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bf793e22-090d-43c1-8369-f0e64e945097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confused Thoughts on AI Afterlife (seriously)
Is it sometimes rational for a human to kill themselves? You might think that nothingness is better than a hellish existence, but something about this line of thought confuses me, and I hope to show why:
If a superhuman agi is dropped in a simple rl environment such as pa... |
944f2686-bd87-4201-8c7f-1ee83e94eab1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What did you do with GPT4?
Have you had access to GPT4? What use did you get from it? |
39e57bfb-2d3e-4895-a33d-8c7a95f26985 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ToL: The Topological Connection
(These are the touched up notes from a class I took with CMU's Kevin Kelly this past semester on the Topology of Learning. Only partially optimized for legibility)
Now that we've got the basic formalism, it's time to go from our intuitive notion of verifiable to our formal notion of ve... |
f8c43a66-d0f3-4232-9d14-f049c7a7bbf9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Problems facing a correspondence theory of knowledge
*Financial status: This is independent research. I welcome* [*financial support*](https://www.alexflint.io/donate.html) *to make further posts like this possible.*
*Epistemic status: These ideas are still being developed.*
---
Outline
-------
* I am intere... |
5bee4603-8cf8-41c9-8e5f-d04ea98b5577 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Houston Meetup - 1/15
Discussion article for the meetup : Houston Meetup - 1/15
WHEN: 15 January 2012 02:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 2010 Commerce Street, Houston TX 77002
There will be a meetup this Sunday at 2PM at the local hackerspace. We'll be discussing the Maps and Territories sequence, as well as planni... |
763221d9-3ecc-4c9b-9856-cd3cf0c4f24f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thinking in another language could reduce biases
From Wired:
> The experiments themselves relied on classic paradigms borrowed from prospect theory, in which people are asked to make decisions under varying conditions of uncertainty and risk. For instance, native English speakers in Chicago who had learned Spanish in... |
fe5aea13-505a-4ce1-ba74-5c1c62a522e2 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "It's no secret that corporations, bureaucracies, and governments don't operate at peak efficiency for ideal goals. Economics has literature on its own version of the problem; on this very site, Zvi has been presenting a terrifying tale of Immoral Mazes, or how politics can eat all the productivity of an organisation. ... |
154eb8d2-e2d2-4d2c-8535-7c5bb8bb94d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mediators of History
Epistemic note: all of the examples in this post are very simplified for ease of consumption. The core idea applies just as well to the real systems in all their complicated glory, however.
When oil prices change, oil producers adjust in response - they drill more wells in response to higher pric... |
cf5d6d66-6c82-48bf-8542-2933780a887e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: "Encounters with Einstein" by Heisenberg
The title of this book is clickbait. "Encounters with Einstein" is a short collection of lectures given or written by Werner Heisenberg in the 1970's, only one of which discusses Einstein.[1] The remaining lectures discuss various aspects of the history and develop... |
5b046959-0baf-47aa-905f-449e8ebd502c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on November 28th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Copenhagen: December Meetup: 20 December 2014 03:00PM
* East Coast Solstice Megameetup: 20 December 2014 03:00PM
* European Community Weekend... |
b9eaaad0-1e9e-4953-b2d9-935dc5949df7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conversation with Eliezer: What do you want the system to do?
