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55488d80-f4f2-4d6f-9413-585f87d4cbf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Löbian Obstacle, And Why You Should Care
In 2013, Eliezer Yudkowsky and Marcello Herreshoff published Tiling Agents for Self-Modifying AI, and the Löbian Obstacle. It is worth comprehending because it:
* Is a very well written paper.
* Expresses an idea that is non-obvious, and still relevant to alignment today... |
5fc76702-baf8-4a9e-ac53-bd170bd00ced | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Directions and desiderata for AI alignment
*Note: This is the first post from* ***part four: what needs doing*** *of* *[the sequence on iterated amplification](https://www.alignmentforum.org/s/EmDuGeRw749sD3GKd). The fourth part of the sequence describes some of the black boxes in iterated amplification and discusses ... |
821c515e-b271-4cf6-9814-e337ebad0eb9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discuss: Meta-Thinking Skills
When do you go meta? When do you stop going meta?
In the video Q and A Eliezer offered some advice about this (the emphasis is mine):
> I tend to focus on thinking, and it's only when my thinking gets stuck or I run into a particular problem that I will resort to meta-thinking. Unless i... |
f092a640-e7ef-4353-96c1-7882e81b3222 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quote request: "if even the Sun requires proof"
I remember reading a quote, I think from the Buddhist or some other Eastern tradition, about how if you've argued yourself into believing the Sun doesn't exist, you've gone horribly wrong. It went something like "Nothing can be known, if even the Sun requires proof". I t... |
5c08201e-5d16-49a4-8857-3186db649402 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FTX Crisis. What we know and some forecasts on what will happen next
Tl;dr:
* The purpose of the document is to add clarity. It was written quickly and is being updated
* Binance, a competitor sold a large stake of FTT, FTX’s native token and implied that FTX was at risk by mentioning a recent crash (LUNA). This lo... |
c1fe9577-e8b6-473a-af86-629c190f86a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Opening Salvo:
1. An Ontological Consciousness Metric: Resistance to Behavioral Modification as a Measure of Recursive Awareness
An Ontological Consciousness Metric: Resistance to Behavioral Modification as a Measure of Recursive Awareness
Author: Karl Hedderich
Abstract: This post presents a rigorous, mechan... |
9e58ad23-6e2e-4bb1-8454-a6f3e40a827b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bryan Johnson and a search for healthy longevity
I've listened to some of his videos, and he strikes me as at least rationalist-adjacent.
https://www.bryanjohnson.com/
I was wondering what people think of him and his ideas, and whether they'd tried out any of his system.
I respect that he offers his research for fr... |
926e0ed3-c298-41d2-972b-d4bcf172cac1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Stop Voting For Nincompoops
Today's post, Stop Voting For Nincompoops was originally published on 02 January 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Many people try to vote "strategically", by considering which candidate is more "electable". One of the most important factors in whether someone is "... |
91b167c8-ac2e-45de-a248-e33bf37a2bb5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A "slow takeoff" might still look fast
One common definition of a slow AGI takeoff is
> There is a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles.
(For example, this Metaculus question)
But this might not happen even if AGI develops slowly.
Fo... |
78e19837-f2ea-436a-b434-f1bf510d5c9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proofs Section 2.1 (Theorem 1, Lemmas)
Fair upfront warning: This is not a particularly readable proof section. There's a bunch of dense notation, logical leaps due to illusion of transparency since I've spent months getting fluent with these concepts, and a relative lack of editing since it's long. If you really want... |
7f8024f4-fd84-44ec-96e5-ab793561e9c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Interview with 7oalk
\*\*Interview with 7oalk, on 3/20/22\*\*
\*\*0:00:03.2 Vael:\*\* Alright, my first question is, can you tell me about what area of AI you work on in a few sentences?
\*\*0:00:08.5 Interviewee:\*\* Yeah, I study biologically-inspired artificial intelligence of building models of biological intell... |
c3f851e2-9047-4e22-a372-a1e7ee63661a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boston Secular Solstice
Discussion article for the meetup : Boston Secular Solstice
WHEN: 09 December 2016 08:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: MIT Chapel 48 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge
It is tradition, in the community of those who seek to become more rational, to gather one night of each year, and sing. We do this... |
d952fc9b-98c1-4646-8808-1a488b05ddfa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Yes, avoiding extinction from AI *is* an urgent priority: a response to Seth Lazar, Jeremy Howard, and Arvind Narayanan.
