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06c48c01-5e69-46bc-8903-4d0719ac725f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Potential employees have a unique lever to influence the behaviors of AI labs
[(Cross posted from my personal blog](https://oxalis.substack.com/p/potential-employees-have-a-unique))
People who have received and are considering an offer from an AI lab are in a uniquely good spot to influence the actions of that lab.
... |
d732fc9b-f36b-4e64-b9f8-0e9f35390c7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sam Altman’s Chip Ambitions Undercut OpenAI’s Safety Strategy
If you enjoy this, please consider subscribing to my Substack.
Sam Altman has said he thinks that developing artificial general intelligence (AGI) could lead to human extinction, but OpenAI is trying to build it ASAP. Why?
The common story for how AI coul... |
8c87dd22-8379-47d4-a1d0-63472ea4305b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Visualizing Eutopia
Followup to: Not Taking Over the World
"Heaven is a city 15,000 miles square or 6,000 miles around. One side is 245 miles longer than the length of the Great Wall of China. Walls surrounding Heaven are 396,000 times higher than the Great Wall of China and eight times as thick. Heaven has twelve g... |
fa70b8ba-2684-4c2e-a3d0-6d02cc32f1ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unpricable Information and Certificate Hell
Certificate: Expensive Shareable evidence of some desirable quality, typically of a marketable good. Increases the percieved value of that good to the market and so benefits the owner, but has a negative externality of lowering the percieved value of all similar uncertified ... |
05bb1014-0f01-4967-9e73-48afc62b7920 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1860
Clutching a bottle of whiskey in one hand and a shotgun in the other, John scoured the research literature for ideas... He discovered several papers that described software-assisted hardware recovery. The basic idea was simple: if hardware suffers more transient failures as it gets smaller, why not allow ... |
dd7a47ce-ceb6-4763-a546-d93bca9493b1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Briefly thinking through some analogs of debate
[This post is an almost direct summary of a conversation with John Wentworth.]
Note: This post assumes that the reader knows what [AI Safety via Debate](https://www.alignmentforum.org/tag/debate-ai-safety-technique-1) is. I don't spend any time introducing it or explain... |
3d2725af-bea8-4623-8c71-cde6cdfbfd88 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subsuming Purpose, Part 1
SUMMARY:
The purpose of this entry is to establish the existence of local equilibriums which introduce deviations from an ends-driven organization (an organization whose primary focus is a particular purpose) to transform it into a means-driven organization (an organization whose primary ... |
9fdf3cda-612e-4d2f-9e1d-6d9114795d5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dead Cradle Theory: Why Earth May Not Survive Humanity's Expansion into Space
I've been reading LessWrong for almost ten years, and finally decided to write my first post - any feedback is appreciated. This essay offers another angle on a known alignment challenge - why "AI will just leave Earth alone" is likely u... |
577f66aa-eeae-426c-b9f7-edd71832bde5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI safety university groups: a promising opportunity to reduce existential risk
[*Cross-posted from the Effective Altruism Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/bL2CWihhaSjpqk8QD/ai-safety-university-groups-a-promising-opportunity-to)
*Summary*: AI safety university groups[[1]](#fnvmyfd7tkhp) are a promis... |
7796ed48-c61d-47af-a34b-eebf96e9368e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards Gears-Level Understanding of Agency
Epistemic status: Highly speculative, much of this is probably wrong.
Summary: The "centerpiece" of this post is my attempt to describe how a full-fledged consequentialist agent might incrementally grow out of a bundle of heuristics, aided by SGD or evolution. The story's d... |
da97f38e-38e7-4531-b4d2-1945968d856e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An overview of control measures
We often talk about ensuring control, which in the context of this doc refers to preventing AIs from being able to cause existential problems, even if the AIs attempt to subvert our countermeasures. To better contextualize control, I think it's useful to discuss the main countermeasures... |
455c2cfb-fb73-4626-9393-4b4717f3cf71 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1552
This post is a transcript of a conversation between Ege Erdil and Ronny Fernandez , recorded by me. The participants talked about a recent post by Katja Grace that presented many counterarguments to the basic case for AI x-risk. You might want to read that post first. As it was transcribed automatically b... |
c2ac5845-f659-45f7-a681-ead6ad2de0af | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An unconfortable epistemic position regarding "Verb Magic".