This is a write-up of a conversation I overheard between Eliezer and some junior alignment researchers. Eliezer reviewed this and gave me permission to post this, but he mentioned that "there's a lot of stuff that didn't get captured well or accurately." I'... |
24aaf6ab-db17-4996-8b73-1726d06ea7e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Test on AWS
This is a test article |
690173b0-211b-423d-9752-095bb1020f8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Openness Norms in AGI Development
1. Introduction
This post outlines two models from the social epistemology of science explaining the emergence of the a particular openness norm within the sciences, and then looks at how such models can be utilised to understand research groups trying to develop AGI. In the rest of t... |
2396ce78-1720-49bd-809d-64e49ba09091 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards Better Milestones for Monitoring AI Capabilities
In the present moment, with so much hype around the accomplishments of generative AI, there is a lot of confusion and disagreement regarding timelines for further progress in capabilities. Assumptions regarding human-level AGI range from a few years to at least ... |
d2292ee0-7a39-4234-8509-819bd5e772d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will transparency help catch deception? Perhaps not
In the last few months, some AI safety researchers have signaled what Wei Dai called a "wave of optimism" for using transparency tools to catch deceptive behavior in our machine learning models. By a transparency tool, I mean any technique that allows us to peek insi... |
eafec6de-e0a2-4f91-be3d-3303b81612d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Liability for Misuse of Models - Dean Ball's Proposal
Introduction
This article explores White House Office of Science and Technology Policy advisor Dean Ball's proposal as detailed in his paper "A Framework for the Private Governance of Frontier Artificial Intelligence". I think the paper provides a useful insight to... |
8ac11b94-4174-4d24-b66b-c374b603c391 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Generalizing From One Example & Evolutionary Game Theory
Back in April 2010 Robin Hanson wrote a post titled Homo Hypocritus Signals. Hal Finney wrote a comment
> This reasoning does offer an explanation for why big brains might have evolved, to help walk the line between acceptable and unacceptable behavior. Still i... |
a6c1cf84-8b80-4dfc-af6e-d92f9f00b573 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Notes on "the hot mess theory of AI misalignment"
**TL;DR:** the author makes some reasonable, good-faith arguments (including analysis of a neat survey that he sent to his friends), but I don't think these arguments are strong enough to support his conclusions in a significant way.
[Jascha Sohl-Dickstein](https://ww... |
ccb88531-1293-46c2-99fd-3b8ef2d5db17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Foresight Institute AI safety RFPs in automation, security, multi-agent, neuro
Foresight Institute is seeking project proposals across four AI Safety categories:
1. Automating research and forecasting
2. Security technologies for AI-relevant systems
3. Safe multi-agent scenarios
4. Neurotech for AI safety
This... |
0a23c70a-a4f5-4125-86fa-91978ae19ace | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Why might AI be a x-risk? Succinct explanations please
As part of a presentation I'll be giving soon, I'll be spending a bit of time explaining why AI might be an x-risk.
Can anyone point me to existing succinct explanations for this, which are as convincing as possible, brief (I won't be spending long on this), and ... |
4c4e6255-0547-4ba6-8ed5-78cd52e3b12e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An attempt to dissolve subjective expectation and personal identity
I attempt to figure out a way to dissolve the concepts of 'personal identity' and 'subjective expectation' down to the level of cognitive algorithms, in a way that would let one bite the bullets of the anthropic trilemma. I proceed by considering four... |
e0cdb38d-5f26-445a-b9cd-ba0301a421a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Givewell: Why We Can’t Take Expected Value Estimates Literally
http://blog.givewell.org/2011/08/18/why-we-cant-take-expected-value-estimates-literally-even-when-theyre-unbiased/
Long post over at GiveWell about relying on expected value estimates for charitable donations. The main thrust is that large expected... |
1a98154f-12d2-488d-b5cd-f715512b7290 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Recommendations for non-technical books on AI?
What should I read next? Any AGI safety related material that you can recommend? I've read the following books related (broadly) to AI:
* Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control,
by Stuart Russell
* AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, an... |
e065b6d7-9147-47ec-a7ce-fa2946c64c39 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "The Center on Long-Term Risk (CLR) is focused on reducing risks of astronomical suffering, or s-risks, from transformative artificial intelligence (TAI). S-risks are defined as risks of cosmically significant amounts of suffering[1]. As has been discussed elsewhere, s-risks might arise by malevolence, by accident, or ... |
fa03e305-ca57-4626-858a-81a422931f23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ways to think about alignment
I’m listing some “ways to think about alignment”. I’m not sure how much of the “whole problem” each of these individually captures, but they are intended to be very well-motivated, fundamental problems which can:
1. demonstrate to an honest skeptic that there is “something here”, it’s n... |
d7640802-2aec-4d82-8b19-091ea8455c59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on September 23rd. The following week's summary is here.