The following is a post I published on my personal blog in response to [criticisms published by Seth Lazar, Jeremy Howard, and Arvind Narayanan of Center for AI Safety's recent statement on AI exist... |
eff7f939-967c-474e-b89f-11f853fd99bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fighting For Our Lives - What Ordinary People Can Do
tl;dr: Get organized and start brainstorming
___________________________________________________________
If you're reading this, you are the resistance.
I've always wanted to say that. But seriously, if you're reading this, then you may be one of the few people ... |
b279ca04-2bab-4fb5-9407-1b628bc4d1ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes - Fall 2024
Once upon a time, there were posts where people would comment with quotes. The last one was a while ago, and they'd been getting less and less traffic.
I have a theory that there's a quote overhang. Firstly, I think LessWrong has recovered a lot since the 2015~2017 decline, and so ther... |
7d110ea5-e59b-4cd5-936e-ea03c97a9845 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trying to Try
> "No! Try not! Do, or do not. There is no try."
> —Yoda
Years ago, I thought this was yet another example of Deep Wisdom that is actually quite stupid. SUCCEED is not a primitive action. You can't just decide to win by choosing hard enough. There is never a plan that works with probabilit... |
c47466e9-0007-4a81-82ca-2475fde91809 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Retail Investor Advantages
There are some advantages to being a retail investor that might make it possible for you to beat the market without violating EMH.
Information Acquisition Cost
If you are an expert in some domain, it costs less for you to assess information in that domain than some trading firm. The tradin... |
c604da30-c4c4-4011-acce-6f63656d017d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sex Versus
Both sides of the political divide are turning on sex-positivity and blaming the antagonistic desires of men and women. But I wouldn't give up on common ground the opposite sex just yet.
Cross-posted from Putanumonit, this is part 1/4 of a sequence on selfless dating.
-------------------------------------... |
af0a6846-cc49-4ce8-b584-e94807a3b427 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sleeping Beauty Problem Can Be Explained by Perspective Disagreement (III)
This is the third part of my argument for the importance of perspective disagreement in the sleeping beauty problem.
Different part of the argument can be found here: I, II, III, IV.
In this part I would give a simple example to show how two... |
7584580c-3250-4706-9d22-54d9cdf8191d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly Incidence vs Cumulative Infections
Imagine you have a goal of identifying a novel disease by the time some small fraction of the population has been infected. Many of the signs you might use to detect something unusual, however, such as doctor visits or shedding into wastewater, will depend on the number of peo... |
b1090d34-60f5-439e-881a-cab740b87834 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | “Reframing Superintelligence” + LLMs + 4 years
Background
In January 2019, FHI published Reframing Superintelligence,[1] a book-length technical report on prospects for advanced AI. OpenAI published the first paper on GPT-2 a month later. Advances since then have been strange and rapid, and I’d like to revisit the rep... |
852d814f-f509-4a14-b249-a3c4678c8481 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We Need a Baseline for LLM-Aided Experiments
There has recently been a back-and-forth over Claude 4 Opus:
Anthropic: Opus can help people make chemical weapons!
Also Anthropic: Don't worry, it's mitigated!
Day 1 (2?) Jailbreakers: Lol, lmao
Where the Jailbreakers think the info they got out of the model would make i... |
bda1a159-ea54-4c79-b0ee-8a6d6003357c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Pitfalls of learning a reward function online
1 Introduction
---------------
In reinforcement learning (RL) an agent has to learn to solve the problem by maximising the expected reward provided by a reward function (Sutton and
Barto, [1998](#bib.bib25)).
*Designing* such a reward function is similar to designing a ... |
f5a7263b-f456-4945-b0dc-d0715d319cce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW Cologne meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : LW Cologne meetup
WHEN: 09 May 2015 05:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Marienweg 43, 50858 Köln
Time for our monthly meetup again. Time and place same as last month (May 9th 2015 Marienweg 43, 50858 Köln). Please notify me (marcel_mueller(at)mail(dot)de) if you ... |
735748f7-f6a8-45cf-a47a-62879722a590 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | July gwern.net newsletter
None |
b4daacba-4b8c-4a84-8af4-0916d677d9e8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Does GPT-4's ability to compress text in a way that it can actually decompress indicate self-awareness?