Hello Guys,
This post will act as a bottle thrown in the sea, a "Is anyone like me anywhere ?" as well as an occasion, i hope, to discuss a more serious topic with you. Some claims made here might push on your "pseudo-science" button, please read until the e... |
b8672b69-33e0-4227-ac24-f0d55759c992 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Chicago Rationality Reading Group - Luminosity Part 3
Discussion article for the meetup : Chicago Rationality Reading Group - Luminosity Part 3
WHEN: 05 March 2017 01:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Harper Memorial Library Room 148, 1116 E 59th St, Chicago, IL 60637
The Chicago Rationality Reading Group meets every... |
94380bb6-fc27-48c0-a2ed-3874f9fa7715 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Orthogonality Thesis seems wrong
Orthogonality Thesis (as well as Fact–value distinction) is based on an assumption that objective norms / values do not exist. In my opinion AGI would not make this assumption, it is a logical fallacy, specifically argument from ignorance. As black swan theory says - there are unknown ... |
5c6c9c53-dc7a-4262-81cd-7619d5bcb8ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Turning 22 in the Pre-Apocalypse
Meta comment for LessWrong readers[1]
Something Different This Way Comes - Part 1
In which I attempt to renegotiate rationalism as a personal philosophy, and offer my alternative—Game theory is not a substitute for real life—Heuristics over theories
Introduction
This essay focuses ... |
bce27b94-cfb3-49dd-a770-fe33ba669e55 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent Progress in the Theory of Neural Networks
,
It's common wisdom that neural networks are basically "matrix multiplications that nobody understands" , impenetrable to theoretical analysis, which have achieved great results largely through trial-and-error. While this may have been true in the past, recently there ... |
d1225eda-2268-469c-9e85-1d6ee8b0b984 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-education best practices
I have a degree in a field I no longer wish to pursue in my career (English literature). Without a university and all it comes with (libraries, knowledgeable people, etc.), what are the best ways to self-educate and gain a substantive knowledge base in subjects I have little background in... |
9793de03-2891-4825-bee1-aabd44ecf939 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post395
The coalitional frame Earlier in this sequence I laid out an argument that the goals of increasingly intelligent AIs will become increasingly systematized, until they converge to squiggle-maximization. In my last post , though, I touched on two reasons why this convergence might not happen: humans trying t... |
f8066d90-5c37-41a0-bc16-dda25bd3849b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 1/20/22: Peak Omicron
The Omicron and Weekly posts are now combined, so this includes the last day’s Omicron developments, which will be how it works going forward. Next week’s will include the probability updates section as well. When there is urgent news, I’ll supplement as appropriate.
This week was the peak... |
d81bb067-fd14-44a7-ba8a-eb8f1171d4a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Schelling Day 2.0
Schelling Day is a holiday about getting to know the people in your community that we created and celebrated in 2013. By popular request, I've revised the procedure to take into account what we learned last year. I'm aware of plans to hold Schelling Day in Boston, New York, and San Francisco on April... |
5bbd5ec9-4563-434d-8f80-844d4bb314dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Submit comments on Paxlovid to the FDA (deadline Nov 29th).
1,000 Americans are dying daily from COVID-19. Paxlovid is 89% effective against it. Pfizer submitted an EUA on Paxlovid to the FDA on Nov. 16th. The FDA has yet to schedule a meeting to review this EUA request, 11 days later. Thousands of lives are at stake ... |
344e826e-5165-4cfe-be10-77a1fc9658a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value Loading
This article was originally on the FHI wiki and is being reposted to LW Discussion with permission. All content in this article is credited to Daniel Dewey.