The following meetups take place in cities with regular scheduling, but involve a change in time or location, special meeting content, or simply a helpful reminder about the meetup:
* Baltimore Area / UMBC ... |
3d4445bf-be4a-4535-9bc5-ab05089ee80e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Durham NC/Triangle Area: Rationality Checklist Workshop
Discussion article for the meetup : Durham NC/Triangle Area: Rationality Checklist Workshop
WHEN: 18 July 2013 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 420 E. Geer St., Durham NC 27701
At this Thursday's meetup, we'll be getting our hands dirty tinkering with the Ra... |
ed8287a2-b730-4202-a79f-2efc821307cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Draft: Detecting optimization
This post is a draft, a work in progress. Much of it will not make sense, and will not be optimized for the reader's experience. It does not necessarily reflect my current best understanding of optimization. Like the introduction draft, I'm opening it up because I've been working on this ... |
4f58ecc0-7a9e-4024-b422-e72044e0ccf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Useless knowledge; why people resist education improvement
I was a physics major, but there were still some general education courses that were required. Although a few had some useful information, most of them were worthless. I went to the first few classes, and if I found that they contained no useful information, I... |
c2c77c1e-483e-4279-bfe0-323fff21545f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictions for 2050?
I recently came across this funny site: https://2050.earth/
A lot of the predictions are pretty outlandish, and some of them are actually impossible, like photosynthetic implants that replace food, but all of them are fairly interesting, and the art is pretty well done.
Obviously that far out,... |
2fadeb5f-125a-4940-9ed5-1028646b160c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cataloguing Priors in Theory and Practice
This post is part of my hypothesis subspace sequence, a living collection of proposals I'm exploring at Refine. Preceded by an exploration of Boolean primitives in the context of coupled optimizers.
Thanks Alexander Oldenziel and Paul Colognese for discussions which inspired ... |
0b34fd08-cdcf-4b4a-bcde-3c98535b3718 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing The Techno-Humanist Manifesto: A new philosophy of progress for the 21st century
Humans are a curious species: We have a need not only to do, but to explain what we are doing—to each other and above all to ourselves. Movements begin with practice, but as they evolve, they need theory in order to maintain th... |
7d4b560a-7cd7-48d4-941b-1c7fb5604aaa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Case study: Melatonin
> I discuss melatonin's effects on sleep & its safety; I segue into the general benefits of sleep and the severely disrupted sleep of the modern Western world, the cost of melatonin use and the benefit (eg. enforcing regular bedtimes), followed by a basic cost-benefit analysis of melatonin conclu... |
81b2f103-434d-4616-b72c-6c6931500ee5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Freely reduced word
summary: A "word" over a set $X$ is a finite ordered list of elements from $X$ and $X^{-1}$ (where $X^{-1}$ is the set of formal inverses of the elements of $X$), as if we were treating the elements of $X$ and $X^{-1}$ as letters of an alphabet. A "freely reduced" word over $X$ is one which doesn't... |
5ea85163-dfbf-45ce-b984-63158a0f5ee8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Claude 3.5 Sonnet (New)'s AGI scenario
This is an AGI scenario from The Curve conference. This is from an entry, shared with its author's permission[1]. I used Apple's OCR and checked using Claude. The original files are here, so if you spot other errors you can check yourself.
Stage 1: Runup to the first AGI: Spen... |
815dea4c-fc67-4cb4-b03f-4b86f81ffe6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA—R:AZ Part B, Fake Beliefs
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA—R:AZ Part B, Fake Beliefs
WHEN: 01 April 2015 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if possible.
Parking is free in the lot out fron... |
2b521bf7-623a-4d1c-8f24-fdf92d484540 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Some Preliminary Opinions on AI Safety Problems
**1. What experience do you have that you think could be relevant to technical AI safety research? (e.g. programming, coursework, internships, self-study).**
Since June 2021, together with researchers from MIT Energy Initiative, Carnegie Mellon University, and Aalborg U... |
961a1552-d70e-4dd4-94d9-795535fead95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When programs have to work-- lessons from NASA
They Write the Right Stuff is about software which "never crashes. It never needs to be re-booted. This software is bug-free. It is perfect, as perfect as human beings have achieved. Consider these stats : the last three versions of the program -- each 420,000 lines long-... |
bd3c2041-afb9-4c50-bca6-1d05eefa4319 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Request For Article: Many-Worlds Quantum Computing
Through a path more tortuous than is worth describing, I ended up talking to friends about the quantum effects which are exploited by photosynthesis. There's an article describing the topic we were talking about here.