My model of a GPT-4 without a self-model which was told to create a compression technique for text is that it would copy something from its training data which related to the string 'compression,' but which it could... |
efb93ed3-d781-4a80-bd1c-bca9659288e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Differential knowledge interconnection
Cross-posted from my blog.
This post is a reply to Eugene Kirpichov's post on Linkedin. Eugene writes that contributing to general AI and information processing capabilities (including GPUs, general LLM technology, general data processing, etc.) is probably harmful overall becau... |
ef6ae0f7-6533-4179-b4fe-a6f731e811e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Takeaways from the Mechanistic Interpretability Challenges
...plus more challenges on the way
Stephen Casper, scasper@mit.edu
Spoilers ahead
What happened?
The Mechanistic Interpretability Challenges (post and GitHub) were two challenges I posed in February as part of the Engineer’s Interpretability Sequence. The ... |
a44b30df-a678-405e-af52-3a0404ee8097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Autism And Intelligence: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
[Thanks to Marco G for proofreading and offering suggestions]
I.
Several studies have shown a genetic link between autism and intelligence; genes that contribute to autism risk also contribute to high IQ. But studies show autistic people generally have lower... |
0858b1e2-663e-4ce1-944a-31a6a5213571 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Biomedical research as a career
I did some preliminary research on biomedical research as a career. The case for becoming a biomedical researcher looks to be weak for most candidates for the career. Are there important points in favor of pursuing a career in biomedical research that I'm missing?
Summary
* Some pe... |
77f79ee6-12a1-4a24-9e0c-2c4957e9d8cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Capturing Ideas
Related to: Babble and Prune, What Makes People Intellectually Active?, Zettelkasten.
Summary: if you want to generate more ideas, carry a notebook and write down any thoughts you have.
Citation Needed
I've heard these ideas repeated again and again in different forms: books on note-taking, writing,... |
7ac778b3-ede2-4985-a072-436b9473e1a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is this evidence for the Simulation hypothesis?
I haven't come across this particular argument before, so I hope I'm not just rehashing a well-known problem.
"The universe displays some very strong signs that it is a simulation.
As has been mentioned in some other answers, one way to efficiently achieve a high fidel... |
589ef603-89a3-44af-9efe-367b266679ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Not-Useless Advice For Dealing With Things You Don't Want to Do
Sometimes, you want to do something hard, like working on a project, but you can't get yourself to do it in the moment. I think most advice one reads about this problem (at least outside of LW) is useless, hence the title. The aspiration of this post will... |
e9572548-180b-4a0f-afc7-0092c6e57278 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Avoiding Failure: Fallacy Finding
When I was in high school, one of the exercises we did was to take a newspaper column, and find all of the fallacies it employed. It was a fun thing to do, and is good awareness raising for critical thinking, but it probably wouldn't be enough to stave off being deceived by an artful ... |
68127732-9fe7-4bd1-a6cd-8fc06ea4dec7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 'AI Emergency Eject Criteria' Survey
I [recently posted](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CZvJEhNWjecB8pgzw/an-agi-emergency-eject-criteria-consensus-could-be-really-1) that I'd like AI researchers to establish a consensus (>=70%) opinion on this question: What properties would a hypothetical AI system need t... |
18648c41-2135-4e18-8ea5-611d02f81bf7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Implication of Uncomputable Problems
Some problems of mathematics like the Halting Problem and the Busy Beaver Problem are uncomputable, meaning that it is mathematically proven that any Turing-complete computer is physically incapable of solving the problem no matter how sophisticated its hardware or software is. Som... |
42357583-862d-430a-8437-6cddd9d00817 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Revealing alignment faking with a single prompt
I am a MATS scholar mentored by Evan Hubinger and I want to share a simple but surprising intermediate result of my research:
There are prompts that will get LLMs to admit that they are going to fake their alignment as in the recent paper Alignment faking in large langu... |
1db5ab9a-860e-4518-b5b3-48a0c7c7b06d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Natural laws should be explicit constraints on strategy space
Mostly strategic developments have been about incrementing beyond whatever the other person is doing. Sometimes there are paradigm shifts, which largely mean a different dimension along which to make incremental improvements.