In value loading, the agent will pick the action:
Here A is the set of actions the agent can take, e is the evidence the agent has already seen,... |
23764443-c014-43a8-987b-6fe307d10c02 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Knitting a Sweater in a Burning House
There's a phrase my wife and I use: "knitting a sweater in a burning house." It describes those moments when we find ourselves absorbed in trivial tasks while seemingly more important matters loom. The night before my wedding, I caught myself trying to reactivate an old Twitter pr... |
dd7e2429-89bc-49be-aaf6-924beb437e2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A car journey with conservative evangelicals - Understanding some British political-religious beliefs
I’m heading home from a family wedding this weekend. I had a plane ticket, but in the end, decided to travel back with two of my uncles and my cousin. Most of my dad’s family are evangelicals, my aunts and uncles are ... |
17533e83-7f25-4769-afd2-8ac7aad60c89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MIT Technology Review - Michael Hendricks opinion on Cryonics
http://www.technologyreview.com/view/541311/the-false-science-of-cryonics/
Michael Hendricks is a neuroscientist and assistant professor of biology at McGill University. |
bde27c01-6f50-4576-bf0d-b05f87cef7ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Direct work vs. earn-to-give?
I've been working in healthcare technology for 5+ years and am hitting a crossroads in terms of where I want to go in my career. Ever since discovering EA, I've been questioning whether I want to prioritize direct work vs. earn-to-give.
The core reason why I work in health tech is to mak... |
8b73d25a-ef2d-4dae-b921-d1da72b6b4be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Very Deep Convolutional Networks for Large-Scale Image Recognition
1 Introduction
---------------
Convolutional networks (ConvNets) have recently enjoyed a great success in large-scale image and video recognition (Krizhevsky et al., [2012](#bib.bib22); Zeiler & Fergus, [2013](#bib.bib34); Sermanet et al., [2014](#b... |
d8917e39-c2a5-4d34-94c3-a1e6ba095ee8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Axis-49 to Jammer MIDI Mapper
One of the risks with new instruments is that you might put a lot of work learning how to play something that then is discontinued. In the case of the jammer, things are worse because it was discontinued five years before I even got into the instrument. As I see used Axis-49s come up on r... |
4fed91b4-1071-4af6-81aa-1130d98fa49a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Nick Bostrom on the Simulation Argument
Today's Philosophy Bites features Nick Bostrom on the Simulation Argument. Here is a direct link to the MP3 file. |
f36f6d99-f183-4457-b541-565af5d21ce8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Computer security story
NPR has this story:
The hacktivist group Anonymous is at it again. This time, it has humiliated an Internet security firm that threatened to out the group's hierarchy.
If you remember, Anonymous has been in the news, first, because in support of WikiLeaks, it undertook cyberattacks that broug... |
0509c9f5-1073-4c4d-80ff-bdbc934828d2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Computational Extensive-Form Games.
1 Introduction
---------------
Game-theoretic models assume that the players are completely rational.
This is typically interpreted as saying that payers act optimally
given (their beliefs about) other players’ behavior. However,
as was first pointed out by Simon \citeyearSimon55... |
41acdf4c-b4c7-40b3-b1d5-7724139c3625 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | What are you optimizing for? Aligning Recommender Systems with Human Values
1 Introduction
---------------
Recommender systems are AI systems that present users with a tailored set of items based on factors such as past user behavior, user attributes, and features of the underlying items. They rank huge numbers of ... |
48dcb568-31ad-4c93-af00-124745df51ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Request for Book Recommendations/Comments
As you can probably guess from the title, this is a request for some brief recommendations of books of lists of books
Previous Threads:
The Best Textbooks on Every Subject
Book Recommendations
Great Books of Failure
CogSci Books |
b263f488-76a5-46b8-b498-f3cf34a97f20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scaffolding Skills
Epistemic status: Exploratory
A scaffold is a lightweight, temporary construction whose point is to make working on other buildings easier. Maybe you could live and work on a scaffold, but why would you? The point is the building. When the building is done, you can take down the scaffold, though yo... |
579eb29a-87f6-449c-b6a6-8150671a9674 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundamentals of Formalisation Level 6: Turing Machines and the Halting Problem
Followup to Fundamentals of Formalisation Level 5: Formal Proof. First post.
This is a new lesson of our online course on math formalizations required for AI safety research.
----------------------------------------
The big ideas:
* Tu... |
df077134-e05f-4b31-821f-cd758b228b65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters
Cross-posted to the Effective Altruism Forum
In the last several years, political scientist and forecasting research pioneer Philip Tetlock has made waves for the success of his research program in geopolitical forecasting, published in the form of the popular book Su... |
2a1aad82-ddd8-48d9-b7c6-8c3aa2f7f713 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A counterargument that isn't
(cross-posted from my blog)
Let's say that you're in a discussion, and it goes something like this:
* We should do institute regulatory measures, like taxes, to inhibit the growth of the economy so that we can slow down or stop climate change.