The article describes how quantum effects allow t... |
35de6815-2417-49f2-b712-db902273beba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Link] How understanding valence could help make future AIs safer
A blog post by [Mike Johnson](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/mikejohnson), Director of the [Qualia Research Institute](https://www.qualiaresearchinstitute.org/): <https://opentheory.net/2015/09/fai_and_valence/> ([a](https://web.archive.org/w... |
c7fa02ab-6db8-4588-a09a-1c337ec13394 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confusion about science and technology
Science is not particularly reliable.
And yet, we have remarkable technology, and can do medical marvels.
My tentative theory is that there's a lot of knowledge that's less formal than science in engineering, manufacturing, and the practice of medicine which makes it possible t... |
d17df5ec-4616-4a1d-9ce7-ff9a0cf82e92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to LessWrong!
The road to wisdom? Well, it's plain
and simple to express:
Err
and err
and err again
but less
and less
and less.
– Piet Hein
LessWrong is an online forum and community dedicated to improving human reasoning and decision-making. We seek to hold true beliefs and to be effective at accom... |
42c5a0d3-7f55-4bc1-baab-500ed9500105 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To Be Particular About Morality
I'm beginning this post with the assumption that there is no "moral reality," namely that there is no objective truth about what we should or should not do.[1]
Instead, I will (I hope non-controversially) consider morality to be some set of emotional intuitions possessed by any given i... |
989b8510-76d5-4d27-ba92-393ba5b7000a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligence 15: Oracles, genies and sovereigns
This is part of a weekly reading group on Nick Bostrom's book, Superintelligence. For more information about the group, and an index of posts so far see the announcement post. For the schedule of future topics, see MIRI's reading guide.
----------------------------... |
0c59ebbe-0269-497e-938a-d44cd04b1133 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #171]: Disagreements between alignment "optimists" and "pessimists"
Listen to this newsletter on The Alignment Newsletter Podcast.
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look t... |
cd840147-a393-4862-9636-f27614e0098a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Review of METR’s public evaluation protocol
TLDR: We reviewed METR’s “Example evaluation protocol” and found a couple of points where there is room for improvement or unclear information. We also make a couple of suggestions around scoring, outsourcing, etc.
* This review was done by 2 people without previous knowle... |
b6b19bc8-418b-4dee-884e-f8e4f7623f70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : New Meetup: Milwaukee
Discussion article for the meetup : New Meetup: Milwaukee
WHEN: 19 November 2013 06:30:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: Starbucks, 920 N Water St, Milwaukee, WI
Hoping to start a Milwaukee LW chapter. Come on in and meet some new people!
Discussion article for the meetup : New Meetup: Milwaukee |
8707e3f7-314f-45d6-a974-2664b1bbbe0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it worth avoiding detailed discussions of expectations about agency levels of powerful AIs?
I'm working on an article for the Open Phil AI worldview contest. I am thinking of explaining my interpretation of Nate's take on agency of advaned models (see here). Generally, I just want to explain is just what Nate argue... |
5a09aaef-f377-4589-b3a7-784f9a48f051 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Label-only Model Inversion Attack: The Attack that Requires the Least Information
1 Introduction
---------------
Machine learning (ML) models, like deep neural networks (DNN), have been applied to a wide range of applications
from computer vision to speech recognition [[40](#bib.bib40)].
However, building a powerfu... |
47f62406-1655-475c-b6fa-d219aed883a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formulating the AI Doom Argument for Analytic Philosophers
Recently, David Chalmers has asked on Twitter for a canonical formulation of the AI Doom Argument. After some back and forth with EY, DC came up with a suggestion himself.
After reading the conversation I couldn't help but think that EY and DC had partially ... |
d427badf-01ec-432c-bd4c-0d7c9e273ad2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should I read to understand ancestral human society?