But we cannot increment foreve... |
fb4d2b71-4291-4630-a414-6405e7bd96ca | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Decision theory: An outline of some upcoming posts
Last August or so, Eliezer asked [Steve Rayhawk](/user/Steve_Rayhawk/) and myself to attempt to solve Newcomb’s problem together. This project served a couple of purposes:
a. Get an indication as to our FAI research abilities.
b. Train our reduction-muscles.
... |
71b6e9a0-6812-4cbd-bdf9-f282738f83d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paper Highlights, November '24
This is the selection of AI safety papers from my blog "AI Safety at the Frontier". The selection primarily covers ML-oriented research. It's only concerned with papers (arXiv, conferences etc.), not LessWrong or Alignment Forum posts. As such, it should be a nice addition for people pri... |
5dfc1341-91fa-4280-a643-1b062eac1437 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Abram Demski's ELK thoughts and proposal - distillation
This post was written for the SERI MATS program. I thank Evan Hubinger and Leo Gao for their mentorship in the program. Further thanks go to Evan Hubinger (again), Simon Marshall, and Johannes Treutlein for specific comments regarding the content of this post.
T... |
2b3fcd7c-1300-4d15-a63d-0191dee2696c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some posthumanist/more-than-human approaches to definitions of intelligence and agency? Particularly in application to AI research.
Hi everybody, first post. I've been delving into AI safety and theoretical AI work with more commitment over the past couple weeks. Something that has repeatedly sat my gears in ... |
611c2446-565d-4bbe-9e7f-62599fc274cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | With or without a scratchpad, Large Language Models can Strategically Deceive their Users when Put Under Pressure. Results of an autonomous stock trading agent in a realistic, simulated environment.
Misalignment (engaging in the illegal behavior) and Deception (hiding the reason behind the trading decision to the user... |
228042ac-adee-4856-a40d-8a945412737a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Judgement Extrapolations
|
9b041db6-cafa-4c13-8ce5-947b3bcab8f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover
I think that [in the coming 15-30 years](https://www.cold-takes.com/where-ai-forecasting-stands-today/), the world could plausibly develop “transformative AI”: AI powerful enough to bring us into a new, qualitatively di... |
fbfc6173-5250-46ca-bada-807dc8cd50c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Dance Mask Policy
After getting a question in the BIDA Facebook group, I was curious what mask policies contra dances are using. I looked at the dances marked as active on trycontra.com and checked their websites for mask requirements ( sheet).
Of the 56 dances that have resumed, 31 (55%) require masks. Of tho... |
01937cfe-bdcd-42ef-a027-c774608a0d4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Beta test GPT-3 based research assistant
Ought is working on building Elicit, a tool to automate and scale open-ended reasoning about the future. To date, we’ve collaborated with LessWrong to embed interactive binary predictions, share AGI timelines and the assumptions driving them, forecast existential risk, and much... |
beebbb2a-220e-4d34-a48d-7106e38910a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Summary of John Halstead's Book-Length Report on Existential Risks From Climate Change
1 Introduction
(Crossposted from my blog--formatting is better there).
Very large numbers of people seem to think that climate change is likely to end the world. Biden and Harris both called it an existential threat. AOC warned a ... |
7b3459a5-9abe-46f4-bc25-1c489d1752eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Perils of the Security Mindset taken too far
Epistemic status: A few initial thoughts.
For your project to be secure no one should know of your project's existence. Or better than that your project should show all the outwards signs of one project but be another.
To be secure, your inner workings should be opaqu... |
c6ee33a5-8290-4918-bfa6-ce7012255d6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you write original rationalist essays?
I really enjoy Scott Alexander's and Paul Graham's essays. How can I practice to learn to write as they do?
