analytics by default
There's a myth going around that Firefox blocks analytics providers in its default configuration. For example, in a recent HN discussion 5% of the comments were people asserting it did, and another 5% were people responding to them to assert that it doesn't. To confirm, it d... |
b674f557-1450-43e2-ab77-e8b4f5b07cac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Org announcement: [AC]RC
It seems that certain thermodynamic phenomena are highly relevant to alignment. From Paul Christiano's rebuttal to a recent seminal paper:
In fact, it appears that thousands of words may have been written on this topic, from which many lesser researchers have bounced off.
Seeing that Paul... |
172794e8-dab0-4f87-bba8-fb1be8d36d87 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | "How to Escape from the Simulation" - Seeds of Science call for reviewers
[Seeds of Science](https://www.theseedsofscience.org/) is a journal (funded through Scott Alexander's [ACX grants program](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-results)) that publishes speculative or non-traditional articles on scien... |
29136bab-abfd-4fba-abfa-1f7c0f94e825 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interpreting Affordable Housing
In describing affordable housing you'll often see a project described as "60% AMI", which can be confusing:
> how is 60% of median income affordable?—NUMTOT comment
If you think that "60% AMI" housing charges 60% of the area median income, I agree that doesn't sound affordable! The ... |
fc34eea3-5ea9-4fda-9440-fc4ba1c6dfe9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dominance, care, and social touch
|
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