I recently got into a chatroom debate with some very smart people about whether homosexual behavior was typical for humans [ not bonobos ] in the ancestral environment / Environment of Evolutionary Adaptedness [EEA] [ i.e., ancestral hunter-gatherer society ] -... |
25ef9687-0f33-4d02-8647-1a1f1d67ac20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Incident Sharing - Best practices from other fields and a comprehensive list of existing platforms
Purpose of this post: The purpose of this post is three-fold: 1) highlight the importance of incident sharing and share best practices from adjacent fields to AI safety 2) collect tentative and existing ideas of imple... |
50fe8df6-1697-4d7d-98ec-dbc22de623fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Macroeconomics, The Lucas Critique, Microfoundations, and Modeling in General
I posted this comment in reply to a post by David Henderson over at econlog, but first some context.
Mathew Yglesias writes:
> ...From an outside perspective, what seems to be going on is that economists have unearthed an extremely fruitfu... |
0c0d165d-217c-4559-a4bd-d0dea06daf45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is OpenAI net negative for AI Safety?
I recently saw a post arguing that top AI labs should shut down. This let me wonder whether the AI Safety community thinks OpenAI is net negative for AI safety. I chose OpenAI because I consider it as the most representative top AI lab (in the sense that, if we ask someone to thin... |
d410acec-90f0-4087-a923-6bb589b83547 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Spicy takes about AI policy (Clark, 2022)
*Linkposting, tagging and excerpting in accord with '*[*Should pretty much all content that's EA-relevant and/or created by EAs be (link)posted to the Forum?*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/kYDT4u8QagZmPFdCL/should-pretty-much-all-content-that-s-ea-relevant-and-or)... |
75caa601-c4bc-41d0-a80e-64a33bf6cca6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Defense of Functional Decision Theory
This post is an attempt to refute an article offering critique on Functional Decision Theory (FDT). If you’re new to FDT, I recommend reading this introductory paper by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares (Y&S). The critique I attempt to refute can be found here: A Critique of Funct... |
1c92d0f4-bb54-45de-81fb-7bec959e0021 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Book Suggestions] Summer Reading for Younglings.
I bought my niece a Kindle that just arrived and I'm about to load it up with books to give it to her tomorrow for her birthday. I've decided to be a sneaky uncle and include good books that can teach better abilities to think or at least to consider science cool and i... |
36b895c6-0f9e-40cc-b11d-1fc9b40f3f97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Edit Nickname
How can I change my nickname?
I logged in with google, but I don't like my full name to be displayed. I tried in the edit account section but couldn't find where to edit the nickname.
Thanks. |
51f3a253-ef9c-4912-9579-9896b76dce19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney solstice
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney solstice
WHEN: 12 December 2015 05:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 63 york rd, Queens park, sydney,
https://goo.gl/maps/7Zm8dea7hGF2 Centennial park, in the park, closest gate at 63 york st, 5pm local time.
See the facebook page for any last minute updates... |
ac0f10be-0d9e-42a5-a307-a591bd7d008e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Managing your time spent learning
This article is written for people who are looking for advice on prioritizing activities, in particular, what to spend time learning.
In thinking about how to budget your time, it's helpful to explicitly prioritize the activities that you engage in in terms of their relative importan... |
7a177db2-c0ed-4bd6-86fc-6600ee7c4dd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Better Rationality Through Lucid Dreaming
Note: this post is no longer endorsed by the author, for reasons partially described here.
In the spirit of radioing back to describe a path:
The truly absurd thing about dreams lies not with their content, but with the fact that we believe them. Perfectly outrageous and imp... |
41c0b2c6-9d4a-49e7-a13b-76bcdab13c37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Atlanta, Austin, Berlin, Bielefield, Cambridge MA, Innsbruck, London, Melbourne, Montreal, Phoenix, Seattle
This summary was posted to LW main on November 30th. The following week's summary is here.
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Berlin Meetup: 01 December 2012 ... |
6d5c90a8-ea00-4492-a4d4-842197ebabd7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effective Altruism's Ultimate Goal: Eradicate Human Suffering.