* That makes sense if you think that clima... |
3a6d820c-7cfd-48c3-8b53-abd3515d83b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hidden philosophical progress
Bertrand Russell:
> If you ask a mathematician, a mineralogist, a historian, or any other man of learning, what definite body of truths has been ascertained by his science, his answer will last as long as you are willing to listen. But if you put the same question to a philosopher, he wi... |
83df2a7e-6e10-4079-85b1-99985a6772f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Extrapolating values without outsourcing
I first took note of "Coherent Extrapolated Volition" in 2006. I thought it was a brilliant idea, an exact specification of how to arrive at a better future: Figure out exactly how it is that humans make their existing choices, idealize that human decision procedure according t... |
23825e2b-4c57-495d-b138-e751fcee41d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Should I Do?
I have been having some difficulty deciding what to do with my life. I'm not really ashamed or surprised, because the problem seems extremely difficult and worth getting right. I still don't really know. Here are some of my options, though I wouldn't be surprised if what I end up doing is not on the ... |
5facde51-54ad-4780-b807-498efe1af5d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compatibilism in action
A practical albeit fictional application of the philosophical conclusion that free will is compatible with determinism came up today in a discussion about a setting element from the role-playing game Exalted
(5:31:44 PM) Nekira Sudacne: So during the pirmodial war, one Yozi got his fetch kille... |
e8d2dab1-bd3c-4c57-b96a-b3709ef4658e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prioritizing Happiness
When the limiting resource is money it's quite clear that we should prioritize the uses where it goes the farthest. If there are three organizations that can distribute antimalarial nets for $5/each, $50/each, and $500/each we should just give to the first one. Similarly, if I have $5 I could us... |
6a588ef9-35f8-4f23-9725-e88f0cc81b10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Altruistic Kidney Donation
People are dying because their kidneys have failed, and you probably have an extra one: should you donate it? A dialysis machine can do most of the work of a kidney, but it's not as good. A donated kidney gives someone an average of 10 additional years. [1] (Some of them reject it right away... |
9560da83-62f7-455f-826a-d7e0dcb0f4fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Rational) Decision-Making In Wartime
The martial art of rationality provides for seeing what the science of rationality means for ourselves, for our daily inner life. If so, I wonder whether war complicates exercising the muscles of sound reasoning or alters what rationality means for me. Along with the systematic ... |
8de4c7b3-8453-4556-8db1-16db22dbe284 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Assistant-professor-ranked AI ethics philosopher job opportunity at Canterbury University, New Zealand
Canterbury University, New Zealand seeking assistant-professor-ranked philosopher of AI ethics: <https://jobs.canterbury.ac.nz/jobdetails/ajid/uUIS7/Lecturer-in-Philosophy,8123>
Note that the position is for a "Lect... |
27c46e96-c827-4174-8cc6-9d04ed2ab48c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Efficient estimates of optimal transport via low-dimensional embeddings
1 Introduction
---------------
Optimal Transport metrics (Kantorovich, [1960](#bib.bib2)) or Wasserstein distances, have emerged successfully in the field of machine learning, as outlined in the review by Peyré et al. ([2017](#bib.bib3)). They ... |
34a0e02e-ca0d-4a49-90ea-cb82780ae24f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Verifying Rationality via RationalPoker.com
Related to: Problem of verifying rationality
We're excited to announce the (soft) launch of RationalPoker.com! It's a new guide developed by me, Zvi, Kevin, and patrissimo detailing how to use online poker as rationality training to conquer your cognitive biases. We want ou... |
2c11b079-9557-4dd9-92a2-e3aac86b15c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's the Relationship Between "Human Values" and the Brain's Reward System?