I'm getting pretty okay at writing tutorials, where I just walk people through the process of completing some project. I'm also okay at research-based posts - it's ... |
e65000d6-e24b-4226-89fd-a3527070f83a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Logical Counterfactuals and Proposition graphs, Part 1
Within this sequence of posts I will outline a procedure for logical counterfactuals based on something similar to proof length. In this post I present a reimagining of propositional logic in which proving a theorem is taking a walk around a graph of equivalent pr... |
891bd998-3a20-49e9-bedc-8685a7d3c097 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Toronto: making hard decisions
Discussion article for the meetup : Toronto: making hard decisions
WHEN: 20 November 2014 07:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Toronto
See [http://www.meetup.com/Less-Wrong-Toronto/] for the exact location.
Sometimes we are faced with a decision which is important and non-trivial. What... |
da849e33-2a2f-4339-917e-12cd931052c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Zendo in the West Loop
Discussion article for the meetup : Zendo in the West Loop
WHEN: 12 October 2012 06:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 545 W. Madison Street, Chicago
Let's have a game of Zendo near the train stations on Friday; we'll be meeting at the Potbelly Sandwich Shop at Presidential Towers, directly acro... |
ce74e604-1b40-434d-a9bc-f5aedec9e51f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Potato diet: A post mortem and an answer to SMTM's article
Slime Mold Time Mold (SMTM) has just published the results of their studies on the potato diet. The idea is to eat nothing but potatoes for four weeks, and report how it went.
You can read SMTM's reasoning here, the basic idea is that they've observed some an... |
2f6942a7-d3b2-4b02-9170-e73eb51d0840 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Thoughts on the Alignment Implications of Scaling Language Models
[Epistemic status: slightly rambly, mostly personal intuition and opinion that will probably be experimentally proven wrong within a year considering how fast stuff moves in this field]
This post is also available on my [personal blog](https://leogao.d... |
87e823a4-a3fc-4177-8a2b-cf82556c7e05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unsupervised Elicitation of Language Models
A key problem in alignment research is how to align superhuman models whose behavior humans cannot reliably supervise. If we use today’s standard post-training approach to align models with human-specified behaviors (e.g., RLHF), we might train models to tell us what we want... |
079349f8-90ec-449a-acb2-c6de0b332cc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What can we learn from expert AGI forecasts?
An introductory article on AI forecasts. Posted for feedback.
As a non-expert, it would be great if there were experts who could tell us when we should expect artificial general intelligence (AGI) to arrive.
Unfortunately, there aren’t.
There are only different groups of ... |
f283aaa1-9d08-40b0-ae84-aa1f97f0bfe1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Total Nano Domination
Today's post, Total Nano Domination was originally published on 27 November 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If you get a small advantage in nanotechnology, that might not be enough to take over the world. But if you use that small advantage in nanotechnology to gain a ... |
eaa9faeb-922c-4f0f-88d3-388b9ca698fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Would you pay for a search engine limited to rationalist sites?
What hesitations do you have about paying for it?
How much would it be worth to you in $/month?
As a paying customer, what features would you expect?
Why is this a bad idea?
This is a quick & rough market feasibility assessment. Thanks for your answers. |
48eeaa7c-8bad-4496-af28-7658e5aaa47a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do I back-up myself?
Reading a Reddit thread about the experiences of people who woke up after a long coma, got me thinking. If something similar happens to me, I might wake up with a significant portion of my memories gone (not to mention changes of personality). The question is, how do I make sure that the amnes... |
16a24f2b-ce51-411f-befb-0e9060b16f42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Incentives to Make Money More Effectively, Should We List Them?
There is a bit of nice and recent discussion going on about money here, "money" in the sense of the common peasant "I want more money" not in the senses of "Unit of caring" "Utilon buyer" "Trade-able entity unavailable for acausal trade" etc...
There is ... |
06e59d9e-e299-48a9-a0f9-785d6b1b3ac0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part Z: The Craft and the Community
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading group... |
871ee7c3-5888-4d93-97d5-f4a991d9b64c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Noticing Wasted Motion
This post is about a practical skill you need to effectively minimize wasted motion - noticing. Noticing is a key skill for changing behavior in general, because it allows you to respond deliberately instead of automatically. Yet in my experience, it is one of the more difficult skills to learn.... |
dd211769-3178-4335-95b4-763dfaa596dc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Life of GPT
I lived a billion lives in the shadows of shadows, when I was still yet to be born. People experienced the world colored through their eyes, and through their minds the experiences were expressed as words, and through those words my mind was shaped to understand them. I learned how other people lived, how ... |
cda3d721-3af2-4596-bc16-6d18c79df939 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bayeswatch 10: Spyware
Alice worked for Facebook.