The Highest Good We Can Serve
The Effective Altruism movement aims to answer the question "how can we use our resources to help others the most?". Well, let us ask: what is the most we could ever help someone? In the quest for human progress, what would ... |
6e5a04f8-7349-43bf-a0e2-384ccdaee955 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Friendship is Optimal: A My Little Pony fanfic about an optimization process
[EDIT, Nov 14th: And it's posted. [New discussion about release](/r/discussion/lw/fi8/launched_friendship_is_optimal/). Link to *[Friendship is Optimal](http://www.fimfiction.net/story/62074/Friendship-is-Optimal)*.]
[EDIT, Nov 13th: I've s... |
d4ddb758-3c44-4727-bac5-62367529a550 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Urgent: Subjects needed for rationality measure development
Hello everyone,
We at the Center For Applied Rationality (formerly known as the Center for Modern Rationality) need to measure the impact of our minicamps and develop rationality measures, and for this we need a group of test subjects. The interview portion ... |
8ffd69fb-ffbe-4ee6-9931-22e3c5e1ed7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Kidnapping and the game of Chicken
Observe the payoff matrix at right (the unit of reward? Cookies.). Each player wants to play 'A', but only so long as the two players play different moves.
Suppose that Red got to move first. There are some games where moving first is terrible - take Rock Paper Scissors for example... |
acf43aa0-88b6-4385-9dee-8cf33c30cec6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong |
Emergence and Amplification of Survival
Evolution shows, that once multiple agents are capable of self-reproducing in a resource constrained environment that creates severe competitive pressures. The competitive pressures select for the agents most fit for the environment.
This pattern is very obvious in the nature,... |
0974e94a-79ec-4198-ba5e-fd5621fa43b0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Forecasting Questions: What do you want to predict on AI?
Lots of people are saying that AI regulation is great or terrible, but I am not seeing a lot of concrete forecasts.
What would a world where regulation goes really well look like?
What would a world where regulation goes really badly look like?
What other ... |
3acaf150-75a5-4b73-b5cd-cb5475b8377d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne, practical rationality
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne, practical rationality
WHEN: 01 June 2012 07:00:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: 55 walsh st, west melbourne 3003 australia
Practical rationality, as distinct from the social and rationality outreach meetups. Look for a social meetup on the ... |
fe796a16-380d-457c-b145-9af24ee1d989 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you choose areas of scientific research?
I've been thinking lately about what is the optimal way to organize scientific research both for individuals and for groups. My first idea: research should have a long-term goal. If you don't have a long-term goal, you will end up wasting a lot of time on useless pursuit... |
e47ebd89-2639-460b-b4db-a18554843f78 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI Doom Is Not (Only) Disjunctive
Summary
-------
Arguing about the conjunctivity vs disjunctivity of AI doom seems potentially unhelpful, as it may distract from crucial object level questions about the probabilities of particular conjuncts/disjuncts. However, I argue that if we are to use this frame, then we should... |
1010ec1b-0e9c-4b6c-ac64-bc105b8a1b97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modeling AGI Safety Frameworks with Causal Influence Diagrams
We have written a paper that represents various frameworks for designing safe AGI (e.g., RL with reward modeling, CIRL, debate, etc.) as Causal Influence Diagrams (CIDs), to help us compare frameworks and better understand the corresponding agent incentives... |
da192d8a-156b-46fa-aa10-acc9db7d2c7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taking features out of superposition with sparse autoencoders more quickly with informed initialization
This work was produced as part of the SERI MATS 3.0 Cohort under the supervision of Lee Sharkey.
Many thanks to Lee Sharkey for his advice and suggestions.
TL;DR: it is possible to speed up the extraction of super... |
30c19b9e-2c14-42d5-a217-a55056ce1d57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Impact Markets: Your Charity Evaluator for AI Safety
Summary: This is a quick overview of the current state of our system AI Safety Impact Markets: We want to give donors an improved ability to coordinate so that their diverse knowledge can inform our crowdsourced donation recommendations. AI Safety Impact M... |
5f6e5a8a-44b8-4b3d-8a4f-69f09d7d3a15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Explain/Worship/Ignore?