In classic, non-mesa-optimized AGI risk scenarios, an AI is typically imagined whose reward function is directly related to the optimization pressure that it exerts on the world: e.g. the paperclip maximizer. However, it seems that human val... |
8da94375-54bd-4b24-b859-3d7e9bd2252b | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Suppose I were to say that the American legal system is a criminal organization. The usual response would be that this is a crazy accusation.Now, suppose I were to point out that it is standard practice for American lawyers to advise their clients to lie under oath in certain circumstances. I expect that this would st... |
709dd749-da54-434b-8ba5-9c223e9eb2fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | An Introduction to Löb’s Theorem in MIRI Research
An Introduction to L ob's Theorem in MIRI Research
Patrick LaVictoire
February 23, 2015
Contents
1 Introduction 2
2 Crash Course in L ob's Theorem 2
2.1 G odelian self-reference and quining programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
2.2 L ob's Theorem . . . . .... |
da124a15-6c2b-4179-bc41-fe36e6e4f142 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fun & Games
WHEN: 12 June 2016 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Old Patent Office Building
We will be meeting in the courtyard to play games, hang out, and engage in fun conversation.
Upcoming meetups:
* Jun. 19: History of Sci... |
facb8da2-02e2-4684-9973-b110f7d877f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Human biases limit cumulative innovation.
royalsocietypublishing.org/journal/rspb
Research
Cite this article: Thompson B, Griffiths TL.
2021 Human biases limit cumulativeinnovation. Proc. R. Soc. B 288: 20202752.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2020.2752
Received: 3 November 2020
Accepted: 8 February 2021
Subject Categor... |
4bc0c559-3b56-4ec5-b06f-0f24d9dcdd89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Mere Cable Channel Addition Paradox
The following is a dialogue intended to illustrate what I think may be a serious logical flaw in some of the conclusions drawn from the famous Mere Addition Paradox.
EDIT: To make this clearer, the interpretation of the Mere Addition Paradox this post is intended to criticize... |
e764e068-f44b-4270-a96b-2d702fdf955b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Are Likely To Be Eaten By A Grue
This was a mistaken double post. The real post is here. Please do not comment on this post. |
56ced7bc-6da8-48cc-a42c-2d98eded2cb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 28: Reductionism
Whatever can go Rowling will go Rowling.
This should again go without saying, but views expressed by Severus Snape are not necessarily those of the author.
----------------------------------------
"Okay," Harry said, swallowing. "Okay, Hermione, it's enough, you can stop."
The white sugar ... |
02ab0e67-a7d9-4490-be22-acd52e7bb33a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effectiveness or altruism?
Effective altruism is all the rage. And as we all know, a highly effectively altruistic thing to do is bring about more effective altruism. However, the optimal mixture of activities for promoting effectiveness is not identical to that for promoting altruism. They are upheld by different nor... |
c80f8ef2-cfdc-4877-93d2-9d86faf560ee | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Benchmarks for Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
*Epistemic status: Been thinking about this for about a week, and done some basic googling.*
**Intro**
Creating benchmarks for measuring and comparing the intelligence of AIs to humans seems useful for tracking progression and making future predictions of develo... |
a2eb26f7-f623-499f-aaa4-46c777d30894 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 4. A Moral Case for Evolved-Sapience-Chauvinism
Part 4 of AI, Alignment, and Ethics. This will probably make more sense if you start with Part 1.
TL;DR In Parts 1 and 2 I argued that aligned AIs will not want and should not get assigned moral worth or the sorts of rights that human citizens get. In Part 3 I suggeste... |
91c04334-7ace-471e-8135-1504cc1b97ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Should We Optimize - A Conversation
The following is a lightly edited chat conversation from 2022-04-07. My interlocutor requested to be anonymized as Jason. This conversation sprang out of Jason reading about my transhuman dream.
(The conversation starts out a bit slow, but overall covers a lot of ground.)
Jas... |
39b8d7f5-52c1-47a2-b3e2-407caf423f56 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Averting instrumental pressures
Many subproblems of [corrigibility](https://arbital.com/p/45) involve [convergent](https://arbital.com/p/10g) instrumental [pressures](https://arbital.com/p/10k) to implement [strategies](https://arbital.com/p/2vl) that are highly anti-corrigible. Whether you're trying to maximize pape... |
b39c121a-ca5c-4cf5-8604-51103be3c9b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Beta Feature] Google-Docs-like editing for LessWrong posts
TL;DR: LessWrong now has similar features to Google Docs. Warning! Still rough around the edges. To enable the collaborative editor, you must check "Opt into experimental features" in your account settings and then press the green "Share" button that appears ... |
a5be8211-353f-4311-a20c-b48930151c6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why no archive of refuted research?