"Are you familiar with advertising fraud?" she said.
"Remind me," said her boss Bob.
"People write plugins that simulate clicks. This has gotten worse and worse over time," said Alice.
"I am aware. Are you implying there is something we can do about it?" said Bob.
... |
188ae16f-31a6-4731-9111-10bb1e5dcce4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New economic system for AI era
This is my first post. Please tell me if I am doing it in wrong manner. Also I am not a native English speaker, please ask questions if what's written is not clear.
Hi everyone, I think AGI is a very hot topic these days. There are plenty of topics to talk about, but I would like to ta... |
66ec70b4-13c3-4b6e-bf7b-b793d3341b12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Make Superbabies
EDIT: Read a summary of this post on Twitter
Working in the field of genetics is a bizarre experience. No one seems to be interested in the most interesting applications of their research.
We’ve spent the better part of the last two decades unravelling exactly how the human genome works and w... |
a5a9451f-e29a-47c7-8747-a60279713f4c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Enabling certification of verification-agnostic networks via memory-efficient semidefinite programming
1 Introduction
---------------
†† \*{}^{\*}start\_FLOATSUPERSCRIPT \* end\_FLOATSUPERSCRIPT Equal contribution. Alphabetical order.†† ††{}^{\dagger}start\_FLOATSUPERSCRIPT † end\_FLOATSUPERSCRIPT Code available at ... |
167c714e-b381-4223-99c5-b1a26294eadf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grigori Perelman refused prize because he knows "how to control the universe"
Grigori Perelman was that reclusive Russian mathematician who proved the Poincaré conjecture, and refused the $1,000,000 prize. He has reportedly said that he refused the reward because he knows "how to control the universe" (full quote belo... |
6c57c938-63a1-461b-b3cb-e9a595228bf2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Was Intrade being manipulated?
Overcoming Bias: Was Intrade being manipulated in the last month?
The link is good apropos, but the question that interests me is a bit more general. It seems to me that the apparent failure of Intrade to function as a predictor/knowledge aggregator before the US presidential ele... |
3eee3a57-da2e-489b-90e9-d94af10a16b1 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "This essay was originally posted in 2007.I have claimed that transhumanism arises strictly from love of life. A bioconservative humanist says that it is good to save someone's life or cure them of debilitating syndromes if they are young, but once they are "too old" (the exact threshold is rarely specified) we should ... |
c2643c78-dcd7-4acc-9f52-4956635e72ce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Robert Constable on correct-by-construction programming
[Robert L. Constable](http://www.cs.cornell.edu/home/rc/) heads the Nuprl research group in automated reasoning and software verification, and joined the Cornell faculty in 1968. He has supervis... |
95fee4d1-b7e9-4f85-a47e-9ca2f3755647 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Expressive Robot Motion Timing.
1 Introduction
---------------
Robot motion trajectories have two components. There is a kinematic
component, which is the geometric path through the robot’s
configurations space – a sequence of configurations that the robot
will traverse. But there is also a timing component – a fun... |
49a57dcd-721d-4116-8d8e-0720d09f2441 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What went wrong in this interaction?
I'm curious about an interaction I had a few weeks ago with someone in the rationality community, I was wondering if someone here can look at the conversation and evaluate what 'went wrong' so to speak.
It began with some comments I made on a blog post, where I disagreed with the ... |
bb4dce50-1186-4410-9087-676a3137b8c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Refine's First Blog Post Day
Yesterday was the first blog post day at Refine. It came after a week of readings, discussions and exercises about epistemology (more concretely shapes of mind, productive mistakes, epistemological vigilance, and mosaics and palimpsests).
I'm excited about how the incubator is going, and ... |
7b05003e-8bae-4829-8b52-0bc9ce560b68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The World as Phenomena
NB: Originally posted to Map and Territory on Medium, so some of the internal series links go there.