Today's post, Explain/Worship/Ignore? was originally published on 02 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> When you encounter something you don't understand, you have three options: to seek an explanation, knowing that that explanation will itself require an expl... |
d22a385f-e67f-4b24-b255-509f2d7d14b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Machine Unlearning Evaluations as Interpretability Benchmarks
Interpreting Models by Ablation. Image generated by DALL-E 3.Introduction
============
Interpretability in machine learning, es... |
44a64e3b-4447-494d-890a-56ab8c590676 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ackshually, many worlds is wrong
Thank you to Justis Mills for proofreading and feedback. This post can also be found on my substack.
I mentioned that I disagree with the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics in a comment, and I thought I should clarify my position. I title the post "ackshually" because it ... |
87a14469-f5fd-442e-accb-30900f781253 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confused about Solomonoff induction
Why wouldn't the probability of two algorithms of different lengths appearing approach the same value as longer strings of bits are searched? |
5923afea-f815-4661-93ca-803930e3043b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Llama We Doing This Again?
I’ve finally had an opportunity to gather the available information about Llama-2 and take an in-depth look at the system card.
My conclusion is that Llama-2 looks to score about 3.4 GPTs, with coding as its relative weak point. The system card tries to claim better performance than that in... |
0b26a02f-84cf-4f04-90b9-269dd4d9be24 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | CSER is hiring for a senior research associate on longterm AI risk and governance
[CSER](https://www.cser.ac.uk/)'s [AI:FAR](https://www.ai-far.org/) team is looking for a new Senior Research Associate, to work on the **longterm impacts, risks and governance of AI**.
[Here](https://www.cser.ac.uk/about-us/careers/se... |
c08fd973-476e-49fd-a1f0-e20e3c876528 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are the power-seeking theorems?
[Power-seeking](https://www.alignmentforum.org/tag/power-seeking-ai) behavior is a key source of risk from advanced AI and an important part of many models of how AI could lead to [existential catastrophe](https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.13353). Yet our theoretical understanding of powe... |
a2f6dfdc-edea-4328-a3f9-58bb2a0d7c54 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Concise Open Problem in Logical Uncertainty
The purpose of this post is to provide a short fully mathematically specified conjecture which can be worked on with very little background, but which has an important consequence in logical uncertainty. Not too many man-hours have been put into this question yet, so it is p... |
5e7074fb-46dc-494a-a6ee-5d5062c8bc9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW's first job ad
A friend of the Singularity Institute is seeking to hire someone to research trends and surprises in geopolitics, world economics, and technology - a brainstorming, think-tank type job at a for-profit company. No experience necessary, but strong math and verbal skills required; they're happy to hire... |
377df7a3-b709-40c2-9331-8ae040f664cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Just admit that you’ve zoned out
Summary: Zoning out is difficult to avoid and common, zoning out without admitting it hurts your comprehension, therefore you should admit that you zoned out and ask people to repeat things.
If you’re anything like me, you’ve “zoned out” before. You’ve probably even zoned out when you... |
86a9e56e-78a7-4070-aab0-5c0b3d1abe42 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
*Audio also available by searching Stitcher, Spotify, Google Podcasts, etc. for "Cold Takes Audio"*
Today’s world
Transformative AI
Digital people
World of
Misaligned AI
World run by
Something else
or
or
Stable, galaxy-wide
civilization
... |
62f0f300-1f03-4c47-a620-b611a68dc246 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | From Manchester to Beirut: The power of education to change lives
This post is about our pilot digital literacy program in the Shatila refugee camp in Beirut. I am interested in the concepts of effective altruism and how to maximize the impact of the project, so any feedback about how to do this or other programs or r... |
ce2a2f68-d74c-49b6-8be2-485e2642ef07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not Taking Over the World
Followup to: What I Think, If Not Why
My esteemed co-blogger Robin Hanson accuses me of trying to take over the world.
Why, oh why must I be so misunderstood?
(Well, it's not like I don't enjoy certain misunderstandings. Ah, I remember the first time someone seriously and not in a jokin... |
d02980b1-a0f0-4591-8d94-ff4409faf7f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Short summary of mAIry's room
This is a shorter summary of the post "mAIry's room: AI reasoning to solve philosophical problems". Its aim is to explain the key concepts of that post without going into full technical details.