From The Atlantic's Lies, Damned Lies and Medical Science:
> Still, Ioannidis anticipated that the community might shrug off his findings: sure, a lot of dubious research makes it into journals, but we researchers and physicians know to ignore it and focus on the good stuff, so wha... |
9341ec5c-dc85-4605-a148-1a144e649d9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Be comfortable with hypocrisy
Neal Stephenson's The Diamond Age takes place several decades in the future and this conversation is looking back on the present day:
> "You know, when I was a young man, hypocrisy was deemed the worst of vices,” Finkle-McGraw said. “It was all because of moral relativism. You see, in th... |
1fad3885-d6f9-49c1-8e99-e5ac21bdbbc8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My new rationality/futurism podcast
I've started a podcast called Future Strategist which will focus on decision making and futurism. I have created seven shows so far: interviews of computer scientist Roman Yampolskiy, LW contributor Gleb Tsipursky, and artist/free speech activist Rachel Haywire, and monologues on ... |
3e559a7a-e3c4-4074-9689-3b227ec61ef1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Are there any detailed example stories of what unaligned AGI would look like?
Stories about the future in scientific fields always [risk being seen as sci-fi](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JVIqp_lIwZg), because it hasn’t happened yet and science can never say with 100% certainty that something will or won’t occur in... |
d63d88dc-b574-4f8d-87ef-2663dda1422c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New paper: The Incentives that Shape Behaviour
Abstract: Which variables does an agent have an incentive to control with its decision, and which variables does it have an incentive to respond to? We formalise these incentives, and demonstrate unique graphical criteria for detecting them in any single decision causal i... |
2c03792f-a412-4310-b8b8-9f97009a4315 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Soft skills for meetups
This post is adapted from a memo I wrote for the 2022 global meetup organizer retreat, and owes some of its content to the organizers who attended.
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'Soft skills' is a broad and somewhat fuzzy term, but the OED defines it as "personal attributes that en... |
d99784c3-fd31-461c-9e9a-3ab828e829ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zeckhauser's roulette
Imagine you're playing Russian roulette. Case 1: a six-shooter contains four bullets, and you're asked how much you'll pay to remove one of them. Case 2: a six-shooter contains two bullets, and you're asked how much you'll pay to remove both of them. Steven Landsburg describes an argument by Ric... |
1ed416d4-5a9c-4d51-9f87-ccece10c2fa4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Steelmanning as an alternative to Rationalist Taboo
The problem with Rationalist Taboo is that it was invented to make others clarify their thoughts, not to clarify your own.
Here's how it usually goes wrong: "You can't explain the color red to me? Hahaha, I've dissolved the idea of qualia! They are just an illusion!... |
12397ea0-13e0-48c2-8d48-e01d660a091d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Estimate the Cost of Immortality
How much money would it take to engineer biological immortality for at least half of the world's population, within 20 years, with 99% confidence?
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a10d4876-dc12-4845-9f90-7e4b2e85e287 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The Inside View #3–Evan Hubinger—Takeoff speeds, Risks from learned optimization & Interpretability
to give a bit of context to the viewers
um so mira is the machine intelligence
research institute can you just like
give a brief recap on like how long have
you been working there and what you
do there and what have you... |
d3185460-e157-4f25-90db-0bda379b2754 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : MIRI paper reading party
Discussion article for the meetup : MIRI paper reading party
WHEN: 05 April 2015 12:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 109 15th Ave, Seattle WA, 98122
https://www.facebook.com/events/860474784017422/
We will be following: https://intelligence.org/2014/12/23/new-technical-research-agenda-overv... |
dca2e732-f82c-4e24-8990-7098ffe8b319 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A list of Petrov buttons
A thing people sometimes do in relation to Petrov day, is to have a button. And if anyone presses the button, something negative happens.