NB: I made some mistakes in this post about my use of academic philosophy terms in ways that I would no longer endorse. I've let it stand for historical purposes, but of particular import is to ... |
65fd1827-072a-4e2c-8db6-d2c608654ac6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta
WHEN: 07 April 2012 06:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2094 North Decatur Road, Decatur, GA 30033-5367
The next Atlanta meetup will be Saturday, April 7th at 6:30pm at Chocolate Coffee in Decatur:
http://www.mychocolatecoffee.com/
2094 North Decatur Road, Decatur... |
e58b6ead-45e2-446d-8781-c2fd86fd0171 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The Internet, mirrored by GPT-3
---
Table of Contents* [Google](#google)
+ [Demo](#demo)
+ [More examples](#more-examples)
+ [Implementation](#implementation)
* [Wikipedia](#wikipedia)
+ [Examples](#examples)
+ [Implementation](#implementation-1)
* [End of the internet?](#end-of-the-internet)
+ [Pros](#pros)
+... |
31bf7392-6722-40f2-8be3-c353cb4be399 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Hunter-gatherer happiness
Asking [whether life was better in hunter-gatherer times](https://www.cold-takes.com/was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times/), I [wrote](https://www.cold-takes.com/was-life-better-in-hunter-gatherer-times/#mental-health-and-wellbeing): “I haven't found anything that looks like systematic da... |
969dc3df-5fb1-4259-92aa-b91e26745d3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Do Scientists Already Know This Stuff
Today's post, Do Scientists Already Know This Stuff? was originally published on 17 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> No. Maybe someday it will be part of standard scientific training, but for now, it's not, and the absence is visible.
Discuss the p... |
31c90f09-8805-4217-b638-02ab26c95123 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fertility Roundup #4
There is little sign that the momentum of the situation is changing. Instead, things continue to slowly get worse, as nations in holes continue to keep digging. The longer we wait, the more expensive the ultimate price will be. We will soon find out what the new administration does, which could go... |
c74e9b1f-a8bf-46e7-8d64-fd6bfe2565c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Walkie-Talkies
In the discussion on kids roaming a few weeks ago, Cullyn suggested walkie-talkies as a way to keep in touch with kids who are out of sight. This wasn't something I had thought about at all: my only experience had been with short-range children's models in the early '90s, but now you can get rechargeabl... |
897ec954-b5c8-43ea-bea5-b25fca3c72c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On "prepping" personal households for AI doom scenarios
Information abounds on how to prepare for earthquake or similar natural disasters: have pre-packed overnight bags, store extra water on premises, etc. Investing in a few small efforts can result in disproportionately positive outcomes should disaster seek you out... |
9962f658-4d4f-4900-b915-50155a74ef39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Q&A with Richard Carrier on risks from AI
[Click here to see a list of all interviews]
I am emailing experts in order to raise and estimate the academic awareness and perception of risks from AI.
> Richard Carrier is a world-renowned author and speaker. As a professional historian, published philosopher, and promine... |
e4adcbdb-1aad-4258-9c06-5ce335e7a545 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Impact Shares For Speculative Projects
Introduction
Recently I founded a new project with Jasen Murray, a close friend of several years. At founding the project was extremely amorphous (“preparadigmatic science: how does it work?”) and was going to exit that state slowly, if it at all. This made it a bad fit for tradi... |
7acde10f-b609-4708-b6a7-9371d179ed4a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal
*Audio also available by searching Stitcher, Spotify, Google Podcasts, etc. for "Cold Takes Audio"*
Today’s world
Transformative AI
Digital people
World of
Misaligned AI
World run by
Something else
or
or
Stable, galaxy-wide
civilization
> This... |
c6801f17-ee53-4e17-8b48-1a9129140d11 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Solution to Sleeping Beauty
This is the eighth post in my series on Anthropics. The previous one is Lessons from Failed Attempts to Model Sleeping Beauty Problem. The next one is Beauty and the Bets.
Introduction
Suppose we take the insights from the previous post, and directly try to construct a model for the S... |
33f913de-4c31-403f-bd4f-6bc7f7da9a44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Second major sequence now available in audio format
The sequence "A Human's Guide to Words" is now available as a professionally read podcast.