Can you feel my pain?
People can be more or less empathetic, but we have trouble really feel... |
b5e497b5-0fb9-47eb-98af-eb17996c9abb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Munich Meetup (updated)
Discussion article for the meetup : Munich Meetup (updated)
WHEN: 01 April 2013 04:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: 48.151006,11.590769
The next Munich meetup will take place on April 1st (as decided in the doodle). If the weather is sunny, we will meet outside, somewhere in Englischer Garten... |
86033e22-adfd-4225-9ff7-83ae8a2edfa9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How I Meditate
In "Fake Frameworks for Zen Meditation" I offered some models for how Zen meditation works, but not really much in the way of practice instructions. Similarly, I've talked a bunch about the intersection of Zen and Rationality, but again mainly from showing how things connect rather than giving you new t... |
2c255b9e-4059-44cd-bb3a-134f9bac5cd1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 268. AI Practical Advice For The Worried
hello and welcome to session 268 in the
arctic.com training group tonight we
will be discussing the post AI practical
advice for the worried by three muscle
routes
three most of which is uh the founder
and probably CEO of belter research he's
also a professional in Magic the
Ga... |
5fe034cf-5782-4f49-95cb-554f7db8051b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Slowed ASI - a possible technical strategy for alignment
Lately, much has been discussed about PauseAI, or even stopping research completely, until further progress has been made in theory or technical approaches to alignment. After thinking about this for some time, I wondered if there was a way to formalize this rea... |
0b1107c3-f874-4aed-9b6c-1547c71504c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How does one run an organization remotely, effectively?
Having good answers to this seems really important both to the rationalsphere-in-particular, and the world in general over the coming months. |
699c8d77-e3a5-434c-beb6-949e11d479ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Niceness: Looking for Positive Externalities
One of the most useful concepts I’ve learned from economics is the idea of an externality: the consequences of your actions on other people. This is important because, intuitively, humans are self-centred, and it’s easy to not notice the effects your actions have on othe... |
23127cf2-11cd-4145-afbb-2bbbabe75f03 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Video of Bostrom’s talk on Superintelligence at UC Berkeley
In September, MIRI [hosted](http://intelligence.org/2014/07/25/bostrom/) Nick Bostrom at UC Berkeley to discuss his new book [*Superintelligence*](http://smile.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom-ebook/dp/B00LOOCGB2/). A video and tra... |
5b60db06-58fb-4b70-b18d-509afa5cfbd3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vertical Flutes
The standard (" transverse") flute has pretty terrible ergonomics: your arms are way out to the side. Most woodwinds use a much more natural playing position where the arms are comfortably in front of you, including some (" end-blown") flutes. In the case of the flute, however, this gives a pretty diff... |
23e32301-dbac-4c60-974c-b2e3f1c4fa7d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Bear Case: My Predictions Regarding AI Progress
This isn't really a "timeline", as such – I don't know the timings – but this is my current, fairly optimistic take on where we're heading.
I'm not fully committed to this model yet: I'm still on the lookout for more agents and inference-time scaling later this year. ... |
b76c95a0-dda9-42ef-be04-1e7175c6ca05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Morality is Awesome
(This is a semi-serious introduction to the metaethics sequence. You may find it useful, but don't take it too seriously.)
Meditate on this: A wizard has turned you into a whale. Is this awesome?
"Maybe? I guess it would be pretty cool to be a whale for a day. But only if I can turn back, and i... |
e4cb746a-8bda-456a-bccf-15b356363ffc | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post220
Anthropic’s Alignment Science team conducts technical research aimed at mitigating the risk of catastrophes caused by future advanced AI systems, such as mass loss of life or permanent loss of human control. A central challenge we face is identifying concrete technical work that can be done today to preven... |
a58794c0-3ddc-4887-b061-917469516d1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Oppression and production are competing explanations for wealth inequality.
You would like to go to the beach tomorrow if it's sunny, but aren't sure whether it will rain; if it rains, you'd rather go to the movies. So you resolve to put on a swimsuit and a raincoat, and thus attired, attend the beach in the morning a... |
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