I'd like to know how often the button gets pressed, so I compiled a list of all the times people have done this, that I'm aware of, and the outcome. Also, ... |
fd7df517-1271-4df4-b3a8-2ea273ff70ab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Observations on the funding landscape of EA and AI safety
*Epistemic status: Hot takes for discussion. These observations are a side product of another strategy project, rather than a systematic and rigorous analysis of the funding landscape, and we may be missing important considerations. Observations are also non-ex... |
afa8def1-423c-4595-a5e8-346d5371023c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How Open Source Machine Learning Software Shapes AI
**Acknowledgements**
We would like to thank many different people for contributing to the research that comprised this post. Tim Hwang and Teddy Collins at CSET for originally sparking this research question, Helen Toner for her early encouragement and feedback on r... |
aeabf292-72a5-44f9-ab7f-18c53fc18674 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sabbath hard and go home
Growing up Jewish, I thought that the traditional rules around the Sabbath were silly. Then I forgot to bring a spare battery on a camping trip. Now I think that something like the traditional Jewish Sabbath is an important cultural adaptation to preserve leisure, that would otherwise be destr... |
696dfed6-1143-4e80-925f-13d6db5ba356 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Apprentice Experiment in Python Programming
A couple weeks ago Zvi made an apprentice thread. I have always wanted to be someone's apprentice, but it didn't occur to me that I could just ...ask to do that. Mainly I was concerned about this being too big of an ask. I saw gilch's comment offering to mentor Python pro... |
e4a6faa8-d834-4269-a595-d2dd618f5891 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Are you stably aligned?
Epistimic status: posing questions I think are probably useful, without a strong guess at the answers.
If we made an AGI just like you, would it be aligned?
Would it stay aligned over a long time span?
The purpose of the first question is to explore the possibility raised by shard theorya... |
5587c3c9-0f07-4411-bbfc-cce0f63eb1a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 11 minute TED talk is about instrumental rationality
Link
Essentially this is about cutting your enemy, and some procedural pitfalls in his examples.
I didn't spot any novel principles in the talk, but I want to learn more about how he thinks.
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9f118993-afb5-436d-b50d-71fe9f54e51a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: TED Talks
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: TED Talks
WHEN: 14 August 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Mosaic at Metro Apartments
This week, we will be meeting at the home of one of the meetup regulars (6210 Belcrest Road Apt 1131) to watch TED talks. Directions have bee... |
dd65b733-4665-49d6-8fba-520c459a66b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can AI Quantity beat AI Quality?
AI definitely poses an existential risk, in the sense that it can generate models with the hidden (possibly undetectable?) intention of competing against humanity for resources. The more intelligent the model, the higher its chance of success!
The thought of an AI takeover is so scary... |
62821d43-b2cb-4a5b-b0c4-70eebd0689a0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Religion/Atheist) - Reppert on the Defeasibility Test (No (conclusive) evidence possible for a being both all-powerful and honest)
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674f7fbf-1549-4709-88c6-7e46417c0897 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Drawing Less Wrong: Should You Learn to Draw?
This is the second post of the Drawing Less Wrong mini sequence, in which I discuss how to draw, how learning to draw *effectively* relates to rationality, and what the initial results were when I started running a drawing workshop, teaching people with essentially no expe... |
5d5e3a0a-62bd-4c0a-91a3-960e84f0a3b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | asking an AI to make itself friendly
edit: I think I have phrased this really poorly and that this has been misinterpreted. See my comment below for clarification.
A lot of thought has been put into the discussion of how one would need to define the goals of an AI so that it won't find any "loopholes" and act i... |
da4baf1b-c488-48b3-b944-4a907a5321c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secret Rationality Base in Europe
In short, I'm wondering what place/group/organisation/activity could do for rationality in Europe what Berkeley does for rationality in the US?
Soon, we'll have LWCW in Berlin, which I hope will be an occasion to do some networking among people who think seriously about developing... |
cf7fa474-48b4-47e2-a94b-a31178c37af4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evil autocomplete: Existential Risk and Next-Token Predictors
NOTE: The following essay was first summarized by Yitz, generated via prompting by ChatGPT, then edited by Yitz, and finally rewritten by Bing Chat. I have left all text as Bing generated it (though I did enlarge section headings, and removed some of the ea... |
4aa7da9b-4e1b-4673-ac2d-436ff8b2cab2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Brief Assessment of OpenAI's Preparedness Framework &
Some Suggestions for Improvement
This document was produced by SaferAI submitted for feedback to OpenAI. It is doing a list of remarkable improvements of the Preparedness Framework (PF) over Anthropic’s RSPs and suggests possible improvements to make the PF more ... |
826b49a9-40da-44ed-a65d-163843ce514b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Abstractions as Redundant Information
What is it that makes the concept of “pencil” a good abstraction?