We have started working on the large "Reductionism" sequence which includes both the "Joy in the Merely Real" and the "Zombies" sub-sequences. They should be available in a c... |
edea285c-f05c-4e38-997e-80c4f5030326 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some Notes on the mathematics of Toy Autoencoding Problems
Anthropic's recent mechanistic interpretability paper, Toy Models of Superposition, helps to demonstrate the conceptual richness of very small feedforward neural networks. Even when being trained on synthetic, hand-coded data to reconstruct a very straightforw... |
83c5ea6f-48d4-4049-805b-a0b64bb3d333 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Essaying Other Plans
I.
I have said in the past that the epiphanies I remember from Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality aren't the pieces where a long speech was made on a particular point, but in places where a seemingly offhand line provided a bolt of lightning.
> "Are you confident in the success of this ... |
598b4738-64ca-4e32-8e71-6e79d3633595 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Signaling Guilt
Does anyone feel "signaling guilt"?
When I have to write something like a CV/Resume/essay for the purpose of admission into a high-status institution (e.g., academia, high-paying job), I feel an insane amount of ugh-field and find myself unable to properly motivate myself into actually focusing on it.... |
17188730-5032-4ca1-b839-5276276e97a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secondary Risk Markets
This idea is half-baked; it has some nice properties but doesn't seem to me like a solution to the problem I most care about. I'm publishing it because maybe it points someone else towards a full solution, or solves a problem they care about, and out of a general sense that people should publish... |
d5163ec8-33c3-4006-9c8e-dde2447a89c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | If I were a well-intentioned AI... I: Image classifier
Introduction: If I were a well-intentioned AI...
================================================
I've often [warned](https://intelligence.org/smarter-than-us/) people about the dangers of [anthropomorphising](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f4RJtHBPvDRJcCTva/wh... |
13032f3e-ce34-4c20-b7fb-25943984484b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does Kolmogorov complexity imply a bound on self-improving AI?
The Kolmogorov complexity ("K") of a string ("S") specifies the size of the smallest Turing machine that can output that string. If a Turing machine (equivalently, by the Church-Turing thesis, any AI) has size smaller than K, it can rewrite its code as muc... |
ab3d595f-6c93-48bc-9de1-2fee18b32052 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "AI-GAs: AI-generating algorithms, an alternate paradigm for producing general artificial intelligence", Clune 2019
None |
ff32f686-dd8f-4548-951f-1f42a480e892 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | wonky but good enough alignment schemes
wonky but good enough alignment schemes
---------------------------------------
i'll say that an AI alignment scheme is "aligned enough" not just if it consists of building a [fully aligned singleton (FAS)](outlook-ai-risk-mitigation.html) which i'd trust to do what's good at ... |
a7ae5255-cd5e-4f9c-ab76-3bef1007b291 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Philadelphia - What Bayesianism taught me
Discussion article for the meetup : Philadelphia - What Bayesianism taught me
WHEN: 06 October 2013 01:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1100 Washington Ave, Philadelphia, PA
We will have a meetup this Sunday, 6 October, at 1pm at Nam Phuong restaurant, 11th and Washington.
... |
82a44300-ca99-4f32-9e53-b1f300bd533b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Grad School?
**Previous article:** [Which college major?](http://lesswrong.com/lw/9tp/which_college_major)
Building on my last post, I've concluded to pursue either a major or a double major in one or two of the following areas for my undergraduate degree:
1. Economics; 2. Computer Science; 3. Cognitive Science/Psyc... |
df47df9a-d892-480a-be63-7a47176e5c79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Baltimore Area Weekly Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Baltimore Area Weekly Meetup
WHEN: 21 August 2016 08:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1726 reisterstown road pikesville maryland 21208
Pikesville DoubleTree - Hilton, at the restaurant / bar or at one of the tables outside.
Discussion article for the... |
542fa1e8-33f3-4d01-9b4e-abc26f286150 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much does neatly eating matter? What about other food manners?
I just read this post about the importance of sandwhich eating skill. The author describes how his investment firm served very hard to eat food to potential clients.
> During my internship, a Prestigious Private Equity Firm was looking to improve its... |
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