One way to frame it: there are lots of “pencils” in the world - lots of little chunks of the world which I could look at which all contain information about pencils-in-general. Many different places from which I co... |
726dd031-c517-4e46-8548-561aab25df28 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improved Baselines with Momentum Contrastive Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Recent studies on unsupervised representation learning from images [[16](#bib.bib16), [13](#bib.bib13), [8](#bib.bib8), [17](#bib.bib17), [1](#bib.bib1), [9](#bib.bib9), [15](#bib.bib15), [6](#bib.bib6), [12](#bib.bib12), [2](#bib.... |
971f3941-9d3b-4089-934b-9cae504ef053 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | LW is to rationality as AIXI is to intelligence
Apparently LW does a great job on refining rationality and dissolving confusions. But is it helpful when it comes to anything apart from designing Friendly AI, apart from a purely academic treatment of rationality? I'm currently unable to benefit from what I have so far ... |
5b2e3047-d03b-4e6d-802b-b69ec9a70a07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Talking publicly about AI risk
In the past year, I have started talking about AI risk publicly - in mainstream newspapers, public radio, national TV, some of the most popular podcasts. The twist, and reason why you probably haven't noticed is I'm doing this in Czech. This has a large disadvantage - the positive impa... |
e8badec0-d6e4-4e45-a5bb-12a35098daa0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Disputing Definitions
Today's post, Disputing Definitions was originally published on 12 February 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> You allow an argument to slide into being about definitions, even though it isn't what you originally wanted to argue about. If, before a dispute started about w... |
97b0ccae-9671-4719-bd16-16561ff602c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Do mesa-optimization problems correlate with low-slack?
My understanding is that the primary problem with inner-alignment is that even outer-aligned AIs may be incredibly unpredictable due to unpredictable mesa-optimization. Put another way, there is a possibility that even air-tight objective functions could be ignor... |
178272b2-bd7d-4b02-b978-943741b717e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conventional footnotes considered harmful
Writers use footnotes — equally, endnotes — intending that they be optional for the reader. A note will hold a citation, technicality, or explanation, any of which is of interest to only some readers. This is a useful tactic, in principle.
Footnotes are indicated with ordinal... |
4cbdeb99-8968-4d8a-ab6d-44534a7c6697 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Language Models Don't Learn the Physical Manifestation of Language
Abstract
We argue that there are certain properties of language that our current large language models (LLMs) don't learn. We present an empirical investigation of visual-auditory properties of language through a series of tasks, termed H-Test. This be... |
5bf68256-ba68-42c6-947e-04c1db4c033b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the best books on evolutionary psychology?
I'd like to divide three classes of reasons to read a discipline:
1) You are curious and want to begin reading by something 100-500 pages. I'd go for Pinker's 1990's "How the mind works"
2) You want to screen the whole field, by reading something 500-1500 pages. I... |
7bdf77b6-2eef-4ff4-898b-966835244d22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Why I'm not on the Rationalist Masterlist
A long blog post explains why the author, a feminist, is not comfortable with the rationalist community despite thinking it is "super cool and interesting". It's directed specifically at Yvain, but it's probably general enough to be of some interest here.
http://apophe... |
c83921f5-01bf-4a21-bdfa-187c0eb679d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Peter Singer's first published piece on AI
Hi! I am Tse Yip Fai. This is a linkpost to Peter Singer's first published piece on AI, it's also my first published paper (second author). Since the paper is open access, I won't be doing any copy-and-paste here.
This is a seminal paper resulting from an one-year research... |
7e35e70b-74cc-41ae-ba0c-ef69b1268236 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vignettes Workshop (AI Impacts)
AI Impacts is organizing an online gathering to write down how AI will go down! For more details, see this announcement, or read on.
Plan
1. Try to write plausible future histories of the world, focusing on AI-relevant features. (“Vignettes.”)
2. Read each others’ vignettes and critiq... |
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